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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Someone should tell Republicans that violence is the last refuge of the incompetent, or possibly the first.

Hi god, it’s us. Thanks a heap, you’re having a great week and it’s only Thursday!

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

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“I was told there would be no fact checking.”

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Human rights are not a matter of opinion!

Fight for a just cause, love your fellow man, live a good life.

When do we start airlifting the women and children out of Texas?

Seems like a complicated subject, have you tried yelling at it?

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

The gop is a fucking disgrace.

We are learning that “working class” means “white” for way too many people.

Quote tweet friends, screenshot enemies.

The line between political reporting and fan fiction continues to blur.

One lie, alone, tears the fabric of reality.

Disagreements are healthy; personal attacks are not.

Too little, too late, ftfnyt. fuck all the way off.

Yeah, with this crowd one never knows.

Too often we hand the biggest microphones to the cynics and the critics who delight in declaring failure.

Many life forms that would benefit from greater intelligence, sadly, do not have it.

Authoritarian republicans are opposed to freedom for the rest of us.

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

The Coming Assault On Our Cities

by Betty Cracker|  June 16, 20256:46 am| 369 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Trump Crime Cartel, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome

In a post last week, we discussed a recent Anne Applebaum column on revolutionary logic. In her piece in The Atlantic, Applebaum observes that sputtering revolutionary regimes tend to escalate violence to consolidate power. She cites the depredations of the faltering Bolshevik and Maoist regimes as historical precedents, linking them to the flailing Trump regime’s violent assault on Los Angeles.

Now Trump faces the same choice as his revolutionary predecessors: Give up—or radicalize. Find compromises—or polarize society further. Slow down—or use violence. Like his revolutionary predecessors, Trump has chosen radicalization and polarization, and he is openly seeking to provoke violence.

The regime seeks to appease its base by carrying out Trump’s mass deportation threats, but it’s coming up against the hard fact that the economy depends on immigrant labor. Last week, Trump announced policy “changes” at DHS: (WSJ)

The Trump administration said it has directed immigration officers to pause arrests at farms, restaurants and hotels, stressing that sweeps should focus on people in the U.S. illegally who have criminal backgrounds.

The new guidance by the Department of Homeland Security comes after raids in Los Angeles sparked protests in the city that have spread across the country and led to the Trump administration sending in the National Guard and Marines.

“We will follow the President’s direction and continue to work to get the worst of the worst criminal illegal aliens off of America’s streets,” said DHS spokeswoman Tricia McLaughlin.

At first, I figured this announcement of a partial walk-back was a lie to placate worried business interests, and immigration raids at worksites would continue. Immigrants commit fewer crimes than U.S. citizens, so if the regime truly focused on “the worst of the worst,” deportations would drop to Obama and Biden-era levels, and that would constitute a de-escalation.

But last night, after marinating in the humiliation of his flop of a birthday parade contrasted with the millions of Americans who turned out Saturday to oppose his authoritarian power grab, Trump issued a preview of coming horrors in a truly insane and spittle-flecked Truth Social post.

Our Nation’s ICE Officers have shown incredible strength, determination, and courage as they facilitate a very important mission, the largest Mass Deportation Operation of Illegal Aliens in History. Every day, the Brave Men and Women of ICE are subjected to violence, harassment, and even threats from Radical Democrat Politicians, but nothing will stop us from executing our mission, and fulfilling our Mandate to the American People. ICE Officers are herewith ordered, by notice of this TRUTH, to do all in their power to achieve the very important goal of delivering the single largest Mass Deportation Program in History.

In order to achieve this, we must expand efforts to detain and deport Illegal Aliens in America’s largest Cities, such as Los Angeles, Chicago, and New York, where Millions upon Millions of Illegal Aliens reside. These, and other such Cities, are the core of the Democrat Power Center, where they use Illegal Aliens to expand their Voter Base, cheat in Elections, and grow the Welfare State, robbing good paying Jobs and Benefits from Hardworking American Citizens. These Radical Left Democrats are sick of mind, hate our Country, and actually want to destroy our Inner Cities — And they are doing a good job of it! There is something wrong with them. That is why they believe in Open Borders, Transgender for Everybody, and Men playing in Women’s Sports — And that is why I want ICE, Border Patrol, and our Great and Patriotic Law Enforcement Officers, to FOCUS on our crime ridden and deadly Inner Cities, and those places where Sanctuary Cities play such a big role. You don’t hear about Sanctuary Cities in our Heartland!

I want our Brave ICE Officers to know that REAL Americans are cheering you on every day. The American People want our Cities, Schools, and Communities to be SAFE and FREE from Illegal Alien Crime, Conflict, and Chaos. That’s why I have directed my entire Administration to put every resource possible behind this effort, and reverse the tide of Mass Destruction Migration that has turned once Idyllic Towns into scenes of Third World Dystopia. Our Federal Government will continue to be focused on the REMIGRATION of Aliens to the places from where they came, and preventing the admission of ANYONE who undermines the domestic tranquility of the United States.

To ICE, FBI, DEA, ATF, the Patriots at Pentagon and the State Department, you have my unwavering support. Now go, GET THE JOB DONE! DJT

This is, of course, fucking nuts. All of it. And keep in mind the context in which Trump issued this authoritarian decree: One of his supporters was then still at large after assassinating Democrats in the state governed by the Democrat who was the VP nominee last year.

So, it appears this is the form the escalation will take: an all-out assault on our cities carried out by federal law enforcement and probably the U.S. military. It’s going to be a long, hot summer.

Open thread.

The Coming Assault On Our CitiesPost + Comments (369)

Late Night Open Thread: Mocking Don TACO’s B-Day Parade

by Anne Laurie|  June 16, 20254:40 am| 28 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Trumpery

Honestly I still can’t stop laughing 😂😅🤣

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— 🍁🇨🇦Team Canada Forever🇨🇦🍁 (@teamcanadaforever.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:00 AM

It is completely possible Trump is checked out enough that yesterday is quickly forgotten and replaced with Trumpys special military birthday parade in his head, but if there's any sense in his brain left, he's got to be absolutely humiliated.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 1:04 PM

I had planned to add a crowd to my parade cartoon but ran out of time. Guess I didn't need to anyway.

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— Ann Telnaes (@anntelnaes.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 10:53 PM

The more time that passes, the more hilariously slobby that parade seems.
I went back and watched footage of the gulf war victory parade and the difference is so stark.
Glad to know that the troops are not overflowing with enthusiasm for our dear leader

— BumboJumbo (@bumbojumbo666.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 1:10 PM

Adding to this idea is the the army band literally covered fortunate son (which is a Trump campaign theme song for some bizarre reason) and would -absolutely- know what that song is about.

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 1:14 PM

Mine eyes have seen the glory of the strolling of the dudes
They ambled up the street today before the crowds so few
There wasnt much to see maybe an abram tank or two
This parade is kinda mid
Glory glory what a bullshit way to serve

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— hammancheez (@hammancheez.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 8:38 PM

show full post on front page

🤣💀….h/t @TotalSeasons pic.twitter.com/jwnotBPeVC

— Wu Tang is for the Children (@WUTangKids) June 15, 2025

this dragass, drab, chudbro snoozefest has got to be all hegseth and vance, and it’s the *polar fucking opposite* of what you want in a parade

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) June 14, 2025 at 8:25 PM


===

WhiskeyLeaks possibly got rolled twice on this: first by Trump, and thus unavoidable given the thin ice upon which he's skating; second, by the Army for not vividly showing what this was actually gonna look like.

— Turgid Jacobian (@turgidjacobian.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 8:27 PM


===

The fun thing about this regime is that any sufficiently advanced malicious compliance is indistinguishable from incompetent loyalty, so who the fuck knows?

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— Starfish Who Can’t Think Something Witty (@irhottakes.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 7:53 AM

A solider in uniform is handing out free cans of Phorm Energy, an America250 sponsor co-owned by Dana White. A rep from the company was taking a selfie with the soldier handing the products out.

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— amanda moore ?? (@noturtlesoup17.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 4:07 PM


===

?My background is in events. I’ve worked plenty of military races and expos. The soldiers are usually voluntold to help with the event itself, but I’ve never, ever seen someone in uniform doing promo for a sponsors product. ?

— amanda moore ?? (@noturtlesoup17.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 4:10 PM

The *Brits* are mocking our mighty weapons!

One of those magical clips that somehow gets funnier on each successive viewing.
The doofus riding on top; the "important" guy walking alongside the tank; the half-empty grandstands; the wheels squeaking along on an otherwise silent street.
You might not like it, but this is ART.

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— Carlos Noreña (@carlosfnorena.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 10:33 PM

The Russians are trolling Trump.

(Captions: "How Trump imagined his parade / What he actually saw") https://t.co/smjZZeE24n

— Julia Ioffe (@juliaioffe) June 15, 2025

Liberal haters will say this isn’t 250,000 people

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— hammancheez (@hammancheez.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 1:24 PM

Lit a match on a giant fart of a parade https://t.co/x5EBwjKKyS

— The okayest poster there is (@ok_post_guy) June 15, 2025

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— Mike Luckovich (@mluckovich.bsky.social) June 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM

But, seriously…

Thank you to all of our service members and veterans. We appreciate you, your families, and your sacrifices for our country. Wish we were spending millions on you instead of a parade.

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— Barb McQuade (@barbmcquade.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 7:36 AM

Late Night Open Thread: Mocking Don TACO’s B-Day ParadePost + Comments (28)

War for Ukraine Day 1,027: Another Early Morning Drone Swarm

by Adam L Silverman|  June 15, 20258:18 pm| 26 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Air raid alerts are up, or going up, for all of eastern, northern, central, and parts of western Ukraine as of 2:20 AM local time in Ukraine/7:20 PM EDT.

More unintended cascading effects:

❗️Five Ukrainian citizens were killed in Bat Yam, Israel, by an Iranian missile strike. Three children are among the dead.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 12:08 PM

According to RBC-Ukraine, five Ukrainian citizens, including three minors, were killed in a massive Iranian attack on Israel.

Those damned drones found them even there.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 12:13 PM

This, however, is a very easily anticipated effect:

We were told the mineral deal would deter Russia from targeting U.S. businesses – something supposedly beneficial for both the U.S. and Ukraine. So what happened to that assumption? It seems Russia doesn’t care. No one takes tough talk seriously when it’s never backed by action.

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— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 7:56 AM

“Russian strikes on American companies in Ukraine are yet another example of Putin’s disregard for US peace efforts,” Ukrainian foreign minister Andriy Sybiha told the FT. on.ft.com/3TnpFDN

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— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 15, 2025 at 7:51 AM

As is the case with the US-UK trade deal, whatever it is that was announced last week between the US and the PRC, this isn’t actually a deal as anyone would understand a negotiated agreement between two states. It’s a a piece of paper with a list of things printed on it that are never going to happen. The only thing these deals or agreements are good for is providing soothers to Susie Wiles that she can then provide to the President. Which is why you get delusional social media posts like this:

Trump’s new post about Israel and Iran:

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 9:59 AM

The Israelis do not have the capability, in terms of the penetrating ordnance, to actually seriously damage the hardened facilities of Iran’s nuclear program. They can reduce their conventional capabilities. They can damage some of the nuclear facilities, which will set the Iranians back weeks to a year, give or take. They can kill lots of military, political, and religious leaders, as well as scientists and technical subject matter experts. But in doing this last thing, all they’re doing is creating an opportunity for members of the most hardline Iranians – the Paydari Front – to take and/or consolidate more power.

Oh Canada!

The Ukrainian Canadian Community Welcome President Zelenskyy To Canada And The G7 Summit 🇨🇦 🇺🇦
Canada Has The Second-Largest Ukrainian Population Outside of Ukraine

#cdnpoli #Canada 🍁 #CanadaSky #TeamCanada #CanadaProud #CanadaStrong #ElbowsUp

#Ukraine #UkraineStrong 🇺🇦 #SlavaUkraini 🌻🌻🌻

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— Bruce D. Cowherd (@brucedc77.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 10:42 AM

From The Calgary Herald:

Members of Calgary’s Ukrainian community will meet with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy after his G7 appearance in southern Alberta, the local leader of the movement said Friday.

Article content
Ten people from across Canada, including the local group, will have an audience with Zelenskyy for up to an hour in an undisclosed location in Calgary on Tuesday, said Roman Yosyfiv, president of the Ukrainian Canadian Congress’s Calgary branch.

“I’m not sure an hour is enough,” said Yosyfiv, who hails from Lviv in western Ukraine.

“With all my heart, I want to tell him we support Ukraine.”

The time and location of the meeting hasn’t been disclosed for obvious security reasons, he said.

When local Ukrainians heard earlier this year that Prime Minister Mark Carney had invited Zelenskyy to the G7 — being held Sunday to Tuesday at Kananaskis — the congress contacted the Ukrainian Embassy in Ottawa to request the meeting, said Yosyfiv. That meeting was confirmed three weeks ago, he said.

They will make their time with Zelenskyy a show of support and a reminder of how much their community has striven to push Canada to back the Ukrainian war effort through lobbying that’s included numerous public rallies in Calgary, he said.

Alberta has welcomed many Ukrainians who fled the war in their homeland. Last year, the provincial government said that number stood at more than 70,000 since the full-scale Russian invasion in February 2022, with 33,000 of those settling in Calgary.

“We’ll tell him Canada supports him and Calgarians are doing a lot of rallies and making donations,” said Yosyfiv.

“We’ll ask him what else we can do.”

Ukrainian cities have come under increasing aerial bombardment in recent days, while Russian troops are making gradual advances in the country’s northeast.

But Yosyfiv said Zelenksyy’s been stout both militarily and diplomatically.

“He hasn’t bent to (U.S. President Donald) Trump or (Russian President Vladimir) Putin . . . he didn’t run away on the first day (of the full-scale war),” he said.

“He’s the best president ever, but he is, unfortunately, under very difficult circumstances.”

More at the link!

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Putin Doesn’t Personally Need Peace, He Himself Is the War; Only a Real Cash Shortage Can Convince Russia to Be Less Dangerous to Its Neighbors – Address by the President

15 June 2025 – 22:53

Dear Ukrainians!

Today, our rescuers dealt with the aftermath of the Russian strike on the Poltava region – on Kremenchuk. It was a combined attack, deliberately and treacherously planned to target our civilian infrastructure – specifically, our energy facilities. The Russians used different missile types in this strike – cruise, ballistic, and air-launched ballistic missiles. They also used drones – Iranian Shahed drones – to complicate the work of our air defense systems. A significant number of missiles and drones were intercepted. No people were injured. However, unfortunately, energy infrastructure was damaged. This is Russia’s spit in the face of everything the international community is trying to do to stop this war. It happened right after Putin’s conversation with Trump. After the Americans asked us not to strike Russian energy facilities. At the same time as Putin tries to portray himself as a mediator for the Middle East and attempts to somehow assist his accomplices in Tehran. The level of cynicism is staggering… Every night, Russian strikes. Every day, we lose the lives of our people all across Ukraine – in the Kherson, Kharkiv, Donetsk, Sumy regions – because of Russian shelling, because of this war that could have ended long ago if the world had reacted to Russia in a principled way instead of falling for its manipulation and lies.

Today, I held a meeting with our military and government officials to discuss the consequences of the attack on Ukraine’s energy sector and the steps needed to ensure our resilience. We have set specific tasks for the Minister of Energy, the Ministry of Defense, the military, and the Security Service of Ukraine. I thank everybody in the world who now pushes for the necessary sanctions against Russia. Sanctions against Russian oil and a proper oil price cap. A price cap that will actually hurt the Russian budget. Without that, Putin will continue to ignore everything the world is doing to bring peace. He doesn’t personally need peace, he himself is the war. Only a real cash shortage can convince Russia to be less dangerous to its neighbors.

A few more things.

The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine is currently verifying information about our citizens in Israel and Iran. I am waiting for a report. Unfortunately, there are fatalities among Ukrainians in Israel – according to preliminary data, five Ukrainian citizens, including three children. There are also other civilian casualties. My condolences to all relatives and loved ones. We hope that the threat will pass as soon as possible.

And I want to recognize our employees of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine – those who distinguished themselves in responding to the aftermath of Russian strikes on our energy sector. From the State Emergency Service in the Poltava region: Denys Mandrychenko, Oleksandr Zhuravel, Serhii Broslavskyi, Andrii Buniayev, Dmytro Vasenkov, Ruslan Onopriienko, Vadym Bodyk, Serhii Memetov, Volodymyr Spodarets, Oleksandr Helman, Ivan Perepadchenko, Vitalii Neborak, Roman Listrovyi – thank you, guys! And also the rescuers of the State Emergency Service in the Cherkasy region, who assisted in the Poltava region – Oleksandr Babichev and Vadym Lytvyn. Thank you to everyone working for Ukraine, working for Ukrainians. Thank you to everyone defending our country!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Georgia’s 200th day of daily, nationwide protests is starting. 🇬🇪✊

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:32 AM

“Revoltion! Revolution!” ✊

Day 200 of daily nationwide protests in Georgia.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 1:32 PM

“Let the rotten Russian empire fall” — Day 200 of continuous protests in Georgia — Protesters burn Russian flag.

#GeorgiaProtests

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:40 PM

“Let the rotten Russian empire fall” — Protesters burn Russian flag.

The Video.

#GeorgiaProtests
Day 200

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:44 PM

“Sanction Ivanishvili.” A permanent banner in front of the parliament. Students have been guarding this location 24/7 for 90+ days.

Day 200 of daily, nationwide protests in Georgia.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 1:43 PM

Day 200 of uninterrupted #GeorgiaProtests

“Revolution!”

📷 Tazo Makharadze

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:03 PM

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:05 PM

🗣️”The key thing at the moment is that it is clear that in #Georgia you are not going to get a fair trial. she hasn’t had due process yet; and really, what’s going to make the difference here is ensuring that the world is watching!”, –
@caoilfhionn.bsky.social about the case of Mzia Amaglobeli.

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) June 15, 2025 at 9:49 AM

🗣️”It’s very clear that Mzia’s arrest is unjust and unfair. She’s been punished disproportionately and it’s clear that that’s in retaliation for her work. .. it’s not just about Mzia, it’s about all Georgian journalists”, – @jodieginsberg.bsky.social, CEO of @pressfreedom.bsky.social.

#FreeMzia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) June 15, 2025 at 2:10 PM

🗣️”while we are on the front lines, we remain on the front lines. and everything you do – not just Mzia: every journalist, every Georgian who stands up now – you’re not just protecting Georgian democracy, you are protecting democracy all around the world!” – @mariaressa.bsky.social.

#GeorgiaProtests

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) June 15, 2025 at 3:22 PM

Back to Ukraine.

The cost:

🐶🙏 Her eyes are full of longing and love, her paws tremble as they touch the cold ground. She lies down beside him, as if whispering farewell, and the wind gently embraces her, carrying the memory of his heroic soul into eternity.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 4:24 PM

On this Father’s Day — eternal memory to all fallen fathers, and to all the men whose chance to become fathers was stolen — who made the ultimate sacrifice defending an entire generation of Ukrainian children from russian genocide. 💔🇺🇦

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:11 AM

Another 1,200 bodies have been returned to Ukraine, including fallen servicemen, according to the Coordination Headquarters.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 6:10 AM

The cost and the reason:

💙💛 36-year-old Oleksandr Zhavnenko, a soldier in Ukraine’s 12th Special Forces Brigade ‘Azov’, danced with his wife Marichka for the first time since losing both his legs in battle.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 12:41 PM

The reason:

💙🤗 A heartwarming dance between a father and his beloved princess!

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:55 PM

❗️ Since early June, russia has launched around 2,800 drones, nearly 3,000 guided bombs, and 140 missiles against Ukraine, President Zelenskyy said.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 8:28 AM

Last night alone, russia attacked Ukraine with 183 Shahed drones & 11 missiles, incl Kinzhal, ballistic & cruise. The main target was the Poltava region, especially Kremenchuk.

Over this month, russia has already launched at us ~2,800 drones, ~3,000 glide bombs & 140 missiles. This is terrorism.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 6:55 AM

Anti-Shahed drone produced by the @wildhornets.bsky.social

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 7:39 AM

Mi-24 helicopter intercepts a Shahed kamikaze drone launched by the Russians over Ukraine. t.me/YT29JTacRome…

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 5:06 AM

A Ukrainian Shark reconnaissance drone helped destroy two Russian air defense systems — the Osa and Strela-10.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:00 AM

The Kursk cross border offensive:

UK intel: North Korea sent 11,000 troops to help Russia in Kursk—over half never came back

Kim Jong-un sent troops to back Putin in Kursk. UK intel says over 6,000 didn’t return.

euromaidanpress.com/2025/06/16/n…

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— Euromaidan Press (@euromaidanpress.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 5:38 PM

From EuroMaidan Press:

More than 6,000 North Korean soldiers have been killed, wounded, or gone missing while fighting alongside Russian forces in Russia’s Kursk Oblast, according to a new report from UK intelligence.

The British Ministry of Defence, in its 15 June intelligence update, states that around half of the estimated 11,000 North Korean troops deployed to the area have become casualties.

“Significant D​PRK casualty rates have almost certainly been sustained primarily through large, highly attritional dismounted assaults,” the report said, pointing to intense and costly infantry engagements on the ground.

UK intelligence analysts believe these tactics are leading to unsustainable losses for North Korean units involved in front-line fighting.

On 4 June, Russia’s Security Council Secretary and former Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu visited North Korea for the second time in three months. He met with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, signaling deepening military coordination between Moscow and Pyongyang.

Shoigu is believed to be the Kremlin’s lead negotiator managing North Korea’s military support for Russia’s war effort against Ukraine.

As of mid-June, North Korea’s military activity remains limited to the Kursk direction. According to UK intelligence, any expansion beyond Russian borders—particularly into internationally recognized Ukrainian territory—would almost certainly require joint authorization from both Vladimir Putin and Kim Jong-un.

In April, a South Korean lawmaker citing intelligence sources reported that about 600 North Koreans had died in the conflict. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, speaking in January, estimated that 4,000 North Korean troops had been killed or wounded.

Later, on 25 April, Ukraine’s General Staff announced that more than 4,500 North Korean troops had been neutralized since the launch of the Kursk offensive.

There’s a decent sized community of Ukrainians of Korean descent. I’m very curious if any of these DPRK soldiers are away enough of that community to try to get across enemy lines, across the Ukrainian borders, and make contact to defect. I also expect I’ll never known until or unless the Ukrainians themselves decide to publicize it.

Russian occupied Crimea:

Russia is turning a civilian airport in occupied Crimea into a military drone hub. Satellite images reveal launch pads, camouflage, and air defense gear.

www.kyivpost.com/post/54456

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— Kyiv Post (@kyivpost.com) June 13, 2025 at 4:14 AM

From The Kyiv Post:

A civilian airport in the Russian-occupied city of Kerch is being converted into a military base likely for launching drones at Ukraine, according to a new investigation by Schemes, a project of Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty.

Satellite images from Planet Labs show ongoing construction and military-style activity at the Kerch airport, which sits in eastern Crimea. The photos, compared between February and June 2025, reveal new fortifications and camouflage structures around the runway.

Aviation expert Anatoly Khrapchinsky told Schemes the changes suggest the airport is being prepared to host and launch Shahed-type kamikaze drones. These are the same kinds of drones Russia has used in frequent attacks on mainland Ukraine.

“This is probably a technical base for storing and launching UAVs,” Khrapchinsky said. He pointed to large camouflage tents visible in the satellite photos, likely used to hide drones or house air defense systems such as the Pantsir-S1 or Tor-M2.

Khrapchinsky said the runway length is already suitable for launching drones and noted new embankments on-site that may be future positions for anti-aircraft systems.

More at the link!

Kharkiv:

Kharkiv firefighters rescued a kitty after 3 days under the rubble. 😽

Just look at his humans’ faces!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 8:40 AM

To those visiting Kharkiv, the immediate impression is often one of profound resilience. They see a city that lives on, seemingly undeterred by the constant threat of bombs.

1/7

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

But for those of us who call this place home, the view is different. We see businesses closing, and streets growing quiet. The city we hold dear feels as if it’s slowly fading. We haven’t crossed the point of no return. Not yet.

2/7

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

We are left here, the ones who must stay to guard our homes, watch over family, or are simply too stubborn to let go of what remains. We are still here, but year after year, our opportunities slip away. There are countless homes that will never be built,

3/7

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

careers and education abandoned, families that will never begin.

We are chopping off pieces of ourselves, time and time again, afraid to stop and remember the people we were just a few years ago, because if we do, God, it will hurt.

4/7

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

All for survival. To save something.

But after all this time, I can’t even remember what we’re saving. What it felt like to dream, to want. To plan, oh, planning was beautiful. I loved it.

I miss having life, not just survive. Miss feeling happy about something.

5/7

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

Miss being able to bring joy to the people I love.

Miss feeling safe at my own home.

Miss having future.

This is where an optimistic ending should go. Something about hope.

6/7

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

But this is not the post about ‘unbreakable Kharkiv’ and ‘strong Ukrainians’. This is where im telling you we are hurting and bleeding, and we should be helped, not endlessly patted on the shoulder for how well we take it.

7/7

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 11:55 AM

Kremenchuk:

Russia launched a massive attack on Ukraine’s Kremenchuk tonight, using ~80 drones, Kalibr missiles, ballistic rockets, and Kinzhals, per Ukrainian news.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 2:50 AM

Kaliningrad, Russia:

Likely footage from Kaliningrad shows Ukraine’s HUR agents setting fire to a Russian substation that powered military infrastructure.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 5:31 AM

Yelabuga, Tatarstan, Russia:

Elabuga, Russia 👀 🔥

They manufacture drones that kill us here.

Please let it be a drone warehouse, please let it be a drone warehouse!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 8:51 AM

A Ukrainian A-22 “Flying Fox” drone with FAB bombs struck the Alabuga zone in Tatarstan, where Russia develops and builds Shahed-136 drones. One factory worker was killed, 13 injured. The site plays a key role in supplying attack UAVs for Russia’s war against Ukraine.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 15, 2025 at 12:52 PM

From EuroMaidan Press:

On Sunday, Ukrainian drones targeted the city of Yelabuga in Russia’s Republic of Tatarstan, according to reports from Russian Telegram channels. The outlet Baza stated that one person was killed and 13 others were injured.

Tatarstan’s regional head, Rustam Minnikhanov, confirmed the attack. He said the deceased was a factory worker, and one of the injured remains in critical condition. Debris from the downed drones reportedly struck a checkpoint building at a local car factory.

Following the impact, a fire broke out near the Aurus and Sollers automotive plant buildings, Mediazona reported. In response, Russia’s civil aviation authority, Rosaviatsiya, temporarily restricted flights at airports in Kazan, Nizhnekamsk, and Izhevsk.

More at the link

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material:

💙😻 Therapy for the soul that brings happiness!

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 4:42 PM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,027: Another Early Morning Drone SwarmPost + Comments (26)

Medium Cool – Fictional Dads Fictional Characters

by WaterGirl|  June 15, 20257:00 pm| 73 Comments

This post is in: Books, Medium Cool, Music, Open Threads, Popular Culture, TV & Movies, Culture as a Hedge Against This Soul-Sucking Political Miasma We're Living In

Medium Cool is a weekly series related to popular culture, mostly film, TV, and books, with some music and games thrown in.  We hope it’s a welcome break from the anger, hate, and idiocy we see almost daily from the other side in the political sphere.

Arguments welcomed, opinions respected, fools un-suffered.  We’re here every Sunday at 7 pm.

Auto Draft 21
To Kill A Mockingbird

If you could have a fictional character as your dad, or be a dad like a fictional character, who would you choose?

You know what, let’s not leave that gender specific – let’s go with parent so everyone can play.  And let’s widen it a bit.  Okay, a lot.  Spouse, friend, sister, brother, boss, employee.  What characters are the aspirational you or others in your life?

Books, TV, movies, opera, music – anything related to culture is fair game.

Medium Cool – <s>Fictional Dads</s> Fictional CharactersPost + Comments (73)

J R – No Kings – Orlando, FL

by WaterGirl|  June 15, 20256:55 pm| 5 Comments

This post is in: No Kings June 14, 2025, Open Threads, Political Action

Posting the pics in no particular order. ~WG

I am a long time reader / lurker on the blog. I don’t comment but have sent emails to front-pagers in the past.

Sharing some photos from the No Kings protest on Saturday 6/14 outside City Hall in Downtown Orlando, FL.

The protest started at 5 PM and was scheduled to end at 7 PM. We found a small group of people still standing outside City Hall protesting when we drove by at 9-30 PM on our way home. People wearing protest t-shirts and carrying protest signs could be seen all over downtown long after 7 PM.

People in the crowd were very nice to each other. Organization was great, water was distributed throughout – it was 91 feels like 99 during major period of the protest. We saw couple of people succumb to the heat and humidity but medics arrived immediately to take care of them each time.

When the crowds on the sidewalks grew too large, cops shut down some streets to traffic so we could use the intersection right in front of City Hall to continue protesting.

Opposition sightings – not many. One man came with a Trump Won flag and Trump was right about everything sign. As he passed through the crowd, the Fuck Trump chants grew really loud. Another man was talking about Jesus and how everyone was going to need documentation to enter heaven. No political signs or talk, sounded more like religious preaching than Trump support. All the people around him started chanting pro-democracy and anti-Trump slogans really loud to drown him out until he walked away.

All the cars driving by were honking in support. Some even were holding up their own signs out the window or sunroof. Many were smiling at the protesters, giving the peace sign or waving. During couple of previous protests at the same spot, some middle fingers were given to protesters but I did not see any middle fingers today.

All in all, compared to the two previous protests, one in January and one in April, today the size of the crowd, the energy level and the sign game were raised levels of magnitude higher.

Thanks for all the hard work by the front pagers in these perilous times!

J R – No Kings – Orlando, FLPost + Comments (5)

AM in NC – NO KINGS – Durham, NC

by WaterGirl|  June 15, 20255:00 pm| 21 Comments

This post is in: No Kings June 14, 2025, Open Threads, Political Action

Update:  I mixed up the images from another protest.  Click below for the No Kings post with the correct images from AM in NC.

AM in NC – NO KINGS – Durham, NC (with the Durham images this time!)


Here are some photos from Durham, NC.

Crowd estimates I saw put the number of people around 5,000!

It was a happy, joyful day full of solidarity and protesters of all ages.

zenmasterzeke - No Kings Petoskey MI zenmasterzeke - No Kings Petoskey MI 1 zenmasterzeke - No Kings Petoskey MI 2On The Road - Melancholy Jaques - No Kings Rally

AM in NC – NO KINGS – Durham, NCPost + Comments (21)

Father’s Day!

by WaterGirl|  June 15, 20254:15 pm| 44 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I was just reminded that it is Father’s Day.

I was chatting with my neighbor and he noticed something new in my yard and I said I had gotten it for my birthday on Friday.  His ears perked up and he asked if I like molasses cookies.  (who doesn’t?)   He said he had asked for molasses cookies for Father’s Day and he would send his daughter over later with warm cookies for me.

So, Happy Father’s Day to all you Dads out there, and to anyone out there for whom “Dad” is a happy thing.

For me it’s bittersweet, I lost my Dad 30 years ago.  I was daddy’s girl, and that never goes away, even when they are gone.

Like Everything Else, Dads Are Not All the Same

Father’s Day!Post + Comments (44)

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