• Menu
  • Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Before Header

  • About Us
  • Lexicon
  • Contact Us
  • Our Store
  • ↑
  • ↓

Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Tide comes in. Tide goes out. You can’t explain that.

Baby steps, because the Republican Party is full of angry babies.

“The defense has a certain level of trust in defendant that the government does not.”

You come for women, you’re gonna get your ass kicked.

Sadly, there is no cure for stupid.

Accountability, motherfuckers.

So it was an October Surprise A Day, like an Advent calendar but for crime.

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

We are learning that “working class” means “white” for way too many people.

The Supreme Court cannot be allowed to become the ultimate, unaccountable arbiter of everything.

Putting aside our relentless self-interest because the moral imperative is crystal clear.

They spent the last eight months firing professionals and replacing them with ideologues.

I’m starting to think Jesus may have made a mistake saving people with no questions asked.

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

Come on, man.

“But what about the lurkers?”

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

It’s a good piece. click on over. but then come back!!

One way or another, he’s a liar.

People identifying as christian while ignoring christ and his teachings is a strange thing indeed.

At some point, the ability to learn is a factor of character, not IQ.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

Compromise? There is no middle ground between a firefighter and an arsonist.

Mobile Menu

  • 4 Directions VA 2025 Raffle
  • 2025 Activism
  • Donate with Venmo, Zelle & PayPal
  • Site Feedback
  • War in Ukraine
  • Submit Photos to On the Road
  • Politics
  • On The Road
  • Open Threads
  • Topics
  • Authors
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Lexicon
  • Our Store
  • Politics
  • Open Threads
  • 2025 Activism
  • Garden Chats
  • On The Road
  • Targeted Fundraising!
Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Does It Really Matter If Some Of Trump’s Top-Tier Cabinet Nominees Go Down In Flames?

by WaterGirl|  December 6, 202410:16 am| 318 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics

Does It Matter If Some Of Trump's Top-Tier Cabinet Nominees Go Down In Flames?

Does it matter that at least one of Trump’s top-tier Cabinet nominees go down in flames?

Josh Marshall at TPM says YES, and I am happy to hear it.

So does it matter that Hesgeth goes down the tubes?

It does.

All political power is unitary. A president isn’t weak domestically but powerful on foreign policy — powerful on health care policy but hanging by a thread on interest rates. It’s all of a piece. The damage a president takes anywhere affects him or her everywhere. So having these absurd nominations go down in flames actually does matter. It’s not just the same as if Trump had nominated DeSantis or Pam Bondi in the first place.

This next paragraph is is key, and it’s a really smart take that had never occurred to me.

That brings us to a broader point. If the political opposition is most worried about what a President will do on issue X, that doesn’t mean the opposition should necessarily focus its attacks on issue X. They may ignore issue X entirely. Maybe issue X is actually popular. Maybe nobody cares about issue X. So no one will pay attention. An opposition will focus its attacks on the President’s most vulnerable points because that is where his or her power can be reduced most effectively. And all political power is unitary.

I think most of us are aware of this already, but Josh has stated it so well that it’s worth sharing,

It’s mostly a fool’s game trying to figure out just what Trump was trying to achieve nominating this group of clowns for most of the top Cabinet positions. Simple loyalty was a big factor, people who won’t flinch from doing whatever Trump says. They’re also all good on TV, or, at least, what Trump thinks is good on TV. But really it was a power play. It’s Caligula appointing his horse to the Senate. The absurdity is the point. I can do anything. Make the Republican Senate line up and approve a roster of manifestly unqualified nominees. But they’re going down one after another.

Wink wink, nudge nudge.

They’re doing it in a particular GOP senator way — all through winks and shadows, pregnant sighs. As far as I know, no Republican senator said they wouldn’t vote for Matt Gaetz, just as none has said so about Hegseth. On the pod Kate and I recorded this afternoon, we noted that if this were Biden’s or Harris’ transition, watching the top nominees go down in flames would be treated like the presidency itself was DOA. But not having a fancy Times or Politico columnist say it doesn’t make it any less so. Trump’s ability to just dictate isn’t quite panning out. And that matters.

Trump is fairly obviously trying to intimidate Republicans in office.  To Trump, making them look weak is key.  Trump wants all the power for himself.  Trump is daring Republican politicians to stand up to him, because when they don’t stand up to him on this right out of the gate, he has all the power.

The idea that all power is unitary is key, I think, to the work that’s ahead of us.  Chip away, bit by bit, everywhere we can.  We won’t win nearly as many fights as we want to, but if we weaken him each time, it will add up.

Does It Really Matter If Some Of Trump’s Top-Tier Cabinet Nominees Go Down In Flames?Post + Comments (318)

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: Keep the Pardons Coming, President Biden

by Anne Laurie|  December 6, 20245:42 am| 250 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat

STOCKPILE - Keep the Pardons Coming, President Biden

(Mike Luckovich via GoComics.com)

Oh wow it turns out maybe Joe Biden did, in fact, have a legitimate rationale for pardoning his son https://t.co/potevYoohg

— The okayest poster there is (@ok_post_guy) December 5, 2024

"Yes, absolutely. Jack Smith's name is on my (pardon) list. Liz Cheney's name is on my list. I think that they should all be preemptively pardoned."

–@RepJamesClyburn on who @POTUS should consider pardoning. pic.twitter.com/uBBCTT8t32

— Laura Coates (@thelauracoates) December 4, 2024

Needless to say, this whole mishuganah is *very* exciting for Politico — “Biden White House Is Discussing Preemptive Pardons for Those in Trump’s Crosshairs”:

… Biden’s aides are deeply concerned about a range of current and former officials who could find themselves facing inquiries and even indictments, a sense of alarm which has only accelerated since Trump last weekend announced the appointment of Kash Patel to lead the FBI. Patel has publicly vowed to pursue Trump’s critics.

The White House officials, however, are carefully weighing the extraordinary step of handing out blanket pardons to those who’ve committed no crimes, both because it could suggest impropriety, only fueling Trump’s criticisms, and because those offered preemptive pardons may reject them.

The deliberations touch on pardoning those currently in office, elected and appointed, as well as former officials who’ve angered Trump and his loyalists.

Those who could face exposure include such members of Congress’ Jan. 6 Committee as Sen.-elect Adam Schiff (D-Calif.) and former GOP Rep. Liz Cheney of Wyoming. Trump has previously said Cheney “should go to Jail along with the rest of the Unselect Committee!” Also mentioned by Biden’s aides for a pardon is Anthony Fauci, the former head of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases who became a lightning rod for criticism from the right during the Covid-19 pandemic…

At issue, to repurpose a phrase, is whether to take Trump seriously and literally when it comes to his prospective revenge tour against Democrats and others in the so-called Deep State who’ve raised his ire.

show full post on front page

The White House is facing contradictory pressures from Capitol Hill. Some longtime Democratic lawmakers, like Sen. Ed Markey (D-Mass.), have talked favorably about the precedent of former President Gerald Ford’s preemptive pardon of Richard Nixon, issued before any charges were filed against the disgraced former president.

“If it’s clear by January 19 that [revenge] is his intention, then I would recommend to President Biden that he provide those preemptive pardons to people, because that’s really what our country is going to need next year,” Markey said on WGBH last week.

Rep. Brendan Boyle (D-Penn.), a close Biden ally who hosted the president in his district shortly before the election, issued a plea Wednesday for Biden to offer blanket pardons.

“This is no hypothetical threat,” Boyle said in a statement, adding: “The time for cautious restraint is over. We must act with urgency to push back against these threats and prevent Trump from abusing his power.”

Other lawmakers, I’m told, have been just as emphatic in private with Biden’s aides in calling for preemptive pardons…

Some senior Democrats I spoke with… wonder how many of those facing retribution are adopting a version of the vote-no-hope-yes mantra that often surrounds difficult legislative votes. Which is to say: Some may publicly oppose preemptive pardons, for reasons of innocence or precedence, while privately hoping the president offers legal protection.

What has some Biden aides particularly concerned is that even the threat of retaliation could prove costly to individuals because they’d be forced to hire high-priced lawyers to defend themselves in any potential investigation.

Especially for those officials without significant means, the specter of six-figure legal bills in the coming years is unnerving. Some Biden appointees, I’m told by people facing scrutiny, are already considering taking the best-paying jobs next year in part to ensure they have the resources to defend themselves against any investigations.

Adding to Biden’s challenge in the final weeks of his presidency is the pressure he’s also feeling from Democrats who want him to offer the same generous clemency to those less privileged that he handed his son.

House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) invoked Hunter Biden’s pardon this week in calling on the president to, on a case-by-case basis, spare “the working-class Americans in the federal prison system whose lives have been ruined by unjustly aggressive prosecutions for nonviolent offenses.”

Mark Milley, Adam Schiff, Nancy Pelosi, Fani Willis, Jack Smith, Letitia James, Hillary Clinton, Barack Obama, Liz Cheney, Judge Arthur Engoron, Stephanie Grisham, Olivia Troye, himself….

[image or embed]

— Gary Farber (@garyfarber.bsky.social) December 2, 2024 at 1:05 PM

They're already assumed to be guilty by Donald and his cult. The rest of us know the pardons would be solely preventative. Just effing do it.

[image or embed]

— Bob Cesca (@bobcesca.bsky.social) December 4, 2024 at 6:07 PM

Wild that Biden’s pardon of his son reached back in time to enable, nay, to *force* Trump to pardon his son in law’s dad and Joe Arpaio and Eddie Gallagher. Hell, Biden pardoning Hunter probably somehow caused January 6 too.

[image or embed]

— The Fig Economy (@figgityfigs.bsky.social) December 2, 2024 at 12:59 PM

it’s the same shitshow over and over again, trump runs amok setting everything he can’t steal on fire while the nation’s punditry wants to hand a ticket to any democrat they can find jaywalking

[image or embed]

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) December 2, 2024 at 6:55 PM

STOCKPILE - Keep the Pardons Coming, President Biden 1

(Jack Ohman via GoComics.com)

It's almost as though the GIGANTIC lie about Project 2025 has disappeared into the ether.

It's not even a li'l oopsie-doodle—there's NOTHING in re: his blatantly lying abt it to such an extent during the campaign that *factcheckers* chided the Harris campaign for warning voters. https://t.co/QDucryIGli

— Cullen Martin (@CulRMartin) December 3, 2024

*you* will use the Hunter Biden pardon to provide cover for Trump. And when you do that will be 100% *your* choice, and a very deliberate one to curry favor and access in Trump world just like everyone should expect from the worthless political press at the Times https://t.co/sJmdrl2Tn2

— The okayest poster there is (@ok_post_guy) December 2, 2024

Rep. Dan Meuser just now: "This is nonsense. Nobody is gonna be going after Liz Cheney."

Trump in July: *calls for Liz Cheney to be tried for treason during a televised military tribunal* (https://t.co/pMYJJXRlDT) pic.twitter.com/o4fMuv0hs2

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) December 5, 2024

If Biden really gives pardons to anti-Trump people simply so they can avoid illegitimate prosecution it means that at the highest level of American intelligence and policy that there is a strong belief that Trump will lead a fascist and constitutionally destructive government

— 🥥🍦Centrist Madness🍦🥥 (@CentristMadness) December 5, 2024

STOCKPILE - Keep the Pardons Coming, President Biden 2

(Lalo Alcaraz via GoComics.com)

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: Keep the Pardons Coming, President BidenPost + Comments (250)

SOLIDARITY FOREVER FOR THE UNION MAKES US STRONG!

by Soonergrunt|  December 5, 20248:18 pm| 52 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Activism, Open Threads, Unions and Labor

So we’re negotiating our Collective Bargaining Agreement with the agency.
The rhythm is Tuesdays we flip a coin to decide which party’s team leads, submitting contract articles and explaining, and the other party’s team responds with our articles and explanation. Then we question each other, and then begin to build an article both sides can agree to.
On Thursdays, the lead is reversed.
It’s about as fun as it sounds.
Some articles are boilerplate. This is the Bargaining Unit. This is the management. This is the union. These are the rights and responsibilities of all the parties.
Those things are restatements of statutory language and prior practices. They gotta be in there, and for the most part everyone on both sides agrees to the substance.
Now we’re into the nitty gritty this week.
How is the contract enforced, how does the union operate within the context of the agency’s mission? Who is responsible for what things, and why?
We spent all day Tuesday this week arguing about the meaning of the word “shall” and where it belonged in one particular sentence. Today we covered a lot of ground until we got to the article the agency submitted that would render the union impotent with the stroke of a pen.
Yeah. Not adopting that one. We’re going to be arguing that one again on Tuesday next. We submitted our proposal, which doesn’t read anything like their proposal and we’ll see what they say.

The agency reps, from the Labor Relations team, are not bad or evil people. They’re trying to get the best deal they can for the agency and protect the agency’s perogatives. I try very hard for myself and my team to not let this become personal, while we are trying very hard to secure our Employees’ rights.

Please also consider this an open thread.

SOLIDARITY FOREVER FOR THE UNION MAKES US STRONG!Post + Comments (52)

War for Ukraine Day 1,016: A Brief Thursday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  December 5, 20246:13 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A quick housekeeping update: my sinuses are kicking my dupa. So, tonight’s update is going to just be the basics so I can go Navage (for the nose), take a hot shower, get horizontal, and watch rugby until I fall asleep.

Today marks the 30th anniversary of the most useless waste of paper in human history: the Budapest Memorandum.

I hope no one ever follows Ukraine’s steps and disarms in exchange for promises of acceptance and security. It only leads to disdain, dismissal, and death.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 1:43 PM

Here’s the butcher’s bill from yesterday:

⚡️ Russian attacks across Ukraine kill 2, injure 6 over past day.

Russian attacks over the past day killed at least two people and injured six others across Ukraine, regional authorities reported on Dec. 5.

[image or embed]

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) December 5, 2024 at 4:26 AM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Editor’s note: The article was updated with casualties from Kherson Oblast.

Russian attacks over the past day killed at least four people and injured 16 others across Ukraine, regional authorities reported on Dec. 5.

Ukraine’s Air Force intercepted 30 of 44 Russian drones launched overnight. Russia also fired two Iskander-M ballistic missiles during the assault, the Air Force reported.

In Kharkiv Oblast, a Russian strike hit a residential area, killing a 40-year-old man. His mother and another woman suffered acute stress reactions. In Kupiansk, a drone strike wounded a 65-year-old man, who was hospitalized, Kharkiv Oblast Governor Oleh Syniehubov said.

In Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Russian attacks killed an 88-year-old woman and injured a 64-year-old man. According to the Office of the Prosecutor General, the attack also damaged private homes and vehicles.

In Donetsk Oblast, Russian forces wounded four residents—three in Kostiantynivka and one in Shevchenkove, Governor Vadym Filashkin said.

Russian attacks against Kherson Oblast killed two people and injured 10 over the past day, Governor Oleksandr Prokudin reported.

Ukraine’s Air Force and Defense Forces intercepted drones targeting Kyiv, Kharkiv, Poltava, Sumy, Chernihiv, Cherkasy, Kirovohrad, Zhytomyr, Vinnytsia, Khmelnytskyi, and Odesa oblasts, where no casualties were reported.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

A Mere Signature by Any State or Any Assurances or Promises Are Not Enough for Security; What’s Needed Are Effective Guarantees – Address by the President

5 December 2024 – 19:17

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Lots of events today. The decision to impose sanctions on those in Georgia who are steering the country toward Russia. It is important that the same principled decisions are also made by our partners in the world – by Europeans, Americans, and generally by everyone who values the independence of nations and the rule of law. Selling out Georgia’s interests to Putin will not do Ivanishvili any good.

Second, my gratitude goes out to volunteers – every individual in Ukraine helping the army and everyone worldwide who stands with Ukraine. Today, I honored representatives of the volunteer community with the “Golden Heart” – a special award from the President of Ukraine.

Third, I spoke with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. We discussed supplies for our warriors, focusing on the pace and volume of deliveries. We are coordinating our positions to end the war sooner and ensure lasting peace.

And one more thing – a thing that was of great significance when it was signed, but today does not even deserve many words. Today marks thirty years of the Budapest Memorandum. Ten years of war. Not a single day did this document work. And because of this, everyone in the world will now know that a mere signature – by any state – or any assurances or promises are not enough for security. What’s needed are effective guarantees – real alliances and a realistic security foundation within the country. Weapons that enable defense and deterrence of the enemy. And unity that helps endure even the most challenging moments. We are working on every element of security. Thank you to everyone who is helping, and to all our people making it possible!

Glory to Ukraine!

This is why we cant just give up and freeze the war

[image or embed]

— Sofia (@sofiaukraini.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 9:58 AM

The cost:

Oh god,

I was just driving by our city cemetery in Bucha, and I saw this.

The loved ones of this fallen soldier installed a small Christmas tree with electric lights by his grave.

God I hate this war, it is just physically painful to see such sad things.

[image or embed]

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 9:21 AM

Georgia:

Fearless and fabulous in #Georgia!💋

[image or embed]

— Sofia (@sofiaukraini.bsky.social) December 3, 2024 at 11:03 AM

🗣️”I am here with all these people because we all want the same thing – a free country. If you hear us, we would really use your support because every tiny drop in our water is huge for us,” Mariam from the #GeorgiaProtests – Why People in #Georgia Are Taking to the Streets

[image or embed]

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) December 4, 2024 at 4:05 PM

🗣️”I think it is very clear: we don’t want to live in Russia – a country where we can’t express our emotions freely. So, we must stand here today, tomorrow, and every day till we get our freedom back,” Ani from #GeorgiaProtest: Why People in Georgia Are Taking to the Streets

[image or embed]

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) December 5, 2024 at 4:57 PM

🗣️”Our country is occupied by Russia and our pro-Russian govt stopped having conversations with Europe; they want us to be under Russia’s influence. We need the world’s support, especially Europe’s – please don’t give up on us,” Tako, #GeorgiaProtests: Why People in Georgia Are Taking to the Streets

[image or embed]

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) December 5, 2024 at 3:31 PM

The firework beauty is back. However, it does not seem like the police are triggered by it this time. God knows whether it’s a tiring out strategy, or inability to proceed with crackdowns these last two days – there are various rumors of internal cracks. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 4:24 PM

📷 Tabula Media

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 4:25 PM

🇬🇪Georgian protesters burn Russian flag. www.facebook.com/watch/?v=428…

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 5:28 AM

This is how one of the opposition leaders Aleko Elisashvili was taken into the detention center – healthy, walking. He is hospitalized now, heavily beaten, with most likely a broken rib. Detention car beatings, now prison beatings. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 4:02 PM

Popular show-woman Ruska Makashvili leaves top regime propaganda media Imedi TV, says “everything has its limits! Enough with these lies!”
Reportedly, morning and afternoon shows also have a trouble.
#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 3:25 PM

Sorry, correction: morning and afternoon shows at Rustavi 2, another propaganda media.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 3:28 PM

I spoke to CNN International that the EU halt was just a trigger in the broader frustration with the illegitimate regime that stole the October elections; that we demand new, free and fair elections under international administration, and that this is our independence struggle. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 2:55 PM

Clashes in Kutaisi resulted in the loss of consciousness of a 14-year-old, who was later detained. #GeorgiaProtests
📷 Imereti Press

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Aleksandre Keshelashvili, a journalist at @Publika_ge, recalls that the police responded he had to be brutally beaten “precisely because he was a journalist.”
#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 10:29 AM

“In 2025, over 30,000 DeepStrike UAVs will bolster Ukraine’s defenders, some funded by international partners. These advanced drones operate autonomously over long ranges, delivering precise strikes on enemy targets.” Umerov stated.
t.me/c/1650479418…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 10:55 AM

Donetsk Oblast:

Ukrainian troops have driven Russian units out of Novyi Komar village in Donetsk Oblast; At least six Ukrainian mayors and community heads remain in Russian captivity; and more.

[image or embed]

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) December 5, 2024 at 3:47 PM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Ukrainian troops have driven Russian units out of Novyi Komar village in Donetsk Oblast, Nazar Voloshyn, the spokesperson for the Khortytsia group of forces, told Suspilne media on Dec. 5.

Novyi Komar, a village with a pre-war population of less than 500 people, is located about 50 kilometers (31 miles) west of the Russian-occupied town of Vuhledar.

“The enemy was driven out of there,” Voloshyn said. “The village of Novyi Komar is under the control of the (Ukrainian) Defense Forces.”

A day before, crowd-sourced monitoring website DeepState reported that soldiers of the 48th Separate Assault Battalion regained control of the village. Russian forces suffered heavy losses, and some Russian soldiers fled to the highway near the village, according to DeepState.

At the same time, Ukraine’s counteroffensive actions are not as significant as Russia’s ongoing assaults in the country’s east. Russia captured 234.79 square kilometers (90 square miles) in one week in mid-November, which is the highest number in 2024, according to the independent Russian outlet Agentstvo.

Ukrainian officials have also increasingly raised concerns about a possible new Russian push in Zaporizhzhia Oblast in the south, just as Russian forces continue to advance in the east, focusing their efforts near Pokrovsk and Kurakhove in Donetsk Oblast.

Russia’s advance has picked up pace over the past months as Ukraine’s military struggles to replenish its ranks, and Western arms are not flowing in as fast as Kyiv has hoped.

Fighters of the RUbPAK “VYRIY,” 241st Brigade of Territorial Defense worked on the Russians, in the village of Novyi Komar.
t.me/c/1469021333…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 7:34 AM

💪Russians were driven out of Novyi Komar, north of Velyka Novosilka. DeepState analysts reported that the 48th Separate Mechanized Brigade drove the enemy out, suffering heavy losses and capturing enemy marines.
t.me/c/1154166453…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 6:43 AM

Also, Donetsk Oblast:

Some nice news amongst the chaos. Volunteers delivered food, gifts for children and served hot meals to residents of Donetsk region❤️

[image or embed]

— Sofia (@sofiaukraini.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 7:28 AM

The Dnipro:

With attention focused on Moscow’s grinding advances in Donbas, and Ukraine’s efforts to hold onto Russian territory in Kursk Oblast, one area of the front lines continues to see daily battles but little coverage.

[image or embed]

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) December 5, 2024 at 3:32 PM

Here are the details from The Kyiv Independent:

With attention focused on Moscow’s grinding advances in Donbas, and Ukraine’s efforts to hold onto Russian territory in Kursk Oblast, one area of the front lines continues to see daily battles but little coverage.

Ukrainian and Russian forces are locked in an ongoing fight over a series of small islands in the Dnipro River, control of which would allow Moscow’s forces to intensify attacks on the embattled city of Kherson in southern Ukraine.

“Local clashes take place (for the Dnipro islands) every day,” Viktor Kevliuk, a retired military officer and defense expert, told the Kyiv Independent.

“The enemy is fighting for the islands with the 61st Marine Brigade of the Northern Fleet — Ukrainian marines are countering them.”

Kevliuk adds that neither side is fully in control of the islands, though he says Ukraine “has the advantage” in an ongoing fight which sees both sides trading intense artillery fire and drone attacks.

“In the context of all combat clashes (along the front line), the southern direction is relatively the calmest, but only when compared to other situations along the battle line,” he said.

But on Dec. 4, Kherson Oblast Governor Oleksandr Prokudin told the Financial Times that Russia “wants to launch another offensive” in the direction of Kherson, and had assembled “300 boats to cross the river,” suggesting this relatively quiet part of the front line may be about to heat up.

“Controlling the Dnipro islands means controlling the Dnipro River and its coastline,” Serhiy Bratchuk, spokesman for the “South” unit of the Ukrainian Volunteer Army, a volunteer military formation, told Ukrainian Radio last month.

In the fall of 2022, a Ukrainian counteroffensive succeeded in pushing Russian forces out of the city of Kherson, and other regional settlements on the west bank of the Dnipro River.

Since then, Russian and Ukrainian positions have been largely separated by the wide, swampy river dotted by numerous small islands.

Vladyslav Voloshyn, spokesperson for the Southern Defense Forces, said on Nov. 28 that Russian forces are constantly trying to gain footholds on and around the Dnipro islands.

“(Russian troops) are doing this to seize bridgeheads on the west bank and draw some of our forces and resources there, just as we did in Krynky,” he said.

The day before, Voloshyn also said Russian troops were massing on the Tendra and Kinburn spits, in an effort to control the mouth of the Dnipro.

Voloshyn said Ukrainian forces maintained fire control over positions in the area, and were continuing to fend off the Russian attacks, a view shared by experts who spoke to the Kyiv Independent.

“(Russian forces) are trying to storm with small forces to constrain Ukraine’s reserves, forcing Ukrainian troops to use artillery shells. In this way, Russia aims to weaken our defensive line,” Dmytro Zhmailo, a military expert and executive director of the Ukrainian Security and Cooperation Center, told the Kyiv Independent.

“However, since our artillery and FPV drones are actively operating in this region, the front line along the Dnipro is more secure. Therefore, these provocation operations will be costly for the Russians,” he added.

Zhmailo said another objective for Moscow’s troops was to maintain pressure along as much of the front line as possible to stretch Ukrainian forces.

“Through these actions, Russia also seeks to prevent Ukrainian forces from reinforcing Kursk, Kurakhove, and other key areas where the enemy is advancing,” he said.

But Prokudin’s comments on Dec. 4 suggest Russian forces are about to increase pressure in the area.

Voloshyn, also speaking on Dec. 4, said Russia is now training assault groups in occupied territories of Zaporizhzhia and Kherson oblasts, citing Ukraine’s intelligence data, adding Moscow’s troops are practising how to cross water obstacles and transfer landing groups.

Speaking to Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL), he reassured that there “has not been a single successful attempt at this assault or enemy crossing in a month.”

“The Ukrainian Defense Forces are now reliably defending the city of Kherson and Kherson Oblast, and the entire west bank,” he added.

More at the link, including pictures and maps.

Kyiv:

The main Christmas tree of Kyiv is about to kick-start the holiday season tomorrow.

The third Christmas of the full-scale war when we have rather humble trees and no celebrations in the historical part of Kyiv.

[image or embed]

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 9:52 AM

The Kursk cross border offensive:

FPV strike on Russian assault group on UAZ Bukhanka which was trying to attack Ukrainian positions in the Kursk region.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 1:41 PM

Kharkiv:

The Bulsae-4, a modern North Korean long-range self-propelled anti-tank missile system, was destroyed by an FPV drone. The video showcases the work of the “Vitrolom” crew on the Kharkiv front.
t.me/BBS3AB/412

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) December 5, 2024 at 11:57 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos posted tonight. I think this is the next episode of Patron’s official animated series that I have not posted here yet.

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,016: A Brief Thursday Night UpdatePost + Comments (13)

Excellent Read: I Admire Rep. McBride’s Self-Possession

by Anne Laurie|  December 5, 20246:05 pm| 34 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Justice, LGBTQ Rights Are Human Rights

Montana legislators rejected an attempt to ban Zooey Zephyr, a transgender member of the state House of Representatives, from using the women's restroom at the state Capitol, with some Republicans joining Democrats in opposing the measure reut.rs/4g94EGu

[image or embed]

— Reuters (@reuters.com) December 3, 2024 at 11:43 PM

Revanchist laws get dragged up to the Supreme Court when their arguments have already been lost. Loving v. Virginia was decided after To Kill A Mockingbird had become a bestseller, won a Pulitzer, and been made into a hit film. Obergefell v. Hodges came after 36 states had legalized same-sex marriage. Even the vile Dobbs v. Jackson ruling, culmination of a 50-year crusade against womens’ autonomy, has hardly been the success its promulgators expected.

Too many people will suffer, and sometimes die, because it makes powerful bigots nervous that other people might make choices which the bigots hate and fear. But it’s not as though even the most news-averse voter hasn’t seen transgender actors, models, and fellow citizens on their televisions and in their neighborhoods. I can only hope this upsets the bigots badly enough to shorten their public lives.

From the New Yorker, “Sarah McBride Wasn’t Looking for a Fight on Trans Rights”:

Not long after the November election, new members of Congress gather for a couple of weeks of orientation. Consistent with that tradition, Sarah McBride, a Delaware Democrat, made the short trip from Wilmington to D.C. to meet with her fellow first-termers. At a hotel in the capital, she learned about the lottery for office space, how to assemble a staff, and the intricacies of the legislative process. As the first transgender member of Congress in history, she also experienced an orientation in naked aggression. Within days of her arrival, Nancy Mace, a Republican from South Carolina, introduced a resolution that would restrict access to all “single-sex facilities” on Capitol Hill to those of the “corresponding biological sex.” In other words, Mace sought a bathroom bill—and made clear that she “absolutely” intended it as a reaction to McBride…

McBride was born in Wilmington; her father was a lawyer and her mother a high-school guidance counselor. At American University, she was active in Democratic politics and worked on Beau Biden’s campaign for Delaware attorney general. In her senior year, she served as student-body president, and ended her term by publishing a moving coming-out article for the Eagle, the A.U. paper, called “The Real Me.”

McBride had been hesitant to acknowledge her trans identity, she explained, because that might prevent her from pursuing a career in politics. “I wrestled with the idea that my dream and my identity seemed mutually exclusive; I had to pick,” she wrote. In the end, she realized that she would have to embrace both: “My life was passing me by, and I was done wasting it as someone I wasn’t.”

In 2020, McBride was elected to the Delaware State Senate. And this November she was elected to the United States House. At the start of our conversation, which has been edited for length and clarity, she seemed determined to keep her cool, despite the insult she had just suffered. “I think in many ways I got a fuller orientation this week, where I actually got to see not just the nuts and bolts of Congress,” she said drily, “but also some of the performance of Congress, too.”

When I was watching this play out on television, reading about it, in the past week or two, I looked up how the first Black member of Congress was received, Hiram Revels. This is in the nineteenth century. He was treated with a great deal more respect than you were. I understand your desire to be poised about this, and straightforward, and to move the issues to the issues you ran on. But I wonder what your emotional reaction was to what you could only have taken as an enormous gesture of deep disrespect.

Look, I’m human, and it never feels good to be used as an opportunity to get headlines. It never feels good to have people talk about deeply personal things. I think I knew what I was signing up for, though; I know what the Republican Party in this country, in Congress, has become.

Which is what?

A party that is more interested in performance art and being professional provocateurs than being serious legislators and a serious governing party. I think they have come to the conclusion that they are able to get enough votes if they occasionally throw red meat to folks, because that red meat might satiate what is an authentic crisis of hope that I think people across this country face right now.

I think we have to be crystal clear in calling them out on what they are doing, and pull the curtain back to really dull the effect that these manufactured culture wars have on the American voter. Some people do receive this red meat, and it resonates with them—it makes them feel better, but it doesn’t actually address the real pain in their lives. And I think we should be calling that out and obviously modelling an approach to governing that genuinely solves the real problems that people are facing that create a level of insecurity and fear that allows for culture wars to satiate at least something instantaneously.

show full post on front page

But I truly believe that if we solve problems, if we are serious, people respond. I’ve seen that in Delaware as we have passed paid leave, raised the minimum wage. Voters here in Delaware are sort of bucking this national trend. We’ve expanded our majorities both in 2022 and 2024 in the Delaware General Assembly, I believe, as a byproduct of a record of results that voters are responding to, and a message focussed on kitchen-table issues and economic issues. And it’s allowed us to not only expand our majorities but to break through the culture wars that the Republican Party has pursued. Because we’re in Delaware, in the Philadelphia media market—we are getting those anti-trans Trump ads pumped into our state like we were in Pennsylvania. And yet, despite that, running on a message of paid leave, higher minimum wage, union protections, a trans candidate not only won here in Delaware but actually outperformed every major Democrat running for major office in Delaware statewide.

And yet the notorious ads that ended with “Kamala Harris is for they/them, President Trump is for you”—ads that were oriented around anti-trans sentiment—not only did they occur, they worked. Certainly, they worked in the interpretation of not only the Republicans but the press at large. They ran them over and over again and poured millions of dollars into them.

So, first off, I think there are two things. One, this country is still entering into a conversation about trans people. This country still is at a Trans 101 spot. And one of the things I think Democrats have to be more mindful of is that leaders should always be out in front of public opinion, but, in order to foster change in public opinion, we’ve got to be within arm’s distance of the public so that we can pull them along with us. If we get too out ahead of it, we lose our grip and we’re unable to pull the public with us…

But I actually want to say something on those ads, because you did say the key sentence in that ad. It wasn’t the surgery point, it wasn’t the undocumented-immigrant point, it wasn’t the trans point, it was the concept in that line that Kamala Harris, according to the ad, was for a small group of people, and Donald Trump was there for “you.” The lesson of this moment, of this last week, is that we should be flipping that script. Because that’s the authentic thing—Kamala Harris was for everyone. And Democrats are for everyone. And every single time Republicans focus in on a small vulnerable group of people, not only are they trying to distract from the fact that they have no real solutions—not only are they trying to employ the politics of misdirection, to move your attention away from the fact that in that same moment they’re trying to pick the pocket of American workers, undermine union protections, and fleece seniors by privatizing Medicare through the back door—but every bit of time and energy that is diverted to attack trans people, that diverts the attention of the federal government away toward attacking trans people, is time and energy that is not being spent on you. It’s time and attention that’s not being spent on raising your wages or improving your benefits or lowering the cost of living. These attacks have costs. Republicans are focussed on attacking a small group of people, and we are here to actually address the issues that you care about…

We began our conversation with you talking about how moved you were to be in the halls of Congress for the first time as a soon-to-be member, and seeing and sensing all that had happened in progressive terms, in liberatory terms, over time and in previous centuries. My guess is that this is not going to characterize the next two years for you in Congress. The Democratic Party, in large measure, will be fighting a rear-guard action against all kinds of initiatives by a Trump Presidency in a Republican Congress. How do you anticipate the coming next two years? What kind of role will the Democrats and you play? What will be your day-to-day life, do you think?

Well, there’s no question that we’ve got our work cut out for us. There’s no question that we’re going to have to push back on a lot of damaging and dangerous policies.

But, look, I think the biggest challenge for us is not that we understand that there’s a fight. And we will do the work. The challenge is going to be to summon the hope necessary to see that fight through. I think that one of the challenges that we have in this country right now, particularly for Democrats, is that, really since the nineteen-sixties, it has felt like if we simply work for it, if we vote for it, if we volunteer, if we share our stories, if we lift our voices, that we can then inevitably bend the arc of the moral universe toward justice. And we felt that, I think particularly, in 2008 and when we elected Barack Obama, and then A.C.A. passed, and marriage equality became a law of the land. It just felt like there was this sort of unfolding sense of great progress.

It feels different right now. It doesn’t feel like, if we simply work for it and fight for it, that change will come, that things will work out. We can’t see the light at the end of the tunnel. But the other thing that I thought about, as I sat in that chair on the floor of the House, was about not only the elected officials that served there but all of the advocates and activists and citizens who lived through those different chapters in our country’s history. We have to recognize that that sense of inevitability with hard work that we felt twenty years ago, thirty years ago—that’s the exception in our country’s history. Every single previous generation of Americans has been called to conquer odds much greater than the ones that we’re facing right now. And they had every reason to believe that change would not come. They could not see the light at the end of the tunnel. Enslaved people in the eighteen-fifties had no reason to believe that an Emancipation Proclamation was on the horizon. Unemployed workers during the early days of the Great Depression had never heard of a New Deal. Patrons at the Stonewall Inn never knew of a country where they could live openly and authentically as themselves. And yet they persevered. They summoned their hope, they found that light, and ultimately they changed the world…

Hope is not always an organic emotion. Sometimes we have to consciously find it and consciously summon it. And, yes, there are big challenges right now. Maybe those challenges are insurmountable. Maybe we will be, because of social media, incapable of restoring our capacity to have a national dialogue. Maybe because of the culture that we live in right now, we will no longer be able to have conversations across disagreement. Maybe because of unchecked wealth and corporate power, we won’t be able to conquer climate change. The list goes on. Maybe. But we would be the first generation of Americans to give up on this country, and we would be the first generation of Americans who were unable to find the path forward. And I just don’t believe that we are. And I certainly believe that we don’t have to be.

Excellent Read: I Admire Rep. McBride’s Self-PossessionPost + Comments (34)

FINAL CHECK: Find Your Guys in 2025 Pets of Balloon Juice Calendar B!

by WaterGirl|  December 5, 20245:53 pm| 39 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Please check Calendar B for your pets!


This is the preview of the design for 2025 Pets of Balloon Juice Calendar B.

Please browse through the calendars to find your guys.  All of your pets should be in a single calendar – either A or B.  Let me know if they’re not.

Please check for your pets and make sure that all your pets are there, that the names are right, that we have the right name with the right pet, and that there’s a heart if there should be one, and no heart if there shouldn’t be one.

Clicking on an image opens the image so you can see it more easily.  Use the back arrow to get back to the full post.

YOU DEFINITELY WANT TO CHECK BEFORE YOU BUY, BECAUSE ONCE YOU HAVE PLACED THE ORDER, WE CAN’T FIX ANY ISSUES YOU FIND LATER.  Well, we can fix them even then, but then you’d have to buy another calendar in order to get the fixed version.

The calendar itself is very high resolution.

show full post on front page

Calendar B:

JANUARY

FEBRUARY

MARCH

APRIL

MAY

JUNE

JULY

AUGUST

SEPTEMBER

OCTOBER

NOVEMBER

DECEMBER

All feedback on the calendar is welcome!

We posted Calendar A available earlier this evening.

We didn’t quite meet our December 1 goal as the first date to order calendars.  :-(

FINAL CHECK: Find Your Guys in 2025 Pets of Balloon Juice Calendar B!Post + Comments (39)

FINAL CHECK: Find Your Guys in 2025 Pets of Balloon Juice Calendar A!

by WaterGirl|  December 5, 20245:46 pm| 35 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

 All corrections have been made (we think!) so please check for Calendar A pets one last time!


This is the FINAL preview of the design for 2025 Pets of Balloon Juice Calendar A.

Please browse through the calendars to find your guys.  All of your pets should be in a single calendar – either A or B.  Let me know if they’re not.

Please check for your pets and make sure that all your pets are there, that the names are right, that we have the right name with the right pet, and that there’s a heart if there should be one, and no heart if there shouldn’t be one.

Clicking on an image opens the image so you can see it more easily.  Use the back arrow to get back to the full post.

YOU DEFINITELY WANT TO CHECK BEFORE YOU BUY, BECAUSE ONCE YOU HAVE PLACED THE ORDER, WE CAN’T FIX ANY ISSUES YOU FIND LATER.  Well, we can fix them even then, but then you’d have to buy another calendar in order to get the fixed version.

The calendar itself is very high resolution.

show full post on front page

Here’s are the covers for Calendar A:  (you will be able to choose when you order)

Pet Calendar Update

 

JANUARY

FEBRUARY

MARCH

APRIL

MAY

JUNE

JULY

AUGUST

SEPTEMBER

OCTOBER

NOVEMBER

DECEMBER

All feedback on the calendar is welcome!

We hope/plan to have Calendar B available for review later this evening.

We didn’t quite meet our December 1 goal as the first date to order calendars.  :-(  But we’re close.  Beth had food poisoning (salmonella) and was down for the count for the better part of 5 days, so all things considered, I think we’re doing pretty good!

FINAL CHECK: Find Your Guys in 2025 Pets of Balloon Juice Calendar A!Post + Comments (35)

  • « Go to Previous Page
  • Page 1
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Page 300
  • Page 301
  • Page 302
  • Page 303
  • Page 304
  • Interim pages omitted …
  • Page 5296
  • Go to Next Page »

Primary Sidebar

Tuesday Night Open Thread 4
Image by John Cole (11/13/25)

Recent Comments

  • Baud on TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: We All Need Something To Hold On To (Nov 14, 2025 @ 6:34am)
  • montanareddog on TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: We All Need Something To Hold On To (Nov 14, 2025 @ 6:34am)
  • Tony Jay on TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: We All Need Something To Hold On To (Nov 14, 2025 @ 6:31am)
  • Baud on TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: We All Need Something To Hold On To (Nov 14, 2025 @ 6:19am)
  • Baud on TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: We All Need Something To Hold On To (Nov 14, 2025 @ 6:11am)

Balloon Juice Posts

View by Topic
View by Author
View by Month & Year
View by Past Author

Featuring

Medium Cool
Artists in Our Midst
Authors in Our Midst
On Artificial Intelligence (7-part series)

🎈Keep Balloon Juice Ad Free

Become a Balloon Juice Patreon
Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

Calling All Jackals

Site Feedback
Nominate a Rotating Tag
Submit Photos to On the Road
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Links)
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Posts)
Fix Nyms with Apostrophes

Balloon Juice Mailing List Signup

Social Media

Balloon Juice
WaterGirl
TaMara
John Cole
DougJ (aka NYT Pitchbot)
Betty Cracker
Tom Levenson
David Anderson
Major Major Major Major
DougJ NYT Pitchbot
mistermix
Rose Judson (podcast)

Site Footer

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

  • Facebook
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • Comment Policy
  • Our Authors
  • Blogroll
  • Our Artists
  • Privacy Policy

Copyright © 2025 Dev Balloon Juice · All Rights Reserved · Powered by BizBudding Inc