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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

… pundit janitors mopping up after the gop

GOP baffled that ‘we don’t care if you die’ is not a winning slogan.

The way to stop violence is to stop manufacturing the hatred that fuels it.

Giving in to doom is how authoritarians win.

Proof that we need a blogger ethics panel.

We are learning that “working class” means “white” for way too many people.

A sufficient plurality of insane, greedy people can tank any democratic system ever devised, apparently.

Conservatism: there are people the law protects but does not bind and others who the law binds but does not protect.

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

One way or another, he’s a liar.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

This blog will pay for itself.

Stand up, dammit!

I don’t recall signing up for living in a dystopian sci-fi novel.

Nancy smash is sick of your bullshit.

Not loving this new fraud based economy.

Find someone who loves you the way trump and maga love traitors.

There is no right way to do the wrong thing.

The snowflake in chief appeared visibly frustrated when questioned by a reporter about egg prices.

Trumpflation is an intolerable hardship for every American, and it’s Trump’s fault.

There are more Russians standing up to Putin than Republicans.

The real work of an opposition party is to oppose.

You can’t attract Republican voters. You can only out organize them.

When do we start airlifting the women and children out of Texas?

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

An Anti-Trust Ruling for a World Without Trust

by Rose Judson|  November 21, 20241:59 pm| 30 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Tech News & Issues

Some news on the Google front: while the U.S. vs. Google Ads case has yet to be ruled on, there’s been some developments in the U.S. vs. Google Search case. Via the BBC:

“The US Department of Justice (DOJ) has demanded Google sells Chrome, the world’s most popular web browser.

It is one of a series of remedies proposed by the DOJ in a court filing late on Wednesday aimed at stopping the tech giant from maintaining its monopoly in online search.

Government lawyers also recommended that District Judge Amit Mehta force the firm to stop entering into contracts with companies – including Apple and Samsung – that make its search engine the default on many smartphones and browsers.

The proposed remedies stem from a landmark anti-competition ruling in August, in which Judge Mehta found Google illegally crushed its competition in online search.”

This was kind of the expected outcome of that ruling. Obviously, Google will appeal – that’s a given. But now that there’s to be a change in administration come January, it’s difficult not to wonder whether Judge Mehta’s proposed remedies will quietly dissipate into the ether under a, uh, more business-friendly DOJ.

The short answer is: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

The longer answer is in that BBC article above. Quote below the jump [bolding is mine]:

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“The DOJ case against Google was filed in the closing months of the first administration of Donald Trump.

With the President-elect set to return to the White House on 20 January, questions have been raised about whether his new administration would take a different approach to the case.

‘It would be odd for the second Trump administration to back off a lawsuit that they filed themselves,’ said Rebecca Allensworth, associate dean for research and anti-trust professor at Vanderbilt Law School.

Even if Trump sought to stop the case from proceeding, which Prof Allensworth said is unlikely, the states listed as plaintiffs could proceed on their own.

‘So, given that, they can’t make it go away,’ she said. ‘I think that the federal government will stay on it but just how hard they’ll push and what they’ll ask for, I think, is really uncertain.'”

It would be odd! But when has that ever stopped the rolling kakistocracy from taking a chance, Professor Allensworth?

The ruling in the Google Ads case, BTW, is due in January sometime. I’ll try to get back on the ball here for y’all.

Open thread.

An Anti-Trust Ruling for a World Without TrustPost + Comments (30)

Predator Update

by @heymistermix.com|  November 21, 202411:18 am| 229 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Amid all the noise from Nancy Mace about trans folk in the bathroom, some people might not have noticed the latest about Trump’s stellar cabinet picks.

First, more details were released about the accusations against Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of Defense nominee.  Basically, it sounds like he (allegedly) spiked a woman’s drink and raped her at a Republican women’s event.

Second, RFK Jr’s ex-babysitter (for his kids) shared the details of how the then 46-year-old groped and harassed the then 23-year-old.

Nothing new about Matt “Venmo” Gaetz that I’ve heard today, but it’s still early.

Anyway, if you want the science on who’s really at risk in bathrooms when trans folks are there, it’s mainly the trans folks who are the victims. Also, the overwhelming majority of child sexual abuse is committed by family and close acquaintances.

All accusations are projections from these people.

Edit:  Betty reminds us in the comments that Linda McMahon is named in a lawsuit by former “ring boys” in the WWE who alleged sexual abuse by a predator  (not Linda or Vince) when Vince and Linda ran WWE.

Edit2:  I guess the Venmo update is that Gaetz is out:

I had excellent meetings with senators yesterday. I appreciate their thoughtful feedback – and the incredible support of so many. While the momentum was strong, it is clear that my confirmation was unfairly becoming a distraction to the critical work of the Trump/Vance Transition.

There is no time to waste on a needlessly protracted Washington scuffle, thus I’ll be withdrawing my name from consideration to serve as attorney general. Trump’s DOJ must be in place and ready on Day 1. I remain fully committed to see that Donald J. Trump is the most successful President in history. I will forever be honored that President Trump nominated me to lead the Department of Justice and I’m certain he will Save America.

Note that Vance is the person who took Gaetz to meet Senators, so another win for JD, too.

Predator UpdatePost + Comments (229)

Substacks and Such

by @heymistermix.com|  November 21, 202410:14 am| 104 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

As part of my media diet change, I subscribed to a couple of paid Substacks (Apple wants to auto-correct that word to “substances” which might be more on-point than I want to acknowledge) and also subscribed to some free ones.  Dan Pfeiffer’s MessageBox was one of the free ones, and his newsletter this morning poses the question Do Dems Need to Break Up With Legacy Media.  It contains this graph of the median age of audiences for different types of media:

Substacks and Such

Anyway, I generally don’t like email newsletters because they’re hard to link in blog posts, but I’m going to give it a whirl.  I’ve always thought Brian Beutler was pretty good, and I subscribed to his paid Substack.  Here’s a gift link to his latest piece on the fight against Trump’s cabinet secretaries.

Relevant to the latest anti-trans hate in the House, Zooey Zephyr is an openly trans representative in the Montana state legislature and her fiancé, Erin Reed, has a Substack.  Here’s her take on Sarah McBride’s decision to abide by the Speaker’s new bathroom edict.  Zephyr and Reed are contributors to Assigned Media and here’s their rundown of post-election pieces trying to keep hope alive in the trans community.  Assigned is free as far as I can tell, but I donated anyway.

Another freebie that I’ll probably end up paying for is James Fallows’ Substack.  Here’s his post-election piece on disinformation.

One of the reasons I was reluctant to dive into Substack is because all those subscriptions add up.  It’s just not scalable to subscribe to everything that’s worth reading. Also, Substack as a platform has its issues. It’s owned by TechBros with an agenda, and like a lot of VC-funded startups, their valuation is crazy.  Anil Dash has a thread on this.

So, please feel free to recommend any of your media diet changes, Substack or not.  Standard disclaimer that I don’t agree with everything in the pieces that I’ve linked, but I think they’re worth reading for the perspective.

(Since it might come up in the comments, a note on Reed’s take on McBride:  when Pelosi put up a metal detector in the House after 1/6 because some R’s wanted to carry handguns onto the floor, the fines were $5K for the first offense and $10K for the second.  Presumably this would be the kinds of sanctions that McBride would be subject to.   One of the first questions of how she could fight the bathroom ban is how she can do it without going broke.)

Substacks and SuchPost + Comments (104)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: As Always, Proud to Be A Democrat

by Anne Laurie|  November 21, 20249:19 am| 97 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

House Democrats have re-elected @hakeemjeffries as Democratic Leader.

Under his leadership, Democrats will continue to fight for working families and deliver real results for the American people! pic.twitter.com/3uNpTd2aaI

— DCCC (@dccc) November 19, 2024

And here the GOP, and their media enablers, were so hoping for a prolonged civil war…

Honored to be re-elected as House Democratic Leader for the upcoming Congress.

We will never give up the fight for the people.

— Hakeem Jeffries (@RepJeffries) November 19, 2024

I am humbled and grateful for the opportunity to continue serving as the House Democratic Whip.

Let’s get to work for working families. pic.twitter.com/JoJasZEaRL

— Katherine Clark (@WhipKClark) November 19, 2024

It is an incredible honor to be re-elected Vice Chair of @HouseDemocrats. Looking forward to charting a path forward alongside Leader @RepJeffries, @WhipKClark, Caucus Chair @RepPeteAguilar and the rest of our leadership team. pic.twitter.com/RbSJPcBfo0

— Rep. Ted Lieu (@RepTedLieu) November 19, 2024

To all the people screaming "Biden save us", the one line of defense he is leaving you is his army of Federal Judges. Currently at 218 confirmed and counting. With the Supreme Court how it is, they can only do so much. But they can slow him down. https://t.co/I7I5L2kgV2

— The Biden Accomplishments Guy (@What46HasDone) November 20, 2024

Former @FBI assistant director of counterintelligence @FrankFigliuzzi1 just came up with a critically important, urgent, inspired and genius idea. @POTUS @JoeBiden should *order* FBI background checks of Trump’s Cabinet picks immediately.????https://t.co/XHIdbmrSkq

— Fernand R. Amandi (@AmandiOnAir) November 18, 2024

Here’s a new debate topic for y’all… at MSNBC, Frank Figliuzzi argues that “Biden should order background checks of Trump’s Cabinet picks”:

… The FBI has conducted background investigations of White House nominees since at least the tenure of President Dwight Eisenhower’s time in office. Even so, there’s no law clearly mandating presidents or presidents-elect to submit their nominees and appointments to the FBI for investigation. In 1953, Eisenhower issued Executive Order (EO) 10450, calling for investigations of prospective federal employees. Yet, executive orders don’t have the full effect of a law and are only binding on the executive branch. Worse, Eisenhower’s executive order is subject to interpretation. Consider Section 2, “The head of each department and agency of the Government shall be responsible for establishing and maintaining within his department or agency an effective program to ensure that the employment and retention in employment of any civilian officer or employee within the department or agency is clearly consistent with the interests of the national security.” There’s lots of wiggle room there.

Section 3 of that executive order reads, “The appointment of each civilian officer or employee in any department or agency of the Government shall be made subject to investigation … but in no event shall the investigation include less than a national agency check (including a check of the fingerprint files of the Federal Bureau of Investigation).” That means that Trump, who claims he’s using private firms to conduct background inquiries, might get by with having whatever firm that is simply checking FBI fingerprint files. Yet, despite there being no mandate, the intent here was a government inquiry involving the FBI…

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The Presidential Transition Act of 1963 directs the FBI to conduct such background checks “expeditiously” for “individuals that the President-elect has identified for high level national security positions.” But what if he never formally identifies and submits his picks to the Department of Justice and the FBI? In his last administration, Trump overrode security adjudicators who denied clearances for his son-in-law, Jared Kushner, and many others, after FBI background checks resulted in national security concerns. This time, he appears poised to dispense with the FBI checks and potentially with the Senate confirmation process by making recess appointments.

That leaves us with two pertinent memorandums of understanding (MOU) which should enable President Joe Biden and/or the U.S. Senate Judiciary Committee to quickly do something to preserve national security and the Constitution’s advice, and consent powers conferred on our elected lawmakers.

First, Biden should rely upon the existing MOU between the Department of Justice and his office, as well as the Presidential Transition Act, to investigate the people Trump says he wants to put in office. The MOU sets out procedures for requesting background investigations of nominees “at the request of the president.” It doesn’t say the president-elect, it says “president.” That’s you, Joe. As for the transition act, it reads as applying to people “…the President-elect has identified” for high-level positions. Well, the president-elect has already publicly identified those people. And Biden should respond…

The Senate Judiciary Committee has its own pertinent MOU with the Counsel to the President. That document says the committee “shall have access to” the FBI reports on nominees for attorney general, FBI director or summaries for “all other DOJ nominees and non-judicial nominees.” Emphasis on all other and non-judicial. We know senators want the details of the House Ethics Committee inquiry into former Rep. Matt Gaetz, Trump’s pick for attorney general. An FBI background investigation would certainly include a request to review that report, as well as the DOJ criminal investigation, now closed, into Gaetz. The Senate Judiciary Committee should make a bipartisan request for an FBI background check of Trump’s picks now. Regardless of party affiliation, if senators relinquish their advice and consent authority or confirm a nominee without benefit of knowing the risk they pose, then they set a precedent for never again exercising their constitutional powers.

You’d be right to ask, “What’s the point?” After all, Trump is unlikely to read, let alone act upon, any derogatory information developed in FBI reports. The point would be to force Trump’s hand. Drop the reports on his desk and let him go forward with nominees who potentially are either found through investigation to be unqualified, at risk of compromise, or even a national security threat. Let Trump order White House security clearance adjudicators or his hand-picked agency heads to grant security clearances to seemingly unqualified candidates. Let the Senate affirm nominees after they’ve read details about the kind of people who may lead the DOJ or serve as the director of national intelligence…

Sad trombone coda (hopefully not a premonition… )

Price increases in Russia this year ??

• Potatoes: +73%
• Butter: +30%
• Inflation: +64%
• Mortgage rates: 28%
• Interest rates: 21%https://t.co/gPxHtKQsH0

— Frank Luntz (@FrankLuntz) November 18, 2024

Thursday Morning Open Thread: As Always, Proud to Be A DemocratPost + Comments (97)

Of Shearlings and Serpents (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  November 21, 20246:17 am| 127 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Yesterday didn’t start off well at all.

I’ve developed the habit of scanning the flooded part of the yard from the porch for water moccasins and alligators small enough to have filtered through the fence before letting the dogs out in the morning. As I was peering through the porch screen at first light, I was startled to see a snake inside the screen, lying on a crossbar about a foot from my chin.

I yelped and stumbled back, hastily exiting the porch and slamming the sliding glass door shut behind me. It wasn’t a big snake, maybe a foot and a half long and skinny. I took a picture of it through the glass and sent it to Bill so he could identify it. He assured me it was a harmless ribbon snake, a “good guy,” according to Bill, which he promised to repatriate to the wild when he got home from work.

***

I couldn’t stay home and monitor the snake through the glass because I had a morning hair appointment. I was severely dreading it. Chemo didn’t make all of my hair fall out, but I lost a lot through excessive shedding, and the new growth coming in combined with the remaining longish strands made my head look like a big stupid dandelion. The only recourse was to cut it all to one length — short.

I hadn’t had a really short haircut since second grade. It had to be done, and the stylist did a good job, especially considering the limited material, but I fucking hate it. I feel indignant about it, like a shaved cat.

For hours, I complained to any friend or family member who would listen. They kindly assured me I have the bone structure to pull off the evil Cersei Lannister wine mom look, which cheered me up a little.

Ah well. It will grow back. Meanwhile, there will be plenty of opportunities to take grim satisfaction from watching shit blow up over the next four years.

***

Anyhoo, after the shearing, when I was coming home on our horrible washed-out dirt road that even the USPS is still avoiding, something got caught on my right front tire. It made a ka-chukka ka-chukka ka-chukka sound all the way to the damn gate. When I parked and examined the wheel well, I saw a piece of metal protruding from the tire, which was hissing as it deflated. FUCK!

Back upstairs, I noticed that the snake had not moved at all since I first spotted it hours earlier. I concluded it was having an even worse day than I was since it was probably dead. Fuck it, I thought — I’m not going to let a deceased snake keep me off my porch.

So I went out and settled in my comfy chair to observe the waterfowl. The snake, which was very much alive, chose that moment to revive and slither along the crossbar, causing me to scurry back inside the house. “Harmless snake” my ass — it caused me to bash my knee painfully on the door frame during my panicky retreat.

To pass the time, I experimented with hairdos using gel, creating a faux hawk and a flattop. I still fucking hate it, but I have to admit my current style has more entertainment value than my customary bob.

Bill finally came home and gently escorted the snake outside. Then he dealt with the tire and told me my hair looks cool, so I should stop worrying about it so much. Unlike the snake, Bill is definitely a keeper.

Open thread!

Of Shearlings and Serpents (Open Thread)Post + Comments (127)

Defiantly Upbeat Open Thread: Joe Biden Is A Great President

by Anne Laurie|  November 20, 202411:11 pm| 84 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat, Our Failed Media Experiment

Happy Birthday, President Biden. I was with you through thick and thin. Here's to happier days. I really did well during your administration, and I respect your care & faith and how it improved life here in Portland and my state at large. https://t.co/oE7Ew4idn5

— cai (@AnneNotation) November 20, 2024

Today, I had the honor of awarding Cecile Richards the Presidential Medal of Freedom.

With absolute courage, she fearlessly leads us forward to be the America we say we are – a nation of freedom.

Through her work to lift up the dignity of workers, defend and advance women’s… pic.twitter.com/IayCTAFK4N

— President Biden (@POTUS) November 20, 2024

Per the Hill, “Biden awards the Medal of Freedom to Cecile Richards, former Planned Parenthood president”:

… During a private ceremony, Biden said Richards has “led some of our Nation’s most important civil rights causes — to lift up the dignity of workers, defend and advance women’s reproductive rights and equality, and mobilize Americans to exercise their power to vote.”

Richards left Planned Parenthood in 2018 after leading the organization for 12 years, where she worked to increase affordable access to reproductive health care and helped push the Democratic Party to embrace abortion rights as a key issue.

After her departure, she co-founded a progressive organization called Supermajority that fights for gender equity. Richards also serves as co-chair of the super PAC American Bridge 21st Century.

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Richards was diagnosed in 2023 with a glioblastoma, a rare and aggressive form of brain tumor. The average glioblastoma survival time is only 12 to 18 months…

The Medal of Freedom is given at the discretion of the president to a civilian who has made an “especially meritorious contribution” to the country.

“A leader of utmost character, she has carved an inspiring legacy that endures in her incredible family, the countless lives she has made better, and a nation seeking the light of equality, justice, and freedom,” Biden said of Richards.

Richards is the daughter of Ann Richards, who was the first woman to be elected governor of Texas.

Biden has previously awarded the medal to dozens of people, including civil rights icons, prominent political leaders like former Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D), Rep. James Clyburn (D-S.C.), gymnast Simone Biles and actor Michelle Yeoh.

Happy birthday, @JoeBiden! You’ve spent your entire life fighting to make America better, fairer, and stronger. We may be old school but nowadays that's a BFD. Enjoy your day, Mr. President. pic.twitter.com/tti99ip0U2

— Bill Clinton (@BillClinton) November 20, 2024

And I’m also happy to see President Biden snubbing the media ankle-biters!

The state of our media in the year of our Lord 2024: desperately screaming for a dumb fucking sound bite rather than writing an article based on the substantive things that occurred during your trip https://t.co/tKTwfYw3Zd

— The okayest poster there is (@ok_post_guy) November 19, 2024

Defiantly Upbeat Open Thread: Joe Biden Is A Great PresidentPost + Comments (84)

War for Ukraine Day 1,001: Storm Shadow!

by Adam L Silverman|  November 20, 20249:38 pm| 20 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. Thank you all for the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations to help cover the cost of the chemo.

Second, I’ve been up since 4:30 and had a very, very long day, so just the basics tonight as I want to rack out.

Air raid alerts have just gone up in Kharkiv (9:20 PM EST/4:23 AM local time in Ukraine) and they were already up in Sumy and Donetsk Oblasts. The air raid alert maps are showing Russian strategic aviation up over western Russia, which means that tonight’s attack will be drones, missiles, and glide bombs.

Now that the Biden administration has lifted their restrictions, the Ukrainians have unlimbered the Storm Shadows against a target in Kursk!

“Ukraine has used British-supplied Storm Shadow missiles in Russia for the first time. The Telegraph understands that residents in the village of Marino, Kursk, found fragments from a Storm Shadow missile on Wednesday.” www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 10:06 AM

“The spokesperson for prime minister Keir Starmer said his office would not be commenting on reports or operational matters, but the Guardian understands that the missiles have been used.” www.theguardian.com/world/live/2…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 10:11 AM

Oh wow, so you’re telling me the piece of paper that Putin was recently shaking in front of the Western media threatening to bring down a nuclear apocalypse upon the world if Ukraine ever dares fight back again has been HORSESHIT all this time?… Again…?

— Illia Ponomarenko (@ioponomarenko.bsky.social) November 19, 2024 at 5:55 PM

US Embassy Kyiv also closed due to a reported credible threat:

Full US Embassy Kyiv statement here, with emergency numbers to call: ua.usembassy.gov/mascot-updat…

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— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 2:09 AM

From US Embassy Kyiv’s website:

Message for U.S. Citizens in Ukraine

Security Alert: U.S. Embassy Kyiv, Ukraine (November 20, 2024)

Location: Ukraine, all districts

Event: The U.S. Embassy in Kyiv has received specific information of a potential significant air attack on November 20.  Out of an abundance of caution, the Embassy will be closed, and Embassy employees are being instructed to shelter in place.  The U.S. Embassy recommends U.S. citizens be prepared to immediately shelter in the event an air alert is announced.

Actions to Take:

  • Monitor local media for updates
  • Identify shelter locations in advance of any air alert
  • Immediately take shelter if an air alert is announced
  • Follow the directions of Ukrainian officials and first responders in the event of an emergency

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Today, on the 1,001st Day of a Full-Scale War, Russia Is Just as Insane as It Was on the 1,000th Day And on February 24 – Address By the President

20 November 2024 – 20:11

Dear Ukrainians!

Briefly about this day.

First. Today, there were a lot of nerves and questions about some kind of particular danger. Although, throughout this time, we have already experienced so many cruel and vile attacks from Russia… Air raid alerts should always be heeded. We have that kind of a neighbor – insane. Today, on the 1,001st day of a full-scale war, Russia is just as insane as it was on the 1,000th day and on February 24. The information frenzy that took place today, with some panic messages passed around – all this benefits only Russia. Please take care of yourselves, support our army, and be especially careful that no one manipulates your emotions for their own advantage. Meanwhile, we continue to strengthen our air defense.

Second. We have a new support package from America. It is worth $275 million. The package includes drones, ammunition for HIMARS and artillery, and most importantly – mines to stop Russian assaults. This will really strengthen our guys on the frontline. And this is the 70th defense package from the United States. Ukraine appreciates America’s bipartisan support and President Biden’s decisions. Thank you!

Third. I spoke today with the Prime Minister of Poland, Donald Tusk. I thanked him for all the support provided since the first days of the invasion. We discussed the preparation of a new package from Poland for Ukraine. We also discussed Poland’s presidency of the European Union, which will begin in the new year. Together we can achieve great things for our nations and for all of Europe.

And one more thing. I met with the World Bank’s Managing Director of Operations. We talked about our financial sustainability, support programs and funds from Russian assets. It is absolutely justified that Russian funds should be used to defend against Russian aggression itself. The perpetrator of the war must pay for it. Pay and be held accountable.

I thank everyone who helps us bring a just peace closer!

Glory to Ukraine!

The Baltic Sea:

‘The Swedish Navy is present in the Baltic Sea, where the cables have suffered damage… “This type of event has all the signs of hybrid warfare,” says the navy’s press chief Jimmie Adamsson to SVT .’ www.berlingske.dk/internationa…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 10:21 AM

Swedish PM: ‘”We assume that it may very well be deliberate sabotage, but we don’t know anything yet. I’m not going to speculate on that,’ he says to Swedish media .’ www.berlingske.dk/internationa…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 10:22 AM

Ship suspected of damaging comms cables x 2 in Baltic Sea has been detained by Danish Navy.

Yi Peng 3 is anchored just outside DK territory with patrol/dive Y311 SØLØVEN vessel guarding her.

Frigate HDMS HVIDBJØRNEN might be present too (no AIS but made speed towards situation.)

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— auonsson (@auonsson.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 1:32 AM

“we are present in the area near the Chinese ship Yi Peng 3”

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 6:31 AM

“We’re not big believers in coincidences any more” – a European diplomat to me this morning.

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 11:55 AM

The Lithuanian Foreign Minister:

If I had a nickel for every time a Chinese ship was dragging its anchor on the bottom of the Baltic Sea in the vicinity of important cables I would have two nickels, which isn’t much, but it’s weird that it happened twice.

— Gabrielius Landsbergis (@landsbergis.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 9:14 AM

The US:

US announced new package of military assistance to Ukraine, an estimated value – $275 million. www.defense.gov/News/Release…

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 9:52 AM

“The Ukraine conflict has spurred other countries to reevaluate their opposition to antipersonnel land mines. The Baltic nations of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia considered withdrawing from the Ottawa Convention earlier this year” www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec…

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— Shashank Joshi (@shashj.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 8:53 AM

From The Washington Post:

President Joe Biden has authorized the provision of antipersonnel land mines to Ukraine, a step that will bolster Kyiv’s defenses against advancing Russian troops but has drawn criticism from arms control groups.

The move comes in the wake of the White House’s recent authorization allowing Ukraine to use a powerful missile system to strike inside Russia — part of a sweep of urgent actions that the lame-duck Biden administration is taking to help Kyiv’s faltering war effort.

Russian President Vladimir Putin has warned that Moscow will retaliate for the latest missile strikes from the Army Tactical Missile System, or ATACMS, which has a range of about 190 miles. Shipping antipersonnel land mines to Ukraine is also potentially controversial, though among a different group: More than 160 countries have signed an international treaty banning their use, noting that the indiscriminate weapons can cause enduring harm to civilians. But Kyiv has sought them since Russia invaded nearly three years ago, and the Kremlin’s forces have deployed antipersonnel land mines liberally on the front lines, impeding Ukraine’s progress as it seeks to reclaim its own territory.

The Biden administration is deeply concerned about Russia’s assaults against Ukraine’s front lines in recent weeks and sees a pressing need to blunt the advance, U.S. officials said.“They have a need for things that can help slow down that effort on the part of the of the Russians,” Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin told reporters on Wednesday during a visit to Laos. Ukrainian forces are fabricating their own mines, he said, and the U.S. mines being provided “would self-activate, self-detonate and that makes it…far more safer eventually than the things that they are creating on their own.”

Austin and other U.S. officials did not say what type of mines are being provided. One official described them as “nonpersistent,” meaning that the mines self-destruct or lose battery charge to render them inactive within days or weeks. The official said that Ukrainian policymakers had committed to not deploying the mines in densely populated areas. Arms control experts said that even nonpersistent mines pose a safety hazard.

The official and three others spoke about the decision on the condition of anonymity to candidly discuss sensitive internal White House deliberations.

“Russia is attacking Ukrainian lines in the east with waves of troops, regardless of the casualties that they’re suffering,” one of the officials said. “So the Ukrainians are obviously taking losses, and more towns and cities are at risk of falling. These mines were made specifically to combat exactly this.”

“When they’re used in concert with the other munitions that we already are providing Ukraine, the intent is that they will contribute to a more effective defense,” the official said.

Biden had been reluctant to supply Ukraine with the mines in the face of concerns within his own administration and from a wide range of anti-mine advocates who say the risk to civilians is unacceptably high. But Russia’s battlefield progress in recent months has forced the White House to find fresh ways to help Kyiv, especially following the victory of President-elect Donald Trump, who has vowed to steer the conflict toward a swift conclusion.

The United States has provided Ukraine with Claymores, a different type of antipersonnel mine, which are set above ground and triggered by an operator, making them permissible under mine ban conventions if used properly.

Use of the new mines would be limited to Ukrainian territory, with an expected focus on eastern Ukraine, one of the officials said. Russian forces have made significant advances in the Donetsk region and in recent months have gained territory at the fastest rate since 2022. Ukrainian troops have struggled to build strong defensive lines in the face of relentless drone sorties and small assault teams. Land mines could help them shore up their defenses by slowing enemy troops and channeling them to areas where they can be targeted with artillery and rockets.

Neither Russia nor the United States is one of the 164 parties to the Ottawa Convention, also known as the Mine Ban Treaty, that prohibits the deployment and transfer of antipersonnel land mines. Biden in 2022 revived an Obama-era policy that banned the transfer and use of U.S. antipersonnel land mines outside the Korean Peninsula.

One Ukrainian official welcomed any policy change despite the potential risks that would come with widespread deployment of the weapons.

“Russia uses them anyway,” the official said, speaking on the condition of anonymity because of the subject’s sensitivity.

More at the link.

Britain:

What does she think Russia has been firing for the past 1001 days?

[image or embed]

— sianushka.bsky.social (@sianushka.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 2:57 AM

Ms. Abbott is a Labour MP.

Russia:

Russia will try to convey to U.S. leadership its plan for a new world order up to the year 2045, including a scheme to break Ukraine up into three parts, the Interfax Ukraine news agency reported on Nov. 20.

An intelligence community source confirmed the plan’s existence to the Kyiv Independent.

[image or embed]

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) November 20, 2024 at 4:11 PM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Editor’s Note: This story was updated to correct some of the wording and emphasize that the existence of the alleged plan couldn’t be independently confirmed by the Kyiv Independent.

Russia may try to convey to U.S. leadership its plan for a new world order up to the year 2045, including a scheme to break Ukraine up into three parts, the Interfax Ukraine news agency reported on Nov. 20, citing its sources in a Ukrainian intelligence agency.

A Ukrainian intelligence source also separately told the Kyiv Independent they know of such a plan.

The Kyiv Independent couldn’t independently verify this information.

Moreover, it’s not clear what is the status of the Russian document obtained by the Ukrainian intelligence — whether it’s an actual plan of the Russian leadership, a draft proposal, or something else. Its exact author is also unknown. Ukraine’s intelligence claimed that it was developed by the Russian Defense Ministry.

According to the alleged document, which intelligence sources described to the media, Russia wants Ukraine divided into thirds. The country’s eastern regions, including partially and fully Russian-occupied territories, would be annexed by Russia. The western lands would be “disputed territories” that could be claimed by neighboring countries, including Poland, Hungary, and Romania. The remaining territory, including Kyiv, would become a Russian-controlled puppet state.

The document envisages the effective dissolution of the independent Ukrainian state.

The document also puts forward four different scenarios of global world order development — two seen as favorable to Moscow and two disadvantageous.

Two of the scenarios, labeled “Formation of a multipolar world and the division of spheres of influence by leading actors” and “Regionalization/chaotization,” involve a Russian victory over Ukraine.

The others, “Dominance of the U.S. and the West” and “Acquisition by China of the status of the world’s leading power,” presuppose a military defeat in Ukraine.

The alleged plan, if proved real, would mark another Russian attempt to put forward suggestions for the disruption and recreation of a global world order.

The Kremlin convened meetings in 2022 and 2023 to find ways to dismantle the post-World War II global financial system and undermine U.S. power over global transactions, according to documents obtained by the Washington Post.

“One of the most important tasks is to create a new world order,” one of the documents dated April 3, 2023, reportedly said.

“Western countries led by the United States have tried to impose their own structure, based on their dominance.”

The alleged new plan’s proposed breakup of Ukraine reflect the maximalist goals of Russia’s full-scale invasion, which included regime change in Kyiv and “demilitarization” of the Ukrainian state.

The Kursk cross border offensive:

Here’s more on the Storm Shadow strike!

Video of today’s Storm Shadow strike on Russian target in the Kursk region of Russia. This is the first time when Storm Shadow missiles were used to target Russian territory.

(Video speed x3 due to 1 minute limit on BlueSky)

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 12:41 PM

Defense Express suggests the Air Force may have targeted a buried command post in Russia’s Kursk region with a Storm Shadow missile. Likely tied to the Presidential Administration, the site may also host DPRK and Russian military officials.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 11:15 AM

Russian milbloggers reported 12 missiles, claiming 2 were intercepted, but the videos don’t seem to support this claim.
t.me/wartranslate…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 11:08 AM

The Zaporizhzhia front:

Russian BUK air defence system destroyed on the Zaporizhzhia front.
t.me/russianocont…

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 19, 2024 at 10:30 AM

/2. This Russian BUK air defense system was destroyed by precise loitering munition strike. By 14th UAS Regiment of Ukraine. More and more of this appear in recent months.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 11:41 AM

Kherson:

#Kherson Today, Russian drones attacked

💔A mother, 48, and daughter, 17, both injured
💔a man, 68, injured
🔴An empty building
🔴A public bus

Artillery fire injured, in the suburbs:

💔2 women, 59 and 73

Note: most people were hiding at home due to a massive strike warning

[image or embed]

— Zarina Zabrisky (@zarinazabrisky.bsky.social) November 20, 2024 at 5:31 PM

Pokrovsk:

Russian troops have killed two Ukrainian prisoners of war in Donetsk Oblast’s Pokrovsk District, the Donetsk Regional Prosecutor’s Office said on Nov. 20.

[image or embed]

— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) November 20, 2024 at 4:11 PM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Russian troops have killed two Ukrainian prisoners of war in Donetsk Oblast’s Pokrovsk District, the Donetsk Regional Prosecutor’s Office said on Nov. 20.

They were stripped naked and shot dead, according to the prosecutors. In a picture published by the prosecutors, two blurred naked bodies are seen lying on the ground.

“On Nov. 10, the enemy stormed our fortifications near the village of Novodmytrivka, Pokrovsk district,” the prosecutors said. “After the Russian army captured two Ukrainian soldiers, they forced the men to strip naked. After being led at gunpoint through a forest plantation, the prisoners were shot dead.”

The prosecutor’s office said that it is also investigating whether Russian soldiers killed three more Ukrainian prisoners.

Reports of murders, torture, and ill-treatment of Ukrainian prisoners of war are received regularly by Ukrainian authorities and have spiked in recent months. Most cases were recorded in embattled Donetsk Oblast.

Russian forces had executed at least 124 Ukrainian prisoners of war since 2022 as of Nov. 6. On top of that, at least 177 Ukrainian prisoners have died in Russian captivity, according to a representative of the Ukrainian Coordination Center for the Treatment of Prisoners of War.

On one occasion, a photo of an apparently executed Ukrainian soldier with a sword in his chest and the inscription “For Kursk” has appeared on social media, with remnants of gray tape visible on the soldier’s hand.

Executing prisoners of war is a gross violation of the Geneva Conventions.

That’s enough for tonight.

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