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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

I see no possible difficulties whatsoever with this fool-proof plan.

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

Quote tweet friends, screenshot enemies.

It is possible to do the right thing without the promise of a cookie.

You cannot love your country only when you win.

“Just close your eyes and kiss the girl and go where the tilt-a-whirl takes you.” ~OzarkHillbilly

the 10% who apparently lack object permanence

Do not shrug your shoulders and accept the normalization of untruths.

People identifying as christian while ignoring christ and his teachings is a strange thing indeed.

The lights are all blinking red.

How stupid are these people?

The poor and middle-class pay taxes, the rich pay accountants, the wealthy pay politicians.

A democracy can’t function when people can’t distinguish facts from lies.

We are aware of all internet traditions.

“When somebody takes the time to draw up a playbook, they’re gonna use it.”

Following reporting rules is only for the little people, apparently.

Republicans: “Abortion is murder but you can take a bus to get one.” Easy peasy.

Authoritarian republicans are opposed to freedom for the rest of us.

You cannot shame the shameless.

They think we are photo bombing their nice little lives.

Let me file that under fuck it.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

The words do not have to be perfect.

Giving up is unforgivable.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

It Never Ends, Inside the Painted Egg is Another Egg

by @heymistermix.com|  October 1, 202411:37 am| 162 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Dylan Wells is some dumb-dumb writing at the Post, and the hook for her Walz stump speech story is that Walz is “conservative”, his campaign is “bubble wrapped” and the guy who’s really swinging for the fences is Junior Davenport: [gift link]

But Walz’s conservative approach to campaigning stands in contrast to that of Donald Trump’s running mate, Sen. JD Vance (R-Ohio), whose stint as the vice-presidential nominee has spurred headlines about his comments and controversies, including his role in spreading false claims that Haitian immigrants were eating pets in his home state. Vance has regularly participated in interviews with both traditional and new media. He frequently takes questions from the reporters covering his campaign travel, often combatively sparring with the journalists who cover him.

If Walz would only tell a pack of lies that incite a bunch of haters to persecute a minority, he would be “less conservative” and not “bubble wrapped”.

This is also stupid:

The Minnesota governor rarely interacts directly with undecided voters within view of the press. Instead,much of his independent travel involves thanking and encouraging people who already support the Democratic ticket. […]

Perhaps the reason Harris chose a midwestern former football coach who is always in full-on dad mode is because he could inspire Democrats to vote.  Maybe it’s a strategy, not a character trait (“conservative”).  And perhaps the notion that “undecided” voters who would interact with the press or a candidate exist is nonsense.

Steve M thinks that Trump and JD are the main characters after a brief moment where Harris took the spotlight.  I think he’s right, because the press covering them doesn’t see their despicable lies as terrible acts, but rather as daring and audacious gambits, and they find them novel and amusing.

It Never Ends, Inside the Painted Egg is Another EggPost + Comments (162)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Fight Night, the Undercard

by Anne Laurie|  October 1, 20249:07 am| 132 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

The new Evangelicals for Harris ad shows a former student of Tim Walz, Carly, saying that Tim stuck up for her when she was being bullied about her Christian faith.

Fantastic ad! pic.twitter.com/506hRgWomn

— Art Candee 🍿🥤 (@ArtCandee) September 30, 2024

What to know about the rules for the CBS News vice presidential debate. pic.twitter.com/IxHU9zbnRF

— USA TODAY (@USATODAY) September 28, 2024

Truth to tell, I’m having trouble ginning up any enthusiasm for tonight’s event. Tim Walz will be charmingly avuncular, JD Vance will spew an angry stream of lies & bullsh*t, and the betting will be on whether Walz uses his Teacher Voice and what bodily function(s) Vance loses control over if (when) he does.

Per Politico:

… When is the debate?
The debate will kick off on Tuesday, Oct. 1 at 9 p.m. ET. and run for 90 minutes with two four-minute commercial breaks.

Where is the debate?
CBS is holding the debate at their CBS Broadcast Center in New York City…

How can I watch the debate?
CBS will broadcast and livestream the debate on all platforms where CBS News 24/7 and Paramount+ are available. It will also be made available to simulcast, according to the network.

A livestream of the debate will be available at POLITICO.com.

What are the debate rules?
Vance and Walz will have two minutes to answer a question, two minutes to respond to the other’s answer, and then one minute for a rebuttal.

Their microphones will be hot for the duration of the debate — unlike Trump’s debates with Harris and President Joe Biden this year, when a candidate was muted during their opponent’s turn to speak — but CBS reserves the right to mute them, the network said Friday.

Each candidate will have two minutes for their closing statement. Vance won the Thursday coin toss to determine the order for closing statements, CBS said, and opted to go last to get the final word. There will be no opening statements…

show full post on front page

Will there be more debates?
It doesn’t look that way. Vice presidential candidates typically only debate once before an election, though Vance challenged Walz to a second debate earlier in September that never materialized.

Trump has declined to participate in a second debate with Harris, after the vice president challenged him to a rematch. Harris said “we owe it to the voters” to hold another debate after her strong performance during their face-off earlier this month, but Trump rebutted that “it’s too late,” arguing that his June debate with Biden already made two debates for him — the norm for presidential debates during most elections — and the fact that early voting has already started in some states.

What can viewers expect from the vice presidential debate tonight? @PeterAlexander explains. pic.twitter.com/hB61dFYTr8

— TODAY (@TODAYshow) October 1, 2024

On Tuesday, @CBSNews will host this year’s only vice presidential debate. Historian @katebrower says to not expect "Midwestern Nice" from Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz and Ohio Sen. JD Vance. CBS News' @CostaReports explores the history of VP debates. https://t.co/5varnL1cmZ pic.twitter.com/iPHHHnYlVt

— CBS Sunday Morning 🌞 (@CBSSunday) September 29, 2024


Oooooh, new infotainment gimmick!

Viewers watching the vice-presidential debate on Tuesday can scan a QR code to go to the CBS News website, where 20 journalists will post fact-checks of the candidates’ remarks in real time. https://t.co/1HvsSfOdLp

— The New York Times (@nytimes) September 30, 2024

… Moderation is an art, not a science. But CBS News, host of Tuesday’s vice-presidential matchup between Senator JD Vance and Gov. Tim Walz, is using technology to try something new.

A QR code — the checkerboard-like, black-and-white box that can be scanned by a smartphone — will appear onscreen for long stretches of the CBS telecast. Viewers who scan the code will be directed to the CBS News website, where a squad of about 20 CBS journalists will post fact-checks of the candidates’ remarks in real time.

The code will appear only on CBS; viewers who tune in on a different channel will not see it. (Nearly every major network will simulcast the debate, starting at 9 p.m. Eastern.) But it is a novel approach to guide viewers, already accustomed to watching TV while hovering over a smartphone or laptop, to supplemental journalistic material elsewhere…

CBS said the moderators — Norah O’Donnell, the anchor of “CBS Evening News,” and Margaret Brennan, who hosts “Face the Nation” — would primarily focus on encouraging exchanges between the candidates and enforcing the ground rules, rather than fact-checking.

Mr. Trump and his allies fumed after the ABC debate, personally targeting the network’s moderators — Linsey Davis and David Muir — for the four times that they clarified falsehoods that Mr. Trump had uttered from the lectern. CBS appears intent on making Mr. Vance and Mr. Walz the stars on Tuesday, rather than the network or its on-air talent…

Look CBS, we all know Vance is as much a liar as Trump.

How about you run a disclaimer under his name while he is talking that he's lying. Then when he accidentally tells the truth, the hosts can note that.

"Holy cow! That was true! I didn’t know Republicans could be honest!"

— Dr. Elizabeth Rogers (@ahumorlessfem) September 30, 2024

All he has to do is provide a contrast to Vance’s creepy dominionism / white nationalist rhetoric. Just be normal and it’s fine. https://t.co/B5DqlIlN24

— Jean-Michel Connard ??? (@torriangray) September 29, 2024

I think he’s looking ahead to what Trump and maga would do to him if they lose and need a scapegoat. This is a trap game.

— Fake Polymath (@Jube02) September 22, 2024

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Fight Night, the UndercardPost + Comments (132)

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: Storm Damage

by Anne Laurie|  October 1, 20244:35 am| 87 Comments

This post is in: Climate Change, How about that weather?, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republican Venality

While you're watching this, remember that Trump's Project 2025 would:
– Eliminates FEMA
– Eliminates the National Weather Service
– Eliminates federal-backed flood insurance
– Eliminates emergency disaster funding for state/local govtspic.twitter.com/gglQZ6onD0

— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) September 30, 2024

I was just briefed by @FEMA_Deanne Criswell on the latest developments about the ongoing impacts of Hurricane Helene. We also discussed our Administration's continued actions to support emergency response and recovery.

I also spoke with @NC_Governor Cooper about the ongoing… pic.twitter.com/nlZPB0h3mO

— Vice President Kamala Harris (@VP) September 30, 2024

I was just briefed by @FEMA_Deanne Criswell on the latest developments about the ongoing impacts of Hurricane Helene. We also discussed our Administration’s continued actions to support emergency response and recovery.

I also spoke with @NC_Governor Cooper about the ongoing rescue and recovery efforts in North Carolina.

Our Administration will continue to stay in constant contact with state and local officials to ensure communities have the support and resources they need.

Doug and my thoughts are with all those who lost loved ones and those whose homes, businesses, and communities were damaged or destroyed during this disaster.

??BIDEN says he "may have to" request Congress come back into session to pass a supplemental spending bill.

Congress is out of session

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) September 30, 2024

FEMA is working now, but once they reach a certain amount of limits Congress has to expand those, it was an act of congress that put those limitations on FEMA.

— shelly – MCV-research / CATS Initiative (@shelly2161) September 30, 2024

Biden is a president for all Americans, no matter who they vote for. Trump makes up these lies because this is how he operates.

Never forget when COVID was ravaging New York Trump delayed aid because he didn't like how people voted here. I know I won't. https://t.co/7eOHSXac4z

— Alex ????? ?? ????? (@JewishWonk) September 30, 2024

Trump is staging photo ops in disaster areas, because he thinks it will look good for his campaign. He’s only hurting efforts on the ground, standing in the way. Wasting time of police who are searching for people. Closing some of the only roads people have left. Go home Donald.

— Scott Dworkin (@funder) September 30, 2024

I'm in GA.

Valdosta, where Trump is visiting, is devastated in a diff way. No power. No clean water. Downed trees everywhere. Biden has better sense than to make a "personal" visit, & it would be ill advised for Harris to go there.

Let crews do their work. It'll take weeks.

— Cullen Martin (@CulRMartin) September 30, 2024

show full post on front page

Please don’t let them gaslight you. This is what Trump was doing when hurricane Helene made landfall.

In a luxury box at a campaign event surrounded by celebrities.

They have nothing but projection and lies. pic.twitter.com/3CJHx8FEVA

— LadyGrey ???????????? (@TWLadyGrey) September 30, 2024

https://t.co/4N6WrP9nkV

— MushuWeasel (@mushuweasel) September 29, 2024

Psst: that water is headed for Tennessee https://t.co/Q60uKNZHtp

— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) September 29, 2024

BREAKING: In a stunning leaked video, Project 2025’s author says that it will be Donald Trump’s plan to cut funding for relief of communities hit by hurricanes. Retweet so all Americans see this. pic.twitter.com/CclWcwwbZu

— Kamala’s Wins (@harris_wins) September 27, 2024

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: Storm Damage

(Clay Jones via GoComics.com)

Dank Grey Dawn Open Thread: Storm DamagePost + Comments (87)

War for Ukraine Day 950: Russia’s Butcher’s Bill for September 2024

by Adam L Silverman|  September 30, 20249:01 pm| 9 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by Ukrainian artist NEIVANMADE. The words "NEVER AGAIN" are repeated over and over, from left to right and top to bottom, in a faded, washed out black against a white background. Red, the color of blood, runs and drips down across 2/3rds of the painting. "WHILE YOU TOLERATE TYRANTS" is written/painted in the bottom white corner below the three rows of "NEVER AGAIN".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

A quick housekeeping note. Rosie had her penultimate treatment today. She has two weeks off and then the final one. Thank you for all the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Here’s Russia’s butcher’s bill for September:

September in Ukraine: Russia launched over 1,300 Shahed drones—the most since the war started—and 900 glide bombs in just one week. These daily attacks nearly disappeared from headlines. But the locations of drone factories and air fields are known and are legitimate targets pic.twitter.com/J73yEE4TZu

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 30, 2024

Here’s the bill just for the past week:

russians launched nearly 900 aerial bombs, over 300 drones, and 40 missiles on Ukraine in a week. They must be deprived of this capability.

— Kira Rudik (@kiraincongress) September 30, 2024

And just for last night:

Air raid alert in Kyiv due to launch of ballistic missile from Ukraine’s Russian-occupied Crimea. A Shahed is also buzzing around near Kyiv. Overnight, Ukraine shot down 67 out of 73 attacking Russian/Iranian Shahed attack drones. pic.twitter.com/7YBZix48UG

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) September 30, 2024

Here’s President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Everything That Can Be Done This Fall, Everything We Can Achieve, We Must Achieve – President’s Address

30 September 2024 – 19:41

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

I have just concluded a meeting following the visit to the United States. The military, the Government, the Office. Our teams – both Ukrainian and American – are already working on everything we discussed in New York and Washington, and we are already preparing for the upcoming “Ramstein” meeting. This will be a special “Ramstein,” and our partners will receive all the details and arguments from our side on how to ensure results in the coming months both at the front and in diplomatic work. The power of weapons and the power of diplomacy are always effective when working together, and this is exactly our plan – this is exactly how we should implement the Victory Plan. We are also expecting concrete actions from our partners to strengthen our strategy. This applies to all our partners – our strength lies in the fact that the free world is defending itself.

We are also preparing to sign another security agreement for Ukraine – the twenty-seventh one already.

I held a meeting of the Staff today. Several key issues were discussed. The first is manning the brigades. The second is weapons and equipment for our warriors – procurement and supply. Additionally, I had a separate discussion with Ukraine’s Defense Minister Umerov regarding the fulfillment of contracts and the functioning of institutions within the Ministry of Defense. All real reform measures must be fully implemented.

Today, we also had a detailed and very long conversation with Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi and Chief of the General Staff Barhylevych. More than two and a half hours. Reports on each of our frontline areas, our further capabilities, and our specific tasks. The situation is very challenging. The most important thing is to put pressure on Russia using all available means and tools to achieve our goal of a real and just peace for Ukraine and all our people as soon as possible. Everything that can be done this fall, everything we can achieve, we must achieve. And it depends on everyone in the Ukrainian team. Now we have to work as hard as we can before “Ramstein.”

I thank everyone who is fighting and working for Ukraine! I thank everyone who is helping us!

Glory to Ukraine!

The cost and the reason:

Instead of a thousand words.

The boy’s poster says:

“Daddy! Hear me! I’ll be your voice. I believe…Waiting. 57th brigade, 3rd year of captivity” pic.twitter.com/HKjc5sJBoI

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 30, 2024

“If I happen to have at least one downed Shahed drone on my account, I will consider my mission on this earth accomplished.”

The “Witches of Bucha” unit shares how they joined Ukrainian defense forces.

📹: Current Time pic.twitter.com/glKaonCVTO

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 30, 2024

Denmark:

🇺🇦 and 🇩🇰 signed a Letter of Intent regarding the implementation of financial support for our defense production

Denmark allocates 175 million euros, and another 400 million will be taken from surplus profits of immobilised russian assets. This is a direct contribution to the… https://t.co/sgpeJGVwQd

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 30, 2024

Here’s the full text of the MOD’s tweet:

🇺🇦 and 🇩🇰 signed a Letter of Intent regarding the implementation of financial support for our defense production

Denmark allocates 175 million euros, and another 400 million will be taken from surplus profits of immobilised russian assets. This is a direct contribution to the development of Ukrainian attack UAVs, missiles and anti-tank systems.

Tusind tak 🇩🇰

And Defense Minister Umerov’s:

Ukraine and Denmark signed a Letter of Intent regarding the implementation of financial support for defense production in 🇺🇦.

This will help attract almost 600 million euros of investment in our defense industry.

This is a direct contribution to the development of Ukrainian attack UAVs, missiles and anti-tank systems. Denmark allocates 175 million euros, and another 400 million will be taken from surplus profits of immobilised russian assets.

We are sincerely grateful to our partners for their unwavering support! 🇺🇦🇩🇰
@Forsvarsmin @troelslundp

Alaska:

“On Sept 23, 2024, NORAD aircraft flew a safe and disciplined intercept of Russian Military Aircraft in the Alaska ADIZ. The conduct of one Russian Su-35 was unsafe, unprofessional, and endangered all – not what you’d see in a professional air force.” – Gen. Gregory Guillot pic.twitter.com/gXZj3Ndkag

— North American Aerospace Defense Command (@NORADCommand) September 30, 2024

I believe the Russian word for this is nekulturny.

More on the recent revision regarding Russia’s nuclear weapons “doctrine”:

A decision to use nuclear weapons would be driven more by political calculation than doctrinal documents. If the Kremlin believes using such weapons enhances its power, it may do so – regardless of official texts.@KyivIndependent @SCEEUS_UI https://t.co/AAJKFNZNfa

— Andreas Umland (@UmlandAndreas) September 30, 2024

Anders Umland in The Kyiv Independent: (emphasis mine)

Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a seemingly significant modification of Russia’s military doctrine in a statement on Sept. 25. He revealed that the new doctrine would propose considering aggression against Russia by a non-nuclear state, “with the participation or support of a nuclear state,” as a “joint attack” on Russia. Putin’s message to the West is clear: If you help Ukraine militarily, we may also target you.

The Russian president further explained that the new doctrine will “clearly set the conditions for Russia to transition to using nuclear weapons.”

“We will consider such a possibility (of nuclear retaliation) when we receive reliable information about a massive launch of air and space attack assets and them crossing our state border,” Putin warned darkly, citing “strategic and tactical aircraft, cruise missiles, drones, (and)  hypersonic and other flying vehicles.” He clarified that the changes apply to both Russia and Belarus.

What makes this threat different from Putin’s earlier ones is not its boldness but that it concerns a forthcoming formal document. Despite this, Putin’s announcements do not fundamentally alter Russia’s position. The pre-announced changes to Russia’s military doctrine are as much a psychological operation by the Kremlin as previous nuclear intimidations.

As with past threats, Moscow aims to scare away foreign supporters of Ukraine from continuing and expanding their aid. The proposed change in military doctrine is another attempt to curtail Western assistance to Ukraine.

However, it’s important to put Putin’s statement in context. Russian official texts – whether laws, doctrines, or treaties – carry little weight in a country where there is no rule of law and state behavior is marked by arbitrariness. As in domestic affairs, Kremlin decisions are based on political preferences, with legal acts being adapted, interpreted or amended as needed.

Putin’s latest threats are linked to ongoing strategic debates in the West. One critical discussion is whether to provide Ukraine with more advanced  weaponry, including Germany’s highly effective, yet now notorious, Taurus cruise missiles. Another debate concerns allowing Ukraine to use Western missiles inside Russia. The latter, in particular, seems to be a source of concern for the Kremlin.

These issues must be viewed in their broader historical context. For more than two years, Ukraine has attacked Russian military targets in Crimea, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kherson oblasts – territories Russia considers its own following the illegal annexations of 2014 and 2022, as well as respective changes in the Russian Constitution.

More recently, Ukraine has also targeted military and industrial sites within Russia’s undisputed territory, including a drone attack on the Kremlin. Some of these strikes, particularly those on large ammunition depots deep inside Russia, have been notably successful.

Russia’s current military doctrine already allows the use of nuclear weapons in response to conventional attacks. Since 2010, the doctrine has permitted nuclear retaliation if the state’s existence is threatened by conventional weapons. This provision was reaffirmed in the 2020 “Foundations of State Policy of the Russian Federation in the Area of Nuclear Deterrence.” Given Ukraine’s repeated attacks on Russian territory, Moscow could have invoked this doctrine long ago as justification for a nuclear response.

Since 2014, Putin and his associates have repeatedly signaled their willingness to use nuclear weapons in response to Western-supported Ukrainian resistance against Russia’s territorial expansion using conventional weaponry.

The phrase “the very existence of the Russian state” could be interpreted to encompass the inviolability of its borders and the security of its airspace – including the annexed Ukrainian territories that Moscow now views as part of Russia. Ukraine’s strikes and incursions into legitimate and illegally held Russian territory since 2022 could also have been viewed by the Kremlin as justification for retaliating with weapons of mass destruction.

However, no nuclear weapons have been used. This is because Russian threats – whether verbal or written – are not previews of actual actions. They are part of a psychological warfare campaign aimed at undermining Ukraine’s defense. Putin’s recent announcement of changes to Russia’s military doctrine is just another move in this high-stakes PR game.

A decision to use nuclear weapons would be driven more by political calculations than by doctrinal documents. If the Kremlin believes that using such weapons would enhance its power, it may act – regardless of the specific wording in official texts. Political utility, rather than legal obligation, will guide Moscow’s choices.

Imagine that, it was political warfare all along!

Vochansk, Kharkiv Oblast:

Today Russian forces launched a major attack on the Kharkiv front, in the town of Vovchansk:

From the Russian side 17 MT-LB, 3 tanks and more than 100 infantry were involved in the assault operations in the Vovchan direction.

16 MT-LBs were destroyed, 1 tank was knocked out,… pic.twitter.com/XOdOUZm3FT

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 30, 2024

Today Russian forces launched a major attack on the Kharkiv front, in the town of Vovchansk:

From the Russian side 17 MT-LB, 3 tanks and more than 100 infantry were involved in the assault operations in the Vovchan direction.

16 MT-LBs were destroyed, 1 tank was knocked out, which was able to retreat together with survivors.

As said by Ukrainian soldier: “The boys confidently met Russian armor in the Vovchansk front, as I said, the units were ready for this, so they worked confidently.

In addition to the destroyed iron, there are a lot of corpses lying around them, since almost all the boxes were with infantry.”

https://t.me/BaluHub777/14990

Kherson Oblast:

I always wondered how my great-grandparents could be murdered by the Nazis in #BabinYar.

Where was the world?

Couldn’t the civilized people stop the massacre?

Today, on the 83rd anniversary of their death, I see how genocides happen.

I am watching it now–in #Kherson. https://t.co/V91ltx7d2p

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) September 29, 2024

The Pokrovsk front:

Javelin in action 🔥
🇺🇦 warrior destroyed a russian T-72B3 tank using 🇺🇸-made anti-tank system.

📹: Kara-Dag Brigade pic.twitter.com/fIVUhR5vAG

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 30, 2024

The Kursk cross border offensive:

One takeaway from this war is the limited role of special forces in environments with heavy drone ISR presence. On both sides, special forces are often doing drone missions that regular mobilized soldiers can do. It’s a major shift from the GWOT-era dominated SpecialOps discourse https://t.co/DrGQNcevht

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) September 30, 2024

Moscow:

Russia’s military expenditures will increase to 13.5 trillion rubles ($145.3 billion) or 6.3% of GDP in 2025.

The Russian government has submitted a draft budget for 2025 and the next two years to the State Duma.

This amount is almost double the military spending in 2024 and is… pic.twitter.com/PqZKcBoRC8

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 30, 2024

Russia’s military expenditures will increase to 13.5 trillion rubles ($145.3 billion) or 6.3% of GDP in 2025.

The Russian government has submitted a draft budget for 2025 and the next two years to the State Duma.

This amount is almost double the military spending in 2024 and is the highest figure in the country’s post-Soviet history.

Earlier, Bloomberg predicted that in 2025, the Russian authorities intend to increase defense spending to 13.2 trillion rubles ($142.1 billion), but the published figures turned out to be even higher. At the same time, spending on national security coincides with the published data of the publication – almost 3.46 trillion rubles ($37.3 billion).

◾️It also follows from the draft budget that the Russian authorities plan to spend almost 1.58 trillion rubles ($17 billion) on education in 2025, 1.86 trillion rubles ($20 billion) on health care, and 6.4 trillion rubles ($68.9 billion) on social policy.

◾️In 2025, Russian housing and utilities tariffs will increase by 11.9%. This is twice as much as it was planned last year.

◾️Gas will rise in price by 10.3% and electricity by 12.6%. A year ago, tariffs in 2025 were planned to be indexed by 5.7%. In 2024, tariffs rose by 9.8%.

◾️The 2025 Russian budget allocates 49 million rubles ($527.6 thousand) for the Readovka Telegram channel. Vladimir Solovyev’s Solovyev Live TV channel will also receive state funding. From 2025 to 2027, 4.5 billion rubles ($48.5 million) will be allocated to it.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

First some adjacent material.

Good morning from Ukraine! Let’s make it a productive week.

📷: @DPSU_ua pic.twitter.com/5whC62qbrx

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 30, 2024

The two horses were in the open, 2 kilometers from enemy positions in Donetsk region. One of the horses was wounded.

Ukrainian Defenders Oleksandr and Stepan found them on their way back from a combat mission and immediately started looking for help.

Animal Rescue Kharkiv… pic.twitter.com/w3nTXb4eg8

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 30, 2024

The two horses were in the open, 2 kilometers from enemy positions in Donetsk region. One of the horses was wounded.

Ukrainian Defenders Oleksandr and Stepan found them on their way back from a combat mission and immediately started looking for help.

Animal Rescue Kharkiv rescuers together with the military went to the site to rescue the horses. Since the terrain was open, they had to take the horses 2 kilometers on foot to the first place where they could park a car with a trailer.

It took about 2 hours to get the horses into the trailer.

Thanks to Warriors Oleksandr and Stepan and their teamwork with the rescuers, the injured mare and her friend were saved. They turned out to be very sociable.

📹: ARK

And a new video from Patron’s official TikTok:

@patron__dsns

Гігабайти цінного контенту 🌝📸 #песпатрон

♬ original sound – Vtshop – Vtshop

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Gigabytes of valuable content 🌝📸 #песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 950: Russia’s Butcher’s Bill for September 2024Post + Comments (9)

Georgia!

by WaterGirl|  September 30, 20248:07 pm| 119 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I don’t now where this case goes from here, but this is cause for celebration!

SISTERSONG WOMEN OF COLOR ) REPRODUCTIVE JUSTICE ) COLLECTIVE, on behalf of itself and )
CIVIL ACTION
its members et al., Plaintiffs
v.
STATE OF GEORGIA, Defendant

I had to do a series of ugly copy & pastes, so I just broke this up randomly between sentences.  Here’s the original order.

Whether one couches it as liberty or privacy (or even equal protection), this dispute is fundamentally about the extent of a woman’s right to control what happens to and within her body. The baseline rule is clear: a legally competent person has absolute authority over her body and should brook no governmental interference in what she does — and does not do — in terms of health, hygiene, and the like.10 Cruzan v. Director, MDH, 497 U.S. 261, 269 (1990) (“Every human being of adult years and sound mind has a right to determine what shall be done with his own body”). Unsurprisingly, the manner in which Georgia’s courts have interpreted and applied these provisions of the State Constitution (and the rights flowing from them) firmly supports such a position. G

luttony and self-deprivation are both constitutionally protected lifestyles. People are free to tattoo or pierce any and every square inch of their skin. And, ordinarily, one can pursue — or refuse — medical care, elective or essential.
But here, in this case and this debate, there is one more important fact — the pregnancy — that changes the constitutional analysis.

At some point, the pregnancy acquires its own rights that deserve protection, protection that can conflict with the mother’s exercise of her rights. We struggle mightily — and not always peaceably — with determining when that point arrives. For some, that moment is conception: when sperm fertilizes egg and a zygote is formed — a single cell with a unique combination of DNA drawn from each parent — a new life begins, a life vested with all the protections our Constitution affords living human beings. See, e.g., LePage v. Ctr. for Reprod. Med., P.C., — So. 3d. —, SC-2022-0515, 2024 WL 656591 at *16 (Ala. Feb. 16, 2024) (“We believe that each human being, from the moment of conception, is made in the image of God, created by Him to reflect His likeness.”) (Parker, C.J., concurring).

For many others, including Georgians until the LIFE Act was passed, that tipping point is viability, when the fetus — now fully formed — can survive outside the mother. See, e.g., Conn. Gen. Stat. Ann. § 19a-602(a) (“The decision to terminate a pregnancy prior to the viability of the fetus shall be solely that of the patient”); 775 Ill. Comp. Stat. Ann. 55/1-25; Me. Rev. Stat. tit. 22, § 1598.

Our Legislature — or at least the Legislature as it was composed back in 2019 — has, through the now-resurrected LIFE Act, offered yet another perspective: life begins with the establishment of a pre-fetal circulatory system.11 That point, according to the LIFE Act, is when embryo and mother become co-equal, enjoying the same rights under the Constitution.12

Thus in Georgia today a pregnancy that persists beyond the detection of this initial heartbeat — that is, a post-embryonic cardiac activity pregnancy (PECAP) — may not be terminated unless one of several narrow exceptions applies. Indeed, anyone performing or facilitating a non-exempt PECAP termination is, under the LIFE Act, guilty of a felony offense.13 O.C.G.A. § 16-12-140. And that creates the issue to be decided here: how to balance the rights of a not-yet-viable fetus against the rights of the only person in this great wide world who can — by choice or by legislative imposition — maintain that pregnancy until it is viable?14

For these women, the liberty of privacy means that they alone should choose whether they serve as human incubators for the five months leading up to viability. It is not for a legislator, a judge, or a Commander from The Handmaid’s Tale to tell these women what to do with their bodies during this period when the fetus cannot survive outside the womb any more so than society could — or should — force them to serve as a human tissue bank or to give up a kidney for the benefit of another.21,22

Considering the compelling record evidence about the physical, mental, and emotional impact of unwanted pregnancies on the women who are forced by law to carry them to term (as well as on their other living children), the Court finds that, until the pregnancy is viable, a woman’s right to make decisions about her body and her health remains private and protected, i.e., remains her business and her business alone.

When someone other than the pregnant woman is able to sustain the fetus, then — and only then — should those other voices have a say in the discussion about the decisions the pregnant woman makes concerning her body and what is growing within it.23

Conclusion

The authors of our Constitutions, state and federal, entrusted to future generations a charter protecting the right of all persons to enjoy liberty as we learn its meaning. When new insight reveals discord between the Constitution’s central protections and a received legal stricture, a claim to liberty must be addressed.

...demonstrates that liberty in Georgia includes in its meaning, in its protections, and in its bundle of rights the power of a woman to control her own body, to decide what happens to it and in it, and to reject state interference with her healthcare choices. That power is not, however, unlimited. When a fetus growing inside a woman reaches viability, when society can assume care and responsibility for that separate life, then — and only then — may society intervene. An arbitrary six-week ban on PECAP terminations is inconsistent with these rights and the proper balance that a viability rule establishes between a woman’s rights of liberty and privacy and society’s interest in protecting and caring for unborn infants.

Accordingly, Section 4 of the LIFE Act is hereby DECLARED unconstitutional.33 The State and all its agents, to include any County, Municipal, or other local authority, are once again ENJOINED from seeking to enforce in any manner the LIFE Act’s PECAP termination ban in Georgia. Because Section 4 is stricken and thus its amendments to O.C.G.A. § 16-12-141 are gone, Section 11 necessarily fails as well, as a woman does not require a legislatively bestowed exception to pursue a pre-viability PECAP termination. Finally, O.C.G.A. 16-12-141(f) is DECLARED unconstitutional. It, too, shall not be enforced by the State or any of its agents.

The law of Georgia reverts to what was (and remains) constitutional in this State at he time of the LIFE Act’s passage.

Georgia!Post + Comments (119)

Monday Evening Open Thread: Colin Allred for Texas

by Anne Laurie|  September 30, 20246:54 pm| 120 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Local Races, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

The @tedcruz cycle is real: complain about the border, block solutions, then blame others. 11 years of press conferences, nothing to show for it. Time to fire him! https://t.co/wfIbTdTqes

— Isaiah Martin (@isaiahrmartin) September 30, 2024

Ted Cruz’ defense for helping Trump Kill The Border Bill… is we had lower immigrant crossings during COVID… when we also had fewer CBP officials in the field COUNTING..that any time in the last 7 decades.

&Thanks to #CancunCruz Texas had more COVID cases than all of Mexico. pic.twitter.com/LPw8V2Vu54

— Hal Sparks (@HalSparks) September 30, 2024

Allred: Ted Cruz would not last a second in a locker room. He would not last a second in an NFL locker room or my college locker room because we could spot guys like him a mile away. We called them ‘me guys.’ The ‘me guys’ were the ones who were always looking out for themselves… pic.twitter.com/pPoFPdQwBG

— Acyn (@Acyn) September 30, 2024

The Democrats’ current funding advantage gives us the opportunity to boost ‘marginal’ candidates like Colin Allred. Even if he doesn’t win — and Ted Cruz is a pissant who performs worse the harder he’s pressed — the GOP will have had to spend money in Texas that they could’ve used in swing states instead.

“We have flawed Republican candidates in Ted Cruz and Rick Scott… And we have very strong Democratic candidates, Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in Florida and Colin Allred in Texas.”

LISTEN: DSCC Chair Sen. Gary Peters on our new multi-million dollar TV investment in Texas and Florida… pic.twitter.com/DdKEhL4uFM

— Senate Democrats (@dscc) September 30, 2024

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Keep hope alive!

It's happening my friends – this race is winnable! @ColinAllredTX https://t.co/8lKoVZC8sZ

— Wendy Davis (@wendydavis) September 30, 2024

… A Public Policy Polling/Clean and Prosperous America survey of 759 registered Texas voters showed Cruz is ahead of Allred by 47 percent to 46. In a previous August poll, the incumbent led Allred by 2 points (47 percent to 45). The poll was carried out on September 25-26. The results have a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

The survey adds Cruz has a negative net favorability rating, and has fallen from a minus 6 in August to minus 8 points (41 percent favorable and 49 said unfavorable).

Allred has a plus 5 net favorable rating (40 percent favorable and 35 percent unfavorable), down from a plus 7 net rating in August…

If Allred were to beat Cruz in November, he would be the first Democratic senator in the Lone Star State since 1988. An Allred victory in Texas could also be vital in the Democratic Party’s bid to hold on to the upper chamber…

Polling suggests that Cruz could be in another tight reelection race. He narrowly beat then Texas Congressman Beto O’Rourke in 2018.

A recent Morning Consult poll of 2,716 likely voters showed that Allred was ahead in the 2024 Texas Senate race (45 percent to 44 percent), though forecasters and experts believe Cruz will still come out on top in the competitive Texas Senate race.

“Cruz’s close call with O’Rourke in 2018 took place in an election year that favored Democratic candidates, and whether 2024 ultimately turns out to favor one party or neither remains to be seen,” Joshua Blank, director of research for the Texas Politics Project at The University of Texas at Austin, previously told Newsweek…

#BREAKING: @tedcruz and @ColinAllredTX agree to their first televised debate.

It's Tuesday, October 15 at 7:00p at @WFAA's downtown Dallas studios.

You can watch the hour-long debate on-air and online on all of @TEGNA's 12 stations in Texas.https://t.co/bJHXZMCwSy

— Jason Whitely (@JasonWhitely) September 20, 2024

Folks around the country are seeing what Texans already know: we are going to beat Ted Cruz.

We’ve got 37 days to prove that WE is more powerful than me. Join our fight at https://t.co/2dROrrPU0n pic.twitter.com/p7Ki4d82gF

— Colin Allred (@ColinAllredTX) September 29, 2024

Monday Evening Open Thread: Colin Allred for TexasPost + Comments (120)

Forget the Conventional Wisdom, or At Least Ignore It!

by WaterGirl|  September 30, 20244:31 pm| 120 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Political Action, Political Fundraising, Politics, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

On Wisconsin!

With just 5 weeks left to go, we are embarking on our next big fundraising push. We’re now at the point where billionaire dollars are flying in to attack the good guys!

With headlies like this from the media:

Rush of Billionaire Cash Poised to Topple Democrats’ Key Senator
and
Tester falls behind in way he hasn’t before over two decades

We are supposed to be scared and demoralized.

Screw that – we have our secret weapons.

Four Directions turning out the Native vote.  Polling is not recognizing the motivation and enthusiasm of the BIPOC community, not to mention childless cat ladies.  And we can’t forget those “useless” women who are over 50!

https://twitter.com/tbonier/status/1839830108254720122

The Republican party thinks defeating Tester is the key to Republican control of the Senate, we are not that short-sighted.  Definitely not giving up on Tester, but we can multitask.

Enter Nebraska.

Dan Osborn is a pro-choice, pro-labor Independent running for Senate in Nebraska against Republican Deb Fischer. He hasn’t taken a cent of corporate cash and has vowed never to do so.

His campaign for Senate spent most of 2024 in obscurity, ignored by the national media and written off by political observers despite the fact he has polled even with Deb Fischer since July. This has changed. In the last week polls have shown Dan up 1 point and attack ads against Dan from outside Republican groups have started pouring into the state.

We have talked with the director of field operations for the Osborn campaign, and they have committed to using our donations for field operations.  Nothing else.

The Osborn campaign has had little funding and a skeleton staff until now, but with our support, the campaign is and will build out a state-wide grassroots operation, hiring field organizers and opening offices not just in Omaha and Lincoln, but in rural Nebraska towns such as Scottbluff, Kearney and North Platte. With our support, they will bring Dan’s message to voters across Nebraska and get out the vote on election day.

 

https://twitter.com/OsbornForSenate/status/1838564454767669329

You want options?  We have options!

They want us rocking in a corner, but we’re going on offense!

Latest info on Angel matching in the first comment below.

Nebraska


Donate

Montana


Donate

North Carolina


Donate

OTHER NC THERMOMETER COMING IN A DAY OR SO

Arizona

WE MET OUR GOAL FOR THE AZ SUPREME COURT & ABORTION PROTECTION! GREAT WORK EVERYONE!


Donate

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Forget the Conventional Wisdom, or At Least Ignore It!Post + Comments (120)

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