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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Republicans firmly believe having an abortion is a very personal, very private decision between a woman and J.D. Vance.

Trump should be leading, not lying.

Hot air and ill-informed banter

They punch you in the face and then start crying because their fist hurts.

Giving up is unforgivable.

Bad people in a position to do bad things will do bad things because they are bad people. End of story.

… riddled with inexplicable and elementary errors of law and fact

There are times when telling just part of the truth is effectively a lie.

A sufficient plurality of insane, greedy people can tank any democratic system ever devised, apparently.

the 10% who apparently lack object permanence

Make the republican party small enough to drown in a bathtub.

The world has changed, and neither one recognizes it.

Their boy Ron is an empty plastic cup that will never know pudding.

These are not very smart people, and things got out of hand.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

Imperialist aggressors must be defeated, or the whole world loses.

Just because you believe it, that does not make it true.

Whatever happens next week, the fight doesn’t end.

“What are Republicans afraid of?” Everything.

Accused of treason; bitches about the ratings. I am in awe.

There are no moderate republicans – only extremists and cowards.

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

The gop is a fucking disgrace.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

North Carolina Is In Play!

by WaterGirl|  September 29, 20244:18 pm| 31 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

Repeat after me: North Carolina is in play.

North Carolina is a voter-suppressed state, and BIPOC Youth are going to make a difference.  We’ll find in just a month or more, but they may make not just “a difference”, but THE DIFFERENCE.

Ballot Curing in North Carolina

Our partners in North Carolina (NC Black Alliance and NCAAT in Action) have, with our help, flooded North Carolina campuses with canvassers and “ambassadors” to register, educate, and turn out the newly-energized BIPOC youth vote.  With their other in-state partners, they’re working together to avoid duplication of effort.  This fundraiser will also continue to support this effort.

But mostly with this effort we are helping with Election Protection in NC.

Our NC partners predict that there will be 150,000 ballots in November that need “curing” to correct minor things that must be fixed in order for a person’s vote to count.  Not a typo:  150,000 ballots!

There is so much work to be done post-election in order for people’s votes to count:  identify, contact, and assist voters whose ballots are challenged as deficient by the Republican voter-suppression juggernaut.

Here’s an NPR article explaining “ballot curing.

In an election likely to have razor-thin margins, these challenged votes could change the outcome! 

We’ll have separate thermometers for NC Black Alliance and NCAAT in Action.

Key Candidates in North Carolina

There is a lot of money sloshing around in North Carolina.  So we asked our NC partners for a short list of candidates who could really use our money and whose election would make a difference in the lives of North Carolinians and protect the state from its corrupt and overreaching Republican party.   They had one question for us:  Candidates at what level?   My answer was “any level; we want to support the most strategic races.”  Based on their recommendation, it clear that their focus was on the courts.

Allison Riggs – NC State Supreme Court Justice (KEEP)

The seven-justice NC Supreme Court has a 5-2 Republican majority.  The MAGA court threw out a voting rights case and allowed the legislature free reign to gerrymander the state.  Justice Riggs is a social justice attorney who was appointed by Governor Roy Cooper, and is up for partisan reelection against a Republican challenger who ruled that life begins at conception while on the Court of Appeal.  More about Judge Riggs here.

Carolyn Thompson – NC Court of Appeals  (KEEP)

Incumbent Judge Thompson is also up for partisan re-election.  She is African-American and focused on victims of domestic violence while in private practice.  As a state legislator, her opponent, Thomas Murry, tried to exempt NC from the ACA and pushed draconian voter ID laws.  More on Judge Thompson here.

Raymond Smith – Challenger, State Senate (FLIP!)  

Raymond Smith is an African American Gulf War veteran and former NC state Assembly member.  Smith was drawn out of his district (total coincidence, I’m sure!)  so he is running to flip a Senate seat in the Goldsboro area and shatter the Republican super-majority.  Let’s hope the Republican power move backfires on them.  His opponent, with the Republican-sounding name of Eldon “Buck” Sharpe Newton III is Chair of the Judiciary Committee.  Good ‘ol Buck championed outlawing public mask wearing in protests and shepherded a performative measure limiting voting rights to citizens.  More on Raymond Smith here.

We trust our engaged and on-the-ground NC partners to recommend candidates, but we’ll also revisit other potential candidates in NC and elsewhere after Q3 fundraising totals are released (shortly).

Again, no thermometers just yet, but I wanted to let you know about one of the directions we’ll be heading to this week.

There’s just too much going on for a *single post.

*Not if I want anyone to actually read it, that is.

North Carolina Is In Play!Post + Comments (31)

Low Hopes for the VP Debate

by @heymistermix.com|  September 29, 20243:34 pm| 133 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Low Hopes for the VP Debate

Welp,

NEW YORK (AP) — CBS News, hosting vice presidential candidates JD Vance and Tim Walz for the general election campaign’s third debate next week, says it will be up to the politicians — not the moderators — to check the facts of their opponents.

The 90-minute debate, scheduled for 9 p.m. Eastern on Tuesday in a Manhattan studio that once hosted the children’s program “Captain Kangaroo,” will be moderated by the outgoing “CBS Evening News” anchor Norah O’Donnell and “Face the Nation” host Margaret Brennan.

Vance comes off as far more coherent than Trump.  He’s smarmy and full of shit, but at least he can stay focused.  I trust Walz to do a good job, but there’s really only so much he can do if the debate is going to be like the first CNN debate, where the moderators just read off questions while Trump lied his ass off.  Also, Vance is desperate and without any moral core, and desperation will yield some pretty shocking shit.

Speaking of desperation, I’m sure that CBS is doing this out of a desperate desire to still be relevant, even though anyone who’s been paying attention realizes that national TV news is pretty much irrelevant to viewers who aren’t in the market for laxatives, statins and hemorrhoid cream.

In general, I have low hopes for any of our weak institutions.  This includes our federal criminal justice system, which is hopelessly infected with Trumpism from the top to all of the red state districts.

This doesn’t mean that I’m ready to give up — far from it.  What it means is that I don’t want to put energy into media criticism of the old, creaky, failing institutional press*, or into hope about the federal Trump prosecutions.  I’d rather see what’s happening on Bluesky, TikTok and other social media, where most of the voters who decide this election are getting their news.

What gives me the most hope is that the Harris campaign seems to realize that what Atrios would call “the celestial hall monitors” aren’t going to do shit for them, and are best ignored.  I do wonder whether it really matters that the Times or the Post is spending their time wishing and hoping and thinking and praying that Trump is elected.  The proof will be in the election, and I’m pretty optimistic that Harris is going to win despite the worst efforts of our weak and corrupted institutions.

——–

* I fully acknowledge that I won’t be able to break old habits, but it’s worth a try.

Low Hopes for the VP DebatePost + Comments (133)

Heads Up – Enter Nebraska – In a New Way

by WaterGirl|  September 29, 202411:52 am| 51 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

I talked with our Four Directions peeps this morning to let them know that we had completed our latest $30k fundraising for Four Directions AZ.  And I let them know that we are about to embark on another round of funding for Four Directions MT, because I’m tired of all the “Jon Tester can’t win” gloom, which is bullshit.  I believe that you fight hard, and the chips will fall where they fall.  No regrets.

I also let them know that I got pissed off at Josh Marshall’s nay-saying about Nebraska, dismissing the likelihood of a win even though the latest polls show them as neck and neck – so we’re about to do another round of fundraising for Dan Osborne, the Independent who has the incumbent on the ropes.

I was thinking of calling the upcoming efforts for Jon Tester and Dan Osborn “The Senate’s not dead yet!“, or possibly “A Flip and a Keep!”

Our friends at Four Directions have put me in touch with the someone close to the Dan Osborn campaign, who in turn is putting me in touch with the Field Director for the Osborn campaign.  So this looks to be a great opportunity for us to help with this Senate race in a very boots-on-the-ground way!

I’ll give you all an update after we talk.

My name is Dan Osborn. I'm an independent labor leader running for Senate in Nebraska. I'm down only 1 point to Republican incumbent Deb Fischer! This could be the upset of the decade.

Check out our NEW ad. 👇 pic.twitter.com/TRIdjTp8EI

— Dan Osborn (@osbornforne) September 24, 2024

In the meantime: this is the same ad, but not on twitter.  If you find this on YouTube, let me know.

https://app.frame.io/presentations/523bf80a-0db4-4eca-a9e4-6b2e66da3fef

Here’s a great article:

Princeton Election Consortium  (aka Sam Wang)

But then, enter Nebraska.

The Nebraska race escaped my attention until several close polls came up. There are not many surveys, but Republican incumbent Senator Deb Fischer only leads her challenger, independent Dan Osborn, by a median of 2 percentage points. That is rather amazing, considering that in 2018, she won re-election by 19 points. What’s going on?

First, Senator Fischer is pretty low-profile. She has not made much news during her time in the Senate. She did not cast aspersions on the honest conduct of the 2020 Presidential election, which distinguished her from her election-denier colleagues. That might make her a bit bland by current Republican standards.

Dan Osborn is an interesting candidate. He’s a steamfitter by trade, and became well known in 2021 for leading a successful strike at a Kellogg’s plant in Omaha. This year he competed for the Democratic Senate nomination – but then turned it down. Walking away from the Democratic Party is probably good for one’s reputation in Nebraska. And he’s gotten the support of the Legal Marijuana Now Party (LMN), which has ballot access in Nebraska but withdrew its candidate to make way for Osborn.

Osborn trails narrowly by a median of 2 points (see FiveThirtyEight, which provides our data feed).

But in one survey, when respondents were read his biography and Senator Fischer’s, he jumped to a 53%-39% lead. So he has considerable upside potential.

I don’t know if he can go the distance; that might be tough for an independent. Recall that in the 2014 Kansas Senate race, Greg Orman ran as an independent and kept things close, as I wrote at NewYorker.com at the time, but he faltered at the end. But for now, Osborn might be a game-changer.

Also, great job hitting our goals for Arizona – for Four Directions and Worker Power!

Anyway, no thermometers yet but I wanted to let you know about one of the directions we’ll be heading to this week.

We’re also going back to North Carolina this week, which I will tell you about in a separate post.

Open thread!

Heads Up – Enter Nebraska – In a New WayPost + Comments (51)

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Dreaming of A Lost (Purple) World

by Anne Laurie|  September 29, 20249:21 am| 179 Comments

This post is in: Music, Open Threads, Popular Culture

Watch: Airbnb is offering Prince fans the chance to immerse themselves in the world of the Kid, 40 years after the film’s premiere. pic.twitter.com/RpU11Hwgnm

— The Associated Press (@AP) September 29, 2024

Feeling lucky, music lovers — or creative? Per the Associated Press, “Prince fans can party overnight like it’s 1999 with Airbnb rental of ‘Purple Rain’ house”:

For a short time, up to 100 Prince fans visiting the music superstar’s hometown will have a place to stay when the party’s over that will let them go crazy over his cultural legacy, a home featured in the film “Purple Rain.”

Although the white, two-story home with brown trim in Minneapolis looks unassuming from the outside, there’s plenty inside to make the late icon’s devotees delirious over this new, limited-time Airbnb rental. Upstairs, a big closet with paisley wallpaper and leopard-spotted floor displays iconic outfits worn by Prince behind glass and has other outfits available to make renters the beautiful ones.

“And then what guests will be able to do themselves is actually play around with a selection of really iconic ‘80s outfits and looks and styles that they can kind of engage their inner rock star themselves,” said Ali Killam, an Airbnb spokesperson.

The rentals are within reach for fans who don’t own diamonds and pearls — just $7 a night per person for up to four guests. The price is based on Prince’s favorite number and there will be a total of 25 nightly stays available over seven weeks from Oct. 26 to Dec. 14.

The Airbnb rentals are a sign o’ the times — the 40th anniversary of the movie. It starred Prince as The Kid, a musician and band leader with a rocky life in the home featured on screen.

The film, along with the hit album of the same name, made Prince a superstar through songs like the title track, “Let’s Go Crazy,” and “When Doves Cry.” Those followed other hits, such as “1999” and “Little Red Corvette,” and he sold more than 100 million records with a gender- and genre-defying blend of rock, funk and soul. He died April 21, 2016, of an accidental fentanyl overdose at age 57 at his Paisley Park estate in Chanhassen, Minnesota…

If U would die 4 Prince, you can request a booking online, starting at 6 a.m. Pacific time on Oct. 2 and through 11:59 p.m. Pacific on Oct. 6. Airbnb says a pool of potential guests will be chosen at random, and the final invitations to rent will be based on fans’ answers for why they want to stay there.

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Dreaming of A Lost (Purple) WorldPost + Comments (179)

Saturday Night Open Thread: For the Historical Archives

by Anne Laurie|  September 28, 202411:13 pm| 186 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Media, Open Threads

Everything the Pitchbot says here is accurate. Yes, journalists circle the wagons against their critics because a lot of them have thin skins, but there’s also a palpable fear of what conservatives could do to them if they covered Trump the way he ought to be. https://t.co/DoZC97Oouf

— Jeremy Fassler (@J_fassler) September 22, 2024

Sometimes I feel like future historians (assuming such exist) will hunt for some logical explanation of our current media’s consistent failure to treat the current Republican party, as exemplified by TFG and the SC(R)OTUS, as a potentially civilization-ending threat: Microplastics crossing the blood/brain barrier, or epigenetic damage caused by food services at upper-end universities. But it’s really simple: Our Very Serious Media Betters have spent so many years, and grown so prosperous, recycling sewage… that they’ve developed a taste for it!

(1/X) I hate doing these, but I feel like I'm being baited to do so. A few days ago Maggie H did an interview where she complained criticism of her reporting, James Fallows answered back (mentioning this account) and Jon Chait and some Reason bro took a shot at Fallows for…

— New York Times Pitchbot (@DougJBalloon) September 22, 2024

(2/X) praising this account. First things first…Jon Chait and some obscure Reason bro lecturing James Fallows about journalism is ludicrous. Fallows is a legend, a five-time National Magazine Award finalist. More on this later…

(3/X) But first, Maggie admits “The systems are just fundamentally – they were not built to deal with somebody who says things that are not true as often as he does or speaks as incoherently as he (Trump) often does.” That’s exactly the point of all the criticism…

(4/X) of her and the Times’ coverage of Trump. It’s not built for Trump. Trump is hold to lower standards. Let’s just take a couple examples. The Times played a big role in forcing Biden out of the race (which has worked out great for Dems)…

(5/X) Two or three times a week, Trump does something that is more strongly indicative of dementia than anything Biden did during that debate. Is there any move to force him out?
——
(7/X) Likewise, there has been coverage of the hacked Trump campaign emails. I agree it is better not to cover them. But there is no way they wouldn’t be getting covered if they were emails from a Democratic campaign.

(8/X) I don’t think anyone can dispute either of those two points: that there’s been no coverage of Trump’s dementia comparable to the discussion of Biden’s age and that hacked Democratic campaign emails would be getting covered.

(9/X). That’s a different standard and one that is markedly lower for Trump. It’s that simple. It doesn’t mean that the Times hasn’t taught the public a lot about Trump. There have been a lot of revealing stories. But they are easier on Trump than on other candidates..

show full post on front page

(10/X) That’s how narcissistic sociopaths work. They get weak institutions to make special rules for them. What I find fascinating about the discussion of this obvious fact is that you have an in crowd (Times political journalists, ppl like Chait, large account Substackers),

(11/X) Who devote themselves to denying this obvious fact and those who assert its truth. It doesn’t matter if the person asserting is a no name like or a legend like James Fallows or James Risen. Doesn’t matter, they deserve scorn and derision.

(12/X) There are no serious arguments, just a lot of RESPECT MUH AUTHORITY and boiler-plate evidence-free assertions. Serious people know that Trump is getting tough coverage is the thrust of it.
——
(16/X) And no facts or investigation can change any of it. The Times is tough on Trump because they are tough on Trump. Don’t you get it, Resistance libtard?

Some so-called journalists are Trump’s mouthpiece. That’s not journalism, it’s propaganda. pic.twitter.com/XGxXNxQeJz

— Frances🇺🇸🦅 (@francesahen) September 22, 2024

The Fallows piece in question:

Obviously I disagree w main points here: that press has overall done very good job covering Trump, and that there is a left-wing "industry" that is "dedicated toward attacking the media," especially NYT.

But (seriously, no snark) credit to at least one prominent NYT figure for… https://t.co/OQdSJGERGS

— James Fallows (@JamesFallows) September 21, 2024

But (seriously, no snark) credit to at least one prominent NYT figure for acknowledging that there is a critique.

Next step would be engagement on some specifics people have actually been asking about:

– Why framing / headline / social-promo of stories takes a certain shape so predictably as to have given rise to the Pitchbot
– Why no retrospective public discussion, at all, about coverage in 2016 (Her emails!!!!) and lessons thereof. After Iraq WMD coverage, NYT under Bill Keller did a public retrospective (“what we got wrong”) etc
– Why no public explanation of diff between coverage of HRC/Podesta Russian-hacked emails and silence on Trump Iranian-hacked emails
– Why diff between extent / persistence of Biden “fitness to govern” cognitive overage vs Trump-cognitive issues.
– Thoughts about proportion of “guy in a diner” stories, vs “women in the suburbs” stories. And proportion of “econ is good but feels bad” stories.
– Whether there’s a diff in general outlook of coverage of US politics (need for “balance”) vs coverage of the rest of the range of news.
And so on

Worth considering this as a start.

Outlets like the Times eliminated their public editor/ombudsman positions in the name of austerity and corporate synergy. With the excuse that social media would hold them accountable. Now all they do is piss and moan about social media holding them accountable. https://t.co/1UXnj97HwP

— zeddy (@Zeddary) September 23, 2024

You've been set up to fail. They made you the product designers, the marketing team, the distribution, AND the complaint department.

— zeddy (@Zeddary) September 23, 2024

Saturday Night Open Thread: For the Historical ArchivesPost + Comments (186)

War for Ukraine Day 948: Russia Double Taps a Hospital in Sumy

by Adam L Silverman|  September 28, 20249:49 pm| 11 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is still doing great. Thank you for all the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, it was a long week because of the storm, so I’m just going to run through the basics tonight.

Russia has targeted another hospital. This one a double tap drone attack in Sumy.

Russia just going more and more brutal feeling impunity, committing more atrocities. Double-tap Shahed attack on a city hospital in Sumy. At least 7 killed and dozens injured. The hospital was full of patients. pic.twitter.com/uJi6xggxQR

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 28, 2024

Sumy. Russia hit one of the city’s hospitals with “Shahed” drones. As of now, we know that 8 people have been killed. My condolences to their families and friends. Eleven others have been wounded, and 113 patients have been evacuated from the hospital.

The rescue operation is… pic.twitter.com/liI6SVKvg7

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) September 28, 2024

Sumy. Russia hit one of the city’s hospitals with “Shahed” drones. As of now, we know that 8 people have been killed. My condolences to their families and friends. Eleven others have been wounded, and 113 patients have been evacuated from the hospital.

The rescue operation is ongoing as we continue to address the aftermath and save lives. We are doing everything possible to provide our people with the help they need.

Everyone in the world who speaks about this war must pay attention to what Russia is targeting. They are waging war on hospitals, civilian objects, and people’s lives. Only strength can force Russia into peace. Peace through strength is the only right way. I thank everyone who supports us on this path.

The death toll currently stands at 10.

And, of course, the Russians continue their targeting of civilians in Kharkiv:

Russian attacks killed four civilians today in Kharkiv Oblast. A Supreme Court judge delivering humanitarian aid to locals was among the victims, with his car directly struck by a russian FPV drone. An aerial bomb strike claimed three more lives.

I can’t embed the tweet at the link because X/Twitter won’t generate an embed code for it.

Today, russia struck Slatine village in the Kharkiv region, with aerial bombs, killing at least 3 people. russia kills people in the Kharkiv region every single day.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 28, 2024


I want to make something very, very clear here, though I know most of you are aware and tracking this already. There is no legitimate military target at any of the hospitals, medical clinics, residential buildings, hotels, restaurants, supermarkets, groceries, book binderies, post offices, and all the other civilian targets the Russians have attacked in Ukraine. These aren’t dual use facilities, nor have the Ukrainians emplaced weapon systems or ammo depots or barracks next to them. Each and every one of these Russian attacks on civilian targets and infrastructure is a violation of International Humanitarian Law (IHL) and the Law of Armed Conflict (LOAC).

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Received Full Support for Our Strategy of Approaching Peace – Peace Through Strength – Address by the President

28 September 2024 – 21:25

We are on our way home from the United States. Many tasks have been accomplished during this visit.

I thank President Biden for the largest support package ever – nearly $8 billion. It includes weapons for the frontline, and air defense for our cities, and the expansion of the F-16 training mission.

I presented the Victory Plan, and we agreed that we will soon be discussing our next steps with our allies in the Ramstein format in Germany. October is the time for decisions.

We have an important follow-up to the set of security agreements – now the G7+ Declaration on Reconstruction. A clear signal that, together with our allies, we will restore normal life after the war. More than 30 countries have already joined Ukraine in this effort. There will be bilateral agreements as well – we will expand the number of countries. I thank the United States and President Biden for this leadership.

I thank the United States Congress for their unwavering bipartisan support and willingness to help us – to help us prevail. Senators, members of the House of Representatives – everyone who sees how much we can do together. We received full support for our strategy of approaching peace – peace through strength.

As was important for Ukraine, we held meetings with both U.S. presidential candidates. Meeting with Kamala Harris – all the important accents were voiced, almost an hour-long conversation. Meeting with Donald Trump – it was our second meeting since 2019 and it happened right now, when it is so important. Thank you for your attention to the details of our Victory Plan.

I thank everyone who helps to stop Russian terror and who understands that only strength can force Russia to respect the rules and follow the basic documents of the world. Life is based on principles and law when it cannot be destroyed by violence. That is why unity is so necessary. Unity of the allies, unity of the world to stop Russia, this war, and to ensure a real fair peace. The peace that Ukraine wants more than anyone else in the world, and that will definitely come.

Glory to Ukraine!

Lithuania:

We are grateful to our Lithuanian friends for a new military aid package and their staunch support!
Together, we are stronger!
🇺🇦🤝🇱🇹 https://t.co/1OUkQinkxS

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 28, 2024

Hungary:

https://t.co/qcMT8JwX6u

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) September 28, 2024

The AP has the details:

Hungary’s most popular opposition figure called for the resignation of one of Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s closest aides on Thursday over statements he made suggesting that Hungary wouldn’t have defended itself against a Russian invasion, unlike Ukraine.

The aide, Balázs Orbán, who isn’t related to the prime minister, said on his podcast on Wednesday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy had made an “irresponsible” decision by opting to militarily defend his country after Moscow launched its full-scale invasion in February 2022.

He said that Hungary had learned from its anti-Soviet uprising in 1956 — which was eventually crushed by the Red Army, killing as many as 3,000 civilians and destroying much of the capital Budapest — that “precious Hungarian lives” must be treated with caution rather than “offering them up” for defense.

“Every country has the right to decide its own destiny for itself,” Balázs Orbán said. “But based on ’56, we wouldn’t have done what President Zelenskyy did two and a half years ago, because that was irresponsible.”

The leader of Hungary’s strongest opposition party, Péter Magyar, wrote in a post on social media that the statement “humiliated the memory of the thousands of Hungarian freedom fighters, hundreds of whom — unlike Balázs Orbán — were willing to sacrifice their lives for the freedom and independence of their country.”

Balázs Orbán is the political director of the nationalist prime minister and one of his closest advisers. He has been instrumental in devising much of Hungary’s foreign and domestic strategy, and pursued close relationships with certain segments of the U.S. Republican Party that are aligned with former President Donald Trump.

His government has taken an adversarial position toward neighboring Ukraine, and sought to block, delay or water down European Union efforts to provide financial and military support to Kyiv and to pass sanctions on Moscow over its war in Ukraine.

Such efforts have led to accusations from many European leaders that Hungary is acting to divide the EU and advance Russian interests.

Hungary’s Cold War-era anti-Soviet uprising looms large in the country’s consciousness as a symbol of its heroic struggle for independence and self determination. Some Hungarians view their government’s close ties to Russia today as a betrayal of the 1956 revolution’s efforts to force Soviet soldiers out of the country.

On Thursday, Magyar called for Balázs Orbán’s resignation by Oct. 23, the 68th anniversary of the revolution.

“Such a man cannot hold public office alongside the Hungarian Prime Minister,” Magyar wrote.

In a video on Facebook later on Thursday, Orbán said that his words had been “twisted,” and blamed “pro-war propaganda” for seeking to involve Hungary in the war in Ukraine.

More at the link.

Poland:

🇵🇱🇺🇦 “The war will end only when Ukraine returns its internationally recognized territories, including Crimea”, – Duda

“In my opinion, if even a piece of Ukrainian land remains in Russian hands and the world recognizes the fact of this annexation, it will mean that Russian… pic.twitter.com/CNH1bs1yDR

— MAKS 24 🇺🇦👀 (@Maks_NAFO_FELLA) September 27, 2024

🇵🇱🇺🇦 “The war will end only when Ukraine returns its internationally recognized territories, including Crimea”, – Duda

“In my opinion, if even a piece of Ukrainian land remains in Russian hands and the world recognizes the fact of this annexation, it will mean that Russian imperialism has eaten up what it wanted to eat, and it will want to take more territory, so this war will return. In my opinion, Russia will attack other countries again. And to prevent this from happening, Russia must be punished for its aggression in Ukraine and lose this war there on the fields of Ukraine.”

He added that Poland should not consider any plan “B” in this matter, although “many people today are waiting for this war to end so that they can get back to dealing with Russia.”

For the last two months, Ukraine has been reporting jamming and malfunctions of drones, causing them to crash or fly off back to Russia or into Belarus. The hit rate has dropped to between ~2-10%. Between Sep-23 and Feb-24 the rate was ~18-21%.

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) September 28, 2024

Todays shootdown rate is 69 out of 73 (95%) while 1 flew back to Russia and the location of another 3 was lost while they were in Ukrainian airspace, the Ukrainian Air Force says. So today’s hit rate could have been 0%. pic.twitter.com/szpkOzvkXR

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) September 28, 2024

Kherson Oblast:

#Kherson #DroneAttacks

15.20 Today, Russian drones injured:

6 civilians:

💔Women, 23, 85, 56, 42, 72

💔Man, 68

⚫️Attacked a public bus

It is a sunny Saturday. This is a central street. People are hiding.

This is a massacre. #SaveKherson pic.twitter.com/PXL6fZItjE

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) September 28, 2024

BMP-2 IFV and its crew are performing the combat mission in the Kherson region.

📹: 37th Marine Brigade pic.twitter.com/gONs10lg7Q

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 28, 2024

Ni shagu nazad!

WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC CONTENT!! WARNING!! WARNING!!

Russian artillery fires at a group of Russian infantrymen who were about to to surrender to the 33rd Brigade of Ukraine. Some of the surrendering Russians were able to reach Ukrainian positions, others were not.https://t.co/CH73IFxfyq pic.twitter.com/NSyl9fqD7C

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 28, 2024

ALL CLEAR!!

Kriegsforscher has a new assessment regarding the Kursk cross border offensive:

Short and very unusual thread for this page — about the enemy in Kursk area.

My friend showed me a map that he captured during the attack. It has been redrawn by @wildwildmapper

In this thread I will show you the amount of enemy forces before and one month after the invansion🧵Image

My opinion as to this operation hasn’t changed. I am strongly negative as to that operation from the military point of view.
But in the same time I am a supporter from the political perspective.If it’s a war two sides must suffer.Link for download:

sudzha-final-logo hosted at ImgBBImage sudzha-final-logo hosted in ImgBBhttps://ibb.co/d6Nrk6B

Nevertheless, there are two reasons why I write this article.

1) I hope that in the future we will a high quality analysis as to that operation. I hate being an alive witness how people rewriting history.

The second reason I will say in the end of🧵Image

Суджа direction. Day before the operation. Right flank.

Information that was drawn by the officers of 1434 regiment. Due to obvious reasons decided not to add info that the enemy had about our forces.

Quite interesting that 13 TR is not mentioned here but was deployed.Image

Суджа direction. Day before the operation. Centre (kinda).

They were covered quite not bad by their artillery. Including the fact that no one paid attention to the border line UAF could have only dreamed about this kind of amount of artillery forces.Image

Суджа. Day before the operation. The city.

Russian defence near the city was mostly based on 17 and 18 battalions of 488 regiment and 380 regiment (this regiment wasn’t a classic one with 3 infantry battalions, tb etc. I would rather say 2 infantry battalions).Image

Russian artillery in Kursk oblast. Day before the operation.

– BM-21 battalion;
– 98 artillery pieces;
– 71 mortars

A short conclusion: that’s huge. With a good coordination you make any breakthrough almost impossible to happen.

Firepower was on Russian side.Image

Глухів direction.

Mostly covered by Russian VDV:

– 1 battalion of 217 regiment;
– 3 battalion of 234 regiment;

That’s why we see here 2S9. Amount of MT-12 (here and at another two direction) surprises.Image

Теткіно direction.

The biggest amount of Russian artillery in Kursk oblast. Including heavy artillery such as 2A36 & 2A65.Image

Суджа direction.

Almost full artillery regiment (let me remind you that right it’s not very often that Russian artillery battalion has 18 guns. Quite often 12).

So, as you might’ve noticed they had more then enough firepower.Image

From Теткіно to Суджа they had:

– regiment: 3;
– airborne or mechanised battalions: 3;
– rifle battalions: 8;
– reserve: 3 battalions of infantry and 35 tanks;
– artillery pieces: 137Image

One month later the situation changed a lot. The amount of Russian forces increased to 35 000 soldiers and, approximately, 90-100 tanks.

A lot of forces were moved from Kramatorsk, Vovchansk and Oskil directions.

Mostly elite forces.Image

Right flank. 10.09.24 (since then situation changed a lot).

Marines from 810 & 40 brigade, 83 brigade from Vovchansk direction, regiment from 44 AC with their tank battalions in reserve.Image

Centre. 10.09.24 (since then situation changed a lot).

Still 810 marines, airborne from 56 regiment (their full regiment arrived from Robotyne area), 51 and 137 regiments from Kramatorsk direction and other units.Image

Left flank. 10.09.24 (since then situation changed a lot).

Marines from 155 brigade, VDV and others. Right now 119 regiment from 106 division arrived there.Image

Obviously, Russians apart from elite infantry moved more artillery to that area. For example, artillery battalion (2S19 and 2S5) from 944 artillery regiment was moved from Pokrovsk direction to Kursk area.

They also used in that area newly formed 88 and 90 sapper regiments. 

And the 6th sapper brigade from the 1th tank army (Kharkiv oblast).

Russians use there a lot of guided bombs. For example, at the 5th of September they used 89 guided bombs (67% of all bombs that were dropped at that day at whole frontline in Ukraine). 

So the second reason why I write this thread 🧵 that my company needs a PSV-14 night vision and three antennas.

So I ask you to help! The whole price is 5000$:

– BMAC:

– PayPal: [email protected]

Wishlist | freedomfighterThe main goal of this page is to share my memories and thoughts about the war.https://buymeacoffee.com/ukranianmarines/wishlist

Samara Oblast, Russia:

The explosive device was detonated while the Russian suply train was moving, but it was not powerful enough to completely destroy the bridge along with the train. https://t.co/QoRxaRGDJs pic.twitter.com/0DoaTprCNq

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 28, 2024

Krasnodar Krai and Rostov Oblast:

Video of fire claimed to be at Yeysk, Krasnodarsky Krai, Russia. Locals reported explosions and work of air defenses. The port town has an air base from which Russian/Iranian Shahed drones are launched to attack Ukraine, and which bases Su-34 fighter-bombers and Su-35 fighters. pic.twitter.com/QoklNC6RXn

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) September 28, 2024

https://t.co/3n1mER4kDs https://t.co/WYS2hHXS4J

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) September 28, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron.

There are no new Patron tweets or videos tonight. Here is some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

Happy Caturday!
This is a reminder to do the right thing and #StandWithUkraine.

📷: 117th Mechanized Brigade pic.twitter.com/jwbUnydUqg

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 28, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 948: Russia Double Taps a Hospital in SumyPost + Comments (11)

Trying It On Open Thread

by Rose Judson|  September 28, 20242:03 pm| 134 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Pet Blogging

For whatever reason, my neighborhood has a steady stream of stray cats flowing through it at any given time. I feed them when I see them, and I’ve even managed to get a few of them to the vet to be fixed. I’m guessing word has got around that I’m a soft touch, as other local fauna are trying to get in on the act:

totally a cat, not a foxYou can just hear her asking, like a true Brummie, “Oi, bab, got any more of them Whiskas?”

Wound up having to give our local Dems Abroad event a miss due to The Child feeling unwell this morning. Sounds like our team was able to get quite a few people to check on their registrations or request their ballots.

Meanwhile, in local politics, things aren’t going well for the new government. More about that tomorrow.

For you, this thread is open.

 

Trying It On Open ThreadPost + Comments (134)

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