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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

There are times when telling just part of the truth is effectively a lie.

All hail the time of the bunny!

The fight for our country is always worth it. ~Kamala Harris

The willow is too close to the house.

Second rate reporter says what?

Dear elected officials: Trump is temporary, dishonor is forever.

I swear, each month of 2025 will have its own history degree.

If a good thing happens for a bad reason, it’s still a good thing.

The arc of the moral universe does not bend itself. it is up to us to bend it.

Donald Trump found guilty as fuck – May 30, 2024!

These days, even the boring Republicans are nuts.

The arc of history bends toward the same old fuckery.

People are complicated. Love is not.

Some judge needs to shut this circus down soon.

I don’t recall signing up for living in a dystopian sci-fi novel.

At some point, the ability to learn is a factor of character, not IQ.

Sadly, media malpractice has become standard practice.

Text STOP to opt out of updates on war plans.

Everything is totally normal and fine!!!

There are more Russians standing up to Putin than Republicans.

Live so that if you miss a day of work people aren’t hoping you’re dead.

Reality always gets a vote in the end.

Republican speaker of the house Mike Johnson is the bland and smiling face of evil.

“The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits.”

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: Sympathy for Speaker Emerita Pelosi…

by Anne Laurie|  September 24, 20247:56 pm| 109 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, NANCY SMASH!, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Our Failed Media Experiment

Nancy Smash might actually snap & smack some Butt our hooorse-race!!! ‘journalist’ upside the head over the next six weeks, and I for one will argue that they’ll have earned it…

Nancy Pelosi just snapped at Jake Tapper for asking about Trump's claims of Kamala's "cognitive problems." This clip doesn't show the setup and clip that was played, but Tapper deserved it. Well done, Nancy. pic.twitter.com/8gqrQn6XIY

— The Great Gig in the Sky (@thegreatgig8) September 24, 2024

Longer clip, same interview:

Speaker Emerita Pelosi rips into Jake Tapper for giving credence to trump's "I'm not crazy, Kamala is" bullshit.

If someone tells you the sky is purple, it's not your job to repeat that shit. Look out the fucking window yourself.

THAT'S your job.pic.twitter.com/hQpnqivtUt

— BrooklynDad_Defiant!☮️ (@mmpadellan) September 24, 2024

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: Sympathy for Speaker Emerita Pelosi…Post + Comments (109)

Biden Climate Address Live: Open Thread

by TaMara|  September 24, 20244:23 pm| 104 Comments

This post is in: Climate Change, Open Threads, Politics

Biden Climate Address Live: Open ThreadPost + Comments (104)

Screw the Recent NYT Poll for AZ – Arizona Is Absolutely in Play and Operation Blue Arizona is Laser-Targeted to Keep AZ Blue

by WaterGirl|  September 24, 20244:05 pm| 88 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Political Action, Political Fundraising, Politics, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

Arizona is absolutely in play.

So, as one of Cole’s favorite sayings goes, Fuck those guys!  And their stupid poll, too.

As you surely all know by now, Operation Blue Arizona is a multi-faceted effort by Balloon Juice to:

  • keep Arizona’s 11 electoral votes
  • flip the closely-divided legislature from red to blue
  • unseat two virulently anti-choice state Supreme Court justices
  • elect the Democrat to oversee elections in Arizona’s most populous County, with over 60% of the state’s population

Here’s the original Operation Blue Arizona post, in case you want a refresher.

Balloon Juice Operation Blue Arizona

Who could miss the jittery pundit hand-wringing over last weekend’s NYT Siena poll, which purportedly showed Trump resurgent in Arizona?  The poll has Trump up 49% to 45%, the exact opposite of the result of the same poll in August (Trump is up 47-42 if you include third party candidates).

The same poll reflected Ruben Gallego polling 9 points ahead of batshit crazy quasi-human Kari Lake, suggesting some “ticket-splitting” may be at play in the Grand Canyon State.

Fun Facts

  • AZ  is experiencing rapid growth with a massive population churn
  • with a youthful voter base
  • and a substantial number of voters registered as “independent” (35%).
  • all of which make Arizona notoriously difficult to poll
  • and most importantly, neither our partners on the ground nor the experts are panicking!

More Fun Things to Consider

  • According to semi-reformed Republican strategist Matthew Dowd, the Arizona poll does not reflect the actual voting habits of Arizonans.
  • In the last two elections, all Democrats ended up within 2 to 2 ½ percentage points of each other, reflecting relatively little ticket-splitting in the end (despite early polls showing otherwise).
  • So we’re supposed to believe that Ruben Gallego is up by 9 points and Harris is down by 5 points?
  • Further, the same NYT poll reflected Harris up by four points in August 2024.
  • It defies logic that the candidates’ relative standing would have flipped in Trump’s favor after the debate.

Our partner, Worker Power is knocking on hundreds of thousands of doors motivating Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters to turn out.  They have over 500 trained canvassers in the field registering new voters in key swing districts. 

Our partner, Four Directions is expanding their efforts to turn out the vote in Indian Country by hiring more paid relational organizers.   The AZ Native community alone could deliver the state to Harris.

Whats at Stake?  (besides everything!)

  • 11 electoral votes for Harris
  • 2 flipped US House seats
  • Ruben Gallego’s Senate seat, which would help Dems keep the Senate.
  • Democratic majority in the AZ House instead of Republican control
  • Democratic majority in the AZ Senate instead of Republican control
  • a possible AZ democratic trifecta (governor, state House and state Senate)

Let’s do this!

So let’s buck up and kicks some Republican ass, shall we?

The registration deadline is October 7.  Early voting starts on October 9.   Every day matters.

Let’s prove the FTFNYT and its stupid polls wrong AGAIN!

I’l leave you with the words of Worker Power’s Executive Director:  Arizona is a must-win state for Trump, and we have the power to ensure he never steps foot in the Oval Office again.

Addendum: There has been some discussion about additional Congressional candidates in the comments.  There is a lot more money sloshing around in 2024 than in 2022, which is not surprising in a Presidential election year.   For the most part, we’re very temporarily holding our fire on most of these candidates until Q3 fundraising numbers come out (as early as next week).

Stay tuned for some possible specific candidate flash-fundraising in the very near future, as soon as we meet our goals for these two great organizations.

We have Angels for Four Directions (4x match until we hit $25k) and Worker Power (2x match).

Four Directions  (4x) – Angel is silvery!    completed!  (thank you silvery!)

Four Directions  (4x) – Angel is Marleedog!  

Worker Power  (2x)  – Angel is a lurker!

As always, to be angel matched, tell us about your donation in the comments or send email to WaterGirl.



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Screw the Recent NYT Poll for AZ – Arizona Is Absolutely in Play and Operation Blue Arizona is Laser-Targeted to Keep AZ BluePost + Comments (88)

Ignore Them and They’ll Go Away

by @heymistermix.com|  September 24, 20243:19 pm| 76 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Ignore Them and They'll Go Away 1
This juxtaposition was incredibly easy to do – just pick the Times’ current headline on Trump and then find what he actually said. It would work pretty much every day that Trump is doing an event.

Scout211 mentioned this piece by Drew Magary at SFGate, and he’s about where I am with regard to the NYT:

[…] I work in an industry that’s been gutted from the inside out this century — you’ve heard about that part, too — leaving the Times as the dominant primordial beast in the serious newsgathering business. It has the biggest readership of any paper by far and, as such, critics like me have treated hate-reading the Times as an act of public service. My opinion was that the Times’ influence was so vast, especially among higher-ups in both the federal government and the private sector, that it had to be called out anytime it failed to call things as they clearly were (daily). To dump on the Times was to speak truth to power.

I no longer hold that opinion. Harris is winning this election right now in large part because she has avoided legacy outlets, the Times foremost among them, altogether. Her team understands that it behooves these outlets to have a close race, which means that they’ll seize on any gaffe Harris makes if it gives them a chance to falsely equivocate her remarks to those of Trump screaming, “THEY’RE EATING THE DOGS!” to kick up a racial holy war. Team Harris has no interest in helping the Times sanewash Trump more than it already has, so they’ve decided that the only way to win the game is not to play.

It was the right move, and it’s proven that the Times’ influence is exactly as large as you and I pretend it to be. It has a big-ass readership, but that readership is mostly there to play Wordle and, as ESPN’s Mina Kimes noted, the vast majority of them are already in the bag for Democrats anyway.

The extended tantrum thrown by the failson running that place over Biden’s refusal to sit down for an interview set them up for a faster ride to irrelevance.  The more pouty and bitchy they get, the less reason Harris has to interact with them, because their attitude almost guarantees that the outcome of an interview will be negative.

In addition to the Times’ readership being mostly Democrats, it’s also mostly engaged voters, and Harris has to reach the unengaged possible voters — still more reason for her to ignore the Times.

Also related to this was DougJ’s set of tweets over the weekend, on another platform that is not that relevant except that journalists keep using it.

Ignore Them and They’ll Go AwayPost + Comments (76)

What Is It with All These Republicans Killing Dogs?

by @heymistermix.com|  September 24, 20241:22 pm| 152 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

What Is It with All These Republicans Killing Dogs
This is Loca, the alleged victim.

Woke up this morning to this:

The man behind Project 2025, the rightwing policy manifesto that includes calls for a sharp increase in immigrant deportations if Donald Trump is elected, told university colleagues about two decades ago that he had killed a neighborhood dog with a shovel because it was barking and disturbing his family, according to former colleagues who spoke to the Guardian.

Kevin Roberts, now the president of the Heritage Foundation, is alleged to have told colleagues and dinner guests that he killed a neighbor’s pit bull around 2004 while he was working as a still relatively unknown history professor at New Mexico State University.

At least Kristi Noem had the good grace to use a gun when she dispatched poor Cricket.  A shovel seems both more brutal and more on-brand for the guy who dreamt up Project 2025.

What Is It with All These Republicans Killing Dogs?Post + Comments (152)

Teatime Open Thread

by Rose Judson|  September 24, 202411:08 am| 134 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

It’s 4 p.m. here, 11 a.m. at Balloon-Juice HQ. An ideal time for a hot beverage:

mugs that go hard

A dear friend who’s a good step or five to my left, politically, made that mug for me as a one-off. She has others here; I may get the “Perhaps Today, Satan!” one.

I was going to vent about local politics (it’s not a spoiler to say that Labour’s newborn government is failing to thrive at 11 weeks old) but I’m on call to help with algebra homework. Talk amongst yourselves.

Teatime Open ThreadPost + Comments (134)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Good Vibrations

by Anne Laurie|  September 24, 20248:35 am| 129 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

President Biden is going to be on The View on Wednesday!

I hope VP Harris does an interview with them as well.

Nothing triggers MAGA like those ladies!pic.twitter.com/Kxz9UDCWgL

— Art Candee ???? (@ArtCandee) September 23, 2024

Kamala Harris uses sign language to say she supports ending language deprivation for deaf kids.

I love Kamala Harris. #TrumpIsInsane#VoteOutEveryRepublican#UnitedWeStand #WhenWeFightWeWin #HarrisWalz #TrumpIsAGlobalLaughingStock pic.twitter.com/pIUVmF14hs

— Amelia.M (@Amelia84M) September 21, 2024

Walz: After one of these mass shootings, Donald Trump said 'people just need to know how to get over it.' And my opponent said, it's a 'fact a life.' Where do you have to be in your life that that's the first thing that comes out of your mouth? pic.twitter.com/uItIBkZrm1

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) September 21, 2024

Morning treat, concerning a Biden/Harris admin stalwart who sometimes gets overlooked a bit. John Heileman, at Puck, transcribes an interview with the Secretary of Transportation, aka ‘Pistol Pete’:

… Among political professionals there’s a broad consensus that Buttigieg is, by a non-trivial margin, the most talented communicator in the Democratic Party this side of the Obamas.

To get a taste of just how good Pete is, head over to YouTube and sample his increasingly viral hits on Fox News, where he has made a point of regularly tangling with the network’s lineup of bad-faith blowhards, calling out their bullshit without ever losing his poise or his patience. His skills on the stump have made him—in a personal capacity, during his off-hours from his day job—one of Team K’s most valued and widely deployed surrogates. Add to that his keen mind, fierce ambition, aw-shucks Midwestern affability, and mind-blowing youth (he is, gulp, just 42) and it’s easy to see why the party’s cognoscenti believe that Pete is the one rising Democratic star with more than a decent shot at being president one day—that he’s close to a mortal lock.

Last week, Pete sat down with me to tape an episode of Impolitic With John Heilemann. Some highlights of that convo are below, and you can listen to the whole thing here. Shortly after we chatted, The New York Times reported that, just as he played the role of Mike Pence in Harris’s V.P. debate prep four years ago, Pete is standing in for J.D. Vance in Tim Walz’s murder-boarding for the understudies’ face-off on October 1. Because of the Times’s lousy timing, I wasn’t able to interrogate Pete about that juicy topic. But we did go deep on the state of the race, why he believes Harris has the stronger hand to play in the homestretch, the appalling hellfire unleashed on Springfield, Ohio, by Trump and Vance’s racist lies about the town’s Haitian immigrants, and what Harris and Walz need to do to seal the deal in the Blue Wall states. As always, this conversation has been lightly edited…

John Heilemann: Seems like you’re spending the vast majority of your time when you’re off the clock from your day job on the campaign trail working to elect Kamala Harris. As we sit here, a little more than six weeks from Election Day, how’s that going?

Pete Buttigieg: Good! The V.P. has been, I think, really clear in reminding us all that there are a lot of underdog qualities to this campaign, but also, I’d rather be us right now [than the Trump campaign]. The American people agree with the vice president on the issues that matter to them most. But we know that just because folks agree with you on the issues doesn’t mean that you get to win the election. You’ve got to earn that. [Kamala Harris] is out there doing that. Tim Walz is out there doing that. And a lot of other Democrats who really care about this—including me, when I get the chance in my personal capacity— are out there doing everything we can…

show full post on front page

I think it’s really healthy to maintain that underdog mentality, to know that we’re gonna have to earn every vote. There are a lot of people we have to persuade to vote for us; there are a lot of people we have to persuade to vote, period. But the energy and momentum in this campaign—you certainly felt it at the convention—has been extraordinary. The other thing that I think is really notable is that every test that people set up for the V.P., she has gotten through flawlessly. Six weeks is the blink of an eye, but it’s also an eternity in politics. There’s going to be ups and downs; there’s going to be setbacks; it’s a roller coaster. That’s how campaigns are. But again, fundamentally, I’d rather be us for the simple reason that most Americans strongly disagree with Donald Trump’s decision to end right-to-choose and agree with her wanting to protect it. They disagree with Donald Trump’s tax cuts for the rich and prefer her middle-class focus. They want somebody who’s more pro-worker and more pro-union.

… [L]et me ask it this way: Do you think there’s a case to be made that Donald Trump is not mentally fit to be president right now?

I think there’s something to that. I think he’s often confused. He often seems a little out of touch with reality. It’s getting worse, right? We’ve seen it kind of pick up if you compare to what he was like even a few years ago. I don’t think he made the most sense back then, but you definitely see that piling up. And I guess the other thing to think about—not just given his advanced age, but given that he managed to get impeached twice the last time around—is this really raises the stakes on the running mate. So one question I would ask voters is not just, Are you okay with the commander-in-chief and leader of the free world being somebody who seems to have trouble with the grip on reality?, but also, How do you feel about J.D. Vance?…

First of all, the only appropriate response to any political violence is to categorically condemn it. I think that’s what most people on both sides of the aisle have to say about what happened: that we are glad President Trump was unhurt and horrified that there was another attempt like this. I think the difference you see with what J.D. had to say is the difference between people saying, How do we stop this? and someone saying, How do we use this?.

The reality is that the overheated and violent rhetoric coming from the right has had very real real-world consequences, notably the fact that political violence came to the steps of the United States Capitol, leading to police officers being beaten and injured—a riot that led to deaths. And, of course, that’s far from the only example where we have violence being inspired right now by [the right’s] rhetoric. So if you’re really going to say, Let’s do something about the rhetoric in this country, that’s not a liberal or conservative thing, it should be an American thing to say that political violence is unequivocally to be condemned. We say that; common-sense Republicans say that. But Trump and Vance have trouble bringing themselves to say that…

…[T]here’s something really interesting and important going on with J.D. saying, basically, We made up a bunch of crazy stuff because that was the only way to get the people of Springfield the national media attention they needed [in the face of strains on the community due to immigration]. But the people of Springfield, including the mayor and Republican elected officials, are saying, Hey, we did not need the firestorm you just inflicted on us; that’s not doing us any favors; go away. [Vance] is their senator. What you did not hear from him was what a normal senator would say: These are my constituents. They have a problem. Here’s what I’m doing to help. [Vance’s approach has been] How can I use you?, not, How can I help you?…

You’re a Midwest guy: Indiana native, former mayor of South Bend, and now you and Chasten live in Michigan. The clearest path to 270 electoral votes for Harris is to hold the Blue Wall battleground states—Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin—that Biden won in 2020. Some people feel that these are tough states, especially Pennsylvania, for a Black woman to win. In your view, what does Kamala Harris need to do to bring home those states in a part of the country you know so well?

Two things. One is to assemble a political project that people want to be part of. That’s why the “joy” thing isn’t just superficial. It’s the idea that instead of death-match, doom and gloom, fight, grievance, all the stuff you get from Trump and Vance, it’s something more constructive and positive that people just want to attach their names and reputations and votes to. That’s the vibe level. The second is the policy level, to make sure people understand that the reason why the Midwest is seeing factory investments at a pace we haven’t experienced since the Kennedy administration has to do with her being right on policy. And I think that combination is the path to victory…

And you have to connect the dots for folks. You can’t assume just because you deliver economic benefits to a community that they’re going to give you credit for it. And what’s happening right now is, whether you look at it in terms of policy or in terms of feel, there’s a proposition that’s coming together in this campaign—our campaign, her campaign—that I think ultimately resonates more in the Midwest. But the reality of a polarized country is that every campaign right now is a game of inches, and she’s going to be out there working to earn every inch of ground until the bell rings.

Tuesday Morning Open Thread 15

(John Deering via GoComics.com)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: Good VibrationsPost + Comments (129)

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