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War for Ukraine Day 935: Russia Bombarded Kharkiv with Glide Bombs Again Today

by Adam L Silverman|  September 15, 20247:55 pm| 17 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. Her next treatment is tomorrow. It is the second of the final four. She’s almost done. Thank you for all the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, I’ve caught up on a bit of sleep, but am still fried. So, I’m going to hit the basics, hit publish, take care of a couple of things, and rack out.

Right now – 7:20 PM EDT/2:20 AM local time in Ukraine – all of northern central and central Ukraine is under air raid alert.

Russia opened up on civilians and civilian infrastructure in Kharkiv again today.

Russians just hit Kharkiv with guided bomb. They keep targeting houses, hospitals, and schools. And we’re still waiting for the permission to hit back pic.twitter.com/WTeIT7T12e

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 15, 2024

Tragically, at least one person has died. The body was recovered from the 9th floor and cannot be identified without a DNA test

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 15, 2024

Here’s the full text of the first tweet:

Today, on the last warm and sunny Sunday of the year, as Kharkiv citizens enjoyed their day off with their families, russia struck Kharkiv with at least four guided aerial bombs.

One of the bombs hit an apartment building, setting it ablaze.

At least 41 people were wounded, punished for simply being Ukrainians at their homes. Among them are three children. Unfortunately, this number is likely to rise.

It happened before, and it will happen again. We are locked in some devilish loop of being denied the range to defend ourselves, trying to live between the strikes and being hit again. Again and again and again.

And no decisions are made. Again.

More on this after the jump.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Have Already Explained to All Our Partners Why Ukraine Truly Needs Sufficient Long-Range Capabilities – Address by the President

15 September 2024 – 19:09

Dear Ukrainians!

Rescue operations are still underway in Kharkiv. A Russian aerial bomb hit a house. An ordinary multi-storey residential building. There was a fire, ceilings collapsed. It is known that people are trapped under the rubble. As of now, 35 people are reported injured, including three children. All emergency services, rescue teams, medics, and utility workers quickly arrived at the scene, and aid is being provided to all those affected. In total, four aerial bombs were used in this strike on the Kharkiv region alone. One targeted Kharkiv, the house, and the other three targeted villages in the Kharkiv region. Today, Russian forces also hit our Sumy and Donetsk regions with such bombs. In total, there are no fewer than a hundred airstrikes of this kind every day. Just in the past 24 hours, 128 guided aerial bombs were used. The only way to counter this terror is with a systemic solution, and that solution is long-range capabilities – enabling us to destroy Russian military aircraft at their bases. This is an obvious, sensible decision. We have already explained to all our partners why Ukraine truly needs sufficient long-range capabilities. And every such Russian strike, every instance of Russian terror, like today’s attacks on Kharkiv, on our Sumy and Donetsk regions, proves that long-range capabilities are necessary and the range must be sufficient. We are expecting corresponding decisions, especially from the United States, the United Kingdom, France, Germany, Italy – everyone whose resolve can help save lives.

Today, repair crews in the Donetsk region, who were actually working under the threat of shelling, restored electricity to people in Kramatorsk, Slovyansk, and Kostiantynivka. Nearly one hundred and fifty thousand residents of the Kramatorsk district were without electricity due to the Russian attack. And, of course, this is truly the heroism of our people – everyone working for the sake of Ukraine and Ukrainians – that despite everything, basic services are being restored. There was also a report by Viktor Mykyta, Deputy Head of the Presidential Office for Regional Policy, on the situation in the Odesa region due to severe weather. Heavy rains these days, flooding in the Odesa region. The State Emergency Service of Ukraine, regional and local authorities are all involved. Unfortunately, there are also critical situations in our neighboring countries due to these extreme rains. On my instructions, Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andriy Sybiha offered assistance from the SES of Ukraine to the affected countries in our part of Europe.

And one more thing.

Today, there was a report from Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi. Every day, unwavering attention is paid to the frontline and our operation in the Kursk region. The Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, Toretsk, and Kupyansk directions – I want to thank every unit that is truly defending their positions. The 46th separate airmobile brigade, the paratroopers of the 79th brigade, the 25th separate airborne brigade, the 54th separate mechanized brigade, and the 35th separate marine brigade. I am grateful to all of you, warriors! In the Kursk region, we continue our active operations, and it is crucial that the “exchange fund” for us, for our state is being replenished.

I thank everyone who fights and works for Ukraine, for the sake of all of us, for the sake of all Ukrainians!

Glory to Ukraine!

President Zelenskyy on the danger that guided bombs present.

The President explained that Russia now started moving its jets still further from the border, so even longer-range weapons would be needed. pic.twitter.com/dRqQUPwJmW

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 15, 2024

The cost:

Svitlana is 34 years old. One day, she was getting her kids ready for school when a strong explosion split her life into “before” and “after”. Glass fragments injured her entire body.

The injured children were bleeding. Svitlana felt dizzy and panicked. She rushed to save the… pic.twitter.com/CsgnnqscXU

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 15, 2024

Svitlana is 34 years old. One day, she was getting her kids ready for school when a strong explosion split her life into “before” and “after”. Glass fragments injured her entire body.

The injured children were bleeding. Svitlana felt dizzy and panicked. She rushed to save the children. In a few minutes, an ambulance arrived and provided assistance. The 9-year-old girl, 11-year-old son and mother were taken to the hospital.

Svitlana was taken to the intensive care unit. She suffered a concussion, eye injuries, multiple cut wounds to her face, chest, upper and lower extremities. Trauma surgeon Kyrylo Suprunenko wasted no time in performing the surgery.

Svitlana is waiting for her husband, who has been defending Ukraine since 2019, and keeps asking about their daughter, who is in a children’s hospital.

The reason:

I wanted to tell you about a Ukrainian historian Leonid Marushchak who rescued about 2 million works of art from frontline museums.

This is the kind of work that often goes unnoticed. But this is true heroism of its own kind. This story deserves to be known.

During the war,… pic.twitter.com/ngg0GeRRol

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 15, 2024

I wanted to tell you about a Ukrainian historian Leonid Marushchak who rescued about 2 million works of art from frontline museums.

This is the kind of work that often goes unnoticed. But this is true heroism of its own kind. This story deserves to be known.

During the war, Russia had already destroyed an incalculable number of valuable works of art. Hundreds of thousands were stolen and taken to Russia.

Since the first days of the full-scale war, 38-year-old historian Leonid Maruschak has been rescuing museum expositions in front-line cities and villages. Often risking his life, being under constant shelling or not far from the line of combat, for 2.5 years, he managed to save about 2 million exhibits.

Leonid and his team do all the evacuation on their own: they get permission from the Ministry of Culture for the removal, order special boxes for transportation, pack the exhibits in them and take them out in parts by minibus. In some museums, such as Bakhmut museum, it took dozens of trips to get everything out.

🔸 in the first days of the war, when Russian occupiers were advancing on Kyiv, Maruschak saved Alla Horska’s works, collecting them from various Kyiv museums, galleries and even an abandoned military factory;
🔹 from Sloviansk, he took out the works of ceramist Natalia Maksymchenko;
🔸 he moved works by Ivan Aivazovsky, Tetiana Yablonska and Arkhip Kuindzhi from a museum in southern Ukraine to the Ministry of Culture’s archives;
🔹he evacuated exhibits from the Bakhmut Local History Museum, including a massive (weighing several tons) stone statue of a 13th- to 14th-century lion;
🔸 despite the loss of a minibus, the team transported the collection of the museum of the city of Beryslav, Kherson region;
🔹 after the de-occupation of Kherson, Leonid took away everything that remained from the looted local history and art museums;
🔸 from Pokrovsk, Donetsk region, he rescued a park sculpture Deer by modern sculptor Zhanna Kadyrova.

Leonid will return to Pokrovsk in September to evacuate more statues.

He says he is motivated by anger to fight for cultural heritage and return to the frontline territories.

“Because you go and realize that only your arrival can change everything. Otherwise, all the works will stay where they are. So they will simply be stolen or destroyed,” the historian says.

This week alone, Russia launched around 30 missiles, over 800 guided bombs, and nearly 300 Shahed drones against Ukraine, according to President Zelensky. The video shows the aftermath of these Russian attacks. pic.twitter.com/dyD9D5ZSZq

— NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 (@NOELreports) September 15, 2024

Mass graves visible from space – not escalation

Blowing up Nova Kakhovka dam – not escalation

Destroying 80% of the energy infrastructure of a country of 40 million people – not escalation

Ukraine hitting military targets inside russia – escalation🙃

— Лeksa 🇺🇦 (@lexa_lrnt) September 15, 2024

Here, ladies and gentlemen, is the actual russian response to long-range strikes, in real time and confirmed by various sources. Withdrawing.

Even the discussion about this has had them withdrawing naval and air assets for months.

So they had no appetite for World War 3, eh? https://t.co/kT0WYsCWwh

— Paul Niland (@PaulNiland) September 15, 2024

Your escalation management is not working as you thought it would, @JakeSullivan46 & @Bundeskanzler pic.twitter.com/gsECG0OlCS

— Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) September 15, 2024

Lithuania:

The people who need protection are not getting enough. The people they need protection from are getting plenty. It’s time to switch that around. pic.twitter.com/giDlzFCzHL

— Gabrielius Landsbergis🇱🇹 (@GLandsbergis) September 15, 2024

Ukraine needs security guarantees, and the only security guarantee I believe in is Article 5.#YES2024 pic.twitter.com/pzAUJfgUuD

— Gabrielius Landsbergis🇱🇹 (@GLandsbergis) September 15, 2024

Denmark:

The Armed Forces of Ukraine received 18 new 2S22 “Bohdana” self-propelled howitzers of the Ukrainian production, which were financed by Denmark.

Only 2 months passed from the moment of signing the agreement to the moment of handing over the ordered equipment.

According to… pic.twitter.com/mlQRrBNb8e

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 15, 2024

The Armed Forces of Ukraine received 18 new 2S22 “Bohdana” self-propelled howitzers of the Ukrainian production, which were financed by Denmark.

Only 2 months passed from the moment of signing the agreement to the moment of handing over the ordered equipment.

According to @TarasChmut, in total, Ukraine is now capable of producing 16 “Bohdana” self-propelled howitzers per month.

https://mil.in.ua/uk/news/zsu-otrymaly-18-sau-bogdana-profinansovanyh-daniyeyu/

Germany:

What “we” is @Bundeskanzler talking about? The Greens & FDP, his defense minister, & most of parliament want to give #Ukraine Taurus. Everyone in Berlin knows he’s unilaterally blocking this. Scholz is a weak, stubborn leader threatening 🇩🇪&🇪🇺 security by hindering 🇺🇦 defense. pic.twitter.com/sjtDqHONom

— Jessica Berlin (@berlin_bridge) September 14, 2024

The US:

The message @NATO and @POTUS are sending the world is don’t rely on the US. Pick russia or some other dictatorship as your patron because the US and its allies will micromanage your own defense. https://t.co/0W0I9SHWol

— SK Media🇺🇦 (@SpaghettiKozak) September 15, 2024

The Sunday Times: US won’t authorize long-range strikes on Russia until Zelenskyy presents ‘victory plan’

The publication quoted sources as saying that during a recent visit to Washington by the British PM to discuss the issue, Biden and his team made it clear that they wanted to go into “standby mode” until Zelenskyy presented a plan before giving the go-ahead for strikes deep into Russia.

Kharkiv:

The footage from Kharkiv is devastating – 41 injured, including four children, the youngest just a year old. These are innocent casualties of war, victims of indifference. How much more suffering will the world allow? pic.twitter.com/GaVhVPlPGV

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) September 15, 2024

Russian air bases stand secure with Western restrictions, while Ukrainian homes burn.

📹place_kharkiv pic.twitter.com/VyKtw0xDPq

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) September 15, 2024

As Russia bombards Kharkiv daily with glide bombs, Opera Theater is preparing to open its season. This is the rehearsal for the gala ballet, staged deep in an underground bunker pic.twitter.com/T4x0aiQAFY

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 15, 2024

Pokrovsk:

The warriors from the Presidential Brigade repulsed a massive russian attack in the Pokrovsk direction and turned russian tanks into scrap metal. pic.twitter.com/Dk76gKBtl7

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 15, 2024

Минулого тижня спілкувалася з мобілізованими солдатами, які після підготовки прибули на Покровський напрямок:
– це люди переважно середнього віку;
– переважно ті, хто не зміг «порішати»;
– в абсолютній більшості за 45 днів базової підготовки вони не навчилися майже нічого;
– в…

— Mariana (@marybezuhla) September 15, 2024

Here’s the machine translation:

Last week, I spoke with mobilized soldiers who, after training, arrived in the Pokrovsky direction:
– these are mostly middle-aged people;
– mainly those who could not “decide”;
– in the absolute majority, during 45 days of basic training, they learned almost nothing;
– in the absolute majority of training centers, there are instructors without combat experience, those who have “broken up”.

Against this background, Syrskyi’s statement about increasing the period of basic training of the mobilized, when they cannot and do not want to fill 45 days with real content, sounds especially cynical. And then our people die untrained or run away because of fear, uncertainty and lack of basic skills, unless they themselves and the combat team undertake training in a limited time frame with a minimum of opportunities. It has come to the point that combat brigades are asking to consider conscription bypassing the centers, directly to the reserve units, in order to be able to prepare new recruits not for a tick, as in the centers. However, in some centers, they line up 6 times a day (!) . By the way, Syrsky still deliberately protects and covers the corrupt general Tkachuk, the head of the land academy. Because “own”.

I hear same accounts from senior brigade officers, reporting declining recruit preparedness, forcing brigades to run improvised training with limited resources, because training centers fail to prepare. Unless the Commander-in-Chief fix this, no number of Storm Shadows will help https://t.co/MQTIRGdSJy

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) September 15, 2024

Kyiv:

Kyiv’s botanical garden is in trouble. Russia has destroyed Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. When the power goes off the garden uses wood-burning stoves to heat its collection of 4,000 tropical plants. The garden is appealing for help to save its orchids https://t.co/gpFgo6h1uC

— Luke Harding (@lukeharding1968) September 15, 2024

From The Guardian:

Zhanna Yaroslavska showed off a barrel-shaped stove in the middle of a tropical greenhouse. Nearby was a large pile of logs. “It’s a pretty neanderthal arrangement,” she explained. “When the power shuts off we feed the stove with wood. In winter we do this round the clock. Our plants require constant temperatures. They don’t like cold and hot.”

Inside the glass nursery were dozens of rare specimens. All were bromeliads native to the Americas. Silvery wisps of beard-like Tillandsia descended from a pipe. A pineapple poked out of a stem. A screen next to the stove protected a group of starfish-like earth stars, native to Brazil. The collection needed a minimum temperature of 10C, Yaroslavska – a senior researcher – said. Below that everything would die off.

The greenhouse is one of eight in the Mykola Hryshko national botanical garden in Kyiv. Founded in 1935, it is Ukraine’s biggest garden and one of the largest in Europe. It is home to about 13,000 species of trees, flowers and other plants from around the world. The 52-hectare (130 acres) site has scientific departments and two laboratories. With its roses and camellias, it is a popular venue with wedding photographers.

But the park is now staring at disaster. In recent months, Russia has systematically destroyed most of Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. Power cuts in the capital and across the country are common, with the situation getting worse. The city authorities have said they will not be able to guarantee supply in the freezing months ahead. Prices for electricity have doubled, as the garden’s funding has shrunk.

“Worst-case scenario is we lose a big part of our collection,” Roman Ivannikov, the head of the tropical and subtropical plant department, said. Money is so tight he and his colleagues recently took a pay cut. Last winter, £55,000 in donations kept the garden going, allowing the purchase of 242 tonnes of fuel pellets. Volunteers chopped firewood. The garden is appealing for help, under the hashtag #greenhousewarming.

Before the first chilly night of October arrives, Ivannikov said his team urgently needed additional generators. The orchid house had a unique collection of exotic specimens and was especially vulnerable. Last year, three Samsung heat pumps were fitted to maintain temperatures at 20-22C. But there was no back-up in the case of a prolonged shutdown.

Ivannikov pointed out some of the collection’s highlights. They included an egg-in-the-nest orchid from China – it has a strange white-and-purple-spotted flower – and a delicate green jewel orchid. Another example – Doritis pulcherrima – was descended from a plant sent into space in 1986. The orchid was part of a Soviet mission to the Mir space station, where the crew performed experiments in biology.

The garden collaborates with international partners. In 2014, it sent plants to Vietnam, after their original habitat was destroyed to make way for banana and coffee crops. “I travelled with 45 orchids,” Ivannikov recalled. “I watched on TV, as Russia took Crimea.” Scientific conferences with Moscow stopped. When Russia launched its full-scale invasion Ivannikov took his family out of Kyiv and returned a week later.

The Kremlin continues to fire missiles at the capital. From time to time, falling debris breaks glass in the hothouses. Blast waves from explosions have dislodged a chunk of wall and knocked over red-listed plants. “We haven’t had a direct hit. But we suffered a lot of damage,” Ivannikov said. In January, a rocket flew above the main orangery, a giant glass dome containing banks of shaggy vines and a towering king palm.

More at the link.

The Kursk cross border offensive:

Airstrike on Russian positions in Vesoloe, Kursk region.
(51.2888146, 34.5462134)https://t.co/qBYsuBo4be pic.twitter.com/8zerENx2sS

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 15, 2024

Village of Vesoloe is in the area of #Ukraine‘s new advance into Russia’s Kursk region. This week Ukrainian forces entered the white lined area. They’ll be hoping to link up with 🇺🇦 forces already in the Sudzha area – and also push up to the river Seym (red line). https://t.co/UdlQuuqPO8 pic.twitter.com/EWtC1wBB16

— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) September 15, 2024

Russia:

Meanwhile in Russia: Vladimir Solovyov argued with Margarita Simonyan’s husband, Tigran Keosayan, who claimed that long-range missile strikes wouldn’t be that big of a deal and ridiculed hysterical people like Solovyov for demanding nuclear strikes.https://t.co/e2taKqqFRr

— Julia Davis (@JuliaDavisNews) September 15, 2024

Putin’s ability to shift the narrative and direct attention elsewhere is an important part of his strategy for fighting Russia’s war in Ukraine. To think that he won’t or can’t back down or accept defeat ignores his track record of doing precisely that. https://t.co/nA2UIrK4dJ

— Dr Jenny Mathers @jgmaber.bsky.social (@jgmaber) September 15, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

First, this good boy was saved in Kharkiv today.

Kharkiv , Sunday, russian attack. https://t.co/D36t2aIT7t pic.twitter.com/crroCEqfuM

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 15, 2024

The owner is okay, local news reported he was rescued next.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 15, 2024

A new video from Patron’s official TikTok!

@patron__dsns

Придумав челендж! Показуйте ваше літо під цей трек, будемо так обмінюватись своїми гарними спогадами🥰 #песпатрон

♬ оригінальний звук – Patron_official

Here’s the machine translation:

I came up with a challenge! Show us your summer to this track, and we’ll share our good memories this way 🥰 #песпатрон

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 935: Russia Bombarded Kharkiv with Glide Bombs Again TodayPost + Comments (17)

Shit Magnet Attracts Some Shit

by @heymistermix.com|  September 15, 20245:21 pm| 247 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Well, apparently the shots fired near Trump’s golf course (not Mar-a-Lago) in Florida were related to a guy with an AK-47 in the bushes a couple of holes ahead of where Trump was golfing:

US Secret Service agents opened fire on a man armed with a gun who they believed was targeting Donald Trump as he played at his golf course in West Palm Beach, Florida, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The agents were several holes ahead of Trump when they spotted a gun poking through the bushes, one of the people said. The man then fled in a vehicle that was later apprehended. An AK-style rifle was found at the scene.

Trump was nearby but was safe, according to the Trump campaign. “President Trump is safe following gunshots in his vicinity. No further details at this time,” Trump communications director Steven Cheung said.

The Palm Beach County Sheriff’s office is expected to hold a press conference this afternoon. Palm Beach officials were briefed by local law enforcement that they believed Trump was the target, according to a person familiar with the matter.

This is from the Post’s coverage:

The Secret Service has long been concerned about Trump’s vulnerability on his golf courses, which remain open to parts of the public and are often near heavily trafficked areas.

Here’s the thing about narcissists:  the shortest distance between two points is never the path they take.  Their ego needs always, always come first.  So, even though the Secret Service advised against outdoor rallies, Trump had one in Butler, PA, and a nutter took a shot at him.  Now, in the middle of a campaign where he’s sowing nothing but hate, he decides that he’s going to golf on Sunday, and something the Secret Service warned about happened yet again.  (If anyone has a link to a site that tracks campaign appearances, I’d love to see it, because Trump isn’t doing much but golfing and showing up for anemic rallies on occasion.)

I’m not saying this is Trump’s direct fault — the point I’m making is that people like him are shit magnets because they aren’t serious about anything other than their own self-image.  Trump’s was seriously damaged this week in the debate, and Tay-tay’s Harris endorsement was nearly lethal.  So he needed a little time on his course with his emotional support team, which presumably included Laura Loomer and a cast of a few other third-rate sycophants who glom onto him like remoras.  Never mind that his personal comfort zone is a place where he might think twice about going after causing so much pain to so many people.  He had his needs, and those always come first.

(Also, don’t miss Watergirl’s post about Jennifer Schiff’s new book, directly below this one.)

Shit Magnet Attracts Some ShitPost + Comments (247)

Woke Up to a Dumpster Fire

by @heymistermix.com|  September 15, 20243:43 pm| 148 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

I’m on Hawaii time, and it’s a Sunday so I had to spend a few hours in church, so I’m just catching up with the madness that is the Trump campaign.  Let’s begin with this:

Woke Up to a Dumpster Fire

Then, doubling down on the cat eating:

Woke Up to a Dumpster Fire 1

Then, because Florida, there were shots fired outside Mar-a-Lago, and the campaign immediately issued a press release about that.

JD also stunk up the place on CNN, admitting to Dana Bash that he’s making up stories about Springfield to get attention:

Woke Up to a Dumpster Fire 2

He was also an asshole to Bash, keeping that strong “red pilled incel” energy alive to energize the critical bitter young white guy who can’t get a date vote, a group that was never going to vote for Trump until JD joined the ticket.  Note that Mike DeWine put on his big boy pants and said that things are fine, actually, in Springfield, though he still supports Trump and Vance, because he’s term limited and hoping for some sweet wingnut welfare.

There’s even more than this, but I want to close on the NYT waking from their dogmatic slumber and doing a wee bit of research on what was promising to be the next Springfield, Aurora, CO.  They discovered what anyone who had been following Denver media for the last couple of weeks already knew:  there are no apartment buildings in Aurora being taken over by Venezuelan gangs.  There’s just a greedy slumlord with a history of beefs with the town making up stories about gangs to distract from the rats and roaches.

Woke Up to a Dumpster FirePost + Comments (148)

The Most Important 4-Minute Video You May Ever Watch

by WaterGirl|  September 15, 202412:05 pm| 128 Comments

This post is in: Elections, Elections 2024, Open Threads, Politics

I’m sitting on my screened-in porch this morning while it’s still cool enough to enjoy it, and I just watched this short animated video about Project 2025.  It’s so good.  I hope you’ll take the time to watch it.  This is important, even if you hate twitter.  It’s that good.

My porch was built by just one person.  So amazing.  Anyway, one day I sent him home with some of my home-made popsicles.  He told me the next day that his 5-year-old son had run through the house with his popsicle,  yelling “so good! so good! so good!” over and over.  Possibly the best compliment I’ve ever had from a little one!

Okay, maybe tied with when I made tacos for our then 7-year old Cody and 3 of his friends, and his best friend Tony looked up at me and said “These are even better than my Mom’s!” which I took as high praise indeed.

Anyway, that’s how good this is.  Watch it and send it to everyone you know.

I’ve yet to see a simpler explanation for Project 2025. pic.twitter.com/IMy6oPAFDU

— Jack E. Smith ⚖️ (@7Veritas4) September 15, 2024

If anyone finds this video on YouTube, let me know and I’ll add the link.

h/t Memory Pallas for the YouTube version.

The Most Important 4-Minute Video You May Ever WatchPost + Comments (128)

Not-So-Funny Memes about Cats and Dogs: It’s Not Helping

by WaterGirl|  September 15, 202411:05 am| 115 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Update: Here’s the article about the restaurant that accompanied the photo.  (h/t banditqueen)

image from Dan B

Good advice.  I often think about the ways that we inadvertantly help spread the awfulness from the other side, even as we are mocking it.  But not this time; I hadn’t thought about that.  So here you go!

Open thread!

Not-So-Funny Memes about Cats and Dogs: It’s Not HelpingPost + Comments (115)

Late Night Open Thread: Space Walking

by Anne Laurie|  September 15, 20243:13 am| 132 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Space, Midnight Confessions

Late Night Open Thread:  Space Walking

(Joel Pett via GoComics.com)

BREAKING: A tech billionaire and SpaceX complete the first private spacewalk high above Earth, a high-risk endeavor reserved for professional astronauts — until now https://t.co/YgHeeNvygd

— The Associated Press (@AP) September 12, 2024

On the one hand, very cool view! On the other… I got motion sick on the 60th floor of the Hancock Tower skyscraper on particularly windy days, so: *never* a good candidate, me.

CAPE CANAVERAL, Fla. (AP) — A tech billionaire popped out from a SpaceX capsule hundreds of miles above Earth and performed the first private spacewalk Thursday, a high-risk endeavor once reserved for professional astronauts.

Tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman teamed up with SpaceX to test the company’s brand new spacesuits on his chartered flight. The daring feat also saw SpaceX engineer Sarah Gillis going out once Isaacman was safely back inside.

This spacewalk was simple and quick — the hatch was open barely a half hour — compared with the drawn-out affairs conducted by NASA. Astronauts at the International Space Station often need to move across the sprawling complex for repairs, always traveling in pairs and lugging gear. Station spacewalks can last seven to eight hours; this one clocked in at less than two hours…

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The commercial spacewalk was the main focus of the five-day flight financed by Isaacman and Elon Musk’s company, and the culmination of years of development geared toward settling Mars and other planets.

All four on board donned the new spacewalking suits to protect themselves from the harsh vacuum. They launched on Tuesday from Florida, rocketing farther from Earth than anyone since NASA’s moonwalkers. The orbit was reduced by half — to 460 miles (740 kilometers) — for the spacewalk.

This first spacewalking test involved more stretching than walking. Isaacman kept a hand or foot attached to the capsule the whole time as he flexed his arms and legs to see how the spacesuit held up. The hatch sported a walker-like structure for extra support.

After roughly 10 minutes outside, Isaacman was replaced by Gillis to go through the same motions. The SpaceX engineer bobbed up and down in weightlessness, no higher than her knees out of the capsule, as she twisted her arms and sent reports back to Mission Control.

Each had 12-foot (3.6-meter) tethers but did not unfurl them or dangle at the end unlike what happens at the space station, where astronauts routinely float out at a much lower orbit.

More and more wealthy passengers are plunking down huge sums for rides aboard private rockets to experience a few minutes of weightlessness. Others have spent tens of millions to stay in space for days or even weeks. Space experts and risk analysts say it’s inevitable that some will seek the thrill of spacewalking, deemed one of the most dangerous parts of spaceflight after launch and reentry but also the most soul-stirring…

Until Thursday, only 263 people had conducted a spacewalk, representing 12 countries. The Soviet Union’s Alexei Leonov kicked it off in 1965, followed a few months later by NASA’s Ed White.

If the oligarchs get their way, spacewalking becomes the new ‘climbing Mt. Everest’, and eventually we’ll be conducting Planetes missions to clean up the corpses.

Late Night Open Thread: Space WalkingPost + Comments (132)

War for Ukraine Day 934: 103 More Ukrainian POWs and Detainees Returned Home Today

by Adam L Silverman|  September 14, 202410:12 pm| 22 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by Ukrainian artis NEIVANMADE. The background is white. In the center, which is black with blood red bordering, is an hourglass. Inside the hourglass is a Ukrainian Azovstal POW painted in blood red. He is shirtless. His arms are upward along the outer edges of the upper half of the hourglass forming a saltire cross. He is chained with steel gray chains shackled to his wrists. Above his head, in grey, is written "Ruzzian Captivity." below his torso in the lower half of the hourglass, written in gray, is "Kills." To the left of the hourglass "He Saved Others" is painted in gray. To the right of the hourglass "But He Can't Save Himself" is painted in gray.

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping notes. First, Rosie is doing great. Thanks for all the good thoughts, well wishes, prayers, and donations.

Second, is it Friday yet?

The Ukrainians completed another prisoner exchange today.

Our people are home.

We have successfully brought back another 103 warriors from Russian captivity to Ukraine.

82 privates and sergeants. 21 officers. Defenders of the Kyiv and Donetsk regions, Mariupol and Azovstal, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv regions. Warriors of the… pic.twitter.com/M9YsZjpFct

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) September 14, 2024

Our people are home.

We have successfully brought back another 103 warriors from Russian captivity to Ukraine.

82 privates and sergeants. 21 officers. Defenders of the Kyiv and Donetsk regions, Mariupol and Azovstal, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, and Kharkiv regions. Warriors of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the National Guard of Ukraine, border guards, and police officers.

I thank our exchange team for delivering such good news for Ukraine.

Another 103 Ukrainians back home from Russian captivity, including 23 from Azov after two insanely long years. This is the 3rd exchange since the Kursk operation started. A total of 267 have returned in just three weeks pic.twitter.com/eEEGuWtGTA

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 14, 2024

The Ukrainian Navy has released footage of a Russian/Iranian Shahed flying bomb being shot down from a boat. Ukraine faced another massive Shahed attack last night: Air defenses shot down 72 of 76 drones, two disappeared in Ukrainian airspace, and two flew back to Russia. pic.twitter.com/46zWCrerXl

— Euan MacDonald (@Euan_MacDonald) September 14, 2024


Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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We Are Putting Pressure on Russia and Doing Everything to Make the War Felt There, Where It Was Brought to Ukraine from — Address by the President

14 September 2024 – 21:21

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

Briefly about this day.

First: we conducted another exchange. 103 Ukrainian defenders were returned from Russian captivity. The guys had been in captivity since 2022 — since the first months of the war. They are warriors of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the National Guard, border guards, police officers, and other units of our Defense and Security Forces of Ukraine. In particular, the defenders of Kyiv region, Donetsk region — this is Mariupol, Azovstal and other parts of the region. Also, those captured in Kharkiv and Kherson regions. Among them, there are guys in critical condition after being wounded. All of them will be provided with the necessary assistance. I thank our team involved in the exchanges. And I thank, for their bravery, all our combat brigades that replenish the exchange fund for our state. And in particular, our operation in the Kursk region gave the necessary impetus.

I have just spoken with the Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi. A report on the frontline: Donetsk region, key directions. We are holding our positions, no matter how difficult it is. He also reported on the Kursk region — on our actions and the enemy’s reaction. As anticipated, we are defending our fundamental interest — to bring peace closer. We are putting pressure on Russia and doing everything to make the war felt there, where it was brought to Ukraine from.

I met with a delegation of U.S. Congressmen. It is important to keep our partners at all levels fully informed of our needs, of our positions. It is crucial that all states, and especially those like the United States, implement our agreements really promptly. This should be felt on the frontline. Every delay in military packages has its negative consequences at the front. Every truly timely, fast delivery has a positive impact. I briefed the Congressmen on the current situation and the prospects.

We are also preparing for meetings in the United States.

And a few other things. I have signed a decree to honor our tank warriors with state awards. Today is their professional day. And I thank every warrior, as well as everyone without whom the tank troops could not function — these are the guys-repairers, as well as everyone who trains our tank crews and who fights in the diplomatic sphere to ensure that Ukraine receives combat vehicles.

Today, it is also important to say a few words to those of our people without whom it is impossible to imagine a really long-term international advocacy of Ukrainian interests. Today is Cinema Day in Ukraine — celebrated every year on the second Saturday of September. Of course, in times of war, cinema serves primarily as a means of conveying the truth about what is happening and what people are going through. I want to thank all those who, through the language of cinema, provide the world with truthful knowledge about this time and about how Ukraine and Ukrainians will definitely overcome the occupier. It cannot be otherwise. Only our victory, only Ukraine’s independence, only real security of life, life and international law. And we must remember that one of our key tasks now and in the future is to tell the world about Ukraine, to establish friendship for Ukraine with as many countries, peoples, communities as possible. Ukrainian cinema, Ukrainian culture, and our people, of whom we can only be proud, will certainly do this. I thank everyone who stands with Ukraine!

Glory to our people!

Glory to Ukraine!

The reason:

“Mommy, I’m already in Ukraine!”
It is impossible to watch this video without tears.
Our Defender, released from captivity, reads a poem for his mother. https://t.co/02tamXkfB6 pic.twitter.com/3frZgnerS2

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 14, 2024

Dad sees his little son and his wife for the first time after years in Russian captivity. https://t.co/02tamXkfB6 pic.twitter.com/iSSKf1MSC3

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 14, 2024

During today’s prisoner exchange, Azov soldier Kyrylo Zaitsev, the father of the youngest child trapped in Azovstal’s bunkers, was released.

Little Sviat Zaitsev arrived at the plant with his family when he was just three months old. The child left the basements when he was six… https://t.co/ci9xVgFeYM pic.twitter.com/n96FbBvV5E

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 14, 2024

During today’s prisoner exchange, Azov soldier Kyrylo Zaitsev, the father of the youngest child trapped in Azovstal’s bunkers, was released.

Little Sviat Zaitsev arrived at the plant with his family when he was just three months old. The child left the basements when he was six months old.

The family returned to Ukraine through filtration camps, but the dad, a former employee of the plant, joined the Mariupol garrison and was exchanged only now, after 2.5 years of captivity.

He hasn’t seen his wife or child in over 2 years.

Lithuania:

Today in Kyiv, I met with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lithuania, @GLandsbergis

We discussed the situation on the front lines: our cities are under fire every day, the enemy continues to kill civilians. Together with our allies, we must stop it.

Ukraine’s priorities… pic.twitter.com/XDnpWPW0Mh

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) September 13, 2024

Today in Kyiv, I met with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Lithuania, @GLandsbergis

We discussed the situation on the front lines: our cities are under fire every day, the enemy continues to kill civilians. Together with our allies, we must stop it.

Ukraine’s priorities remain unchanged: strengthening air defense and increasing the ability to strike the enemy. We need more air defense systems and missiles to protect our skies and strengthen our defenses.

In addition, Lithuania is providing 10 million euros to support our long-range capabilities, including funding for the Palyanytsia rocket-drone. This will help us to resist the aggressor even more effectively.

Mr. Landsbergis confirmed that Lithuania will continue to actively support Ukraine in the international arena.

I thank Lithuania for its decisive support in this difficult time. I believe that together we can achieve victory and peace. 🇺🇦🤝🇱🇹

Toronto:

Anna Hints, Estonian filmmaker and a member of the European Film Academy, watched Trofimova’s film at @TIFF_NET and wrote a great post on Instagram. Anna is a professional in this field, so she saw clearly what artistic tools Trofimova used to push Kremlin’s narratives. pic.twitter.com/1AIIowAPB2

— RitorFella🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@RitornellaNYC) September 13, 2024

Here’s the full size screen shot:

Italy:

Hundreds of posters have appeared on billboards across Italy this summer, bearing the slogan: “Russia is not our enemy” – CNN

The posters, which first appeared in northern Italy in June and have been seen in several Italian cities, were paid for by associations that were formed… https://t.co/BQ3FnTQyPQ pic.twitter.com/qUWwKrgRDn

— Anton Gerashchenko (@Gerashchenko_en) September 14, 2024

Hundreds of posters have appeared on billboards across Italy this summer, bearing the slogan: “Russia is not our enemy” – CNN

The posters, which first appeared in northern Italy in June and have been seen in several Italian cities, were paid for by associations that were formed to protest the country’s Covid-19 lockdowns. Some of them also feature the words, “Enough money for weapons for Ukraine and Israel. We want peace. We reject war.”

“We are deeply concerned by the arrogance of Russian propaganda in the Eternal City. We ask @comuneroma to reconsider granting permits for such posters that have a clear purpose of rehabilitating the image of the aggressor state,” the Ukrainian Embassy in Italy @UKRinIT

Official reactions to the posters have varied; some regions saw local officials remove them, while others allowed them to remain until the payment expired.

Source: https://cnn.com/2024/09/13/europe/pro-russian-posters-italy-intl-scli/index.html

The anti-COVID protection movement – masking, lockdowns, anti-vaccination, taking all sorts of weird conconctions instead of getting vaccinated, terrorizing local officials – were always promoted and amplified as part of Russia’s ongoing political warfare and influence operations against the US, the EU, EU member states, and NATO. That they’re pivoting to this should not be a surprise. Similarly, Russia’s political warfare and influence operation efforts promoted that Europeans, especially the migrants that had fled to Europe, were eating pets. Russia created the migrant crisis as part of its political warfare both by setting the conditions in Syria and parts of Africa to create the migration and then using its influence operations and local proxies to attack the migrants as a threat to white Europeans and Europe’s Christian history and nature. Any of that sound familiar?

Germany:

‘Germany will not send Taurus long-range missiles to Ukraine,’ said scholz

‘We have made a clear decision about what we will and will not do. This decision will not change,’ he added.

How much longer do we have to put up with this chancellor? pic.twitter.com/CEZ10LCffH

— Jürgen Nauditt 🇩🇪🇺🇦 (@jurgen_nauditt) September 14, 2024

The 7 stages of “escalation management”

1 We condemn this
2 We condemn this strongly
3 We strongly condemn this with concern
4 We are very concerned & condemn this
5 There will be consequences
6 “For as long as it takes”
7 It is important not to escalate the situation

Repeat https://t.co/BHPdSg4NOw

— Darth Putin (@DarthPutinKGB) September 14, 2024

Canada:

Despite Russian threats and nuclear blackmail, there should be no restrictions on Ukraine using Western weapons to strike military targets deep in Russian territory, Canadian PM Justin Trudeau said on Sept. 13.https://t.co/vh1oPxLZDe

— The New Voice of Ukraine (@NewVoiceUkraine) September 14, 2024

The US:

By micromanaging Ukraine’s strategy and tactics, the White House is enabling Russia’s war machine, @EHunterChristie argues. https://t.co/xbTjSomccm

— Foreign Policy (@ForeignPolicy) September 14, 2024

From Foreign Policy:

In Robert De Niro’s 2006 spy thriller The Good Shepherd, fictional mob boss Joseph Palmi (played by Joe Pesci) tells CIA officer Edward Wilson (played by Matt Damon): “You’re the guys that scare me. You’re the people that make big wars.” To which the CIA man responds: “No, we make sure the wars are small ones, Mr. Palmi.”

Viewers may be tempted to see some dark truth in that dialogue—namely, that the U.S. government plots and schemes to create wars, with the only saving grace being that it tries to keep them contained. There is, however, another possible reading that is altogether more relevant for our time: It is the wars initiated by other states that Washington tries to keep small.

Keeping the war from going beyond Ukraine’s borders or escalating to the nuclear weapons stage is the thread running through the Biden administration’s response to the Russian invasion of Ukraine from the start. Washington has set a very clear constraint on Western assistance to Kyiv: Support is restricted to diplomatic, economic, and security assistance, while the United States and other NATO states must not become belligerents in the war. In short, sanctions and weapons supplies, but no boots on the ground or pilots in the air.

But Washington’s abundance of caution has gone much further than the simple decision of not putting U.S. and NATO personnel at risk of direct conflict with Russia. Rather than providing Kyiv as quickly as possible with the full spectrum of weapons that it needs to take on a peer adversary, there has been a long series of delays and hesitations regarding arms deliveries that cannot be explained purely by technical factors, such as the availability of weapons or the need to train Ukrainians to use them.

Instead, a pattern has emerged of purely political hesitations by the White House, notably regarding the long delays prior to authorizing deliveries of longer-range missiles and combat aircraft as well as the current blockage on any use of Western weapons against military targets and related infrastructure deep within Russia. The volume of military aid has also slowed markedly, with $6 billion of the $7.8 billion approved by the U.S. Congress in April still unused and about to expire on Sept. 30.

Taken together, these policy choices define the White House’s escalation management approach. To keep the war small, Washington has placed a very tight leash on Kyiv’s prosecution of the war. The result is a pattern of politically chosen limitations on the type of weapons and munitions delivered, the amount and speed of the aid, the numbers of Ukrainians trained on critical weapons, and the permitted uses of the equipment.

Washington has also made sure that European allies abide by the same limits, vetoing or delaying proposed deliveries and overruling key allies’ objections to targeting restrictions, even in situations where the weapons concerned are not from U.S. production.

By essentially micromanaging Ukraine’s strategy and tactics, the White House has sought to keep the war small. The Biden administration’s theory of escalation management also finds its expression in the nebulous formula of helping Ukraine “as long as it takes”—rather than declaring the goal to be a Ukrainian victory and using the formula of “whatever it takes,” which is preferred by many European allies.

Indeed, views differ among NATO member states regarding the level of military assistance that the West should provide, with Northern and Central European allies often at the forefront of pushing for more decisive assistance. It’s clear that none of these governments wants a wider war, nor one that involves nuclear weapons; they and their populations would be among the first to suffer from any such escalation. Many of them know and understand Moscow extremely well.

Hence, their more forward-leaning positions suggest that there may be something broken in how the White House seeks to manage escalation—and whether escalation management is even the right approach.

A current case is illustrated by the long-standing proposals by London and Paris to let Kyiv use British- and French-made weapons they already supplied to Ukraine—in particular, Storm Shadow and SCALP cruise missiles—to strike targets in Russia, including the military airfields that Russia uses to launch bombing runs on Ukrainian energy infrastructure and cities. By the end of May, Finland, Canada, Poland, Czechia, Denmark, and Sweden, among others, had all expressed public support for abolishing restrictions on Ukraine’s use of allied-supplied weapons.

As Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said at the time, the Europeans were trying to build a new consensus before moving forward, “with the position in Washington being crucial.”

Washington responded in the narrow spirit of escalation management by avoiding the simple choice that key allies called for—and salami-slicing it into smaller steps. At the end of May, the White House apparently gave the green light to Ukraine for short-range strikes into a narrow border zone in Russia, but only if the target was directly involved in the Russian attack on the eastern Ukrainian city of Kharkiv. This was clarified in late June to allow for short-range strikes into any bordering region of Russia. Deep strikes into Russia remain verboten.

A further illustration of the Biden team’s escalation micromanagement mindset came with a visit by Ukrainian officials in Washington, D.C., in August. There, they presented the U.S. side with an exact list of targets that could be attacked with Western deep-strike capabilities, effectively asking for permission for each individual target.

The U.S. position has slowly evolved since summer 2022. At first, Ukraine was only allowed to fight within its borders and only at rocket-launcher range. Reluctantly, the White House then allowed deep-strike range—but only at targets within Ukraine (for example, to target the Russian Black Sea Fleet in occupied Crimea). Now, strikes into Russia’s border region at rocket-launcher range are permitted, but deep strikes into Russia are not. It took two years and four months for Washington to reach that position, which is still heavily and one-sidedly detrimental to Ukraine. Russia never placed any range or target limitations on itself and has launched deep strikes into Ukraine since the beginning of the war. Lithuanian Foreign Minister Gabrielius Landsbergis condemned this imbalance on X: “We cannot allow Russian bombers to be better protected than Ukrainian civilians are.”

Crucially, if deep strikes into Russia were a trigger for escalation, the world would know by now. Ukraine has launched repeated drone strikes at Russian energy infrastructure, including strikes on oil refineries more than 600 miles into Russia in April and May as well as an attack on a refinery in Moscow on Sept. 1. No escalation by Russia has been observed since then. Ukraine’s successful invasion of Russia’s Kursk region, the first occupation of Russia by a foreign force since World War II, also went unanswered beyond rhetoric.

In sum, what we have is a White House applying an escalation management algorithm that does not learn or self-adjust. Ideally, U.S. decision-makers would repeatedly test and update their estimates of Russia’s intentions and possible actions, with the aim of ratcheting up toward greater effectiveness. Instead, their algorithm remains impervious to their allies’ inputs and observable reality in the war as Ukraine acts and Russia reacts.

Worse, Washington’s broken algorithm subjects Ukraine to avoidable dangers and losses that will saddle any postwar scenario with greater costs and risks. These avoidable dangers and losses also threaten the entire outcome of the war.

The choice to use target distance as a key variable to salami-slice assistance into supposedly less-escalatory steps suggests a narrow mental map: one that views the Russia-Ukraine war almost exclusively as a land war where the only important variable is the location of the front line. But the location of that front line will matter a lot less if Ukraine loses the air war that Moscow wages against Ukraine’s home front. For months now, Russian airstrikes have repeatedly hit Ukraine’s critical energy infrastructure and other targets across the country. Russia’s aims are obvious: to make Ukrainian cities uninhabitable in order to trigger large population movements, disrupt defense efforts, and force Kyiv to surrender.

The air war is also a key factor influencing the location of the front line—in particular, Russia’s use of devastating glide bombs delivered by bombers flying out of airfields that are located deep inside Russia and thus protected by the White House. Indeed, the use of long-range precision fires to take out these and other enemy targets is a key component of U.S. military doctrine—hence the repeated calls by prominent retired U.S. Air Force and Army commanders to lift range restrictions on Ukraine and take the air war seriously.

In every area that pertains to the air war, U.S. assistance has fallen far short of what it could be. Even in air defense, U.S. shipments have been a tiny fraction of what Washington has in its inventory and can inarguably spare. As for F-16 fighter jets, while the United States supports European transfers to Ukraine, it is not donating any of its own. A further disappointment is that the United States reportedly refuses to prioritize the training of Ukrainian pilots on these aircraft, a situation that a prominent Ukrainian lawmaker described in June as deliberate and caused by “purely political” delay tactics.

There is more at the link if you can stomach it.

In 2015, a NATO Ally shot down a russian jet (not just an unmanned aerial vehicle or a missile!), which violated its airspace. In 2024, NATO Allies have millions of excuses why they can’t intercept russian missiles & drones breaching their skies on the way to kill Ukrainians. pic.twitter.com/7eacdm3oil

— Olena Halushka (@OlenaHalushka) September 14, 2024

Stated fear is that Ukrainian strikes “deep into Russia” could lead to escalation.

But range of Storm Shadow is 250km, and ATACMS 300km. They cannot fly beyond far fringe of biggest country in world. This is not “deep into Russia”.

— Nigel Gould-Davies (@Nigelgd1) September 14, 2024

Tymofiy Mylovanov, the President of the Kyiv School of Economics, places Russia’s genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine and Ukraine’s existential defense in the proper context:

Russia is not a Ukraine’s problem—it’s the EU’s

Eventually, after the war in Ukraine is over, won or lost, Russia will focus on another target: Georgia, the Baltic states, or even the Nordic countries

An aggressive Russia will remain. And what will Europe do? 1/ 

This is an unpopular, often overlooked view.

The West and Ukraine have a conflict of objectives. Many people think that Ukraine wants to escalate to defend, while it’s not the West’s war and the West should try to stay away from it. But it is not that 2/ 

Ukraine wants Russia to move on. The West wants Russia to stop being aggressive.

The point here is that Ukraine has proven to everyone and first of all Russia that it is a very costly prize, not worth the effort. Indeed, whatever the territory taken, it is burned to the ground/ 

By contrast, the EU has shown it can be bullied. Russia can send drones through NATO airspace and there will be no response. Russia can run sabotage and assassination operations in Europe and there will be no response. Russia can do cyber attacks and there will be no response 4/ 
The NATO countries and the EU are not ready to be fast and furious in their reaction to Russian bullying. They are not ready to innovate at the speed Russia does. So, Putin will continue to test them, by action 5/ 
At this point, Russia might very well believe that some of the NATO countries might be an easier target than Ukraine. If this is true, Europe is in trouble 6/ 

My take is that once the war is over, Russia will regroup and start harassing other countries, not Ukraine. And that’s the real conflict of interest between the West and Ukraine.

So, what NATO and the EU should do is to prepare for that time. Now. 7X 

Here’s Tatarigami’s take on Mylovanov’s assessment:

To clarify, I don’t suggest that it’s an intentional strategy to prevent RU invasion into NATO. I’m simply noting that NATO is unlikely to face a direct invasion while Russia is bogged down in Ukraine – mainly because Ukraine hasn’t received enough support to win decisively.

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) September 14, 2024

Not permitted because, let me check my notes, Ukraine doesn’t have the intelligence capability to target the launch site without NATO help and that’s a redline and could have political impacts of escalation

Even though they know exactly where the launch site is, it is well… https://t.co/RlbCxRQztP

— Malcontent News (@MalcontentmentT) September 14, 2024

Not permitted because, let me check my notes, Ukraine doesn’t have the intelligence capability to target the launch site without NATO help and that’s a redline and could have political impacts of escalation

Even though they know exactly where the launch site is, it is well within range of Ukrainian reconnaissance drones, and Ukraine has launched hundreds of Storm Shadow and SCALP-E missiles already

But yes, do tell me about how Ukraine is incapable of using this advanced technology that was, let me check my notes, developed before Intel publicly released the first i586 Pentium processor

Baby, wake up new @freeonis_ animation just dropped https://t.co/dsMMAz0lYE

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 14, 2024

Meet Dracarys:

New dragon drones in service with #UAarmy work against russian treeline positions.

📹: @United24media pic.twitter.com/0wXsvuX41y

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 14, 2024

Odesa:

Ballistics explosions in Odesa as the air raid siren goes off‼️

The last two nights have been Shahid attacks and now the russian terrorists are using ballistic missiles.

But hey, at least no one has crossed putin’s red lines…

— Jesse C. | Джессі К. | .ישי ק 🇺🇲🇺🇦🇮🇱 (@jesse_c_6) September 14, 2024

Kharkiv:

At this late hour, with the city under curfew and residents sheltering in their homes, russian troops are launching aerial bombs on Kharkiv! Three explosions have been reported across the city!

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) September 14, 2024

Several explosions shook Kharkiv just a few minutes ago‼️The city is under the russian glide bomb attack

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) September 14, 2024

The coolest way to bring together military and civilians? Naturally, in Kharkiv! 😉 Radio Khartia, broadcasting straight from a van, is the true essence of Kharkiv—resilient, vibrant, and artistic. And the cherry on top? @serhiy_zhadan as the presenter pic.twitter.com/7DAvnbg0ig

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) September 14, 2024

The Kursk cross border offensive:

Video of the Russian attack in the Kursk region. 14 AFVs were used by Russians. 5 BMDs, 1 tank and 1 BTR were destroyed during the attack.https://t.co/ZepVeUZm49 pic.twitter.com/5I64UQf2Uf

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2024

Captured Russian BTR-82. Kursk region. https://t.co/IrDiENuIib pic.twitter.com/4wPbfR3hmx

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2024

Destroyed Russian pontoon crossings. Seym river, Kursk region. https://t.co/zek06fYePy pic.twitter.com/PcS71pxUCO

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) September 14, 2024

Ukraine has reportedly opened a new front in the Kursk offensive and is advancing pic.twitter.com/HyOUh7pkfL

— Business Ukraine mag (@Biz_Ukraine_Mag) September 14, 2024

A Russian T-90M after being hit by a tiny AFU FPV drone somewhere in the #Kursk AO. If you look close enough, you can see that even the “Nakidka” infrared, thermal, and radar band absorbent material (ITRAM) on the the gun is on fire. This is what corruption gets you… flammable… pic.twitter.com/Nq5psxFxfv

— OSINT (Uri Kikaski) 🇺🇸 🇨🇦 🇬🇧 🇺🇦 🇮🇱 (@UKikaski) September 14, 2024

A Russian T-90M after being hit by a tiny AFU FPV drone somewhere in the #Kursk AO. If you look close enough, you can see that even the “Nakidka” infrared, thermal, and radar band absorbent material (ITRAM) on the the gun is on fire. This is what corruption gets you… flammable armor covered in flammable camouflage and RAM.

I have added a reference image of a T-90 covered in Nakidka ITRAM for reference.

Good news from Russia…
At least 4 733 Russian officers have been eliminated in Ukraine since 24 February 2022.
100 Colonels reached.
Weekly update: +43 newly registered.
Each name is confirmed by a Russian source via funeral notices, obituaries, graves etc. pic.twitter.com/UiduC6snH3

— KIU ✪ Russian Officers killed in Ukraine 🇨🇿🇺🇦 (@KilledInUkraine) September 14, 2024

Novorossiysk, Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

***BREAKING***

Likely response to #Ukrainian air threats, possibly news that Storm Shadow may be used on Russian territory.#Russian Navy vessels appear to have completed evacuated Novorossiysk today.

This follows a similar drill on September 11 2024 #OSINT pic.twitter.com/Y38CuKAViQ

— H I Sutton (@CovertShores) September 14, 2024

Sverdlovsk Oblast, Russia:

One of the best things about Russia is how often they negligently set their own stuff on fire. https://t.co/QaD2N2Imyt

— Tom Warner (@warnerta) September 14, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

First some adjacent material from the Ukrainian MOD

Happy Caturday!

📷: @KpsZSU pic.twitter.com/LRIssN71Qe

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) September 14, 2024

And here’s the full video that Patron previewed yesterday:

There’s a couple of new Pes Patron cartoons I missed being published, so I’ll post those over the next few days.

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 934: 103 More Ukrainian POWs and Detainees Returned Home TodayPost + Comments (22)

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