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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

They spent the last eight months firing professionals and replacing them with ideologues.

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

This fight is for everything.

Our messy unity will be our strength.

Dumb motherfuckers cannot understand a consequence that most 4 year olds have fully sorted out.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

In my day, never was longer.

So it was an October Surprise A Day, like an Advent calendar but for crime.

The current Supreme Court is a dangerous, rogue court.

I would gladly pay you tuesday for a hamburger today.

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

Too little, too late, ftfnyt. fuck all the way off.

People are weird.

The real work of an opposition party is to oppose.

Those who are easily outraged are easily manipulated.

Dear media: perhaps we ought to let Donald Trump speak for himself!

When you’re a Republican, they let you do it.

Sitting here in limbo waiting for the dice to roll

That meeting sounds like a shotgun wedding between a shitshow and a clusterfuck.

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

We do not need to pander to people who do not like what we stand for.

Stay strong, because they are weak.

Welcome to day five of every-bit-as-bad-as-you-thought-it-would-be.

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Trump Crime Cartel Open Thread: Where’s the *Binder*, Mark?

by Anne Laurie|  December 16, 20235:34 pm| 99 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Foreign Affairs, Republican Venality, Russiagate, Trump Crime Cartel

NEW: A binder containing highly classified information about Russian efforts to interfere in the 2016 election has been reported missing pic.twitter.com/0crLGiYegY

— MSNBC (@MSNBC) December 15, 2023

Helluva story @CNN. Good work. I'm old enough to remember when Trump & his cult said Hillary Clinton must be locked up for mishandling emails. Here we have a trove of sensitive intel re Russia & sources and methods that went missing from the Trump WH!https://t.co/v9PBIk6nin

— David Corn (@DavidCornDC) December 15, 2023

Per CNN, “The mystery of the missing binder: How a collection of raw Russian intelligence disappeared under Trump”:

A binder containing highly classified information related to Russian election interference went missing at the end of Donald Trump’s presidency, raising alarms among intelligence officials that some of the most closely guarded national security secrets from the US and its allies could be exposed, sources familiar with the matter told CNN.

Its disappearance, which has not been previously reported, was so concerning that intelligence officials briefed Senate Intelligence Committee leaders last year about the missing materials and the government’s efforts to retrieve them, the sources said.

In the two-plus years since Trump left office, the missing intelligence does not appear to have been found.

The binder contained raw intelligence the US and its NATO allies collected on Russians and Russian agents, including sources and methods that informed the US government’s assessment that Russian President Vladimir Putin sought to help Trump win the 2016 election, sources tell CNN…

The binder was last seen at the White House during Trump’s final days in office. The former president had ordered it brought there so he could declassify a host of documents related to the FBI’s Russia investigation. Under the care of then-White House chief of staff Mark Meadows, the binder was scoured by Republican aides working to redact the most sensitive information so it could be declassified and released publicly.

The Russian intelligence was just a small part of the collection of documents in the binder, described as being 10 inches thick and containing reams of information about the FBI’s “Crossfire Hurricane” investigation into the 2016 Trump campaign and Russia. But the raw intelligence on Russia was among its most sensitive classified materials, and top Trump administration officials repeatedly tried to block the former president from releasing the documents.

The day before leaving office, Trump issued an order declassifying most of the binder’s contents, setting off a flurry of activity in the final 48 hours of his presidency. Multiple copies of the redacted binder were created inside the White House, with plans to distribute them across Washington to Republicans in Congress and right-wing journalists.

Instead, copies initially sent out were frantically retrieved at the direction of White House lawyers demanding additional redactions…

Click the link for a whole lot of interactive information on the Who, Where, What of this intelligence heist.

show full post on front page

"The binder was last seen at the White House during Trump’s final days in office. The former president had ordered it brought there so he could declassify a host of documents related to the FBI’s Russia investigation." https://t.co/OWvD20HMPL

— Clean Observer (@Hammbear2024) December 15, 2023

“All of it is playing into Putin hands…this is another example of why Donald Trump should never step foot in the Oval Office ever again”

-Former Pence aide @OliviaTroye on the Binder of classified material on Russia that went missing

pic.twitter.com/Y5d0xNnskV

— Republicans against Trump (@RpsAgainstTrump) December 16, 2023

Cassidy Hutchinson on the disappearance of the Crossfire Hurricane binder from the Trump White House:

“There was a mentality in the Trump administration of being frivolous with the country’s most sensitive national secrets. Do we really want people like that back in power?” pic.twitter.com/lFcCTSXQVf

— Republican Accountability (@AccountableGOP) December 15, 2023

Today it was reported that a binder with top-secret information on Russian election interference vanished under Trump’s watch.

That classified information still hasn’t been found.

Demonstrating once again, Trump’s utter disregard for our national security.

— Adam Schiff (@RepAdamSchiff) December 15, 2023

Mark Meadows pic.twitter.com/e2MhUoaMNH

— Voice of Reason (@raggapegs) December 16, 2023

“Don’t forget your binder of intelligence secrets and tell Vlad I said enjoy!” pic.twitter.com/lvpBcnfyDm

— Hoodlum 🇺🇸 (@NotHoodlum) December 15, 2023

Trump Crime Cartel Open Thread: Where’s the *Binder*, Mark?Post + Comments (99)

Saturday Afternoon Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  December 16, 20233:26 pm| 85 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Looks like we can use an open thread!

Mr. Bear is having some health issues, so we are all struggling a bit.  He’s still my beautiful boy, though.

Though he doesn’t exactly look pleased, does he?

I can’t blame him.  I have to give him a pill that apparently smells repulsive, I have to stick medication in his ears, and he acts like I am stabbing him, and he has to wear the collar because he has a big sore on his face that was not responding to antibiotics.  The vet did an imprint of his face and sent it off to the vet school, so 5 days later, we now know what antibiotic to use from because it’s an antibiotic-resistant strain of bacteria.

Hope things are going better for everyone else!

Open thread.

Saturday Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (85)

Here comes the rain again…

by Betty Cracker|  December 16, 202311:05 am| 156 Comments

This post is in: Activist Judges!, Music, Open Threads, TV & Movies

Optional soundtrack for the post:

Big storm coming in off the Gulf of Mexico today. It has tropical components, so I’m having a bad hair day but my orchid (the sole bit of flora I am responsible for on the property) is loving it.

***

I finally got a chance to read the much-discussed NYT behind-the-scenes look at how the corrupt FedSoc-captured SCOTUS vaporized equal citizenship for half the U.S. population and guaranteed that tens of millions of women of childbearing age lost access to modern healthcare. Here’s a gift link to the piece, authored by Jodi Kantor and Adam Liptak, if you want to read it too.

Spoiler: all the GOP judges are shifty shit-weasels, but Alito is the slimiest, most conniving prick of all. The NYT doesn’t say this, but I am 100% convinced the investigation of the Dobbs draft leak was inconclusive because everyone knows Alito did it, and no one wanted the court to take that reputational hit.

It’s almost worth eating fucking KALE to improve my already excellent odds of outliving Alito, that revolting, smug shart in the shape of a man. I want to read his obit with great satisfaction one fine morning.

Also, I am heartily sorry Justices Kagan, Jackson and Sotomayor have to share a workplace with such a pompous popinjay. No matter how great the catering and coffee, it cannot possibly be worth it.

***

Is anyone watching the latest season of “The Crown” on Netflix? I’m down to the last two episodes. I think they should have quit after season four.

The cast is excellent: Imelda Staunton, Jonathan Pryce  and Lesley Manville in particular are great, IMO. But the writing went downhill last season. (Could they have bludgeoned us over the heads with the Queen = HMS Britannia analogy any harder? We get it, man!) The storylines for QE2’s grandkids are not compelling, at least to me. It’s become a tedious soap opera with high production values.

I think show creator Peter Morgan mentally checked out after season four, which is too bad because his signature project started off strong. Maybe it was easier for him to create narratives for a period further back in history, before his own time.

Now the mystery is gone, and it’s just celebrity click-bait. Arguably, it was all along.

***

To wrap up with something less depressing or cynical, here’s a classic that asks the right questions and offers great advice:

Open thread!

Here comes the rain again…Post + Comments (156)

Saturday Morning Open Thread: Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through

by Anne Laurie|  December 16, 20237:26 am| 261 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republican Venality, Trump Crime Cartel, Vote Like Your Country Depends On It

Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through

From the Washington Post, “What to know about the $148M defamation verdict against Rudy Giuliani” [unpaywalled gift link]:

On Friday afternoon, a jury ruled that Rudy Giuliani must pay $148 million to two women he falsely accused of helping tamper with election results in Georgia. It’s a verdict that comes almost exactly three years after he appeared in front of state legislators in the swing state and tried to convince them that the 2020 election was stolen from Donald Trump by poll workers like Ruby Freeman and her daughter, Wandrea ArShaye “Shaye” Moss. A deceptively edited video was used to claim that they were adding fake ballots to the totals and doctoring computer tallies with a USB drive; in reality, they were counting papers from regular ballot boxes and sharing a mint.

While state officials quickly debunked the allegations of election fraud, Giuliani continued to spread the accusations in television appearances and on social media. The two women sued a few weeks later, saying they “have become objects of vitriol, threats, and harassment … because of a campaign of malicious lies.” The two Black women testified in front of Congress and then before a federal jury in Washington that violent, racist threats forced them into hiding. Moss quit the job she loved as an election worker; Freeman abandoned her home.

How did the jury get to $148 million?
The jurors were asked to award damages to compensate for the reputational harm done to the two women, damages for the emotional distress caused and punitive damages to make a statement about the seriousness of the conduct.

The plaintiffs only gave a suggested number for the reputational harm; a sociologist from Northwestern University testified that it would cost roughly $47 million to counter all the false allegations about the two women on social media. A lawyer for the plaintiffs, Michael Gottlieb, said Moss should also be compensated for the roughly $800,000 she would have accumulated over a lifetime had she remained in her job as an election worker. On those damages, the jury went lower than asked, awarding Freeman roughly $16 million and Moss roughly $17 million…

The jury responded by awarding each woman $20 million for emotional distress and added a whopping $75 million in punitive damages.

show full post on front page

What happens before plaintiffs can collect?
Chris Mattei, who represented the families of the Sandy Hook mass killing victims who secured a $1.5 billion judgment against Infowars host Alex Jones for defamation, said Giuliani can probably delay paying this penalty in several ways.

“Giuliani is certain to appeal, and while any appeal is pending, the plaintiffs won’t have a final judgment to enforce,” Mattei said. Giuliani can argue that Judge Beryl A. Howell was wrong to find him liable for defamation before trial and that the jury’s award was unreasonable. But Mattei said the women can move to require Giuliani to pay a bond that would keep him from drawing down his assets while the appeal is pending.

Can Giuliani avoid paying by going bankrupt?
No, according to former U.S. attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan Barbara McQuade. On Thursday night, she said on MSNBC that debts for defamation and intentional infliction of emotional distress cannot be eliminated through bankruptcy…

What can Giuliani actually pay?
We don’t know. His refusal to provide the plaintiffs with information on his finances was part of the reason Howell found him liable for defamation without a trial, leaving the jury only to decide how much he owed in damages…

Giuliani said through his attorneys in the case that he “is having financial difficulties.” He is being sued by his former lawyer for $1.3 million in fees and is trying to sell his New York apartment for $6.1 million. Giuliani did get some help from his old boss — a political committee affiliated with Trump paid Giuliani $350,000, and the former president held a $100,000-a-head fundraiser for Giuliani in the fall…

(Yeah, but did any of the money from that fundraiser actually reach Giuliani, or did TFG steal ‘expense’ it all?)

Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through 1

Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through 2
Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through 3

Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through 6

Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through 5

Yet to be disproven:
Saturday Morning Open Thread:  Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go Through 4

Furthermore…

Freeman: We still have work to do. Giuliani was not the only one who spread lies about us and others must be held accountable too pic.twitter.com/0OZlKjl76b

— Acyn (@Acyn) December 15, 2023

Saturday Morning Open Thread: Rudy Still Has Some Things to Go ThroughPost + Comments (261)

War for Ukraine Day 660: A Brief Friday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  December 15, 20238:05 pm| 19 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Art by NEIVANMADE of a Ukrainian painted black and outlined in blood red kneeling in grief with hands covering the face surrounded by the bodies of Ukrainians killed by Russians on a grey background. "Russia Is Committing Genocide Right Now" is across the top center of the image.

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Two quick housekeeping items. First, it’s been a very long day, so just a brief(er) post today.

Second, just a reminder that the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) is not the defense appropriations bill. The former establishes the DOD’s budget, as well as some budgetary matters for other agencies and departments. It also delineates what will be funded within that budget and establishes priorities. No actual money was appropriated with the FY 2024 NDAA’s passage yesterday. It is wonderful that back pay for uniformed personnel whose lives were upended by Tubberville’s idiot hold was included. As well as the large budget for Ukraine. However, there isn’t actually any money appropriated for either of these things, as well as anything else in the NDAA, yet. That’s a separate bill. It is unclear when, or perhaps if, the GOP majority House will actually finish drafting, let alone vote on, the FY 2024 defense appropriations bill. All we do know is it won’t be until sometime in January as the House went home for the holidays yesterday.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Taking care of our warriors, of all our people is a must at all levels of government – address by the President of Ukraine

15 December 2023 – 17:04

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today I am in Lviv. In the morning, I visited the Field of Mars at the Lychakiv Cemetery to honor our fallen warriors. Our heroes, whom Ukraine will always remember – every next generation of a free Ukraine.

Now I am at Lviv Polytechnic. I held a Congress, a meeting of the Congress of Local and Regional Authorities. Together with government officials – the Prime Minister, ministers. The Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada. The Head of the Office. Many issues were discussed – various aspects of interaction between the central government and communities. It is very important for the government to be in constant communication with local governments and for community leaders to understand the current situation, what our entire country is living through, and how important it is to be fully focused on defense and helping people. Taking care of our soldiers, taking care of all our people is a must at all levels of government. This includes local authorities as well.

Today I want to thank all the employees of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine who have been saving lives and helping people after Russian shelling throughout this week, just as they have been doing throughout all the weeks of the war. Odesa… Sergeant Artem Keiha, Sergeant Ruslan Kuruch, Captain Orest Pavlovskyi. Kherson region… Sergeant Anatoliy Skotenyants, Sergeant Volodymyr Kushniruk, Captain Vladyslav Pylypenko. Kyiv… Work at the sites where missile fragments fell. Chief Master Sergeant Serhiy Savenko, Captain Dmytro Halytskyi, Major Liubov Kirnos. I thank you and all your colleagues!

At the Congress today, the Head of the Security Service of Ukraine reported on the detention of collaborators in Odesa, Kherson region, and Dnipro. He also reported on other operations of the Service. The Minister of Internal Affairs reported on the tragedy in Zakarpattia. Doctors are providing all necessary assistance. The head of the regional administration shared details.

And one more thing.

We continue our work with partners to preserve unity in the defense of Ukraine. In Europe, with America, and with everyone else in the world who supports us, supports the state and international law. The coming weeks will also be active in our foreign policy, and we have already begun planning activities for January. We will do our best to make sure that Ukraine is strong and that next year we can all be confident – confident in defense support, macro-financial support, and political support. I am grateful to everyone who helps!

And please take care of people. Take care of Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

For those of you counting Advent on your calendars this season.

15th Day of Ukrainian Advent Calendar

Today, we express our gratitude to our American (@DeptofDefense), Canadian (@NationalDefence), and Australian (@DefenceAust) partners for their unwavering support. We especially thank you for the M777 howitzers provided for #UAarmy.

The… pic.twitter.com/LksAlnnQBj

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 15, 2023

15th Day of Ukrainian Advent Calendar

Today, we express our gratitude to our American (@DeptofDefense), Canadian (@NationalDefence), and Australian (@DefenceAust) partners for their unwavering support. We especially thank you for the M777 howitzers provided for #UAarmy.

The M777 became the first NATO weapon of 155mm caliber in Ukraine. The howitzer can fire at a range of up to 40 km. Long-range artillery has made a substantial contribution to the Ukrainian army’s successes on the battlefield.

Stand by for the next Weapon of Victory tomorrow.

#StandWithUkraine #UAMoDAdvent

The Lithuanians have sent more aid to Ukraine:

Thank you, friends, for this important military aid package.
We appreciate your support!
🇺🇦🤝🇱🇹 https://t.co/bOCVIuAKlG

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 15, 2023

Some repaired Leopards are heading back to Ukraine.

Leopard 2 are returning to Ukraine!

Tanks were repaired by a German company in Lithuania.

We are grateful to @Lithuanian_MoD and the German defense industry for their strong support.
Thank you, friends!
🇺🇦🤝🇱🇹🇩🇪 https://t.co/LGGuzgHIOz

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 15, 2023

The Ukrainians – from President Zelenskyy to the staffers running the Ministry of Defense’s social media feeds – are continuing to make very public thanks even as things are fraught behind the scenes.

“Ukraine has liquidity through January, but it gets a little tight after that. We need to move quickly. Ukraine is right to be nervous. It’s not a comfortable situation at all.”
@FT ⁦@HenryJFoy⁩ ⁦@JamesPoliti⁩ ⁦@hallbenjamin⁩ https://t.co/iqbG7UR6KE

— Valentina Pop (@valentinapop) December 15, 2023

Here are more details from The Financial Times: (emphasis mine)

Ukraine’s Volodymyr Zelenskyy began this week hopeful that his two biggest allies in the face of Russia’s invasion would finally approve financial aid packages worth a total of $115bn. He ended it with little to show for it.

Fraying support for Kyiv in Washington and Brussels coincided with Russian President Vladimir Putin vowing to attack Ukraine until his goals of “denazifying” and “demilitarising” the country were achieved.

The US Congress on Wednesday once again failed to approve a $60bn support package despite Zelenskyy travelling to Washington to lobby lawmakers in person. Two days later, a summit of EU leaders ended without agreement on their own €50bn four-year funding for Ukraine — although they did agree to start membership talks with Kyiv.

“This was the moment for the EU leaders to take the stage,” said one western diplomat. “And they missed their mark.”

While some outstanding funding has been promised by both Brussels and Washington in the next few weeks, their failure to secure Kyiv’s long-term financial stability comes at a particularly sensitive moment in the conflict. Ukraine’s counteroffensive this year has failed to free significant swaths of land from Russian occupation and Kyiv’s firepower is running low just as Moscow is renewing its aerial attacks on Ukraine’s critical infrastructure at the onset of winter.

“Ukraine has liquidity through January, but it gets a little tight after that. We need to move quickly,” said an EU official. “Ukraine is right to be nervous. It’s not a comfortable situation at all.”

Zelenskyy received plenty of plaudits from top US defence officials, some lawmakers from both parties, and US President Joe Biden, but flew back relatively empty-handed. At the White House, Biden was forced to downgrade the US’s pledge from supporting Kyiv “for as long as it takes” to supplying the country with weapons “as long as we can”. 

The Ukrainian leader did secure a new disbursement of US military aid, but it is probably one of the last ones, given that American funding will run out at the end of the year. 

“We’re rapidly coming to an end of our ability to help Ukraine respond to the urgent operational demands that it has,” said Biden. 

In Moscow, Putin gloated. “Ukraine produces almost nothing today, everything is coming from the west, but the free stuff is going to run out some day, and it seems it already is,” the Russian president told a nationally broadcast press conference on Thursday.

The EU summit marked “a bittersweet moment in EU’s relations with Ukraine,” said Michal Baranowski of the German Marshall Fund think-tank in Warsaw. “The EU’s decision to open the negotiations with Ukraine and Moldova is truly historic, even if it’s just a beginning of a long road. The bitterness comes from Hungary’s decision to veto the €50bn financial package, critical for the financial health of the Ukrainian state.”

Officials familiar with the talks said that Zelenskyy privately told leaders it was more important for him to get the agreement on EU membership talks than on funding. A spokesperson for the Ukrainian president declined to comment.

Mark Rutte, Dutch prime minister, said that opening EU membership talks with Ukraine “was a ‘plus’”, but that “the minus in this European Council was that we did not agree on the money now”.

Rutte denied it was a win for Putin. “He knows that we will find a way somehow to resolve the financial question.”

“The veto on the €50bn tells you less about faltering western resolve than it does about Viktor Orbán,” said Ian Bond, deputy director at the Centre for European Reform, in reference to the Hungarian premier. “Ukraine will get the [EU] money in the end. But there is a real problem in the US.”

In Washington, Democrats said they emerged from meetings with Zelenskyy convinced of the urgency of reaching a deal on funding.

“The time to act is now. We must honour our commitments and pass a security package before the year ends,” said Mark Warner, the Virginia senator and chair of the Senate intelligence committee.

Talks in the upper chamber to try to find a compromise solution on measures to curb immigration at the southern border with Mexico, which Republicans have set as a condition for any additional Ukraine aid, revved up and White House officials have gotten more involved since.

But reaching an agreement before the winter holidays seems unlikely, and some Republicans said it was simply time for Zelenskyy to negotiate a settlement with Putin.

“This is a bloody stalemate,” Ron Johnson, a Republican senator from Wisconsin, told Fox News after Zelenskyy’s visit. “This war should be brought to an end, the sooner the better.”

These words, penned by a veteran and survivor of the trenches of World War I, seem fitting:

When winter first begins to bite
and stones crack in the frosty night,
when pools are black and trees are bare,
’tis evil in the Wild to fare.

Avdiivka:

Tatarigami and his team have done a deep dive into the Russian losses in Avdiivka. First tweet from the thread, the rest from the Thread Reader App:

Frontelligence Insight team, upon a thorough examination of multiple satellite shots spanning from October 10th to November 28th, has identified over 211 destroyed or damaged and abandoned Russian vehicles in the vicinity of Avdiivka. 🧵Thread: pic.twitter.com/ZiNyzVhiaR

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) December 15, 2023

2/ Our initial report included over 109 vehicles between October 10th and October 20th, excluding the area west of Vodyane. This time, we expanded our coverage to include the entire area until November 28th, 2023, bringing the total number to 211.Image
3/ Losses identified in Part 1 or occurring before October 10th—the start of the assault—are marked with white squares. Ukrainian losses are excluded from this report, focusing on Russian losses, though we couldn’t identify more than 7.Image
4/ This number surpasses Russian losses in any other single battle, including Vuhledar, marking it the most devastating battle for Russian forces in terms of vehicle losses. The primary categories of losses include tanks, BMPs, BTRs, MTLB, some IMVs, a couple of trucks, and MLRSImage
5/ Notably, not all confirmed FPV drone hits led to observable destroyed vehicles in satellite imagery. Some vehicles may remain operational or get evacuated for repairs. An FPV drone hit doesn’t always indicate a vehicle loss.Image
6/ Around 50% of these losses occurred in the first three weeks of the offensive, with occasional peaks in the October-December period. This aligns with our earlier reports about a shift towards infantry assaults instead of massive mechanized troops.Image
7/ We excluded several locations recorded on videos where Russian vehicles were destroyed due to the extensive explosions. However, on the imagery, there was nothing left to identify as a vehicle, other than a scorch mark and crater.Image
8/ To enhance accuracy, we compared imagery from September and October to exclude vehicles destroyed before October 10th and those included in the previous report. Errors and misidentifications might still exist, but they are estimated to be no more than 12.75%Image
9/ The total number of losses would amount to approximately slightly over the complete annihilation of 5 battalions. This represents significant losses in both equipment and personnel, considering the achieved results.Image
10/ The complete list of losses with images can be found on the website linked in my bio. (I am not including the link in the thread as it significantly degrades the visibility of this thread and doesn’t show up in the timeline.)Image
11/ Our team is working on multiple projects, including tracking the expansion of Russian military infrastructure. Considering that we do not have stable financing, please consider the BuyMeaCoffee option linked in my bio to support us, given the very limited resources we have.Image
12/ Our teams utilized geolocated data to visually map Russian vehicle losses between October 10th and November 28th, aiding in visualizing the battle for Avdiivka and identifying locations with the highest concentration and number of vehicle losses.Image
13/ These materials were prepared by the Frontelligence Insight team, with assistance from volunteers and with OSINT geolocated materials: @naalsio26 , @Danspiun , @AndrewPerpetua , and @GeoConfirmed 

Stepove, Avdiivka front:

Bradley IFV fires at Russian BMP from close range. Near the village of Stepove, Avdiivka fronthttps://t.co/kKdTyj43EH pic.twitter.com/6GpLHtptez

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) December 15, 2023

Russian occupied Crimea and Henichesk, Kherson Oblast:

A drone attack on Crimea is reported. Plus air defence activity is also reported in Henichesk area, Kherson regio. pic.twitter.com/FZk1290ETV

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) December 15, 2023

Russian occupied Donetsk:

Strike on Russian oil depot in Donetsk pic.twitter.com/Tpr7kfG9nK

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) December 15, 2023

For you drone and shotgun enthusiasts:

A Ukrainian serviceman takes down a Russian FPV/loitering drone using a shotgun. Being under the roof and using such a weapon most likely increased his chances of successfully shooting down the drone.https://t.co/GpKzbbr7Jq pic.twitter.com/vjyzv4HJpf

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) December 15, 2023

And for those of you who are wondering how Russian barrels are holding up:

The barrels of those Russian D-30 artillery pieces have been torn apart from the inside out. Probably faulty ammunition from North Korean or Russian production.

Source: https://t.co/UZ0tbOIRkK#Ukraine pic.twitter.com/dM94UD6F0k

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) December 15, 2023

If you were wondering what the Russian pilots were thinking when the Russian MLRS tried to shoot them down the other day, Dmitri has you covered.

And here's the apparent recording of the Russian pilots who were almost taken down by a Russian MLRS. I might have gotten some bits wrong due to recording quality and jargon but the agitation of a pilot at the end is palpable. https://t.co/Uz4ehuWhER pic.twitter.com/ScaCWHrash

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) December 15, 2023

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos. Here’s some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

How do you properly end a work week?
You should do it with a cheerful vibe, and Ukrainian combat cats can help you with that! pic.twitter.com/OZav6uoqBu

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 15, 2023

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 660: A Brief Friday Night UpdatePost + Comments (19)

Rudy Giuliani Is Learning The Eternal Truth: #ETTD

by Tom Levenson|  December 15, 20234:50 pm| 131 Comments

This post is in: Election 2020, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Trumpery

You may recall that two Georgia election workers, Ruby Freeman and Shaye Moss, had sued Giuliani for the harms they endured after he falsely declared Freeman and Moss had tampered with ballots in 2020.

The trial that has just concluded was not about whether Giuliani had done the deed.  He both admitted to the facts in question and so completely failed to meet his obligations in the discovery phase of the trial, which led the judge in the case to render a default judgment in favor of the plaintiffs. This trial was all about damages:  how much America’s embarrassment owed for his sins.

This afternoon, after less than two full days of deliberation, the jury has given its answer:  Giuliani owes $148 million to Moss and Freeman — $33 million in direct damages for the defamation; $40 million for emotional harm, and $75 million in punitive damages.

As Josh Kovensky writes at Talking Points Memo, Rudy made it easy for the jury:

It’s a stunning damages amount, one which reflects not only the vicious campaign of harassment that Giuliani unleashed by falsely claiming that a video showed the two tampering with ballots at a Georgia voting center, but the extent to which Trump’s consigliere went out of his way to make things as bad as possible for himself. Giuliani earned Howell’s wrath throughout the pre-trial phase by repeatedly ignoring evidence requests from Freeman and Moss’ attorneys. During the trial itself, Giuliani stood outside the courtroom and repeated the claims which led to the defamation claim in the first place, further enraging the judge.

Oh–and Giuliani hasn’t got the lolly. Not even close. Odds are he’ll have to make a whole bunch of cash between now and then to merely die broke.

Rudy Giuliani Is Learning The Eternal Truth: #ETTD

Oh–and in the biggest surprise since the dog bit the man–his former client does not have his back, as Kovensky reminds us with this chef’s kiss:

Giuliani reportedly begged Trump himself for cash over the summer to cover his legal bills, but the former president refused.

Yup.

Everything Trump Touches Dies.

Image: David Teniers, Two beggars on the outskirts of a village, between 1660 and 1670.

Rudy Giuliani Is Learning The Eternal Truth: #ETTDPost + Comments (131)

Friday Afternoon Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  December 15, 20233:50 pm| 67 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

For most of us, it’s important to our sanity and emotional health to take note of what’s going well, not just what isn’t going well or even what could go wrong.  Courtesy of (fake) Jack Smith:

Diary of the Mad King #4:

The wretched harbingers of justice continue to darken my days.

Despite my attempts to dissuade them, threaten them, turn my subjects against them, they remain undeterred, gaining in speed and strength by the day.

It is the ultimate cruelty to be robbed of what I crave most. Power, prestige and legacy.

I watch helplessly at Letitia empties my coffers.

As Jack crushes my legal gambits.

As Fani turns my pawns against me.

I can sense the dire-wolves approach, the dragons breath on my neck.

I can feel the relentless march of those yearning to end my terrible reign.

The final battles loom like an ominous prophecy.

Let us savor.

Totally open thread!

Friday Afternoon Open ThreadPost + Comments (67)

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