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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Let me file that under fuck it.

Live so that if you miss a day of work people aren’t hoping you’re dead.

Is it negotiation when the other party actually wants to shoot the hostage?

When your entire life is steeped in white supremacy, equality feels like discrimination.

“woke” is the new caravan.

It’s the corruption, stupid.

The rest of the comments were smacking Boebert like she was a piñata.

The words do not have to be perfect.

Following reporting rules is only for the little people, apparently.

This blog will pay for itself.

We cannot abandon the truth and remain a free nation.

Oppose, oppose, oppose. do not congratulate. this is not business as usual.

Pessimism assures that nothing of any importance will change.

He really is that stupid.

Democracy is not a spectator sport.

American history and black history cannot be separated.

They are lying in pursuit of an agenda.

Is trump is trying to break black America over his knee? signs point to ‘yes’.

A tremendous foreign policy asset… to all of our adversaries.

… pundit janitors mopping up after the gop

President Musk and Trump are both poorly raised, coddled 8 year old boys.

They traffic in fear. it is their only currency. if we are fearful, they are winning.

Accountability, motherfuckers.

Do not shrug your shoulders and accept the normalization of untruths.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

The Times, they ain’t a-changing

by Betty Cracker|  December 15, 202311:01 am| 193 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Our Failed Media Experiment

Remember James Bennet, the NYT editorial page editor who got shit-canned in 2020 for publishing a guest essay by Tom Cotton, the twitchy MAGA fascist from Arkansas? Of course you don’t because you have a life. But it was a big deal at the time.

It was at the height of the Black Lives Matter protests following George Floyd’s murder, when the Murdoch Cinematic Universe was telling Americans that hordes of (mostly black!) people were pillaging its cities and setting commercial properties aflame. That was mostly a big fat lie; 93% of the protests were peaceful.

But there was video of troublemakers who used some of the protests as cover to commit crimes and charges against some legitimate protesters who resisted over-the-top police crackdowns. That was enough to scare the shit out of the Fox News shut-ins and give sadistic creeps like Cotton casus belli. Cotton’s op-ed urged Trump to invoke the Insurrection Act and unleash state violence on fellow Americans.

Lots of people upon whom that violence was most likely to be visited objected to the publication of Cotton’s screed, and a few of them were NYT staffers who called for Bennet’s firing.

NYT publisher Sulzberger and executive editor Dean Baquet forced Bennet to resign, and now he’s written a “dishy 16,000-word essay” about it to settle all scores. It’s titled “When the New York Times Lost Its Way,” and it was published in The Economist yesterday.

I confess I have not read it because 16,000 words (I have a fucking life too, you know), but these excerpts in Politico are…bewildering:

Bennet paints a picture of a contentious and often acrimonious generational and philosophical civil war within the Times newsroom between 2016 and 2020. While old guard Times journalists continued to privately support traditional journalistic values like fairness, pluralism and political independence, Bennet writes, they gradually capitulated to their younger, more ideologically motivated colleagues, who pushed the paper to elevate liberal viewpoints and shun conservative perspectives.

“The Times’s problem has metastasised from liberal bias to illiberal bias, from an inclination to favour one side of the national debate to an impulse to shut debate down altogether,” Bennet writes. “All the empathy and humility in the world will not mean much against the pressures of intolerance and tribalism without an invaluable quality that Sulzberger did not emphasise: courage.”

Bennet charges that this gradual leftward shift came to infect the paper’s coverage of a range of issues beyond Trump, gradually undermining its credibility and pandering to its most left-leaning readers.

Oh my fucking God! Is this about “woke” again? Because goddamn, the literal fascists are at the gate, women’s status as first-class citizens and access to modern healthcare has been vaporized by a corrupt and unaccountable court, and voters have demonstrated that they don’t give a flying fuck about “woke.” So can we stop beating that long deceased and thoroughly decomposed-to-dust horse yet? Apparently not!

And even if what Bennet alleges is true, did the Times not hire a woman named Pamela Paul (or Paula Pam?) to cover “woke” oppression of conservatives as a full-time beat? Does the paper not employ noted conservatives Bret Stephens, Ross Douthat and David Brooks to admonish liberals for driving Republicans into the arms of the Proud Boys with “woke” nonsense? I’m pretty sure there’s at least one anti-“woke” black man on the payroll who regularly suggests racism isn’t that big of a deal.

Bennet’s claim that Sulzberger and Baquet initially backed his decision to publish Cotton’s essay and then threw him under the bus when the blowback arrived sounds very on brand. This does not:

Yet even before his firing, Bennet writes, he had grown troubled by a shift in the paper’s editorial philosophy: “The old liberal embrace of inclusive debate that reflected the country’s breadth of views [gave] way to a new intolerance for the opinions of roughly half of American voters.”

Huh. I thought the exact fucking opposite happened — that political desks and op-ed rosters at the Times and other national outlets, including the Post, bent over backwards to amplify and validate Trump voters. That’s what the Cletus safaris were all about. That’s why Gary Abernathy has a job at the Post.

Perhaps ego drove Bennet to reframe his professional garroting to give it world-historical significance. If I ever get around to reading the whole piece (unlikely), maybe I’ll find there’s more to it. But it kinda sounds like he got dumped by flinchy careerists, which would also be on brand. The Times, they ain’t a-changing.

Open thread!

The Times, they ain’t a-changingPost + Comments (193)

Balloon Juice on Blue Sky

by David Anderson|  December 15, 202311:00 am| 54 Comments

This post is in: Balloon Juice, Open Threads

As Twitter is an ever increasing dumpster fire, people have migrated to multiple life boats.  I’m over at Blue Sky as dmaanderson.bsky.social along with a good cluster of Jackals.

I have four invites if anyone needs them

E-mail me at firstname-lastname AT this website’s address and I’ll send them to you.

 

 

Balloon Juice on Blue SkyPost + Comments (54)

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: Something Accomplished, Something Done

by Anne Laurie|  December 15, 20237:55 am| 224 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Popular Culture, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!

A bit of magic, wonder, and joy brought to you by the talented tappers of Dorrance Dance, performing their playful interpretation of The Nutcracker Suite.

Enjoy! ?? pic.twitter.com/qXtCm4t37o

— Jill Biden (@FLOTUS) December 13, 2023


Yes, it’s Tchaikovsky! And I recognized, on the third play-through, why I love this version: I didn’t attend my first live ballet performance until I started going with the Spousal Unit (who is a bit of a balletomane). When we went to see a ballet-school production of The Nutcracker, the klopfklopfklopf during the junior students’ parts confused me… until I realized that walking quietly in toe shoes is also a skill acquired only with practice. Taptaptaptap.

Big props for Our President:

I was proud to host President Zelenskyy at the White House where I reaffirmed that the United States’ support for Ukraine is unshakeable.

Congress must pass supplemental funding for Ukraine.

This is about freedom for Ukraine – and freedom everywhere. pic.twitter.com/iO6WwRLbV6

— President Biden (@POTUS) December 14, 2023

NEWS — Senate will shortly pass by unanimous consent a bill awarding back pay to military officers whose promotions were delayed by Sen. Tuberville’s blockade.

Will happen imminently on Senate floor

— Andrew Desiderio (@AndrewDesiderio) December 14, 2023

BIDEN DID THIS! House passes crucial defense bill in last-minute sprint, providing a pay raise for troops, Ukraine funding https://t.co/IMoZTwYgyE via @usatoday

— Lynn Gallegos (@LGallrgos) December 15, 2023

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Per USAToday, “House passes crucial defense bill in last-minute sprint, providing a pay raise for troops, Ukraine funding”:

The House passed an annual defense policy bill Thursday morning, sending it to President Joe Biden’s desk to approve $886 billion in spending for military pay raises, funding for Ukraine and other key issues.

The National Defense Authorization Act, a bill that Congress is required to pass every year, includes a 5.2% pay raise for troops, authorizes funding for Ukraine and an extension of a controversial foreign surveillance program. The bill’s passage concludes a last-minute sprint from Congress to finish the crucial legislation, which cleared the lower chamber by a bipartisan vote of 310-118.

The bill, opposed by House conservatives, was considered on the floor under what is known as “suspension.” It required a two-thirds vote from the House to dodge procedural hoops, which likely would have been stopped by hard-right GOP lawmakers protesting.

Conservatives had two major grievances with the bill: the extension of Section 702, a provision in the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act that enables the U.S. to monitor foreign nationals using U.S. based messaging services, and its omission of several culture war amendments…

Senate passes military backpay for delayed promotions before recessing.

Back Monday with a vote on, who else, Martin O’Malley to be commissioner of Social Security

— Burgess Everett (@burgessev) December 15, 2023

Nothing motivates the United States Senate quite like Thursday afternoon. https://t.co/tuq5btBHK8

— Matt Glassman (@MattGlassman312) December 14, 2023

Productive year for the House GOP. Expelled a Member, censured a couple more, continued Pelosi’s budget, sent out subpoenas, held some hearings, renamed some Post Offices, published some books, launched new podcasts, sold lots of trinkets, got lots of days off, kissed Trump’s ass

— Ron Filipkowski (@RonFilipkowski) December 14, 2023

But Rich ‘Sparklepants’ Lowry thinks he’s found his pony in TFG’s lagoon of pigdirt…

“Vote Republican: The Army will kill him if he goes too crazy,” is certainly a memorable pitch if nothing else. https://t.co/yNPI8GDjYI

— Open Source Stupidity (OSSTU) Starfish (@IRHotTakes) December 14, 2023

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread: Something Accomplished, Something DonePost + Comments (224)

Late Night Open Thread:Mother of Musk, Is This the End of Little Elon?

by Anne Laurie|  December 15, 202312:27 am| 62 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Tech News & Issues, Schadenfreude, Sociopaths

Elon Musk's Mom Slams Joe Biden After Billionaire Loses $900M in Starlink Subsidies: 'Have You Any Idea How Furious I Am?' https://t.co/CGSXgY2QVZ Click the image for details:

— Radar Online (@radar_online) December 14, 2023

Way to go @FCC! @elonmusk’s Starlink loses out on $886 million in rural broadband subsidies https://t.co/Hhy5fbeRHb via @Verge

— rolandsmartin (@rolandsmartin) December 14, 2023

*We* should only be so lucky! Linette Lopez, at Business Insider, has been Musk-skeptical for many years — “Elon Musk’s luck has finally run out”:

… From 2019 to 2022, it seemed as if every gamble that Musk took was paying off. Tesla was consistently profitable for the first time in its history and its stock soared as its massive new Shanghai plant ramped up production. SpaceX rockets captivated the public’s attention — even when they blew up, everyone still clapped. Accusations of corruption and self-dealing slid right off Musk’s back. Musk could do and say anything he wanted and success followed: He was even named Time’s 2021 Person of the Year.

Then Musk did what every risk-addicted blackjack player inevitably does: pushed his luck too far. Overconfidence, confirmation bias, and delusions of control led to a string of bad decisions — and BOOM — Elon’s empire is in trouble again.

The change of fortune was apparent at The New York Times Dealbook Conference last week. During an interview with host Andrew Ross Sorkin, the recognizable tells that Musk’s hand had gone cold were everywhere. He raged at the very people who will dictate Twitter’s fate, seemed baffled by key questions about the future of his companies, and offered non-apologies for his unhinged, antisocial behavior online. Sorkin suggested Musk’s brain is like a storm, but it sounded more like two cats fighting to get out of a duffle bag.

This, ladies and gentlemen, is what it looks like when Musk realizes he’s in a jam entirely of his own making. I know, because we’ve seen it before, including back in 2018, when he nearly flew Tesla into a mountain. He may find a way to ward off calamity, as he did then, but this jam is much tighter than the last one. Musk has to contend with over $13 billion of debt still weighing down a swiftly sinking Twitter, Tesla’s profits shrinking because of a lack of demand and new products, and a world that is generally sick of his schtick. In Muskland, everything is connected by money — problems at one business bleed into the others. That’s why Elon is being exceptionally obstinate. It’s not just your imagination — his luck has changed…

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Tesla’s salvation came in the form of the Chinese Communist Party. In 2019, as executives were fleeing Tesla and the company continued to bleed cash, Musk struck a deal to build a factory in Shanghai. From permitting to construction to opening, the Shanghai Gigafactory was built in just 168 working days. Skeptical observers — myself included — were blindsided. What we failed to appreciate was the staggering power of the CCP when it’s aggressively pushing to meet a single goal. When the party said Tesla could build the factory there, that meant immediately.

Without China, Tesla would not have finally turned into a “real car company,” in Musk’s own words. He dodged destruction and started to settle down and focus on other projects, like Starlink. Sure, he was still wilding out on Twitter, but at least he wasn’t bawling to Rolling Stone about how badly he needs a girlfriend to be happy. At last, it seemed the Musk universe had found some kind of frenzied equilibrium.

Generally, there are two different lessons a person can take from surviving a brush with near ruin. They can learn to be more cautious, or they can decide that they are indestructible and tempt fate. I don’t think I need to tell you which path Musk chose…

Say what you want about him, but Elon Musk has ambition. On top of the world in early 2022, Musk decided that he had the power to single-handedly “fix” the entire concept of free speech. And given that he is hopelessly addicted to the adulation he gets from Twitter, that’s where he figured he would start.

We all know this part of the story. Musk started building a stake in Twitter in early 2022, then offered to buy it outright. He offered such a ridiculously high price that the board couldn’t say no. A consortium of banks — led by Morgan Stanley — loaned him a large portion of the money. And finally, after trying and then failing to renege on the deal, he bought Twitter. Not long after completing the deal, Musk exhausted all the ideas to turn around the platform and was left with angry former employees, skeptical advertisers, a terrible new name, and a massive pile of debt owed to the Boy Scouts over on Wall Street…

Because of the way that Musk operates, the social-media company’s troubles pose a threat to his whole business empire. Despite being the second-wealthiest person in the world, Musk is curiously cash poor. He doesn’t take a salary from Tesla, and while he owns about 20% of the EV maker, public documents filed in March show that about 63% of those shares are “pledged as collateral to secure certain personal indebtedness.” You know, like the private jets…

All of this money-incinerating activity, from the beginning of the Twitter deal to this very moment, could not have come at a worse time. For decades, Musk has operated in a placid economy where interest rates were near zero. But Musk started buying Twitter right as central banks around the world began hiking rates in an effort to combat inflation. That means the cost of servicing his debt is getting more expensive, making it harder for him to get new loans. It’s a shift so dramatic that it could rip a hole in the universe through which Musk’s reality collapses into our own…

Wall Street should be thoroughly embarrassed. According to reports, the banks holding Twitter’s debt are already expecting to take a $2 billion hit when they can finally sell it off. It’s not hard to see why. I’ve said from the jump that there was no money in this Twitter venture, and no principles either. Musk was always going to turn Twitter into a reflection of his limited view, his “Earth” — as he put it during his manic rambling at Dealbook — not a place for the average user. I never expected Musk’s fanboys to understand that, but I did expect bankers who are supposed to understand who pays for what in a media business to get it. In the end, there’s a real chance Wall Street investors will wind up owning the shambolic mess that is Twitter/X. One of the few blessings to come from this fiasco is that when that happens, at least they’ll know what not to do with it.

He's so desperate for money. He wants these companies public as soon as possible so he can plug the gaps https://t.co/cAgjR5ptRL pic.twitter.com/qeSjGoymbX

— Ed Zitron (@edzitron) December 13, 2023

Starlink only missing their projected numbers by over 90% pic.twitter.com/xZfHRKo4Qq

— Wild Geerters (@steinkobbe) December 13, 2023

It's basically a scam: SpaceX is 80% funded by US taxpayers.

— Oliver Darko (@oliver_drk) December 13, 2023

He cut off Starlink service to our allies in Ukraine. He cannot be trusted. https://t.co/MRb4nGckVw

— 📬 Kathy Cybele 🐺 🟧 (@KathyCybele) December 14, 2023

Correct Headline: Angry Welfare Mom Says Son is Entitled to Federal Aid Despite Failure to Meet Basic Program Requirements

— JO (@JO_loves_coffee) December 14, 2023

Who cares, lady? pic.twitter.com/OV9L5vF9KI

— ★Kristen Elizabeth★ (@StaarVellocet) December 14, 2023

Late Night Open Thread:<em>Mother of Musk, Is This the End of Little Elon? </em>Post + Comments (62)

L.A. Artist Runs Postal Service for the Dead (Open Thread)

by WaterGirl|  December 14, 202310:10 pm| 42 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Talk About Whatever You Want

Artist Janelle Ketcher runs a service called Postal Service for the Dead. In it, she maintains a post office box where people can send letters to their deceased loved ones. (Jay L. Clendenin / Los Angeles Times)

This is an open thread, so talk about whatever you want, but I thought this story was too good not to share.

A few excerpts from a charming L.A.Times article about a very special artist.

Postal Service for the Dead, started by artist Janelle Ketcher, provides the living with a way to physically send letters to those who have exited this realm. The letters are stored, and if so desired, shared with the public. Senders indicate on the back of envelopes if they’d like for the notes to remain sealed or not — leaving them blank means do not open, a heart signifies read but don’t share and a star indicates share. Postal Service for the Dead also functions as a community archive for those who have lost someone, that nation that transcends borders and dimensions, whose language is grief.

Inspired by projects like the wind phone, a disconnected payphone in a garden in Ōtsuchi, Japan, where people can call the deceased, Ketcher decided to just do it herself. She opened a box at a post office in Lincoln Heights and launched an Instagram account. In the year since, dozens of people have sent letters, coming from the West Coast, the Carolinas, Florida, France and beyond.

They include postcards, handwritten notes and homemade collages. There are sweet, nostalgic remembrances, memories of times had and updates on lives lived, but also letters that render the anger, confusion and despair that can accompany the death of a person close to us.

“One big thing with grief,” Ketcher says, “is that even within a family or community unit, everyone could be grieving in a super different way.”

The archive includes letters to family, friends, pets and those who are not physically gone but who are lost in other ways. Most of the letters sent via Postal Service for the Dead have been marked for sharing. Only one letter, sent in an envelope the color of terracotta, was left blank, meaning it will remain sealed and unread.

Writing letters to the dead is a longstanding practice — “A lot of people burn their letters, and that can be really helpful as well,” Ketcher says — but being able to actually send them somewhere holds a mysterious power.

And there’s something appropriate about the Postal Service for the Dead being in Los Angeles. The city’s mythology, a brightly lighted dreamscape with a dark underbelly, makes it the perfect portal between worlds.

Ketcher knows that not everyone believes in an afterlife and that the letters may not be received by their intended recipients.

“I’m just a keeper,” Ketcher says of the letters. “But I do think you can continue a conversation, you can continue a connection, through storytelling.” The artist pauses, and adds, “If you receive a letter from someone you love, there is a bit of magic in that.”

Totally open thread.

L.A. Artist Runs Postal Service for the Dead (Open Thread)Post + Comments (42)

War for Ukraine Day 659: President Zelenskyy Addresses the European Council & Visits US Army Europe

by Adam L Silverman|  December 14, 20239:25 pm| 27 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Photo of President Zelenskyy with GEN Williams, GEN Cavoli, and LTG Aguto at US Army Europe Headquarters

(Image from President Zelenskyy’s official site)

The Sword of Freedom!

President Zelenskyy paid a visit to US Army Europe headquarters. Facing us, from left to right is: LTG Aguto, Commander, Security Assistance Group-Ukraine, Operation ATLANTIC RESOLVE, Germany; GEN Williams, Commander US Army Europe & US Army Africa; President Zelenskyy, and GEN Cavoli, Commander US European Command/Supreme Allied Commander Europe (SACEUR). Full disclosure: GEN Williams was the Deputy Commander of US Army Europe when I was assigned as the Senior Civilian Advisor/Cultural Advisor to the Commander of US Army Europe from DEC 2013-AUG 2014.

Here’s the details from the President of Ukraine’s website.

After his official visit to Norway, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited the command of the U.S. Army Europe and Africa in Wiesbaden, Germany.

The Head of State met with Commander of the U.S. European Command and Supreme Allied Commander Europe General Christopher Cavoli, Commander of the U.S. Army Europe and Africa General Darryl Williams, Commander of the Security Assistance Group – Ukraine Lieutenant General Antonio Aguto.

During the meeting, the parties discussed the work of the Security Assistance Group – Ukraine, as well as the specifics of the logistics of ammunition and military equipment supply, repair and sustainment.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy also spoke with the Ukrainian military, who are working in Wiesbaden as part of the Armed Forces of Ukraine’s task force under the Security Assistance Group – Ukraine.

Representatives of the Armed Forces are responsible for coordinating the supply of materiel assistance from partner countries to the Ukrainian Defense Forces, as well as training of the Defense Forces personnel in partner countries. They also coordinate the repair and sustainment of Western military equipment provided by Ukraine’s partners.

“I am honored to be here today to thank every warrior for their service in defense of our country. I am very glad that you are working as a team together with our partners, our true friends. I wish you only victory. This is the most important thing. It is the beginning of life and the future,” the President said.

President Zelenskyy addressed the Council of Europe. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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Europe must win, agreements must be honored – address by the President of Ukraine to the participants of the European Council meeting

14 December 2023 – 16:18

Thank you so much, Mr. President!

Dear Charles, dear colleagues, greetings to you all.

Thank you for this opportunity to address you.

Today is a special day. And this day will go down in our history. Whether it’s good or bad for us, history will capture everything. Every word, every step, every action and inaction. Who fought for what.

This year, we didn’t make any mistakes. Not a single one. Europe went through this year with dignity. There was no cowardice, no indecision.

And Putin gained nothing over the year. Neither in the battles against Ukraine, nor in his attempts to divide and demean Europeans. He lost everything this year. It’s crucial that he lost not just in Ukraine, but in every aspect of European life.

Europe maintained its unity. Europe didn’t let its people get dragged into any of the crises the Kremlin always dreams of. You all realized that now is not the time for half-measures or hesitation. Europe has made strong decisions. I am very thankful – Europe made strong decisions and implemented them effectively.

I’m grateful for such strength in Europe.

And it’s very important that Europe doesn’t fall back into indecision today.

Nobody wants Europe to be seen as untrustworthy. Or as unable to take decisions it prepared itself.

Dear colleagues! 

Today is the day when determination will either be in Brussels or Moscow. People in Europe won’t understand if Putin’s satisfied smile becomes the reward for a meeting in Brussels.

These days I’ve communicated to many of you. We’re talking about a decision that was promised. And I haven’t heard any counter-argument as to why we shouldn’t implement the plan agreed upon by all of Europe. All of Europe.

Last year, Ukraine received clear recommendations on how to move forward. We have passed the key laws. You all – and I emphasize: all – know well that we fulfilled every obligation.

And there was a clear schedule for the EU – today is a day for a political decision in response to what we’ve accomplished. It’s about opening accession negotiations with Ukraine. And in March next year – approving the negotiation framework for moving forward.

No bureaucracy. Everything is very clear.

This isn’t about what politicians need. It’s about what people need. All those people in the trenches, shooting down drones and missiles every night… And all those working so children can learn even under constant Russian terror, and doctors can save lives even when Russia tries to destroy our energy or communication systems.

Today’s decision on opening accession negotiations is also vital for all those people in EU countries who believe that Europe can avoid falling back into old times of endless fruitless disagreements between capitals.

Europe deserves to be strong. Europe’s strength is in unity and resolve. Europe deserves a dignified policy. Deserves to have agreements respected, and for people in Europe to know they won’t be deceived.

10 years ago, in Ukraine, people rose-up under the flags of the European Union. It was a symbol of truth for them, and it should remain so.

I ask you one thing today – do not betray the people and their faith in Europe.

If no one believes in Europe, what will keep the European Union alive?

People in Europe won’t see any benefit if Moscow receives a pass from Brussels in the form of negativity towards Ukraine. Putin will surely use this against you personally, and against all of Europe.

Don’t give him this first – and only – victory of the year. Europe must win, agreements must be honored, and words must matter.

Thank you so much, Charles, all of you!

Слава Україні!

The European Council has decided to open accession negotiations with Ukraine & Moldova. #EUCO granted candidate status to Georgia. And the EU will open negotiations with Bosnia and Herzegovina once the necessary degree of compliance with the membership criteria is reached and…

— Charles Michel (@CharlesMichel) December 14, 2023

The European Council has decided to open accession negotiations with Ukraine & Moldova.

#EUCO granted candidate status to Georgia. And the EU will open negotiations with Bosnia and Herzegovina once the necessary degree of compliance with the membership criteria is reached and has invited the commission to report by March with a view to taking such a decision.

A clear signal of hope for their people and for our continent.

This is a victory for Ukraine. A victory for all of Europe. A victory that motivates, inspires, and strengthens. https://t.co/zk44CeL5Ui

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) December 14, 2023

Orban folded and/or the 10 billion Euro cheque cleared.

Starting accession negotiations with #Ukraine is a bad decision. Hungary did not participate in the decision. pic.twitter.com/omYLSxefkI

— Orbán Viktor (@PM_ViktorOrban) December 14, 2023

Amazingly, the FY 2024 National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) passed both the Senate and the House today. Given the House Freedom Caucus’s threats, it was unclear if it would be brought to the floor. CNN has the details of what is in it: (emphasis mine)

The House and Senate have approved a $886.3 billion defense policy bill, which would provide the largest raise for service members in more than two decades, temporarily extend a controversial surveillance program and strengthen the US posture in the Indo-Pacific region to deter Chinese actions.

The nearly 3,100-page National Defense Authorization Act for fiscal year 2024 now goes to President Joe Biden for his signature. The package authorizes $28 billion, or about 3%, more than the previous fiscal year.

The legislation outlines the policy agenda for the Department of Defense and the US military and authorizes spending in line with the Pentagon’s priorities. But it does not appropriate the funding itself.

The defense authorization bill would extend the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative through the end of 2026 and authorize $300 million for the program in the current fiscal year and the next one. The program provides funding for the federal government to pay industry to produce weapons and security assistance to send to Ukraine, rather than drawing directly from current US stockpiles of weapons.

Before anyone decides to take a victory lap in the comments, the NDAA is not the FY2024 Defense appropriation. All the NDAA does is delineate what the DOD should do and what it should spend to do it. It DOES NOT actually appropriate/provide any funding to do those things! Funding will be provided in the Defense appropriation, which is one of the 12 appropriations bills that the House is supposed to pass and then send to the Senate. The Senate has finished its version of all 12, including the Defense appropriation, but the House has not passed a single one. Some are in the drafting process. Some haven’t even been started yet. The Continuing Resolution that funds the DOD runs out at the beginning of FEB 2024.

Funding for Ukraine and the authorization to use it runs out at the end of December. Despite that reality, the Pentagon spokesman issued a statement today that contradicted itself and the White House statement from last week that support would be ending because funding would run out at the end of the month.

The replenishment funding has really been at $0 for at least a week too, having already been earmarked, it will soon be committed. So the DoD is already announcing new drawdowns, knowing that there is no funding for replacement equipment.

— Colby Badhwar 🇨🇦🇬🇧 (@ColbyBadhwar) December 14, 2023

What this seems to mean is that the Pentagon is planning on just shipping equipment to Ukraine under drawdown authority without funding to replace them in the US inventory. I think that’s the only way to parse that there is $0 left and the authorization to spend even if there were dollars has expired, but we’re going to continue to drawdown another $4 billion or so, which we don’t have and aren’t authorized to spend.

It’s been a long week and this makes my head hurt.

The Senate is staying in session to continue trying to negotiate a Ukraine supplemental aid package in exchange for writing a number of Stephen Miller’s failed executive actions on immigration into statutory law. The House has recessed and gone home for the holidays.

For those of you marking Advent on your calendars this season:

Ukrainian Advent Calendar: Day 14

Today, we would like to thank our American (@Deptofdefense), British (@DefenceHQ) and Estonian (@MoD_Estonia) friends for Javelins.

This man-portable anti-tank system has become a legend on the battlefield and even turned into a Ukrainian pop… pic.twitter.com/CfXqbjxYr5

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 14, 2023

Ukrainian Advent Calendar: Day 14

Today, we would like to thank our American (@Deptofdefense), British (@DefenceHQ) and Estonian (@MoD_Estonia) friends for Javelins.

This man-portable anti-tank system has become a legend on the battlefield and even turned into a Ukrainian pop culture icon. It helped our soldiers shatter the Kremlin’s dream about seizing Kyiv in three days. It’s no surprise that it’s often referred to as Saint Javelin.

You can guess the 15th Weapon of Victory in comments. Let’s test your intuition.

#StandWithUkraine #UAMoDAdvent

Here’s more details on the German aid package announced yesterday:

One more Patriot air defense system from Germany arrived in Ukraine!@BMVg_Bundeswehr is providing Ukraine with much needed military support. The new aid package includes:

◾️Patriot air defense system
◾️Patriot missiles
◾️9 BV 206 tracked all-terrain vehicles
◾️3 mine clearing…

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 14, 2023

One more Patriot air defense system from Germany arrived in Ukraine!

@BMVg_Bundeswehr is providing Ukraine with much needed military support. The new aid package includes:

◾️Patriot air defense system
◾️Patriot missiles
◾️9 BV 206 tracked all-terrain vehicles
◾️3 mine clearing systems
◾️14 drone detection systems
◾️8 Zetros trucks
◾️4 semi-trailers
◾️8 Zetros tankers
◾️4 vehicles (trucks, minibuses, all-terrain vehicles)
◾️7,390 rounds 155mm ammunition
◾️47,040 rounds 40mm ammunition

Vielen Dank!
🇺🇦🤝🇩🇪
#StandWithUkraine

Estonia also announces another aid package:

🇪🇪 #Estonia had decided to send 🇺🇦 #Ukraine €80 million military aid package, including #Javelin anti-tank missiles.

Ukraine’s fight for freedom can only succeed if allies continue helping Ukrainians. #StopRussianAggression

Read more: https://t.co/65LuTuV6IT pic.twitter.com/30vxqZA8zD

— MoD Estonia (@MoD_Estonia) December 14, 2023

Here are the details from the Estonian Ministry of Defense:

The government cabinet supported Minister of Defence Hanno Pevkur’s proposal for long-term military aid to Ukraine and an extensive military aid package for Ukraine in defence against the Russian aggression. The aid includes Javelin anti-tank missiles, vessels, and other much-needed equipment.

“Just like the Estonian Javelins played a decisive role last year in defence of Kyiv and inspired other countries to lend a helping hand to Ukraine, our aim with this extensive aid package is to show that Ukraine’s fight for freedom can only succeed if Allies continue helping Ukrainians,” said Pevkur.

In addition to a large quantity of Javelin anti-tank mines, the newest aid package also includes machine guns, ammunition for light weaponry, various vehicles and vessels, as well as diving equipment. The exact amounts are not public for security reasons. The replacement value of the package is nearly 80 million euros.

“This aid package is compiled with the aim of maximum benefit for Ukraine without harming Estonia’s own defence capability. We are replacing the necessary stocks,” explained Pevkur.

“The Russian regime is betting on the free world giving up their support to Ukraine. In order to break the flawed calculation of the criminal Russian regime, we must send a strategic message: we will continue significant and sustained support to Ukraine until Ukraine has won the war. What’s at stake isn’t only the security of Ukraine, but also Estonian, transatlantic, and global security as a whole,” said the Minister of Defence.

In addition, the analysts at the Ministry of Defence have compiled a discussion paper for setting up transatlantic security for success. The paper includes calculations to show that to insure a victory for Ukraine and loss for Russia, it is enough for supporters of Ukraine to allocate 0,25% of their GDP to Ukraine per year.

“Allies have what it takes – Russia spends more than twice on warfighting in Ukraine than the Ramstein coalition, whose combined economies are 30 times those of Russia, does on military aid to Ukraine. Our calculations show that if the free world would be willing to aid Ukraine at a rate of 0,25% of their GDPs per year, it would be enough to break the backbone of Russia, who only understands brute force. This is a small price to pay compared to what the costs will be if the Russian aggression ends up paying off for them,” said Pevkur.

For the next four years, Estonia is ready to allocate 0,25% of its GDP to military aid to Ukraine and will use the defence budget means to finance the aid. “Ukraine is also fighting for us and each war machine destroyed with our help is a step towards reducing the Russian threat towards Europe. Therefore, we must be ready to support Ukraine in the long term and also demonstrate to our Allies that where there is a will, there is a way to help Ukraine,” explained Pevkur.

With the addition of the newest military aid package, since 2022 Estonia has provided Ukraine with military aid in the value of 500 million euros, which amounts to ca 1,4% of the GDP.

Earlier aid packages from Estonia to Ukraine have included, for example, Javelin anti-tank missile systems, howitzers, artillery ammunition, anti-tank mines, anti-tank mortars, machine guns, vehicles, communications equipment, field hospitals, medical supplies, personal protective gear (helmets, body armour, etc.), and military food rations.

Russia once again opened up on Ukraine over night:

russia continues its missile terror, but Ukrainian air defence protects the peaceful sky.

Overnight, occupiers attacked Ukraine with 42 Shahed kamikaze drones.
41 UAVs were shot down.

📸: Air Command South (Illustrative photo) pic.twitter.com/GwX6DWoqgW

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 14, 2023

Massive Russian missile and drone strike on Kyiv for the third day in a row. Putin clearly hopes Ukraine will run out of air defense missiles because of the US Congress, which will then allow him to destroy the multi-billion dollar Patriot, Iris-T and Nasams batteries themselves.

— Yaroslav Trofimov (@yarotrof) December 14, 2023

Putin is counting on this:

Putin also sounds confident that western military support for Ukraine is drying up.

"Ukraine produces almost nothing today, everything is coming from the west, but the free stuff is going to run out some day, and it seems it already is," he says. pic.twitter.com/q379jSNGO1

— max seddon (@maxseddon) December 14, 2023

Odesa Oblast:

Border guards of the Belgorod-Dniester detachment shot down an enemy Shahed over the Odesa region.

📹: @DPSU_ua pic.twitter.com/SoB9AU7jwY

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 14, 2023

For over 6 hours Russia terrorized Odesa region with drones. 41 out of 42 destroyed, with 20 targeting port infrastructure around Izmail. Drones were flying along the Ukrainian-Romanian state border. But are we still cautious not to provoke Russia? pic.twitter.com/WhCwerr62h

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) December 14, 2023

Kyiv:

Today the people of Kyiv organized a peaceful demonstration near the Kyiv City Administration advocating for appropriate budget spending that would prioritize military needs.

It’s incredible to see how active Ukraine’s civil society is even during the war. pic.twitter.com/Bz0cjsJPj1

— Saint Javelin (@saintjavelin) December 14, 2023

Avdiivka Axis:

The Avdiivka axis: M2 Bradley in action. All three russian armoured vehicles were destroyed.

📹: 47th Mechanized Brigade pic.twitter.com/Z5wj8X2EQv

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 14, 2023

This interview with one of the members of the Avdiivka garrison was recorded in November. "Zam", a company commander, has been in Avdiivka for many months now. He first saw massive Russian columns advancing on his positions on 10 October '23. This interview will give you an idea… pic.twitter.com/HSzF4UC1Ph

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) December 14, 2023

This interview with one of the members of the Avdiivka garrison was recorded in November. “Zam”, a company commander, has been in Avdiivka for many months now. He first saw massive Russian columns advancing on his positions on 10 October ’23. This interview will give you an idea of the cost of holding off the hordes, and a truthful, unique insight into the mindset of a Ukrainian commander.

Source: https://youtu.be/hEnb2-eXlaQ

Here’s the video as a direct embed:

Bakhmut:

The remains of Bakhmut.
Russia unironically says it “liberated” what had been a thriving regional Ukrainian city of 70,000. pic.twitter.com/SBFUKzJzlh

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) December 14, 2023

Russian occupied Mariupol:

Mariupol powerful explosions, reportedly "concrete plant" attacked by a Ukrainian missile. pic.twitter.com/ymLNbdPR6i

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) December 14, 2023

/3. The Armed Forces of Ukraine fired three long-range missiles "in the direction of Mariupol" – Russian sources

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) December 14, 2023

For you drone/anti-drone enthusiasts:

The FPVs catcher.

The importance of anti-drone rifles in modern warfare is very high. pic.twitter.com/QYdUkDQGbc

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) December 14, 2023

Somewhere in Russia or Russian occupied Ukraine:

Russian Grad MLRS tries to shot down Russian Su-25. Unfortunately the attempt was unsuccessful pic.twitter.com/Phbk7Q62mp

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) December 14, 2023

More on the Kyivstar cyberattack:

Kyivstar may need weeks to restore all services after cyber attack – CEO https://t.co/Bwcpt6OEcD pic.twitter.com/aTWY0cv1eb

— Reuters (@Reuters) December 14, 2023

From Reuters:

Dec 14 (Reuters) – Ukraine’s biggest mobile operator Kyivstar may need several weeks to reinstate all its services after a massive cyber attack, though major services could be restored by the end of this week, the company’s CEO Oleksandr Komarov said on Thursday.

Tuesday’s attack on Kyivstar, which counts more than half of Ukraine’s population as mobile subscribers, knocked out services and damaged IT infrastructure and air raid alert systems in several regions.

Komarov said he hoped the company would be able to fully restore three major services – mobile internet, voice services, and SMS – by the end of this week.

“(To restore) all additional services, from my point of view, will probably take several weeks,” he said in televised comments.

On Wednesday, a group called Solntsepyok, believed by Ukraine’s security service SBU to be affiliated with Russian military intelligence, said in a post on the Telegram messenger that it carried out the attack. It published screenshots appearing to show that the hackers had accessed Kyivstar’s servers.

“Photos appeared in Telegram channels are fabricated,” he said. Data was not damaged or lost, he stressed.

In its Telegram post revealing the hack, Solntsepyok thanked unnamed “concerned colleagues” at Kyivstar. The SBU said on Tuesday that it had opened a criminal case following the cyberattack.

Kyivstar’s CEO said the hackers used an employee’s compromised account for the attack but how exactly they got access to it is a matter of ongoing investigation.

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A newish video from Patron’s official cartoon TikTok!

@patronthedog

Друзі назавжди ❤️🐾

♬ Always Forever (you and me always forever) – Cults

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Friends forever ❤️🐾

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 659: President Zelenskyy Addresses the European Council & Visits US Army EuropePost + Comments (27)

Thursday Evening Open Thread: The Quiet GOP Early-Primary Civil War

by Anne Laurie|  December 14, 20238:40 pm| 60 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!

Right now, @nikkihaley is speaking to a full house in Amherst. Lots of positive energy.#nhpolitics #FITN pic.twitter.com/vMeut5Zot4

— Greg Moore (@GregMooreNH) December 14, 2023

Slightly scary reminder: Iowa’s (GOP) primary is scheduled for Monday, January 15th; New Hampshire’s (GOP) primary is on Tuesday, January 23rd. Since neither state is of much importance to Democratic primary voters this time, that makes them much more dedicated to wooing Republican candidates, lest they lose all those lovely earned media dollars in future election cycles.

New Hampshire, per ‘popular governor Chris Sununu’ is throwing its chips behind Nikki Haley; meanwhile, the DeSantis campaign has decided that Iowa is their best hope not to flame out before snowmelt. Me, I’m gonna enjoy watching the carnage, from a safe distance.

USA Today reports “Nikki Haley clinches crucial NH endorsement as she looks to narrow Donald Trump’s lead”:

New Hampshire’s popular Republican Gov. Chris Sununu endorsed former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley Tuesday night, a critical move that could invigorate the White House hopeful’s campaign as she seeks to take on former President Donald Trump in the first-in-the-nation primary.

“It’s unbelievable,” Sununu said to a packed crowd at the McIntyre Ski Area in Manchester, describing Haley’s momentum in the state. “To see her out there to see you’re connecting with folks to feel that momentum is real and it is changeable.”…

Among the most popular Republican governors in the country, Sununu has urged flocks of voters packed into tiny diners, American Legion halls and auditoriums across New Hampshire to “get behind a winner” who could beat President Joe Biden in a general election match up.

“I call it retail management,” Sununu, 48, said while discussing the factors impacting his potential endorsement outside of a Haley event in November. It’s an old-fashioned style of politicking Sununu employed during his four successful gubernatorial campaigns in the Granite State and one he believes could be a winning strategy for the modern-day GOP…

Haley in recent weeks has also racked up a number of major conservative endorsements, including one from the Koch-brothers backed Americans for Prosperity Action. The pushes signal growing consensus for the former Palmetto State governor as a top Trump rival.

Sununu’s move to endorse Haley breaks with a decision by his early voting state counterpart, Iowa Gov. Kim Reynolds, to back DeSantis.

show full post on front page

The Florida governor has largely bet his chances in the 2024 race on Iowa’s evangelical voters. A Des Moines Register/NBC News/Mediacom poll published earlier this week found the governor in second place in the Midwest state, over 30 percentage points behind Trump and just three points ahead of Haley…

There seems to have been a major outburst on rightwing twitter today over a report that TFG might just consider Haley for his VP, assuming he’s not dead or in jail by the time campaign season rachets up. She’s not a MAGA fave, and Donnie Jr. announced Haley would be Daddy’s choice ‘over my dead body’ — which is, IMO, one reason the idea isn’t totally unfeasible.

Reminder: ‘Independent’ New Hampshire voters ratf*cking opposing candidates’ primaries is a proud local tradition — and this year they don’t have an ‘official’ Democratic choice to expend their bile:

Nikki Haley and the NH Governor calling for Democrats to vote in the Republican primary

This was the plan all along pic.twitter.com/635hiN8s6H

— johnny maga (@_johnnymaga) December 13, 2023

Ed Kilgore, at NYMag, throws cold water — “Nikki Haley Needs a Miracle, Not Just Hype, to Beat Trump”:

[Sununu’s endorsement is] the good news this week for the former United Nations ambassador and governor of South Carolina. The not-so-good news was that she has lost her momentum in Iowa, according to the latest gold-standard Iowa Poll from Ann Selzer, and is still running third there behind Trump and Ron DeSantis. This sets up two possible paths ahead for the new Republican Establishment favorite, both of which lead to her home state’s primary on February 24…
 
The underlying problem for Haley is that there’s nothing in her background and message that is appealing to Trump supporters, who represent a solid majority of Republican voters nationally (61 percent in the latest RCP polling averages) and a near majority in the early states where his rivals have concentrated their efforts. Her fans have been avidly promoting her electability credentials as evidenced by some (though not all) polls showing her running better against Joe Biden than any other Republican candidate. But electability is not presently the biggest worry of Trump backers, who are more focused on plotting vengeance on his and their tormenters when he wins. Unfortunately for Nikki Haley, her own backers are squarely in the MAGA crosshairs too. She needs a small miracle and a lot of luck to keep her campaign going through Super Tuesday.

I still say Haley is getting a jump start on the 2028 campaign cycle — the Sensible Choice, once TFG is off the ticket, for whatever reason. Ron DeSaster, on the other hand, is looking more and more like this year’s Bobby Jindal. He’s so desperate, he’s even started (tentatively) saying bad things about Dear Leader!

DeSantis goes after Trump hard! https://t.co/bv9T0kDKdR

— christopher byrne (@chrisbyrnenj) December 13, 2023


CNN’s own review:

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis on Tuesday showed new urgency in taking on Donald Trump, attacking the former president at every turn at a CNN town hall in Iowa with the state’s caucuses less than five weeks away.

DeSantis was quick to flip many questions into opportunities to contrast his record as governor with Trump.

The economy? Trump “set the stage” for rising inflation, DeSantis said. The border crisis? Trump didn’t complete the wall, and Mexico didn’t pay for it, he said. Abortion? Trump is “flip-flopping on the right to life,” the Florida governor claimed.

He even blamed Trump for the Satanic Temple of Iowa’s display at the state Capitol, a development that has roiled Iowa and triggered a free speech debate. “Lo and behold, the Trump administration gave them approval to be under the IRS as a religion,” DeSantis said, referring to the Internal Revenue Service granting the group tax-exempt status in 2019.

Missing from Tuesday’s event were the conservative culture war-infused buzzwords that typically pepper DeSantis’ speeches and town halls. Instead, he focused on issues that polls show are top of mind for the broader electorate. And he treated everything — even a question about an endorsement rival Nikki Haley had just gotten from New Hampshire Gov. Chris Sununu — as an opportunity to attack Trump…

“When he gets off the teleprompter now, you don’t know what he’s gonna say,” DeSantis said. “It’s a different Donald Trump than in ‘15 and ‘16. You know, back then he was colorful, but it was really America First, about the policies. Now a lot of it’s about him.”

It was a striking string of attacks, though, not because it covered new ground. DeSantis has lobbed similar critiques at Trump on the campaign trail for weeks. But he has rarely, in a prime-time appearance, narrowed his attacks so directly at the former president, and at every turn…

The change in approach Tuesday is perhaps illustrative of the mounting urgency within his campaign to make headway in the state. DeSantis has signaled a readiness to go after Trump in the past, before retreating. It remains to be seen if this time will be any different…

He also, apparently, tried to bribe Iowans by offering to deport the Department of Agriculture from DC…

When I’m President, Iowa will have first dibs on the Department of Agriculture.

An agency like the USDA should be staffed by Americans who understand agriculture and farming, not pointy-headed bureaucrats imposing an agenda. pic.twitter.com/xc3A0RuIM9

— Ron DeSantis (@RonDeSantis) December 14, 2023

… and publicly courted Sean Hannity as a ‘more substantive’ moderator than Jake Tapper:

Sean Hannity held the most substantive debate of the cycle last month.

If he wants to host a debate between Nikki Haley and me or Donald Trump and me, I’m game. pic.twitter.com/82CjNC8UKb

— Ron DeSantis (@RonDeSantis) December 14, 2023

Anyone wanna run a pool on the date when Ron officially throws in the towel?

Thursday Evening Open Thread: The Quiet GOP Early-Primary Civil WarPost + Comments (60)

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