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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Republican speaker of the house Mike Johnson is the bland and smiling face of evil.

The most dangerous place for a black man in America is in a white man’s imagination.

“Perhaps I should have considered other options.” (head-desk)

Since we are repeating ourselves, let me just say fuck that.

Petty moves from a petty man.

75% of people clapping liked the show!

Every reporter and pundit should have to declare if they ever vacationed with a billionaire.

I desperately hope that, yet again, i am wrong.

Boeing: repeatedly making the case for high speed rail.

Black Jesus loves a paper trail.

New McCarthy, same old McCarthyism.

This isn’t Democrats spending madly. This is government catching up.

This fight is for everything.

Some judge needs to shut this circus down soon.

When your entire life is steeped in white supremacy, equality feels like discrimination.

It may be funny to you motherfucker, but it’s not funny to me.

I really should read my own blog.

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

“Everybody’s entitled to be an idiot.”

You are either for trump or for democracy. Pick one.

We’re watching the self-immolation of the leading world power on a level unprecedented in human history.

Peak wingnut was a lie.

A democracy can’t function when people can’t distinguish facts from lies.

She burned that motherfucker down, and I am so here for it. Thank you, Caroline Kennedy.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Monday Morning Open Thread: Thank All the Gods for President Biden

by Anne Laurie|  November 27, 20237:43 am| 209 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Biden: For week I’ve been advocating for a pause in the fighting for two purposes. To increase the assistance getting into the Gaza civilians who need help, and to facilitate release of hostages. We know that innocent children in Gaza are suffering greatly as well pic.twitter.com/W3P4AMsP8t

— Acyn (@Acyn) November 26, 2023

Biden This deal is structured so that it can be extended to keep building on these results. That’s my goal. To keep this pause going beyond tomorrow pic.twitter.com/6iH9voMoEl

— Acyn (@Acyn) November 26, 2023

I'm not sure how people expect things like a ceasefire to survive if when a ceasefire (or humanitarian pause) happens people don't visibly support it. It's good, it's a win. Let people take a victory lap on it and ask them for more.

— Mike Caulfield (@holden) November 26, 2023

show full post on front page

Twice as many hostages released than expected thus far and he did it while making a turkey sandwich in Limerickville. https://t.co/kEdbjJ5xyO

— zeddy (@Zeddary) November 25, 2023

If you try to tell this to the mainstream media, they look at you like you have three heads. All they see is the short staircase, the occasional gaffe, and the comfort sneakers. The idea Biden's deep experience and subtle diplomacy gets things done never enters their thinking https://t.co/9cej5bvDs1

— scary lawyerguy (@scarylawyerguy) November 26, 2023


 
Meanwhile a Fox News reporter adds a line to his resume:

A Fox reporter says Biden "continues to face questions about his age, even here in Nantucket"

Then he plays a clip of Biden being asked, "Mr. President, are you too old to be running for reelection?"

Without disclosing that the reporter is the one shouting the question pic.twitter.com/qgWNtdJSF6

— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) November 26, 2023

“Breaking news: Joe thinks I’m a dumbass. More on this developing story later.” https://t.co/LYLmFvYKF5

— Jean-Michel Connard ?? (@torriangray) November 26, 2023


 

It's easy to "predict" things like this when you control the magic eight ball. The press saying negotiating hostage releases and cease fires won't help Biden can be willed into being by crafting a ~ narrative ~ saying it is so. https://t.co/mJ1xAt25AC

— scary lawyerguy (@scarylawyerguy) November 25, 2023

Just a reminder since people have short memories.

Promises made, promises kept. Biden removed the Muslim Ban on DAY 1 of his presidency. pic.twitter.com/2gaABhbqGb

— Candidly Tiff (@tify330) November 26, 2023

Monday Morning Open Thread: Thank All the Gods for President BidenPost + Comments (209)

Cold Grey Pre-Dawn Open Thread: St. Ashli of the Tragic Narrative Arc

by Anne Laurie|  November 27, 20233:48 am| 78 Comments

This post is in: domestic terrorists, Grifters Gonna Grift, Jan 6: Insurrection, Open Threads

Late Night Open Thread: St. Ashli of the Tragic Narrative Arc 1
 
Late Night Open Thread: St. Ashli of the Tragic Narrative Arc

Not exactly grifting, as far as I can tell, but… exploitive, with a veneer of godliness. Per local news CBS8:

… The film is created by SMS Novel, a faith-based interactive film company that has produced bio-pics like “I Am Kim Porter” and “King of Detroit.”

“It paints a clear picture of #1 the American journey; all of us can find us in Ashli Babbit in some ways, but secondly, a cautionary tale that misinformation has deadly consequences,” said the film’s director Jomo Johnson.

“I think that is subjective that is up to the viewer. We are not promoting one view or the other. Again, I think the fact that she is no longer with us shows that there is a consequence of whatever side you choose,” Johnson said.

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Filming will take place in Washington D.C. and Ocean Beach where Babbitt most recently lived and Spring Valley where she worked for her family pool business.

Johnson says exact filming locations and dates are private due to safety concerns…

It is titled “Nero’s Martyr,” named after the Roman emperor.

“Nero, a roman emperor, who was very unique at using the skilled propaganda to persuade countrymen and enemies. Stories like Ashlie Babbit; I don’t think she was going there to die that day. I don’t think her plan was not to come home. I think she thought she was going to be part of protest. I don’t think she knew what was going to happen. I don’t think she was willing or wanting to die. If something can happen like that to someone who is in a protest, can it happen to us? And so, we want to do honor to telling her story as a human,” said Johnson…

There’s a half-million-dollar pot already waiting, after all:

Late Night Open Thread: St. Ashli of the Tragic Narrative Arc 2

Refresher, from an AP article shortly after Babbitt’s death:

… In the months before her death, Babbitt had become consumed by pro-Trump conspiracy theories and posted angry screeds on social media. She also had a history of making violent threats.

Babbitt, 35, was fatally shot while attempting to climb through the broken window of a barricaded door leading to the Speaker’s Lobby inside the Capitol, where police officers were evacuating members of Congress from the mob supporting Trump’s false claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen. She was one of five people who died during or immediately after the riot, including a Capitol Police officer.

On social media, Babbitt identified as a Libertarian and ardent supporter of the Second Amendment. Her posts included videos of profane rants against Democrats, COVID-19 mask mandates and illegal immigration.

Her Twitter account, which was taken down after her death, was rife with references to the QAnon conspiracy theory, which centers on the baseless belief that Trump has secretly battled deep-state enemies and a cabal of Satan-worshiping cannibals that includes prominent Democrats who operate a child sex trafficking ring…

Trump has repeatedly insisted Babbitt was murdered, and she has achieved martyr status among Trump supporters. Her name and likeness now appear on T-shirts and flags at pro-Trump rallies…

A Trump partisan with anger issues and a gun fetish, she’s just like us, fr fr!… Not sure there’s a coherent *narrative* to be assembled, but there’s clearly a *market* out there.

Cold Grey Pre-Dawn Open Thread: St. Ashli of the Tragic Narrative ArcPost + Comments (78)

War for Ukraine Day 641: The New York Times Actually Corrects a Head Line & Above the Byline Lede

by Adam L Silverman|  November 26, 202310:47 pm| 38 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Israel, Military, Open Threads, Palestine, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Quick housekeeping note: I think one you asked me a question/follow up question in the comments overnight after I’d racked out. If you can remember what it was, just repost it and I’ll try to get to it tomorrow.

I did not think this was actually possible:

Good news: NYT corrected the article's misleading title and included Ukraine loss details. With millions initially exposed to the original, unfortunately the damage has already been done. Thank you everyone who shared and help to spread the message pic.twitter.com/XzfrKEc4BU

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) November 26, 2023

Hoocoodanode?

Russian occupied Crimea:

The entire northern Black Sea basin region seems to be seeing The Storm of the Century ❄️❄️❄️

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) November 26, 2023

According to the authorities of the Russian occupation in Crimea, half a million people are without electricity. That’s almost a quarter of the entire population of that occupied peninsula. The lack of electricity disabled all of the water supplies.
⁰The worst part of the storm… pic.twitter.com/y4JrKBJNPA

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

Is it too much wishful thinking to hope that storm will wash away Russian occupiers from Crimea? pic.twitter.com/zzzYHeHY9K

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) November 26, 2023

No word yet as to whether Jim Cantore is being HALO airdropped into Crimea. Also, do they have Waffle Houses in Crimea?

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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We cannot stand aloof from Ukraine’s defense, and glory to all our people who understand this – address by the President of Ukraine

26 November 2023 – 20:49

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, a considerable part of our country is facing extremely difficult weather conditions. The situation is particularly difficult in the southern regions of Ukraine. Our units of the State Emergency Service of Ukraine, the National Police, utilities and local authorities are working around the clock and will continue to do so.

I ask all Ukrainian citizens in the areas affected by the bad weather to be as cautious as possible. If necessary, please contact the State Emergency Service of Ukraine, the National Police, and our other state and municipal agencies. Our power engineers will restore electricity supply to all cities and villages that are currently experiencing temporary power outages due to the weather as soon as possible.

As of now, these are about 400 settlements in ten regions. In particular, operational headquarters have already been deployed and are currently functioning in Odesa, Mykolaiv, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, and Kyiv regions. Special vehicles have been deployed to the roads where needed. I would like to thank everyone who is working now and will continue to work tomorrow to protect us from this bad weather and to restore normal living conditions in all our Ukrainian communities as soon as possible.

Now, when it is so difficult, in such conditions, we should all be especially grateful to those who defend our country, who carry out Ukrainian offensive operations, who are in combat positions, at combat posts, on duty in mobile fire groups and in all our other units that protect Ukraine, the life of our state and our independence.
Intense hostilities do not stop for a single hour in the Donetsk directions and in Kharkiv region – in the direction of Kupyansk. Our warriors are also holding their positions in the south of the country: Zaporizhzhia region, our Kherson region.

I want to thank everyone who rightly responds to Russian terrorist attacks, who repels enemy assaults even now – in such conditions.

Soldier Oleh Danylchenko, a combat medic of the 110th separate mechanized brigade, Senior Soldier Oleksiy Tokariev and Junior Sergeant Mykola Tyshchenko, both of the 53rd separate mechanized brigade, Senior Soldier Yaroslav Bazil and Junior Sergeants Ihor Ponomarenko and Serhiy Kashyrin, all three of the 118th separate mechanized brigade, Soldier Andriy Shabelnyk of the 93rd separate mechanized brigade, Sergeant Andriy Tarhoniy of the 80th separate air assault brigade, Junior Sergeant Ihor Shapran of the 92nd separate assault brigade, and soldier Oleksandr Voronenko of the 57th separate motorized infantry brigade particularly distinguished themselves this week.

I thank each of you, warriors, all your brothers-in-arms, everyone who helps our brigades, all Ukrainian defense and security forces, who works in our defense production facilities, who supplies everything needed by Ukraine and our people, who tends the wounded, trains our warriors, and organizes volunteer fundraisers for the sake of Ukrainian strength.

We cannot stand aloof from defense. And glory to all our people who understand this, who fight, who work and help for the sake of Ukraine and Ukrainians! We are strong in unity.

Glory to Ukraine!

Had productive meeting with the President of NATO Parliamentary Assembly @MichalSzczerba

Ukraine’s Defence Ministry plans on adopting NATO standards and practices to strengthen #UAarmy.

Exchanged ideas on NATO summit in DC. pic.twitter.com/qe5f3Zq26Z

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) November 26, 2023

Had a weekly call with my U.S. counterpart, Secretary Austin @SecDef.

We discussed the latest security assistance priorities and mutual steps to strengthen #UAarmy capabilities.

I also highlighted russia’s massive drone attack on Ukrainian cities and critical infrastructure…

— Rustem Umerov (@rustem_umerov) November 26, 2023

More on the Black Sea storm:

Heavy snowstorm hits Odesa, central, and eastern Ukraine. Some border crossings to Moldova closed. Schools in Kyiv and Odesa shift to distance learning tomorrow. Can't imagine what it's like in the trenches pic.twitter.com/KpEktaZcHI

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) November 26, 2023

The storm over the Black Sea will severely disrupt the ordinary life. The Odesa region is completely covered in snow and wind.

Operations relating to the war will certainly have an impact, too. Especially in the east of Ukraine, where the wind is pushing a lot of humid air from… pic.twitter.com/5sFum2WOw8

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

The storm over the Black Sea will severely disrupt the ordinary life. The Odesa region is completely covered in snow and wind.

Operations relating to the war will certainly have an impact, too. Especially in the east of Ukraine, where the wind is pushing a lot of humid air from the Black Sea and Azov Sea will cause a lot of snow and rain in the coming days.

Source of videos: https://t.me/stranaua

#Ukraine #BlackSea

Marinka:

Ukrainian drone helping Russian servicemen get off their vehicle in Mar'inka area. pic.twitter.com/G9siRm1QF5

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) November 26, 2023

Avdiivka:

What the hell?…

110th Brigade finds a very "confused" Russian serviceman. Avdiivka direction. pic.twitter.com/CqhZTpgrbc

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) November 26, 2023

I’m not sure what’s going on there, but that Russian soldier is in need of assistance. I know it would be easy to write they should’ve just taken him out, but that soldier is either ill, drunk, drugged, suffering from the effects of the cold, or a combination of some/all of those. That he’s wandering around alone without a battle buddy is the sign of a major failure. Hopefully the Ukrainians were able to get to him, take him into custody, and provide assistance.

Bakhmut:

Bakhmut update (UA side)https://t.co/EuM8VzS9hx pic.twitter.com/Q98bbCEiAz

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) November 26, 2023

Screen grab of a Dmitri translation about the situation in Bakhmut.

Krynky, left bank of the Dnipro, Russian occupied Kherson:

Magyar’s Birds strike hard!

Ukrainian servicemen from the "Magyar's Birds" set a new time record for an FPV strike – 1 minute and 20 seconds between a Russian BTR getting stuck in mud after firing, and getting hit by an FPV-drone.https://t.co/fHhpkTVGka pic.twitter.com/sJdkzPWMvz

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) November 26, 2023

Here’s more footage:

In Magyar’s latest video we can see a Russian BTR-82A firing near Krynky. In the end the Russian driver shows us all his intelligence and reverses his vehicle right into a ditch where, expectedly, it gets stuck. A FPV drone ends the vehicle for good.
⁰Shortly before, we can see… pic.twitter.com/GquzQ2eMKT

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

In Magyar’s latest video we can see a Russian BTR-82A firing near Krynky. In the end the Russian driver shows us all his intelligence and reverses his vehicle right into a ditch where, expectedly, it gets stuck. A FPV drone ends the vehicle for good.

Shortly before, we can see another Russian BTR-82A which somehow ended up in the same ditch and shared the same fate.

Coordinates:

46°44’56″N 33°07’43″E

The coordinates are actually interesting which I will show soon.

Source and full video: https://t.me/robert_magyar/707

#Ukraine #Krynky

 

Based on Magyar's latest footage we can assume that at some point and possibly even at this moment Ukrainian forces have widened their hold on the left (South) side of the Dnipro River. The Russian attempt to dislodge Ukrainian troops at this particular area in the east failed.… pic.twitter.com/m8QqxzwqPO

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

Based on Magyar’s latest footage we can assume that at some point and possibly even at this moment Ukrainian forces have widened their hold on the left (South) side of the Dnipro River. The Russian attempt to dislodge Ukrainian troops at this particular area in the east failed.

#Ukraine #Kherson #Krynky

Russian occupied Donetsk:

Russians find out that attacking the critical infrastructure is a game that can be played by two, as half of temporarily occupied Donetsk is apparently without electricity after a successful Ukrainian strike takes out a distribution centre.https://t.co/p7lfm4qCh9 pic.twitter.com/2FIPyr2IAB

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) November 26, 2023

Screen shot of translation by Dmitri about Ukrainian strikes on Russian occupied Donetsk

Chelyabinsk Oblast, Russia:

Explosion at the territory of the Chelyabinsk Tractor Plant. Russian sources report a fire at a transformer substation on the plant’s territory. The plant is used for military purposes, such as the production of tank engines. The cause and
of the explosion are not yet known. pic.twitter.com/csyHbQ5P3s

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) November 26, 2023

A tractor factory in Chelyabinsk, Russia, is on fire, causing strong explosions. Various of equipment is produced in this factory. Electricity and water next to that area have been severed.

Source: https://t.co/HpHxB9nLZH#Russia #Chelyabinsk pic.twitter.com/EMqjdvbJ4z

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

Smolensk, Russia:

Over the skies of Smolensk, Russia, activities of aerial vehicles and air defense can be heard.

Source: Telegram / Mash and https://t.co/liYsZP66mk#Russia #Smolensk #Ukraine pic.twitter.com/1hUtBmeyZ1

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

Tula, Russia:

It was a very loud night for the citizens in Tula, Russia, already.

Source: Telegram / Baza#Russia #Tula pic.twitter.com/0NzdrZhmJa

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

Drone attack against Russian targets inside Russia. Especially in Tula several reports of explosions.

It seems that the attack is ongoing even in the morning. This is the latest video.

Source: Telegram / Baza#Russia #Tula pic.twitter.com/JzylNlHBuA

— (((Tendar))) (@Tendar) November 26, 2023

Reciprocity is a bitch!

Here’s Illia Ponomarenko’s take on what to expect in the upcoming winter campaign:

My own anticipation for the upcoming winter of war in Ukraine for the overall civilian population — it will be less difficult than the previous one.

With the recent massive drone attacks, Russians probably made their first effort this cold season. With almost all of over 70… pic.twitter.com/hb4Wvlktyi

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) November 26, 2023

My own anticipation for the upcoming winter of war in Ukraine for the overall civilian population — it will be less difficult than the previous one.

With the recent massive drone attacks, Russians probably made their first effort this cold season. With almost all of over 70 Shaheds downed, one would say that was hardly a successful step.

And that, following last year’s failed campaign to deprive Ukraine of heating and electricity in winter (which started as early as October 10), they would not waste their entire missile stockpile again, especially now that the production is much more expensive and complicated due to the need to smuggle components worldwide, and given the last year’s poor results that essentially had little to no effect on the Ukrainian military effort.

Yet, if that balding scum of a human being obsessed with his bruised ego and his megalomanic thirst for power says so and stamps his foot — the Russian military will be delivering new strikes with dozens of missiles every Monday, and fuck that voice of common reason.

You should have seen and heard the night of January 1 in Kyiv when Russia launched dozens of Shaheds shortly after the midnight countdown, initiating a loud air battle over the sleepless city.

Just imagine how petty and ridiculous one needs to be to do that just to spoil New Year’s Night for the people of Kyiv.

The Missile Winter 2022-23 was, quite frankly, one hell of a time. Power failures, rotating outages, mobile communications, internet connection troubles, and warming posts in communities nationwide.

For instance, my building in Bucha was more or less okay regarding the power supply. But the neighborhood in front of us was miserable sometimes. There were cold, dark days when they had electricity for four or five hours a day, with very long breaks.

At some point, we even put forward an initiative to keep our apartment doors open for our neighbors to have a hot cup of tea or charge their gadgets and things like that. Solidarity rules!

Many here in Ukraine, including yours truly, however,
expected things to be much worse, down to spending at least weeks in the 19th century.

Nonetheless, thanks to our air defense and our grid repairers, Russia failed, as you know.

Even on the most difficult days, around Christmas time, life and economic activities were never genuinely paralyzed.

Restaurants, bars, hotels, offices, supermarkets, gyms, gas stations, even the smallest coffee shops, and shawarma kiosks — everything was generally working, either adapting to hours without electricity (who said you can’t work or have fun with friends by candlelight for 4 hours?) or invested in purchasing power generators, or batteries, or power stations.

Modern technology makes going through things of such a kind as easy as never before. Last year, if you were lucky to have a good EcoFlow station and LED lights at home, you were generally quite okay with daily power outages.

The problem, however, was that such energy equipment was either very expensive or hard to get due to extreme demand (or both!).

This year, it’s not cheap, but still, it is much more affordable than during the Missile Winter, so many more people will buy something from themselves to outlast yet another winter of Russia’s aspiration towards peace with Ukraine.

Either way, we all now have the experience, and everyone knows what he or she can do to make things easier in wartime winter. Not a new thing for us.

And, of course, businesses. Large and small. Here and there in Kyiv and beyond, one can already see large shopping malls or business centers rolling out and installing really huge power stations on their parking lots.

They’re also preparing to continue working as planned no matter what. Last winter, basically all large supermarket chains, for instance, would let anyone come and charge gadgets at their premises — the situation was not that critical, so not too many people adhered to that, but this was and is a good thing, of course.

And, of course, thanks to Western aid, Ukraine’s air defense is right now as strong as never before. I’d even take the courage to state that Ukraine, particularly Kyiv, is among the best-defended places in the world.

So… let’s see what’s coming our way. I think it’s going to be okay.

Either way, we have no choice other than to live on, fight on, and support our military. We don’t have another homeland to live in.

Support my work here: https://buymeacoffee.com/saintanger

And one update to his familial Holodomor recollection that posted after I did last night’s update:

Oh, I also recalled oldtimers from our village telling me when I was a kid that woman also used to shush at her neighbors trying to enter her hut and help her with some food: "Hush! You're waking the baby up!"
Horrific.

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) November 26, 2023

For you logistics and acquisitions enthusiasts:

Mykola Salamakha, Ukrainian armored vehicle specialist, spoke on the capabilities of the Russians to restore tanks.https://t.co/nZ1FW6Knd7

— Oleksandr Arhat 🇪🇺🇺🇦 (@olarhat) November 26, 2023

Here’s the full video:

Just a quick updated on the Israel-Hamas truce.

First, we now know that Hamas broke the truce before it even started: (emphasis mine)

Two stories from Israelis who were kidnapped and then returned home. One gives insights on Hamas, the other tells you something about the Israelis from the Kibbutzim who were taken.
The Israeli Health Minister shared that Adina Moshe, 72, whose husband Saeed was murdered by… pic.twitter.com/O2kGbg9lp2

— נדב איל Nadav Eyal (@Nadav_Eyal) November 26, 2023

Two stories from Israelis who were kidnapped and then returned home. One gives insights on Hamas, the other tells you something about the Israelis from the Kibbutzim who were taken.
The Israeli Health Minister shared that Adina Moshe, 72, whose husband Saeed was murdered by Hamas, argued with her Hamas kidnappers to allow her to stay in captivity – so that another woman, who she believed was in poor health, would be freed instead.
This happened after 50 days in Hamas underground tunnels. Imagine the courage and solidarity needed.
The second story tells you something about Hamas. Hilla Rotem Shoshani, just 13, was kidnapped with her mother, Raya. The deal with Hamas was to not separate families and release them together. However, only Hilla made it back to Israel. Hamas claimed to the negotiators that they lost track of her mom.
Back in Israel, Hilla told the IDF what really happened. She was with her mom the whole time, until two days before her release. Then, they were forcibly separated by the Hamas terrorists. Hamas intentionally did this *after* the agreement was in place, to break the deal by sending Hilla, 13, alone. Back without her mom.

Sinwar continues to stick his thumb in Joe Biden’s eye in order to demonstrate who is really in charge of this situation:

💥Among Israeli hostages released tonight: Ella & Dafna, @ZinMaayan1007's daughters; US-Israeli Abigail Idan, daughter of murdered journalist Roy Idan & Russian-Israeli Roni Kariboy, who was a sound-man at the No a music festival and is the first adult male hostage to be released pic.twitter.com/a1lB5vZest

— Noga Tarnopolsky נגה טרנופולסקי نوغا ترنوبولسكي (@NTarnopolsky) November 26, 2023

Hamas announced it has released on Sunday a dual Israeli-Russian national it held hostage since October 7. In a statement Hamas said it released the hostage at the request of Russian president Putin in appreciation of his position on the Palestinian issue

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) November 26, 2023

Under the terms of the truce, no Israeli men – of single or dual nationality – are to be released. Additionally, the only American-Israeli released today was Abigail Idan. The remaining eight, which is the current published estimate for American-Israelis being held, are still unaccounted for. I expect that Sinwar will claim that they cannot be located or will try to hold them as a final bargaining chip should all else fail. I do not expect they will be released.

This would seem to be good news:

BREAKING: Hamas says in a statement that it is working on extending the pause in the fighting on Gaza by releasing more Israeli hostages

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) November 26, 2023

Except we now know that Hamas DOES NOT have many more hostages to actually exchange! The Financial Times has the details:

Efforts to extend a temporary truce between Israel and Hamas depend on the militant group locating dozens of women and children held hostage in Gaza by civilians and gangs, Qatar’s prime minister has said.

But Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman al-Thani told the Financial Times that more than 40 other women and children were being kept captive in Gaza who were not believed to be held by Hamas.

He said the truce could be extended if Hamas was able to use the pause in the conflict to locate those hostages.

“We don’t yet have any clear information how many they can find because . . . one of the purposes [of the pause] is they [Hamas] will have time to search for the rest of the missing people.”

The estimates have been that there are between 70 and 100 Israeli women and children being held hostage in Gaza. If more than 40 of them are not in Hamas’s custoday & Hamas doesn’t know where they are, then Hamas will run out of women and children hostages to exchange either tomorrow or Tuesday.

What happens then? The Israelis are going to go in hard. They are going to throw everything at Hamas. They are going flatten anything standing, bounce the rubble. The preferred course of action is to get as many of the women and children out first. But if Hamas cannot release any more after Tuesday, because they do not have them, cannot find them, or cannot get them from PIJ or the Gazan criminal gangs that have them, then they, like the men being held hostage, will be written off.

Netanyahu added he told Biden that once the implementation of the agreement is over Israel "will go back to destroying Hamas with full force"

— Barak Ravid (@BarakRavid) November 26, 2023

Now we wait and see how much longer this truce lasts.

That’s enough for today.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos, but here’s something uplifting, though not animal related, from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense.

 

Oh, the Red Viburnum in the Meadow (Oi u luzi chervona kalyna) to the accompaniment of explosions. pic.twitter.com/7UrOESuKPi

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) November 26, 2023

Here’s the history of the song from Ukrainska Pravda:

The fact that Ukrainians are an extremely singing people is recognized by all. Even Russians who do not recognize Ukrainians as a people. Much of the song folklore is Cossack, shooting, insurgent songs about the main – struggle for freedom.

Many new songs that appeared in the current war are dedicated to this topic.

But now is the time not only for the emergence of new ones, but also for the return of the forgotten, to which new circumstances give a new sound.

Such as “Oh in the meadow red viburnum”.

A song that first sounded in a new way Ukrainian, and then Georgian, English, German, French.

I first heard it in the late 1980s. In the wake of the national revival in Galicia, the song was performed by the band “Do not worry”, which included Vasyl Zhdankin, Victor Morozov, Taras Chubay and other later famous artists.

Sometime then, I discovered the work of a British band that became one of my favorite – Pink Floyd. Despite the chronological coincidence, in my mind these two manifestations of music existed in completely different, parallel planes.

When I tried to sing “Oh in the Meadow” or We don’t need no education, I couldn’t think that in thirty years “Oh in the Meadow” will be performed by Pink Floyd. The joint performance with Andriy Khlyvnyuk quickly flew to the top of the world charts, where the song was presented as a new composition by Pink Floyd, recorded for the first time after 30 years of silence of the band.

But the song is not new and older not only for Andriy Khlyvnyuk, but even for the far not young Pink Floyd. This story is over 100 years old, but the roots go back several centuries.

The song was first performed on the eve of the First World War in the winter of 1914 in Stepan Czarnetsky’s play “Sun of Ruins”. But Charnetsky actually created a remake of a folk song from Khmelnychyna, ie the middle of the 17th century. The ancient refrain was recorded and published in 1875 by famous collectors of Ukrainian heritage and figures of the Ukrainian national movement Vladimir Antonovich and Mykhailo Dragomanov.

Charnetsky’s treatment quickly gained popularity. And especially when at the beginning of the world war it was picked up by Ukrainian Sich shooters – soldiers of the first in the 20th century Ukrainian military formation, although not independent, but created in the ranks of the Austro-Hungarian army. For the shooters, this song (still slightly reworked compared to Charnetsky’s version) became one of the hymns of their formation.

As early as 1921, USS veterans created the Red Viburnum Publishing House, which published memoirs of members of the struggle for independence, soldiers of the UPR and ZUNR armies, research on the Ukrainian revolution.

Meanwhile, the song hit the ocean. There, in 1925, her first recording was made by Ukrainian singer from the New York “Metropolitan Opera” Mykhailo Zozulyak, the same one who recorded the anthem “Not yet dead Ukraine” nine years earlier”.

In 1944, “Red Viburnum” reappeared on a record in the United States, in the arrangement of Alexander Košice, the same one who made the world famous Ukrainian “Shchedrik”.

Meanwhile, in Ukraine during the Second World War, the song became extremely popular among UPA soldiers.

In the film “Red”, which tells about the uprising of Ukrainians in the Gulag camps in the early 1950s, the heroes also sing “Red viburnum”, which, given its popularity among the Bandera, can be quite real.

And the real return of the song to Ukraine takes place in the late 1980s, when it began to sound openly at concert venues, stadiums and protest rallies. Interestingly, that’s when another version with words appeared

Don’t bend, red viburnum, you have a white color.

Don’t worry, glorious Ukraine, you have a good family.

The author of these lines was the famous figure of the dissident movement of the 1960s and 1980s, Nadiya Svitlychny.

Today, “Red viburnum” sounds to the whole world in different languages. A song from the Cossack era of the 17th century, recorded in the era of national revival in the 19th, processed during the Ukrainian Revolution in the early 20th century and sung by freedom fighters in the middle of the same century. A song that makes us strong in the 21st century because it unites with our predecessors who fought for the will of Ukraine in previous centuries.

That’s all there is to it now. Until the next meetings in the cut of history.

Glory to Ukraine!

Here’s the lyrics: (Updated with full Ukrainian and English lyrics at 12:05 AM EST 27 NOV 2023)

Ой у лузі червона калина похилилася,
Чогось наша славна Україна зажурилася.
А ми тую червону калину підіймемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
А ми тую червону калину підіймемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
Не хилися, червона калино, маєш білий цвіт.
Не журися, славна Україно, маєш вільний рід.
А ми тую червону калину підіймемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей, гей, розвеселимо!
А ми тую червону калину підіймемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей, гей, розвеселимо!
Маршерують наші добровольці у кривавий тан,
Визволяти братів-українців з ворожих кайдан.
А ми наших братів-українців визволимо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
А ми наших братів-українців визволимо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
Ой у полі ярої пшенички золотистий лан,
Розпочали стрільці українські з ворогами тан,
А ми тую ярую пшеничку ізберемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
А ми тую ярую пшеничку ізберемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
Як повіє буйнесенький вітер з широких степів,
То прославить по всій Україні січових стрільців.
А ми тую стрілецькую славу збережемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!
А ми тую стрілецькую славу збережемо,
А ми нашу славну Україну, гей-гей, розвеселимо!

And in English:

Oh, in the meadow a red kalyna has bent down low,
For some reason, our glorious Ukraine is in sorrow.
And we’ll take that red kalyna and we will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
And we’ll take that red kalyna and we will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
Do not bend low, oh red kalyna, you have a white flower,
Do not worry, glorious Ukraine, you have a free people.
And we’ll take that red kalyna and will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
And we’ll take that red kalyna and we will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
Marching forward, our fellow volunteers, into a bloody fray,
For to free our brother Ukrainians from the shackles of Moscow.
And we, our brother Ukrainians, we will then liberate,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
And we’ll take that red kalyna and we will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
Oh in the field of early spring wheat, there’s a golden furrow,
Then began the Ukrainian riflemen to engage the enemy.
And we’ll take that precious, early wheat and will gather it,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
And we’ll take that red kalyna and we will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
When the stormy winds blow forth from the wide steppes,
They will glorify, throughout Ukraine, the Sich riflemen.
And we’ll take the glory of the riflemen preserving it,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!
And we’ll take that red kalyna and we will raise it up,
And we shall cheer up our glorious Ukraine, hey, hey!

https://lyricstranslate.com

And here are a few different versions:

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 641: The New York Times Actually Corrects a Head Line & Above the Byline LedePost + Comments (38)

‘Interesting’ Read: ‘Zoom fatigue’ may take toll on the brain and the heart, researchers say

by Anne Laurie|  November 26, 20234:39 pm| 74 Comments

This post is in: Distance Teaching (Surprise!) and COVID-19, Excellent Links, Science & Technology

Since videoconferencing skyrocketed in popularity during the pandemic, use of such technology has soared. So have anecdotal accounts of what some call “Zoom fatigue” — a unique state of exhaustion reported by those who feel wrung out after video calls. https://t.co/V9tUN9aqmH

— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) November 26, 2023

Small study, biased observers, all the usual caveats. Still… From the Washington Post, “‘Zoom fatigue’ may take toll on the brain and the heart, researchers say” [unpaywalled gift link]:

Does a session on Zoom, FaceTime or Microsoft Teams leave you drained and listless?…

A recent brain-monitoring study supports the phenomenon, finding a connection between videoconferencing in educational settings and physical symptoms linked to fatigue.

The study, published in the journal Scientific Reports, looked for physiological signs of fatigue in 35 students attending lectures on engineering at an Austrian university. Half of the class attended the 50-minute lecture via videoconference in a nearby lab and a face-to-face lecture the following week, while the other half attended first in person, then online.

Participants were monitored with electroencephalogram (EEG) and electrocardiogram (ECG) instruments that recorded electrical activity in the brain and their heart rhythms. They also participated in surveys about their mood and fatigue levels…

There were “notable” differences between the in-person and online groups, the researchers write. Video participants’ fatigue mounted over the course of the session, and their brain states showed they were struggling to pay attention. The groups’ moods varied, too, with in-person participants reporting they felt livelier, happier and more active, and online participants saying they felt tired, drowsy and “fed up.”

Overall, the researchers write, the study offers evidence of the physical toll of videoconferencing and suggests that it “should be considered as a complement to face-to-face interaction, but not as a substitute.”

They say the research should be replicated in business settings and homes to get a more accurate sense of how such sessions affect participants, calling for further studies that include more portions of the brain and a broader participant base…

If nothing else, it’s probably useful to know there’s actual physical effects, if only to be prepared in advance.

‘Interesting’ Read: <em>‘Zoom fatigue’ may take toll on the brain and the heart, researchers say</em>Post + Comments (74)

Open Thread: The Rise of Anger

by WaterGirl|  November 26, 20233:23 pm| 95 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

To pick up on a recent exchange in a hearing that can loosely be summarized as…

“Suck my dick!”

“No, you suck my dick first!

… a recent Washington Post article talks about The Ominous Rise of Congressional Anger the likes of which hasn’t been seen at this level since the civil war.  They start by mentioning the exchange that is referenced above, and they also refer to the elbow to the kidneys that supposedly came from the former Squeaker.  He seems nice. (original link replaced with a gift link.

I’m not familiar with Philip Bump at the Washington Post, and he jumps around all over the place in his article, but still, I found some of it pretty interesting.  (Not sure if it’s behind a paywall – I was able to read the whole thing – but if it is, anyone has a gift article to share, I can add it here in the post.)  Gift link, course of Subaru Dianne.

Are we headed back to this, where congress critters engaged in hand-to-hand combat on the floor of the House?  That gives new meaning to “Let them fight!”  Hopefully the Dems will just bring protective gear!

In the Civil War era, outright violence was common on Capitol Hill. In her 2018 book “The Field of Blood,” Yale University professor Joanne Freeman tracked the number of violent incidents in Congress in the years before and after that conflict.

“In those times, … armed groups of Northern and Southern congressmen engaged in hand-to-hand combat on the House floor. Angry about rights violated and needs denied, and worried about the degradation of their section of the Union, they defended their interests with threats, fists and weapons,” she wrote. “When that fighting became endemic and congressmen strapped on knives and guns before heading to the Capitol every morning — when they didn’t trust the institution of Congress or even their colleagues to protect their persons — it meant something.”

Speaking of jumping around, the article purports to be about the rise of congressional anger specifically, but this chart has nothing to do with congressional anger.  Still, I found it interesting.

Am I crazy, or does this remind anyone else of Trump’s signature?  Apparently he is the embodiment of nasty politics.

Another excerpt:

This link between the decline of confidence in institutions and the rise of violence has been measured elsewhere. Writing for the London School of Economics last year, visiting fellows Moritz Schmoll and Wang Leung Ting delineated research showing that connection. They discovered that violent incidents in a country’s legislature were less likely to occur either when a country had a robust democracy — since institutions allowed for peaceful resolution of disputes — or when there was no democracy at all, since autocrats could simply impose their will.

They also found evidence that moments of transition between the two might be ones in which violence rose.

“During a fragile and limited democratisation process in the 1990s, brawls started happening quite regularly in the Duma (Russian Assembly), something unheard of during the Soviet era. After President Putin’s election and the progressive return to a closed authoritarian system, violence subsided,” they wrote. “Turkey, which in the 2000s had relatively high levels of democracy, had only occasional brawls in those years. But after President Erdogan shifted the country onto an increasingly authoritarian path, effectively turning it into an ‘anocracy’ that blends authoritarian and democratic elements, violence in parliaments increased significantly.”

The United States is hovering near a transitional point.

There’s another article on anger that I keep seeing in my open browser tabs – An Appropriate Anger.  I haven’t had time to read it yet, but it’s a reminder multiple times a day that I want to read it.  And it comes with this great graphic!

Open Thread: The Rise of Anger

Not sure if this is Sunday afternoon material, but we’ve been 8 hours without a new thread, so discuss this topic or anything else.

Anyhoo, this is a totally open thread.

Update: Mike in Pasadena notes that the title should have read The Ominous Rise of REPUBLICAN Congressional Anger.  It’s hard to argue with that!

Open Thread: The Rise of AngerPost + Comments (95)

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Everybody Gird Their Loins

by Anne Laurie|  November 26, 20237:22 am| 215 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, Foreign Affairs, GOP Death Cult, Music, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Watch the "@AmericanaFest 22nd Annual Honors" on @acltv! You can stream the "Americana 22nd Annual Honors" online at https://t.co/c4c8BwCK8z beginning Sunday, November 26 at 9am CT. pic.twitter.com/NcamrQzq5U

— Bonnie Raitt (@TheBonnieRaitt) November 25, 2023


Here’s a pleasant hour’s listening, from Austin City Limits — Ms. Raitt was given a Lifetime Achievement Award. (When I clicked on the embedded link, it took me straight to my local PBS station & started streaming.)
 

USA! USA! https://t.co/qdB33vd1o6

— B-21 Mothra (@TonyMoonbeam) November 26, 2023


 

The debate over Ukraine aid was already complicated. Then it became tangled up in US border security https://t.co/JnUpFnuSdR

— The Associated Press (@AP) November 25, 2023


Excellent, if rather depressing, summary of the current state of affairs — “The debate over Ukraine aid was already complicated. Then it became tangled up in US border security”. (For ‘border security’, of course, read ‘Repub electoral politics’):

… President Joe Biden’s nearly $106 billion aid package for Ukraine, Israel and other needs sits idle in Congress, neither approved nor rejected, but subjected to new political demands from Republicans who are insisting on U.S.-Mexico border policy changes to halt the flow of migrants…

When Congress returns this coming week from the holiday break, Biden’s request will be a top item on the to-do list, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Failure risks delaying U.S. military aid to Kyiv and Israel, along with humanitarian assistance for Gaza, in the midst of two wars, potentially undermining America’s global standing…

What just a year ago was overwhelming support for Ukraine’s young democracy as it reaches for an alliance with the West to stop Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion has devolved into another partisan fight in the United States.

Members of Congress overwhelmingly support Ukraine, embracing Zelenskyy as they did when he arrived on a surprise visit last December to a hero’s welcome. But the continued delivery of U.S. military and government aid is losing favor with a hard-right wing of Republican lawmakers and with some Americans…

show full post on front page

Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky has said the “best way” to ensure GOP support for Ukraine is for Biden and Democrats to accept border policy changes that would limit the flow of migrants across the border with Mexico.

“It’s connected,” he said in an interview with The Associated Press.

To that end, a core group of senators, Republicans and Democrats, have been meeting privately to come up with a border policy solution that both parties could support, unlocking GOP votes for the Ukraine aid.

On the table are asylum law changes pushed by the Republicans that would make it more difficult for migrants to enter the United States, even if they claim they are in danger, and reduce their release on parole while awaiting judicial proceedings. Republicans also want to resume construction of the border wall.

Democrats call these essentially nonstarters, and the border security talks are going slowly. Those who have worked on immigration-related issues for years see a political disaster in the making for all sides — Ukraine included…

Overall, half the $113 billion Congress has approved for Ukraine since the war began in February 2022 has gone to the Defense Department, according to the Congressional Research Service. The dollars are being spent to build Ukraine’s armed forces, largely by providing U.S. military weapons and equipment, and replenish U.S. stockpiles.

Much of the rest goes to emergency and humanitarian aid and to support the government of Ukraine through the World Bank.

National security experts have watched the Ukrainian forces repurpose outdated American equipment that was headed for decommissioning and use it to obliterate aspects of the Russian armed forces. McConnell has noted that much of the spending stays in the U.S., flowing to defense production in states across the nation…

At least the AP (mostly) acknowledges where the problem is — with the GOP Death Cultists, not ‘Congress’ or ‘legislators’!
 
I personally agree with the following message:

immigrants make america great you bitch ass fuckhead go move to Europe if you want homogeneity. you're following the wrong civic religion for America

— knife-wielding hemophiliac (@NickTagliaferro) November 25, 2023

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Everybody Gird Their LoinsPost + Comments (215)

Late Night Open Thread: Why Do We All Laugh At Elon’s Mighty Weapon?…

by Anne Laurie|  November 26, 20233:21 am| 37 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Assholes, Schadenfreude, social media

Hello, I'm the richest man in the world. Every product I release catches on fire and explodes. Please like me. If you don't I will sue you.

— steven monacelli (@stevanzetti) November 20, 2023

Including, apparently, the lawsuits! Musk’s lawyers *did* actually file suit againt Media Matter for America (MMFA), in a fashion many online legal watchers classified as ‘would take many billable hours to rise to the level of ‘half-hearted’:

On Monday, Elon Musk followed through on his threat to sue the nonprofit watchdog Media Matters, filing suit over the site’s recent claim that X has been placing ads from major corporations alongside pro-Nazi content. The lawsuit, filed in U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Texas, names the site as well as Eric Hananoki, the reporter who authored the piece in question…

… But does Musk’s lawsuit actually have a chance? Some experts seem far from convinced. Steve Vladeck, a University of Texas law professor, told CNN that Musk’s choice of a more favorable venue like Texas suggests an attempt to bolster a weak case. (X Corp. is based in Nevada, while Media Matters is located in Washington, D.C.)

“It’s one of those lawsuits that’s filed more for symbolism than for substance — as reflected in just how empty the allegations really are and in where Musk chose to file, singling out the ultraconservative Northern District of Texas despite its absence of any logical connection to the dispute,” Vladeck said. “The choice of venue can best be described as trying to shore up a weak claim on the merits with a bench more likely to be sympathetic even to weak claims.” Andrew Fleischman, a trial and appellate lawyer based in Georgia, also pointed to the venue location for the case. “X, a Nevada corporation, is suing Media Matters, a Maryland corporation, in Texas, a state whose only relation to the parties is that it has vowed to jail anyone who criticizes one of them,” he posted on X…

Renato Mariotti, a former federal prosecutor and a Politico columnist, described the lawsuit on social media as “a PR stunt masquerading as a lawsuit.”…

Late Night Open Thread: <em>Why Do We All Laugh At Elon's Mighty Weapon?... </em> 1

The lawyers in Grimes’ custody case, on the other hand, probably high-fived each other when Musk whipped out his followup… jape? (He’ll claim it was a joke):

There is a large graveyard filled with my enemies.

I do not wish to add to it, but will if given no choice.

Those who pick fights with me do so at their own peril, but maybe this is their lucky day …

— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 21, 2023

show full post on front page

This would be prima facie evidence to trigger every red flag law. pic.twitter.com/Jz3eNIpw6G

— Mrs. Betty Bowers (@BettyBowers) November 22, 2023

His haterz be hatin’!
Late Night Open Thread: <em>Why Do We All Laugh At Elon's Mighty Weapon?... </em> 2

Late Night Open Thread: <em>Why Do We All Laugh At Elon's Mighty Weapon?... </em> 3

Late Night Open Thread: <em>Why Do We All Laugh At Elon's Mighty Weapon?... </em> 4
 
Late Night Open Thread: <em>Why Do We All Laugh At Elon's Mighty Weapon?... </em>

“There is a large graveyard filled with my enemies” says the guy who owns Twitter because he lost in court

— AuTomnal Hilton (@TVHilton) November 22, 2023

Elon has lost his wife, his kids, 40 billion dollars, and his space ship crashed. It’s like a genre of country music that doesn’t even exist yet

— zach reinert (@zachreinert0) November 22, 2023

Late Night Open Thread: <em>Why Do We All Laugh At Elon’s Mighty Weapon?… </em>Post + Comments (37)

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