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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

That meeting sounds like a shotgun wedding between a shitshow and a clusterfuck.

The real work of an opposition party is to oppose.

There are times when telling just part of the truth is effectively a lie.

Conservatism: there are people the law protects but does not bind and others who the law binds but does not protect.

I have other things to bitch about but those will have to wait.

The snowflake in chief appeared visibly frustrated when questioned by a reporter about egg prices.

Hell hath no fury like a farmer bankrupted.

Dear legacy media: you are not here to influence outcomes and policies you find desirable.

The Supreme Court cannot be allowed to become the ultimate, unaccountable arbiter of everything.

“Can i answer the question? No you can not!”

Find someone who loves you the way trump and maga love traitors.

Anne Laurie is a fucking hero in so many ways. ~ Betty Cracker

Let me file that under fuck it.

Nothing worth doing is easy.

Well, whatever it is, it’s better than being a Republican.

If America since Jan 2025 hasn’t broken your heart, you haven’t loved her enough.

If you’re gonna whine, it’s time to resign!

“In this country American means white. everybody else has to hyphenate.”

I did not have this on my fuck 2025 bingo card.

The media handbook says “controversial” is the most negative description that can be used for a Republican.

T R E 4 5 O N

Republicans in disarray!

“Jesus paying for the sins of everyone is an insult to those who paid for their own sins.”

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

‘Poop in a Pile’ (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  October 12, 20235:39 am| 86 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

To paraphrase an old proverb, if you lie down with a pack of mangy, snarling, rabies-addled hyenas, you get up unable to stumble forward because of all the mangy, snarling, rabies-addled hyenas with their teeth clamped firmly onto your ass. I refer, of course, to the ongoing House GOP leadership fight. Here’s a quick status on the horserace from racing sheet Politico:

While Scalise’s allies had hoped Wednesday’s vote would propel the party to coalesce behind him, Scalise is still laboring to complete what would be a compelling rise to the House’s top spot.

One bloc is refusing to back anyone besides Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio), Scalise’s opponent in the speaker race, even though Jordan vowed to support his foe on the floor. Then there are McCarthy loyalists, including centrists in tough districts, many who have known no other leader but the deposed Californian who never fully embraced Scalise.

That’s not to mention the Republicans who simply aren’t convinced Scalise can win the 217 necessary votes on the floor…

“Let’s be clear, January was a coronation,” said Rep. Thomas Massie (R-Ky.), who said he remains “very reluctant” to back Scalise because of his position on government funding. “This is a competition, and it’s going to be even more difficult.”

The January “coronation” Massie is referring to was McCarthy’s epic humiliation-a-thon — a 15-round, ego-scorching siege during which McCarthy was forced to trade away every scrap of power for votes until all that was left was the gavel and fancy office suite. That serial beclowning was a stroll down the red carpet in Westminster Abbey compared to wait awaits the next speaker, according to Massie (who, it should be noted, is dumb as a stump so perhaps wrong).

Still, the signs aren’t good for Scalise. Malevolent Toxic Greene had thoughts:

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene is vowing to oppose her party’s nominee for speaker of the House when it comes to a vote on the floor — because he has cancer.

“I like Steve Scalise, and I like him so much that I want to see him defeat cancer more than sacrifice his health in the most difficult position in Congress,” Greene wrote on Twitter. “We need a Speaker who is able to put their full efforts into defeating the communist democrats and save America.”

Christ, what an asshole! And the King of the Assholes also allegedly had thoughts:

Scalise has yet to endorse Trump’s 2024 White House campaign, which may dissuade the former president from helping to lobby detractors in Scalise’s direction, three sources familiar with the former president’s thinking told The Messenger.

“Trump personally likes Steve. There’s no real animosity,” said one of the sources. “But the fact is, loyalty is a two-way street and Steve had a chance to support the [former] president but he didn’t.”

“So if Trump has to work for it in Steve’s eyes, Steve is going to have to work for it in Trump’s eyes,” the source added.

The Greene creature expressing fake concern over a colleague’s health? A Donald J. Trump operative declaring that “loyalty is a two-way street”? Can any Repub top that for bald-faced hypocrisy? Yes!

Rep. Nancy Mace (R-S.C.) said in a Wednesday interview that she still plans to vote for Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) to be the next Speaker when the matter is brought to the floor for a House vote.

“I would not. I plan on voting for Jim Jordan on the floor,” Mace said on CNN when asked whether she would have voted for House Majority Leader Steve Scalise (R-La.), the GOP nominee, had the House vote been held Wednesday afternoon.

“I’ve been very vocal about this over the last couple of days: I personally cannot, in good conscience, vote for someone who attended a white supremacist conference and compared himself to David Duke,” she continued. “I would be doing an enormous disservice to the voters that I represent in South Carolina if I were to do that.”

As a member of the Misogyny & White Supremacy Party, Mace’s pivot from fake concern about women’s issues to tank McCarthy to fake concern about white supremacy to tank Scalise is a classic of the genre. Valued commenter Geminid has speculated that Mace has her eye on Lindsey Graham’s U.S. Senate seat, and if this performance is part of the audition, we must admit Mace nailed the spinning weathervane trials.

Possibly the only remaining U.S. Senator with a classic flat-top haircut put it best:

Sen. Jon Tester, D-Mont., said that the chaos in the House makes governing harder but that the Senate would moderate any extreme legislation it were to pass.

“I can’t see how this makes it better,” Tester said. “But who knows? It’s been kind of a s— show there for nine or 10 months. They might get their poop in a pile and things average out here.”

Thanks, Tester. Can’t really sum it up any better than that.

Open thread.

‘Poop in a Pile’ (Open Thread)Post + Comments (86)

War for Ukraine Day 595: Zelenskyy Will (Try) to Visit Israel!

by Adam L Silverman|  October 11, 20238:43 pm| 33 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Art by NEIVANMADE of a Ukrainian painted black and outlined in blood red kneeling in grief with hands covering the face surrounded by the bodies of Ukrainians killed by Russians on a grey background. "Russia Is Committing Genocide Right Now" is across the top center of the image.

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

President Zelenskyy was in Brussels, or, rather just outside Brussels, today at NATO headquarters. While there he told a reporter that if possible he’d like to go and visit Israel to literally stand in solidarity. In the video below President Zelenskyy speaks in English and it has Hebrew subtitles.

💥So Zelensky, a Jewish head of state, will go from house to house in Israel, as he did in Bucha, and embrace and cry with the broken survivors. And what can Netanyahu do? https://t.co/XX7NlgvWaZ

— Noga Tarnopolsky נגה טרנופולסקי نوغا ترنوبولسكي (@NTarnopolsky) October 11, 2023

I’ll keep an eye on this and make sure to include any visit in an update. I’m sure Bibi is thrilled with the prospect.

From the Chief Rabbi of Ukraine:

At the first photo, my grandchildren are hiding from the rockets of russian terrorists in the Kyiv region, in the first days of the terrible invasion in Ukraine

Later, together with thousands of people, we evacuated them to Israel and Europe

In the second photo, the same… pic.twitter.com/JSBvkX6Alr

— Chief Rabbi Of Ukraine Moshe Azman (@RabbiUkraine) October 11, 2023

At the first photo, my grandchildren are hiding from the rockets of russian terrorists in the Kyiv region, in the first days of the terrible invasion in Ukraine

Later, together with thousands of people, we evacuated them to Israel and Europe

In the second photo, the same people, but hiding from the rockets of terrorists from Hamas…

Two different corners of the world, but such shared pain and struggle… It breaks my heart when I see these faces, but I believe that the light of truth and faith will see us through these trials

I pray to the Almighty, that he may rain down his anger and fury on everyone who is involved in the terror of the civilian population!

Senior Hamas official Ali Baraka went on RT/Russia Today TV and made a connection between Hamas’s attack on Israel and Russia. That specific portion of his remarks starts at the 3 minute mark. The video below has English subtitles.

Senior Hamas Official Ali Baraka: We Have Been Secretly Planning the Invasion for Two Years; Russia Sympathizes with Us, Benefits from U.S. Embroilment in This War; Any Swap Deal Should Include Hamas Prisoners in Europe and the U.S. #Hamas #Russia #Israel_under_attack pic.twitter.com/JNGQotkKg5

— MEMRI (@MEMRIReports) October 11, 2023

Latest Russian joke:
— What does mobilization have common in Russia and Israel?
— Long lines for flights to Tel Aviv.

— Garry Kasparov (@Kasparov63) October 11, 2023

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Our warriors and the entire nation are getting stronger every day – address by the President of Ukraine

11 October 2023 – 20:44

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

A report on our work in Brussels today.

First of all, a meeting in the Ramstein format, our broad defense coalition, more than 50 member states. Defense ministers, top military officers. Our main focus is to strengthen our air defense and the most important tools at the front. Artillery, long-range systems. I am grateful to all partners for their continued willingness to help our defense. Defense Minister Umerov outlined the details of our priorities to our partners.

I met with U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin and the new Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, General Brown. The meeting was long and specific. It was made clear that America will continue to provide Ukraine with the sustainable and uninterrupted support necessary for our defense. We discussed how to boost our capabilities in defending ourselves against Russian terror – drones and missiles – now, before winter. I am grateful to the United States!

I had a good meeting with NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg. We discussed our defense priorities, our cooperation with the Alliance. Today, a meeting of the NATO-Ukraine Council was held at the level of defense ministers, and tomorrow a meeting of NATO defense ministers will take place. Of course, we are working on further support for our warriors, on very specific things, including the supplies that the guys told me about when I was at the front, visiting brigades on the front line.

The talks with the Prime Minister of Belgium were very important and productive. Belgium has joined our aircraft coalition and will provide Ukraine with F-16s. This is a powerful step. There is a new defense package from Belgium, which has several important components. I would like to mention air defense missiles in particular. Thank you! Belgium became the first country in the world to actually use frozen Russian assets to compensate for the damage caused by Russian aggression, and next year we will receive €1 billion 700 million for our defense and recovery projects. This is very important, and I am grateful to Belgium and personally to Mr. Prime Minister De Croo. As for the sanctions against Russia, we discussed the introduction of a procedure by Belgium and a number of other influential countries to prevent Russian diamonds from being supplied to the European market. This is a blow to Russia’s profits. This long-awaited step will become a reality.

So, it was a powerful day! Belgium, thank you! All allies in Ramstein, thank you! The United States, I am grateful for your leadership and support!

Every day our warriors and our entire nation are getting stronger.

Glory to Ukraine!

President Zelenskyy also tweeted out his remarks to the Ukraine Defense Contact Group/Ramstein 16.

Today, I addressed the Ukraine Defense Contact Group, or Ramstein meeting, expressing my gratitude to all of its nations for their tireless work and strong joint decisions they have made. I outlined our vision and priority defense needs as winter approaches. pic.twitter.com/8uCE87KiCC

— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) October 11, 2023

Here’s the video, followed by the English transcript.

We need to get the instrument of terror out of Russia’s hands – speech by the President at the meeting of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group in the Ramstein format

11 October 2023 – 13:37

Mr. Minister Austin!

Thank you for your support and leadership. It indeed feels like a true warrior is leading the Ramstein team.

Dear ministers, dear generals!

I am grateful to each of you for your tireless work and for the strong joint decisions you have made for us, for all our people. Thank you so much.

General Brown!

This is the first time you are participating in a Ramstein meeting. And I think it is very symbolic, given your military background as a combat pilot – an F-16 pilot. I am sure that together we will do many good things to defend freedom.

Jens, Mr. Secretary General!

I thank you for your faith in Ukraine – for your confidence that Ukraine will be among the allies in NATO.

Ladies and gentlemen!

Next Monday will mark the six hundredth day of our resistance to Russia’s full-scale aggression against our people, against Ukraine. And today, no one can say for sure how many more days we will have to defend our independence and identity. But we can already say several things, which are important.

First: Putin will not achieve Ukraine. Second: Russia cannot afford a new arms race. And third: democracy can win this battle. It is necessary not only for our country, but for every nation, for the whole world. Our time is not the time for the slavery of nations.

You all know that Moscow’s ambitions have never been limited to Ukraine. And we all want these ambitions to be defeated in Ukraine – as soon as possible, this is the best opportunity – so that we don’t have to look for shells and supply tanks to other countries in Europe, Asia or Africa that the Russian dictator may try to turn into ruins or seize into his crazy empire or zone of influence.

I know that NATO is ready and capable of protecting its members from external aggression. May we never have to experience this in reality. I know what steps can protect Europe and the world from the spread of Russian aggression. And I know what is needed to speed up the just end of this war – let me emphasize: a just end. Full protection of our sovereignty, full restoration of our territorial integrity, full guarantee of Ukraine’s security after the aggression.

We are now in a special situation on the front line. In a situation where it is important to put pressure. Without any pauses. It is very important – without any pauses. You all understand the principles of effective defense. It is the defense that does not leave the enemy a chance to rest, recover, or choose any other tactics. Russia has lost the initiative for today. We are putting pressure on it. We are! It is Ukrainian courage and your support that determine what is happening on the battlefield and, most importantly, what will happen on the battlefield. And although the occupiers are still trying to storm our positions, although our defense and counteroffensive actions are very difficult – it is still Ukraine, it is our soldiers who determine the course of events.

Russia cannot handle this war on its own. You can see it. It needs Iran – Russia cannot succeed without the Shaheds and other help. It needs North Korea. Just imagine – for the first time in its history, Moscow has gone to Pyongyang to bow down. The Russian Black Sea Fleet is escaping our naval drones and missiles. Traditional buyers of Russian weapons see how superior the weapons made by the free world and used by Ukrainians are. Russia is slowly but surely withdrawing from various points of geopolitical fractures in the world because it lacks its own strength. But at the same time, it still has enough resources to incite conflicts and turn them into full-scale tragedies. This is happening in the Sahel, and it can happen even more painfully in Israel and in the Middle East as a whole. We must not allow this to happen. We can prevent it! We have to put even more pressure so that the aggressor weakens faster and does not have time to adapt to our pressure. We need to make sure that Russia is heading for defeat and does not even attempt to claim anything else.

One of the most vital battles here is the one against the Kremlin’s key tool, its greatest perverted pride – the pride of the terrorist. Last winter, Russia wanted to turn it into a weapon against us by destroying our power plants and supply network. I am grateful to all of you, every country, every leader who helped us with air defense and energy equipment. It really was a life-saver for all of us, our people, our children. Obviously, this winter Russia will try to repeat those tactics, but with certain conclusions and greater terrorist efforts. Please note that even during the attack on Israel, terrorists targeted one of the largest power plants in the region. Until last winter, when Russia relied on these tactics, other terrorists had not done so in such attacks.

Of course, our task now is to get through this difficult time, through this winter. But, in fact, the real power of this task, if fulfilled, is much greater than just getting through this winter. Air defense is a significant part of the answer to the question of when this war will end and whether it will end justly for Ukraine. I am confident that it can be so. It will be so.

Everyone can see what the protection of the sky gives. It is a guarantee that there will be normal life in the cities. There will be an economy. There will be people. Long-range air defense can also ensure the functioning of our corridors in the Black Sea and the Danube region. Air defense will ensure that Russian jets will not be able to approach our borders. And therefore it will solve the issue of Russian guided bombs.

We all need this kind of push now. A step forward in our defense. Air defense. For Ukraine, this will be a victory of life. It is vital. For Russia, it will be a failure of its key strategy – the strategy of terror, what will it have left but this?

We need to protect people. We need the opportunity to live and accumulate economic activity. We need normal exports. Grain is the key to global food security – Ukrainian grain. Then there is metallurgy. Other goods of our exports. It is the economic basis of life. We need children to be able to study at schools, not online. And we need people to live not only from one air alarm to another, but based on their plans for days, weeks… better – months. When this happens, the majority of our people who have found temporary refuge abroad will start to come back. Millions of Ukrainians! The stronger we are socially and economically, the more powerful we will be in the military sense. We will be able to ensure the work of a greater number and capacity of defense industries in Ukraine. We will be able to depend much less on the assistance of our partners. We will be able to provide more support to the front line.

Dear friends!

We must win the winter battle against terror. We can win it. And along with it, we can win the battle for how and on whose terms this war will end. Ukraine can survive. It will survive. However, it is important to take the weapons out of the hands of our enemy. What is Russia’s strength? Let’s be honest. Only the fact that they can destroy lives. Russia is not capable of doing anything else. Is it a security donor? No. A supporter of development? No. A political pole? No. A source of economic growth? No. A terrorist? Yes. That is the only thing! That threatens Ukraine and many other nations. We need to get this instrument out of Russia’s hands – the instrument of terror.

The answer is air defense and other types of weapons, the list of which we will discuss and my team will share with you. And above all, please remember that this will not only help to bring a just end to the war for us, but will also keep the war away from you, from your borders and the borders of your allies – from the Alliance. Missiles and drones will not fall in Romania, Poland or elsewhere if they cannot overcome the protection of the Ukrainian sky.

Terrorists like Putin or Hamas seek to hold free and democratic nations as hostages. And they want power over those who seek freedom. The terrorists will not change. They just must lose. And that means we must win. We do! It requires patience. It requires steady and continuous support. We need to take the right steps. Steps that save lives. For real. Vital steps. And strengthen the defense. Significantly.

Air defense is a must. I’m sure you heard me.

Thank you for your invitation! Thank you very much for your attention! And for your common big support during all these days, weeks, months of full-scale war! I thank you and your nations!

Слава Україні!

Grateful for the vital support of Ukraine in the struggle for freedom and independence.

We have common values that we fight for. https://t.co/QMHmKikcJi

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 11, 2023

Ukrainian Air Force Pilot wishes you productive wednesday! pic.twitter.com/U1zp0MHscI

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 11, 2023

Ukraine Defence Contact Group meeting — most important results:

🇺🇸 $200 million — ammunition for air defense, artillery and missile ammunition, aviation weapons, anti-tank weapons
🇬🇧€115 million — aid package, demining, equipment maintenance
🇩🇰Transfer of F-16 at the beginning… pic.twitter.com/bZgKQ0AtJi

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 11, 2023

🇺🇸 $200 million — ammunition for air defense, artillery and missile ammunition, aviation weapons, anti-tank weapons
🇬🇧€115 million — aid package, demining, equipment maintenance
🇩🇰Transfer of F-16 at the beginning of next year
🇫🇮€95 million – a new aid package
🇨🇦$25 million for winter preparation
🇧🇪 F-16 pilots training, F-16 aircraft at 2025, substantial technical support
🇳🇴$18.5 million for demining
🇪🇸Additional air defense systems, help in preparation for winter,
€1.5 million for demining
🇩🇪Missiles for air defense and tanks
🇧🇬English courses for F-16 pilots
🇱🇹2 NASAMS launchers, ammunition and winter supplies

Grateful to every partner country for substantial impact in strengthening #UArmy.
#Ramstein 16 will have great impact on our victory!

 

F-16 delivery plan:
🇩🇰Denmark plans to deliver the first batch of F-16 aircraft to Ukraine in the spring (March, April) of 2024.https://t.co/FbTAqynEGU
🇳🇱Netherlands will send F-16 to Ukraine at the end of 2024.https://t.co/5ARuxPcY5K
🇧🇪Belgium will transfer several F-16 to… pic.twitter.com/QS058BXEZN

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 11, 2023

F-16 delivery plan:
🇩🇰Denmark plans to deliver the first batch of F-16 aircraft to Ukraine in the spring (March, April) of 2024.
https://breakingthenews.net/Article/Denmark-to-send-first-F-16s-to-Ukraine-in-early-2024/60780948
🇳🇱Netherlands will send F-16 to Ukraine at the end of 2024.
https://24tv.ua/f-16-koli-ukrayina-otrimaye-zahidni-vinishhuvachi-vidpovid-posla_n2409136/amp
🇧🇪Belgium will transfer several F-16 to Ukraine in 2025
https://rtl.be/actu/belgique/politique/la-belgique-va-envoyer-des-f-16-lukraine-annonce-la-ministre-de-la-defense/2023-10-11/article/596901

The United Kingdom announced the transfer of stationary Terrahawk Paladin anti-aircraft systems to Ukraine. In the standard configuration, the installation is equipped with a 30-mm Mark 44 Bushmaster II cannon with a possible increase in caliber to 40 mm.
A new package of the UK… pic.twitter.com/TJ9A8KgeA7

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 11, 2023

The United Kingdom announced the transfer of stationary Terrahawk Paladin anti-aircraft systems to Ukraine. In the standard configuration, the installation is equipped with a 30-mm Mark 44 Bushmaster II cannon with a possible increase in caliber to 40 mm.
A new package of the UK military support for Ukraine is worth more than £100m.
https://gov.uk/government/news/major-new-package-of-support-for-ukraines-counter-offensive-announced-by-grant-shapps

The US is currently down to a few hundred million for Ukraine. The Biden administration is trying to get creative. Politico has the details.

The Biden administration is considering using a State Department grant program to send additional military aid to Ukraine as Congress continues to battle over weapons funding, according to two U.S. officials with knowledge of the discussions.

The White House is weighing a range of options as it scrambles to find additional money to support Ukraine after lawmakers stripped funding in a last-minute deal to avert a government shutdown, said the officials, who like others interviewed for this story were granted anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.

President Joe Biden hinted at this strategy on Wednesday, saying “there is another means by which we may be able to find funding for that.” He declined to comment further.

One of the officials said the president’s comments referred to “existing funding authorities” Congress previously gave the administration “that allow us to provide additional support to Ukraine for a bit longer if Congress doesn’t act.”

One option under consideration is using foreign military financing — a program run by the State Department that provides grants or loans to help partner countries purchase weapons and defense equipment — intended for Ukraine and other countries impacted by Russia’s full-scale invasion, said the two officials.

As of Sept. 21, the U.S. had roughly $650 million remaining out of $4.6 billion in foreign military financing that Congress appropriated across two supplemental packages for Ukraine and “countries impacted by the situation in Ukraine,” according to the State Department.

Even if the U.S. uses the financing authority to purchase weapons, Congress still needs to authorize additional funding to support Ukraine, the U.S. official said.

The administration could also potentially ask Congress to redirect funding from elsewhere in the Pentagon budget to support Ukraine, according to a Defense Department official familiar with the discussions. However, this route would require approval from lawmakers.

A top Pentagon spokesperson said no decision had been made on what route the department will take.

“Reprogramming is always an option for urgent needs. At this time right now, though, to my knowledge, no decision has been made on using reprogramming as a way to support Ukraine security assistance,” said Brig. Gen. Patrick Ryder. “We remain committed to working with Congress on the Ukraine supplemental and receiving a full budget.”

Pentagon leaders warned lawmakers last week that department’s portion of previous aid packages has nearly run out. Comptroller Mike McCord wrote in a letter to congressional leaders that the Defense Department “has exhausted nearly all available security assistance funding for Ukraine.” No money remains for the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, the program used by the Pentagon to purchase new weapons and equipment for Kyiv, while $1.6 billion remains to replenish U.S. inventories.

More at the link.

I know there has been speculation in comments, as well as in reporting that the Biden administration will try to bundle funding for Ukraine’s war effort with additional funding for Israel and even possibly with further defense aid to Taiwan. That’s somewhat creative, but the congressional math is still a problem. There is a significant block of Republican senators who oppose any new aid to Ukraine and have the ability to individually hold up any funding package that includes it. Even more of a problem is that the majority of the GOP caucus in the House is now opposed to any additional funding for Ukraine. Meaning that the minority of that caucus that does want more funding would have to partner with the Democrats, force a discharge petition to get the bill to the floor, and then vote with the Democrats to get it passed. Given that the GOP House caucus cannot even get a majority of its members behind one of the two candidates for Speaker of the House and we are down to about 9 actual working days on the congressional calendar to get another short term CR out, the administration is fighting both the numbers needed to pass a supplemental aid package and the calendar.

This is what the Biden administration and, especially, the Ukrainians are up against:

https://twitter.com/AlonPinkas/status/1711621029209006112

Especially because the Republicans have decided to do what they usually do:

“While Hamas carried out these attacks, Joe Biden has blood on his hands.”

– Sen. Tim Scott (R-SC) blames Biden for Hamas’ terrorist attacks on Israel, again parroting an unsubstantiated GOP claim that Iran used the money from the $6B prisoner exchange to help fund the attacks pic.twitter.com/J0EEfbOttW

— The Recount (@therecount) October 10, 2023

As a result I expect that any attempt to bundle additional support for Ukraine with additional support to Israel will either be short lived or not even be attempted because of domestic political considerations in the US. My impression is that part of President Biden’s we just quietly get things done political strategy is avoiding fights he knows he can’t win. Right now getting more support to Israel, regardless of whether Israel needs it or not, is a major domestic political imperative in the US. Getting more support to Ukraine, which Ukraine desperately needs, is not. I would like to be wrong, but I do not expect to be.

Michael McKinley, a retired Senior Foreign Service Executive, has some thoughts on this in Politico:

The unprecedented attack by Hamas on Israel will complicate the debate in the United States and internationally about sustaining assistance for Ukraine as it defends itself against Russia’s aggression. Israel merits the unquestioned support of its allies as it responds to the most significant challenge it has faced since the Yom Kippur War in 1973. But it does not follow that the conflict in Ukraine should fade into the background.

Events in Israel along with other worrying developments — including Azerbaijan’s assault on Nagorno-Karabakh and Serbia’s border build-up with Kosovo — only underscore how quickly the international order we’ve long taken for granted has been undermined since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine 20 months ago. The world we’re entering is becoming a more volatile, violent place.

For Western nations who want to forestall that future, the first line of defense remains Ukraine. Israel is receiving support and likely to prevail in its conflict with Hamas, but without continued assistance from the United States and its allies, Ukraine is much less likely to win its war with Russia.

If Ukraine is not to suffer the fate of other “forever wars” and become a secondary priority to a possibly wider conflict in the Middle East, or a global landscape with other pressing demands, U.S. leaders need to recast the case for staying the course on Ukraine. Messaging on Ukraine should include greater realism about the conflict, its complexities, its likely outcome and what it means for global security.

The truth is that sustaining assistance for Ukraine is already a challenge, as much psychological as political. Fatigue has kicked in among Ukraine’s supporters notwithstanding reassuring statements by President JoeBiden and European leaders following the revolt by congressional GOPhardliners in Washington against further financial support for the war effort. In our recent past, wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, costing trillions of dollars and thousands of American lives, increasingly came to be described as forgotten wars as they dragged on for many years.

Ukraine should not be seen in the same way. The moment is fast approaching for the Biden administration to strengthen the rationale for sustaining the war effort, by starting first with redefining the strategic commitment of the U.S. and its allies. At the NATO summit in June, it became clear that the allies have yet to provide everything Ukraine needs to significantly improve its battlefield performance. The debate continues over what weapons to supply. Allies also pushed off Ukraine’s NATO membership into an indefinite future.

This hesitancy is driven by genuine concerns about taking steps that could provoke an unpredictable Russian response. Nonetheless, it’s time for Western leaders to be more forthright and strategic in explaining what the endgame is: that military assistance to Ukraine will help not just defeat Russia now but also transform Ukraine’s military capabilities so it can serve as a bulwark against further Russian aggression in Europe and Central Asia. Making this case requires that Western leaders be clearer about the fact that Russia is stronger militarily and politically than many suggest, a longer-term threat to global stability and not just in Europe, and acknowledging that the war may go on for some time and cannot have a defined timetable.

Much more at the link!

Avdiivka:

Russia keeps bombarding the Ukrainian city of Avdiivka.
It’s almost completely annihilated by now, but several hundred civilians still stay there. pic.twitter.com/Ll1YTAFtKV

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) October 11, 2023

As Zelensky spoke in Brussels, Russian forces pushed ahead with an assault on the eastern industrial city of Avdiivka.

Ukraine’s General Staff said that “up to three battalions” of Russian soldiers were involved in the offensive around Avdiivka.https://t.co/8fmB9oKofq via @ft

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) October 11, 2023

Here’s the details:

Since he left Ukraine on Tuesday, Russian forces have stepped up attacks in the eastern Donetsk region, marking their first offensive actions in months. Launched in May with the goal of clawing back lost territory, Ukraine’s counteroffensive has so far struggled to gain momentum.

As Zelenskyy spoke in Brussels, Russian forces pushed ahead with an assault on the eastern industrial city of Avdiivka.

Oleksandr Stupun, a military spokesperson for Ukraine’s southern front, said Russian forces were fighting with “all their might to show some kind of success and are trying to surround Avdiivka”.

The industrial city is home to Ukraine’s largest coking plant, which videos posted on social media and verified by the Financial Times showed was targeted by artillery attacks and air strikes on Tuesday. Some videos showed plumes of smoke rising from the battered city, while those posted by Ukrainian drone operators revealed a convoy of Russian armoured vehicles and infantry troops moving towards the frontline.

Of Avdiivka’s prewar population of 30,000, authorities say only a little more than 1,000 residents remain in the city, much of which has been reduced to rubble by relentless shelling.

Ukraine’s General Staff said that “up to three battalions” of Russian soldiers were involved in the offensive around Avdiivka.

“They are not succeeding, but they will try to gain some operational space,” Stupun said of the Russian assault. “At the moment they are suffering losses, our soldiers are standing firm and defending Avdiivka and the neighbouring settlements.”

Russia also continued its air strikes on Ukraine’s Danube ports, used to export grains and by the country’s military for its seaborne operations, the General Staff said.

Much more at the link!

Massive Russian armoured column north of Avdiivka moving towards Ukrainian positions from Krasnohorivka during the first day of the offensive. pic.twitter.com/NzlV1s9h9Q

— WarTranslated (@wartranslated) October 11, 2023

ATGM strike on Russian armoured vehicle. Avdiivka front. By the 53rd brigade of Ukraine. https://t.co/2hTzqqIDcB pic.twitter.com/vo6ktqddVP

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 11, 2023

/2. As commented by the source- “The tank was blown up on a minefield, the BMP was following it but turned around in an instant after the detonation of a tank. Then the armored personnel carrier brought this meat” pic.twitter.com/DOMQHmoTTC

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 11, 2023

/2. Some footage of today’s Russian attack on Avdiivka.https://t.co/R5aFz8hw5Ahttps://t.co/QFh0eapMa6 pic.twitter.com/LJSOCumJSf

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 10, 2023

/1. About today’s large scale Russian attack on the Avdiivka front, by DeepState:

Today was one of the most difficult days at the Avdiivka direction
⚔️ The enemy went on the attack with several columns, filled with infantry. The attack was accompanied by artillery, aviation and missile strikes. Columns advanced from Krasnohorivka, Novoselivka Druha, Vodyane, Pisky and Vesele. Russians managed to capture certain positions, but considering the number of personnel and equipment that was involved, the results are simply deplorable for the enemy.
⚔️ Russians hoped for a blitzkrieg. Losses of equipment are colossal, analysts will soon be counting. Hundreds of Russian infantrymen were engaged and they are still roaming the no man’s land. The fighting continues. Indeed, everything could have been much worse, but the coordinated work of the Defense Forces of Ukraine produced results. Of course, it was not without losses.

⬅️ Russians statements about the entry into Berdychi which were circulating on the Internet – is just another sick fantasy of propagandists. Of course, not everything is rosy near Avdiivka, but the first attack of the real Soviet army was repelled.
https://t.me/DeepStateUA/17797

Hroza:

Ukrainian authorities accuse two brothers of helping the Russian military carry out this year’s deadliest missile strike, which hit their hometown of Hroza, killing 55 people.https://t.co/kw1QXviBLG via @ft

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) October 11, 2023

Here’s the details from The Financial Times:

Ukrainian authorities have accused two brothers of helping the Russian military carry out this year’s deadliest missile strike, which hit their hometown of Hroza, killing 55 people.

The Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) and prosecutors in Kharkiv region on Wednesday announced treason charges against Volodymyr Mamon, 30, and his younger brother, Dmytro Mamon, 23, who are alleged to have long collaborated with Russia.

Additionally, authorities charged Volodymyr with directly aiding and abetting the Russian army in the murder of his neighbours. Prosecutors said they were working to locate the brothers, who are Russian passport holders and are believed to be in Russia.

The Russian missile attack on October 5 struck a grocery store and an adjacent café, where civilians and military personnel had gathered to commemorate a fallen soldier. Almost every family in the village of 330 people had at least one relative at the gathering, said Ukraine’s interior affairs minister Ihor Klymenko, underscoring the devastating impact the attack has had on the community.

Fifty-one people — about a sixth of the village’s population — were killed instantly when the Russian Iskander missile hit, reducing the buildings to rubble. Dmytro Chubenko, a spokesperson for the Kharkiv regional prosecutor’s office, said on Wednesday that the death toll had risen to 55 and could increase since several people remained in hospital with serious injuries.

Prosecutors said the Mamons had willingly collaborated with Russian forces while the region was under occupation in 2022. For their efforts, authorities said, the Mamons were appointed to law enforcement jobs in the Russian occupation administration. Prosecutors shared photographs of law enforcement documents issued to them by Russian authorities.

The Mamons fled to Russia last autumn, as Ukrainian forces moved in to retake the area during a counteroffensive that brought the Kharkiv region back under Kyiv’s control.

In self-exile, the brothers allegedly continued their work with Russian forces, building a local network of sources on the ground in Kharkiv from whom they would glean details about Ukraine’s military.

Ukrainian authorities say the Mamons’ relatives, neighbours and acquaintances from Hroza and other towns and villages in the Kharkiv region unwittingly participated in the brothers’ intelligence-gathering operations.

Under the guise of ordinary conversation over messenger apps, the Mamons asked several people, including Dmytro’s wife, for information about the movements of Ukraine’s troops and public events that involved the military in the Kharkiv region.

Prosecutors said the brothers caught wind of the funeral service in Hroza days before.

“The older brother found out in detail from fellow villagers who will be at the memorial event, what time it will be and where exactly,” prosecutors said. “He passed this information on to his Russian supervisors, who . . . made a decision [to attack] a civilian target.”

Authorities published text messages they say show conversations between Volodymyr and Dmytro and residents in Hroza in which the time and location of the funeral were discussed. The exchanges appear to show that the brothers knew people who would be present at the wake but believed a majority of the attendees would be military service members.

More at the link!

After:

https://twitter.com/krides/status/1712036166726193475

https://twitter.com/krides/status/1712039621842927944

Before:

https://twitter.com/krides/status/1712042389244682353

https://twitter.com/krides/status/1712044234692288758

https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1712223863524716997

Putin has some thoughts on who actually invaded Ukraine in 2014 and then expanded the war in 2022. Hint: it wasn’t Russia!

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1712104383691776140

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos tonight. Here is some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Army Cats & Dogs account.

https://twitter.com/UAarmy_animals/status/1706107295363436726

https://twitter.com/UAarmy_animals/status/1706091534263660552

https://twitter.com/UAarmy_animals/status/1705555649663287556

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 595: Zelenskyy Will (Try) to Visit Israel!Post + Comments (33)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Never A Good Sign When ‘Dachau’ Is Trending…

by Anne Laurie|  October 11, 20236:05 pm| 117 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat

NOW: Biden, at a roundtable with Jewish community leaders, speaking on the “evil” and “pure cruelty” carried out by Hamas terrorists in Israel this past weekend

“The deadliest day for Jews since the Holocaust…” pic.twitter.com/i9bpk6zzOW

— Christian Datoc (@TocRadio) October 11, 2023

Biden says he took each of his kids to visit the Dachau concentration camp when they turned 14.

"I wanted them to see!" he says, slamming his hand down and shouting. "That you could not not know what was going on." pic.twitter.com/w0hue2Vkky

— Amy Spiro (@AmySpiro) October 11, 2023

here is a picture of Biden at Dachau as VP pic.twitter.com/Q4NNNq2Idy

— Sam Stein (@samstein) October 11, 2023

Our failed major media…

"If I told you I would not be able to get them home" President Biden says he is engaged on Americans held hostage and will not discuss steps publicly.

— Kelly O'Donnell (@KellyO) October 11, 2023

show full post on front page

Reminder that we don't have a formal ambassador to Israel thanks to the Heir to the Ron Paul Newsletter fortune. https://t.co/oVKsHl5Tlv

— zeddy (@Zeddary) October 11, 2023

Democrats: Israel has been attacked by terrorists. What can we do to help?

Republicans: Israel has been attacked by terrorists. How can we blame it on Biden and make political capital from it?

BOTH SIDES ARE NOT THE SAME https://t.co/jFIUzTXhYO

— dr. emigre80 (@emigre80) October 10, 2023

More from Israel's response to Biden: https://t.co/9NE0cnafSb

— Yair Rosenberg (@Yair_Rosenberg) October 11, 2023

Wednesday Evening Open Thread: Never A Good Sign When ‘Dachau’ Is Trending…Post + Comments (117)

Gaetz of Hell & More

by Betty Cracker|  October 11, 20233:48 pm| 164 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

Now that the House GOP has nominated Steve “David Duke without the baggage” Scalise for Speaker instead of Jim “Serial molester in the OSU athletic department? What serial molester?” Jordan, the question is can Scalise whip a sufficient number of votes on the floor? Maybe.

Scalise seems to have opposable thumbs, an edge over Jordan and the Gaetz Eight, but the conference adjourned without voting today, which isn’t a great sign. In any case, a party that worships the Defendant and contemplates elevating any of the proposed grotesqueries to Speaker left the hell-mouth in the rearview mirror long ago and is speeding toward the hell-anus.

Happy floor voting, assholes! Take all the time you need. It’s not like the world is burning or anything…

***

Speaking of assholes, Israeli PM Netanyahu has formed a unity government with Benny Gantz, leader of the opposition party. I know nothing about Israeli politics (except that Netanyahu is an asshole), but my understanding is this is a good thing because it sidelines Netanyahu’s extremists allies, at least for now.

From Adam’s war updates and independent reading, I get the impression there’s a deep and abiding anger growing in Israel toward Netanyahu because they blame him for being asleep at the switch when Hamas attacked. I have no idea how widely shared that view is, but Jerusalem resident Yossi Klein Halevi, writing for The Atlantic, says two reckonings are coming: the first with Hamas, then with Netanyahu:

If anything, the rage many Israelis feel today toward Netanyahu is far greater (than that toward Golda Meir, who resigned six months after the Yom Kippur War). By tearing apart the country in his attempt to weaken the courts, he knowingly undermined Israeli deterrence. He was repeatedly warned by the IDF of the likely consequences of his judicial revolution, in terms of both the IDF’s readiness for war and the willingness of Israel’s enemies to test its weakness. Netanyahu ignored the warnings, even refusing at one point to meet with the IDF chief, Herzi Halevi…

Netanyahu will stay true to form and try to deflect the blame onto others, beginning with the army but also including the anti-government demonstrators who thwarted his antidemocratic revolution. This time, though, his evasive tactics won’t work. Netanyahu has presided over the most devastating day in Israeli history, the inevitable culmination of the disaster he has inflicted over the past year on his own people.

We’ll see. Like a living trilobite, Netanyahu has proved impervious to previous forces that seemed to all but guarantee the end of his disastrous political career. But first things first, according to Halevi.

***

And finally, to end on a positive note, my favored bruin, the magnificent Grazer, was crowned Fat Bear Week champion!

 

View this post on Instagram

 

A post shared by explore.org (@exploreorg)

Congrats, Grazer! It was your brilliant blond ears that put you over the top, girl!

Open thread.

Gaetz of Hell & MorePost + Comments (164)

Open Thread – We’ll Take Good News Where We Can Get It

by WaterGirl|  October 11, 20232:43 pm| 64 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

One bit of really good news.

BREAKING: On a 2-1 vote, the 11th Circuit DENIES Florida’s request that it be allowed to enforce its anti-drag law against everyone in the state except the plaintiffs during the appeal.

tl;dr: The law remains wholly blocked.

Background at Law Dork: https://t.co/IwjTd5hYCP pic.twitter.com/vgzftYFeaZ

— Chris Geidner (@chrisgeidner) October 11, 2023

⭐️

What other good things have you seen in the news today?

Open thread.

Open Thread – We’ll Take Good News Where We Can Get ItPost + Comments (64)

Trump & Jim Jordan May Have Something In Common

by WaterGirl|  October 11, 202311:57 am| 197 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics

Jim Jordan may come to rue the day that he decided to run for speaker.  Just as I hope that in his heart of hearts (what heart!) Trump knows that he brought all this on himself with his petty little plan to run for President.  Hoping for the same for Jim Jordon.  Soon!

NEW: Four former OSU wrestlers are speaking out against Jim Jordan’s bid for Speaker of the House. “Do you really want a guy in that job who chose not to stand up for his guys?” https://t.co/jnwx4gSXxp

— Mueller, She Wrote 🇺🇦 🇮🇱 (@MuellerSheWrote) October 11, 2023

⭐️

Four Ohio State wrestlers are speaking out against Jim Jordan as Speaker of the House.

“Do you really want a guy in that job who chose not to stand up for his guys?” said one former wrestler who attended OSU when Jordan was assistant coach.

⭐️

Four of the former Ohio State University wrestlers who have accused Rep. Jim Jordan of failing to protect them from a sexual predator when he was the team’s assistant coach in the 1980s and ’90s said Tuesday he has no business being the next speaker of the House.

Some excerpts from the article:

“Do you really want a guy in that job who chose not to stand up for his guys?” said former OSU wrestler Mike Schyck, one of the hundreds of former athletes and students who say they were sexually abused by school doctor Richard Strauss and have sued the university. “Is that the kind of character trait you want for a House speaker?”

The wrestlers’ decisions to weigh in adds a new dimension to the speaker race, bringing in a controversial part of Jordan’s past that continues to hang over the Ohio Republican and staunch ally of former President Donald Trump.

So far, the OSU affair hasn’t received much focus — one GOP congresswoman recently said she wasn’t even aware of the allegations — but it could continue to follow Jordan. Even if he becomes speaker, there’s a chance he could be deposed in one of the lawsuits.

…

Dunyasha Yetts, another former OSU wrestler who has publicly and repeatedly accused Jordan of lying about not knowing what Strauss was doing to the athletes, said the congressman’s “hypocrisy is unbelievable.”

“He doesn’t deserve to be House speaker,” Yetts said. “He still has to answer for what happened to us.”

Rocky Ratliff, a former OSU wrestler and alleged Strauss victim who is also a lawyer representing some of the plaintiffs suing the school, said Jordan “abandoned his former wrestlers in the Ohio State sexual abuse scandal and cover-up.”

…

“My problem with Jimmy is that he has been playing with words instead of supporting us,” Doe said. “None of us used the words ‘sexual abuse’ when we talked about what Doc Strauss was doing to us, we just knew it was weird and Jimmy knew about it because we talked about it all the time in the locker room, at practices, everywhere.”

Strauss, who died in 2005, was accused of preying on hundreds of men who attended the university from the 1970s through the 1990s, mostly under the guise of performing medical exams like hernia checks, which require a doctor to examine a patient’s genitals.

OSU has admitted it failed to protect students from Strauss and has already paid out $60 million in settlement money to 296 victims. And in June, the U.S. Supreme Court stymied OSU’s attempt to dismiss the remaining lawsuits against the school.

Jordan was mentioned by name in the complaints filed with the federal court for the Southern District of Ohio in 2019, and he was also mentioned in some of the earlier lawsuits.

The hubris of people like Jim Jordan who do horrible things and don’t even have the sense to keep their heads down!  I find it astonishing.

Open thread.

Trump & Jim Jordan May Have Something In CommonPost + Comments (197)

The Repub Who Cried SQUIRREL! (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  October 11, 20239:43 am| 122 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

Republicans suck at every level of government. Whether a minority of U.S. citizens elect one as president, as happened in 2016, or whether a majority of the citizens of Florida’s 32nd most populous county elect Repubs as county commissioners, as happens in every local election where I live, GOP politicians at all levels spend their time in office ignoring real problems and grandstanding about fake ones.

Last week, I read that a member of our all-Repub county commission, Diana Finegan, was submitting a resolution to ask DeSantis to “call out the militia to suppress and repel the invasion of illegals entering Florida,” claiming that we are “under siege by invaders with the complicity of the current administration and the federal government, who have ordered all federal and military assets to stand down.”

This morning, I read a headline that said “Finegan pulls immigration issue off the agenda,” and for a moment I was relieved, thinking maybe she’d come to her senses and would go back to evaluating alligator mitigation plans or funding no-show county jobs for relatives instead of lying about U.S. border control. But no — the local paper explains that the commissioner “expressed her intention to rework the resolution and reintroduce it with more supportive language directed towards Gov. Ron DeSantis.”

Christ on a cracker. In this county, we’re always at least six months behind the trends in Florida, let alone the country, so this elected official doesn’t realize performance art to impress Ron DeSantis is no longer mandatory. The people who elected Finegan are performative dolts too, of course:

While the resolution was withdrawn from the agenda, some members of the public attended the meeting to express their opinions during the public comment period… Mary Seader urged the board to take action to “protect, guard, and shield” the county’s residents and shared reports of illegal immigrants breaking into homes in Michigan.

You can understand Seader’s concerns — our town is only about an 18 hour drive from Kalamazoo, so the thieves might be on their way right now with the intent to bust into her senior singles condo development and make off with her new air fryer and garden gnomes.

The truth is my county is “under siege.” Not by immigrant hordes but by scammy developers and rapacious insurance companies and corrupt GOP politicians. But as long as a majority keep barking their heads off every time some Repub fraud yells “SQUIRREL,” we’ll keep getting lied to and ripped off. It never ends.

Open thread.

PS: The newspaper articles on Finegan’s resolution cosplay note that she’s a member of the local Repub Executive Committee and that members of that organization asked her to bring forth the resolution. Our county DEC is more trauma support group than political organization, but I can imagine the response if word got out that an elected Dem (a species that went extinct here when Dixiecrats jumped ship) performed an official act at the behest of her executive committee. The screeching would rattle windows in Kalamazoo!

The Repub Who Cried SQUIRREL! (Open Thread)Post + Comments (122)

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