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Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

When we show up, we win.

Come on, man.

Our messy unity will be our strength.

Reality always lies in wait for … Democrats.

I don’t recall signing up for living in a dystopian sci-fi novel.

T R E 4 5 O N

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

The truth is, these are not very bright guys, and things got out of hand.

You don’t get rid of your umbrella while it’s still raining.

So many bastards, so little time.

“I was told there would be no fact checking.”

If you still can’t see these things even now, maybe politics isn’t your forte and you should stop writing about it.

The cruelty is the point; the law be damned.

Never give a known liar the benefit of the doubt.

I did not have this on my fuck 2025 bingo card.

Welcome to day five of every-bit-as-bad-as-you-thought-it-would-be.

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

Wow, you are pre-disappointed. How surprising.

Live so that if you miss a day of work people aren’t hoping you’re dead.

The only way through is to slog through the muck one step at at time.

Every reporter and pundit should have to declare if they ever vacationed with a billionaire.

Bad people in a position to do bad things will do bad things because they are bad people. End of story.

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

rich, arrogant assholes who equate luck with genius

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: SBF On Trial — Update

by Anne Laurie|  October 3, 202310:05 pm| 99 Comments

This post is in: Activist Judges!, C.R.E.A.M., Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Lock Him Up...Lock Them All Up

On his first day in court, SBF arrived in front of potential jurors with a new look—and mostly focused on his laptop. https://t.co/qC5b5b1z3Z

— Fast Company (@FastCompany) October 3, 2023

Of course the ongoing House speakership chaos is more Serious, but allow me my petty obsessions…

… The cofounder and former CEO of FTX arrived for jury selection with his trademark curly hair cut in a close-cropped style. He also wore a dark suit, white shirt, and tie. Bankman-Fried is being jailed in Brooklyn during his trial after his bail was revoked this summer. He arrived at the courthouse late—“I’m told we can thank the delay to what’s happening in the other courtroom nearby,” Judge Kaplan said in court, evidently referring to the Trump civil trial at a courthouse a block away.

Almost immediately upon entering the courtroom and taking a seat between his two lead lawyers, Bankman-Fried began typing and scrolling on an internet-disabled laptop, occasionally speaking with his lawyers or scratching his head, but mostly focusing on the computer. His screen wasn’t visible from where I was seated, but he appeared to be taking notes…

Prosecutor Nicolas Roos said on Tuesday that “the government never made any plea offers” in the case, a clear explanation for why Bankman-Fried is going to trial instead of pleading out, a risky move for a defendant. About nine in ten federal criminal defendants plead guilty, according to Pew ResearchCenter analysis of federal statistics, while only 0.4% are acquitted at trial.

Bankman-Fried is charged with seven counts of fraud and conspiracy related to FTX, his cryptocurrency exchange, and Alameda Research, his crypto hedge fund, and several former FTX and Alameda executives are expected to testify against him. He has pleaded not guilty, and his trial is expected to last six weeks.

For much of the day, Judge Lewis A. Kaplan was giving a master class on how not to let anyone out of jury duty. If jurors said they were unable to assess the case impartially, they were dismissed without much questioning. Anyone else? They’d best get ready for some contentious lawyering—giving a preview of how Judge Kaplan will run the high-profile trial…

The potential jurors’ responses also gave a sense of how familiar they were with cryptocurrency—and of the handful who’d dealt directly with it, most weren’t fans. Three had lost money because of it…

“I had an investment in cryptocurrency and I did lose a lot, and my twin brother lost a lot more than me, and it almost ruined him,” one man said.

When another potential juror said “I don’t actually still understand how cryptocurrency works,” Judge Kaplan responded: “You probably have a lot of company in this courtroom.”

Judge Kaplan said he expected to complete jury selection Wednesday morning, with opening arguments to follow.

I just want to remind everyone going into this week that Sam Bankman-Fried is not a kid or a boy or a cherubic golden child lost in the woods. He's a 31 year old man facing 7 felony charges as part of a multi-billion-dollar alleged fraud.

— Jacob Silverman ???? (@SilvermanJacob) October 1, 2023

show full post on front page

Some basic SBF facts for pundits

4 people have already pled guilty to the FTX fraud

SBF is a grown ass man

it’s a financial fraud that involves crypto not a crypto case

he’s basically confessed to fraud in multiple interviews

he attempted witness tampering and intimidation

— Sean Tuffy (@SMTuffy) October 3, 2023

Tuesday Evening Open Thread:  SBF On Trial Update

🚨 BREAKING: Former FTX spokesman Kevin O’Leary stated that all "crypto cowboys" will soon be gone.

He specifically mentioned CZ, SBF, Binance, and Coinbase, stating they all have "arrows in their backs" via a Coindesk interview.

Is this FUD, or is it time for a new… pic.twitter.com/tVKXB7b7IE

— BlockNews.com (@blocknewsdotcom) October 3, 2023


This you, Kev?

Now we know why Kevin O’Leary likes SBF so much. He was paid nearly $1 million per hour to shill for Sam. All time grifter. pic.twitter.com/3TVllNBXjb

— Coffeezilla (@coffeebreak_YT) October 3, 2023

In case anyone was still wondering why SBF hung onto his childish hair-halo, here’s a courtroom sketch of his new lewk…

Getting the sense that the SBF, Trump, DeSantis, Hunter Biden, and Taylor Swift story lines are going to converge in the season finale where they discover the identity of the murderer. https://t.co/ZuFzgA8Z4p

— Florida Dad (@FloridadadD) October 3, 2023

Tuesday Evening Open Thread: SBF On Trial — UpdatePost + Comments (99)

Postcard Writing and Music Thread

by WaterGirl|  October 3, 20238:00 pm| 52 Comments

This post is in: Music, Open Threads, Political Action, Political Fundraising, Targeted Political Fundraising 2023-24

It’s postcards and music time!

All the details on options for writing for Ohio Issue 1 and for Virginia – and images of postcards – are always available in the sidebar.  To make it extra easy to find, I have copied it just below the postcard image.

Chime in if you know about others good post-card writing options for OH or VA.

Also, send me a photo of your postcards and I’ll post it in the thread and add it to the link in the sidebar.

Postcard Writing Party & Music Thread 3

(click the image to see a bigger version)

Political Action

Postcard Writing Information

Music!

Brendancalling is giving us a jump start tonight *with a great playlist of classic rock and R & B.

And of course, add your musical links in the comments!

*well, that was the plan, anyway!  maybe that will arrive, hot off the presses, any minute now, or maybe that will be our playlist for Saturday.  That’s okay, either way it works.

Postcard Writing and Music ThreadPost + Comments (52)

Halfway to the $500 Angel Match for Our Two VA Candidates!

by WaterGirl|  October 3, 20237:40 pm| 18 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

We are trying to get each of these two candidates $10,000 to help in their fight to win these seats in Virginia.

We had our first Balloon Juice Angel match for Virginia on Friday, and that helped get us to $5,000!

On Wisconsin!

Mousebumples is our Balloon Juice Angel today – let’s see what we can get to with this one.  Big thanks to both our angels!

Mousebumples will match up to $25 per person, for a total of $500.

Let’s get this Angel Match started!  As we kick off the match, the thermometer is at $5,346.


Donate

The two Virginia candidates we are supporting are:

  •  Michael Feggans
  • Kimberly Pope Adams

Let’s help Virginia peeps to: Vote. Them. Out.

Open thread.

Halfway to the $500 Angel Match for Our Two VA Candidates!Post + Comments (18)

War for Ukraine Day 587: Ukrainian Air Defense!

by Adam L Silverman|  October 3, 20236:11 pm| 28 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Ukrainian air defense was busy last night/this morning:

Tonight’s work of the Ukrainian air defense. 30 out of 32 targets claimed to be intercepted. https://t.co/xFEBgC1j3e pic.twitter.com/8mRBrFsuCv

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 3, 2023

I want to write a bit about the recent continuing resolution and the political defenestration of Kevin McCarthy. To set this up, I want to focus on this point that Brian Beutler made yesterday: (emphasis mine)

The most right-wing House Republicans threatened McCarthy’s speakership unless he held firm for a lengthy list of partisan ransoms (that is, unless he shut down the government). He tried, he failed, he buckled, government functions continue.

But there’s another story playing out this year. It places a bit less emphasis on the dramedy horror of internal GOP politics, and more on the way the rest of the system maneuvers to resist or accommodate them. And in that telling, Republicans keep seizing must-pass legislative items, screaming and leveling threats each time, aiming weapons every which way, including at their own heads, and then walking away with … something. So far, each time, it’s been something fairly small. But the pattern persists, and the precedents they’ve set should alarm all of us.

There’s obviously much truth to the idea that the House Republican conference includes a large number of reactionaries who make aggressive demands of their leaders, and to the idea that Democrats haven’t responded to the ensuing “inmates taken over the asylum” vibe by caving to their demands in the hope of sparing the country worse punishment.

But Republican leaders are also perfectly happy to walk into negotiations with Democrats saying “my guys are so crazy, I need to appease them with something,” and Democrats are perfectly happy portray the small ransoms they pay in the end as insignificant relative to the initial hostage threats—and thus evidence of their resolve and superior negotiating skills. That’s what the White House did back in June after President Biden paid McCarthy modest ransoms for raising the debt limit, and it’s what Hakeem Jeffries and his allies are doing now.

In this case the token that was paid was the FY 2024 funding for Ukraine. Yes, I’m aware that the House Democrats, as well as the Senate Democrats and Republicans will be submitting a supplemental bill to get the funding taken care of. But there are a few strategic challenges here. The first is that the government is only funded for 42 more days. So if they can’t get it passed quickly, it won’t be in either the next CR, if there even is one, the 12 appropriations bills themselves, or the omnibus appropriations bill. So even if one of those three legislative options for funding the US government past the middle of November were to work, none of them are going to include the FY 2024 funding for Ukraine. And now that Gaetz and his fellow travelers have actually tasted blood and taken a trophy, they will be emboldened to shut the government down in mid-November unless they get everything they want. The rest of the GOP caucus will NOT stop them. We’ve got 42 days though, right? Not really. By removing McCarthy, even with the caretaker continuity of the House (government) Speaker Pro Tem as acting speaker, Gaetz has just ground the House and its business to a halt. There’s no compromise candidate here. The Democrats are rightly not going to provide any aid or comfort to the House GOP caucus or anyone seeking the position of speaker. So we technically have 42 days, but we don’t really have that amount of time. The chaos that Gaetz and his fellow travelers have created is intended to both ensure a government shutdown and prevent any additional aid to Ukraine being passed. Whether Gaetz and his fellow travelers can achieve their objectives or are now the dog that caught the car remains to be seen.

The only positive news is that the US still has $5.2 billion left it can use to send material to Ukraine, which is the equivalent of the cost of the last six months of military aid. And that the US Army is ready to send the ATACMs as soon as President Biden signs the transfer order.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

Kharkiv does not just hold on, but helps keep our entire east strong – address by the President of Ukraine

3 October 2023 – 19:19

Good health to you, fellow Ukrainians!

Today I am in Kharkiv region. Kupyansk and Lyman directions, then the city of Kharkiv. Our warriors, combat brigades, commanders.

Together with the team, we paid a visit to the 103rd separate territorial defense brigade, the 68th separate jaeger brigade named after Oleksa Dovbush, the 25th separate airborne brigade “Sicheslav”, and the 15th mobile border guard detachment “Steel Border”. Today I had the opportunity to talk to servicemen from other brigades as well.

As always, we talked to the battalion commanders. Specific needs of the units. Weapons and supplies, as well as manning the brigades. There are things that need to be done, in particular, to ensure that our brigades have greater motivation and combat capabilities.

I also had the honor to award the warriors who distinguished themselves – soldiers, sergeants, and officers. Different units, different combat paths, but equally strong Ukrainians! I am proud of all of them!

It was a great pleasure to award our combat medics.

Thank you all for protecting Ukraine, for confidence in Ukraine! Thank you for your chevrons and coins – I will keep them.

Today I also held separate long meetings with all those responsible for defense and socio-economic situation in Kharkiv and the region. There are many issues that are important for the region. Especially in the run-up to winter. Especially given the constant Russian terror against Kharkiv, against the region and the occupier’s attempts to intensify the assaults on our positions.

I heard a report from General Syrskyi, as well as from the heads of the regional Security Service of Ukraine and the National Police – detailed reports on the protection of Kharkiv region.

We discussed the protection from Russian shelling, energy supply to the cities and villages of Kharkiv region, protection of energy facilities, restoration of housing and social sphere, as well as humanitarian demining with the relevant officials – the regional and city heads, the Minister of Energy, the CEOs of Ukrenergo and Naftogaz, and others.

It is extremely important that Kharkiv, despite everything, does not just hold on, but helps keep our entire east strong. A proud and bright city that will always be a city of strength for Ukraine and the whole of Europe.

The meetings also resulted in instructions on preparations for the heating season, reconstruction, and physical protection of energy facilities from Russian attacks. Everything needs to be fulfilled, and some issues require significant acceleration.

Tomorrow I expect a detailed report on the restoration projects from the government officials. Separate instructions were also given to the military.

In the coming weeks, we will be working very actively with our partners to ensure that our warriors have more weapons and ammunition, particularly air defense – this is most important.

Thank you to everyone who helps Ukraine! Glory to all who defend our country and people.

Glory to Ukraine!

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1709221230790726042

https://twitter.com/maria_avdv/status/1709246759229079663

During a working trip to the Kharkiv region, President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy visited the locations of the 103rd Territorial Defense Brigade, 68th Jaeger Brigade, and 25th Airborne Brigade, which are carrying out combat missions in the Kupiansk-Lyman area. The President received information from the units about their priorities, and presented awards to service members and combat medics who distinguished themselves while defending Ukraine.

The Head of State also visited the tank unit of the 21st Mechanized Brigade, where he inspected equipment provided to the Ukrainian army by its Western partners, including Leopard 2 tanks and CV90 infantry fighting vehicles, which were used in battles in the Kupiansk area.

The cost:

https://twitter.com/11Knuk123/status/1709166052741886326

The price:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1709128276017336741

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1709285565328134620

On February 24, 2022, Denys Fedko’s relatives attempted to evacuate from the Kherson region. Through his phone, Denys heard how the occupiers were shooting everyone, including an eighteen-month-old child. On that day, Denys quit his business and decided to devote himself entirely to volunteering. He has been evacuating civilians from the war zone and helping those who have been left behind.

🎥 @holosameryky

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1709154799491461627

Let’s talk about our motivation to fight.
We are fighting on our own land — to protect our loved ones, our way of life, and our right to be free.
We have a question for those who have come to occupy our cities and villages, destroy our homes, torture civilians, slaughter women and children: What exactly are you fighting for?

🎥 @AFUStratCom

Somewhere on a Ukrainian river:

https://twitter.com/DefenceU/status/1709266408113131793

Here’s a new assessment from Tatarigami:

https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1709291611539087368

Here are some recent key updates for the past 7 days:

– Russian military is expected to deploy at least a brigade-sized force with enhanced offensive capabilities in the near future.

– Russian forces made multiple unsuccessful attempts to reclaim positions south of Bakhmut, resulting in significant losses.

– Russians are currently facing challenges with their artillery barrels, but they are actively pursuing solutions to address them.

– Recent Ukrainian forces’ attacks deep into russian territory have necessitated adjustments to russian logistical routes and methods, leading to added challenges.

– Russian command appears to maintain confidence in their ability to defend Tokmak and its surrounding areas.

– At the same time, it continues to struggle with communications and the supply of high-quality communication devices to its units.

And for those trying to kick your Twitter habit:

https://twitter.com/Tatarigami_UA/status/1709301745896092157

Speaking of the Starlink Snowflake, Gin & Tonic was good enough to send the actual response of the Verkhovan Rada we were discussing last night:

https://twitter.com/nexta_tv/status/1708831514551537901

The Ukrainian granaries are open! Ukrainska Pravda has the details:

All three Ukrainian Black Sea ports have reopened to vessels for grain exports, despite Russia’s threats to target ships heading to Ukrainian ports.

Source: Bloomberg

The first 10 vessels have used the corridor that Ukraine established after Russia refused to continue with the grain deal, despite Russia’s threats to sink vessels heading to Ukrainian ports.

It is also reported that international insurance companies have resumed the coverage of insurance risks.

“The passage of ships is a signal that Ukraine’s daring bet to set up its own trade route after the collapse of a safe-corridor agreed with Russia has paid off,” the agency wrote.

Bloomberg said that under the safe corridor agreement, all vessels heading to Ukraine are inspected in Istanbul and their loads consist exclusively of agricultural products.

According to independent Russian media outlet The Moscow Times, the operation of the corridor has largely been made possible thanks to the neutralisation of the Russian Black Sea Fleet, which has been extensively bombarded by the Armed Forces of Ukraine since Russian President Vladimir Putin refused to extend the agreement with the UN and Türkiye on Ukrainian grain exports.

“The Fleet is basically locked in the city of Sevastopol now, and this has made the route in the northwest of the Black Sea, along the coasts of Romania and Bulgaria, safer,” the outlet wrote.

Meanwhile, insurance broker Miller, technology company Clearwater Dynamics and the Ukrainian government reported that they have “joined forces to offer full insurance coverage of all military risks for vessels operating in the Black Sea”.

Thanks to advanced technology from Clearwater Dynamics, all vessels using the corridor that are in Ukrainian ports are now being tracked 24/7 until they leave the high-risk zone.

The new corridor is protected with minefields. The route lies along the coast to the territorial waters of Romania and Bulgaria, which are NATO member states. The previous grain corridor lay directly across the sea to Istanbul, where a joint commission of UN, Turkish and Russian representatives checked vessels delivering Ukrainian grain.

And so is the Baltic grain corridor!

https://twitter.com/maria_avdv/status/1709253697690050788

That’s enough for today.

Your daily Patron!

There’s a new slideshow at Patron’s official TikTok. They don’t embed here, so click across if you want to see it.

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 587: Ukrainian Air Defense!Post + Comments (28)

Ousted (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  October 3, 20234:49 pm| 387 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Sports

I’m not watching the House clown show, but I read that His Kevin was ousted, so I figured y’all need a thread to talk about it. Here it is!

We’re watching the American League Wild Card game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers. Our Rays aren’t doing so well right now (0 – 4). So error prone — something like 4 in 5 innings. Rally cap time.

Open thread.

Ousted (Open Thread)Post + Comments (387)

Secret Speaker (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  October 3, 202312:45 pm| 462 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

WaPo has a fascinating article about the various scenarios that could play out over the next 48 hours as House GOP clowns punch each other in the face repeatedly. Here’s a gift link. I found this part intriguing:

If Gaetz succeeds in ousting McCarthy, the House will enter uncharted territory.

When McCarthy was elected speaker, House rules required him to give a secret list of “speakers-in-waiting” — people who would succeed him temporarily if he ever vacated the speakership.

“There’s a little disagreement amongst Hill procedural experts about how much power that temporary Speaker would actually wield,” Sarah Binder, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution who’s well versed in congressional procedure, wrote in an email to The Post. “Is their power limited to conducting a new speaker election? What if the election deadlocks without electing a new speaker? Is the House really frozen and unable to do business?”

House Democratic leadership thinks a temporary speaker would only have the power to oversee the election of a new speaker and that no other business could take place in the meantime, according to a Democratic leadership aide.

It’s Marge, isn’t it?

Open thread.

ETA: I think it was Napoleon Bonaparte who said, “When your enemies are kicking each other in the junk, do not interrupt them.” (Or something like that.) Good to see that House Democrats are following that good advice!

Secret Speaker (Open Thread)Post + Comments (462)

Schrödinger’s Speaker (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  October 3, 20239:36 am| 237 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Primaries, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity

Last night, Bill and I watched coverage of the dumb and embarrassing antics in the U.S. House. There was a segment where reporters followed Matt Gaetz around the Capitol while he complained about Kevin McCarthy’s deficiencies but declined to commit to filing a motion to vacate the Speaker’s chair.

Bill and I are in the habit of wagering trivial sums when we disagree about a likely outcome, so I bet him a nickel Gaetz would file the motion by Friday. Later that evening, I collected my $0.05.

Like his role model Trump, dominance is Gaetz’s shtick, so he wasn’t going to make all that noise and back down, even if he knows he doesn’t have the juice to oust McCarthy. Josh Marshall at TPM:

That (the motion to vacate) ain’t great for McCarthy. But as we’ve discussed, we can’t see this as only a matter of the motion to vacate and remove McCarthy as Speaker. Without a new Speaker, the House freezes into a sequence of repeated votes like we saw back in January. The hardliners enjoy a very, very small hurdle to oust McCarthy. But to make it stick they must replace him. For that all the dynamics flip on their head. Now they need all but four members to unite around an alternative. That means getting the votes of scores of reps who are furious at Gaetz for forcing this latest crisis in the first place. It means convincing them all to hand him a historic victory.

Marshall says it looks like House Dems aren’t going to freelance, so they’ll follow Hakeem Jeffries’ lead. Meanwhile, McCarthy’s nuts are in a vise no matter what.

Democrats owe McCarthy nothing since he reneged on the deal he made in May during the debt ceiling crisis. So, they aren’t going to help him now for free — or at least, they shouldn’t, IMO.

However, if McCarthy makes concessions to Dems to hang on as speaker, that will further inflame the MAGA dolts. And if he doesn’t bargain with Dems, the MAGA loons can keep kicking him out for not enacting their unpopular agenda, meaning McCarthy’s speakership will be alive and dead at the same time.

***

Speaking of Repubs whose nuts are in a vise, here’s a blasphemous abomination the Defendant posted on his crappy social media platform:

Schrödinger's Speaker (Open Thread)

That’s White Jeebus on the right, not Alexander Skarsgård wearing a wig, fake beard and flowing robes for some reason. I’m kind of surprised Trump liked this drawing so much because it shows his jowls, wattles, wrinkles and multi-dimensional combover components in such stark detail. Maybe the divine association makes the unflattering (but accurate!) representation tolerable.

***

Speaking of assholes and crappy social media platforms, an NBC News article alleges that before Elon Musk bought Twitter outright, he received texts from an unknown sender recommending a post on a far-right blog that is a “playbook” for the platform’s “transformation.”

The blog is run by former Trump speechwriter Darren Beattie, a Stephen Miller hire who was later fired for appearing at an event with notorious white nationalists. In the spring of 2022, Beattie urged Musk to buy the platform, advocating the move on Steve Bannon’s podcast and Tucker Carlson’s Fox News program:

“I really hope that Elon will go ahead with it, that he’s not just another rich guy, that he’s someone who wants to be a great man,” Beattie said April 12, 2022, on Carlson’s show. “There are a variety of mechanisms, but it all cashes out to this: a declaration of war on the regime.”

NBC says Musk has followed the steps outlined in the post pretty closely. As recommended, he rolled out the welcome mat for fascists and Nazi scumbags, released internal communications from the former Twitter management team, disrupted “blue checks” and picked a fight with the Anti-Defamation League.

But if Musk is following that roadmap, maybe he didn’t read to the end, where the author predicted “deplatforming,” i.e., the platform’s removal from app stores. That’s how Parler went tits up. Perhaps Musk crossed out “deplatforming” and wrote in “PROFITS!” Like a gen-you-WINE business genius.

Open thread.

Schrödinger’s Speaker (Open Thread)Post + Comments (237)

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