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You are here: Home / Archives for Past Elections / Election 2018

Election 2018

Voter Suppression: Rights Restoration Edition

by Betty Cracker|  December 14, 201811:40 am| 54 Comments

This post is in: Election 2018, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Assholes

One of the few bright spots in Florida’s 2018 election results was the passage of Amendment 4, the ballot initiative to automatically restore voting rights to ex-felons (excluding those convicted of murder or sex crimes) who complete their sentences. Amendment 4 won in a landslide — nearly 65% voted for it. It brought Florida’s draconian eligibility restrictions in line with the sane states.

The current, Republican-authored system effectively disenfranchises a staggering number of African American citizens, something like one in five, IIRC. Many of those Floridians were convicted long ago on bullshit charges based on racist laws that let white kids off for possession of powered cocaine but threw the book at black kids busted with crack.

The current system requires ex-felons to grovel in front of (Republican) governors and (Republican) cabinet officials for a tiny chance of regaining their rights, and they can’t apply for clemency until five years after they complete all of their sentence, including parole, etc.

It’s a terrible system — even a large portion of the drooling yahoos who voted for Trump recognized that. But regardless of the clear will of the people of Florida, the incoming Republican governor and statehouse Republicans are in no hurry to implement the law:

In an interview with the Palm Beach Post’s George Bennett, Gov.-elect Ron DeSantis said that Amendment 4, which was approved by 64.6 percent (or 5.2 million) of Florida voters, shouldn’t go into effect as intended by the people who wrote the ballot measure.

Instead, DeSantis said the amendment, which would restore voting rights for most ex-felons who have served their sentences, should take effect after state lawmakers pass “implementing language” in a bill that is then sent to him for his signature.

That means at least a two-month delay in restoring voting rights. Conveeeeeeniently, that delay could help Republicans in special elections, like the Tampa mayoral race. And I have a feeling the Republicans will find ways to slow-walk it even more or fuck with the language to their advantage given the opportunity. Here’s a sample of the bad-faith “concerns” statehouse Republicans are raising to delay implementation:

“How do you evaluate eligibility?” [Dennis] Baxley [R-Ocala] told the Times/Herald last week. “I still have some questions … What were the terms of their sentence? Do they have to meet probation? Did they complete their debt to society or not?”

Gee, what a mystery…until you look at the language on the ballot, which Baxley presumably had an opportunity to view as he was voting for himself and fellow Republicans:

This amendment restores the voting rights of Floridians with felony convictions after they complete all terms of their sentence including parole or probation. The amendment would not apply to those convicted of murder or sexual offenses, who would continue to be permanently barred from voting unless the Governor and Cabinet vote to restore their voting rights on a case by case basis.

Any other questions, Baxley, you goddamned nitwit?

Ballot initiatives in Florida are amendments to the state constitution. Initiatives require sponsors to collect more than 750K signatures for the amendment to appear on the ballot, and it must achieve a 60% or higher super-majority to become law. Those are high hurdles, and Amendment 4 cleared them all.

I’m an introvert, and I spent hours accosting strangers on street corners and in parking lots to collect signatures to get Amendment 4 on the ballot, so it pisses me off in a personal way to see these vote-suppressing goobers shit all over the will of the people. This is bullshit.

Voter Suppression: Rights Restoration EditionPost + Comments (54)

Breaking News: Maria Butina Has Reached a Plea Agreement with Federal Prosecutors

by Adam L Silverman|  December 10, 20189:52 pm| 141 Comments

This post is in: 2020 Elections, America, Ammosexuals, Domestic Politics, Election 2016, Election 2018, Foreign Affairs, Gun nuts, gun safety, Open Threads, Politics, Popular Culture, Post-racial America, Silverman on Security, Not Normal

BREAKING: Maria Butina has agreed to plead guilty to conspiracy and cooperate with authorities in any ongoing investigations. https://t.co/669tkWukbf

— Pete Madden (@pamadden) December 10, 2018

Ms. Butina has agreed to plead guilty to conspiracy and cooperate with Federal, state, and local investigations. ABC News has the details (emphasis mine):

Maria Butina, a 30-year-old Russian gun rights activist who stands accused developing a covert influence operation in the United States, has agreed to plead guilty to conspiracy and cooperate with federal, state and local authorities in any ongoing investigations.

She admits, as part of the deal, according to a copy obtained by ABC News that is expected to be filed to the court, that she and an unnamed “U.S. Person 1,” which sources have identified as longtime Republican operative Paul Erickson, with whom she had a multiyear romantic relationship, “agreed and conspired, with a Russian government official (“Russian Official”) and at least one other person, for Butina to act in the United States under the direction of Russian Official without prior notification to the Attorney General.”

Based on the description, the “Russian Official” appears to be Alexander Torshin, deputy governor of the Russian Central Bank and a close ally of Russian President Vladimir Putin. Under his direction, the agreement said, she “sought to establish unofficial lines of communication with Americans having power and influence over U.S. politics.”

The agreement, which Butina signed on Saturday, Dec. 8, also notes that the conspiracy charge carries a maximum penalty of up to five years in prison, but the deal could see Butina receive a lesser sentence, depending on the level of her cooperation, before likely being deported back to Russia.

It is unclear what Butina’s cooperation might entail, but federal prosecutors have reportedly notified Erickson that he is a target of an ongoing investigation. The target letter sent to Erickson is from federal prosecutors in Washington, sources familiar with the case told ABC News, and separate from any South Dakota-based federal fraud investigation into his business dealings that has been the subject of earlier media reports.

But now, according to the agreement, Butina has acknowledged that with U.S. Person 1’s assistance, she drafted a proposal called “Description of the Diplomacy Project” in March of 2015 which was later sent to the Russian Official, in which she said that she had already “laid the groundwork for an unofficial channel of communication with the next U.S. administration” and requested $125,000 from a Russian billionaire to attend conferences and meetings to further develop those ties. The Russian Official, the agreement said, confirmed that her proposal would be at least partially supported.

The government has alleged that U.S. Person 1 “worked with Butina to arrange introductions to U.S. persons having influence in American politics,” including high-ranking members of the National Rifle Association and organizers of the National Prayer Breakfast, that would ultimately give her a surprising level of access to conservative politicians, including — in one memorable interaction captured on video— to then-candidate Donald Trump.

Most notably, Butina’s Russian gun rights group “Right to Bear Arms” hosted a delegation of former NRA presidents, board members and major donors in Moscow in 2015, where she appears to have succeeded in arranging a meeting between NRA insiders and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov, raising the prospect of a discussion between conservative political operatives and a powerful member of Russian President Putin’s inner circle in the midst of a presidential campaign.

After that now infamous meeting, the agreement said, Butina sent the Russian Official a message, which was translated as saying “We should let them express their gratitude now, we will put pressure on them quietly later.”

Much more at the link!

While we’ve covered Ms. Butina’s endeavors here before, one of the most interesting items in ABC’s report is that the plea deal was reached this past Saturday. There are also some non-surprises here. That US Individual is Paul Erickson who, apparently, is not very bright! And given the attempts to run a petroleum sale using funding partial raised by former NRA President David Keene’s wife, as well as her ability to get access to Governor Scott Walker, former Senator Rick Santorum, Donald Trump Jr, former sheriff and flair aficionado David Clarke, and a number of other high level Republican elected and appointed officials, as well as conservative activists, there could be multiple Federal, state, and local targets of this investigation.

Wow:

“How to respond to an FSB offer of employment” was on a piece of paper found in GOP operative Paul Erickson’s home

Russian FSB
=
Post-Soviet successor to KGB

?https://t.co/IEVQEbBRWX pic.twitter.com/Ic3nf6snRt

— Leah McElrath ?️‍? (@leahmcelrath) December 11, 2018

And, of course, that the Russian official is Alexander Torshin and oligarch and leader within Russian organized crime circles who is close to Putin. Depending on how this proceeds, keep an eye out to see if Torshin suffers an accidental death that will clearly be anything but accidental.

What we don’t know right now is exactly what Butina is going to provide to the Federal prosecutors, as well as state and local investigators. Some of it will likely deal with Russian attempts to penetrate the NRA, the National Prayer Breakfast, and related groups and organizations in an attempt to influence the Republican Party, Republican elected officials, and the outcome of the 2016 election.

Just to be thorough, I did a quick search of the top firearms/guns/2nd Amendment sites and there’s no mention of this at all.

Always make sure to identify your target and know what’s beyond it!

Open thread!

Breaking News: Maria Butina Has Reached a Plea Agreement with Federal ProsecutorsPost + Comments (141)

Late Night Repub Clown Car Open Thread: Floriduh Men

by Anne Laurie|  December 8, 20181:10 am| 35 Comments

This post is in: 2020 Elections, Election 2018, Hail to the Hairpiece, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Assholes, Clown car

In the dictionary under schmuck it says "see @CLewandowski_" https://t.co/BkxG17bp6X

— Reed Galen (@reedgalen) December 6, 2018

To be fair (to be ecumenically unfair), while the confrontation concerned Florida politics, Lewandowski is a Masshole native who chose to become a Granite Header. And, IMO, further evidence of why New Hampshire should lose its front-runner primary status, because that state just encourages two-bit bullies like Lewandowski…

MIAMI — It was supposed to be a friendly introduction between Republicans at the Trump International Hotel in Washington on Wednesday night, when the president’s former campaign manager and the Republican leader of the Florida Senate met.

But, witnesses say, the impromptu meeting between Corey Lewandowski, Florida Senate President Bill Galvano and Florida state Sen. Jeff Brandes unexpectedly morphed into a hostile debate over a question that encapsulates today’s GOP politics: How much credit should Donald Trump get for GOP successes?…

Three others who witnessed the contretemps and two others who had spoken to the senators also confirmed the surprising public disagreement and relayed the events to POLITICO. All described Lewandowski as needlessly confrontational and disrespectful to the senators who were caught off guard by the former campaign manager, now a reliable cable news defender and promoter of his former boss. The witnesses and confidants of the senators spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss the sensitive moment.

With Trump laser focused on winning his second home state of Florida for the second time, the disagreement may foreshadow debates to come for Republicans in the nation’s largest swing state heading into the 2020 cycle.…

“Donald Trump saved Florida, from the top to the bottom of the ticket,” Lewandowski said, according to one witness whose account was confirmed by a second.

Galvano, who was in charge of running GOP campaigns for the Florida Senate in the last election cycle, reportedly agreed that Trump deserved credit but added, said another witness, that the Florida Republican Senatorial Campaign Committee he led and the various GOP candidates and committees spent a record $44 million on their campaigns across the state, thereby driving GOP turnout that helped in the top-of-the-ticket races.

“There were lots of efforts put forward,” Galvano said, according to a witness…

Violence solves nothing, she said piously, but I kinda look forward Lewandowski throwing the first punch at the wrong person…

New cartoon from America’s single finest political cartoonist, Jeff Danziger:

(Jeff Danziger via GoComics.com)
.

Late Night Repub Clown Car Open Thread: Floriduh MenPost + Comments (35)

Slogans to text is a big jump: New York Single Payer Edition

by David Anderson|  December 6, 201810:26 am| 137 Comments

This post is in: 2020 Elections, Anderson On Health Insurance, Election 2018

New York will have a solid Democratic trifecta in 2019. The New York State Senate will have a 39-24 Democratic majority. This means any Democratic only bill can lose 7 votes or 18% of the Democratic Senate caucus and still maintain a minimal viable winning coalition. The New York House will have a 106-44 majority. Any Democrat only bill can lose 29% of the Democratic Assembly Caucus and still maintain a minimal viable coalition. As a reminder Senate Majority Leader had an effective 0% margin and Speaker Pelosi had a 14% margin within her caucus to pass the ACA.

Politico reports that one of the major bills that is being debated and prepped for a 2019 introduction is New York state single payer. It is a bill that is splitting the caucus as major internal interest groups are at loggerheads.

While public-sector unions in New York City have voiced concerns over the bill’s potential to curtail their generous health benefits, which POLITICO first reported last week, two leading health care unions are among those continuing to back the legislation….

The Municipal Labor Committee, an umbrella group of New York City unions, recently met with the bill’s sponsors — Assemblyman Dick Gottfried (D-Manhattan) and state Sen. Gustavo Rivera (D-Bronx) — in the Lower Manhattan offices of District Council 37 to express their concerns.

They worry they will lose the option to select virtually full coverage because of a provision in the legislation that passes a fraction of a proposed payroll tax onto employees. They are also concerned about losing union-controlled “welfare funds” to which the city contributes about $1,500 per member. Those accounts pay for a variety of expenses, including prescription drugs, eyeglasses and hearing aids.

The biggest challenge for national single payer is that it is massively disruptive. People who have good to very good benefits right now and who make significantly more than median income (ie high propensity voters) are going to be incredibly disrupted in the short term even if they are promised that they will be better off in the long term. The union fight in New York state is a good exemplar of how the political coalitions can be fractured.

The biggest challenge at the state level is two parts of the same problem:

  • How does this get paid for
    • How does this work in a 2008-2010 scenario?
  • How do the waivers that are not yet legal get approved by the Feds

The bill would cost an estimated $139 billion in new tax revenue each year, making its fate especially uncertain in the hands of a governor who has been reticent to raise taxes. Sponsors have argued that the price tag is misleading because the taxes displace money already being paid in co-pays and premiums…

A state-level plan would need an unprecedented federal waiver to allow for federal Medicaid, Medicare and Obamacare funds to be redirected into the new system, among other complications….

Single payer is a good slogan. Figuring out the nuts and bolts of how to implement this slogan into policy is an extraordinarily difficult political and policy act.

Is the challenge and pain worthwhile?

If the goal is to eliminate insurance companies it may be; if the goal is to make sure there is universal coverage that is good and affordable then other methods may be superior.

Slogans to text is a big jump: New York Single Payer EditionPost + Comments (137)

NC-09 Update

by David Anderson|  December 5, 20188:14 pm| 38 Comments

This post is in: Election 2018, Goddamned Traitors, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, Are these Nazis Walter?, Blatant Liars and the Lies They Tell, Fucked-up-edness, Get Mad You Sons Of Bitches, Good News For Conservatives

People will be going to jail for this:

NC-9 scandal: More than a thousand absentee ballots possibly destroyed https://t.co/PDoeOEL1q2 @DrewGriffinCNN reports @TheLeadCNN

— Jake Tapper (@jaketapper) December 6, 2018

"The case for election fraud [in North Carolina] appears to be strong … it's a slew of evidence."

*Signed voter affidavits
*Ballot harvester admission
*History of shady activity
*Weird absentee vote pattern
*Absentee partisanship makes no sensehttps://t.co/S7PgP9SOC8

— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) December 5, 2018

Reminder, as Flynn will testify, the first enthusiastic and accurate flipper can get a damn good deal.

Open thread.

NC-09 UpdatePost + Comments (38)

Saturday Morning Open Thread: It’s Good to Be A Democrat

by Anne Laurie|  December 1, 20186:12 am| 239 Comments

This post is in: Don't Agonize - Organize, Election 2018, NANCY SMASH!, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!

.@HouseDemocrats’ newly-elected leadership team is ready to fight #ForThePeople in the 116th Congress! pic.twitter.com/uri1dz9khw

— Nancy Pelosi (@NancyPelosi) November 30, 2018

We fight the *good* fights!

I stan for Madame Speaker FORVER. https://t.co/JPyHdPCxu9

— Ragnarok Lobster (@eclecticbrotha) December 1, 2018

I'm honored to serve in this role and look forward to working closely with members of our Midwest region to make sure Kansas priorities are front and center in the Democratic Caucus. https://t.co/YqGKb1hIES

— Sharice Davids (@sharicedavids) November 30, 2018

Might be a 41 seat gain for Dems in the House.

I want to go find all those silly people who wrote the "Blue wave fizzles, with only a 27-seat gain" insta-takes before the votes were counted, and follow them around laughing at them and playing a tuba. https://t.co/5ygrpMiPM8

— Noah Smith (@Noahpinion) December 1, 2018

Even when they’re not the easy fights…

Cool. Mike Espy would continue to be an underdog against Cindy Hyde-Smith, but he should go for it. https://t.co/WGJkjiInbm

— Eric Kleefeld (@EricKleefeld) November 30, 2018

show full post on front page

This is exactly why we should require candidates to release their tax returns when running for federal office, and prevent Presidents from owning business empires on the side. My bill to #EndCorruptionNow would do both. https://t.co/IOnB9zehDl

— Elizabeth Warren (@SenWarren) November 30, 2018

After all, it’s not as though the Repubs will go away easily…

BREAKING: The Robert Mueller Protection bill now has enough votes to pass the Senate & move to the House, according to Jeff Flake just moments ago

The problem is Mitch McConnell refuses to allow them to vote.

I seldom use the word hate about a person, but I'm getting very close

— Brian Krassenstein (@krassenstein) November 30, 2018

REMINDER: Mitch McConnell blocked a bipartisan statement that would have informed America of the FBI investigation into Trump BEFORE THE ELECTION, and he’s now blocking a bill to protect Mueller

— Treason Stickers (@treasonstickers) November 29, 2018

What Trump says: If Democrats play tough I will declassify “devastating documents.”

What he means: If Democrats do legitimate oversight I will burn sources and allies by selectively declassifying info so my legal team can misrepresent it to the public.

Why he’s doing it: Fear.

— Adam Schiff (@RepAdamSchiff) November 29, 2018

BUT LOOK AT WHAT THEY’RE PROTECTING…

Washington Post breaks the internet with the “Fragile masculinity hypothesis"

Looking at regions by what they search for: erectile dysfunction, hair loss, penis enlargement, penis size, steroids, testosterone + Viagra; Then overlaid with voting patterns.https://t.co/ZkBm5D6dQU pic.twitter.com/1Bo4k4oE56

— Barry Ritholtz (@ritholtz) November 29, 2018


Donny Dollhands: King of the Frailly Masculine!

Saturday Morning Open Thread: It’s Good to Be A DemocratPost + Comments (239)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Dems Give Repub ‘Homebody’ Nightmares

by Anne Laurie|  November 29, 20185:49 am| 158 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Election 2018, Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, Good News For Conservatives

BREAKING: With today's final victory in #CA21, Democrats officially close out the 2018 Midterms with an incredible 4??0?? House seats gained!

Let this be a message to every Republican: If you come for Americans' livelihoods, we WILL come for your seats. pic.twitter.com/jR1wKwVIPI

— DCCC (@dccc) November 28, 2018

It's official: Trump helped the Republican party lose an astounding 40 seats in the House https://t.co/mCSmPObhUw

— Mark Follman (@markfollman) November 28, 2018

New Democratic members of Congress on the left, new Republican members of Congress on the right. Spot the demographic trends. https://t.co/QBYRrMI1PN pic.twitter.com/DVtF1E53Zl

— laura olin (@lauraolin) November 28, 2018

Another way of looking at it: in January, House Dems will represent:

79% of all Asians
72% of all Latinos
66% of all African-Americans
66% of all Clinton voters
60% of all college grads
54% of all House seats
45% of all whites
39% of all Trump voters
20% of America's land area

— Dave Wasserman (@Redistrict) November 27, 2018

Trump departs Thursday for the G-20 summit in Argentina, where the homebody commander in chief will spend just 48 hours on the ground yet pack in eight high-level meetings with foreign leaders. https://t.co/ZfjU5jQAyY

— AP Politics (@AP_Politics) November 29, 2018


I’d say he was angling for an asylum deal, anywhere, but the Oval Office Occupant is too vain to admit he might be in trouble — even if he’s smart enough to understand this isn’t the kind of buy-his-way-out trouble he’s used to as a corrupt NYC real estate developer.

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Dems Give Repub ‘Homebody’ NightmaresPost + Comments (158)

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