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You are here: Home / Archives for Politics / Republicans in Disarray!

Republicans in Disarray!

Clown Shoes Open Thread: Maine Gov. LePetomane LePage Lets Out Dog Whistle Siren

by Anne Laurie|  January 7, 20169:22 pm| 102 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Post-racial America, Republican Venality, Republicans in Disarray!, The War on Your Neighbor, aka the War on Drugs, Assholes

Via commentor LAMH. Report from Maine’s Portland Press Herald:

… About 30 minutes into the meeting, which was rebroadcast Thursday night,[Gov. Paul] LePage responded to a question about how he was tackling substance abuse in Maine. He began talking about how much of the heroin is coming into Maine from out-of-state drug dealers.

“These are guys with the name D-Money, Smoothie, Shifty … these types of guys … they come from Connecticut and New York, they come up here, they sell their heroin, they go back home,” LePage told the crowd. “Incidentally, half the time they impregnate a young, white girl before they leave, which is a real sad thing because then we have another issue we have to deal with down the road.”

Peter Steele, the governor’s communication director, said in a written statement Thursday night that LePage’s remarks were not about race, but about the emotional toll drugs have on children.

“The governor is not making comments about race. Race is irrelevant,” Steele said. “What is relevant is the cost to state taxpayers for welfare and the emotional costs for these kids who are born as a result of involvement with drug traffickers. His heart goes out to these kids because he had a difficult childhood, too. We need to stop the drug traffickers from coming into our state.”

Steele, who rarely answers telephone calls from reporters and insists on email communications, did not respond to an email requesting an interview with LePage; nor did he respond to an email follow-up question to his statement.

Phil Bartlett, chairman of the Maine Democratic Party, said in an interview that the comments “at best were coded racism,” designed to divide Maine people. He said the comment fits into a national narrative being expounded by Republicans, who are increasingly using “pretty overt racist language and imagery rather than talking about the merits of public policy.”

“It’s outrageous,” Bartlett said. “Everybody should be denouncing his comments and what they’re intended to provoke. I would call upon all Republicans to stand up and say this is wrong and it’s not acceptable in our public discourse. It’s simply indefensible.”

Lance Dutson, a Republican operative who runs the Get Right Maine website, which seeks to restore a more moderate brand of Republicanism in Maine, described the remark in a blog post as “one of the most offensive statements yet from this Governor.”

Jason Savage, executive director of the Maine Republican Party, refused to comment on the governor’s remarks, instead he took aim at Dutson. “We don’t respond to attacks from disgruntled former staffers,” Savage said…

Additional Repubs in Disarray! details at the link. With all due respect, Mr. Dutson — if I were you, I’d switch my registration before these guys devolve to actual cannibalism.

Clown Shoes Open Thread: Maine Gov. <del>LePetomane</del> LePage Lets Out Dog <del>Whistle</del> SirenPost + Comments (102)

Monday Evening Open Thread: Pointing, Mocking…

by Anne Laurie|  January 4, 20165:46 pm| 168 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Hail to the Hairpiece, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Republicans in Disarray!, Ever Get The Feeling You've Been Cheated?

Jim Newell, at Slate, inserts tongue firmly in cheek — “What If Republican Voters Don’t Value Seriousness Anymore?”:

Republican presidential candidates and their super PACs have begun 2016 by appealing to the primary electorate’s sobriety, despite scant evidence of its existence. Various candidates, with the key exception of Donald Trump, are offering a message of serious leadership, a trait either that too many candidates possess for voters to decide among them or one about which few voters care. The message serves as both a lament over the decidedly unserious nature of the 2015 leg and a hope for a better stretch in 2016: Either voters will come around to valuing seriousness as voting nears, or Trump will be the Republican presidential candidate….

Former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, like Santorum, is a previous winner of the Iowa caucuses. And Huckabee, like Santorum, is losing pitifully this year as novice candidates like Cruz and Ben Carson suck up Iowa’s social conservative vote. “This has been, of all the election cycles I’ve been involved in, this has been one of the most bewildering,” Huckabee, per the Des Moines Register, said at a Sunday event, “because it’s almost as if the more experience, the more preparation one has had for this job, it’s almost like it’s a detriment than it is an asset.”

Huckabee should feel especially offended, since he has experience as both a longtime governor and a conservative entertainment personality who’s constantly spouting off attention-grabbing nonsense. But his venting of frustration at the oddness of this cycle harkens back to New York magazine’s Jonathan Chait’s description of the process in September, after Wisconsin Gov. Scott Walker dropped out: “The Republican presidential race has appeared to take the form of a kind of reverse meritocracy, in which the candidates with real political accomplishments (Walker and, before him, former Texas governor Rick Perry) are driven out, and novices with strong television skills rise to the top.” This remains the dynamic of the race…

The immediate rebuttal, of course: Serious? These guys are friggin’ terminal! But then again, isn’t this the predictable outcome of every Repub campaign since at least Dubya scraped into office with the help of his old man’s SCOTUS appointees? They’ve happily assured their voters that all those complicated consensus-reality issues are not really important (“We create our own reality”), not like performing the proper ritual obeisances to Heartland America God’s Gift Mightiest Military World Leadership FREEDUMB!!! As a result, the (remaining) Republican voter base doesn’t care about “serious” leadership — they want to vote for the loudest, glossiest, most posturing Cheerleader-in-Chief. And gods know, there’s not one GOP candidate this year who isn’t trying to give them just exactly that!
***********
Apart from the usual P&M, what’s on the agenda for the evening?

Monday Evening Open Thread: Pointing, Mocking…Post + Comments (168)

Saturday Morning Cartoons Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  January 2, 20166:30 am| 91 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Enhanced Protest Techniques, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!

"In many states, [GOP] candidates don’t get to choose who their delegates are.” https://t.co/5V7xEvdc2K

— David Frum (@davidfrum) December 29, 2015

In other words: it’s very possible that Trump could arrive at Cleveland in far first place -and still see nomination taken away from him

— David Frum (@davidfrum) December 29, 2015

@davidfrum And he & his supporters would burn that convention to the ground. It would destroy the GOP.

— Steven (@leftofjuniper) December 29, 2015

It was such a beautiful prospect, for us chaos muppets, but the New Yorker‘s Ryan Lizza says it’s not gonna happen:

In the Wall Street Journal, on Monday, Benjamin Ginsberg, a longtime Republican Party lawyer who is most famous for the role he played as the Bush campaign’s legal counsel during the 2000 Florida recount, caused a stir in political circles. In a piece called “Flirting With a Chaotic GOP Convention,” Ginsberg argued that Republican leaders need to take seriously the idea that there might not be a candidate who has secured more than half of the 2,472 delegates needed to win the Party’s nomination when Republicans meet at their convention, in Cleveland, next July…

… In the media, this situation is often referred to as a “brokered convention”—but that’s a misnomer, because there are no convention brokers. That job doesn’t exist anymore. When it was normal for convention delegates to gather and decide on their party’s nominee, brokers—state party leaders, labor or other interest-group bosses—acted as managers of blocs of delegates. These days, nobody even knows who the delegates are, much less exercise any control over them. The more precise term for a situation in which the nominee isn’t clear after the primaries is a “contested convention.”

How likely is a contested convention? Not very. In fact, it may be infinitesimal…

It’s hard to see now, but the large field of Republican candidates will almost certainly be winnowed down to three or four contenders after the voting happens in the first three states—Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina. The G.O.P. field has already been gradually compressing, as candidates who have found little support in the polls, or from donors and party insiders, have dropped out of the race… In previous cycles in which contested conventions were predicted, the dynamic of winnowing eventually produced a two-person race and then a clear winner. If Donald Trump is one of those two candidates this time, there will be enormous pressure on the Republican Party establishment to consolidate its support for one of his rivals, and the others will be driven from the race. Aside from Trump’s rise, the oddest thing about the 2016 race is that the G.O.P. establishment has been slow to pick an alternative. Usually this happens in the year before the election. But this time, it seems likely that it will take a few caucuses and primaries to offer some clarity before the Party decides on its mainstream choice. Avoiding a potentially disastrous contested convention will serve as an added incentive for the Republicans to rally around a single candidate…

For all the 2014 braggadocio about the GOP’s “deep bench”, what seems to have happened is that every candidate on offer had such shallow support that a whole bunch of second- (third-, fourth-) stringers weren’t discouraged from jumping into the competition face-first. Sure, by every rule of “normal” politics, it’ll be down to three or four candidates after March 1st, if not sooner — but “normal” hasn’t been a big factor in this cycle’s GOP competition, so far.
***********
Apart from wishing (further) confusion to our enemies, what’s on the agenda for the day?

Saturday Morning Cartoons Open ThreadPost + Comments (91)

Late Night Jagoffs Open Thread: Repubs Step on Their Own… Meme, Again

by Anne Laurie|  January 2, 20161:40 am| 28 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Marco Polo Rubio 2016, Open Threads, Republican Venality, Republicans in Disarray!, Assholes

Remember when all Democrats were instructed to quake with terror because the incredibly deft and well-prepared prosecutor Trey Gowdy was taking over the latest incarnation of the endless Benghazi committee? Remember how all the Very Serious People tsk-tsked the wild men on the GOP side who couldn’t stop running their yaps to keep up the pretense that Gowdy’s was a totally impartial not-at-all-focused-on-HRClinton team? Yeah, well, Rep. Trey’s decided staying in the primary loop is more important than holding on to that increasingly transparent figleaf, per Politico:

White House hopeful Marco Rubio snagged a big-name endorsement this week from Trey Gowdy, the popular South Carolina congressman leading the House investigation of the Benghazi attack.

But the boost for Rubio could mean trouble for Gowdy back in Washington. Democrats are already pouncing, saying it shows Gowdy is not the politically disinterested inquisitor he’s portrayed himself to be throughout his months-long look into the 2012 attack, an investigation that’s scrutinized Hillary Clinton’s actions as secretary of state.

“We knew Trey Gowdy was abusing his power as chair of the Benghazi Committee to attack Hillary Clinton. What’s now clear is that he was doing so in order to help Marco Rubio run for president,” Rep. Steve Israel (D-N.Y.), former head of House Democrats’ campaign arm, said in a statement to POLITICO. “His actions in Congress and on the campaign trail are nothing more than to further his partisan political agenda.”

Gowdy, a former federal prosecutor, has maintained for months that he’s running a fair and impartial investigation that has nothing to do with politics. He abstained from some campaign events and fundraisers, and distanced himself from political comments made by fellow Republicans about his probe — largely out of concern that it could tarnish the Benghazi investigation’s integrity and give Democrats fodder to argue that it’s a partisan witch hunt.

Those efforts, he and his allies have acknowledged, didn’t protect him from accusations of partisanship and attacks from the left on his panel’s credibility. The complaints reached a crescendo in the weeks leading up to Clinton’s marathon appearance before his panel in October.

Now he appears to be casting aside that caution, plunging into the 2016 campaign. A Gowdy spokesperson noted that the lawmaker still refuses to campaign on the topic of Benghazi and argued he is keeping the two issues separate…

Gowdy’s embrace of Rubio, which included a formal endorsement during a two-day swing through Iowa this week, comes as the Benghazi committee is winding down its work. The panel is slated in the next few months to release its final report on the attacks in which four Americans were killed…

My own suspicion, given the timing here: Conventional wisdom, at this point in time, is that Ted Cruz is now expected to win in Iowa, and one of the four “Establishment” candidates (Rubio, Bush, Christie or Kasich) is supposed to consolidate enough support to win in New Hampshire (or at least come in a strong second behind wild man card Donald Trump). If none of the Favored Four can pull ahead in NH, then the South Carolina primary (Feb. 20) becomes that much more important to winnow out a “permanent party” candidate to stand against Talivangelical Ted — and, of course, The Donald. That’s why Lindsay Graham dropped out when he did, so that his SC supporters could switch to one of the Favored Four well in advance of primary day. And Rep. Gowdy is said to be a Big Man in SC politics; presumably, getting his endorsement out as soon as possible (even before Iowa, just in case the caucus voters don’t like Ted Cruz any better than every other human who’s spent more than an hour in his company) has become more important in the GOP Long Con than the never-very-convincing pretense of “impartiality” around his Benghazi investigation.

Which is good news for us Democrats, I’m thinking: It means the Repubs have given up on using Benghazi as a weapon against HRClinton for the nonpartisan (low information) voting bloc. It’s still a pious incantation among the faithful, like saying pater-nosters against the monsters under the bed… but they don’t expect any ‘new revelations’ to convince the unbelievers.

Late Night Jagoffs Open Thread: Repubs Step on Their Own… Meme, AgainPost + Comments (28)

Open Thread: “The Year the Trump Laughter Died”

by Anne Laurie|  January 1, 20169:21 pm| 157 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Hail to the Hairpiece, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Republicans in Disarray!, Assholes

.@realDonaldTrump says he hopes that next New Year's Eve, he's in the White House https://t.co/yNjr6FZFWK pic.twitter.com/ovSqLME4VJ

— CNN Politics (@CNNPolitics) January 1, 2016

Trump continues to prove he's not all that cognizant of the Constitution. https://t.co/UMAi3MsPig

— emptywheel (@emptywheel) January 1, 2016

Matt Taibbi, in Rolling Stone:

… Trump seemed like a perfect foil in particular for Jeb Bush, a hesitating, gelatinous aristocrat who lacked the cocksure brainlessness the previous Bush used to sell himself as a “regular guy.” In an era when Republican voters were more distrustful than ever of the Same Old Politics, stiff, birthright-bearing Jeb was exactly the wrong candidate for the party elders to back.

And they seemed to realize it, too. Once the Republican race got going, the party appeared too disorganized and fractured to throw its institutional weight behind anyone. This left a comically enormous cast of hopefuls to duke it out in the equivalent of a schoolyard rock fight. And without the gravitas of party and media support, the candidates on the Republican side turned out to be just a bunch of chattering, defenseless, fourth-rate flesh-bags, exquisitely vulnerable to any strong personality. The entrance of Trump into the race on June 16th therefore offered the potential of an entertaining car wreck of awesome proportions…

The ancient report that he used to keep a book of Hitler’s speeches by his bedside notwithstanding, it’s very likely that Donald Trump never in his life thought seriously about things like nativism, fascism, eugenics, or any kind of ideology at all. This was not someone who likely ever dreamed of cattle cars and rivers of blood. Trump is a narcissist, not a demagogue; his pathology is himself, not politics… But shortly after Trump jumped into the race, he stumbled onto a secret: whenever he blurted out forbidden thoughts about race, ethnicity or gender, he was showered with the attention he always craved.

It was a bizarre marriage, but it made sense from from a clinical point of view. Attention is attention. Patient with narcissistic personality disorder discovers massive source of narcissistic supply, so he sets about securing its regular delivery…

Trump made the Republican field look weak by blurting straight-out what they would only say in code (Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and Chris Christie all parroted Romney’s pathetic “free stuff” line this year, for instance). This part of Trump’s act has to thrill Democrats, since he’s stealing away from Republicans the illusion of centrism. Future Republican nominees will have a tough time remembering how in the world George W. Bush ever won 44% of the Hispanic vote, as he did in 2004.

But Trump’s act isn’t all about race. He’s also scoring points by mining the same mainstream frustrations over language-policing and political correctness that made Sam Kinison and Andrew Dice Clay famous…

All comedy is about misunderstandings. A little town gets word that a government inspector is coming, so it mistakenly rolls out the red carpet for a visiting drunk on a gambling spree.

2015 was the same kind of mistaken-identity tale. The Silent Majority has been waiting 50 years for a prophet, but this year it settled for a billionaire loudmouth with a comb-over and a personality disorder. Like all comedies, this one is bound to end with an explosion of unintended consequences. What we won’t know until 2016 is whether this joke will end up being on all of us — or just those of us who waited too long to take Trump’s accidental war seriously.

Open Thread: “The Year the Trump Laughter Died”Post + Comments (157)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: CLAANNNNNNG

by Anne Laurie|  December 31, 20155:53 am| 170 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Good News For Conservatives, Jump! You Fuckers!

ballard acappella racoon cymbals

(Ballard Street via GoComics.com)
.

That raccoon is my spirit animal for the new year.

The “whites under 40” line here is the big deal, imho. https://t.co/nPNImuFWLw

— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) December 30, 2015

ANALYSIS: GOP efforts to draw a more diverse voter base have failed. pic.twitter.com/S7WGBgfWRd

— Ryan Teague Beckwith (@ryanbeckwith) December 30, 2015

***********
What’s on the agenda for the day and/or Amateur Night New Year’s Eve?

Thursday Morning Open Thread: CLAANNNNNNGPost + Comments (170)

Winnowing the GOP Race from Within — Part the First

by Anne Laurie|  December 30, 201511:31 pm| 99 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Excellent Links, KULCHA!, Republican Stupidity, Republicans in Disarray!

Many thanks to Batocchio at his Vagabond Scholar blog, for introducing me to Doctor Cleveland’s “Winnowing the GOP Field with Jane Austen” (first published in September):

… In Pride and Prejudice, Mr and Mrs Bennet have imprudently had a family of five daughters and no sons. Since there’s no son, Mr Bennet’s estate is going to distant relatives when he dies, leaving his widow and five daughters in poverty. The five girls’ only hope is to marry well. But since there are five of them, there is the real danger that they will crowd each other out so that none of them gets married. Other characters ask why the Bennets have allowed all five daughters out “into society,” meaning the marriage market, at once instead of letting one daughter out at a time, so that Daughter Number Two wouldn’t start going to balls until Daughter Number One was married. The Bennets take a laissez-faire approach which hopes that all five girls can find husbands; the neighbors fear a Tragedy of the Commons in which the glut of Bennet sisters on the marriage market keeps any of them from being married.

Neither scenario is correct. Three sisters get married, two do not, and the two who do not are never in even the remotest danger of a marriage proposal. The Bennet sisters offer three, rather than five, real choices for potential suitors. Two of the five sisters are eliminated from consideration by the Pareto principle, which says that any option which comes behind another in all criteria being considered is thereby eliminated from consideration: “Pareto dominated,” as they like to say at 538…

Doctor Cleveland’s analysis of the Bennet sisters and their society is charming (you should go read the whole thing). But it’s his Pareto ranking of the GOP candidates, as of September, that I want to discuss:

… Now, our crowd of Republican candidates likewise represents a number of significant alternatives, each with its own sector of the decision space, and a number of also-rans who are basically ruled out. The candidates are competing on different strengths, most obviously on their conservatism and their electability, but there are other characteristics that resonate with Republican primary voters; the exact list is up for debate…

… Huckabee and Santorum are both running as not-very-electable champions of Christian conservatives. But Huckabee is both more appealing to Christian conservatives and more electable than Santorum is (meaning not so very electable, but not as hopeless as Santorum). This leaves Santorum no air to breathe at all…

Where we are really not seeing much competition is in the Electability sweepstakes, with the candidates whose basic appeal is that they can win in the general election. Right now the primary voters don’t seem interested in electability at all… As I’ve argued before, the most surprising thing is not how well Trump is doing but how poorly Jeb Bush, the presumptive electable alternative, is doing. And no one has yet emerged as the main electable candidate, the way Mitt Romney emerged last time around. The 2012 Republican primaries featured one main Electable Option, Romney, and a bunch of competitors for the role of Uncompromising Conservative. This time we have a clear Uncompromising Outsider, pretty much safe from challenge on his native turf, and no solid Electable Mainstream Option. In 2012, no Republican could hold onto the Lydia Bennet role for more than a week or two. This time, no Republican has seized the Elizabeth Bennet role for even a week…

Where I would expect to see movement in the Republican campaign is on the mainstream, electable side. Trump cannot be beaten at Trump’s game. Candidates like Cruz or Rand Paul are going nowhere this year… But someone could conceivably take over the mainstream/establishment/viable-in-a-general-election role that Jeb Bush hasn’t managed to keep or win…

In the comments, at the time, Doctor Cleveland would add:

… Trump (and Carson) have set Cruz’s ceiling of support already. Cruz’s appeal is that he’s against the entirely liberal status quo, and especially against Obama. He can’t match Trump on that issue. Trump is actually a birther. He’s the only candidate who’s publicly gone on record saying that Barack Obama is not from this country. That is very, very salient for a big batch of Republican voters, and that Cruz is a more orthodox Tea Partier (what an oxymoron!) won’t be enough… Cruz’s hope this year was to be the Hardcore Opposition Guy. That is his role in the Republican Party: the insurgent ideologue who challenges the party leadership. He is running as the Keeper of the Pure Conservative Flame. But the outsider/challenger role is taken this year, so that Cruz is really stuck in the mud, unless Trump collapses and the primaries revert to the 2012 Freak-of-the-Week pattern, with rotating outsiders taking short turns as “front-runner.”…

Ted Cruz, or the people behind Ted Cruz, turned out to be craftier than that. Three months later, Trump has solidified his role as the “Burn It All Down” candidate — he’s not really a GOP candidate any more, just a free-floating freelance Anger Translator who’s using the Repub label and facilities because doing so proved far easier than starting his own party from scratch. He’ll run as the GOP candidate if he (improbably) beats out his remaining competitors (and doesn’t get distracted/indicted before the Cleveland convention). But if he and his more devoted acolytes aren’t given the respect to which they feel entitled, he’ll just as happily run as an independent; he’d run as a Democrat, if for once we weren’t the more organized, self-protecting party.

And Cruz has moved very efficiently into position as the top “Insurgent” not-Establishment TeaParty/religious conservative candidate. While Rubio, Bush, Christie, and Kasich stumble around trying to win as the Good Son for the permanent Republican apparatus, Talibangelical Ted has swooped in to consolidate his position as the perfect figurehead for all the social conservatives in Iowa, the South, and the Midwest. He’s effectively eliminating any chance for Carson, Huckabee, or Rick (“It’s His Turn!”) Santorum to move the publicly pious primary voters and donors towards their rapidly fading campaigns. (Rubio was sending out feelers towards these folks, but now he’s got a solid backup going, as the reliable Microsoft permanent-party candidate to Cruz’s artsy-fartsy Apple schtick.)…

(To be continued)

Winnowing the GOP Race from Within — Part the FirstPost + Comments (99)

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