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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

White supremacy is terrorism.

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

Well, whatever it is, it’s better than being a Republican.

Hey Washington Post, “Democracy Dies in Darkness” is supposed to be a warning, not a mission statement.

Fuck these fucking interesting times.

It is possible to do the right thing without the promise of a cookie.

“That’s what the insurrection act is for!”

We are aware of all internet traditions.

Teach a man to fish, and he’ll sit in a boat all day drinking beer.

Fuck the extremist election deniers. What’s money for if not for keeping them out of office?

I know this must be bad for Joe Biden, I just don’t know how.

Glad to see john eastman going through some things.

Republicans: slavery is when you own me. freedom is when I own you.

Just because you believe it, that doesn’t make it true.

Speaker Mike Johnson is a vile traitor to the House and the Constitution.

Relentless negativity is not a sign that you are more realistic.

Every reporter and pundit should have to declare if they ever vacationed with a billionaire.

Republicans choose power over democracy, every day.

It’s not hopeless, and we’re not helpless.

The republican speaker is a slippery little devil.

You can’t attract Republican voters. You can only out organize them.

He seems like a smart guy, but JFC, what a dick!

Putin dreamed of ending NATO, and now it’s Finnish-ed.

A democracy can’t function when people can’t distinguish facts from lies.

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On The Road – PAM Dirac – California Coast – 2024

by WaterGirl|  June 4, 20245:00 am| 20 Comments

This post is in: On The Road, Photo Blogging

PAM Dirac

One of my brothers was getting married the first week in May near San Diego so that was a definite trip. We decided to combine it with a trip up to the Silicon Valley area to see old friends. Instead of flying up from San Diego we took the train.

On The Road - PAM Dirac - California Coast - 2024 8
Julian, CAMay 2, 2024

My brother decided to get married at Lake Cuyamaca, a low key vacation place about an hour drive from San Diego. We rented a house that had my wife and I, two other brothers and two adult nieces. It was very comfortable and very fun. This is a view from the deck of the house. The wedding itself was very relaxed and fun and came off beautifully. It was especially fun to have most of our California cousins there. My mother had six boys and her sister had 2 girls and 3 boys. My aunt’s family moved to California from Rochester, NY in the early 1960s, so the cousins grew up pretty far apart. Probably a good thing for society. If we had all grown up together, although unlikely, we might have taken over the world. More likely we would have all gone to jail. Pictures of the mayhem omitted to protect the guilty.

On The Road – PAM Dirac – California Coast – 2024Post + Comments (20)

Monday Night I Need More Time In the Day Open Thread

by WaterGirl|  June 3, 20249:54 pm| 172 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

All I can say is that I need more time in the day!

I am not a good photographer, so it takes me 2 separate photos to catch a good shot of my ferns and my clematis.  This one catches the ferns.

And this is a better shot of my clematis.

The clematis always blooms for my birthday, but it came early this year!

Oh, and this apparently happened today.  I laughed out loud.  I’m  not sure that it’s a comfort to know that the outbreak of stupidity isn’t confined to US domestic politics.

this is the funniest thing happening on here right now:

people claiming the newly elected president of Mexico isn’t really Jewish because she thanked Jesus

(she thanked Jesús, her husband) pic.twitter.com/4lSOZcgP40

— Matt Binder (@MattBinder) June 3, 2024

This was in response to Marge making a pubic PUBLIC spectacle of herself, otherwise known as a day ending in Y, as she badgered Dr. Fauci in a hearing.

Hello, police? I’d like to report a murder. https://t.co/qPlR64hcbo

— Jo (@JoJoFromJerz) June 3, 2024

Met with a new group today to talk with them about what they are up to and whether they might be a good fundraising fit.  Nothing is definite, but I am super excited after talking with them.  We talk again a week from today.  If all goes well, we’ll be telling you about them next week.

I have a post started, with the title: The Former President and Convicted Felon Is a Whiny Little Bitch.  But it’s so hard to decide what to include in the post.  The possibilities are endless!

What’s everybody else up to?

Monday Night I Need More Time In the Day Open ThreadPost + Comments (172)

War for Ukraine Day 831: Kharkiv Is Without Power Generation Capability

by Adam L Silverman|  June 3, 20247:05 pm| 17 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Painting by NEIVANMADE. It has a white background an in the center are Soldiers in green doing air defense by firing at incoming Russian missiles in the upper right. The missiles are red and yellow. In the upper left, written in green, is the text: "SAVE THE BRAVEST PEOPLE IN THE WORLD!" Below the Soldiers, also written in green, is "SUPPORT FOR KHARKIV"

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Quick housekeeping updated: Rosie had the first chemotherapy of the second round today. She did great. The oncology vet and her team think she looks great, there were no issues with her bloodwork, and she’s scheduled for he next treatment next Monday. Right now she’s lying just below my feet on the bed watching it pour down rain. Usually the way this works is she’s fine until Wednesday or Thursday and then the systemic effect kicks in. We’ll see if that happens this time. If it does, we’re all set with appetite stimulants. Ruby is also doing well. Thank you all for all the good thoughts, prayers, well wishes, and donations. They are all greatly appreciated.

It has been a long day though, so I’m going to try to keep tonight’s update on the shorter side.

I’m aware of The Kyiv Post‘s reporting regarding Syria. I’m not including it because I’d like to see additional corroboration.

As I begin tonight’s update at 6:10 PM EDT, air raid alerts are up for Sumy and Kharkiv Oblasts.

Russia has completely degraded Kharkiv’s ability to generate power:

There is no longer any local electricity generation in Kharkiv, so it is forced to obtain electricity from other cities, said Mayor Ihor Terekhov.

— Iryna Voichuk (@IrynaVoichuk) June 3, 2024

Sumy Oblast, or, more accurately, just over the border in Russia:

The column of military equipment of the russian army in the Kursk region was destroyed by the collaborative efforts of the 53rd Mechanized Brigade and the 103rd Territorial Defense Brigade. pic.twitter.com/bg9m5Rf3Ec

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) June 3, 2024

Розбиття російської колони у Курській області💥

Нещодавно біля нашого державного кордону на межі Сумщини сталась дуже дивна ситуація – здуру російська колона вантажного транспорту викотилась у поле.
Без мети, бо у російських вояк-камікадзе є тільки шлях. Шлях до смерті.

Воїни… pic.twitter.com/6fIWGY65mz

— Serhii Sternenko ✙ (@sternenko) June 3, 2024

Here is the machine translation of Sternenko’s tweet:

The breakdown of the Russian convoy in the Kursk region 💥

Recently, a very strange situation happened near our state border on the border of Sumy Oblast – a Russian convoy of freight transport rolled into a field.
Without a goal, because Russian kamikaze soldiers have only one way. The road to death.

Soldiers of the 53rd mechanized brigade of the Malibu unit and the Wing to Hell of the 103rd OBrTRO defeated this column.
Some of the equipment escaped, some was destroyed.
Including your drones.

We are currently actively providing FPV units for the border, so your 2 hryvnias will be very appropriate 👇

President Zelenskyy is still traveling. There are no new videos posted at the President of Ukraine’s YouTube channel.

show full post on front page

The cost:

🕯️Після 12-денної боротьби за життя у лікарні від поранень помер відомий громадський діяч із Дніпра, воїн Денис Капітуров
⬇️https://t.co/CMC014xQTZ pic.twitter.com/WagF7QyDga

— Новинарня (@Novynarnia) June 3, 2024

Here’s the machine translation:

🕯️ After a 12-day struggle for life in the hospital, a well-known public figure from Dnipro, soldier Denys Kapiturov, died of wounds
⬇️
https://novynarnia.com/2024/06/03/pislya-12-dennoyi-borotby-za-zhyttya-u-likarni-vid-poranen-pomer-vidomyj-gromadskyj-diyach-iz-dnipra-voyin-denys-kapiturov/

🕯️На війні за Україну загинув грузинський боєць Хвіча Гвінджішвілі
⬇️https://t.co/OnaJ6IYmgg pic.twitter.com/CTIVCtDOZY

— Новинарня (@Novynarnia) June 3, 2024

And the machine translation:

🕯️ Georgian fighter Hvicha Gvindzhishvili died in the war for Ukraine
⬇️
https://novynarnia.com/2024/06/03/na-vijni-za-ukrayinu-zagynuv-gruzynskyj-boyecz-hvicha-gvindzhishvili/

Памʼятайте про нього.
Це Новіков Олександр. Він був студентом факультету іноземних мов Каразінського університету.
Загинув 18.05.2024 в боях на Харківщині. pic.twitter.com/zEhNTpjlKZ

— Математикіт🇺🇦 (@math_cat21) June 3, 2024

Remember him.
This is Oleksandr Novikov. He was a student of the Faculty of Foreign Languages ​​of the Karazin University.
Died on May 18, 2024 in battles in the Kharkiv region.

Italy:

+1 SAMP/T air defense system coming from 🇮🇹Italy.

We shall prevail!!

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) June 3, 2024

Italy will send a second SAMP/T air defence system to Ukraine, its foreign minister said in a radio interview on Monday.

A source close to the matter told Reuters earlier that Italy would likely ship to Ukraine a SAMP/T system which is currently deployed in Kuwait, but is soon… pic.twitter.com/HRxf5e1CcH

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) June 3, 2024

Italy will send a second SAMP/T air defence system to Ukraine, its foreign minister said in a radio interview on Monday.

A source close to the matter told Reuters earlier that Italy would likely ship to Ukraine a SAMP/T system which is currently deployed in Kuwait, but is soon due to return to Italy.

https://reuters.com/world/europe/italy-likely-send-second-air-defence-system-ukraine-source-says-2024-06-03/

Reuters has the details:

ROME, June 3 (Reuters) – Italy will send a second SAMP/T air defence system to Ukraine, its foreign minister said in a radio interview on Monday, responding to Kyiv’s pleas for greater help to fend off Russian missile attacks.

The system, also known as MAMBA, is a Franco-Italian battery that can track dozens of targets and intercept 10 at once. It is the only European-made system that can intercept ballistic missiles.

Rome and Paris jointly delivered a first system in 2023, but in recent months Ukraine has repeatedly called on partners to provide more help with air defence as it faces an increasing barrage of attacks on cities and energy infrastructure.

“It is known that we will send SAMP/T, which is an instrument of air defence, therefore of protection, that Ukraine itself asked us for,” Foreign Minister Antonio Tajani told state broadcaster Rai, confirming earlier media reports.A

ll shipments have so far been covered by official secrecy and the government has never made public the exact list of weapons it has sent to Ukraine.

A source close to the matter told Reuters earlier that Italy would likely ship to Ukraine a SAMP/T system which is currently deployed in Kuwait, but is soon due to return to Italy.

Corriere della Sera newspaper reported on Monday that the government could green light the new supplies after a summit of leaders of the Group of Seven major democracies, which Italy will host on June 13-15.

More at the link.

The US:

The news here, if I may suggest, is that Biden appears not to be attending a summit that @ZelenskyyUa has been working for months to get heads of government to. https://t.co/t520J1bqin

— laurence norman (@laurnorman) June 3, 2024

Frontelligence Insight is documenting significant movements of enemy reserves, involving hundreds of military vehicles of various types. This likely indicates that the Russians are preparing for another serious push. Russian offensive is unlikely to conclude soon

— Tatarigami_UA (@Tatarigami_UA) June 3, 2024

Now we watch and wait and see what the Russians do.

Kharkiv is not the only part of Ukraine that is experiencing power generation and/or transmission problems.

The authorities are well aware of the current situation with the energy sector, and Kyiv residents should prepare for power outages of 7-8 hours, energy expert Oleksandr Kharchenko said.https://t.co/8QTQAJHez6

— The New Voice of Ukraine (@NewVoiceUkraine) June 3, 2024

From The New Voice of Ukraine:

The authorities are well aware of the current situation with the energy sector, and Kyiv residents should prepare for power outages of 7-8 hours, energy expert Oleksandr Kharchenko said in an interview with Radio NV on June 2.

“Everyone understands everything, but they don’t want to voice it,” the director of the Energy Industry Research Center said.

“Listen, it’s all been calculated… All the numbers are absolutely clear; it’s unclear what the consequences of additional attacks will be, it’s an uncertainty factor. And it is not entirely clear for several facilities that can be restored or not. It will depend on how quickly certain equipment arrives. And this has not yet been determined definitively.”

The blackouts will continue.

“I can assure you 100% that there will be blackouts,” Kharchenko said.

“And they will last at least three to four hours a day. This is an ideal scenario. For now, Kyiv needs to prepare for seven to eight hours a day. Again, this is not a bad scenario, it could be worse.”

Speaking about the work of the critical headquarters, Kharchenko said: “I may tell you an unexpected thing: we have at least four such headquarters that do not coordinate what they do; their decisions are mostly not implemented at all. And this is how it functions.”

As a result of a missile strike by Russia on April 11, 2024, the Trypillia Thermal Power Plant in Kyiv Oblast was completely destroyed.

Centrenergo lost 100% of its generation after the destruction of Trypillia TPP.

The Dnipro HPP lost both power plants in March 2024. The dam held, but the equipment was destroyed, and it may take years to restore Dnipro HPP.

The CHPP-5 was destroyed in Kharkiv, and restoring it is like building a new one, which will also take several years.

The Zmiyiv TPP (part of Centrenergo) in Kharkiv Oblast was also destroyed.

DTEK Group (beneficiary – Rinat Akhmetov) said it had lost 80% of its generation.

All power units of the Burshtyn and Ladyzhyn TPPs were damaged.

Gas storage facilities in western Ukraine were also damaged.

Two hydroelectric power plants have been decommissioned as of May 9, 2024.

Controlled emergency blackouts were introduced in all regions of Ukraine on May 14, 2024.

Here’s the video of the interview:

Russian occupied Luhansk:

Ukrainian drone operators hit a ‘no-analogue’ Kasta-2E2 radar system in the Luhansk region.
Despite the fact that the system was designed to control airspace and identify air targets at low altitudes, it couldn’t survive a drone attack.

📹: @SOF_UKR pic.twitter.com/j3fdYovhK6

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) June 3, 2024

Pokrovsk, Donestk Oblast:

Russian forces continue to advance towards Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast over the past week.https://t.co/r0lSu5lIMU https://t.co/6wi822VEDs pic.twitter.com/87D7VgO2oL

— Rob Lee (@RALee85) June 3, 2024

Vovchansk, Kharkiv Oblast:

Vovchansk. A battle between Russian assault group and the “Liut” Brigade of he National Police of Ukraine. 2 Russian infantrymen were killed and 1 was wounded.https://t.co/n7YvQAfaGw pic.twitter.com/zyVhOm0mG5

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) June 3, 2024

A Russian soldier revealed the true meaning of the offensive near Volchansk. According to him, this is nothing more than another meat grinder, where untrained Russian soldiers are sent under machine guns and drones and are not allowed to retreat. Result: one after another, groups… pic.twitter.com/GvqUV59mB8

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated) June 3, 2024

A Russian soldier revealed the true meaning of the offensive near Volchansk. According to him, this is nothing more than another meat grinder, where untrained Russian soldiers are sent under machine guns and drones and are not allowed to retreat. Result: one after another, groups are simply destroyed, and new ones come to replace them. In the company of this soldier, contract soldier Anton Andreev from the 5th company of the 1009th regiment, only 12 people out of 100 remained.

At the same time, he realizes that orders to his superiors come from Moscow, and they also cannot do anything about it.

Source / Astra: https://t.me/astrapress/56830

Starytsya, Kharkiv Oblast:

Starytsya, Kharkiv front. Russian assault group comes under Ukrainian small arms fire. After which remaining Russians take cover and Ukrainian drone operators launch precise strikes at them. https://t.co/dhNdrKz58B https://t.co/ko7wfw9gvJ pic.twitter.com/SAkt5Zcx3U

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) June 3, 2024

My latest on why Biden et al are prepared to risk allowing Ukraine to use US weapons inside Russia – and current western thinking about how to handle Russian nuclear threats https://t.co/J5JBzfMBrU

— Gideon Rachman (@gideonrachman) June 3, 2024

From The Financial Times:

Russia is once again waving around its nuclear weapons. Last week, Vladimir Putin warned Nato countries against allowing Ukraine to use western munitions to strike Russia. The Russian leader warned of “serious consequences” and said that Ukraine’s allies should be aware of the “small territory” and “dense population” of many European countries.

In case this was too vague, Dmitry Medvedev followed up with a more blood-curdling threat. Russia’s former president cited Putin’s words and added: “The use of tactical nuclear weapons can also be miscalculated. This would be a fatal mistake.”

Medvedev has a reputation as a man who is fond of strong drink. But Moscow has also taken actions recently to underline its threats, with Russian troops conducting nuclear drills near the border with Ukraine.

These moves have not deterred several Nato nations, including the US, from taking the latest step up the escalation ladder by approving the use of their weapons inside Russian borders.

This latest move by Nato nations reflects a mix of confidence and nervousness. On the positive side, the US and its European allies are now less concerned about the threat that Russia will go nuclear than they were 18 months ago.

On the negative side, they are also increasingly uneasy about the situation on the battlefield. The new willingness to allow Ukraine to strike back at enemy artillery positions and missile bases — even if they are inside Russia itself — reflects a concern that Ukraine is gradually losing the war. As a result, Kyiv’s western backers feel compelled to tolerate a greater level of risk to keep Ukraine in the fight.

The west’s willingness to take on this level of risk represents a dramatic shift in thinking since Russia’s full-scale invasion in February 2022. Back then, Nato countries were nervous about providing Ukraine with any offensive weapons.

The provision of each new significant capability to Kyiv — long-range missiles, tanks, fighter jets — has been accompanied by prolonged, sometimes agonised, debate in the west and by nuclear threats from Russia. But each time the Nato countries have crossed a threshold, the Kremlin has failed to make good on its nuclear threats. And that has made it easier for the western alliance to take the next step.

But the fact that the US and its allies are no longer quite so anxious about Russia’s nuclear posturing does not mean that they dismiss the threat completely. Indeed, there are some western officials who remain very uneasy about the potential for escalation involved in authorising the use of weapons, provided by the west, to strike Russian territory.

Their concern is that Russia will regard this latest step as the escalation of a proxy war by the west and could make what it regards as a symmetrical response — involving counterstrikes on Nato territory. That might lead Russia and Nato very close to the direct conflict that western leaders have always sought to avoid. Russian military doctrine is believed to assume that Moscow cannot prevail in a conventional war with the west, and so to envisage the early use of nuclear weapons.

Despite talk by Emmanuel Macron, France’s president, of eventually stationing French troops on Ukrainian soil, the western alliance is still trying to maintain its clear red line against direct involvement in a conflict with Russia.

Despite the concerns about Russia’s potential response to this latest move, US decision makers still think that the circumstances that could trigger a Russian nuclear response are fairly distant. The two situations that are most often mentioned are if the Russian army is about to be routed on the battlefield; or if Ukrainian ground forces threaten Crimea, which Russia formally annexed in 2014.

The closest that the world has come to a real nuclear crisis over Ukraine, so far, was in October 2022 — when Russia suffered a series of catastrophic setbacks in the war, including the loss of Kherson. There was one weekend when western officials became seriously concerned that Russia might be on the point of going nuclear.

But that crisis also created a new playbook for how to deal with Russian nuclear threats, when they look really serious. Step one is to talk to Russian counterparts and to threaten direct and massive western involvement in the conflict. Step two is to talk to other major powers — in particular, China and India — and to get them to warn Russia off, preferably in public.

More at the link.

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

Reportedly, a Russian S-300/400 (?) system component destroyed by Ukraine in Russia’s Belgorod Oblast.

Gone are the two years of the “Ukraine can’t defend itself because WWIII” absurdity.

That avalanche of shameless lies from Kremlin appeasers and brainless surrender cultists… pic.twitter.com/K22hUHwD3N

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) June 3, 2024

Reportedly, a Russian S-300/400 (?) system component destroyed by Ukraine in Russia’s Belgorod Oblast.

Gone are the two years of the “Ukraine can’t defend itself because WWIII” absurdity.

That avalanche of shameless lies from Kremlin appeasers and brainless surrender cultists cost us way too much – and it put as unforgivably farther sways from just and stable peace in Europe.

Loving this angle of the S-300 in Belgorod after its meeting with HIMARS. pic.twitter.com/X1r08bsMvE

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) June 3, 2024

If only there were someone to tell the world that:

– the concept of ‘escalation management’ does not work;
– that Russia is not entitled to any ‘safe zone’ for its military power in a war of aggression it started;
– that bowing down to Russian nuclear blackmailing is a lousy… pic.twitter.com/m8G3icFyC6

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) June 3, 2024

If only there were someone to tell the world that:

– the concept of ‘escalation management’ does not work;
– that Russia is not entitled to any ‘safe zone’ for its military power in a war of aggression it started;
– that bowing down to Russian nuclear blackmailing is a lousy idea that brings the West nowhere and paralyzes its ability to react to a large-scale war of aggression at its very border;
– that imposing drastic restrictions on the Ukrainian use of Western defense aid is absurd, non-sensical, and beneficial to Russia’s war machine;
– that such a half-hearted approach to helping Ukraine tackle the most significant European war of aggression since Adolf Hitler demonstrates weakness and only encourages the Kremlin to escalate its war and expand its acts of aggression
– that the Kremlin openly spits on the West’s attempts to ‘avoid escalation’, or ‘give Putin a chance to stop’ and does as much as it is allowed to with this deliberate omission;
– that Ukraine can win (or at least precipitate a more or less favorable outcome) by directly undermining Russia’s ability to fight and finance this war;
– that highly effective Ukrainian attacks on Russian military power and infrastructure will result in Russia sustaining painful military losses rather than unleashing ‘WWIII,’ a ‘nuclear apocalypse,’ or whatever else Kremlin-paid propagandists and surrender cultists tried to intimidate the Western public opinion with.

…or was there?

Anyways, there’s a Russian S-400 system destroyed in a Ukrainian HIMARS strike in Russia’s Belgorod region.

Russia has lost yet another sophisticated air defense system in its territory used in the war on Ukraine.

Obligatory!

Floriduh! Man:

And here’s the DOJ press release on Craig Lang’s extradition to the US, with quite a headline: ‘Former U.S. Soldier Turned Foreign Fighter Extradited from Ukraine to the United States for 2018 Double Homicide, Armed Robbery, Immigration Document Offenses, Aggravated Identity…

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) June 3, 2024

Here’s the full text of Miller’s first tweet:

An update on a story I’ve followed and reported on for years: I can now report that American Craig Lang’s extradition fight in Ukraine has ended. The right-wing extremist and ex-Army soldier who fought in Ukraine in 2015-16 and is charged with robbing and killing a Florida couple in 2018 to fund more foreign fighting adventures is now in US custody in Florida and making his first court appearance today.

Lang escaped back to Ukraine after allegedly murdering the Florida couple in 2018. He fought extradition for years after his arrest by Ukrainian authorities responding to an Interpol warrant in 2019. But after being denied asylum in Ukraine and losing court battles in Kyiv and finally an appeal to the ECHR, he went into hiding this April, fearing extradition.

Ukrainian prosecutors, police and special forces tracked Lang down earlier this month in Kyiv and detained him. He was held in a detention center in Kyiv before being transferred to Lviv. Last weekend, he was taken to Poland and flown on a government plane to the US.

Lang’s co-conspirator Alex Zwiefelhofer, a right-wing American who also fought in Ukraine, where he met Lang in 2017 after going AWOL from the Army, was convicted of the Florida homicides in March.

Lang now faces his own trial in the case. I’m in touch with the victims’ family who are relieved to see Lang back on US soil to face justice. More info to come.

Amid his extradition battle, Lang briefly took up arms in Irpin in 2022, and he tried to fight elsewhere later but was rejected by Ukrainian units as they became aware of his background.

Here’s some of my past reporting on Lang:
https://buzzfeednews.com/article/christopherm51/craig-lang-ukraine-far-right-extremists-true-crime

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron tweets or videos today. So here’s some adjacent material from the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense:

The bright summer sun and 🇺🇦 warrior who takes care of you.

📷: @DPSU_ua pic.twitter.com/oMdCTY3oRD

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) June 3, 2024

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 831: Kharkiv Is Without Power Generation CapabilityPost + Comments (17)

Monday Evening Open Thread: ‘Trump Stumped’

by Anne Laurie|  June 3, 20245:03 pm| 182 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Elections, Excellent Links, Open Threads, Trumpery

Hakeem Jeffries: “Trump was entitled to the presumption of innocence. He received it. Trump was entitled to a trial by a jury by his peers. He received it. Trump was entitled to a vigorous defense. He received it … that is an affirmation of the American judicial system” pic.twitter.com/ztWjlKEEi7

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 2, 2024

Anecdotal, but callers into Black radio today are NOT HAPPY that Trump can run for office – for PRESIDENT – when people in our community can't get jobs, loans, housing and CAN'T VOTE when they have a felony record:"he's rich & not Black, so the system is rigged for him." Welp.

— Irie DC (@irieDC) June 3, 2024

Trump stumped? I wrote for @theatlantic about Trump’s “dark, but not purposeful” post verdict rant. https://t.co/MSzSilrbDo

— Juliette Kayyem (@juliettekayyem) June 2, 2024

Excellent argument from Juliette Kayyem, in the Atlantic:
[Gift link]

The first post-trial press conference of the once and potentially future president, and now convicted felon, was bizarre, even by his standards. The word unhinged tends to be overused in this context, but Donald Trump lacked focus as he spoke after the conclusion of his trial in a New York state court on 34 felony counts relating to his payoff of the porn star Stormy Daniels. The presumptive Republican nominee ranted about this and that, including off-topic riffs on “Little League games” being canceled, “propane stoves,” the rainy weather, and immigrants living in “luxury hotels.” It wasn’t really a press conference—he took no questions—but nor was it what some feared it would be: a call to action…

Trump could already have started using his sentencing date, July 11, as a cause for his supporters and the GOP elites to rally around, much as he did with January 6, 2021. Then, the last time he lost big, he was still president and had all of the tools of the presidency to try to stop his loss from taking effect and prevent the transfer of power. But he doesn’t have that this time. He is not in office; this is not 2021. He may yet attempt to orchestrate disruption, protest, even violence, but unless he is elected again, he cannot promise his supporters that they will be pardoned. And he could actually face jail time. The calculations are different.

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First, Trump knows enough about the law to know that his behavior between the verdict and the sentencing will be a factor in the judge’s decision about what penalty to impose. During the trial itself, Trump risked antagonizing Judge Juan Merchan by violating gag orders and calling him a “devil” and a “tyrant,” but Trump’s day in court is not done. Just a few days before the Republican National Convention opens next month, Merchan will reconvene his court to determine Trump’s sentence based on a number of factors, including, presumably, whether there is a mob outside.

Second, a great deal has happened since January 6, 2021, and Trump should rightly be worried that he cannot deliver the crowds. The MAGA movement is furious but not organized. “Mass mobilizations are hard and require work,” The Atlantic’s Ali Breland wrote on Friday, including “boring little logistical things.” No such effort on Trump’s behalf seems under way. And, as I’ve written previously, Trump’s people may be angry, but they are also dispersed and in disarray, and many are in jail because of the post–January 6 prosecutions. Several leaders of the Oath Keepers and the Proud Boys, groups that took such a planning role before the Capitol riot, have been found guilty and are serving time for seditious conspiracy. Today, Trump’s rallies are small, though he continues to lie about the numbers…

Third, Trump has an election to win—and to win it, he will need more votes, in the right states. Independents may be uncomfortable voting for a convicted felon, or they may not care that much—the early evidence suggests that there are more of the former type, but not conclusively so. Meanwhile, Trump is demanding allegiance from his party like an autocrat, but that’s easy—the GOP has proved itself nothing but slavish—and much easier than figuring out how to expand his base. Trump’s recent trip to seek support at the Libertarian National Convention was a disaster: He roused more hecklers than voters.

Trump lost the election in 2020. He lost in court last week. He’s on a longtime losing streak, and he knows that the only way to turn that around is to win the presidency. The likelihood that Trump can’t help himself is always high, and he could easily beckon violence on his social-media platform and get a response from the die-hard fringe. But Trump may be calculating that a spectacle of unruly masses on July 11—assuming he could get them—would not be such a great look for a presidential candidate when the whole world is watching.

oh dear, Trump 13.8: I never said "lock her up". that was fake news. everybody else said it. https://t.co/KKCBVZHmh8

— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) June 2, 2024

They are not acting like people who sincerely believe that being convicted of 34 felony counts in actuality helps a politician’s election campaign

— David Frum (@davidfrum) June 2, 2024

Monday Evening Open Thread: <em> ‘Trump Stumped’ </em>Post + Comments (182)

Rigged! (Open Thread)

by Betty Cracker|  June 3, 202411:29 am| 250 Comments

This post is in: 2024 Elections, Open Threads, Politics, Report From Sunny Gilead, Republican Stupidity

The toady who briefly rebelled crawls back to lick the tiny wingtips (Politico):

DeSantis says Trump can still vote in Florida despite felony conviction

The governor disputes the assessment of some experts who say Trump’s conviction would make him ineligible to vote in the state.

Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis says he’ll make sure Donald Trump can vote in his home state this November despite his felony convictions.

DeSantis said Friday that he disputes the assessment of some experts who say that Trump’s conviction on 34 felony counts would make him ineligible to cast a ballot in the state.

But, in any case, the Florida governor said he would ensure the state clemency board cleared the way for his former rival for the Republican presidential nomination to vote back home.

“Given the absurd nature of the New York prosecution of Trump, this would be an easy case to qualify for restoration of rights per the Florida Clemency Board, which I chair,” he said on X.

According to what I’ve read, convicted felon Donald J. Trump would be able to vote in Florida anyway, even if he were random convicted felon Ronald K. Dump. Florida law bases felon disenfranchisement for crimes committed in other states on whether the state where the crime was committed bars the convicted felon from voting. New York doesn’t unless they are incarcerated, which Trump is unlikely to be.

So the DeSantis statement expressing casual contempt for the rule of law is just a loyalty stunt meant to curry favor with the convicted felon and his cult. Just as the state’s Senators Rubio and Scott’s refusal to do their damn jobs is a stunt.

I think we’ll see similar stunts from now to November — Repubs falling all over themselves to publicly pucker up and kiss the orange ass. I also don’t think it will redound to that party’s credit with voters.

Open thread!

PS: Jury selection in Hunter Biden’s trial is underway. I know a previous plea deal involving the gun charges and the tax case blew up, but is there any chance for striking a plea deal before this trial begins? If so, and if the terms aren’t ridiculously onerous, maybe the defense should take it.

The Delaware case isn’t in the same universe as convicted felon Trump’s since the younger Biden isn’t seeking office. But it’s got to be a huge distraction for the administration.

Rigged! (Open Thread)Post + Comments (250)

Monday Morning Open Thread: And Still, We Dance

by Anne Laurie|  June 3, 20245:59 am| 328 Comments

This post is in: LGBTQ Rights Are Human Rights, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Sports

Voting for him just for this. The rest of a plus. https://t.co/v6PObYWTnr

— Valdivia ?? (@TheCorollary) June 2, 2024

We kicked off Pride Month in style this weekend—and got LGBTQI+ voters fired up to vote for @JoeBiden and @KamalaHarris ?? pic.twitter.com/bgLUZVES9S

— The Democrats (@TheDemocrats) June 2, 2024

America is home to people whose ancestors have been here for thousands of years, folks who immigrated generations ago, and those who have just arrived.

This Immigrant Heritage Month, we celebrate the courage of our nation’s immigrants, whose dreams are the foundation of America.

— President Biden (@POTUS) June 2, 2024

On day one of my Administration, I sent a comprehensive immigration reform plan to Congress to protect Dreamers and their families.

Only Congress can provide Dreamers permanent status and a pathway to citizenship.

Congress must act. pic.twitter.com/XZSesCZEAZ

— President Biden (@POTUS) June 2, 2024

Hakeem Jeffries on MTP: "Can the extreme MAGA Republicans point to a single issue where they've actually made progress for the American people? A single issue? They cannot. And so as a result, what we see are conspiracy theories being spewed at the direction of Donald Trump." pic.twitter.com/BTAw3Inb7v

— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) June 2, 2024

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Half the country thinks Trump is unfit to be president now that he’s been convicted of this crime.https://t.co/qDK11YB4XQ pic.twitter.com/B6o6i7DdV1

— CBS News Poll (@CBSNewsPoll) June 2, 2024

uncool annoying normie resist shitlibs who had ?? emojis in their display names in 2020 just pulled off one of the biggest antifascist victories in American history and some people still won't accept that they're the populist front against right-wing extremism.

— Senior PowerPoint Engineer (@ryxcommar) May 30, 2024

Obviously most people are not going to change their mind based on this but margins matter — Trump in particular has been doing well with very young, very disengaged people who may be learning about his many scandals for the first time this week. It’s a big deal.

— Matthew Yglesias (@mattyglesias) May 30, 2024

Simone Biles continues Olympic prep by cruising to her 9th U.S. Championships title https://t.co/SO5hWD0sn5

— The Associated Press (@AP) June 3, 2024

… Biles is at a stage in her unparalleled career where the joy she gets from the sport is no longer centered strictly on the quality of her performance.

While she joked that she believes she’s “aging like fine wine,” it’s telling that she saved her biggest smile afterward when talking about the five World Champions Centre teammates — most of them a decade younger — who will join her at Olympic trials in Minneapolis later this month.

“That’s kind of what excites me because I think they have long careers ahead of them,” Biles said. “So if I can do anything to help them, right now and in the future, that’s what I’m going to do.”

It’s her way of giving back. She is well aware of the spotlight that awaits her in Paris and is trying to set an example for others on how to navigate the pressure that lies ahead. She’s become a regular in therapy — now even during meet weeks — and is determined to focus on what she can control.

Like say, her gymnastics.

In front of an audience that included her husband, Chicago Bears safety Jonathan Owens, Biles put on a four-rotation clinic that featured all the trademarks of a typical Biles performance. There was jaw-dropping athleticism mixed with precision and more than a splash of swagger.

Biles finished with the highest two-day score on all four events, something she’d done only once before at nationals (2018)…

Monday Morning Open Thread: And Still, We DancePost + Comments (328)

On The Road – Albatrossity – Costa Rica, week 1 — Hummingbirds!

by WaterGirl|  June 3, 20245:00 am| 20 Comments

This post is in: Costa Rica, On The Road, Photo Blogging

It’s Albatrossity Monday, and we get hummingbirds!  We must have been very good to deserve this.

Costa Rica to California, California to Illinois, then Illinois to Arizona.  I am not good with geography, but even I know that whoever planned the itinerary for this week did not plan the most efficient routes!

(click the image below for a bigger, non-blurry version of this week’s schedule)

On The Road - Albatrossity - Costa Rica, week 1 — Hummingbirds! 10

Albatrossity

As WaterGirl mentioned, I recently spent 12 days in Costa Rica, and she gave me last Monday off. But I’m back, and it was a great trip, so I’m ready to share pictures.

I should mention that even though lots of people go to Costa Rica specifically to see the birds and other wildlife, I went with a group of undergraduate students from KSU as part of a Study Abroad excursion. There were 15 students and three instructors, including Elizabeth. The students were enrolled in either one or two of the three courses covered during this trip (English, Geography, or Biology). So the focus was not on birds and padding a life list; we visited places that would allow education to be the main focus. Nevertheless, in such a diverse and scenic country, you will always see some birds, and many of them will be new! Birds which were new to my life-list are tagged with an asterisk (*) in the captions below.

The first installment will be some hummingbirds. Costa Rica hosts around 50 species of hummingbirds, including a few which are endemic to Costa Rica, or found only in that country and neighboring Panama. There will be more hummingbirds in subsequent posts, but here’s a starter.

On The Road - Albatrossity - Costa Rica, week 1 — Hummingbirds! 8
Uvita, Costa RicaMay 19, 2024

One of the most common is the *Rufous-tailed Hummingbird (Amazilia tzacatl), found in much of the country and well-adapted to gardens and other human alterations of the landscape. Unlike many hummingbirds, the sexes have similar plumages. As you can see, it is very aptly named. Click here for larger image.

On The Road – Albatrossity – Costa Rica, week 1 — Hummingbirds!Post + Comments (20)

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