Things that don't matter: Narrative, Momentum, and Expectations
Things that do matter: Math, Delegates, and Organization— Dan Pfeiffer (@danpfeiffer) April 5, 2016
Delegate counts after WI:
Trump 759 (+6)
Cruz 512 (+36)
Kasich 144
uncommitted 78Clinton 1286 (+36)
Sanders 1077 (+47)
TBD 27 (+3)— Taniel (@Taniel) April 6, 2016
Senate ratings changes pic.twitter.com/FIaISKukRJ
— Larry Sabato (@LarrySabato) April 7, 2016
Tissue Thin Pseudonym
Becoming Phoebe took the Bronze Medal for Best Regional Fiction – Midwest in the 2016 Independent Publishers Book Awards.
Link: http://www.independentpublisher.com/article.php?page=2046
dollared
Yessss……More of this, please.
ruemara
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congratulations!
Good news indeed. Now if we can just get people to stop pissing around and think about voting having consequences.
Mike J
One of the replies to the Sabato tweet says of Trump, “He is the embodiment of what the Left claims are our views.” Yet it’s Republicans who are voting for him.
cckids
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Woot!! Congrats! That is fabulous. I’m buying it next week, when payday hits, and am so much looking forward to it.
Prescott Cactus
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym:
Bride is using the internet machine to have it wirelessly transported into the Kindle device.
High congrats on the prize. That is only a reward someone has given you. This creation will always be yours forever. Made and created from within.
Keep the prizes coming ! ! !
Will read and review.
TheMightyTrowel
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: How excellent! I hope you’re celebrating with your favourite indulgent beverage and something tasty to nibble!
Prescott Cactus
2016 Independent Publisher Book Awards Regional & Ebook Results
RECOGNIZING EXCELLENCE IN INDEPENDENT PUBLISHING
Here are the results of the 2016 Independent Publisher Regional and Ebook Awards, presented to the year’s best titles published in these important and growing divisions of independent publishing.
Listed below are the Regional fiction and non-fiction medalists and the Ebook fiction and non-fiction medalists.
Congratulations to all!
MIDWEST – BEST REGIONAL FICTION
BRONZE: Becoming Phoebe, (Melancholy Donkey Press)
moops
Cruz catching up disturbs me.
He is more dangerous in the general
gwangung
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Yes, you made that. Well done!
Tissue Thin Pseudonym
It’s funny, by the time Becoming Phoebe was published, I’d not only written it and rewritten it five times, I’d probably read it 12-15 times, and thought about it pretty much every day for five years. By that point, I literally had no idea whether or not it was any good. I could remember thinking it was good, but that certainty had been numbed through overexposure.
So, it’s really nice to hear that people like it, because I’m starting to become convinced again.
Aqualad08
@moops: Maybe, but between the hellscape that will be Cleveland, his general dickishness and his collection of little shoes, I’m optimistic.
Matt McIrvin
@Mike J: Also, Ted Cruz isn’t? It seems to me they just embody different, overlapping subsets.
Matt McIrvin
@Aqualad08: I don’t think we can count on chaos in Cleveland; whatever happens, there may well be a deal cut before the convention to keep it civil and mitigate the public damage. Trump is supposed to be good at deals, right?
David ?Canadian Anchor Baby? Koch
@Mike J: “He is
the embodiment ofexposing what the Left claims are our views.”/fixed
Calouste
@moops: Ted Crush has favorables-unfavorables at 33-55. Which is amazing for someone who has only been a national figure for less than a year.
Amir Khalid
@Matt McIrvin:
Is Trump good at deals where he’s not the winner, though?
Calouste
@Matt McIrvin: To cut a deal, you need leverage. Some people in the GOP have already decided that they rather see Trump run third party than GOP, so he doesn’t have much leverage there. He has however leverage if he threatens to endorse a third party and its down ballot candidates, and threatens the GOP house majority.
Aqualad08
@Matt McIrvin: Well, thing is, Trump is realistically the only one who can secure 1,237 at this point. If Cruz gets the nod, it’s on the second ballot or later, and I’m not sure why Trump would, for the first time in his life, put his ego aside for anyone. Trump securing the nomination and getting blown out might oddly be the GOP’s best option moving forward.
piratedan
can only hope with time that we can chase these GOP fucknuts outta office and actually get back to governance being boring instead of the fucking high school dramarama that the GOP has made it. You know, pay taxes, get roads, get infrastructure, allow science to find new and better ways to change our lives and try to keep us all from being corporate slaves.
Mike J
@Aqualad08: One thing we know for sure, no matter who gets the nomination, by the second week in November we’ll be hearing that the Republicans could have won if only they had nominated a real conservative.
Mary G
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congratulations! Love the Melancholy Donkey Press name. I’ve always identified with Eeyore.
Brachiator
@Calouste: I can’t see Trump doing any down ballot damage with a third party. Is there an existing third party with any Congressional candidates that would be acceptable to unhappy Republicans or Democrats? Trump would have to get Tea Party Republicans to defect, and he can’t pull something like that off. And could candidates switch their party affiliations in time.
Trump can steal electoral votes, but not do other damage to the GOP.
Origuy
@Brachiator: There are three third parties that have ballot access to more than ten states. The Libertarians are qualified in 34; the Greens in 18; and the Constitution Party in 12. I don’t see any of those three nominating Trump.
piratedan
@Origuy: the Libertarians might take a flyer on him to get on more ballots down the road as a strategic move… and who knows, they might end up benefiting from the implosion of the GOP into some semblance of viability as certain tribal requirements will not allow them to be Democrats
Gremcat
@Brachiator: Maybe Trump could convince his people to stay home. That could do some major damage to the down ticket races.
Kathleen
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congratulations!
OzarkHillbilly
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congrats!
BillinGlendaleCA
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congrats!
OzarkHillbilly
@David ?Canadian Anchor Baby? Koch: “He is confirming what the Left claims are our views.”
prob50
@piratedan:
Agreed except for the corpslave part. Slaves are so 19th & 20th century. Beating them is pointless unless you’re into the sadism and they require at least a modest level of maintenance. Better to Uber them out the corporate door to free up those corporate claws from the costly and bothersome details involved in their healthcare, worker’s comp, liability insurance, etc.
NotMax
Had to quote tweets to provide delegate counts?
Sign of addiction.
Oh, and the numbers cited are also off. Dem – Rep
p.a.
@prob50:
Aye. The ‘Ownership’ Society. Get yourself an owner or it’s “root, hog. or die.”
Anne Laurie
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congratulations!
Always nice to find out that others appreciate your hard work.
Cermet
Outstanding work – congratulations! I have been out of any loop on books for a while yet I have heard of your book.
WereBear
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: oh, WOW! Now go ahead, feel great. I dares ya.
Aimai
@piratedan: do libertarians have strategy? That sounds so collectivist. And congratulations Tissue Thin Pseudonym! Wonderful news!
sm*t cl*de
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym:
In six months time you will come across sections of the book and think “Who is the clever person who wrote these elegantly felicitous sentences? I wish I could write smart like that.”
Writing, it always feels like you are in the final chapters of “Flowers for Algernon”.
evap
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congrats! I have the book and am planning to read it this weekend.
@sm*t cl*de: Funny, I have been writing and publishing math papers for almost 30 years. I occasionally look back at early works and think, “Did I do that? How did I ever figure that out?” etc.
Denali
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym:
Great news! Congratulations!
Glidwrith
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Woohoo! Congratulations!
different-church-lady
@Calouste:
I know. You’d think by now he’d be in the teens.
sherparick
Paul Krugman has had enough of the Bernie Sanders campaign and Paul Weaver. http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/08/opinion/sanders-over-the-edge.html?ref=opinion
(Bernie and his spokesman I expect will be spending to the day responding to Krugman calling him “dishonest” and having “lost his ethical moorings.” They will be thinking of this image today when they think of Krugman is walking away from their campaign just as George Clooney walked away from the care in Syriana. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bTa2PTcycyI)
FlipYrWhig
@sherparick: Don’t forget SEND US MONEY DONT LET ESTABLISHMENT SILENCE OUR MOVEMENT, the key component to every Bernie Sanders communique.
cmorenc
@moops:
The upside is that if either Hillary or Bernie decisively beat Cruz in the general election (e.g. by at least the margin the elder Bush beat Dukakis) – along with losing the Senate and even if not the House, a substantial portion of the R-gerrymandered cushion in their majority – that might finally force a reckoning within their ranks that such extreme ideological conservatism in their Presidential and Senate candidates isn’t electorally viable outside hard-red states and sometimes swing-states, but only in off-year elections.
Of course, it might be better for democrats and the progressive cause if they double down on the right-wing extremism and go all Barry Goldwater two or three more Presidential election cycles, and watch their congressional numbers erode. OK, so maybe that last part is too much to hope for, at least in tidal-wave numbers.
hedgehog the occasional commenter
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Congrats! (off to add to Kindle)
The Sheriff Endorses Baud 2016
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Score! Grats!
@moops: No, he’s not. Nobody likes Ted Cruz.
@Origuy: Gary Johnston’s busily making the Libertarians the new home for embarassed Republicans, he’s not opening the door for Il Douche. Jill Stein sure as heck isn’t stepping aside for him either. Maybe the Larouchites would answer…
RaflW
@Brachiator: Even if Trump runs third party, some of the damage is right-leaning voters staying home. They’ll know they’re throwing their vote away so why bother.
And the other damage is already done: I think some voters just cannot believe the GOP has gone this far into the ditch and won’t vote for any of them this fall. This second group might be small – the GOP faithful are pretty hardcore – but a marginal move of 1% in purple states, who say “they suck in ways I never realized before” could be the margin of victory for a few key Senate seats.
feebog
I now hope Trump wins it outright and that HRC then gives him a monumental drubbing. I think she will win by wider margins than against Cruz and that will have a positive impact on down ballot races. OTH, if Cruz is the candidate and she also beats him, the “we didn’t nominate a true conservative” meme gets tossed. Trump is poised to pick up a ton of delegates in New York, and that should shut down the “Cruz has momentum” hype the media is pushing.
J R in WV
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym:
Congratulations! It’s really hard to take all the unnecessary words out of a writing to get it down to only the required words. Which is important to the success of your work.
Keep up the good work!
Just Some Fuckhead
@cmorenc:
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha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Miss Bianca
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym:
So happy for you! I’m struggling with that syndrome right now – the writing, re-writing, reading and re-reading. Your words are an inspiration to keep on charging!
stinger
@Tissue Thin Pseudonym: Hey hey hey, congratulations! That is fantastic! And well deserved!
Anybody here who hasn’t read Becoming Phoebe yet really should!
xian
@sm*t cl*de:
i find this happens with music too… listening back to yesterday’s rehearsal i hear every clam and failed intent. six weeks later i’m like “how did i even play those licks?”