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Republican speaker of the house Mike Johnson is the bland and smiling face of evil.

Tick tock motherfuckers!

Accountability, motherfuckers.

This isn’t Democrats spending madly. This is government catching up.

Of course you can have champagne before noon. That’s why orange juice was invented.

Donald Trump found guilty as fuck – May 30, 2024!

I desperately hope that, yet again, i am wrong.

The press swings at every pitch, we don’t have to.

The National Guard is not Batman.

Never entrust democracy to any process that requires Republicans to act in good faith.

They don’t have outfits that big. nor codpieces that small.

Republicans cannot even be trusted with their own money.

Conservatism: there are people the law protects but does not bind and others who the law binds but does not protect.

Stop using mental illness to avoid talking about armed white supremacy.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

“Can i answer the question? No you can not!”

Be a wild strawberry.

“What are Republicans afraid of?” Everything.

The words do not have to be perfect.

Cancel the cowardly Times and Post and set up an equivalent monthly donation to ProPublica.

Decision time: keep arguing about the last election, or try to win the next one?

A snarling mass of vitriolic jackals

So many bastards, so little time.

You are so fucked. Still, I wish you the best of luck.

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You are here: Home / Archives for Elections / 2026 Elections

2026 Elections

California Debate and More

by WaterGirl|  April 23, 202610:00 am| 223 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Elections, Open Threads, Politics

The debate was a bit late for me to stay up and watch the whole thing.

Taking the stage for Republicans are conservative commentator and former Fox News host Steve Hilton and Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco. Representing the Democrats are billionaire activist Tom Steyer, former U.S. Rep. Katie Porter, former U.S. Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra, and San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan.

Coverage at The Hill

They had five “takeaways”, three of which were irrelevant.  The other two?

Democrats on the debate stage positioned themselves in opposition to Trump (no surprise there).

Steyer’s billionaire status came under scrutiny on the debate stage.  (I think that’s a good thing.)

Coverage at the NYT

behind the paywall, maybe someone can share a gift link?

bit thanks to LifeInTheBonusRound for the gift link!

Coverage at The Guardian

They were asked to grade Newsom’s handling of the homelessness crisis.  (seems like a bullshit question)

At least some of their coverage was somewhat useful.

While sharp contrasts emerged over how to address some of the state’s biggest anxieties – from the high cost of living and housing affordability, to homelessness and the looming threat of artificial intelligence – the evening probably did little to settle the race with less than two weeks before ballots begin arriving in voters’ mailboxes.

They weren’t all asked the same questions – looks like a “gotcha” question for each of them.

During the hour-long exchange, the candidates were pressed on some of the major issues facing their campaigns. Porter addressed a contentious exchange, captured on video, with a staffer, acknowledging that it was “not the right way to treat someone”. “I work hard with my team to deliver for Californians,” she said.

Mahan defended his tech ties and his record, arguing that as mayor of the largest city in Silicon Valley he would bring a unique understanding of the promise and peril of artificial intelligence to regulatory debates. He vowed to be an independent voice in Sacramento, playing up his readiness to “take on the establishment within my own party”.

Becerra was asked whether he should have done more as chair of the Democratic caucus to address “rumors” about Swalwell’s behavior. “Rumors are not facts,” he said. He applauded the women who came forward and shared their stories. “Today Eric Swalwell was facing accountability,” he said. Swalwell, who resigned from Congress last week, has vigorously denied the assault allegations.

Former Fox News host and political strategist Steve Hilton has received Donald Trump’s endorsement.
View image in fullscreen
Former Fox News host and political strategist Steve Hilton has received Donald Trump’s endorsement. Photograph: Fred Greaves/Reuters
Bianco, questioned about his recent decision to seize more than half a million ballots cast in a November special election from county election officials, insisted the inquiry was a “very, very basic, normal investigation”. Since the state supreme court intervened to halt his investigation, Bianco claimed: “We’re never going to know if our elections are secure.”

Hilton, meanwhile, insisted Trump’s endorsement was a strength, even though nearly two-thirds of Californians disapprove of the president. “It will benefit every Californian to have a governor who is a partner on these issues with the president and his team,” he contended.

Coverage at CNN

Interesting exchange during the gotcha question for Katie Porter:

On Wednesday night, she looked to regain her footing, reiterating her regret over the incident and going on the offensive against Steyer and Becerra.

“I apologized that day to that staffer four years ago and I took responsibility then and I’ve taken responsibility since, acknowledging that it is not the right way to treat someone,” she said. “And that is a big contrast to what we’ve seen other candidates do when they’ve been called out for misconduct.”

As for Becerra, she accused him of having “lovely plans” but being light on details and failing to propose anything that challenges the “status quo.”

“The how, the why, the how much — it’s all missing,” she said.

Becerra shot back, saying it was “very rich to hear from someone who’s never had to actually run a government.”

Coverage at KRON4 (they appear to have hosted the debate)

You’ll find several quotes and clips there.

The Republican sheriff Bianco who is running said: “homeless isn’t about homes”.
Okay, then!

California Debate for Governor

He seems nice.

Katie Porter

I am not a fan of Katie Porter, but I am pretty sure that no male candidate EVER has snapped at a staffer,
so I totally get why they hammer away at this with her.  It can’t be her gender!

I think the interview was a more fair question.

California Debate for Governor 1

Xavier Becerra

Seems like this is a swipe at Steyer.  I do appreciate the “training wheels” reference.

California Debate for Governor 2

Becerra Social Media

A tremendous honor to earn the endorsement of the California Latino Legislative Caucus ahead of tonight's debate.Eager to work alongside these leaders to ensure Latino families across our state have a real shot at the California Dream!

— Xavier Becerra (@xavierbecerra.bsky.social) 2026-04-23T00:00:15.516Z

I knew Becerra was climbing, but  didn’t realize he is ahead in the polls!

Each new poll tells the same story — this movement is growing.California, I'm grateful, and I’m ready to lead as your governor.Join us: XavierBecerra2026.com

— Xavier Becerra (@xavierbecerra.bsky.social) 2026-04-21T20:12:39.977Z

Has anyone watched the debate yet?

Hopefully there were some standout moments to share?

California Debate and MorePost + Comments (223)

Virginia Redistricting Ballot Measure Results (Polls closing now)

by WaterGirl|  April 21, 20267:00 pm| 123 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Elections

And it’s a win for redistricting!!!

I don’t even live in Virgina, but I am on the edge of my seat.

Election Results

Polls closing now.

I hope this isn’t indicative of anything:

Turnout in Virginia tracking lower than 2025 gubernatorial election, especially in bluer areas

Voter turnout in the Virginia redistricting election is tracking lower than during the 2025 gubernatorial election, according to Election Day data shared with the NBC News Decision Desk by local officials in 86 of Virginia’s 133 counties and cities.

The NBC News Decision Desk estimates overall voter turnout — including people who voted by mail, voted early or have voted so far today on Election Day — to be around 90% of the number of people who had voted at a similar time on Election Day in November 2025. Democrat Abigail Spanberger won the governorship by 15 percentage points in that election.

Today, turnout in jurisdictions that have traditionally supported Democrats is lagging more than in places that have traditionally supported Republicans.

In communities that have traditionally supported Democrats, total voter turnout is around 87% of the number of people who voted in 2025 general election, whereas turnout in Republican supporting jurisdictions is around 96% of the 2025 general election vote.

The largest shift has been reported in Alexandria City, which is about 21% lower than the same time during the gubernatorial election. In select communities — including Botetourt County and Tazewell County, which are more Republican-leaning — turnout for today’s election is in line or slightly higher than the same point in the day of the gubernatorial election in November.

You can sort by county on the NBC results site, but I don’t know enough about Virginia counties for that to be meaningful for me.

Virginia Redistricting Ballot Measure Results (Polls closing now)Post + Comments (123)

Something to think about, and follow up on

by WaterGirl|  April 9, 202610:36 am| 217 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Democratic Politics, Elections, Open Threads, Political Action, Politics

So many people commented yesterday about a comment from wonkie that I thought maybe we should consider what he SHE had to say, in a post of its own.

The comment was written in the context of the great results in Tuesday’s elections.  Everyone who spoke up agreed with this comment from wonkie.  We obviously have no control over what the powers that be do, so this is up to us.

So my question is this:  What can WE – each of us or all of us collectively in our own circles – do about this?

~ WG

wonkie’s comment (formatting mine)

To make this swing sustainable Dems need to do two things:

  1. Make the Rethug party toxic. It isn’t enough to blame Trump. Blame the whole fucking party. Make every voter think “Corrupt, incompetent, high costs, stupid wars, tax cuts for the rich and screw everyone else” when they see or hear the name “Republican.”
  2. 2. The public smearing of Dems by Dems needs to stop. The Democratic party as a whole isn’t weak, is not corporate or centrist, did not betray the working class, and IS the party that gets things done (in spite of slim majorities for only 4 of the last 30 years) and people who want Dems to win need to STOP ATTACKING THE DEM BRAND.

Details:

  • Most voters do not vote on policy. They vote emotionally.
  • Public smears of the Democratic party from Dem leaders or Bernie or anyone likely to vote D are a big part of why voters equate Democrats with a list of negative words like weak and bothsidesarethesame etc.
  • Rethugs big their party up and their marketing has been very effective.  For example, despite creating huge deficits FOUR TIMES, most voters (until recently) believed that Rethugs were fiscal conservatives. WHy? Because they say they are.
  • Just like they say they are moral, responsible, patriotic, mainstream. They repeat the same buzzwords consistently over and over and over while our pols say–in public!–that Dems need to stop being weak or need to have good policies to attract voters–as if we haven’t had good policies pretty consistently since FDR.
  • For most people most of the time, their vote is a reaction to branding, buzzwords, the effects of long term marketing. Rethugs know this.

Dems need to fucking learn, or two elections from now the Rethugs will be back in power and we will be having another circular firing squad with public denunciations of…us. Not them.

[end of wonkie’s comment]

 

Something to think about, and follow up onPost + Comments (217)

Seriously Great Showing Last Night in Georgia and Wisconsin

by WaterGirl|  April 8, 202610:15 am| 258 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Do Something!, Elections, Open Threads, Political Action, Politics

Wisconsin and Georgia Elections Tonight

It was clear that Democrats did very well last night, but it’s always great to hear from the numbers people.

Just how well did the Democrats do last night?  Really fucking well – even beating the averages in 2025 and 2026, where Dems had already been over performing.  Jackie sent me a link to this fellow, and at first blush he seems to be someone worth watching.

Democrats just posted their biggest swings of the 2026 cycle in WI and GA by G. Elliott Morris

Read on Substack

That’s a 4-minute video, and here are excerpts from the transcript.  I like his intro!

If there’s one thing Donald Trump knows how to do, it’s make a winning electoral coalition disappear.

A quick video here reacting to the special elections tonight. These are the first real elections since Donald Trump started his war in Iran on February 28th. There are two races: first, the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, and second, a special election to fill Georgia’s 14th Congressional District — the district left open by Marjorie Taylor Greene, who retired earlier this year.

So let’s take a look at the results.

Wisconsin

In the Wisconsin Supreme Court race, Democrat Chris Taylor just absolutely crushed it. And I don’t say that in a boosterish sense — that is the statistical word for winning an election by 20 percentage points. This map from the New York Times shows a 21 percentage point shift to the left since the 2024 presidential election, and in fact a 10-point shift to the left since another Wisconsin Supreme Court race last spring.

Georgia

Georgia’s 14th is really even more bullish for Democrats, just mathematically. This is Marjorie Taylor Greene’s old seat. She won it by 29 percentage points in the 2024 election. Donald Trump won it by an even larger margin — 37 points in 2024. Yet today, the Republican nominee and now winner Clay Fuller won it by just 12 points. That’s a 25 percentage point shift toward Democrats based on Trump’s margin, in what is one of the reddest districts in America.

Key Takeaways

First, these aren’t blue districts having a good night just because Democrats are turning out. These are competitive seats with lots of voters in counties that are supposed to be safely Republican. And yet those counties are moving 20 points to the left. That’s a pretty broad-based shift away from the party in power.

The two swings tonight — 21 points in Wisconsin and 25 points in Georgia — are much larger than the average swing in special elections in 2025 and 2026. According to tracking from The Downballot, the average swing in special elections in those years is just 11 points. So is the dam breaking because of Iran and the cost-of-living crisis?

Polls in Wisconsin had Chris Taylor winning by just seven points on average, but a large share of people were undecided. If you do the math, she must have won the undecided voters by something like 20 or 30 points. A lot of people out there are wondering: are the polls right now underestimating Democrats in November?

The Bottom Line

This is what happens when you push public policy dramatically to the right across issue domains, when you start an unpopular war that causes gas prices to spike by 40%, and when your approval rating is 20 points underwater.

But because national polls can seem abstract, I also map them onto the local geographic level: Donald Trump is really unpopular pretty much everywhere, including in 135 GOP-held House and Senate seats. Other special election results Tuesday night showed similarly good results for the Democrats.

Between TACO Tuesday on Iran and the election results from last night, my hope is that all of us will be inspired to do something constructive to impact election results in November.

Seriously Great Showing Last Night in Georgia and WisconsinPost + Comments (258)

Wisconsin and Georgia Elections Tonight (and TACO Tuesday!)

by WaterGirl|  April 7, 20266:45 pm| 116 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Elections, Open Threads

When do the polls close?

Georgia:  polls close at 7:00 PM Eastern.

Wisconsin:  polls close at 9:00 PM Eastern.

GEORGIA

Georgia’s 14th Congressional District – House seat to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene

You might recall that a runoff for the House special election to replace Marjorie Taylor Greene was scheduled because no candidate received 60% of the vote.  This is a very conservative / Republican district, – I think Trump won this district by something like 37%.  So it’s a long shot for a Democrat to win.

Republican prosecutor Clay Fuller and Democrat Shawn Harris

Both candidates are veterans.

Trump endorsed the Republican, which may actually help our side!

The Republican candidate loves him some Iran War!!!   A recent poll showed that something like 57% of those surveyed in the district are against this no good, very bad, serves-no-good-purpose war.

Other Races in Georgia

There are 3 other runoffs for Georgia seats:

Georgia State Senate 53

Georgia State House – District 94

Georgia State House 130

WISCONSIN

Wisconsin State Supreme Court Seat

A Republican / conservative (they pretend there are non-partisan races) is retiring.

Because it” currently a republican seat, no matter who wins, our side will still hold the majority on the court.

But the seat still matters a lot, because a win by our side would cement the good-guy majority through the end of the decade.

Other Races in Wisconsin

There are other races in Wisconsin, but they are mostly local, with a mayoral race, school boards, etc.  So I’ll leave it to our Wisconsin peeps to fill us in on anything we would want to know there.

Election Results

I plan to follow 270toWin for election results.

 

Wisconsin and Georgia Elections Tonight (and TACO Tuesday!)Post + Comments (116)

This and That in the News

by WaterGirl|  March 31, 20269:40 am| 123 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Elections, Open Threads, Politics

Weaker and Weaker Every Day

With that title, you might think I’m talking about the orange guy. Right?

Sadly, the lower his ratings get, the higher the chance that he will do something even more awful.  So while I continue to believe that his terrible ratings are making Republicans weaker every day, T gets more dangerous.

But you know who is getting weaker and weaker every day?  Pastor Johnson.   Yet another floor vote discharge petition for for the bill to protect TPS status for Haitians passes with 218 votes.  Four Republican votes and all the rest were Democrats.  Republican votes: Reps. Maria Elvira Salazar, Brian Fitzpatrick, Mike Lawler and Don Bacon.

I am pretty sure the only reason Pastor Johnson still holds his position as Speaker is that there is no one else on the Republican side willing to debase themselves quite so publicly day after day after day.

I love this so much – no one deserves this virtual beatdown more than Lindsey Graham

“Lindsey Graham spent the weekend at the most magical place on Earth: Disney World. The South Carolina Republican was dining at the park and wandering around with a bubble wand, according to photos published Monday by TMZ. While Graham lived out his fairy-tale fantasies in the Magic Kingdom, thousands of travelers across the country were subjected to nightmarishly long lines at major airports, and the government still remains in partial shutdown.”   (Rolling Stone)

Look who’s back from hiking in the Appalachians

“The one and only Mark Sanford said Monday that he would seek the Republican nomination to once again represent South Carolina’s 1st Congressional District, a surprise announcement he made just hours before candidate filing closed.

But while Sanford, whose 2009 sex scandal briefly made him the world’s most famous hiker, once again attracted intense attention on Monday, it was not for his positions on fiscal policy.

South Carolinians remember exactly who he is, said state Rep. Mark Smith, one of 10 other Republicans running in the June 9 primary. “A governor who went missing. A politician who turned his back on President Trump. A person who espouses term limits and runs again and again.”   (The Downballot)

A perfect storm in Texas

“Three political winds are a-blowin’ in the Lone Star State. Any one of them alone might knock the election needle to the Democrats’ side. But all three together? It’s now quite a bit more likely that 2026 will be the year a Democrat finally wins state-wide in Texas.

So what is it about this year that gives me hope that this time around will be different? A series of self-owns by the GOP and Trump has created quite the potent brew and a unique opportunity for an economic populist like Talarico.

Today, let’s track these three political storms and how they might come together in November.”    (The Status Kuo)

What are the three?  1) John Cornyn is trailing Ken Paxton, and the runoff isn’t until the end of May, giving plenty of time for them to attack one another while James Talarico the chance to make some headway.  2) TACO – fucking coward that he is – hasn’t endorsed either one.  At some point, which we may have already reached, even if he does endorse it will likely be too little, too late.  3) Support for the GOP by Latinos is collapsing.

Trump has lost the men.  Wait, what??? 

The orange guy is 7 points down with men and sinking like a stone.

“It’s finally happened: Trump has lost the men. And it’s by a lot.

An aggregate of Marist and Quinnipiac polling by CNN’s Harry Enten shows male voters abandoning Trump in droves. This is terrible news for Trump because he owes his election to those male voters. They picked him over Kamala Harris by 13 points in 2024.”  (The Status Kuo)

Open thread.

This and That in the NewsPost + Comments (123)

Another Tuesday, More Wins for Democrats!

by WaterGirl|  March 25, 20269:50 am| 69 Comments

This post is in: 2026 Elections, Elections, Open Threads

A year ago we probably wouldn’t have covered these races at all.  Now we can see how important even the state races are these days.  They have always been important – Republicans absolutely beat us to the punch re: recognizing the importance of state races.

Another Tuesday, Another Win for Democrats! 3

North Carolina voters have spoken, and the loser is Donal Trump!

The North Carolina primaries were 3 weeks ago, but the State Senate leader insisted on not one, but two, recounts.  Yesterday, after the second recount wasn’t netting him any votes, he finally conceded.

The loser, of course, had been endorsed by Donald Trump.

I have a question:  Is Trump so greedy that if a Republican candidate offered him money NOT to endorse them, would T take the money in spite of the insult?   I ask because it doesn’t seem like his endorsements are helping the recipients in any way.

Florida Man, Shocking News!

Donald Trump – Hypocrite Extraordinaire – Voted by Mail in Florida

Voting for me, but not for thee!

Florida elections – two out of three ain’t bad – two out of three is most excellent!

Dems won two out of three.  As they say, two out of three ain’t bad.  Especially in Florida!

Lots of great details in this article from  270toWin.  Good thing Jackie recently moved to Florida, as it seems like she might be our good luck charm in FL.

Another good article at The Downballot.

In the second massive upset of the night for Florida Democrats, Brian Nathan, a Navy veteran and union official, flipped a state Senate seat that became vacant after Gov. Ron DeSantis tapped its previous occupant to serve as his lieutenant governor.
Nathan overcame a huge financial disadvantage to beat Republican state Rep. Josie Tomkow and win the Tampa-area 14th District. Nathan was leading by a margin of 50.2 to 49.8 when Tomkow conceded.

Earlier in the evening, Democrat Emily Gregory won a separate special election for a state House seat in Palm Beach County that includes Donald Trump’s seaside lair of Mar-a-Lago.

DeSantis himself put the 14th District in peril for the GOP when he elevated Sen. Jay Collins to replace his previous second-in-command last August. Though the district had voted for Donald Trump by a 53-46 margin in 2024, four years earlier, it had gone for Joe Biden 51-47. On Tuesday night, it returned to form.

Florida State Senate 14

Brian Nathan (D), who won, is a Navy veteran and union leader.

The loser, Josie Tomkow, had given up her previous seat in order to “win” this one.  And then she lost.

Too bad, so sad for Josie!

Another Tuesday, Another Win for Democrats! 1

Florida State House 87 – includes Mar-a-lago

This one was a bit of a squeaker, but T won this district by 11 points in 2024. The Republican who had this seat before he resigned won by a 19% margin in 2024.

Trump endorsed the Republican male, of course, who was beaten by a woman!

Another Tuesday, Another Win for Democrats!

Florida State House 51

The person who had vacated this seat – Josie Tomkow – had been reelected by a 57% to 43% margin in 2024.  Not all that far off from these election results.

Another Tuesday, Another Win for Democrats! 2

Nathan’s win represents the 30th legislative seat that has flipped from red to blue since Trump returned to the White House. During that time, Republicans have flipped zero Democratic seats.

Open thread.

Another Tuesday, More Wins for Democrats!Post + Comments (69)

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