• Menu
  • Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Before Header

  • About Us
  • Lexicon
  • Contact Us
  • Our Store
  • ↑
  • ↓
  • ←
  • →

Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

People identifying as christian while ignoring christ and his teachings is a strange thing indeed.

Damn right I heard that as a threat.

And now I have baud making fun of me. this day can’t get worse.

Insiders who complain to politico: please report to the white house office of shut the fuck up.

When we show up, we win.

A snarling mass of vitriolic jackals

One lie, alone, tears the fabric of reality.

Not loving this new fraud based economy.

If ‘weird’ was the finish line, they ran through the tape and kept running.

Polls are now a reliable indicator of what corporate Republicans want us to think.

Mediocre white men think RFK Jr’s pathetic midlife crisis is inspirational. The bar is set so low for them, it’s subterranean.

Second rate reporter says what?

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

“Until such time as the world ends, we will act as though it intends to spin on.”

You don’t get to peddle hatred on saturday and offer condolences on sunday.

Dear media: perhaps we ought to let Donald Trump speak for himself!

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

It’s the corruption, stupid.

Anyone who bans teaching American history has no right to shape America’s future.

You come for women, you’re gonna get your ass kicked.

With all due respect and assumptions of good faith, please fuck off into the sun.

If you are still in the gop, you are either an extremist yourself, or in bed with those who are.

Today’s gop: why go just far enough when too far is right there?

Jesus, Mary, & Joseph how is that election even close?

Mobile Menu

  • Seattle Meet-up Post
  • 2025 Activism
  • Targeted Political Fundraising
  • Donate with Venmo, Zelle & PayPal
  • Site Feedback
  • War in Ukraine
  • Submit Photos to On the Road
  • Politics
  • On The Road
  • Open Threads
  • Topics
  • COVID-19
  • Authors
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Lexicon
  • Our Store
  • Politics
  • Open Threads
  • 2025 Activism
  • Garden Chats
  • On The Road
  • Targeted Fundraising!
You are here: Home / Anderson On Health Insurance / Four Cassidy-Graham State Funds Flow Analyses

Four Cassidy-Graham State Funds Flow Analyses

by David Anderson|  September 20, 20178:50 am| 23 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance

FacebookTweetEmail

Cassidy-Graham-Heller is a real threat. The post below is an inventory of four separate analysis of the flow of funds between states under C-G-H in 2026 compared to current law as projected by the Congressional Budget Office. I am just collating and collecting the information.

Center for Budget Policy and Priorities is a liberal think tank. They use the 2016 budget baseline and attempt to approximate eligibility through the Current Population Survey. They analyse state funding swings in millions of dollars.
The New York Times uses Census, Kaiser Family Foundation, CBPP and CMS data to estimate per capita changes in expenditure by state in 2026.
Manatt is a program design and evaluation consulting firm. They are using 2017 as their cost baseline year with 2015 Medicare spending variations to simulate state level risk adjustment.  I am using Table 1-A.

UPDATE #1 (1045) MY ERROR — Manatt’s initial data displayed was for 2021 not 2026. Will be making a few changes to the data and post.
UPDATE #2 (1105) I updated the column that pulled the Manatt data from 2021 to 2026. That was me not lining up my column headers correctly when I ripped the data from the PDF and put it into a text editor. The second issue is a point that was raised over e-mail. They are evaluating just the change of federal flows to the state due to the block grants and not Medicaid. CBPP looks at both so it is an apples to kiwi fruit comparison.

Avalere is another consulting and analysis firm with their own estimates.  They are looking at total cumulative swing with billions of dollars as their unit of account.  Data is extracted from figure 1.  I will just show direction as I can not merge that data consistently.  If there is a figure of under $1 billion dollars, I am using $500 million as a placeholder.

Update #3 (11:35)  AARP has come out with some limited state specific analysis.  I am not including it at this time.

My data is here. I show direction and size for CBPP, Manat, Avalere and direction only for the New York Times .

More analysis below the fold:

CBPP and the New York Times have the same sign in all cases. Manat  goes in the same direction with 42 states when compared to CBPP/NYT and agrees with Avalere in 41 states.  Avalere agrees with CBPP and NYT in direction forty eight times.

Manat projects that California and New York see federal funds flow decrease by less than $5 billion per state for the block grants by $11 and $13 billion instead of the $28 and $19 billion dollars that these states would lose under the CBPP projections from the combination of block grants and Medicaid per capita caps.

There is going to be a lot of variance based on assumptions that are made for the baseline year, inflation rates, medical inflation rates and a variety of other factors.  The impressive thing, to me, is the general agreement on direction by these four different methods.

FacebookTweetEmail
Previous Post: « Keep on calling
Next Post: Making it easy for the clean up woman »

Reader Interactions

23Comments

  1. 1.

    Elizabelle

    September 20, 2017 at 9:17 am

    I hate them. I just hate them.

    Especially Graham and Cassidy, because they pretended to be better people than they are.

    The Kimmel clip is getting heavy rotation on CNN. I want these fuckers to go down, and I want voters to remember this.

  2. 2.

    sharl

    September 20, 2017 at 9:29 am

    Is the auto-tweet feature for new B-J posts eff’d up? I went ahead and put together a tweet myself, via my own account (few followers + mildly creepy avi), but IMO posts like this deserve to be blasted out from more popular accounts.

  3. 3.

    ArchTeryx

    September 20, 2017 at 9:32 am

    @Elizabelle: The real question always is, will this, pass or fail, translate into votes? Because they will keep trying forever until they fuckiing have the reins of power yanked from their cold little hands.

  4. 4.

    Elizabelle

    September 20, 2017 at 9:43 am

    @ArchTeryx: They have to fail on this one. We have to make that happen, and try to make it hurt.

  5. 5.

    schrodingers_cat

    September 20, 2017 at 9:47 am

    I am getting NRA ads on the mobile site WTF?

  6. 6.

    JPL

    September 20, 2017 at 9:54 am

    @Elizabelle: The so called pro-life party, wants to rip health care from children, and kill millions of others.

  7. 7.

    rikyrah

    September 20, 2017 at 10:00 am

    @Elizabelle:

    I hate them. I just hate them.

    Come sit by me

  8. 8.

    Nicole

    September 20, 2017 at 10:00 am

    I just can’t wrap my head around the awfulness, the absence of humanity, necessary to push this through. How does a soul get so divorced from the human experience that they would kill people in order to give the wealthy even more money they don’t need? I don’t understand. And I don’t understand the mindset of family I have who continue to vote for them. Then again, I don’t really follow sports, so the whole “my team, good or bad” mentality is lost on me, too.

  9. 9.

    mai naem mobile

    September 20, 2017 at 10:00 am

    @schrodingers_cat: be happy. They’re wasting money in targeting a group they’ll never get.

  10. 10.

    mai naem mobile

    September 20, 2017 at 10:09 am

    There was an article in the Guardian a couple of days ago that said that the Kochs have intructed the GOP that their $400M kitty for 2018 is closed unless they pass tax reform and repeal Obamacare. The GOP is too stupid to ask the Kochs them where they’ll go with their $400M if they don’t get it done. Are they going to the Dems? To the Libretarians? Where? Keep in mind the Kochs literally have enough money to spend a million bucks a day and not spend their annual income. These people still want a tax cut.

  11. 11.

    Elizabelle

    September 20, 2017 at 10:09 am

    @rikyrah: With pleasure.

    I hope this goes down to ignominous defeat, and will motivate a huge wave election for Democrats, in 2017 (NJ and VA governorships) and in 2018.

    This is just plain terrorism in my book. It’s the KKK riding again, with a lot of the same targets (and you have become one, if you don’t have healthcare insurance through your job).

  12. 12.

    schrodingers_cat

    September 20, 2017 at 10:12 am

    @rikyrah: I think you were so right about why Rs hate President O. I think its the same thing that drives their hatred of liberals and immigrants too, they can’t stand it that these groups are more successful than they are. The same goes for all the rants about coastal elites. They are petty and jealous.

  13. 13.

    TomatoQueen

    September 20, 2017 at 10:16 am

    I want to make Lindsey Graham sorry he was ever born.

  14. 14.

    Ruckus

    September 20, 2017 at 10:18 am

    @schrodingers_cat:

    They are petty and jealous.

    And these are their better attributes. Everything else is far lower.

  15. 15.

    Ruckus

    September 20, 2017 at 10:19 am

    @TomatoQueen:
    You’ve got a good start. I already am and I bet I’m in a cast of millions.

  16. 16.

    Raoul

    September 20, 2017 at 10:20 am

    @sharl:

    Is the auto-tweet feature for new B-J posts eff’d up?

    This post didn’t end up on FB either, I’d like to share it there, so hope the social media thingy can be de-borked.

    Beyond that, G-C is a shitshow, worse than ‘skinny repeal’ from what I can tell. G-d bless Jimmy Kimmel and let’s hope his very public, very relatable rant just blows up Cassidy completely. We all have to call to make that happen, of course.
    And then, how can we help get his ass unelected from LA? (Which stands to lose $1.5Bn under his own freakin’ plan. Insane).

  17. 17.

    Irony Abounds

    September 20, 2017 at 10:23 am

    Time for a new Al Franken book: Fucking Lies and the Fraudulent Fucking Fuckshits who Fuck America by Telling Them.

  18. 18.

    rikyrah

    September 20, 2017 at 10:25 am

    @mai naem mobile:

    There was an article in the Guardian a couple of days ago that said that the Kochs have intructed the GOP that their $400M kitty for 2018 is closed unless they pass tax reform and repeal Obamacare.

    got a link?

  19. 19.

    sharl

    September 20, 2017 at 10:34 am

    The kind of work David does is essential, especially in dire situations like this. But given the purely partisan politics behind this, a separate initiative might be helpful, specifically one ensuring maximum distribution of self-damning quotes from the supporters of this atrocity. Jeff Stein at Vox put a little something together and posted it this morning, and people on my twitter feed have been excerpting it since:

    GOP senators are rushing to pass Graham-Cassidy. We asked 9 to explain what it does.

    If your immediate response to that title is to note that it looks suitable only for masochists, you wouldn’t be wrong. And if offers no surprises for anyone who has been following along on this topic, i.e., the only thing they have to say in defense of the bill is that it kills Obamacare, and some of the more honest supporters may admit that this enables the tax cuts they want. Despite all that, it doesn’t hurt to have them on record with their brief corridor interviews. They clearly have nothing positive to offer, and their own sociopathic attitudes might serve to (again) rally all those who are already exhausted and busy from having fought this before, as well as life in general (and maybe hurricane recovery as well).

    A couple samples:

    Yeah so that settles it there you gohttps://t.co/v3hwObVpVc pic.twitter.com/gNdYcgEOrb— Jeff Stein (@JStein_Vox) September 20, 2017

    jesus https://t.co/lAz6optWF3 pic.twitter.com/yN4oxO0amL— Ashley Feinberg (@ashleyfeinberg) September 20, 2017

    These creeps are like Sauron’s orcs, they’re never gonna stop until they are wiped out politically.

  20. 20.

    sharl

    September 20, 2017 at 10:41 am

    @Raoul: I just saw that DougJ’s new post was tweeted out. I wonder if front pagers have the option of turning that feature off, in which case maybe David decided it was too wonkish for broad distribution. Or maybe it’s an option the front pagers have to enable, and he forgot to do it. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

  21. 21.

    rikyrah

    September 20, 2017 at 10:45 am

    McCain 202-224-2235

    Murkowski 202-224-6665

    Collins 202-224-2523

    Portman 202-224-3353

    Capito 202-224-6472

    Alexander 202-224-4944

  22. 22.

    sharl

    September 20, 2017 at 10:48 am

    I see one of my comments was thrown into moderation (too many links), so here’s a slimmed down version…

    The kind of work David does is essential, especially in dire situations like this. But given the purely partisan politics behind this, a separate initiative might be helpful, specifically one ensuring maximum distribution of self-damning quotes from the supporters of this atrocity. Jeff Stein at Vox put a little something together and posted it this morning, and people on my twitter feed have been excerpting it since:

    GOP senators are rushing to pass Graham-Cassidy. We asked 9 to explain what it does.

    If your immediate response to that title is to note that it looks suitable only for masochists, you wouldn’t be wrong. And if offers no surprises for anyone who has been following along on this topic, i.e., the only thing they have to say in defense of the bill is that it kills Obamacare, and some of the more honest supporters may admit that this enables the tax cuts they want.

    Despite all that, it doesn’t hurt to have them on record with their brief corridor interviews. They clearly have nothing positive to offer, and their own sociopathic attitudes might serve to (again) rally all those who are already exhausted and busy from having fought this before, as well as life in general (and maybe hurricane recovery as well).

  23. 23.

    Ohio Mom

    September 20, 2017 at 2:33 pm

    @rikyrah: I don’t know how to put a link in a comment but the Guardian article was easy to google, at least the one from June was. Did not see a more recent article listed. But I don’t see why the offer wouldn’t still stand.

    Think what a different world it would be if US newspapers regularly headlined the Kochs and their machinations…

Comments are closed.

Primary Sidebar

On The Road - Mike in Oly - Woodard Bay Natural Resources Conservation Area
Image by Mike in Oly (5/24/25)

Recent Comments

  • Another Scott on New Angel Match for the PA Supreme Court Effort by The Civics Center (May 24, 2025 @ 12:39pm)
  • zhena gogolia on A Lot of Good People Out There, Here’s One of Them (May 24, 2025 @ 12:32pm)
  • Professor Bigfoot on Late Night Open Thread (May 24, 2025 @ 12:29pm)
  • MJN on New Angel Match for the PA Supreme Court Effort by The Civics Center (May 24, 2025 @ 12:26pm)
  • Professor Bigfoot on Late Night Open Thread (May 24, 2025 @ 12:23pm)

PA Supreme Court At Risk

Donate

Balloon Juice Posts

View by Topic
View by Author
View by Month & Year
View by Past Author

Featuring

Medium Cool
Artists in Our Midst
Authors in Our Midst
War in Ukraine
Donate to Razom for Ukraine

🎈Keep Balloon Juice Ad Free

Become a Balloon Juice Patreon
Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

Meetups

Upcoming Ohio Meetup May 17
5/11 Post about the May 17 Ohio Meetup

Calling All Jackals

Site Feedback
Nominate a Rotating Tag
Submit Photos to On the Road
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Links)
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Posts)
Fix Nyms with Apostrophes

Hands Off! – Denver, San Diego & Austin

Social Media

Balloon Juice
WaterGirl
TaMara
John Cole
DougJ (aka NYT Pitchbot)
Betty Cracker
Tom Levenson
David Anderson
Major Major Major Major
DougJ NYT Pitchbot
mistermix

Keeping Track

Legal Challenges (Lawfare)
Republicans Fleeing Town Halls (TPM)
21 Letters (to Borrow or Steal)
Search Donations from a Brand

PA Supreme Court At Risk

Donate

Site Footer

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

  • Facebook
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • Comment Policy
  • Our Authors
  • Blogroll
  • Our Artists
  • Privacy Policy

Copyright © 2025 Dev Balloon Juice · All Rights Reserved · Powered by BizBudding Inc

Share this ArticleLike this article? Email it to a friend!

Email sent!