Vox has called the election for Warnock, and Nate Cohn says it’s about 95% chance Ossoff will win too. I’m going to bed and will leave you with this open thread.
Reader Interactions
155Comments
Comments are closed.
This post is in: 2020 Elections, Open Threads
Vox has called the election for Warnock, and Nate Cohn says it’s about 95% chance Ossoff will win too. I’m going to bed and will leave you with this open thread.
Comments are closed.
sstarr
Amazing. Still can’t believe.
lamh36
!!! fingers crossed!
Cheryl Rofer
While I was writing that, Dave Wasserman was writing this.
ETA: And so was lamh36
Cheryl Rofer
And I love this.
dmsilev
@lamh36: Wasserman is fairly cautious with his calls, so I’ll take that and file it under ‘damn good sign’. A good night.
And, I think this is the only time in my life I have ever said this, but ‘thanks for the good work, Donald Trump, we couldn’t have done it without you.’ Tomorrow, of course, will be an epic clusterfuck because of him.
Jon Marcus
What are the odds this gets rolled into “The Steal” narrative?
JCJ
If the results really do go our way and McConnell is out as majority leader perhaps Stacey Abrams should be awarded a Medal of Freedom.
cmorenc
Keep in mind that there are 17k military and overseas ballots that won’t be counted until the 5pm Friday deadline for such ballots to reach the BOE. And so if either or both of Warnock or Ossoff wind up with leads under 17k tomorrow morning with the rest of the vote all-in, it ain’t over until Fri night or Saturday.
Currently, Warnock is up 35k and Perdue is up by less than 200 votes, with 2% of the vote still out, excepting also the 17k overseas military ballots.
sdhays
@Jon Marcus: I think we may see more pushback from Republicans as they blame Dump’s nonsense for costing the Senate.
dmsilev
@Cheryl Rofer: Will there be a ceremony, like with the big House gavel?
More seriously, assuming the votes are certified before the 20th (a big if, because I’m sure the GOP will do whatever they can to drag things out), how does Senate control work? Until Harris replaces Pence, a 50-50 Senate still tilts GOP, but only for two weeks.
lamh36
CNN letting ya know that the will be pushing this “razor thin” drama narrative until tomorrow…stop watching CNN guys
NoraLenderbee
FTF NYT shows 1800 votes between Purdy-Doo and Ossoff now and I can’t watch any more.
sdhays
@JCJ: Eh, with the people Dump has given that honor, we may need to first create a replacement that is unsullied.
Mary G
Another excellent sign:
patroclus
This is unbelievably fantastic! The Ebenezer pastor is now going to be a Senator! McConnell has been demoted! Schumer will control the Senate voting schedule!! All the Republican Committee chairs will now only be ranking members!!
Dagaetch
So how long will the lawsuits and other excuses allow Mitch to refuse to seat them, a la Pennsylvania today?
RandomMonster
@Jon Marcus: “The Steal” narrative is capable of absorbing any result.
lamh36
Mary G
Anya
@Jon Marcus: They started that at around 9pm
Punchy
Im way more pessimistic that this will go the full Norm Coleman/Al Fraken route. Perhaps the Judiciary will speed up the reviews? Otherwise why wouldnt McConnell delay this to the fullest?
ETA: did they stop counting at midnight EST? Sure seems like it….
cmorenc
If the Ga results do produce a 50-50 Senate with the Ds controlling bc of VP Harris able to break ties – let’s hope there aren’t any D Senators deciding to go maverick on their own caucus.
HumboldtBlue
Let it be a positive night.
Warnock ahead by 30-thousand votes.
Wow.
Chris
WaPo has had Ossoff stuck at 1,888 votes behind “with nearly all votes counted” for a while now (at one point it was only 400 or so), but at least it, and everyone else, seems to have Warnock in the safe zone.
One down…
lamh36
Damnit guess I’m gonna have to stay up?
Jim, Foolish Literalist
I AM THE THIRD LEAST UNPOPULAR ADULT TRUMP CHILD! HEAR MY WORDS! FEAR MY WRATH! Have you seen my wife who is hot if she’s professionally made-up and you don’t get the cameras too close? and shut up about “dollar store Ivanka”!
surprised his fingers didn’t snap off with those first four words
Wag
@Jon Marcus: somewhere north of 100%
oclib
Starting to wonder when, not if, that the orange one rains new hell onto Kemp for choosing Loeffler over Collins…..love it when they eat their own….. :)
RinaX
My god, I was so negative about this race. I live in Duval County, which is basically South Georgia, and saw nothing but non-stop negative ads against both, especially Warnock. So glad to be proven wrong.
Election night was like blowing up the Death Star. Tonight we took out Palpatine.
Keith P.
Holy shit.
Yutsano
No letting off the gas. We need an expanded Senate and an expanded House in 2022. So somehow we need to keep the Democratic electorate engaged.
But in the meantime…come 1/21 there will be $2000 relief checks. We’ll be back in the Paris climate agreement. Biden will get a Cabinet installed. Many many other good things will come about.
And Georgia has made history. Its first Black Senator. Its first Jewish Senator.
I was all set to be let down tonight. I am so happy for the people of Georgia.
sdhays
@Yutsano: I had forgotten that Ossoff is Jewish. Amazing night!
Anya
Just turned on MSNBC. THey’re showing too close to call. I wonder if they’ll cover the Warnock speech?
cain
yes, it will look a lot like this – after receiving the gavel –
NotMax
No, sonny, gramps isn’t off his meds. There really was a time these things were wrapped up before midnight.
:)
jonas
@patroclus: Not so sure. The last time there was a 50-50 split in the senate (during W’s admin, I believe), the parties worked out some kind of co-chairmanship situation with rules both parties had to agree to, split committee chairs, etc. No idea if McConnell and Schumer will agree to that or not this time around.
Mike in NC
But the Beltway Media need to work on their annual Democrats in Disarray message.
cain
@patroclus:
MLK Day is going to be extra special!
Chris
@jonas:
They had fucking well better not.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
(not to be that guy, Stu, but you might’ve mentioned this earlier. YOu’re on TV a lot, and you get retweeted by people I follow, seems to me I should’ve heard this from before you… but we won, so…. s’all good man)
Mary G
sdhays
@jonas: If the shoe we’re on the other foot, McConnell would tell Schumer to go f*ck himself.
Elizabelle
@Anya: They said they’re going to the Warnock speech shortly.
Ads now.
Punchy
@jonas: there’s no way today’s GOP would agree to do anything that involved “sharing”. Either be in charge and run over Dems, or behind them and make fundraising bankroll claiming Victim Status To Mean Dems!
Anya
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: Joyce Alene is saying that this strengthens the case that that Trump’s call was a criminal extortion.
david
@cmorenc: If you say the word “Manchin” three times…
patroclus
@jonas: That’ accurate. But at that time, the deal was in exchange for no Democratic Senator challenging the electoral vote count. The Republicans are going to foolishly do that anyway tomorrow, so no dice on a similar deal this time.
Anya
@Elizabelle: oh good. I will wait.
Anya
@Mary G: ETTD
Let us pray…
TS (the original)
I have been busy in my world & too scared to check in – I sure picked the best time to go online. Best congratulations to all those who voted for democracy in Georgia & to all those on BJ who supported financially & otherwise the democratic candidates.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@david: … the image of Angus King appears in your mirror?
actually, I think Angus King is pretty tired of Republicans. He won’t support any of the more ambitious goals of the Dems (court expansions, filibuster elimination), but I’d be surprised if he wanted to give the likes of Cruz and Hawley any rewards
Snarlymon
Great googley moogley. I’ll have to wait till tomorrow morning to make sure that this is not some pleasant dream.
HumboldtBlue
Warnock’s speech has been postponed.
Chetan Murthy
@Anya:
What are she and Barbara McQuade doing in the Biden Administration? I can’t count the number of times their sober legal analysis was a balm during the Dark Times.
lamh36
Did the nets call for Warnock yet?
If Stacey’s calling it, I’m calling it!
WaterGirl
@jonas: Hell no. These are not our father’s republicans. These Republicans wouldn’t do that for us. That was a different time.
Steeplejack
MisterForkbeard
@RinaX: I expected us to lose and was cautioning everyone I knew to keep expectations in check.
Never happier to be (probably) wrong, and I’ve broken out the whiskey tonight in celebration. May even take tomorrow off.
HumboldtBlue
@Steeplejack:
Ba-dum-tssh!
Steeplejack
Okay, Brian Williams actually made a funny joke:
(Relationship advice:) “Find someone in your life who looks at you the way Mike Pence looks at Donald Trump.”
patroclus
Warnock becoming a Senator is a stunning sea change in the course of American history. The arc of the moral universe is long, but it bends towards justice. Justice is raining down like water and righteousness like a mighty stream tonight!
sdhays
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: My big ask is statehood for DC. There’s no legitimate argument against it. Most other stuff I assume we need a bigger majority to start dreaming. I don’t know Manchin’s position on that, or King’s, but it should be a no-brainer, and even non-partisan except that DC is heavily Democratic.
Punchy
Kelly the Witch is now claiming she has a path to victory. I assume that means judge-shopping her LEKSHUN FRAWT! stupidity for the next few weeks.
Delk
Will corpse hands retire if he can’t be majority leader?
Elizabelle
James Carville: “Pence and Mother are going to go back to Indiana to hide.”
Says he’s enjoying watching this. Earlier was talking about how the GOP is going to turn on each other.
Will be fun to find a video of Carville’s whole appearance. He is pumped.
Quinerly
But… Lin Wood and George Papadopoulos are Tweeting something cryptic about Italy and Obama conspiring to rig the Georgia election. And, something, something Pakistan…
Jim, Foolish Literalist
If you’re not familiar with Adam Serwer (author of the much quoted “The Cruelty Is The Point”)
Anya
I hope our side has learned a lesson just continue to say WE WON and start congratulating the winners. We should never give an inch to these anti-democratic sore losers.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@NotMax: Midnight eastern or midnight island time? Still got a ways to go before the later.
sanjeevs
@sdhays: Yup, but they’ll need to end filibuster for DC statehood to pass
patroclus
I think we should all take our hats off to Hugo Chavez, who died in 2013, but (according to Sidney Powell), is the proximate cause of tonight’s stunning events.
sdhays
@sanjeevs: Just put it in reconciliation. Done.
Cameron
@sdhays: From Georgia. The state where Leo Frank was lynched.
NotMax
@BillinGlendaleCA
On this blog times are always presumed to be Eastern unless noted otherwise.
Not that I necessarily endorse said policy.
:)
WaterGirl
starting to speak now
https://www.pscp.tv/w/1ypKdgMkOkgxW
MisterForkbeard
@sanjeevs: Maybe not – honestly, I’m not sure what would happen if they put it and PR up for statehood. Some republicans might actually vote for that, given that they have somewhat of a chance at getting PR’s senate votes. And the vote would actually HAPPEN, unlike now.
Anya
@Elizabelle: laughed so hard at that
Martin
@cmorenc: They wouldn’t dare.
Dems need to make hay here. Kamala is going to be the busiest person in DC for at last 2 years.
gwangung
@Anya: Or, as they say…get practice saying, “Fuck you. We won.”
lamh36
Listening to Warnock via Periscope!
Kent
Like I just said on the other thread. To be a fly on the wall in McConnell’s living room right now.
HumboldtBlue
Let us rise up and greet the morning …
NotMax
@Martin
It does bother me a mite she hasn’t yet relinquished her Senate seat, though. The day after the electoral college votes were cast would have been the opportune moment.
patroclus
It’s dark now (we’re losing a 9/11 and a Pearl Harbor number of lives per day), but joy will come in the morning.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
Warnock will be on the ballot again in 2022, no? Since this is Isakson’s 2016 term he’s completing
ETA: Which will put him on a ballot with (I’m assuming) Stacey Abrams for governor?
ETA, A: Which will be after a primary in which the trump family is vowing revenge on Kemp and Raffensberger on the other side? Hellzapoppin!
Mary G
MisterForkbeard
@NotMax: Nah. Better to hold on until Mitch loses his majority. She might be (and was) needed for some votes.
lamh36
The nets are full of shit on not calling the race for Warnock. Any other time, they would have already called it.
Fuq’n bullshit.
But like I said, oh well, if Stacey’s calling it for Warnock…I’m calling it. Fuq the nets and their phony azz bullshit!
https://twitter.com/staceyabrams/status/1346688723942060034?s=20
Good night folks and LET’S GO OSSOFF!
NotMax
I hope Jimmy and Rosalynn Carter managed to stay up late enough to see this.
gwangung
@Mary G: Tough boogies, PBoys. Be proud of your stands…you shouldn’t mind if people know what your opinions are.
NotMax
@MisterForkbeard
The seat would not have had time to grow cool before the appointed replacement was sworn in.
david
… waiting for that damn number to go above 49.99%.
Meh, bedtime.
JaySinWA
We are only 2 recounts and 60 lawsuits from winning!
Viva BrisVegas
@sdhays: Ossoff is also half-Australian and was a dual citizen for a while.
lamh36
@NotMax: It’s not uncommon actually many others before Harris did not resign the seat until almost inauguration day, including Joe Biden
So why so many harping on Harris about it is ridiculous, IMO
lamh36
Alright…I’m off to bed. Hopefully in the AM more votes come in and it’s finally called for Warnock and Ossoff!
With the electoral college shit tmrw, it’s already gonna be a shit show..smh
JaySinWA
Proud boys, proud boys, whatcha gonna do? Whatcha gonna do when they come for you?
https://twitter.com/JaySinWA/status/1346694062166851585
And what will the police union do?
Comrade Colette
@NotMax: She’s my Senator and although I rejoice at her election as VP, I’ll also be sorry to lose her as Senator, so no, I’m fine with keeping her in the Senate until the last possible second. Also, who knows what fuckery could ensue in the next two weeks. She’s our safety.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@lamh36: A lot of times a Senator that’s leaving for another office will resign before the start of the next Congress to give their successor seniority.
Mary G
Chuck Schumer isn’t my favorite, but I am so glad that he’s going to be the first Jewish Majority Leader in history.
I am also glad to see the great circular firing squad forming up on the right:
rikyrah
@jonas:
Nope ?
Not sharing
NotMax
@lamh36
Oh for Pete’s sake. I’m not harping on her, just expressing what my preference was.
mrmoshpotato
@JaySinWA: What is this Trump trash? What about their orange god emperor bellowing about “Laawww and Odor”?
Oh, right, that was all dog-whistle bullshit.
cain
@Mary G:
Fine the living shit out of them.
cain
@Yutsano:
Er wasn’t Joe Lieberman Jewish?
ETA oh never mind – Georgia’s first Jewish senator.
It’s about time – looks like Georgia is changing, just like North Carolina – but looks like the South is finally losing the civil war.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
What’s he gonna do if Pence figures out what everyone else has known for years, that he doesn’t have a political future for trump to destroy?
mrmoshpotato
@Mary G: When Erik Son of Erick is calling you assclowns for playing yourselves…
JWR
OMG! Are you guys sure? Can this possibly be happening? I’ve avoided the news, leaving it to you guys to give me the bad news after the fact, (also, no fucking charges against the cop who shot Jason Blair because the cop “feared for his life”, ie. is, and remains, a fucking COWARD!), but if this is true, well just Hell Yes!
?BillinGlendaleCA
@cain: Joe wasn’t a Senator from Georgia.
Yutsano
@cain: First from Georgia sorry. And I thought Schumer beat Lieberman? I’d have to look really fast.
EDIT: looks like the first Senator of Jewish ancestry* from Florida of all places.
* father was Jewish.
mrmoshpotato
Are you thinking White Bread Dense will show some anger?
That would be hilarious, and mocked until the death of the Sun.
West of the Rockies
@Mary G:
Whoa, Redstate Eric is mocking Republicans? Oh, what a world, what a world…
JaySinWA
Phrasing. And really can Pence keep it up and follow the rules?
Anya
@NotMax: Maybe she was asked not to because her vote was needed.
Mary G
????????
Steeplejack
The hits keep coming.
mrmoshpotato
@Steeplejack: I’m a jeans-and-flannel-wearing private jet owner!
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Yutsano:
I think Lieberman was already gone (post 2012?) when Harry Reid stepped down, I think Durbin was Schumer’s main rival
cain
@Mary G:
He’s going to end up a pariah if he keeps talkin that way. Hopefully he doesn’t end up joining us. I’m happy to have Tom Nichols on our side since he’s a fairly sane conservative – but not that dude.
lamh36
@NotMax: not just talking bout you sorry.
there was ALOT of talk on the SM particularly the bird app on the same thing that why I said harping.
Also…the pattern when it comes to Kamala Harris is all of a sudden making it seems like “what is she doing”, when she’s doing nothing different than any other pol before her. The same thing would happens with HRC if she’d won as well.
just kinda aggravating that it keeps happening ??♀️
NotMax
@BillinGlendaleCA
Thank you for pointing that out. In the semi-ossified halls of the Senate, a smidgen of additional seniority is no small potatoes.
Mary G
@cain: Nichols isn’t going to last. He’s already warning Democrats not to do anything he doesn’t approve of.
Comrade Colette
@cain:
Eww. No. Do not want.
Steeplejack
MSNBC is still going strong! They’re burning up all their analysts. Morning Joe is gonna be running on empty.
Yamiche Alcindor does not look like an after-midnight type person. No makeup and ready to go to bed right after Lawrence O’Donnell lets her go. (Beautiful complexion.)
?BillinGlendaleCA
@NotMax: I think one of the reasons Biden didn’t resign early from the Senate is that his appointed replacement was a caretaker, there would be a special election in a short period of time. In California, we don’t do caretakers, Padilla will be up for election in 2022(that would be the end of VP-elect Harris’ term).
Mary G
Kamala doesn’t exactly have a lot of seniority; she was elected in 2018. So one freshman taking over for another freshman isn’t a huge advantage.
2liberal
patrick II
@Jim, Foolish Literalist:
I have thought that Pence will essentially do what he has to do after putting on some show of “fairness”. But I think that because I see no national political future for him. What does he think? The core Senatorial poseurs have ambitions for 2024. Does he think he has a shot?
?BillinGlendaleCA
@2liberal:
And you’d probably get two Republicans. You DO NOT want to divide California, “Whiskey’s for drinking Water’s for fighting”.
Steeplejack (phone)
Tucker Carlson not taking it well.
Kattails
For my next wish, I want someone in the Senate tomorrow to play this Don Winslow short by way of bitch-slapping Josh Hawley with his “Antifa thugs” BS. Then censure him. That would just be so sweet.
NotMax
Trivia:
Even though the Constitution specifically forbids any religious test for holding office, the Senate came real close to spitting on that.
Comrade Colette
@2liberal:
You’re not from around here, are you?
mrmoshpotato
@?BillinGlendaleCA:
@2liberal: And San Francisco becomes its own state, and LA, and Chicago becomes its own state while we’re being insane. :)
VOR
@Mary G: Kamala Harris was elected to the Senate in 2016, not 2018. But the Senior Senator from CA is Dianne Feinstein who has been in the Senate since 1992. Harris giving up her seat early is not going to put her replacement ahead of Feinstein in seniority.
Ruckus
@cain:
Land the plane, kick their asses off and refuse to sell them tickets to anywhere. Maybe even have them arrested for endangering the flight. Sue them for all the extra costs, landing fees, refueling, etc.
Comrade Colette
When do Warnock and Ossoff get sworn in? (Assuming, for the sake of the argument, that their elections are certified in the way we used to think of as normal.)
?BillinGlendaleCA
@VOR: No, but the idea is to give them seniority over the new Senators that were elected in November.
Elizabelle
@Mary G: They’re screaming that Biden is a pedophile.
What delightful people.
Lock their little asses right up. I actually think the airline might be ahead of us on having these charmers escorted off the plane.
Steeplejack (phone)
Seriously, Tucker not taking it well.
sgrAstar
@NotMax: huh? Gavin has already named her successor. Senator Padilla, welcome to Washington.
?
Calouste
@Mary G: The airline should tell them they can walk back to Texas.
Viva BrisVegas
@Comrade Colette: Going by Al Franken’s election in 2008, some time in June.
Steeplejack
@2liberal:
Maybe you should go lie down and breathe into a paper bag until your election erection subsides. Your brain’s not getting enough blood flow. ?
Elizabelle
@Calouste: They can swim home.
Through their river of tears.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@sgrAstar: Padilla won’t be the Senator until the seat is vacant. I’m sure that Sen. Harris has reasons for not resigning early, maybe related to tomorrow’s shitshow; but resigning early would have giving Padilla seniority over the new incoming Senators.
JaySinWA
deleted for misunderstanding.
David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch
Ossoff youngest Senator (age 33) to be elected since Joe Biden was elected 48 years ago at age 30
DropKicker1
@Mike in NC:
Oh, and suddenly be very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very, very worried about the deficit.
Good on you, Real America!
Mike
cain
I think his tweet was more around not to get into too much ideological fights with the left – which I think is sound advice. We’ve already seen Justice Dems and their showboating about M4A. Luckily, they seem to be losing influence because of all that attacking they are doing.
cain
@Ruckus:
Land the plane at the nearest airport – kick all them out, take out with the right passengers. Fine them and then do not refund their money.
Also give them some masks.
Just Some Fuckhead
@Steeplejack (phone): Tucker’s description of Ossoff reminds me of a young bowtied conservative many years ago who broke into prominent conservative journalism in his early 20s largely on the connections of his wealthy family.
Nashville_fan
Ding ding the Mitch is dead!
Ruckus
@cain:
If you are going to give them things to wear how about handcuffs?
I’ve had to sit next to people who worked at letting everyone around them know they were conservative assholes. I’m on a plane I just want to get where I’m going, not have a political discussion with an asshole or have to listen to an adult child throw a tantrum. Worst thing I ever did on a plane was fall asleep (window seat) before the plane took off, except that they closed the door and backed the plane up about 20 ft. I woke up a bit later, looked out the window and thought I was having a Twilight Zone dream when I saw the brick wall next to the plane and asked the guy next to me if we’d landed. “Fuck you, you bastard, you’ve been asleep for 45 minutes and are the only person on the plane not pissed off that we haven’t left yet!” I couldn’t help but laugh my ass off. He laughed as well, it was a great ice breaker for the entire plane. I could have been snoring, which would have made it even better.
Steeplejack
@Just Some Fuckhead:
Yeah, I seem to remember. Can’t quite place the name . . .