Japan is seizing the moment:
Fumio Kishida, Japan’s prime minister, said that southern Kuril Islands are a sovereign part of his country, and not part of Russia, which has controlled the group of islands since 1945.
Speaking in the Diet earlier this week, Kishida told lawmakers the Kuril Islands are “original territories of Japan”.
The islands have been a point of controversy between Japan and the Russia for decades. Moscow took control of the islands after World War II in 1945.
Putin’s girlfriend Alina and their four children go into hiding in luxury chalet in Switzerland
In recent years, the Japanese government had refrained from referring to the islands as its “original territories” in order to avoid upsetting the Russian government.
However, following the global anti-Moscow sentiment since the invasion of Ukraine, the Japanese government has reinstated its historic claim on the islands.
Everyone has seen the bully is weak and their conventional forces are shit, and people are not scared anymore. This is particularly troubling for Russia because:
1.) Japan and the United States has bilateral defense agreements.
2.) The US has defense agreements with most of Europe and many other places
3.) Russians can’t afford a two front war much less the one they have now and are stressed in other places they have gotten themselves involved in like Syria.
4.) Japan is in a better position to defend those islands
5.) Japan actually has a pretty amazing Navy, where the Russian navy is old cold war shit and a couple vanity projects they can’t really afford.
Again, this is Adam’s gig, but no matter what the eventual outcome in Ukraine is, there is a going to be a global re-ordering because of Putin’s folly.
I expect China to do what China always does. Sit by and root for injuries. Which, were I China, I would do, too. Where as the American memory lasts til about 15 minutes after we take the yellow ribbons off the trees or the “Never Forget” sticker peels off the car or we trade it in, and the European memory last decades and decades, the Chinese memory lasts hundreds of centuries. So I expect them to simply make vague and conflicting statements while condemning US actions and waiting for this all to end and then simply filling the void filled by American and European industries that will no longer be welcome in a diminished Russia and buy Russian oil for dirt cheap. it will be like Trump’s idiotic trade war with China, except China will be one offering to sell shit and trade with Russia, instead of every other country rushing to trade with China and our soybean farmers and producers getting fucked by Trump.
Not to mention, we’ll probably have our hands full dealing with all the weapons we are shipping into Ukraine that have now fallen into the wrong hands.
I also expect these insult like what Japan is doing right now to further drive Putin mental and make him more violent and erratic, and the people of Ukraine will bear the brunt of that anger for now.