U.S: 93.1% of infections now blamed on JN.1
The days of the super-variants are not yet numbered.
CBS News https://t.co/VSHx5Iezbv
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) February 6, 2024
… The CDC’s latest biweekly estimate of the variant’s spread was published Friday. It comes as key trends reflecting COVID-19’s spread are now showing signs of slowing, following a peak over the winter holidays.
“Several key indicators are showing decreasing levels of activity nationally,” the agency said Friday in its weekly respiratory viruses report.
Only the South has seen trends of the virus rise in wastewater over recent weeks, according to the CDC’s tally through Feb. 1.
Most parts of the country are also seeing steep slowdowns in COVID-19 cases diagnosed in emergency rooms, except in the South where trends now appear to have roughly plateaued in some states…
Last night's update: 248,733 new cases, nearly 2,600 new deaths https://t.co/UhRXJQbuSW
— BNO News (@BNOFeed) February 5, 2024
This is the 5th week in a row with more than 2,000 new deaths, or 11,788 deaths combined. This is also the 21st week in a row with more than 1,000 new deaths, or more than 35,000 during the same period.
— BNO News (@BNOFeed) February 5, 2024
Biobot update 2/5/2024:
Biobot showing an upswing, though I'm skeptical that it's real. I would guess BB corrects down next week. Explanation follows in subtweets.
🔸1,000,000 new infections/day
🔸1 in every 330 became infected today
🔸1 in every 33 people currently infected pic.twitter.com/5MNpeMs7MW— JWeiland (@JPWeiland) February 6, 2024
Vaccines may work better if arms are alternated for each shot https://t.co/F3sNX67ueI via @medical_xpress
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) February 6, 2024
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Excess mortality data puts the total deaths from Dec. 2019-Jan2024 at closer to 35 million. That's direct #COVID19 fatalities + an increase in other-cause deaths due to #pandemic pressures on health systems & other factors. #WHO reckons the direct #COVID share may be 21 M. https://t.co/mOOmOG5TT4
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) February 5, 2024
"The virus is rampant. We’re still in a pandemic. There’s a lot of complacency at the individual level, and more concerning to me is that at the government level" @mvankerkhove, WHO COVID response leader
New piece in Scientific American by @meghanbartels: https://t.co/jwbLhXIZvC pic.twitter.com/1QKgHccWKC
— Dr. Lucky Tran (@luckytran) February 6, 2024
For four years now, either as a physical virus or as a looming threat, the COVID-causing pathogen SARS-CoV-2 has been the elephant in every room—sometimes confronted and sometimes ignored but always present. While once we dreamed of eradicating COVID, now much of society has resigned itself to SARS-CoV-2’s constant presence—a surrender that would once have been unthinkable.
Worldwide, there were more than 11,000 reported deaths from COVID between mid-December 2023 and mid-January 2024, and more than half of those deaths occurred in the U.S. In that same time frame, nearly one million cases were reported to the World Health Organization globally (although reduced testing and reporting means this is likely a vast undercount). In particular, epidemiologists are monitoring the newest variant of SARS-CoV-2, JN.1, and looking for any signs that it may be more severe than previous strains.
Although the WHO declared an end to the COVID public health emergency in May 2023, the organization has emphasized that the pandemic isn’t over—it’s just entered an endemic phase, which means that the virus will continue to circulate indefinitely. Throughout the past four years, Maria Van Kerkhove, now interim director of the WHO’s Department of Epidemic and Pandemic Preparedness and Prevention, has helped lead the agency’s response to COVID. Scientific American spoke with Van Kerkhove about entering the fifth year of a pandemic that many want to ignore despite its permanent impact on lives around the world.
How would you describe the overall state of COVID at this point in the pandemic?
COVID’s not in the news every day, but it’s still a global health risk. If we look at wastewater estimates, the actual circulation [of SARS-CoV-2] is somewhere between two and 20 times higher than what’s actually being reported by countries. The virus is rampant. We’re still in a pandemic. There’s a lot of complacency at the individual level, and more concerning to me is that at the government level.
Lack of access to lifesaving tools such as diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines is still a problem. Demand for vaccination is very low around the world. The misinformation and disinformation that’s out there is hampering the ability to mount an effective response. So we feel there’s a lot more work to do, in the context of everything else—[we no longer have a] COVID lens only, of course, but using masks for respiratory pathogens that transmit through the air is a no-brainer—plus vaccination, plus distancing, plus improving ventilation. People are living their life; we’re not trying to stop anyone from doing anything, but we’re trying to work with governments to make sure they do that as safely as possible.
We don’t know everything about this virus. Even in year five, there’s still a lot of research that needs to be done…
Are there any other things you’d like people to know about COVID right now?
I think it’s important that we continue to talk about it. We understand you don’t want to hear about it. I don’t want to talk about it. But we need to because there’s more we can do. We cannot prevent all infections. We cannot prevent all deaths. But there’s a hell of a lot more that we can do to really keep people safe and save them from losing a loved one.
China: JN.1 variant dominant as Covid rises again.
Cases expected to rise due to the Spring Festival holidays in mid-February.
Times of India:https://t.co/QGXd02bDa9
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) February 6, 2024
Alarming Surge in Japan’s COVID-19 Cases; 10 Weeks Straight Increase, Half Aged 14 and Underhttps://t.co/DdTaUyAhW0
— SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) (@COVID19_disease) February 3, 2024
Russia: Covid still increasing in Moscow
6,505 people caught COVID-19 in Moscow last week. 585 people were hospitalized, 5,134 recovered and 18 patients died.
A week earlier, 5,066 cases were reported.
Interfaxhttps://t.co/e9TROqTTYe
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) January 31, 2024
Greece: 161 Covid test stations now open for free rapid tests
A full list of all 161 testing stations that are now operating in Greece is published.https://t.co/uPsD5bEkph
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) February 6, 2024
Sicknote Britain: Numbers long-term ill hits another record high of 2.8m in the wake of Covid
Some 2.813million people were in the category in the three months to November, according to revised official figures.https://t.co/W1toiMXI3J
— SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) (@COVID19_disease) February 6, 2024
Brazil: 7 municipalities recommend the use of facemasks in healthcare facilities in Mato Grosso
Seven cities have a very high risk of Covid contamination, and 39 municipalities are considered high riskhttps://t.co/7x1YedTaHx
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) February 6, 2024
Canadian COVID Forecast: Feb 3-16, 2024
SEVERE: CAN, AB, BC, MB, NB, NL, North, NS, ON, PEI, QC, SK
VERY HIGH: none
HIGH: none
ELEVATED: none
MODERATE: none
LOW: noneAbout 1 in 19 people in Canada are CURRENTLY infected. pic.twitter.com/rijbKytWqp
— Tara Moriarty (@MoriartyLab) February 4, 2024
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#Covid infections make insomnia more likely, especially in people w/ anxiety or depression, according to new research from scientists in Vietnam. Team found substantial insomnia among non-hospitalized Covid survivors who had histories of depression/anxiety https://t.co/CFAs9oJN8F
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) February 5, 2024
Cognitive slowing may be a hallmark of #LongCovid. Pronounced cognitive slowing was evident when #LongCovid patients took a 30-second test measuring simple reaction time. Marked slowing was evident among these patients compared w/ age-matched controls https://t.co/gsGZZyuYFt
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) February 5, 2024
In a prospective study of cognitive deficits after Covid, about half recovered at a median follow up of 2 years https://t.co/A0XjIjYQ3q #LongCovid 12% of participants under age 35 had cognitive deficits at baseline; reinfections did not have an adverse effect pic.twitter.com/8j0m6Jxa25
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) February 3, 2024
An early estimate from @CDCgov suggests the fall #Covid shot has a vaccine effectiveness of 54%. About equally protective against XBB.1.5 viruses (what it targets) and JN.1 viruses, which have taken over since the vaccines was made. https://t.co/Mhjiky95IM
— Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 (@HelenBranswell) February 1, 2024
Here's a simplified translation of the findings by @UCLA and collaborators https://t.co/5JoUwXzX47 pic.twitter.com/gILNq0BX2A
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) February 2, 2024
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US government failure to protect frontline workers from COVID led to thousands of deaths
And it still continues to this day. https://t.co/fVS0d33eXB
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) February 2, 2024
A dangerous ‘side effect’ of pandemic anti-vaxx propaganda:
Antivaxxers are trying to bring back measles—and they're doing a great job. Europe has had >30k cases. By the way, measles can be fatal. That's why a vax was developed. Below a measles map indicating states where measles cases have been confirmed https://t.co/90FhlCFJlS pic.twitter.com/h4oiMpmbKQ
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) February 6, 2024
sab
Of course Ohio has measles, because we are idiots.2
Evap
I got Covid for the second time, tested positive a few days ago. Very mild symptoms but I’m taking Paxil anyway at my docs advice. My first bout was in July 2022 and the symptoms were much worse. Nobody around me seems to have it and I’m not sure how I got it.
OzarkHillbilly
Which is the same as saying, “Vaccines may not work any better if arms are alternated for each shot.”
Either way it makes no difference to me because I can never remember which arm I got the shot in the last time. I always say, “It doesn’t matter.” when they ask.
Baud
@OzarkHillbilly:
I don’t trust any shots that aren’t in the ass.
comrade scotts agenda of rage
*Now* they tell me about the alternating arm. I’m swimming in Moderna vaccine, all thru my right arm. For almost two years, I thought something was amiss when it *wasn’t* hurting from one shot or another.
OzarkHillbilly
SNAFU for me.
Measles in Clay County? Color me not surprised.
lowtechcyclist
@Baud:
Easier to administer to someone who doesn’t wear pants.
OzarkHillbilly
@Baud: The ass gets only the best shots!
lowtechcyclist
@comrade scotts agenda of rage:
My last two Covid shots (fall 2022 and fall 2023) I’ve gotten flu shots at the same time, and I have no idea which shot went in which arm either time, since I had one in each arm to spread the pain around.
Last time, the soreness wore off after about a day in both arms, so no big deal for me.
raven
@Baud: You obviously never had a Gamma globulin shot in the ass.
raven
@OzarkHillbilly: Choi Duk!
Scout211
Reposted from way downstairs, but relevant to this thread:
While everyone is celebrating the DC Circuit Court decision smacking down Trump’s total immunity nonsense, another Circuit Court issued a ruling Monday that was good to hear.
Refusing to wear a mask during a health emergency is not free speech.
TBone
Insomnia✓
Slower reaction time✓
Horrid dry cough✓
Other lingering symptoms✓
Anxiety✓
Paxlovid: no soup for you!
TBone
@Scout211: much appreciated both times you posted.
Lapassionara
Thanks, AL, for keeping us informed.
OzarkHillbilly
@raven: I had to google that and the searches all showed up as people, such as
South Koreans mourn teen hero who made first emergency call from ferry
My Korean is limited to a few insults I learned from a vet* who served there. For all I know he made them up as a joke.
*He was a good guy to hang out with, went to Vietnam too where he cooked for Westmoreland during his tour there. I was very happy he was on that island with me as we were the only 2 normal people there. (the other 2 were Peter Thiel rich). The first gay man I ever actually got to really know.
raven
@OzarkHillbilly: It is, in fact, GI slang in Vietnam. ”
“Trời đất” (heaven and earth) is also a phrase for exclamation.
Said in a southern Vietnamese accent it (kinda) sounds like “Choi duk”
“Trời ơi” means “oh heavens!” There’re a few alternatives to this interjection. If you want to be extra melodramatic you can use “trời đất quỷ thần ơi” (oh heaven, earth, demons and gods)
New Deal democrat
As distressingly common, the Biobot and CDC wastewater analyses disagree. The CDC shows a 40% decrease nationwide, but a complete rebound in the South. Contrarily, Biobot shows a 10% rebound nationally, all from the Northeast.
Perhaps more noteworthy, hospitalizations have declined almost 40% from their holiday peak, from 35,000 to 23,000. Deaths continued to increase slightly through the week of January 13, to 2,100. If they follow the same path as hospitalizations, in the next several weeks they will decline to about 1,300.
As to JN.1, its vanquishing of all other variants so quickly suggests that it has been burning through the most vulnerable population. If so, that would also suggest a more rapid decline this spring.
H.E.Wolf
Seconded.
Soprano2
@OzarkHillbilly: I got a story alert on my phone a couple of days ago about that. These idiot anti-vaxxers are having to learn this lesson all over again. Too many people are bad at learning from the experience of others.
Our weekly wastewater counts are down, so that tracks against Biobot. Plus that first tweet – Covid will probably continue to change forever.
Soprano2
@raven: Hubby still talks about that one!
OzarkHillbilly
@raven: Thanx, I now have another bastardized Korean saying added to my vocabulary!
Chris T.
Measles in Monkey County (Montgomery Co MD)?!
(I grew up in that county, back when it was semi-swanky, maybe it still is. Certainly Potomac MD has to still be all hoity toity.)
Expletive Deleted
Does anyone known what the cost actually is for getting the Covid shot at the moment? I’m a UK resident now but will be back in SoCal in a few weeks and figured I’d see what my options were since you cant get it here anymore. (That might be changing in April, but still)
But the Walgreens appointment form seems to assume you have insurance.
Scout211
@Expletive Deleted:
Here’s what GoodRx says:
tarzanne
I received a COVID booster in September and would like to receive another one soon as I understand they lose effectiveness after six months. I have seen no announcement as to whether I will be allowed to get another booster before next fall (or any risks if I do). Could you look into this from your sources over the next few weeks? It would be very helpful for many of us. Thanks!
sab
@tarzanne: I had the exact same question.
Another Scott
@tarzanne:
Made me look… CDC.gov:
It’s a long page, but it says people who are “moderately or severely immunocompromised” can get an additional dose and that vaccination providers should not deny someone who wants an additional dose because they don’t have documentation.
HTH a little.
Cheers,
Scott.
tarzanne
Thank you, Scott!