Santorum way up in MO with a quarter in, up in MN and CO, but with under 5% in.
I still don’t see how Romney can lose the nomination, but who knows? Everything will be fine, I’m sure, just so long as voters are making appropriate apolitical judgements.
Update. Teevee calls MN and MO for Santorum.
chopper
Just because mitt isn’t going to lose ain’t gonna make his tears any less delicious.
RinaX
Santorum’s been declared the winner in MO. What the hell, man?
Baud
If anyone other than Mitt gets the nom, I might make a $5 sympathy donation to Karl Rove’s SuperPAC.
dmsilev
I see the Romneytronic 3000 is currently running in third in Minnesota, and is only a hair’s breadth ahead of Newt in what little of Colorado has reported. If “Mr. Inevitable” comes in third in two out of tonight’s three contests, he won’t react well. And, as we all know, that inevitably leads to Romney sticking his foot in his mouth in hilarious fashion.
Egg Berry
Missouri is meaningless, except for the village.
dmsilev
@Baud: Send a card instead. I’m sure Hallmark makes something suitable in their “Sorry you have to try to convince people to vote for Newt Gingrich” line.
Judas Escargot, Your Postmodern Neighbor
The Obama admin must be making those numbers up, too.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
Seems to me the harder this slog gets for Willard, the thinner-skinned he becomes, and it’ll get harder for him to maintain the campaign’s desire to keep him away from the press. All in all, a weaker Romney presents himself as the beneficiary of Obama-hatred. At least that’s what I hope, ’cause I well and truly despise Willard Romney.
Baud
@dmsilev: I need to find one of those cards with a picture of Nelson pointing his finger and going “Ha Ha!”
Quarks
If you are losing to Santorum anywhere, you really, really, really need to step back and take a moment to consider your choices in life.
capt
It is all part and parcel to the Ron Paul plan. (jk)
Mowgli
This is truly the most fun this Democrat has ever had watching the GOP come apart like Steve Austin’s rocket ship… “She’s breaking up, she’s breaking up!”
Southern Beale
Not to be whatever but Doug’s filled his typo quotient for the month in 2 blog posts. What the hell is going on? Dirty glasses? Numb typing hands?
Violet
Please for FSM sake let Santorum win another state!
RossinDetroit
This is good news for… well, you know.
Mary G
Romney’s campaign keeps making the point that these are all non-binding, but if the R’s award the delegates in these states in a different proportion to the votes, doesn’t that hurt them/Mitt with the people who bothered to vote today? Not to mention the Village will thrive on the horse race narrative.
Gin & Tonic
@Southern Beale: The demon rum?
Anya
Pawlenty’s VP dream goes up in smoke.
dmsilev
TPM’s results database seems to have crashed or something. At dKos, they’ve got 11% of Minnesota reporting, 44/27/17/12 Frothy/Mad Dwarf/Robot/Overinflated Ego. In Colorado, with 7% in, Frothy is at 50%, with the ego in second and the robot in third.
So far, anyway, not really a great night for the supposed Inevitable Nominee.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Egg Berry: True, but so is Donald Trump’s endorsement, and WIllard agreed to accept that publicly and by all accounts reluctantly, to deny a rival who has no chance a photo op. He doesn’t handle even minor obstacles well.
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@Southern Beale:
How did “fe” get through my spell-checker?
jrg
I see what you did there.
magurakurin
Somebody put V nee RC on suicide watch…or not.
RossinDetroit
It doesn’t matter to the MSM if these outcomes are no more relevant than the Swimsuit Competition at the Miss Corndog pageant. They want a horse race and to them winners matter. If you lose anything you’re expected to win you’re a Loser.
Mary G
I am also enjoying the results on CNN where on the left, they show the Democrat results, with Barack Obama is the projected winner, being awarded all delegates. How sweet it is that no Naders appeared this time.
General Stuck
It doesn’t matter to me which one of these clowns get the nod. Romney is likely to win the nom, but by the time he gets the requisite number of delegates, everyone but maybe his mom is going to despise the slimy motherfucker. The Obama hate factor will likely guarantee him 45 percent of the vote in a GE, and I don’t trouble my mind much over worries of him winning the WH, cause it will just mean the Mayans were right and were always right. At least about this half baked republic. With all the hot spots in the world, that could go boom at any time, we are so very lucky to have a smart cool customer of a president presently. More than we deserve,imho.
dmsilev
@Mary G: Missouri is completely nonbinding, but don’t the MN and CO results matter in terms of ultimately picking the delegates?
Baud
@DougJarvus Green-Ellis:
Accounts for the periodic table of elements?
dmsilev
@General Stuck: You’re exaggerating there. I’m sure his sons like Romney as well. Or at least they pretend to until they get full access to the $$$.
MikeJ
These things should only be discussed in quiet rooms.
Hewer of Wood, Drawer of Water
@Southern Beale: He’s still on a high from his Moore nomination. He’ll be hiring a minion to check his spelling for him
Jay
Doug, one of Sullivan’s borgs actually identified you as “DougJarvus Green – Ellis.” Harfharfharf.
Villago Delenda Est
@magurakurin:
Not.going.to.do.it
Mary G
@dmsilev: I haven’t followed it closely enough, but I thought all three were nonbinding and that’s why Romney hasn’t tried that hard? Or is that just the spin?
ETA: You’re right, it says all but three of the delegates in CO and Minnesota to be awarded are tied to today’s caucuses. Awesome.
Spaghetti Lee
Yada yada nonbinding, yada yada low advertising budget. Point is, if Mitt really was Mr. Inevitable and the Republican party accepted that, he’d be doing a fuck of a lot better than this. I mean, Santorum is even clobbering him in the suburban counties, from what I’ve seen.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Gin & Tonic:
If I draw a pentagram of martini glasses on my floor, and light a candle, will he bring me a twelve-pack?
Rachel just laid a major smack down on her MSNBC colleagues (‘male pundits in their sixties’) over the Church and the Pill.
Villago Delenda Est
@dmsilev:
MN and CO are actually selecting delegates, yes.
MO is a beauty/media contest.
burnspbesq
@Southern Beale:
“Not to be whatever but Doug’s filled his typo quotient for the month in 2 blog posts. What the hell is going on? Dirty glasses? Numb typing hands?”
“Hangover from celebrating his Moore Award nomination” would be my guess.
dmsilev
Took a look at the RedState liveblog. Came across this comment:
Needless to say, I felt impelled to share this with everyone here.
Warren Terra
Romney’s inability to seal the deal – even after Florida, even against a bag of bloviating philandering lard and an prig in a sweater vest who’s a national dirty joke – is really something to behold. Karl Rove’s Trained Monkey in 2000 would be back home with his boots up by now, and Romney is (as of this writing) getting swept by someone who lost his last real election by almost twenty points.
jl
@Spaghetti Lee: Yes, The more trouble for Mitt, and the lower the turnout, the better, regardless of how the actual delegates are picked.
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@dmsilev:
Awesome.
Villago Delenda Est
@dmsilev:
Too bad that’s some 350 pound 25 year old hillbilly male saying that.
Spaghetti Lee
Also, it seems to me that when Romney comes out spinning this, what MN, MO, and CO voters are going to hear is “It was a fake primary. Their votes don’t matter.” Just seems like a bad message to be sending in a few swing states.
Also, why’s everyone so glum? We all want unmitigated chaos and infighting in the GOP, right? Well, here it is, served up piping hot. Stop griping about the village so much, fer God’s sake.
lamh35
OT, but I’ve had my issues with Rachel Maddow, but the segment she just did on the birth control contraversy when she called out those “60-something pundits” who are using GOP talking points to make this more of an issue than it should be.
Take that Tweety and EJ Dionne.
Kudos to Maddow.
beltane
I hope our friend Veritas/Reality Check is alright. If I were him I’d be hurling up the tequila shots right about now.
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@burnspbesq:
I’m away from the computer all day this week and I’m rushing when I finally post.
Violet
DougJ, I said this in a thread below, but I can’t wait to vote for you for the Annual Moore Award winner in December. Are you going to campaign for it like Dan Savage did?
beltane
Why did I get a bad behaivor message?
Veritas
Missouri is worthless. No delegates awarded.
Romney will sweep the two that matter. Count on it.
What matters is winning the nomination then turning the fire on Obambi.
Mary G
@Spaghetti Lee: I’m having a blast! This is good news for John McCain!
garbo
@DougJarvus Green-Ellis: Also, too, a darn good Scrabble word.
Scamp Dog
@Baud: Make it a 5 cent donation instead. That will get you on their mailing list, making you a net loss for the organization!
Mike in NC
Smell the Rickmentum.
JGabriel
From Red State via dmsilev:
I bet Erickson’s not a real ginger. Has anyone looked down there to find out?
(I’ll be shocked if this posts without typos, considering how hard I’m laughing.)
.
Villago Delenda Est
@Veritas:
Check the numbers at TPM, cumstain.
Early numbers are not good for the Romneytron.
Veritas
@Villago Delenda Est:
Just you wait for the cities to report.
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@beltane:
No idea.
Lev
Romney began the day as the inevitable frontrunner. He will end it as the guy who can’t win (at least not yet) outside of the NE and the Mormon belt.
MaraMagee
Whoa. Whoa. I am really not pleased with the numbers for Santorum coming out of Hennepin County right now (Minneapolis is in this county). Saint Paul’s county (Ramsey) is more Ron Paul friendly.
Cacti
Romney would be a formidable candidate if anyone liked him.
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@beltane:
I think Veritas got black-listed so you can’t say that work anymore.
Veritas
Hey DougJ. Congrats on your award. Sullivan sucks (in more ways than one!)
Violet
Who would have thought that Santorum could be the last Not Romney standing? Except for Paul, of course, who should count but somehow just doesn’t.
Anoniminous
In Minnesota the RomneyBot (17.5%) is running third behind Paul (26.8%) and Santorum (43.6%) 21% reporting and not a lot of vote separation, so the standings could change but Man-With-Dog-on-Car had better start gathering some votes. If he comes in third the pundits are going to have a field day on his ass.
Chyron HR
@Veritas:
Just like Iowa and South Carolina, amirite?
Schlemizel
as a Minnesotan I am terribly embarrassed that we allow morans like Bachmann & Kline represent us but then to add an Ol Frothy/crazy uncle 1/2 finish tells me we really are becoming a cold Mississippi.
I try to comfort myself with the thought that these are Republicn choices but there was a time when MN Republican’s offered something other than insanity, I even voted for a couple because their opponent was a dope.
beltane
@Veritas: In MN he’s well behind Ron Paul for 2nd. Someone needs to tell Mitt to be a little more Clint Eastwood and a lot less Thurston Howell III.
Baud
22% in in Minnesota and Romney is in 3rd place behind Ron Paul. :)
Veritas
@Chyron HR:
No, you’re not [diet?] rite. Missouri is literally worthless. Zero delegates are awarded. Go review the rules before you mouth off.
Violet
@Anoniminous:
Romney’s going to have Santorum all over him.
JGabriel
Veritas:
I just can’t trust you anymore, Veritas, not after you told us our beloved revolutionary Mitt would win Iowa and South Carolina, and he DIDN’T.
My heart was broken those nights. All because you got my hopes up for MittWins that never happened. I’m a broken man now, and I just can’t let your predictions into my heart again.
.
Donald G
@Veritas:
I’m calling my bookie now…
Martin
Well, that’s what Newt driving Mitts negatives up will do. Now Mitt’s SuperPAC will go all Curtis Lemay on Santorum, drive his negatives up as well, and the GOP is going to have to choose among candidates with favorability ratings little higher than Nixon’s. I’m not sure even picking Jesus as a running mate could salvage this clusterfuck.
Mary G
@Veritas: Read the map and weep, sir or madam. The results by county – Paul is winning Minneapolis/St. Paul, Santorum all the rest. Romney hasn’t gotten a county yet. Same in CO so far. Gingrich has one there!
lamh35
Whelp, MSNBC projecting that Santorum wins Minnesota too.
jl
So far it is a sweep in all three, with Romney on the wrong end of the broom.
I am happy, and hope current trends continue.
Ron
None of them matter tonight as far as I know.
Cacti
Missouri is the original Mormon-hater State.
Executive Order 44, issued in 1838, green-lighted the forcible removal of the Mo’s. Wasn’t formally rescinded until 1976.
Schlemizel
@beltane:
The dipshit was on an earlier thread guaranteeing us a Willard sweep! I assume it will disappear for several days like it did after SC. It really is too stupid to engage.
eemom
@Veritas:
You’ve got a case of the dyslexics, loser.
Bambi=your guy.
Villago Delenda Est
Iowa was literally worthless, too, but cumstain was shouting about how major a win it was for the Romneytron.
Right now, in Minnesota, Romneytron is getting its shiny metal ass dented but good by Santorum and (wait for it..) RON PAUL!
beltane
@DougJarvus Green-Ellis: Oh, that makes sense. I was sincere in offering him a kind word; it must suck to be a Romney supporter tonight.
Baud
@Martin:
That’s silly. Jesus is a Democrat.
dmsilev
Apparently the networks have started calling Minnesota for Senator Frothy.
Warren Terra
OT is anyone else finding that basically the whole internet won’t load if their flash plug-in is turned on? (Windows, Chrome browser)
Quarks
Missouri might be non-binding, but it’s an important swing state in the general election and Romney needed to show that people there liked him.
It seems that Missouri Republicans, however, feel the same way about Romney as I do – bleah.
kth
@Villago Delenda Est: Erickson resembles a young Ned Beatty ever so slightly, come to think of it.
Martin
@JGabriel:
I’m not sure Erickson can even look down there to find out. Dude needs to get out and jog a bit.
JGabriel
Veritas:
Minnesota 25% Reporting:
Colorado 7% Reporting:
Looks like Man on Dog is beating Dog on Car across the board tonight, Veritas.
.
Anoniminous
@dmsilev:
WHOO-HOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!!!
c’MON FROTHY-BOY
MaraMagee
Most of Bachmann’s crazy-ass districts in MN have not reported yet. But I’m doubting they’d go for Romney.
redshirt
Victory!
How sweet it is.
4 more years!
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@Veritas:
Glad you’re not black-listed!
dmsilev
@Villago Delenda Est: And in Colorado so far, the Romneytronic is running third behind Frothy and Newt.
The Romneytronic’s campaign is going to go absolutely nuclear on all the not-Romneys by roughly sunrise tomorrow morning. Get the popcorn ready.
Violet
@lamh35:
Really? I don’t have the TV on so am not watching any of the returns. Just following online.
Martin
@Baud: I know that. That just reinforces how bad off they are.
Veritas
Colorado is still up in the air and I have no doubt Romney wins in CO. You can take that check to the bank and cash it right now.
Mark S.
Is it just me or does Minnesota’s turnout seem really low? Maybe only the real small precincts are reporting?
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@JGabriel:
I imagine in CO it’s the Dobsonites in Colorado Springs vs the Mormons in the west. I don’t know if geography is reflected in the returns.
Donald G
@dmsilev:
Damn, there goes the kids’ college fund. That’s what I get for trusting Veritas’s political instincts.
Schlemizel
@Schlemizel:
BTW – someone should tell dipshit that neither MN nor CO are awarding delegates from this shit show so when it pretends Willard will win the 2 that matter it is AGAIN showing its ignorance.
You would think the regular spanking of truth would eventually either correct the thing that calls itself truth or at least embarrass it enough to leave us sentient beings alone. But apparently it is not bright enough for any of this.
Reminds me of a line from Monty Pythons Upper Middle-Class Twit Of the Year:
“This boy doesn’t know when he is losing!”
“In fact he doesn’t know when he is winning, he has no external sensory perception what so ever!”
RossinDetroit
Irrelevant or not, tomorrow morning the media will all be Romney = Fail. And they love that shit.
Cacti
Willard is getting his ass kicked from here to Kolob by a guy who says that rape babies are a gift from God.
Mitt just isn’t very good at this politics thingy.
DougJarvus Green-Ellis
@Jim, Foolish Literalist:
Yes, the counties that are in look like Dobson country (I don’t know much about Colorado but that’s what it looks like to me).
dmsilev
@Donald G: Well, don’t be too hasty. Apparently you can “take that check to the bank” that the Rombot will take Colorado.
What could possibly go wrong?
jl
Newt was right, unify the conservatives and Mitt is toast, at least in the primaries.
And, mah sure to rememer tha the name is Rih.
Newt is the only artful liar among them.
I guess, if this MessferMitt holds up, the question will be who gets the backing needed to sustain an effort, Rih or Newt?
Anyone think they know?
Martin
Man, I wasn’t sure if Romney would win these, but I didn’t think he’d be down under 20%. I mean, Obama got his clock cleaned in a few late races like West Virginia, but it was pretty apparent that appalachia was going to uniformly kick his ass.
Minnesota, Colorado, and Minnesota are really damn white-bread states.
JGabriel
@kth:
Erickson resembles a riding ball with a crop of rust-colored mold on top.
.
Donald G
@Veritas:
My financial institution advises me not to accept any checks from you. The amounts you tend to fill in are not reflected by the reality of funds in your checking account.
Comrade Mary
My brother’s in Colorado. I wonder how he’s voting?
AxelFoley
@Veritas:
LOL, just STFU, dude. Ya boy is gettin’ the brakes beat off of him by the Bukkake king.
lamh35
@Violet: yep and now CNN has also projected Santorum winning in MN.
Colorado is too close to call
Villago Delenda Est
@Veritas:
I love how cumstain here is artfully reframing expectations, not even mentioning the serious asskicking that the Romneytron is getting in MN, which we were ASSURED would be an easy win.
CO is trending negative, too, for the quarter-billionaire asswipe.
Michael Bersin
My precinct in Missouri, with a turnout of 5.78%:
One rural precinct (well, okay, more rural) with a turnout of 6.04% gave Willard 8.54% of the vote. Santorum got 64.63%.
Voters don’t register by party in Missouri. After you sign in they ask you to point to a list for the party ballot. It’s quite amusing for the poll workers (who are designated by party) when someone they know as a strong Democrat pulls a republican ballot in these situations.
The crosstabs for the PPP poll in Missouri showed strong liberal support for Santorum. Heh.
Left Coast Tom
From TPM, 31% reporting in the MN caucus, representing less than 15,400 caucus goers. I’ve been to MN, there’s a hell of a lot more people than that living in isolated places like the Arrowhead. Did the Romneybot put the state’s population to sleep?
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@jl:
From what I gather they’re both running on fumes, money-wise, I’m surprised Newton and Li’l Ricky haven’t gotten more grassroots cash
kth
Romney will probably eke it out in Colorado, and he’s inevitable even if he doesn’t. But what a testament to the immaturity of the Republican party, this extended anti-Romney tantrum they are throwing in the palpable absence of a non-ridiculous alternative.
Anoniminous
@Mark S.:
Overall, GOP turn-out is down roughly 10% from 2008.
What we are seeing from Minnesota is a lot of small precincts. Have to wait for the suburbs to be able to tell about Minnesota specifically.
gbear
Has there been a worse news day for wingnuts since the night that Obama was elected president? What a day!
Lizzy L
Why are (some) Republicans in Missouri, Minnesota, and Colorado voting for Rick Santorum? Pick any number. Add your own.
1) Rush told them to.
2) They believe it will piss off liberals.
3) They believe Mitt Romney is a liberal. Newt told them that.
4) They want to demonstrate that they are Real True Republicans, not like those traitorous people in Massachusetts who think everyone, even poor people and gay people, ought to be able to get health care.
5) They believe he is qualified to be President.
Mary G
Oh poo, Romney is taking the areas southeast of Denver and is making a comeback. It was fun while it lasted.
Anoniminous
oops:
John O
Wow. You spend 13 hours on the road for a day and the next thing you know Mitt Romney is having one very bad night.
Just saw that Santorum could go three for three. Still laughing…God does not love me enough, et al.
Mary G
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: No one likes them either?
beltane
@Michael Bersin: It’s a good thing a lot of liberals turned out for the GOP primary tonight. If it weren’t for them no one may have shown up at all.
dmsilev
Oh my. Via dkos, CNN has a headline running of “Missouri: Show me Santorum”.
Note to self: Avoid Missouri.
RossinDetroit
I’d rather be Scalia’s lawn jockey than be the guy who has to spin this mess for Mitt now.
lamh35
Mitt Romney’s learning tonight that it doesn’t matter how much money you spend, you can’t make people really like you!
Martin
@DougJarvus Green-Ellis: Not really. Dobson country is pretty centered around Colorado Springs, who hasn’t reported yet. So far who’s in are mostly farmers/ranchers and libertarian types.
So far it’s just the shit kickers reporting, so while it might be 7% of districts, it’s like 1% of voters.
gex
@Mark S.: It looks like mostly Catholics, energized by the marriage amendment, came out. I don’t see any other way for Frothy to do so well.
Maude
The FSM loves us a lot to have MO and MN wins for Santorum.
The republican Party is shredding itself.
JGabriel
Jim, Foolish Literalist:
I’m repeating myself so much with this statistic that I’m beginning to think people are making this mistake on purpose just to mock me.
Despite all the rumors to the contrary: there really aren’t a lot of Mormons in Colorado — they’re only about 2% of the CO population.
On the other hand, CO is 23% Evangelical and 19% Catholic, which could help Santorum or Gingrich.
.
Lojasmo
@Veritas:
Paul was leading in MSP last time I looked.
I think rombot loses MN by 16 or so.
Bewildering, but i’ll take it.
ETA: total wipeout. Fuck you, veritas.
Suffern ACE
So if I understand this, people voted this evening but it won’t matter because the delegates will go to Romney anyway? So what are these things anyway? Fauxucses? Liemaries?
Dream On
If I banked all my money on what Veritas told me, then tomorrow I would be hugging pavement, wearing only a straw hat and a beer barrel for clothing.
John O
I’ve been out of the loop for a few days, so I may be missing something, but isn’t this good news for McCain?
Ira-NY
Romney Chow: The dogs don’t like it.
marcopolo
Ha ha ha…I am glad to see that my vote helped propel Rih to such a strong performance in MO! You all should have seen the look on the face of the polling folks (who I know pretty darn well) when I asked for the R ballot! Priceless.
Also too, anecdotally speaking, I have run into several other folks who did the same as I did…without any coordination whatsoever. I’d like to believe at least a few hundred or thousand of Rih’s votes are from folks like me.
Let the GOP Clown Car parade continue up to the RNC!
Martin
@Left Coast Tom: Remember, it’s % of districts – regardless of how large they are. Missouri is notorious in general elections to report 99% responding except for St Louis, and they still can’t call the race, because St Louis will drop 50% of the votes out of 1% of the districts. It can be pretty deceiving.
Princess
Santorum must be cleaning up in the blah vote.
Anoniminous
With four countries still to finish Romney hasn’t won a single county in Missouri, it’s a Santorum sweep.
AnotherBruce
@JGabriel: @Jim, Foolish Literalist: There aren’t that many people in western Colorado.
Mary G
@Suffern ACE:
Two of the three count at least some, according to CNN:
Colorado: *Closed caucus: 36 total delegates
33 tied to February 7 caucuses, 3 unpledged RNC delegates.
*All voters are actually Republicans, evidently.
Minnesota: Open caucuses: 40 total delegates
37 tied to February 7 caucuses, 3 unpledged RNC delegates
The way I understand it, Missouri scheduled today as the primary, then the party threatened them because it was too early, so they moved the actual decision to March, but forgot or were too incompetent to cancel today’s vote. Way to waste the taxpayers’ money, Republicans.
Rhoda
So, looks like Rick Santorum is about to get Gingriched. He’s got three weeks to get so money together before the next votes in AZ and I can’t remember where else.
Meanwhile, I am praying the early returns hold up and Mittens comes in third in Colorado. LOL, that would be amazing!
John O
Seriously, did ANY polls catch this, or does this represent a shift in the tectonics?
It seems like a very big deal to me, at minimum in terms of optics. The GOP primary electorate really can’t stand the Mittster.
Anoniminous
Colorado Springs, HQ for Focus on the Family, hasn’t reported – that I know of – and that should come-in strong for Santorum.
Michael Bersin
@Lizzy L:
Why did (some) Democrats in Missouri vote for Rick Santorum? Pick any number. Add your own.
1) Because they can.
2) Anything to mess with republicans.
3) They want Mitt Romney’s campaign, PACs and Super PACs to spend even more money.
4) Newt wasn’t on the ballot and Rick was the next closest idiot.
Mark S.
@AnotherBruce:
There aren’t that many people in eastern Colorado either! Everyone lives on a line down the middle.
Left Coast Tom
@Martin Yes, and maybe I was thinking of CA where there are lots of small urban precincts (if I weren’t voting by mail my voting location would be someone’s garage), but…the MN numbers still seem absurd. While there is large wilderness (I went to canoe in Boundary Waters/Quetico), rural MN is not nearly as sparsely populated as rural CA. I’m almost envisioning people ‘caucusing’ by themselves.
Martin
Man, Dan Savage should have demanded residuals from teh intarwebs, because he’d be a gazillionaire tonight.
brettvk
I live in SW MO and went to the polls today mostly to oppose a “Missouri Minutemen” local initiative designed to screw with immigrants — of which we have few enough, but more that lived here in my [exceedingly white] childhood. I took a Dem ballot for the primary because I want to prove that Dems do exist in the Ozarks, but I flirted with the idea of voting GOP or Libertarian to muddy the waters. I’m not surprised that Santorum won the county, as talebangelicals have a stranglehold on the local culture.
I see TPM is now predicting that Romney gets zero counties in MO. Wow.
TaMara (BHF)
@John O: I don’t keep track, but I do trust 538, so I popped over there to see what the prediction was before tonight:
Frothy for the win
Anoniminous
@John O:
No. To be fair to the pollsters, there wasn’t that much pre-election polling.
The CW was Santorum would win Missouri, but not by the percentage he did; Minnesota was a toss-up with Santorum ahead of Romney by 2% (within the MOE;) Romney was favored in Colorado.
Michael Demmons
I just have one thing to say re: Rick Santorum being the nominee…
“Please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please please ”
Ok, that was more like 30+ things, but whatevah!
JGabriel
Veritas:
lamh35:
Veritas:
The thing I love about Veritas, from a comedic point of view, is how, sometimes, you don’t even need a punch line; Veritas just does all the work for you.
For a Republican, Veritas shows a kind of unexpected generosity that way.
.
Mike in NC
@Cacti:
But do give him credit for memorizing a few verses to “America the Beautiful”. Must count for something.
dmsilev
Per CNN, with 11% in for CO, it’s a tie between Frothy and the Rombot.
Anyone have any idea why it’s taking Colorado so long to count the votes?
Martin
@Michael Bersin: I went out of my way in 2010 to vote in the GOP primary just to try and get Orly Taitz on the ballot for Secretary of State. I wanted to see how the GOP would work her into their tent. Disappointed I was that she didn’t get the nom.
John O
Did Nate catch it? (Too tired to check for myself.)
If not, I propose the Silver Axiom: If Nate didn’t catch it, it represents a fundamental shift in voter attitude over period of less than weeks.
brettvk
@Mary G: That’s correct about the timing of the MO primary. A $7 mil (unscientific) opinion poll, financed by the taxpayers because the GOP fucked up.
Anoniminous
@TaMara (BHF):
But look at the numbers, Santorum is doing well above the pre-election day polling in Minnesota and Missouri.
Martin
@dmsilev:
Because Republicans are trying to count?
John O
Ah. Thanks, everyone. Good to know Nate’s still on his game.
I’m goofy tired.
CaseyL
@dmsilev:
Warren Terra
Anyone know what’s the matter with CO? If they count any slower they won’t tally the vote before the convention …
pragmatism
Veritas used to be the Iraqi Information minister. Don’t be too rough on him.
dmsilev
@Martin: There was a tweet that was republished somewhere or another earlier tonight about a caucus site in Minnesota that was performing a recount.
Of 14 votes.
I assume that means that the counter ran out of fingers and had to take off one shoe.
JGabriel
@Anoniminous:
I predicted Santorum in Colorado! Me! I did!
It was even response to one of your posts, Anonimous, here.
.
starscream
Veritas is obviously a troll. Nobody would show up again after those dipshit predictions.
TaMara (BHF)
@Warren Terra: Hey now…it’s only 9pm here and the caucus didn’t start until 7pm. You all go to bed now and we’ll just do our thing. ;-)
EDIT: And somehow my other comment ended up disappearing. Didn’t like the link to the Denver Post I guess.
Donald G
@dmsilev:
Because math is hard?
Because math is related to science, and science is a tool of the devil?
Because Veritas can write RomneyPAC checks to the vote-counters only so fast?
Martin
@dmsilev: Perhaps it was the HS shop teacher and he had to take off the other shoe.
Mary G
The rules they have set up are confusing as heck. The Denver Post says
ETA: That should all be in the blockquote, FYWP.
AnotherBruce
I imagine there will be some interpretive headlines tomorrow.
TaMara (BHF)
@Donald G: Ahem, see #171 and don’t make me come in there.
Sarah Proud and Tall
Give us Santorum, Lord.
Let us be awash in it.
Let it rain down upon us.
Anoniminous
@JGabriel:
Yeah you seem to have nailed it.
BUT … You were only correct because the Mormons didn’t bother to vote. (Lots of Mormons in Colorado, you know.)
:-þ
:-)
Rhoda
@Donald G: They’re trying to see if they can steal it for Mittens. That’s what happened in Iowa IMO.
a hip hop artist from Idaho (fka Bella Q)
WTF does it say about the state of the GOP primaries that Santorum won sort of non fundy states? I’m actually curious. Is the not-Rmoney(TM) sentiment that fierce?
Comrade Mary
@Sarah Proud and Tall: I am standing here, DRENCHED, pretending I’m covered in unicorn tears. I’m pretending, really, really hard.
Mike in NC
Missouri to Mittens: Show Me Why You Aren’t A Plastic Pandering Asshole
TaMara (BHF)
@Sarah Proud and Tall: Eeew.
butler
@John O: There weren’t many polls of these 3 contests (538 didn’t even have any projections, probably due to lack of data). PPP released a poll this morning which generally confirms what has happened in MO and MN, but I don’t know if anyone else even bothered.
Anoniminous
A little music to while away the time while waiting for Colorado can be found here.
Quarks
Apparently Ron Paul has secured second place in Minnesota.
Beyond making matters look even worse for Romney, if CNN is correct that gives Paul a couple of delegates, encouraging him to continue and making it take that much more time and money for Romney to get the 50% delegate count.
Meanwhile here in Florida Obama’s campaign ads are already starting up.
Violet
I know it’s only 7% reporting, but right now Romney is running THIRD in CO behind Santorum and Gingrich. Really.
JGabriel
@Anoniminous:
Okay, now I know people are just messin’ with me.
.
Jebediah
@Veritas:
Except you keep writing checks your candidate can’t cash. My bank won’t even let me try to deposit your checks anymore.
Why are you convinced that a candidate so hated by so many R’s will be loved by swing/independent voters?
TaMara (BHF)
I said in the comment that got etted, we had a unexpected snow storm today – i.e. more snow than anticipated that made roads ugly tonight. I’m wondering how/if that will affect the outcome.
jheartney
Normally I’d say that a holdup in vote counting in a GOP contest means they’re figuring out how many fraudulent ballots they need to stuff in to get the right result, but I’m guessing this time they have to get more printed to cancel out the unexpectedly powerful surge of Santorum.
JGabriel
Man on Dog: Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota, maybe Colorado
Dog on Car: New Hampshire, Florida
Fat Dog: South Carolina
Am I missing any?
Why do people still keep insisting Mittens will win the GOP nomination, when he’s only won 2 of the first 7 state contests?
Why would the GOP even WANT a candidate who can only win two of the first seven contests?
What does Santorum have to do to get a li’l respect?
.
CaseyL
The lovely and popular Richard Adams is live-blogging the caucuses over at The Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/feb/07/colorado-minnesota-missouri-results-live
(Link thingie didn’t work)
Not as uproariously funny as the debates, but some lovely shots at Romney:
Left Coast Tom
@TaMara (BHF): Aren’t people in CO used to snow, anticipated or otherwise?
Looking at the MN totals so far (60% precincts, 30K voters so far), it’s very possible CO’s voters decided they’d rather go skiing.
Michael
With 26% reporting in CO, Santorum has opened up a ~500 vote lead over R-Money (42% to 31%).
Schadenfreude-meter is redlining
John O
Even if some or most polls called it, color my gob smacked.
Anya
@JGabriel: You forgot to include Nevada to the Dog on Car’s column.
MikeJ
@CaseyL:
Dammit, I still think Romney is the easiest to beat. I hope the Republicans don’t get smart enough to dump him.
Donald G
@Violet:
CNN has had CO at 11%, and Santorum and Romney virtually tied (with only 2 votes separating the two)for the last 45 minutes.
According to TaMara, this thing didn’t start until 7 pm local time.
scottinnj
I know its non binding and all that, but per CNN Santorum has 55% of the vote in MO. This is the first Republican primary that any candidates had a majority of the votes. I know it’s a pipe dream but can you say ‘deadlocked convention’
TaMara (BHF)
@Left Coast Tom: I’ll let you in on a little secret – unless you live up in the mountains, you don’t see a lot of snow here. The occasional blizzard, a couple of inches here and there. On the front range at least, our winters are incredibly mild. Don’t tell anyone. We kind of like our rep as badass snow bunnies.
EDIT to include: I’m not a hard core cyclist by any means (see: Comrade Mary for that) and I can usually get in a couple of rides a week without a problem.
JGabriel
@Anya:
You posted just in time for me to edit and correct it.
Thank you!
Edited to Add: Nope, the corrections didn’t take. I must have just missed the window. But thank you, anyway.
Still, even corrected, it’s just as good a question: Why would the GOP even want a candidate who can only win 3 of the first 8 state contests?
.
Warren Terra
@TaMara (BHF):
Fair ’nuff. It’s that some results came in quickly, then no more, at all, for well over an hour.
Donald G
Doug’s started a new thread up above.
jimmiraybob
@dmsilev:
Especially some parts of the eastern state like STL – all hard surfaces seem to be coated tonight with a wintry frothy mix making traction almost impossible. I was gonna salt the sidewalks but might have to bring out the sand.
Anoniminous
New thread up
Mark B.
Bearing in mind that Santorum couldn’t win reelection to the US Senate, one wonders what the hell those voters were thinking. The general is going to be the worst mismatch since Ali vs Chuck Wepner if this guy gets the nomination. They must really hate that Mormon dude.
Dream On
@Rhoda: This. They’re trying to manage perceptions/spin.
Unless I’m wrong. Unlike Veritas, I don’t want anyone to take it to the bank.
Tim F.
@hip hop #180: I don’t know about Minnesota, but Colorado’s Republicans are some of the fundiest who ever fundied and non-urban MO is close behind.
RalfW
26% of Colorado precints in and the RickRoll continues!
Amazing.
mdblanche
@Ira-NY: Well of course they don’t. Maybe if you didn’t have to strap them to the roof of the car to feed it to them…
Jeremy
Oh my FSM! The Frothy One can never win a general! So much Repulican fail!!!
sneezy
@General Stuck:
I’d say that having voted him into office, we pretty much “deserve” him by definition.