I don’t know how seriously to take the Intrade markets for presidential nominations, but it’s interesting that John Thune is now in second-place, 4 points ahead of Sarah Palin in “ask” (they’re virtually tied in “bid”), in the Republican 2012 nominee market. Thune is up a bit recently, while the others are mostly flat, and this is probably related to the big Weekly Standard piece that just came out. Larison finds an interesting nugget in the piece:
He got a late start in his 2004 race against Daschle, and it worked. And Thune points to Fred Thompson as someone who delayed his entry in 2008 but was nonetheless competitive. “Fred had an opportunity there and he waited until considerably later in the game.”
It’s striking to me that of the two three top contenders for the Republican presidential nomination, one is being compared to Warren Beatty and Donald Trump, while the other is modeling his candidacy after Fred Thompson. The line between celebrity and politician is blurred in a way I’ve never seen before.