As Atrios points out, we really do not have any idea what Egypt will look like when and if her citizens kick Hosni Murbarak to the curb. It will probably look a lot like Iran, where a broad-based popular rebellion ousted another corrupt strongman with chummy ties to an English-speaking superpower. Everyone thought that their own personal nirvana was nigh, but the group that had enough organization to actually make a new government work was the Islamists. Not coincidentally, they had cred as the regime’s most consistent opponents, as relatively uncorrupted figures and as the group that was most consistently suppressed. Kind of like in Egypt.
The Muslim Brotherhood could do a better job serving the people of Egypt than Hosni Murbarak did. Or they might not. One thing you can predict is that a new regime would be really, really bad news for Israel. For a long time that stable southern border has been guarded by a guy who basically leases his neck from the USA. In exchange, Murbarak’s big selling point was that the most likely alternatives to him hate Israel, as do much of the Egyptian people. For the noisy masses Sheikh Nasrallah is something like George Washington. Having that border under new management will feel a lot like working for NOAA with the Tea Party in charge of budget bills. It makes life a bit sweatier than it was before.
That hardly means that turnover in Egypt and elsewhere will be unadulterated bad or good. The instinct for self-determination is commendable even if history shows that happy outcomes like the American Revolution don’t actually happen that often. Even the French Revolution, which ultimately worked out rather well (assuming you can forgive their humane, efficient and universal healthcare system) needed a couple of bloody and unpleasant mulligans.
Then again, who knows? Maybe glib neocon twits like Glenn Harlan Reynolds will finally get that flying unicorn that poops freedom.