— Andrew Kaczynski (@BuzzFeedAndrew) August 15, 2015
— Daniel Drezner (@dandrezner) August 15, 2015
The real Biden coalition is Amtrak riders, the media, and Democrats who don't like Hillary Clinton.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) August 14, 2015
Well, it’s a solid step above MoDo fanfic, but the idea still sounds more like wouldn’t-it-be-luverly than here’s-our-plan to me. (Even if Dick Harpootlian assures the NYTimes he’s all in!) From the Politico article:
…The anxiety over Clinton’s failure to catch fire so far is less a factor than Biden’s own emerging view that passing on the 2016 race would be another loss to compound on the death of his son earlier this year, the sources said. And if he does go forward with the run, the Biden orbit is counting on tapping into an Obama-specific base reenergized by the president’s recent run of victories — people who will be more interested, they think, in an extension of Obama’s presidency through Biden than what they’d view as more of a Clinton restoration by a candidate that many die-hard Obama-ites still view with suspicion lingering from the 2008 primary.
The read on Biden has changed enough in almost a matter of hours that a level of anxiety has set in among the Obama orbit, who out of personal affection for Biden are hoping he won’t run a race they feel certain he’ll lose, only to get pummeled along the way. There’s also some worry about the position that a Biden run would put Obama in, spending the next few months tangoing around questions of picking sides between his vice president and former secretary of state…
Biden’s advisers have locked into public silence — Kaufman, among others, declined comment on the speculation. And Biden hasn’t come close to any kind of official moves, like reaching out directly to potential supporters: one Democratic senator said Friday that no call from Biden had come into that office or any others that the senator knew of…
Politico has a second article quoting Carl Bernstein:
… “And one thing that I keep hearing about Biden is that if he were to declare and say, because age is such a problem for him if he does, I want to be a one-term president. I want to serve for four years, unite Washington. I’ve dealt with the Republicans in Congress all my public life,” Bernstein told CNN’s “New Day.”…
(Y’know, the more “reporting” Bernstein and Bob Woodward commit, the more I think that Deep Throat really was either a better break than those two deserved, or an RNC-establishment plant looking to oust loose-cannon Nixon before he took the whole party down with him.)
Counterpoint, at Slate:
… The latest silly-season chatter doesn’t tell us a whole lot about Biden, but it does tell us something about the woman he’d need to best for his party’s nomination. Much of the press and public is clearly bored with Clinton. Some of that is due to Hillary herself—it’s unclear if she could run an exciting campaign even if she needed to—and some of that is due to her status as the overwhelming favorite in a nominating contest that won’t officially end for another year. For anyone treating the Democratic nomination as a horse race, there’d be nothing more exciting than a new horse—even if it were an old one. Exhibit B: the short-lived rumor that Al Gore was thinking about making another go of it.
The Democratic Party, though, is just fine with boring. That’s why for all the anybody-but-Hillary chatter this summer, the party’s powerbrokers continue to line up behind Clinton and the major donors continue to cut checks. For the establishment, then, Biden represents little more than a Plan B in the event something unthinkable derails Clinton, be that her email problems, or something else that pops up between now and next summer. And for the rest of us, for now, he’s just something to talk about.
Hey — at least it’s a break from Trump-mentum, right?