The race for PA-18 has gotten very close (Trump won by nearly 20 points).
New public polling in PA-18 special election: 3 point lead to the GOP, but 21% (!) still undecided. Margin of error is +/- 5%. https://t.co/UVMFY7w3l8 pic.twitter.com/Ev1jLfGCjv
— Garance Franke-Ruta (@thegarance) January 22, 2018
Dems have a great candidate, Conor Lamb. If he wins, expect more GOP retirements. This one is a longshot but it’s big, and it may be winnable. Predictions are hard, especially about the future. I just upped the goal to $7500.
zhena gogolia
Thanks for doing this, Doug.
Raoul
I did see that the GOP was freaked enough to want Trump to go campaign for the Repub for this seat. It seems worth investing on from our side.
WaterGirl
I have a pretty good track record for predictions about the past. The future, not so much.
randy khan
@Raoul:
I always wonder if it helps when he campaigns for someone.
Vlad
I don’t love Lamb as a candidate, to be honest. He’s said that he’s not willing to support Pelosi, and he’s pro-life, and I’m suspicious of anybody who comes from a big political family.
That said, he’s literally running against a guy who consulted on torture techniques at Abu Ghraib, so even with my reservations, the choice is pretty clear.
Zinsky
Que sera sera…
DougJ
Thanks everyone!!