BREAKING: Tammy Murphy just announced she’s dropping out of the race for U.S. Senate in New Jersey, which clears the way for Andy Kim to replace Bob Menendez and be the next U.S. Senator from New Jersey. Such great news & such a great person to replace Bob Menendez. pic.twitter.com/bfJH8MtwLZ
— Victor Shi (@Victorshi2020) March 24, 2024
Well we needed 1,000 signatures to get on the ballot NJ…and you gave us 6,000! My team was sure to get them all filed in Trenton and I just want to say a huge thank you to everyone for helping make this happen. Another step forward for our movement! pic.twitter.com/rXqMKPYw2c
— Andy Kim (@AndyKimNJ) March 23, 2024
Among other things, the political news out of New Jersey today means that the Senate seat is likely to go from a man accused of taking gold bars as part of a bribery scheme to a man best known before running for Senate for doing this in the Capitol after Jan. 6 riots/ pic.twitter.com/mIk9SdV1QK
— Edward-Isaac Dovere (@IsaacDovere) March 24, 2024
Meet the Dem who won a Trump district in 2018 & 2020 but now is an insurgent against the entrenched Dem machine in Jersey.
This @AndyKimNJ vs @TammyMurphyNJ matchup is 1st real Dem primary battle since '00.
It's all about the lines. My weekend column.https://t.co/5Z2zSYiNav
— Paul Kane (@pkcapitol) March 23, 2024
Per the Washington Post, “In New Jersey, an insurgent upends a Democratic machine”:
[Gift link]:
… Kim, a third-term congressman from the state’s Philadelphia suburbs, had just thumped Tammy Murphy, the wife of the popular governor, Phil Murphy (D), by nearly 20 percentage points in her home county to collect the endorsement for the Senate nomination.
Kim both secured the Monmouth Democrat’s “line” — a top placement on the June 4 primary ballot — and jolted the state’s Democrats into realizing they had their first real battle for a statewide nomination in nearly 25 years…
Kim, 41, has turned the Senate race into something bigger than just a fight over who should replace the state’s senior senator, Bob Menendez (D), who faces a felony corruption trial later this year and is mulling running as an independent.
Now Kim is trying to fight against the system of these county party chiefs, both through running to defeat their handpicked candidate, Murphy, and by battling in court to try to outlaw the “line” system.
“It’s more of a movement to try to restore power back to the citizen, to the voters, to the people. And that appeals to a wide swath,” Kim said.
This is not one of the standard ideological battles of far-left progressives against mainstream liberals that have dominated the last decade of Democratic politics. Kim, a Rhodes scholar, served in the State Department and on the National Security Council under the Bush and Obama administrations. He jumped into politics in 2018, even though he was a long shot in a GOP district.
He eventually received large establishment backing and eked out a win by 1 percentage point. He has positioned himself more along the lines of other national security experts from that massive Democratic class of 2018, smart technocrats who don’t embrace the rage-against-the-machine ethos of the self-proclaimed “Squad” of far-left liberals…
One scorecard, ranking votes from 2021 when Democrats moved an aggressive agenda, gave Kim an 80 percent liberal rating, tying for seventh most liberal out of the state’s 10 Democrats in the House…
Much more, including details of ‘the line’, at the link.
How did Andy Kim beat the machine? https://t.co/8EbxE7v89k via @TPM
— Josh Marshall (@joshtpm) March 24, 2024
… What makes this a bigger deal than just another primary in a fairly safe Democratic state is that it managed to bring to the fore an almost comical feature of New Jersey politics — something called “the line,” which allows county party chairs the ability to exercise an absurd power over the design of ballots to assist their chosen candidates. Machines have long half-lives. But it seems questionable whether the line will survive this race, whether it goes down in the current court fight or just can’t withstand the new scrutiny the race has brought to it. If it is done that will deal a pretty debilitating blow to the party machines in New Jersey…
I’m no expert on New Jersey politics. But the real factor here is that Kim was willing to risk everything at just the right moment. My recollection is that he announced his candidacy the day after the original Menendez indictment. (I guess we have to be clear that Menendez was indicted before and beat the rap. I mean, the original indictment this time, before the various superseding indictments.) The key I think is that Kim got in fast before the machine really realized that Menendez was toast. And because they didn’t yet realize that Menendez was done, they hadn’t had a chance yet to get behind and coalesce around a new person. That ended up being Murphy, the wife of the current governor.
This gave Kim a critical window of opportunity that he used almost perfectly.
Kim had enough of a national brand, in part based on the iconic photos of him literally sweeping up the glass and debris of January 6th, that he was able to build momentum and raise money. He also gained mightily from his willingness to say, more or less on day one, fuck this. This crook should not be senator. I’m going to challenge him.
Every other Democrat was still caught off guard and uncertain how to react, not withstanding the fact that Menendez has long been fairly notorious. Rightly or wrongly I think many people at least figured he’d keep his nose clean after he beat his previous high profile federal charges. Oh well.
Too soon to say it’s 100% over. Kim hasn’t been elected senator yet. But it certainly seems like one of those the fates favor the bold kind of moments.
New Jersey Democratic voter:
He's a good guy who has done a good job in Congress and he happened to be running against a person who is a particularly egregious example of machine politics at work & also had some unique flaws that highlighted the sleaziness of how D politics operates in NJ. https://t.co/6AKr0hbwld
— scary lawyerguy (@scarylawyerguy) March 24, 2024
I support Kim, but had she won the primary, I would have voted for her in Nov. There was ZERO rationale for her candidacy other than who she is married to. She's done NOTHING as First Lady + is a former Republican. Andy Kim is a great Congressman & will be an even better Senator! https://t.co/bZAFhxJksG
— scary lawyerguy (@scarylawyerguy) March 24, 2024
Watched Tammy' Murphy's "I'm dropping out" video: completely disingenuous (no one asked her to run, she had little/no grass roots support, and she didn't have to "tear down" a fellow Dem in order to win) and then didn't even endorse Andy Kim. Classless, clueless, and tone deaf.
— scary lawyerguy (@scarylawyerguy) March 24, 2024
Bonus content / readership capture…
My wife wasn’t thrilled when I put this Lego Millennium Falcon on our wedding registry. To not seem completely self-indulgent, I told her I’d wait until we had kids to build it. Today, after 10 patient years, the adventure begins. #MayThe4th #MayThe4thBeWithYou pic.twitter.com/LTEWOUa6oi
— Andy Kim (@AndyKimNJ) May 4, 2021
Baud
Glad the better candidate will be the nominee, but good on Murphy for dropping out. Too many politicians put their ego first.
SiubhanDuinne
I like and admire Andy Kim tremendously, from all I’ve seen so far. Look forward to supporting his candidacy.
@Baud: Agree about Murphy. That was a class move.
David 🏈 Mahomes! 🏈 Koch
Bernie woulda won
Old School
But has he finished the Lego Millenium Falcon yet?
Edit: He has!
Miss Bianca
@Baud: I second (or third) this emotion. It was the right thing to do, and it was classy of Kim to acknowledge and respect that.
Kim seems pretty classy just in general. *And* he’s a Star Wars nerd. I love it.
hrprogressive
If we had a Congress full of people like Andy Kim, and without any like Bob Menendez, this country might actually come close to living up to its aspirations.
Fuck Menendez, and here’s hoping for Senator Kim ASAFP.
lowtechcyclist
My WAG is that Tammy Murphy was expecting a coronation rather than a real contest, just plain wasn’t ready for the latter, and had the sense to drop out when she realized that’s what she was looking at.
NotMax
Trivia:
Anyone who has ever passed by Trenton by road or rail cannot help but be familiar with this message.
;)
Miss Bianca
@lowtechcyclist: That sounds about right to me.
Lyrebird
Ditto. Massive respect for Tammy Murphy here, and massive excitement for the Kim campaign!
🐾BillinGlendaleCA
@NotMax: And then passing the American Standard factory about 10 miles down the track…
Lyrebird
@lowtechcyclist: Who knows? Maybe she’d been planning to run for years – not like Sen. Menendez’ corruption is some new thing, just him not skating. Either way, NJ Dems show once again that they’re the anti-trump!
🐾BillinGlendaleCA
Madame expressed joy at the prospect of a Senator Kim, a fellow Korean American.
Sister Machine Gun of Quiet Harmony
Who’s going to run for his house seat? Hopefully, it will be someone good.
NotMax
@🐾BillinGlendaleCA
Oh jeez, had forgotten about that.
Trivia part deux:
Trenton as a location deemed not up to snuff, so the NJ governor’s mansion is not in the capital city but instead in Princeton.
Baud
@🐾BillinGlendaleCA:
👍
trollhattan
He’s a good egg, Rep Kim.
[narrator: technically, Andy Kim is not an egg]
Millennium Falcon as wedding gift has to be some kind of Peak Nerd. Hope he hid that box well, all these years.
Geminid
@Sister Machine Gun of Quiet Harmony: Kim flipped that seat in 2018, and I think the Democratic legislature shored it up some in the 2021 redistricting round. So a good Democratic candidate ought to be able to hold it.
The Democratic House Class of 2018 was a very talented one, and it’s no surprise that it’s members are starting to challenge for higher office. Like Andy Kim, Michigan Rep. Elissa Slotkin is running for Senate, and Abigail Spanberger is favored to be Virginia’s next Governor. New Mexico Rep. Deb Haaland was the first to move up when Joe Biden named her Interior Secretary in 2021.
rodwell
New Jersey resident. I have been donating to Rep Kim, since his first campaign. I am not in his district, but my representative (Mikie Sherrill) did not need my donations and defeating MacArthur who authored the plan to get rid of Obamacare (ACA) was important. After the Menendez’s indictment, only Kim had the courage to challenge him. Only after Menendez weaknesses were apparent did Tammy Murphy entered the race. Andy Kim represents the best of what we are in New Jersey. I am glad there will not be a primary fight. I can donate more the Ballon Juice fundraisers.
dmsilev
Not going to lie, if I saw that Lego kit on a registry for a wedding that I was attending, I’d strongly consider buying it for the couple. Far more interesting than a china set or some honeymoon “experience”.
NotMax
@dmsilev
if only they made a big roasting pan in the shape of the Millennium Falcon….
Shalimar
@Baud: Eh. Tammy Murphy pretty clearly did put her ego first or she never would have announced she was running. And then she found out her ego was not going to win, which has to be a blow. But you’re right, it’s a good thing she isn’t in denial about her chances.
Mousebumples
Is it less a blow to the ego to bow out now or to risk getting thumped, big time, in the primary?
Not to say I’m not glad she decided to drop out, but there are so many political lenses in play.
OT – unconfirmed Rep Gallagher (WI) scuttlebutt. Rumor has it he’s resigning/leaving Congress to try to get away from the MAGA wing, in hopes of reinventing himself politically after the Trump fever breaks. Also, allegedly his wife is Not Pleased with many Right-wing positions after Dobbs. (I remember seeing photos of {city} Right To Life groups with him at the Capitol when Roe was still the law of the land.)
I still think he runs for an open Senate seat or governorship in the next decade, but we’ll see.
NotMax
Open thread FYI.
sab
@dmsilev: Setting a test for that marriage from day one? Says everything about him that he kept his promise. The kids look gleeful about getting on with playing with it or constructing it or whatever you do with Lego projects.
All the Asian American households I know go sockfeet inside. Legos could be a problem. Have you ever stepped on one those?
My pitbull, who had a traumatic early life, chews up her milkbones into hard kibble and keeps them around the house for when she is hungry, because she doesn’t trust she always will be fed. We laugh at her but we understand her foible, but it hurts like hell to walk anywhere in socks or barefoot in our house. Those chewed up kibbles have sharp edges. Same for Legos.
Manyakitty
@Mousebumples: I thought he left to take a job with Palantir.
NotMax
A bit of a surprise victory for the populist left in Senegal.
Geminid
@Manyakitty: There may be dual purposes here. Gallagher jumps clear of House Republican trainwreck, and banks money between now and 2028 when he’ll run for Ron Johnson’s Senate seat. Reports were that Gallagher was ready to run for Senate if Johnson hadn’t gone for a third term in 2022.
dmsilev
@sab:
For a kit like that, you’re constructing it following the book. Which can be an adventure; it’s probably a couple thousand pieces and would take several hours of work. Just like building a model airplane or whatever from a regular kit, only with Legos rather than purpose-shaped plastic pieces.
I’ve done a couple kits that size (real-world spacecraft, the Saturn V moon rocket and the Space Shuttle) and they definitely take a while. Good fun for kids and adults though.
dmsilev
@NotMax: Would you be willing to accept a cake pan? Or a waffle iron?
Mousebumples
Could be. But I don’t think it’s a direct because X, I’m doing Y.
I’ve always gotten the impression that Gallagher is a very astute political figure. He’s young, educated (even if I disagree with many of his policy positions, he didn’t vote to impeach Mayorkas), and has options.
With how gerrymandered his Wisconsin seat is (hopefully that won’t be true for much longer), he could have stayed for a few years longer without too much battle, thanks to incumbency. (though I have faith in Wikler, that feels like a bridge too far)
Mousebumples
Agreed. Not sure that I trust RoJo not to run for another term, though…
NotMax
Then: “What a great idea!
Now: “What a lousy idea!”
;)
Another Scott
Kim is a good egg, indeed. He should make a fine senator.
Meanwhile, … TheBaltimoreBanner.com:
(Emphasis added.)
Good, good.
I hope Biden’s folks and the FTC are watching and paying attention. Junk fees on credit cards are horrible. Junk fees on rent can cost people their homes and their lives.
Grr…,
Scott.
Geminid
@Mousebumples: My hope is that Ron Johnson will be sharing a federal prison cell with Bob Menendez in 2028. Maybe George Santos and Sam Bankman-Fried will be in a cell down the hall.
JAFD
Three things I’d say here: First, Rep. Kim took a big chance announcing for the Senate race when he did. “Fortune favors the brave”, said my Latin teacher waybackwhen, or as Napoleon said earlier, “How do I select my generals – I pick the lucky ones”. His future lies ahead …
Second, ‘machine politics’; For important jobs like running the government, you want some process to find competent people and get them into the crucial jobs. In New Jersey, with no statewide media and only three statewide elected offices (two US Senators, and the Governor), how are you going to do this ?
Third, some of you may be interested in this interview with Newark mayor Ras Baraka
https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/25/ras-baraka-new-jersey-trenton-00147376
I’ve met Mayor Baraka a couple of times, was favorably impressed. He’s likely to be running against Jersey City mayor Steven Fulop in the gubernatorial primary next year.
Meself, have found out I’ll be celebrating May Day / Beltaine / Law Day by showing up for jury duty.
Hope all of you jackals who are feeling under the weather get lots better, very soon !
Gvg
@Shalimar: I don’t know, to me it seemed like the party chose her as a weak token because they really weren’t expecting to have to fill that seat. They assumed Mendez would hold on, and had not recruited anyone to take his place. So when they needed to, they floundered around and talked a spouse into doing it. That means they aren’t reading the electorate well which means it’s a good time for the machine to get challenged.
I don’t recall details but it seems to me the New Jersey establishment has mad other mistakes this decade about where the electorate is….but maybe I am remembering New York?
rikyrah
Good going, Rep. Kim. So many counted him out when he announced.
Manyakitty
@Geminid: aha, that also makes sense. Plus, he gets to line his pockets with all those Thiel dollars in the meantime.
Manyakitty
@Mousebumples: I wonder if he’s getting worried about his role in some of the fake elector schemes. He sure seems like he’s up to his eyeballs in it.
Mousebumples
@Manyakitty: yup. Or does Putin have something on him, which is why he keeps running…
Manyakitty
@Mousebumples: also, too. 👀
RevRick
@NotMax: The slogan was the winner of the local Chamber of Commerce contest in 1910, when Trenton was a manufacturing center, John Roebling and Sons, known for producing the wire rope used building the Brooklyn, George Washington, and Golden Gate suspension bridges. Roebling senior designed the Brooklyn Bridge.
RevRick
@dmsilev: Not going to lie. I would have loved to be the officiant of his wedding if I knew he the Millennium Falcon kit on his registry. His capacity to play is an admirable quality.
NotMax
@RevRick
Early Roebling bridge not too far from you.
JerseyBeard
I am very upset about this!
Because he’s my rep and I hate losing him. 😊 Can’t wait for him to be my Senator. I’ll be volunteering for the campaign.
NotMax
@RevRick
For the engineering curious, a rare shot inside one of the massive piers at either end of the Brooklyn Bridge.
Betty
@Lyrebird: As a Republican?
Mai Naem mobile
I really like Andy Kim. I donated to his congressional campaign when he first ran so I get the auto emails from his campaign. Cannot wait to see him in the Senate. Also it would be nice to see another Asian in the Senate . There have not been enough Asians in the Senate.
Chris T.
@NotMax: [per Forbes]
That’s an average (mean, not median) of about $7.5B per billionaire. Trump’s previous need—$0.5B of that—is not tiny, but certainly affordable to any of them: about 6.7% of their net worth. That’s like if your net worth is $100k, you’d have to spend $6700: noticeable, but not impossible…
sab
@Another Scott: My mom, who died ten years ago next week, used “good egg” as her ultimate compliment. It took my husband seven or eight years to earn the opprobrium.
ETA And when he got it he acted like he had won a Nobel prize for something. Judgment from good people can be effective for motivating other good people.