Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

When do we start airlifting the women and children out of Texas?

Come on, man.

Fight for a just cause, love your fellow man, live a good life.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

You are either for trump or for democracy. Pick one.

Our messy unity will be our strength.

There are some who say that there are too many strawmen arguments on this blog.

The fundamental promise of conservatism all over the world is a return to an idealized past that never existed.

President Musk and Trump are both poorly raised, coddled 8 year old boys.

Anyone who bans teaching American history has no right to shape America’s future.

“Everybody’s entitled to be an idiot.”

Republicans are the party of chaos and catastrophe.

“In the future, this lab will be a museum. do not touch it.”

Let’s not be the monsters we hate.

People really shouldn’t expect the government to help after they watched the GOP drown it in a bathtub.

“But what about the lurkers?”

“A king is only a king if we bow down.” – Rev. William Barber

They don’t have outfits that big. nor codpieces that small.

You don’t get rid of your umbrella while it’s still raining.

The willow is too close to the house.

Many life forms that would benefit from greater intelligence, sadly, do not have it.

Consistently wrong since 2002

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

I’d like to think you all would remain faithful to me if i ever tried to have some of you killed.

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Wednesday Morning Open Thread: Tim Walz, On the Road Again

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Okay, it’s a rather limited, very Midwestern sort of road trip, and in defense of a cause we all support, so…

Per Wisconsin Public Radio, “Tim Walz says pushing back against President Trump, Elon Musk starts with Wisconsin Supreme Court election”:

… The 2024 Democratic vice presidential nominee also criticized Republican U.S. Rep. Derrick Van Orden of Prairie du Chien for halting in-person town halls, suggesting he’s “scared” of hearing from constituents angry over federal cuts initiated by Trump and Musk.

Walz entered Eau Claire’s Pablo Center theater to a standing ovation by hundreds of Democrats from the Chippewa Valley region and beyond in Wisconsin’s 3rd Congressional District. His visit served as a bit of a catchall for the state Democratic Party. It was a rally aimed at motivating liberals to help Crawford defeat conservative Waukesha County Judge Brad Schimel. And it served as an opportunity for liberals to vent their anger about Trump and Musk as they work to dismantle federal agencies and lay off tens of thousands of federal workers.

The Democratic Party of Wisconsin’s decision to hold its “People v. Musk” event in Eau Claire was meant to send a message to Van Orden, whose district is one of around a dozen the party is focused on flipping in 2026. Eau Claire is the largest city in the 3rd Congressional District, and throughout the evening, Walz and state Democratic Party Chair Ben Wikler took turns criticizing Van Orden’s switch to virtual town halls due to what he has described as “George Soros-funded agitators” disrupting GOP events…

“We have to take this like you do cleaning the house or whatever, one chunk at a time,” Walz said. “And America’s first chunk of cleaning is the Wisconsin Supreme Court, April 1.” …

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Monday Evening Open Thread: Tim Walz, Putting in the Work

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Walz: There’s nothing conservative about an unelected South African nepo baby firing people at the VA.

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— Acyn (@acyn.bsky.social) March 14, 2025 at 5:01 PM

There’s a saying: Sometimes courage is saying ‘I will try again, tomorrow’. However excited the NYTimes lathers itself over the chances of a crowded Democratic primary in 2028 (gosh, who would’ve thought they’d be hungering for Dems in disarray! stories when the Oval Office Occupant is serving them such a buffet of Watch the GOP wheels fall off! tales?), what the country needs *right now* is a reliable, relatable Democrat with a national profile to speak up for our much-beleaguered party. You go, Gov. Walz!

Tim Walz is our guy!

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— @Boom-WhatsGoingOn.bsky.social (@boom-whatsgoingon.bsky.social) March 15, 2025 at 10:43 PM

?? Hey @governorwalz.mn.gov was in my hometown Omaha Nebraska! This is what Dem leaders need to do! Love it! ?????? Thank you Tim Walz!

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— BostonCatherine (@banner19.bsky.social) March 15, 2025 at 8:27 PM

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Mechanics and what we think we might think about last Tuesday

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I want to lay out some things that I think I know or at least I think that I think.

  1.  Lots of people are going to be hurt.  The leopards are going to be feasting on faces of people who voted for the leopard eating faces party.  Lots of people who voted against the leopards are going to be hurt too.
  2.   It looks like the national shift was a near uniform 4 to 5 6 points to the right from 2020.
    1. Internationally, being an incumbent party in 2024 is a truly bad spot to be with historic wipeouts not uncommon
  3. The big exception to 4 or 5 point 6 shift to the right were in the swing states where there was a very active and engaged campaign.
  4. The swing states moved right by 1 2 to 3 points.
  5. The Harris campaign in these states likely had a substantial pro-DEM campaign effect of several points
    1. I’m betting that we can disaggregate mobilization effects to advertising/media effects by looking at vote swings in counties/precincts in non-swing states that get swing state messaging (ie the South Carolina suburbs of Charlotte  got bombarded by TV ads  but did not get the full GOTV mobilization effort while a decent chunk of SC got nearly no advertising nor GOTV mobilization from the national party… was there differential swing in the SC Charlotte suburbs relative to Charlestown or Columbia SC or was the NC result entirely a ground game result)
  6.  Everyone in the Democratic Party has a very strong incentive to make immediate and large claims about what the problem was and how to fix it as a way to claim within faction positions and priorities.
    1. We are unlikely to have good enough voter file data for these arguments for a few months
    2. UPDATE:  Hell, several states have yet to receive or count a substantial percentage of their ballots yet.  We won’t have rough near final counts for another week or more.
    3. Given near uniform swings in big states and small states, red states and blue states, causal explanations that are hyper campaign/tactical focused are pushing one hell of a boulder up the evidentiary hill.
  7. The GOP did not have substantial Presidential coat-tails
    1. The Senate GOP pick-ups were 2 ruby red (MT and WV), 1 pretty red (Ohio) and perhaps 1 swing state (PA) pick-ups
    2. The GOP January House Caucus is +/-2 members from their Caucus size today
    3.  I don’t think there was a governorship flip in either direction

Check in on your people today.

Build community, solidarity and kindness as we’re going to need it for the next fifty months.

But let’s figure out what happened instead of what we believe to have happened as engaging with reality as it is instead of as it is wished to be makes recovery more likely.

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Election Worker Appreciation Thread

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Somewhere in rural northeastern Pennsylvania, there’s a polling place staffed almost entirely by my family. Dad (judge of elections), Mom (certified poll-watcher) and Aunt A. (poll worker) report steady, longer-than-average lines from the very start of the day—including a good number of people waiting outside when Dad rolled up to open the polling place. On their lunch break, Mom and Dad also said there were lots of new and inactive voters.

I’ve lived abroad most of my adult life, so I’ve never worked an election. But I really, really appreciate everyone who does. GOTV folks are crucial, as are ballot-curers and other volunteers, but the local folks who give a whole day to help others cast their ballots are really special. Even the ones who aren’t related to me. If you’re out there doing this work today, thank you.

Open thread for your reports from the field or whatever else you’ve got.

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Walz PA Rally at 3pm, Harris Remarks on Helene at 4pm (Open Thread)

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Walz rally scheduled for today starting around 3 pm Eastern

Harris briefing on the hurricane around 4 pm Eastern

I am making broccoli quiche because I wasn’t in the mood to go to the store.  I had broccoli, green onions, a frozen pie crust, swiss cheese and half-and-half, so I figured I could make it work.

Let’s just say it’s not going great.  The broccoli was a couple of ounces less than I needed, not a big deal.  The I started it steaming and forgot about it, so it’s definitely not “partially cooked”.  I started the garlic sautéing in butter while I cut up the green onions, which were definitely older than I expected.  Then the alarm went off to tell me it was time to force the post to publish.  Then i noticed that the butter / garlic was brown because I hadn’t gotten the green onions in to sauté.

This will not be the best quiche ever.  I’m normally a good cook.  Really.  sigh.

Update: while we’re waiting for the rally to start. I truly think this might be the best Liberal Redneck video ever.

h/t eclare

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