It ain’t over ‘til it’s over. But after last night, it seems very likely that Hillary Clinton will be our nominee. I don’t think Bernie Sanders will or should drop out any time soon. He’s got a passionate base of supporters and plenty of money to make sure his issues continue to get attention. That’s all good as far as I’m concerned; I like Bernie, and I am confident he knows how important it is for a Democrat to win in November, even if that Democrat isn’t him.
I’ve seen some paranoid speculation in comments here and elsewhere online that Team Hillary or the Machiavellian DWS will undertake some sort of Bernie supporter purge. Not gonna happen. And while a tiny subset of the Bernie faction is writing GBCW posts at DU and DKos and promising to sit out the election, I continue to believe their antics won’t amount to a fart in a whirlwind come election time, just like the PUMAs before them. The biggest crybabies are Jill Stein voters anyway because Obama is an Eisenhower Republican, as everyone knows.
Anyhoo, it’s also looking likely that Donald Trump will represent the Republicans, possibly after a damaging convention tussle. But ultimately, I think the Repubs will line up behind The Donald because that’s what they do. Is America dumb and crazy enough to elect Trump? Nothing is impossible. The Shrub got elected (for the first time) in 2004 when everyone already knew he was the dumb-ass who screwed the pooch in Iraq. There’s no telling what issues will crop up between now and November to stir things up.
But I like our chances. I don’t think I’m particularly naïve about the nature of this country, and I live in a wingnut area, so it’s not like I don’t know plenty of folks who will vote for Trump. But I don’t think he will win the general. Thus far, he’s been appealing to the nastiest, dumbest, whiniest subset of Americans — AKA, the Republican Party base — and failing to crack 50%. I have to believe a general election audience will find him too braggy, ignorant, hateful and just plain embarrassing to represent us in the world.
Also, I look forward to the Clinton-Trump debates. As someone who watched in horror as the Beltway press made the empty-headed Dubya the “winner” of the Bush-Gore debates by creating subterranean expectations, I understand what’s coming. But I think valued commenter Eemom nailed it last night when she said, “it’s gonna be the equivalent of a ‘debate’ between a tantrum-throwing two year old and a lifelong preschool teacher.”
Yep, pretty much. Open thread!