In his testimony tomorrow, Rick Bright is expected to warn that the U.S. will face "unprecedented illness and fatalities" without additional preparations. "Without clear planning…2020 will be darkest winter in modern history." W/ @JDiamond1 https://t.co/iVEzwpdHzQ
— Kaitlan Collins (@kaitlancollins) May 13, 2020
For the latest developments around the coronavirus outbreak, follow @Reuters Liveblog https://t.co/cEBwkoEQ5P pic.twitter.com/IeFl4BCYGo
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
Birx has urged CDC officials to exclude from coronavirus death count reporting some of those individuals who either do not have confirmed lab results and are presumed positive or who have the virus and may not have died as a direct result of ithttps://t.co/oNDKwh4lup
— Erin Banco (@ErinBanco) May 13, 2020
Alternatively, if you had underlying health issues AND #COVID19 and subsequently died…the virus undoubtedly played a role in the overwhelming majority of those deaths.
The sad reality is our #COVID19 death toll may actually be an UNDERCOUNT – not an overcount at all!
— Craig Spencer MD MPH (@Craig_A_Spencer) May 14, 2020
But many who have had this virus – over 1.3 million in the US and 4.3 million in the world – will potentially live with the long-term physical and mental scars of this disease.
All the more reason to focus all our energies on a strong local and global response.
— Craig Spencer MD MPH (@Craig_A_Spencer) May 14, 2020
More government suppression of critical health information — just like in Wuhan. The impulse of officials to cover their asses and protect the boss is just the same under GOP as under CCP. The difference is a free press in US better able to report it https://t.co/1hHM3lIPFu
— James Millward ??? (@JimMillward) May 13, 2020
Cheap, good, fast — choose any two:
Bloomberg: The coronavirus test from Abbott Laboratories used at the White House to get rapid answers to whether someone is infected may miss as many as half of positive cases, according to a report from New York University. https://t.co/zl9xn0O0K7
— Kyle Griffin (@kylegriffin1) May 13, 2020
Would help accuracy if the WH didn’t operate the machine upside down pic.twitter.com/2HrGr3za4y
— MisterZofter (@Zoftwarz) May 13, 2020
Trump rebukes Fauci, says his testimony about how opening schools amid a pandemic might not be a great idea was "just not an acceptable answer."
"This is a disease that attacks age. It attacks health," Trump adds. pic.twitter.com/qgdOG8qvKZ
— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar) May 13, 2020
NEW: LANCET study reveals 30-fold increase of Kawasaki-like disease in Italian province over past month. Strongest evidence yet linking pediatric inflammatory syndrome to #coronavirus. Authors predict outbreak of Kawasaki-like disease in other countries: https://t.co/FCZYuCsQFJ
— Matt McCarthy (@DrMattMcCarthy) May 14, 2020
.
Elsewhere…
This is the model. We're nowhere close to this. https://t.co/tir3NbOKJu
— Erica Meltzer (@meltzere) May 14, 2020
Hong Kong is dense with a crowded subway. It has a lot of travel from China. And yet, no local cases for weeks now. No Lombardy-style lock down either. And, no, it's not the competent government. I wrote about how the people of Hong Kong saved themselves. https://t.co/khVQmyvfEi pic.twitter.com/ia5VHV6Ycb
— zeynep tufekci (@zeynep) May 12, 2020
South Korea to boost coronavirus tracing privacy amid fears of backlash https://t.co/y1LpXeeRo2 pic.twitter.com/cGDQQ2cUNL
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
worth noting, perhaps, that in singapore, the virus continues to tear through worker dorms–these guys are wearing masks but are 12-20 to a room–while the fully suited-up medical personnel treating them have afaik avoided a single infection
crowded indoor areas=very bad https://t.co/tifcZU2pae
— Gerry Doyle (@mgerrydoyle) May 14, 2020
an extremely detailed thread about one aspect of hk's excellent public health response
she even tries to spell out the noise she's asked to make when, uh, "producing" a saliva sample https://t.co/GGZgZuB9z5
— Gerry Doyle (@mgerrydoyle) May 14, 2020
Japan’s Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is expected to announce the lifting of the emergency in 39 of its 47 prefectures, but not in the capital Tokyo
https://t.co/xKTYuzBMAT pic.twitter.com/NWNl5XqmGj— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
Russian Health Ministry answers claims it's under-reporting Covid-19 deaths:
'Even when coronavirus is confirmed, the main cause of death can be other conditions, for example chronic vascular problems,' a spokesperson tells @tass_agency TASS.https://t.co/3AeUuqFDAO
— Sarah Rainsford (@sarahrainsford) May 13, 2020
Russian officials have gradually stopped talking of ‘reaching a peak’ and ‘plateauing’. The continuing high rate of infection is explained by increased testing, whilst number of people in hospital (the most sick) – and capacity (greatly increased) – is seen as key.
— Sarah Rainsford (@sarahrainsford) May 12, 2020
Report suggests the ventilators that caught fire were new – manufactured in a great hurry, during this pandemic https://t.co/qeXMSoKh8b
— Sarah Rainsford (@sarahrainsford) May 12, 2020
In Slovakia, leaders wore face masks from day one. The result: Low transmission rates, low death rates, and now a return to normal https://t.co/0XlSVRUZS9
— Anne Applebaum (@anneapplebaum) May 13, 2020
Australia posts surge in coronavirus-fuelled unemployment https://t.co/2oQm3OiRve pic.twitter.com/jHNWMtYoOV
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
Brazil passes France in coronavirus cases to become 6th worst-hit country https://t.co/ghVOSS1l96 pic.twitter.com/gusySj8WQg
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
Firms in India and Pakistan to make drug shown to cut duration of coronavirus symptoms https://t.co/pBRlrshQne
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) May 14, 2020
European Commission sets out travel and tourism guidance for EU countries https://t.co/tp8ySOcrlZ
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) May 13, 2020
Today both France and Spain (two badly hit countries) have come out with seroprevalence numbers. (France is a model, paper linked below. Spain was representative sample/survey of 60K; I don't have the paper yet). Both are ~5 percent. If that holds up, that is very very bad news. https://t.co/Tr7sCEXtrT
— zeynep tufekci (@zeynep) May 13, 2020
a reminder that even when you see a number that looks very small–"the cfr is only 0.6 percent!"–the effect across millions of infections is a huge number of deaths https://t.co/iziFlwRTsc
— Gerry Doyle (@mgerrydoyle) May 14, 2020
"This is an epidemic that hasn't run its course nationally, and hasn't really started to show sustained declines outside of the New York region." https://t.co/AXM0pLc51L
— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) May 13, 2020
Since we’re coming into the months when Americans most want to be outside, it would be really convenient if the ‘almost exclusively spread indoors’ hypothesis were true. Experts, however, not convinced yet…
A Hong Kong study that reviewed 7,324 COVID cases from China found "only one outdoor outbreak." https://t.co/p6DMS6YNj3
(via @MarketUrbanism) pic.twitter.com/SZkkLPPG2I
— Derek Thompson (@DKThomp) May 13, 2020
The problem isn't the beach
The problem is beach bathrooms
Baseball stadium bathrooms
And so on
— Mueller Investigation News (@Moon32535996) May 13, 2020
Southern Californians return to beaches ahead of long pandemic summer https://t.co/CfZaIZtS14 pic.twitter.com/ijTC7F3uCV
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
Yellowstone, Grand Canyon join national parks set for limited reopenings https://t.co/kUVmtBrcRw pic.twitter.com/MoVsLhVEeR
— Reuters (@Reuters) May 14, 2020
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s daily numbers: 40 new cases, all from local infection; total 6,819 cases. 70 more patients recovered, total recovered 5,351, or 78.47% of total cases. Of 1,356 active cases, 16 are in ICU, of whom four are on ventilators. One death, total 112. Case fatality rate 2.05%.
Friday prayers and other congregational prayers are now allowed at mosques starting tomorrow, subject to conditions, including:
JPL
Anne, Thank you again for the Covid updates.
ThresherK
TASS is still doing business like in the old days, da?
Rick Bright is someone I don’t know anything about, but I trust him because of his Dickensian name implicitly.
WereBear
@Amir Khalid: Is this max or they can’t really do it in shifts?
Amir Khalid
@WereBear:
Just the one session for each service. If you’re no. 31 at the mosque, you have to go home. Social distancing during the prayers themselves is also going to be awkward. Worshippers used to a lifetime of closing ranks will now have to stay 1 metre apart. I also wonder about the efficacy of masks worn with a full ZZ Top beard, as is common among devout Muslim men.
mrmoshpotato
Thank you very much for the daily updates, Anne.
But Moon57574832902u023r52 just screams BOT.
mrmoshpotato
@Amir Khalid: How sharply dressed are they?
Amir Khalid
@mrmoshpotato:
Generally, they just wear simple robes.
Sloane Ranger
One piece of good news from the shitstorm here in the UK. Public Health England has OK’d an antibody test that they say has tested as being 100% accurate. It’s made by Swiss firm, Roche.
The bad news, it will take months to get the quantities we need.
Amir Khalid
From the top of the Guardian’s liveblog:
terben
From Australian Dept of Health:
‘As at 3:00pm on 14 May 2020, a total of 6,989 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in Australia, including 98 deaths and 6,301 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19.
Over the past week, there has been an average of 15 new cases reported each day. Of the newly reported cases, the majority have been from Victoria.
To date, over 943,000 tests have been conducted nationally. Of those tests conducted 0.7% have been positive.’
Since the previous report there have been 14 new cases and no deaths. As can be seen from the numbers above, there are 590 active cases in the country. Of those, 51 are hospitalized and 18 are in ICU.
Sab
I don’t have kids so I shouldn’t care, but the rare Kawasaki syndrome with Corona is terrifying. Permanent heart problems for kids under five. I am over 65 and I have a congenital heart problem that finally blew up to be annoying and ocassionally scary.
I cannot imagine the lack of empathy that allows these anti-maskers to inflict that level of fear and danger on pre-school children.
YY_Sima Qian
Zeynep Tufekci is clearly letting her sympathies for the Hong Kong protest movement color her analysis, to the point of ideologically based wishful thinking. Rapidly escalating and rapidly radicalizing protest movement, and a public health crisis, are two very different challenges government for an. It is not surprising that the Carrie Lam administration (as have past administrations in Hong Kong) failed in the former challenge, she is a colorless and technocratic bureaucrat trained in the British Colonial administration, not a political leader (because the British were not interested in training political leaders, and the CCP does not encourage their development), and she is hemmed in by the radicalized and polarized public opinion, by the monied real estate interests that dominate the city’s economy, and by Beijing. An epidemic, however, is a technocratic challenge.
The way to contain COVID-19 is test, trace isolate. Tukefci does not describe the protest movement organization doing any of that, it is being done by the Hong Kong government, and only the Hong Kong government can do it. The elaborate process for foreign entries described by Laurel Chor is not set up by the protest movement, but by the Hong Kong government. The community activities organized by the protest movement is surely helpful and commendable, but it is impossible to assess their impact based on anecdotes, and not data, Tukefci does not offer any data. Fighting an epidemic is ultimately a numbers game. Of course the leaders of the protestors agitated to close the border with Mainland China, they look for every excuse to cut links with Mainland China, and are not above manufacturing outrage or fabricating “facts”. However, it is telling that the protest leaders were not clamoring to shut down flights from North America or Europe, even though the surge in imported cases were coming from these places in Mar. and straining Hong Kong’s capacity to contain. Hong Kong ultimately saw many more imports from the rest of the world, and relatively few from Mainland China. Hong Kong’s economy relies on the quadruple pillars of retail/tourism, real estate, logistics and finance. Retail/tourism have already collapse due to over half a year of unrest (including strong anti-Mainlander nativism, and Mainlanders make up the vast majority of visitors to Hong Kong), followed by the pandemic. Completely shutting off the land border with Mainland China would have taken out the logistics leg, too. Only the top 1% benefit from the finance and real estate parts of the Hong Kong economy, and the huge wealth disparity in the city fueled much of the popular anger against the Establishment to begin with. Then again, there is a strong anarcho-nihilist streak to the Hong Kong protest movement, “burn it all down” was a prominent slogan.
The protest movement in Hong Kong was increasing characterized by violence and vigilanteism, aspects largely ignored by western MSM. I can’t believe Tukefci is actually praising violence and vandalism in pursuit of political goals. Firebombing quarantine centers? Threatening to bomb border crossing? Isn’t that terrorism?
Finally, it is very easy mistakenly believe that the protest movement enjoyed/enjoyus universal support in Hong Kong. A clear majority are sympathetic to their stated goals, a lot fewer are sympathetic to their methods, particularly as violence and vigilanteism escalated toward the end. The anti-establishment candidate swept the district council elections in Dec., winning something like 85 – 90% of seats. However, those candidates won only 55 – 60% of the total votes, so 40 – 45% of Hong Kongers voted for the establishment, after everything. I highly doubt all of the efforts the protest organizations could amount to an effective epidemic response, if they could cover no more than 70% of the population (probably a lot less).
Politics and the population in Hong Kong are extremely polarized right now, as much as in the US. Those sympathetic to the anti-establishment side absolutely refuses to give any credit or benefit of doubt to the SAR government, so no surprise the government polls so low. Then again, the set of surveys that Tufekci cites, reported by the South China Morning Post, shows the top performing governments are the authoritarian states of China and Vietnam, that the South Korean governments barely cleared 30% approval despite its universally acclaimed response, and that the Trump administration managed secure the approval of > 40% of Americans, in spite of botching everything. What are we supposed to conclude from that set of data? Either the surveys were poorly done, or an awful lot of people are irrational.
PenAndKey
@Sab: As some of you are aware I have a 1-month old newborn. Hearing that this not only does actually affect kids in profound ways isn’t that big a surprise to me, but hearing it appears to cause Kawasaki is downright terrifying. Especially since we’re in Wisconsin and our State Supreme court decided by a 1-vote margin that our secretary of health and governor don’t have the authority, despite a law explicitly granting it to them, to lock the state down. We’re now “back open”, but my kids are going to remain isolated until this is over.
That’ll tick off my conservative family members, but I simply don’t care. Pediatric heart conditions are no joke.
YY_Sima Qian
Three more domestic confirmed cases yesterday from China. One in Fengman District of Jilin City, a street vendor, adding to the cluster there. She developed a fever on the evening of May 10, and visited a fever clinic on May 11.
Two were in Shenyang in Liaoning Province, now a cluster seeded by an import from Shulan in Jilin Province, Both are co-workers of the case from Shulan, one was traced and tested positive and classified as asymptomatic before, now reclassified as confirmed. The other somehow was not identified as a close contact, and was only tested when he developed fever and visited a hospital on May 12. Clearly there was an oversight in Shenyang’s contact tracing efforts. Since the infected are often the most contagious a few days before onset of symptoms, who knows how many more people may have been infected.
MoCA Ace
Yet you do… congratulations on having a moral center. Fundamentally this is what separates republicans from humans.