As I've been saying, Roberts sees which way the wind is blowing ahead of November. https://t.co/hziT5gxUax
— Neera Tanden (@neeratanden) June 29, 2020
Back during the original Gilded Age, when Americans were first debating our then-new power over the misfortunate citizens of Puerto Rico, political commentor Finley Peter Dunne famously remarked “no matter whether the constitution follows the flag or not, the Supreme Court follows the election returns“. The only credit I’ll give Chief Justice Roberts for his recent decisions in regard to protecting LBGTQ workers’ rights and pregnant women’s bodily autonomy is that he does, indeed, seem to be following the polls… and those polls do not look good for Roberts’ ‘conservative’ Republican fellows.
Until today, GOP satisfaction with how things are going in the US had been above 50% for nearly all of Trump’s presidency.
It is now 19%. https://t.co/S5NKy7iUv2 pic.twitter.com/iqQjHFRaa2
— Michael Del Moro (@MikeDelMoro) June 30, 2020
The Jared will continue until morale improves https://t.co/uAZOqqVz7C pic.twitter.com/ARDQnBVFhM
— Josh Barro (@jbarro) June 28, 2020
Horse-race touts at Politico — “Trump admits it: He’s losing”:
The president has privately come to that grim realization in recent days, multiple people close to him told POLITICO, amid a mountain of bad polling and warnings from some of his staunchest allies that he’s on course to be a one-term president…
What should have been an easy interview with Fox News host Sean Hannity on Thursday horrified advisers when Trump offered a rambling, non-responsive answer to a simple question about his goals for a second term. In the same appearance, the normally self-assured president offered a tacit acknowledgment that he might lose when he said that Joe Biden is “gonna be your president because some people don’t love me, maybe.”
In the hours after the interview aired, questions swirled within his inner circle about whether his heart was truly in it when it comes to seeking reelection.
Trump has time to rebound, and the political environment could improve for him. But interviews with more than a half-dozen people close to the president depicted a reelection effort badly in need of direction — and an unfocused candidate who repeatedly undermines himself.
“Under the current trajectory, President Trump is on the precipice of one of the worst electoral defeats in modern presidential elections and the worst historically for an incumbent president,” said former Trump political adviser Sam Nunberg, who remains a supporter…
Imagine being a “billionaire” and the President of the United States and having the audacity to whine about things being rigged against you.
— The Lincoln Project (@ProjectLincoln) June 30, 2020
the entire white house is controlled by the fox news studio and right now they’re having very serious discussions about what the hell are we going to do here next year if this guy doesn’t get his shit back together
— kilgore trout, a ramp with no steps (@KT_So_It_Goes) June 30, 2020
From the Washington Post, “The Trump campaign has a new effort to rebut his lousy poll numbers. It’s not good.”:
In the vernacular of political communications, a memo is essentially an attempt to nerd up a news release. Sometimes campaigns create memos meant to be leaked, increasing the chances that a reporter will pick up the story. Often, though, campaign memos serve as short-form white papers, aimed at impressing reporters with more detail than a normal campaign message without getting too complicated.
In the case of a memo released by President Trump’s reelection campaign on Sunday, the aim was something slightly different. In this case, the effort was to give a veneer of complexity and statistical rigor to a fundamentally weak set of claims.
Addressed to “Interested Parties,” the memo is titled, “Enthusiasm and Unity Update, Polling Methodology.” It attempts to downplay Trump’s weakened position in the polls by arguing, first, that Trump enjoys a distinct advantage in enthusiasm over former vice president Joe Biden, the presumptive Democratic nominee, and, second, that the campaign’s internal polling is more accurate than public polling…
In his memo, Stepien argues that the media is intentionally making Trump look bad to “create an unfavorable scenario and to attempt to discourage President Trump’s supporters.” I guess if you are trying to identify likely voters in June, you’re also convinced that voters can be discouraged from voting four months early, too…
eventually camp one and camp two are gonna fight and if it weren’t for the fact that camp one will be actively & openly attempting to install an american mussolini it would be entertaining as hell
— kilgore trout, a ramp with no steps (@KT_So_It_Goes) June 30, 2020
Lmao you're not gonna Her Emails no matter how hard you try. Give it up, the fun times are over, come January 2021 you're back to writing about boring shit like fiscal cliffs and sequestration. https://t.co/SD0d9aZuQm
— Tentin Quarantino (@agraybee) June 30, 2020
Alison Rose
“Some people don’t love me, maybe.”
Trump may lose the election (KNOCK ON WOOD) but he’s won Understatement of the Century. Someone give him a golden KFC bucket.
NotMax
“Whaddaya mean no bump? I held up the Bible. The goddamn BIble!”
//
Calouste
If he removes himself from the picture, maybe. Otherwise the guy is a millstone around his own neck.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@NotMax:
He even held it upside down! What a clown!
oatler.
As I said before, he’s living his own damnation. He screams like a damned soul.
Amir Khalid
I am happy to learn that Prince Jared is to have an even bigger role in overseeing Daddy-in-Law’s re-election campaign. This ensures the campaign will go exactly as we jackals want it to.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
Damn, only 19% of the GOPers thing the country is doing well? Donny finally broke threw 37%.
NotMax
“Here’s one we can pass along. Shows his support at over 60%.”
“Lemme see that. Who the hell did they poll?”
“All his living relatives.”
Enhanced Voting Techniques
Wait, this is just Trump’s own campaign gas lighting him. The Fox will pick of the leak, Trump will see and think all the polls aren’t that bad. ROFL
mrmoshpotato
Oh? Are the Rethuglican Trump trash realizing their orange plague rat god emperor doesn’t care about them, since he’s doing things to exacerbate the pandemic?
Apparently elections have consequences. Who knew?!
mrmoshpotato
@NotMax: “No one’s biglier at Bible than me! I’m tremendous bigly at Bible!”
mrmoshpotato
And like a tiny-handed baby who’d never seen a book before!
Leto
@Amir Khalid: there will be so many case study books, in so many different fields, written about this administration on what not to do in X situation. Prince Jared will have a starring role in all of them.
Leto
@NotMax:
“Here’s one we can pass along. Shows his support at over 60%.”
“That’s upside down.”
“…”
mrmoshpotato
Except Tiffany, Barron, his first two wives and his niece Mary. :)
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
Mount Rushmore Fireworks Display Too Risky Because of Drought and Ponderosa Pines, Wildfire Expert Warns
Oh, Trump’s Park Service said it’s ok and totes won’t cause a wildfire that could spread outside the memorial’s boundaries!
See, this is the problem when you lie all the time and undermine departments and agencies to spew your message; you have zero fucking credibility. Why should I believe the South Dakota state government, the National Park Service, or the Interior Department under Trump? He’s wanted his little light show since 2018. Well, enough decay has set in that nobody will deny him his precious this year. Imagine if a wildfire does happen. Trump and Noem will look like even bigger assholes than they already are and thousands of lives could be put at risk, along with miles of nature.
Fuck Noem by the way. She’s such an idiot and kiss ass to Trump it’s disgusting.
Noem also had this to say in response to Sioux leaders calling for Mount Rushmore to be demolished:
This witch has some fucking gall. Who the hell does she think she is to be lecturing Frazier on this? Whether you agree with demolition or not, he wasn’t wrong in his remarks and if anybody has any right to say this, it’s him. That land was stolen from the Lakota by the US government. We violated our treaties with them.
“He’s an activist! He uses inflammatory rhetoric.”
And you fucking don’t? Pull the other one, Governor Barbie. And no, Shapiro, it’s not “revisionist” to remove monuments glorifying racist traitors. Nobody’s proposing they shouldn’t be taught about.
Good job completely ignoring the substance of what was said, Noem! Thanks for the Schoolhouse Rock-level history analysis, too. History isn’t as black and white as you portray it as and these men were complicated. The DNC shouldn’t have deleted that tweet; it was 100% fucking correct
Rant over
oclib
time to stock up on popcorn again….the Military Industrial complex will just love this and I seriously do see a veto override on this….
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1278176059876401152
NotMax
@Leto
Deserves a p[lace in the nation’s permanent political lexicon.
Jared: to study every possible worst decision or action in preparation for creating a new low.
Leto
@NotMax: there’s a Tropic Thunder quote there: never go full Jared!
trollhattan
Thing you probably missed, along with everybody else: minor league baseball cancelled for 2020. Suspect a lot of teams will be folding before next year.
piratedan
and while I find our current POTUS a loathsome example of a human being, many of us already knew and expected this shambling dumpster fire of an administration and whatever court of law gets to decide his fate, I don’t envy them the task of determining which of his many crimes to give precedence to… his administration and those people who blithely looked away from all of his crimes and aided and abetted them…. well, I have a new thought on how we should handle them.
I don’t want a single one of them to do jail time, not a day…. sure, they can be felons and carry that stigma the remainder of their days. Sucks for their families, but sorry, your Mom or Dad shouldn’t have betrayed the public trust.
I want them to have to forfeit all of their assets, to be applied to a number of worthwhile entities, from Planned Parenthood to the NAACP. Strip them of all of their property assets, remove their wealth.
Then, since they betrayed their oaths to the public office, restitution must be made. Since they served themselves instead of their offices and their constituencies, they can make good on that by serving the public. They can perform public service, they can work the phones for the medicare triage lines, they can break and maintain trails in our national parks, they can paint replacement signs for the interstates. Loads of solid menial tasks that they can fulfill, then they can return to their double-wide and sit down and watch network TV and revel in the reruns of The Bachelor when they’re not using food stamps to complete their shopping at the local Dollar General.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@piratedan:
I want to hand Trump over to the Iranians. Think that would repair our relations with them? I’m half serious
@mrmoshpotato:
He’s not well at all. Mentally, cognitively, or physically
Martin
Don’t overread this survey. The dissatisfaction from a decent percent of people is going to be due to uppity negroes and liberals not letting them go to the beach and cough on people.
Trump approval is still garbage, but I think his base is gonna die on this hill.
Luciamia
Ha! Love that quote about Kushner. When a recipe is failing, just add more Jared!?
James E Powell
@Martin:
Agreed. I’d like to see surveys that ask: Are you going to vote? Are you registered to vote? Are you going to vote by mail? Do you know how to get a mail in ballot? Do you know where you must go to vote in person? Are you sure you’re registered to vote? Do you need an ID? When did you last check to see whether you were registered to vote?
Our people are out there and we outnumber the Evil Ones. We just need to make sure everybody can vote and does vote.
Amir Khalid
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka):
Why do you hate Iran?
James E Powell
Rosalind Helderman, the others on that article, along with the headline writers & editors at WaPo are showing us that they are going to work hard to keep this election from getting out of hand. I mean, they aren’t going to let Joe Biden just walk into the White House, are they?
Kent
Astonishingly, the Trump Campaign actually has ZERO published goals for his second term. Absolutely none. Trump’s 2020 campaign web site does not even have a section for policy issues or objectives. They don’t even have a placeholder section for 2nd term priorities. They have a big pop-up add urging you to donate money to help Trump fight ANTIFA and protect our heritage. So maybe that’s his 2nd term objective. Protecting Confederate statutes and fighting ANTIFA? Who the fuck knows.
At his big Tulsa rally he spoke for what? An hour and 40 minutes? Something like that? And not one word about what he wants to do for the second term. The past 3 years every single move he has made, domestically and internationally, has all been about getting re-elected And he can’t even articulate why anyone should vote for him.
Even at the upcoming convention they just plan to roll over the 2016 platform. They have nothing new to say or add. It just astonishes me that the GOP is so utterly bankrupt as a party that they have zero issues to run on for a second term. There is not one single GOP politician who can say: “Vote for Trump because he will do ______________________ in his second term.”
These people and their party need to be purged out of existence and salt plowed into their fields.
Kent
Talk about burying the lede. The fucking headline should have read: Trump Campaign again breaks the law by seeking illegal foreign interference in the presidential election”
mdblanche
@Martin: The alt-right types are very disillusioned that Trump never did call out the army to crush the blacks nor has he done anything about the Jews who are using the blacks as muscle against them. They’re obviously never going to vote for Biden, but I wonder how many will stay home.
Ceci n est pas mon nym
@mrmoshpotato: More likely the things they’re dissatisfied with are the things we see as bright spots, such as the majority support for BLM and loss of support for police brutality.
Also maybe that there is not yet a Big Beautiful Wall.
And that even with Barr in place, the DOJ is never actually going to jail Hillary for the crime of existing.
opiejeanne
@Ceci n est pas mon nym: And states like Mississippi removing the small Confederate flag from their state flag while others remove those hideous statues honoring the Confederacy, some of them red states. I’m sure they’ve been asking what this world is coming to.
opiejeanne
Wow! Just a second ago there was an ad for Trump across the bottom of this page. It disappeared and changed to an ad for athletic shoes.
Amir Khalid
@opiejeanne:
I guess the ad realised it was at the wrong party, and skedaddled.
Brachiator
Wow. This may have been “non responsive,” but it is very revelatory. Trump is not a politician. He’s not a leader. He has never had much of an agenda. He has no vision.
He became president so that he could be loved by his idiot base. He would give them what they wanted, and they would love him.
He is now forced to deal with a complex situation, and make decisions which don’t have simple outcomes. And he has failed.
But instead of finding a way to deal with these challenges, he is sulking and obsessing about his deep drop in popularity.
In the past, he has bounced back from these funks with some hideous new proposal. We will see what happens. Either way, everyone should keep hammering away at him, pointing out how much of a loser he really is.
Canadian Shield
<i>This witch has some fucking gall. Who the hell does she think she is to be lecturing Frazier on this? Whether you agree with demolition or not, he wasn’t wrong in his remarks and if anybody has any right to say this, it’s him. That land was stolen from the Lakota by the US government. We violated our treaties with them.
“He’s an activist! He uses inflammatory rhetoric.”
And you fucking don’t? Pull the other one, Governor Barbie. And no, Shapiro, it’s not “revisionist” to remove monuments glorifying racist traitors. Nobody’s proposing they shouldn’t be taught about.</i>
I think the American left has to be careful here for how Shapiro and the Repubs are trying to re-frame things. Getting rid of Confederate monuments is in play now, great! They will now ‘slippery-slope’ this to blowing up Mt. Rushmore, removing the Washington monument, pulling down Lincoln, Jefferson, etc.
The battle-ground is the middle (the mythical ‘independent voters’), I don’t begrudge any Aboriginal American to hate on something like Mt. Rushmore but it can’t be part of the Democratic party platform. Incremental change is the only tool available and you have to win to get the current poop off your shoe. Confederate monuments coming down and state flags removing the Virginia Battle flag is already serious progress, don’t push until it backfires (The USA is conservative by its nature, I think it has to be pulled left in increments). #1 and only goal should be removing the incumbent, the rest is gravy – so make sure you win!
Just one outsiders opinion
Brachiator
@opiejeanne:
I wonder. Is that a smart algorithm at work? Scrapes a mention of Trump, then sees that the discussion is not pro-Trump, and adjusts the ad.
opiejeanne
@Brachiator: I’m not sure what happened, just caught the flash of TRUMP in large letters before the ad changed. They do change after a set amount of time, so maybe I only saw it just as it was changing, but it was startling, even though the ad at the top is usually something inflammatory about Democrats. .
Brachiator
The recent decision about tax credits for religious schools muddles the shit out of separation of church and state and gives aid and comfort to religious conservatives.
Democrats cannot depend on Roberts doing the right thing. Another reason to vote for Biden.
Steeplejack
For anybody who’s still up: my summer song from last year. Still good this year. Durand Jones and the Indications, “Sea Gets Hotter.”
And two oldies:
Pieces of a Dream, “Warm Weather.”
Chris Rea, “On the Beach.”
Really old: the Lovin’ Spoonful, “Coconut Grove.”
JWR
@mrmoshpotato:
Speaking of which, I take it everyone’s seen this?
It sounds to me as if this will get about as far as the attempt to block Bolton’s book, and, unlike Bolton’s screed, this one promises to be a pretty juicy read.
prostratedragon
@Kent:
And he shall be called “ShortFlags“
Steeplejack
Okay, palate cleanser: Pat Metheny, “Same River.”
different-church-lady
@Martin:
I find their offer acceptable.
different-church-lady
As I’ve said before: widespread death has a rather clarifying effect on things.
Uncle Cosmo
Holding the Bible upside-down is just one other little detail for the Antichrist.
Srsly, the Emperor Tang® fills in so many of the checkboxes on the Antichristian list – and yet the Evilangelicals luuuuuurve him in spite of it (or maybe because of it). Sad to see a once-somewhat-respectable religion degenerate into a mindless cult, but there you have it.
Ken
Anyone have any contacts at a madrassa that might want to apply for state funding as a test case? (Come to think, didn’t Louisiana go through this about ten years ago?)
Gloomyjim
@Uncle Cosmo: a careful reading of the Revelation of John is that the AntiChrist comes and fools the Elect (read modern Pharacies). I keep pointing this out to the Evangalicals in my world, but no luck so far…
Dupe1970
@Calouste: That’s just excellent imagery. I now need a political cartoon of this.
low-tech cyclist
I’ll believe Roberts is following the election returns when he casts a deciding vote against billionaires and/or big corporations.
low-tech cyclist
@Gloomyjim:
Trump ain’t no Antichrist*, but he’d sure be a good test run/proof of concept for one.
*Two reasons: first, you’ve got to twist the Bible into a pretzel to come up with all that Antichrist bullshit to begin with. Second, the concept of Antichrist that the evangelicals buy into certainly involves someone who’s a good deal smarter than Mango Mussolini.
Boris Rasputin (the evil twin)
@Amir Khalid:
@mrmoshpotato: As a “subject specialist” might I suggest he’s trying to win the Satanist vote?