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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

We are aware of all internet traditions.

The “burn-it-down” people are good with that until they become part of the kindling.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

Decision time: keep arguing about the last election, or try to win the next one?

People are weird.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

Imperialist aggressors must be defeated, or the whole world loses.

This chaos was totally avoidable.

JFC, are there no editors left at that goddamn rag?

Sitting here in limbo waiting for the dice to roll

A democracy can’t function when people can’t distinguish facts from lies.

When they say they are pro-life, they do not mean yours.

Disappointing to see gov. newsom with his finger to the wind.

The words do not have to be perfect.

“Everybody’s entitled to be an idiot.”

It is possible to do the right thing without the promise of a cookie.

And now I have baud making fun of me. this day can’t get worse.

Accused of treason; bitches about the ratings. I am in awe.

Republicans don’t lie to be believed, they lie to be repeated.

Let there be snark.

Putting aside our relentless self-interest because the moral imperative is crystal clear.

After dobbs, women are no longer free.

I am pretty sure these ‘journalists’ were not always such a bootlicking sycophants.

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You are here: Home / Archives for Politics / Republicans in Disarray!

Republicans in Disarray!

Open Thread: It Pains the NYTimes To Report…

by Anne Laurie|  April 14, 20264:56 pm| 190 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republican Politics, Republicans in Disarray!, Trumpery, Our Failed Media Experiment

Paraphasia, you're hearing it more and more

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— Hemry, Local Bartender (@bartenderhemry.bsky.social) March 16, 2026 at 4:19 PM

It’s a cold-fangled word, but a luxurious sword

This isn’t to be like “ha ha” btw it’s just noting that all this stuff (the searching for words and getting them wrong, the increasing profanity and disinhibition) is happening, & relatively undiscussed because the WHPC is so pumped that trump answers his cell phone sometimes

And like, this was never a titanic intellect, but you’d think it would be a big story that the guy with his finger on the button making insane strategic and diplomatic choices all day every day is mentally and physically decomposing before our eyes

everything in here was obvious two years ago, but better late than never!

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— mtsw (@mtsw.bsky.social) April 13, 2026 at 1:03 PM

Chief WH Correspondent Peter Baker takes up this heavy burden… “Trump’s Erratic Behavior and Extreme Comments Revive Mental Health Debate” [gift link]:

President Trump’s erratic behavior and extreme comments in recent days and weeks have turbocharged the crazy-like-a-fox-or-just-plain-crazy debate that has followed him on the national political stage for a decade.

A series of disjointed, hard-to-follow and sometimes-profane statements capped by his “a whole civilization will die tonight” threat to wipe Iran off the map last week and his head-spinning attack on the “WEAK on Crime, and terrible for Foreign Policy” pope on Sunday night have left many with the impression of a deranged autocrat mad with power.

The White House rejected such assessments, saying that Mr. Trump is sharp and keeping his opponents on edge. But the president’s eruptions have raised questions about America’s leadership in a time of war. While the country has had presidents whose capacity came under question before, most recently the octogenarian Joseph R. Biden Jr. as he aged demonstrably before the public’s eyes, never in modern times has the stability of a president been so publicly and forensically debated — and with such profound consequences.

Democrats who have long challenged Mr. Trump’s psychological fitness have issued a fresh chorus of calls to invoke the 25th Amendment to remove the president from power for disability. But it is not just a concern voiced by partisans on the left, late-night comics or mental health professionals making long-distance diagnoses. It can be heard now among retired generals, diplomats and foreign officials. And most strikingly, it can be heard now on the political right among onetime allies of the president.

Former Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, the Georgia Republican who recently broke with Mr. Trump, advocated using the 25th Amendment, telling CNN that threatening to destroy Iran’s civilization was “not tough rhetoric, it’s insanity.” Candace Owens, the far-right podcaster, called him “a genocidal lunatic.” Alex Jones, the conspiracy theorist and founder of Infowars, said Mr. Trump “does babble and sounds like the brain’s not doing too hot.”…

The dissent on the right has not extended to Congress, where Republican lawmakers remain publicly loyal to the president, nor has it reached the cabinet, which would have to approve any invocation of the 25th Amendment, rendering that idea moot. But it reflects growing unease among Americans who in recent surveys have increasingly questioned the fitness of Mr. Trump, already the oldest president ever inaugurated, as he approaches his 80th birthday…

Indeed, the situation today eclipses even Nixon. Unlike in the 1970s, “so much of this is playing out in public,” especially with social media and cable television, Mr. Zelizer said. And, he added, “as a president who naturally disregards any guardrails or sense of decorum, Trump feels much freer, even than Nixon, to unleash his inner rage and to act on impulse.”…

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Our Very Serious Leading Media is like a flock of starlings: They move in murmurations, descending to pick the ground clean, then taking off in unison at some signal, leaving only guano behind.

And of course the NYTimes prides itself on being a murmurating leader whose harsh cries lesser birds automatically follow…

oh so this this guy's an ancient, visibly mentally decompensating lunatic you wouldn't trust to run a lemonade stand? nobody could have predicted

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— ryan cooper (@ryanlcooper.com) April 13, 2026 at 12:49 PM

Smart sidebar from Mary Geddry — “Collapse As Content”:

If a press system claims the privileges of the Fourth Estate, claims constitutional protection, claims public trust, and claims the prestige of democratic necessity, then it also inherits responsibility for what happens when it knowingly abandons that role. When profit-driven media chooses access over scrutiny, spectacle over truth, and shareholder comfort over democratic duty, it is participating in the damage…

… What if Trump’s apparent incapacity is not simply being ignored, but quietly found useful? What if the chaos, the incoherence, the grandiosity, the inability to hold a line from one hour to the next, all serve a purpose for the people around him? A visibly unstable president can still sign what he is handed, repeat what he is told, absorb the outrage, and take the blame. He can be a shield for handlers, enablers, donors, fixers, ideologues, and media owners who prefer that the story remain centered on one deteriorating man rather than on the system exploiting him. It is a cruel possibility, but cruelty has never disqualified anyone in this political ecosystem. If it is even partly true, then the failure of the press is not merely professional but moral. While the spectacle keeps rolling, the cost is borne not just by Americans, but by people across the world forced to live with the consequences of a superpower governed through profit, cowardice, and managed delusion…

Once you see that, the darker possibility comes into focus. If Trump is indeed unstable, increasingly incapable, or easily manipulated, then his condition may not simply be a source of alarm to the people around him; it may be an asset. A president who draws all scrutiny toward himself is useful to those who prefer to govern from the shadows of his spectacle. He takes the heat, fills the cameras, absorbs the ridicule, the legal jeopardy, the constitutional panic. Meanwhile, the handlers, loyalists, donors, opportunists, and owners who benefit from his continued usefulness can stay one step removed, insulated by the very chaos they help sustain. This makes the whole arrangement feel not merely dangerous, but grotesque. Even if Trump deserves no personal sympathy, the possibility that his deterioration is being tolerated or exploited for political and financial gain reveals a level of cruelty that extends far beyond him. It means millions of people, in the United States and far beyond it, are being forced to live with the consequences of a system that finds a failing strongman more useful than accountability…

If the American press wants to invoke the prestige of the Fourth Estate, then it must also face the moral consequences of abandoning that duty. It cannot claim the protections of democratic necessity while behaving like another profit center in an oligarchic marketplace. It cannot spend years normalizing corruption, laundering extremism through euphemism, and mistaking spectacle for scrutiny, only to plead helplessness when the wreckage is too large to ignore. The public has the right to say that this was not just a failure to warn; it was complicity in the damage.

Open Thread: It Pains the <em>NYTimes</em> To Report…Post + Comments (190)

Repubs in Disarray Open Thread: All Those Pointing Fingers

by Anne Laurie|  April 9, 20268:35 pm| 72 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Republican Politics, Republicans in Disarray!, Trump Crime Cartel

this is a wild story. this level of detail cannot come without many of the principles talking to the reporters. this reads to me a whole lot like vance and rubio – especially – trying to cut their losses and throw the president under the bus. it's like something from W's second term circa 2007.

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— elias isquith (@eliasisquith.blog) April 7, 2026 at 2:16 PM

Maggie Haberman & Jonathan Swan with a teaser for their upcoming book — “How Trump Took the U.S. to War With Iran” [gift link]:

The black S.U.V. carrying Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived at the White House just before 11 a.m. on Feb. 11. The Israeli leader, who had been pressing for months for the United States to agree to a major assault on Iran, was whisked inside with little ceremony, out of view of reporters, primed for one of the most high-stakes moments in his long career.

U.S. and Israeli officials gathered first in the Cabinet Room, adjacent to the Oval Office. Then Mr. Netanyahu headed downstairs for the main event: a highly classified presentation on Iran for President Trump and his team in the White House Situation Room, which was rarely used for in-person meetings with foreign leaders…

Susie Wiles, the White House chief of staff, sat at the far end of the table. Secretary of State Marco Rubio, who doubled as the national security adviser, had taken his regular seat. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Gen. Dan Caine, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, who generally sat together in such settings, were on one side; joining them was John Ratcliffe, the C.I.A. director. Jared Kushner, the president’s son-in-law, and Steve Witkoff, Mr. Trump’s special envoy, who had been negotiating with the Iranians, rounded out the main group.

The gathering had been kept deliberately small to guard against leaks. Other top cabinet secretaries had no idea it was happening. Also absent was the vice president. JD Vance was in Azerbaijan, and the meeting had been scheduled on such short notice that he was unable to make it back in time.

The presentation that Mr. Netanyahu would make over the next hour would be pivotal in setting the United States and Israel on the path toward a major armed conflict in the middle of one of the world’s most volatile regions. And it would lead to a series of discussions inside the White House over the following days and weeks, the details of which have not been previously reported, in which Mr. Trump weighed his options and the risks before giving the go-ahead to join Israel in attacking Iran…

… [I]n the end, even the more skeptical members of Mr. Trump’s war cabinet — with the stark exception of Mr. Vance, the figure inside the White House most opposed to a full-scale war — deferred to the president’s instincts, including his abundant confidence that the war would be quick and decisive. The White House declined to comment.

In the Situation Room on Feb. 11, Mr. Netanyahu made a hard sell, suggesting that Iran was ripe for regime change and expressing the belief that a joint U.S.-Israeli mission could finally bring an end to the Islamic Republic…
*****

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Back in office for a second term, Mr. Trump’s confidence in the U.S. military’s abilities had only grown. He was especially emboldened by the spectacular commando raid to capture the Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro from his compound on Jan. 3. No American lives were lost in the operation, yet more evidence to the president of the unmatched prowess of U.S. forces.

Within the cabinet, Mr. Hegseth was the biggest proponent of a military campaign against Iran.

Mr. Rubio indicated to colleagues that he was much more ambivalent. He did not believe the Iranians would agree to a negotiated deal, but his preference was to continue a campaign of maximum pressure rather than start a full-scale war. Mr. Rubio, however, did not try to talk Mr. Trump out of the operation, and after the war began he delivered the administration’s justification with full conviction…

Nobody in Mr. Trump’s inner circle was more worried about the prospect of war with Iran, or did more to try to stop it, than the vice president.

Mr. Vance had built his political career opposing precisely the kind of military adventurism that was now under serious consideration. He had described a war with Iran as “a huge distraction of resources” and “massively expensive.”…

That same week, Mr. Kushner and Mr. Witkoff called from Geneva after the latest talks with Iranian officials. Over three rounds of negotiations in Oman and Switzerland, the two had tested Iran’s willingness to make a deal. At one point, they offered the Iranians free nuclear fuel for the life of their program — a test of whether Tehran’s insistence on enrichment was truly about civilian energy or about preserving the ability to build a bomb.

The Iranians rejected the offer, calling it an assault on their dignity.

Mr. Kushner and Mr. Witkoff laid out the picture for the president. They could probably negotiate something, but it would take months, they said. If Mr. Trump was asking whether they could look him in the eye and tell him they could solve the problem, it was going to take a lot to get there, Mr. Kushner told him, because the Iranians were playing games…

Marco & JD would very much like everyone to remember: This was not their idea! Blame that noisy publicity hound Pete Hegseth! (Also, it should be noted, Jared & Steve, no matter how good their sucking-up-to-the-President skillz, are as much use as a pair of rubber crutches.)

to state the obvious: i dont think this is how any of these guys would be operating if they thought there was a real chance that things were about to get less bad rather than much worse.

— elias isquith (@eliasisquith.blog) April 7, 2026 at 2:17 PM

I think we have a really historic and really dangerous combination in the WH right now, which is basically group 1, which is "All the things that made us wealthy and powerful are woke and gay and I understand nothing."
And group 2 "I actually don't want to be wealthy, I just want to be racist."

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 8, 2026 at 7:56 PM

You combine these two groups in power, and you have a profound kakistocracy.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 8, 2026 at 7:56 PM

Repubs in Disarray Open Thread: All Those Pointing FingersPost + Comments (72)

Monday Morning Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  April 6, 20267:55 am| 246 Comments

This post is in: Iran, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!, Space, Trumpery

People wanna say you're washed up by middle age, but the YOUNGEST person on this moon mission is 47.

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— Brandon Sheffield (@brandon.insertcredit.com) April 2, 2026 at 3:50 AM

Robert Smalls was born enslaved in SC on this day in 1839. During the Civil War, he commandeered a Confederate ship & sailed it to Union waters, thereby freeing himself, his family, & several enslaved crew members & their families. He later served in the SC Legislature & Congress.
Image: LOC.

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— Dr. Todd Arrington (@btarrington.bsky.social) April 5, 2026 at 7:00 PM


“Did you know Robert Smalls was a Republican?… “

Trump ran as a populist who would focus less on military adventurism and more on America First working-class policies. But his budget shows he is now a deficit-spending interventionist asking working-class Americans to shoulder the cost of war. www.axios.com/2026/04/04/t…

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— Eric Michael Garcia (@ericmgarcia.bsky.social) April 5, 2026 at 10:33 AM

Jeff Bezos has $222 billion.
If he paid my wealth tax this year, we could fund insulin in America for everyone who needs it plus free school lunch for every kid in Texas—and have plenty of money left over.
And Bezos would still have $215 billion dollars to spare.

— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) April 5, 2026 at 5:31 PM

"Our internal safeguards"

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— Emoji Caresser (@lizrummy.bsky.social) April 5, 2026 at 4:39 PM

I really think that the Democrats could cause significant damage to Trump‘s approval by just running his tweets as ads during major sporting events (like March madness). Run it through a dark money group with a name like “Trump supporters spreading TRUTHS Llc” and shove this stuff in front of voters

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— Sky Marchini (@sky.skymarchini.net) April 5, 2026 at 11:53 AM

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I would note that the interesting thing that's happening right now is the group of posters that this admin is performing for is turning on it, which will make things interesting imho

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 5, 2026 at 4:48 PM

One tip I can't believe I'll be offering in future negotiation classes is that interlocutors tend to react badly when you publicly announce the talks are just to buy time until you can steal their stuff.
This applies doubly if you have no practical way whatsoever to actually do it.

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— Dmitry Grozoubinski (@explaintrade.com) April 3, 2026 at 9:02 AM

At this point, you can basically just use these announcements to remind you when futures markets are opening in Asia.

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— "Online Rent-a-Sage" Bret Devereaux (@bretdevereaux.bsky.social) April 5, 2026 at 10:10 PM

If you were wondering whether the President’s weekend bender helped or hurt the long-term interest of American business, futures markets just opened, and delivered their verdict.

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— Justin Wolfers (@justinwolfers.bsky.social) April 5, 2026 at 8:07 PM

if you are viewing internecine trumpworld firings through a social justice lens, i am sorry but you are frail and will not survive the winter. these are not humans with intact souls, and you are the kind of person who will purchase a tell-all book where pam bondi flatters you to take your money away

— Patrick Cosmos (@veryimportant.lawyer) April 2, 2026 at 8:23 PM

At least Ahab had a clear and well defined goal

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— Katie Mack (@astrokatie.com) April 5, 2026 at 3:07 PM

Monday Morning Open ThreadPost + Comments (246)

Interesting Read: ‘Where’s the Exit?’

by Anne Laurie|  April 4, 202611:34 am| 191 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Republicans in Disarray!, Trump Crime Cartel, War

New TIME cover: “Where’s the exit?”

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) April 3, 2026 at 8:27 AM



Time
, “Inside Trump’s Search for a Way Out of the Iran War”:

Donald Trump was in the Oval Office during the third week of the Iran war when a group of his most trusted advisers came to deliver some unwelcome news.

His longtime pollster, Tony Fabrizio, had conducted surveys that indicated the war Trump launched was growing increasingly unpopular. Gas prices had surged past $4 per gallon, stock markets had tumbled to multi-year lows, and millions of Americans were preparing to take to the streets in protest. Thirteen American service members had been confirmed killed. Some of Trump’s key public supporters were criticizing a conflict with no clear end in sight. It fell on White House chief of staff Susie Wiles and a small group of aides to tell the President that the longer the war dragged on, the more it would threaten his public support and Republicans’ prospects in November’s midterm elections.

For Trump, the stark warning was unsettling. The President has begun many recent mornings watching video clips compiled by military officials of battlefield successes, according to a senior Administration official. He has told advisers that being the commander in chief to eliminate the nuclear threat posed by Iran could be one of his signature achievements. But Wiles, according to two White House sources, was concerned aides were giving the President a rose-colored view of how the war was being perceived domestically, telling Trump what he wanted to hear instead of what he needed to hear. She had urged colleagues, the officials say, to be “more forthright with the boss” about the political and economic risks…

The President was left frustrated by the predicament, at odds with some of his own officials, and fuming at the negative impressions of the war. The mounting political and economic toll has left him looking for an off-ramp, according to two advisers and two members of Congress who have spoken to him during the last week. Trump told them he wants to wind down the campaign, wary of a protracted conflict that could hobble Republicans heading into the midterms. At the same time, he wants the operation to be a decisive success. Allies say he is searching for a way to declare victory, halt the fighting, and hope that economic conditions stabilize before the political damage hardens. “There’s a narrow window,” says a senior Administration official, who like others interviewed for this account of Trump at war was granted anonymity to provide candid observations about the President’s thinking…

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In a phone interview the next morning, Trump told TIME that Iran was eager to make a deal to end the fighting. ‘Why wouldn’t they call? We just blew up their three big bridges last night,” the President says. “They’re getting decimated. They say Trump is not negotiating with Iran. I mean, it’s sort of an easy negotiation.”

And yet behind the bluster has been a growing recognition within the West Wing that the situation may be slipping out of its control. Key Trump officials, including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, were surprised by the barrage of retaliatory attacks Tehran launched against U.S. and Israeli targets across the region, including in countries long assumed to be off-limits: Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, and Qatar, a state that had both harbored Iran’s terrorist proxies and served as a conduit for backchannel diplomacy between the U.S. and Hamas. The response shattered the assumption that Tehran would confine itself to performative retaliation. In internal deliberations before the war’s launch, Hegseth had pointed to Iran’s muted reaction to Trump’s past attacks as evidence that calibrated force could impose costs on Tehran without triggering a broader war. Hegseth “was caught off guard. There’s no question,” says a person familiar with his thinking…

The plan of attack was set in motion nearly a month before it was executed, according to two senior U.S. officials. It took weeks of meticulous coordination, much of it conducted in close consultation with Israeli counterparts. When the New York Times published details of the planning of the operation on Feb. 17, Trump exploded at aides, unleashing a string of profanities, according to a senior Administration official. The President then told reporters he would decide on strikes within “10, 15 days,” although he knew the U.S. was planning to attack much sooner. “He was intentionally engaged in public misdirection to protect the mission,” a White House official says.

Trump became wary enough of leaks that some of his own aides were the target of subterfuge. On Feb. 27, he traveled to Mar-a-Lago. Aides assembled in a makeshift Situation Room. Trump bristled at the number of people present. “He thought the group was too big,” one official recalls; it included people Trump didn’t recognize or didn’t feel he knew well enough. At one point, the President snapped that the operation was off. He said he would keep deliberating. This was another head fake: Trump had already made up his mind to attack that very night. Once the room cleared, he called back a smaller, trusted circle—those he wanted beside him as the first bombs fell.

That evening, Trump had dinner on the patio of Mar-a-Lago with a group that included deputy chief of staff Stephen Miller, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Witkoff, and White House counsel David Warrington. Not present was Vice President J.D. Vance, who was in the Situation Room back in Washington. A Trump official says that was a reflection of standard continuity-of-government protocol, which calls for the President and Vice President to be kept apart during sensitive national security operations when both are not at the White House. Of the President’s inner circle, Vance had pushed hardest against the operation, according to two sources familiar with the deliberations. “J.D. really doesn’t like this,” Trump told the group gathered under the Palm Beach stars. “But when the decision is made, it’s a decision, right?”…

How the war may shape November’s elections—and what those results will mean for the rest of his presidency—is a question that hangs over Trump’s decisions. Some advisers detect a note of resignation in the President’s thinking. In private discussions, he often points out that the party in power tends to lose ground in the midterms. “He’s having trouble getting past the history,” an aide observes. But history also suggests there can be worse outcomes for a President who takes the nation to war than losing an election.

> @time.com
time.com/article/2026…

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— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 8:03 PM

Pretty sure one of the ‘two White House sources’ mentioned in the clip is Susie Wiles. And the other one, I’d bet a store-bought cookie, is JD Vance (or a trusted Vance associate).

Crazy to assume that if Trump heard the truth, he would believe it.

— Ric Steinberger (@ricst.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 8:07 PM

every single one of these fired losers will sycophantically praise trump on the way out and as soon as he dies will claim they were fired for being the only person in the room to dare to stand up to him

— darth™️ (@darthbluesky.bsky.social) April 3, 2026 at 12:39 AM

Interesting Read: <em>‘Where’s the Exit?’</em>Post + Comments (191)

TGIFriday Morning Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  April 3, 20267:48 am| 86 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat, Republicans in Disarray!

In a leafy Tehran park on Thursday, Iranians gathered for picnics on the final day of the Persian new year holidays, shrugging off US President Donald Trump's threats to punish Iran with massive bombing.
Tradition calls for spending the day outdoors to ward off bad luck.
u.afp.com/SbBC

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— AFP News Agency (@en.afp.com) April 2, 2026 at 8:00 PM

Since Liberation Day, a year ago today:
* US foreign direct investment is lower
* US factories employ 89,000 fewer people
* US goods trade deficit is UP 2%
@npr.org
www.npr.org/2026/04/02/n…

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— Carl Quintanilla (@carlquintanilla.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 7:46 AM

A year ago was Donald Trump's "Liberation Day."
What's happened since?
– Families have paid $1,700 in higher costs
– 89,000 manufacturing jobs lost
– Global investment in U.S. hit its lowest since COVID
And no tariff refunds in sight for Americans, just the bill.

— Elizabeth Warren (@warren.senate.gov) April 2, 2026 at 3:00 PM

i would like to extend my hearty appreciation to the republican president of the united states for his contribution to the democratic party’s campaigns in the fall

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) April 2, 2026 at 6:02 PM

It’s been one year since Trump’s “liberation day,” and folks are hurting more than ever thanks to his terrible tariffs.
The only thing he's liberated is hard earned money from your wallet—all so his billionaire donors in the Epstein class can buy another super yacht.

— Rep. Jim McGovern (@repmcgovern.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 4:10 PM

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they're calling it the stupidest purge in history, folks, no one has ever purged a government in dumber ways than this one, big strong men, tears in their eyes, they come up to me and they say, "mister president, who hired all these fucking clowns?"

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) April 2, 2026 at 8:45 PM

House Republicans continue to extend the DHS shutdown for no reason.
This morning, the Senate UNANIMOUSLY passed a bill to fund everything at DHS besides ICE & Border Patrol AGAIN. The House could have passed this TODAY.
Speaker Johnson—stop playing games & pass this bill ASAP.

— Senator Patty Murray (@murray.senate.gov) April 2, 2026 at 7:14 PM

I think its safe to say that Trump realizes that his current administration is wildly unpopular and is lashing out and firing people now because the whole "never show any surrender ever" was shown to be terrible politics.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 1:17 PM

Kinda feels like Trump is getting boxed in like.. everywhere.

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 11:48 AM

Like idk how you can look at the last 6 weeks and say "Ah yes, this authoritarian project is clearly succeeding and will consolidate."

— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 11:48 AM

My concern right now is that we're actually in a period of anti-incumbency that leads to reactionary swings back and forth because no one can quite fix what's happening.
I don't know what emerges from the GOP in 2032, but I don't like the shape of the young part of the party rn.

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 12:04 PM

i ordinarily don’t approve of sephiroth posting from senators but i have every confidence that wyden intends every word

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) April 2, 2026 at 6:50 PM

TGIFriday Morning Open ThreadPost + Comments (86)

Trumpery Open Thread: April’s Fool

by Anne Laurie|  April 2, 20267:30 pm| 203 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Trumpery

After Trump’s speech, Americans could be forgiven for being even more concerned now about the war in Iran than they were only a few days ago, @radiofreetom.bsky.social argues:

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— The Atlantic (@theatlantic.com) April 2, 2026 at 10:30 AM

Gift link:

… Trump’s critics (including me) have castigated him for refusing to go on television and provide a comprehensive explanation of the war to the American people. But given his performance this evening, perhaps he had the right instinct. His address did not come across as a wartime speech but instead was a disjointed series of complaints, brags, and exaggerations (along with a few outright lies) delivered by a man who looked and sounded tired. After his 19 minutes on the air—brisk by Trump’s standards—Americans could be forgiven for being even more concerned now than they were only a few days ago.

A speech that should have been a clear explanation of why the United States is fighting a nation of 92 million people began instead in shambolic style. He discussed the operation that captured the president of Venezuela, perhaps hoping to make listeners believe that the Iran war will be a similarly short operation. He then said that Iran has taken losses never seen “in the history of warfare”—as if the destruction of, say, the Axis in World War II had never happened.

Trump offered little that was new, instead repeating the same lines from a short video presentation the night that he ordered attacks on the Islamic Republic, more than one month ago. He listed—rightly and correctly—the various offenses that the fanatical Iranian regime has perpetrated against the United States and other countries for nearly a half century. But he couldn’t help himself: He patted himself on the back for killing the Iranian terror mastermind Qassem Soleimani in his first term, and for canceling the Iran nuclear deal negotiated by Barack Obama. (“Barack Hussein Obama,” of course.) The United States, Trump claimed in a strange moment, had emptied out all the banks in Virginia, Maryland, and the District of Columbia as part of that deal—“all the cash they had”—to send that “green, green” currency to Iran.

But back to the war: What is America fighting for? Trump insisted that Iran must never be allowed to get a nuclear weapon. Almost no one would disagree with this general point—certainly I don’t—but Trump presented no evidence that Iran was nearing the nuclear threshold. Instead, he simply asserted that the Iranian mullahs were going to get a nuclear weapon and that the United States had to stop them: In other words, he admitted to launching a preventive war based on something that might happen one day…

… The reality, as best we can tell, is that Trump fully expected the Iranian regime to collapse in a matter of days or weeks, and he is now flummoxed to find out that a major war is a lot more complicated than he—or Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth—realized. The president’s delivery tonight was hardly a confidence-building exercise. He was, as he himself might say, low energy—mumbling and lapsing into the repetitive phrases that come out when he’s riffing on a point instead of reading the speech in front of him. (I lost count of how many times he said “like nobody’s ever seen” and “decimated” and “never before.”)

The president seems lost. Perhaps he should have stayed off the podium for a bit longer, rather than display how adrift he is to the American public and the world.

Politico, sensing a murmuration of the media starlings, “‘What the hell did he just say?’ GOP Iran worries build after Trump speech”:

President Donald Trump’s primetime address on Iran did little to relieve rising alarm from plugged-in Republicans in key states across the country who see the war as pushing costs higher and their midterm chances ever-lower.

Trump declared Wednesday night that the U.S. offensive in Iran is “nearing completion” but warned that military operations would intensify over the “next two to three weeks.” He attempted to clarify his goals for the war — to destroy Iran’s nuclear capabilities — and insisted it was never about regime change. And he shrugged off the spike in oil and gas prices as a “short-term increase.”

To a number of GOP strategists and local party leaders involved in key congressional and gubernatorial races, the message was too little, too late and too jumbled…

Trump’s decision to attack Iran, and the subsequent spike in oil and gas prices, are the latest sources of heartburn for Republicans who were already feeling queasy about public opinion that has turned against Trump’s domestic agenda. They heard little new information Wednesday night from the president that signaled a course correction.

Conversations with more than half a dozen operatives and party chairs across seven battleground states revealed their anxiety that the prolonged conflict is overshadowing the White House’s affordability message and could hurt their chances of holding onto power this November…

Trump social media team: Uhhh… psyche?

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so, for my sins, i went to the original post to see if there was some kind of context in the video that i might have been missing, but, no, it’s this picture of fess parker over the davy crockett theme song for two minutes and change. i’ve got nothing, the president has oatmeal brains.

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— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) April 2, 2026 at 2:01 PM

stress and a poor schedule can negatively exacerbate dementia. that’s the explanation.

— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachine.com) April 2, 2026 at 2:02 PM

I am a longstanding It Happens skeptic because I simply do not believe the universe is that nice to us and his dad lived forever
but we are well into "they just gave his dad fake work because his brains were oatmeal" territory at this point

— Micah (@rincewind.run) April 2, 2026 at 2:05 PM

He seems to have fixated on this for a while. I feel like there's some kind of assumed racist agreement that there is something underhanded or facetious about a black woman having the same surname as a famous white man
www.yahoo.com/news/article…

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— Psy Costanza (@ganondalf.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 2:11 PM

Some have pointed out that its Fess Parker as Daniel Boone, not even the TV version of Davy Crockett.

— Wes Allen (@fredwesley.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 2:56 PM

As said above, this seems like an April Fool’s Day post that one of his staffers appears to have mis-scheduled. Now the fact that his scheduler couldn’t tell his April Fool’s Day content from his normal brain mush is another matter…

— ndierman.bsky.social (@ndierman.bsky.social) April 2, 2026 at 2:06 PM

Guess this will be their legal defense at the eventual Nuremberg trials: “Our boss was deep in dementia, but also he had the nuclear codes, so we were terrified of contradicting him… ”

Trumpery Open Thread: April’s FoolPost + Comments (203)

Open Thread: CPAC, But Seriously

by Anne Laurie|  March 31, 202611:09 am| 103 Comments

This post is in: Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Republican Politics, Republicans in Disarray!

Nothing but what you deserve.
Think about THAT.??
“Everybody’s afraid that the next administration — if we don’t win, we’re all going to be investigated and indicted,” said Deputy AG Todd Blanche at Friday’s CPAC event in Texas. “Think about that.”
www.msn.com/en-us/news/p…

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— Kim-M 26947 (@kimberlymorgan.bsky.social) March 28, 2026 at 9:50 AM


Desperate criminals are dangerous… “‘We’ll all be investigated and indicted’: Trump official fears the worst”:

Trump officials say they are confident their behavior and deeds will bring down a firestorm of indictments and investigations after Democrats take the House (and possibly the Senate) in November — and later the White House.

“Everybody’s afraid that the next administration — if we don’t win, we’re all going to be investigated and indicted,” said Deputy AG Todd Blanche at Friday’s CPAC event in Texas. “Think about that.”

Republicans in charge of the White House and Congress are desperate to ramp up enthusiasm as MAGA voters splinter off and fall away in the months leading up to the November midterm elections. But in selling fear to juice participation, social media critics say Blanche may have let on to a guilty conscience…

Democrats on the Senate Finance Committee are already calling out Blanche — who was Trump’s personal criminal defense attorney during his hush money conviction — of “stunning interference” in the investigation of convicted sex-trafficker and Trump long-time personal friend Jeffrey Epstein.

“Given Blanche’s close personal ties to Donald Trump, this reeks of a continued coverup to protect key names in the Trump administration,” said U.S. Senator Ron Wyden (D-OR).

Critics say other things smell wrong about Blanche’s personal work under Trump. A ProPublica investigation revealed Blanche owned at least $159,000 worth of crypto-related assets when he “shut down‘ an investigation into crypto companies, dealers and exchanges launched during President Joe Biden’s term…

"I'm not happy at all… President Trump ran on 'no new wars.'"
"I think [the Iran war] is necessary…. and he's the only president with the backbone to take it on."
Different takes on the Iran war at this week's CPAC.

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— Donie O’Sullivan (@donie.bsky.social) March 27, 2026 at 9:20 PM

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‘He’s lied about everything’: Iran war puts Trump on shaky ground with young MAGA men
Their frustrations and anger with the conflict were on full display at CPAC this week.

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— Jon Cooper (@joncooper-us.bsky.social) March 28, 2026 at 6:07 PM

… While Trump’s decision to join Israel in attacking Iran has rallied war hawks and his older supporters, it has alienated many of the young men who swung toward the GOP in 2024. That split is resonating among not only the rank and file, but also conservative media influencers and some corners of the White House.

The generational divide was on stark display at CPAC, the annual conservative base-rallying gathering, where some young MAGA loyalists expressed deep frustration and even anger at the Trump administration’s choice to reignite conflict in the Middle East. One month into the war, Trump’s shaky ground with young men threatens to fracture an already-fragile GOP coalition ahead of a hostile midterm in November.

At the conference in north Texas, some attendees carried around Iranian flags, pledging loyalty to the U.S. mission overseas, while others donned America First hats and preached about the need for anti-interventionism.

“Trump and Republicans in general are going to have major issues in the midterms, in 2028, if we can’t wrap this up in a relatively quick amount of time,” said 21-year-old Andrew Belcher, president of the Ohio College Republicans. He added that Trump is doing “relatively poorly” with hyper online young men who are influenced heavily by media figures like Tucker Carlson and other isolationists in the GOP.

A POLITICO poll this month found that Trump voters largely continue to back him. But men who self-identified as “MAGA Republicans” and voted for Trump in 2024 are deeply split by generation over their trust in the president and their view of the war, especially if the number of U.S. casualties rises.

The contrast was striking, even with the larger margins of error that come from the smaller sample sizes: More than 70 percent of those over 35 believe Trump has a plan, compared with 49 percent of those under 35. A 66 percent majority of older MAGA men are willing to sacrifice American lives in order for the U.S. to achieve its goals in Iran, compared with less than half of younger MAGA men who say the same. And the younger men are significantly less likely to say the war is aligned with MAGA principles and in the interests of American people…

Part of CPAC’s intent, a hallmark grassroots gathering that has been held for more than 50 years, is to hype up conservatives, a particularly important mission for party leaders in critical election years. If Republicans want to prevent Democrats from flipping the House this midterm cycle, they need to ensure they don’t lose any gains they made with key parts of their coalition in 2024, namely young men…

“Trump is winning,” FCC Chair Brendan Carr said at CPAC “Look at the results. PBS-defunded.NPR- defunded. Joy Reid-gone from MSNBC.Sleepy-eyed Chuck Todd-gone.Jim Acosta-gone.John Dickerson-gone. Colbert is leaving.CBS is under new ownership,&soon enough,CNN is gonna have new ownership as well.”

— [email protected] (@currentideas.bsky.social) March 28, 2026 at 12:55 PM

This is the FCC Chairman, who is ostensibly a non-partisan industry regulator, openly bragging about conducting a political purge of the media.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 28, 2026 at 9:51 AM

I don't think most people comprehend how bad this is, from a governance point of view.

— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 28, 2026 at 9:52 AM

Given his role, he shouldn't even be speaking at CPAC, much less saying things like this.

— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 28, 2026 at 9:54 AM

Once the center of conservative gravity, CPAC can’t get a single Trump family member to show up.

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— Mother Jones (@motherjones.com) March 29, 2026 at 10:53 AM

The older generation of grifters loses its fastball; a new, possibly more dangerous generation arises:

… During the Trump decade, CPAC had been a showcase for the MAGA faithful, and Trump and his family were its biggest stars. Trump himself first appeared at the event in 2011 when he was toying with a presidential run. He hasn’t missed the event in a decade. “Nobody can deny that [CPAC] is the center of political gravity,” CPAC chairman Matt Schlapp told me in 2022.

But the center of gravity has clearly tilted if the modest crowd in the convention hall at the Gaylord Texan resort in Grapevine is any indication. “It’s shitty,” Warner Kimo Sutton told me of the turnout. “Last time this place was packed.” A GOP stalwart who who ran Trump’s 2016 campaign in Hawaii, he was here two years ago, the last time CPAC came to Dallas. He was still hoping more stars would show up. “I’ve heard the widow is coming,” he whispered, saying he had it on good authority that Erika Kirk, the widow of the murdered Turning Point USA founder Charlie Kirk, might be making a surprise appearance…

… And the primacy of CPAC as a testing ground for future presidential candidates seems threatened. As of Thursday, not a single 2028 aspirant was scheduled to speak in Grapevine. No Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, no Vice President JD Vance. And Secretary of State and National Security Adviser Marco Rubio was way too busy plotting to overthrow Cuba. The closest he has come to the event was appearing on the big screen in the exhibit hall Thursday morning during a broadcast of the president’s predictably fawning cabinet meeting…

Perhaps Americans, even the MAGA faithful, are too pinched by gas prices to shell out for a trip to the resort in Grapevine, where, as Sutton complained, parking costs $29 a day. Maybe a lame duck Trump, whose approval rating has never been lower, has hurt attendance. Or maybe even Republicans have grown weary of an event that has strayed far from its roots as a conservative policy confab and increasingly served as a platform for some of the GOP’s most morally compromised representatives. As conservative radio host Erick Erickson lamented in an X post Wednesday, “’C’ in CPAC is now best represented by the word ‘clown’ than as any semblance of a conservative institution.”

It’s also possible, however, that the main problem with CPAC is CPAC itself. The conference has suffered in recent years from competition, most notably from Turning Point USA, Charlie Kirk’s conservative youth group. (T-shirts featuring Kirk as martyr are a hot item in the CPAC exhibit hall.) Turning Point’s national convention in December drew a whopping 30,000 people, which seems about 10 times larger than the occupancy of the Gaylord convention hall…

In fairness, not everyone seems disappointed with the event. I found Enrique Tarrio, the former chairman of the Proud Boys, hanging out and watching Matt Gaetz record his OAN show in the CPAC exhibit hall. Tarrio seemed glad to be here and not in prison. In January last year, Trump pardoned him, saving him from a 22-year sentence for seditious conspiracy related to his involvement in the January 6 riot. He told me he comes to every CPAC and that this one was the same as in 2018, another non-presidential election season…

‘I Think That MAGA Is Dying’: Inside the Youth Movement at CPAC www.nytimes.com/2026/03/30/s…

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— Shawn Connery (@shawnconnery.bsky.social) March 30, 2026 at 10:14 PM

The NYTimes interviews the GOP’s feral children (gift link):

As the first day of the Conservative Political Action Conference wound to a close, the audience inside the airplane-hangar-size ballroom had dwindled as Nick Shirley, the headline speaker, mumbled his remarks. Mr. Shirley, a 23-year-old content creator and recently minted right-wing celebrity, had been tapped by the conference’s organizers to bring a youthful jolt of energy to the proceedings.

But youths themselves, and their conservative energy, were nowhere to be seen among the rows of empty chairs, as Mr. Shirley made halting reference to Theodore Roosevelt’s “Man in the Arena” speech.

Just outside the hall, 20-somethings in rumpled suits were gathered in clusters, debating the merits of a ground invasion in Iran, the conservative backlash against those who were “J-pilled” (far-right slang for skepticism of Israeli influence), the backbreaking costs of American life, and what they saw as the slow demise of the Trump era.

“The majority of us, we don’t necessarily come to these types of events for the speakers because generally they dish out the same slop over and over,” said Jack Moore, 19, a board member of the Georgia Teen Republicans…

One of them was Joseph Bolick, an Army veteran wearing a bright blue “America First” hat, a loud symbol in conservative spaces that one is a supporter of Nick Fuentes, the 27-year-old white nationalist known for making racist and antisemitic remarks.

“It’s very cultish here,” said Mr. Bolick, 30, who was attending CPAC for the first time. “It seems like boomers are just on this Trump train,” he added.

After talking with other young attendees at the conference, Mr. Hoffses said most appeared to be aligned with Mr. Fuentes, who has become a pariah within the conservative movement for, among other reasons, his recent declaration that young conservatives should express their displeasure with Mr. Trump’s military strikes on Iran by voting for Democrats.

“I’d say at least 60 percent of the young people here are fans of Nick,” Mr. Hoffses said…

“Those conversations are just not happening here,” said Samantha Cassell, a 27-year-old Republican strategist. She was wearing a “Fishback for Florida” hat in support of the rage-baiting Florida candidate for governor who has energized a coalition of young voters in that state. “There’s no serious discussion going on. It’s just flat. I’ve gone to a lot of these events, the R.N.C., the D.N.C., and this is probably the worst one I’ve ever been to.”

Some on the far right saw in this generational division an opportunity to claim a young cohort looking for an outlet. Joel Webbon, an online influencer who promotes a brand of nationalism infused with Christianity, wrote that his attendance at CPAC last week revealed one major finding: “The youth are ours,” he wrote in a post on X.

Elijah Schaffer, a far-right commentator, who could be seen roaming the halls at CPAC on Friday in an all-black suit, wrote on X that “CPAC 2026 has given me hope for the American youth. Every young man & woman here are all radicalized / based.”…

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