Some of the fiercest political debates in America over the past two years have been waged over a small piece of fabric: the face mask. Now, with the summer’s Delta surge in the rearview mirror, many are wondering when the masks might finally come off. https://t.co/jTfmwtHeB6
— NYT Politics (@nytpolitics) November 22, 2021
stupidly inflammatory headline for an article that clearly spells out that it's going to be next year
— GOLIKEHELLMACHINE (@golikehellmachi) November 22, 2021
— SFrank (@sfranklin1926) November 22, 2021
From @WhiteHouse today: "The current 7-day daily average of cases is about 92,800/day. This is an 18% increase from last week's average.
The 7-dy average of hospital admissions is about 5,600/day, about a 6% increase.
And the 7-day average daily deaths are about 1,000/day.— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) November 23, 2021
About 90% of federal workers will meet President Biden's vaccination deadline. This means the administration will have achieved compliance w/ the requirement that federal employees have at least 1 shot or an approved extension by Nov. 22 https://t.co/QdmxfV2hIw pic.twitter.com/1SrOoc2Sic
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) November 22, 2021
“I don’t think there’s a sense that anyone is holding back this Thanksgiving. If people were smart, they’d quarantine themselves if they live in a place with high transmission.”
Now, US is averaging over 1,100 #COVID19 deaths a day. #MaskUp #CovidVaccine https://t.co/7BIJgYtnvQ
— Marilyn Heine (@MarilynHeineMD) November 22, 2021
I'll certainly do it, and gladly. We're just lucky to have any vaccine so quickly. And the virus is constantly mutating. https://t.co/3AWpyKTuEs
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) November 22, 2021
======
How many people around the world have had a Covid vaccine? Here are the numbers https://t.co/NXTthfy1Dq
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) November 22, 2021
India logs slimmest rise in COVID-19 cases in 543 days despite festivals https://t.co/dktvDMKRGV pic.twitter.com/NeqaTTvBnR
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 23, 2021
"There is no option but to be vaccinated." After slow starts, vaccination campaigns in several countries in the Asia-Pacific region now boast inoculation rates that rank among the world’s best. https://t.co/Edj6wLbfuJ
— The Associated Press (@AP) November 22, 2021
When Cambodia rolled out COVID-19 vaccines, lines stretched down entire streets and people left their shoes out to save their places as they sheltered from the sun. But three months into its campaign, just 11% of the population had received at least one dose. In far wealthier Japan, it took two weeks longer to reach that level.
Now both countries boast vaccination rates that rank among the world’s best. They are two of several nations in the Asia-Pacific region that got slow starts to their immunization campaigns but have since zoomed past the United States and many nations in Europe.
The countries with high rates include both richer and poorer ones, some with larger populations and some with smaller. But all have experience with infectious diseases, like SARS, and strong vaccine-procurement programs, many of which knew to spread their risk by ordering from multiple manufacturers.
Most started vaccinating relatively late due to complacency amid low infection rates, initial supply issues and other factors. But by the time they did, soaring death tolls in the United States, Britain and India helped persuade even the skeptical to embrace the efforts…
Early in the pandemic, many Asian countries imposed strict lockdown and travel rules that kept the virus largely at bay. As vaccines rolled out in force elsewhere, those low rates sometimes worked against them, giving some people the impression that getting the shot wasn’t urgent.
But when the virulent delta variant began ripping through the region, cases rose, encouraging people to sign up.
Some countries, like Malaysia, made extra efforts to ensure that even the hardest-to-reach groups were offered the vaccine. It enlisted the Red Cross’s help to give shots to people living in the country illegally and other groups that may have feared showing up for a government-sponsored vaccination…
To date, about a dozen countries in the Asia-Pacific region have vaccinated more than 70% of their populations or are on the cusp of doing so, including Australia, China, Japan and Bhutan. In Singapore, 92% are fully vaccinated.
Some countries in Asia, however, have continued to struggle. India celebrated giving its billionth COVID-19 vaccine dose in October, but with a population of nearly 1.4 billion, that translates to a fully vaccinated rate of 29%. Indonesia started earlier than most but has also stumbled, largely due to the challenge of expanding its campaign across the thousands of islands that make up its archipelago…
While some Pacific nations have world-leading Covid vaccination rates, others are lagging far behind, according to new research.
Papua New Guinea will inoculate only a third of its adult population by 2026 based on its current rate, the study predicts.https://t.co/oFuTg5TWTR
— The New York Times (@nytimes) November 22, 2021
A Siberian region of Russia has become the first in the country to impose self-isolation rules for residents who haven’t yet been vaccinated against Covid-19https://t.co/4mxOGHsw6j
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) November 23, 2021
Nearly 1,000 passengers were kicked off public transportation during the morning rush hour on the first day of digital Covid pass enforcement in the central Russian city of Kazanhttps://t.co/UxiCPs44XD
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) November 23, 2021
Vaccinated, recovered or dead: Europe fights the current Covid wave — and itself. The continent is again at the center of the pandemic, and amid vaccine resistance and protests, nations are imposing new rules and pressuring people to get inoculated https://t.co/4Mipixxi9y
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) November 22, 2021
Germany considers more COVID-19 curbs as U.S. advises against travel there https://t.co/zzQSRBNK58 pic.twitter.com/91Tu6dXHWg
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 23, 2021
Can UK avoid a Europe-style return to lockdown? https://t.co/n4c7a7aNux
— BBC News (UK) (@BBCNews) November 23, 2021
Kenya acts on vaccine hesitancy with plan for a country-wide ten day vaccine drive https://t.co/1mlq5RbNyo
— BBC World Service (@bbcworldservice) November 23, 2021
Canada ends COVID-19 policy turning back asylum-seekers between border crossings https://t.co/NYJp6B64VK pic.twitter.com/mobzK7wrvv
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 23, 2021
======
“A major lesson of the pandemic has been that around each corner are more corners,” @Carolynyjohnson writes In this smart piece explaining that #Covid antivirals aren’t a pandemic get-out-of-jail-free card. https://t.co/heno2A5YLT
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) November 22, 2021
Sickness & death are linked to the dose, or viral load (VL), of #SARSCoV2 in initial infection, according to a NYC study of 6923 #COVID19 patients hosp'ed betwn Mar15-May14, 2020. PCR measurements of VL samps:
– 48% had high VL in March,
– mask + lockdown required, then…
MORE pic.twitter.com/6vttNGDYa0— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) November 22, 2021
3/ A wee bit of poison is worse then none, but better than a big gulp of the stuff.
Masks, social distancing may not take #SARSCoV2 exposure to zero in all circumstances, but they reduce how many viruses a person inhales — and that is literally a matter of life, or death.
?? pic.twitter.com/M5IBeA3WQ0— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) November 22, 2021
Immunization with the mRNA-1273 COVID-19 vaccine (Moderna) produces neutralizing antibodies against key emerging variants tested, including variants of concern and variants of interest. @JVirology https://t.co/zKrMiTf7CQ pic.twitter.com/LkFBeNtHmt
— ASM (@ASMicrobiology) November 22, 2021
New longer-term data on Pfizer's #Covid19 vaccine in youths 12 to 15 show it is 100% effective in the first 4 months after dose 2. The company plans to apply to @US_FDA for an extension of the vaccine's license for this age group. https://t.co/FrncYMHGi3
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) November 22, 2021
Covid shots for kids help prevent dangerous new variants. Scientists say vaccinating kids should not only slow the spread of the coronavirus but also help prevent potentially-dangerous variants from emerging https://t.co/QgXwm9KCEZ
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) November 22, 2021
Following @Independent's investigation into 600 premature babies from Covid-19 mothers, I wrote about my own experience – the horrible end to my pregnancy, the trauma of neonatal life and the search for answershttps://t.co/nzFdCCULoJ
— Jemimah Steinfeld (@JFSteinfeld) November 22, 2021
======
OK to mask up. The Texas 5th Court of Appeals has affirmed an August ruling by a district judge who said the governor's ban on mask mandates impeded Dallas County's top official from protecting citizens from Covid. Now mandates are officially ok https://t.co/pfQkT38zgJ pic.twitter.com/sQpIbZorFl
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) November 23, 2021
California's COVID positivity rate at 1.9% is the lowest in the USA.
Amazing what believing in and legislating based science can do.
— Janice Hough (@leftcoastbabe) November 23, 2021
Disney has paused its policy requiring Florida-based employees to take the COVID-19 vaccine following new laws passed by the state’s legislature last week that limit employers’ power to require vaccinations. https://t.co/qeQ1pcDHb5
— The Associated Press (@AP) November 23, 2021
Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee is defending a new law that largely bars governments and businesses from requiring proof of COVID-19 vaccinations, despite his office’s warning that it would violate federal disability law. https://t.co/Z7QXnpOc3K
— The Associated Press (@AP) November 22, 2021
Moderna came out of Warp Speed, while Pfizer did not. So it’s perfect.
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) November 22, 2021
mrmoshpotato
Ran across this earlier via Dana Houle.
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
The Monroe County website say 435 new cases, 7.9% test positivity.
Deaths have gone up by 26 to 1485.
358 individuals are hospitalized for COVID-19 in the region. 94 of these patients are in ICU.
Our vaccination % seems stuck at around 65%, but that could be because the 5 to 12 age group is now eligible.
NYSDOH says 384 new cases.
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s Ministry of Health reports 5,594 new Covid-19 cases today in its media statement, for a cumulative reported total of 2,597,080 cases. It also reports 61 deaths as of midnight, for an adjusted cumulative total of 30,063 deaths – 1.16% of the cumulative reported total, 1.19% of resolved cases.
Based on cases reported yesterday, Malaysia’s nationwide Rt is at 1.00.
424 confirmed cases are in ICU, 168 of them on ventilators. Meanwhile, 4,908 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 2,498,345 patients recovered – 96.2% of the cumulative reported total.
10 new clusters were reported today, for a cumulative total of 5,898 clusters. 231 clusters are currently active; 5,667 clusters are now inactive.
5,570 new cases today are local infections. 24 new cases today are imported.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 109,016 doses of vaccine on 22nd November: 4,941 first doses, 11,912 second doses, and 92,163 booster doses. As of midnight, the cumulative total is 52,082,943 doses administered: 25,688,568 first doses, 25,011,232 second doses, and 1,571,340 booster doses. 78.7% of the population have received their first dose, while 76.6% are now fully vaccinated.
Matt McIrvin
@mrmoshpotato: They didn’t, though–they thought the way contagious diseases worked is that you get them from DIRTY FOREIGNERS, particularly the non-white kind, but good clean Americans who look like me are all right. And that’s been more or less their reaction to COVID too, even after the disease was a full-blown pandemic here and people crossing the border were probably less likely to have it.
Joe Falco
I’m surprised the Mouse didn’t just tell the Florida Republicans to go f off and continued to require vaccinations for their employees. Did the lawyers decide they didn’t want Death by MAGA customers to take their money elsewhere while they could still breathe?
New Deal democrat
Not every country is having the winter wave that the EU has been experiencing. While the U.K. is hardly a poster child for good pandemic response, in the last two months new infections have risen from about 50 to 65 per 100,000, while the EU has risen from 10 to 58 per 100,000. Noteworthy that the U.K. had a full scale Delta outbreak this summer, which the Continent escaped. Similarly, despite similar climates, Canada, Japan, and Israel have escaped the winter wave, and in the case of Israel, despite only being 65% fully vaccinated, an aggressive booster campaign has brought cases back down close to zero. Meanwhile New England, with over 70% fully vaccinated, continues to see increasing cases.
As noted above, in the US, in the Northeast, every State except for VT is still increasing week over week. In the South, only in the deepest South along the gulf coast are cases not at least slightly increasing. By contrast, in the West, only CO, AZ, and HI are increasing.
But the real interesting data is from the Midwest. While almost all States except for ND, SD, and NE have shown an increase in the past week, in the past 5 days the weekly averages are basically flat, as is the case for the region as a whole. Why so interesting? Because last year the Midwest also rose first into the winter wave, and peaked first as well – exactly this week.
All of which suggests that, although it is having a winter wave, due to boosters, new vaccinations for young children, and the recent Delta wave, the US will not necessarily have an EU-type winter wave this year.
Matt McIrvin
@New Deal democrat: I am STILL seeing antivaxxers trying to use Israel as their “vaccines don’t work” example.
Fair Economist
That graph indicating vaccination produces plenty of neutralizing antibodies is misleading, because it’s on a log scale, and a really tight one at that. Antibody production is as much as 90% lower against some strains. It’s hard to tell exactly because the log scale is so tight it’s not very usable. Fortunately Delta is one of the better neutralized strains.
I still want vaccines to be switched to target the Delta variant. Even reboosting won’t help if we get an escape variant, and that’s easier as long as the vaccines target a near-extinct variant.
Matt McIrvin
@New Deal democrat: My guess is that we will have a pretty big winter wave, but it will be even more concentrated among the unvaccinated than the summer wave was, since the same people who rushed out to get vaccinated in the first place are rushing out to get booster shots, and the boosters for vaccinated people turn out to be damned effective. Like, close to the effectiveness of the original shots on Wuhan-type COVID, at least in the early months.
I think the effectiveness of the boosters has actually been underplayed by authorities who were waiting on FDA/CDC approval and concerned about global distributional ethics.
Matt McIrvin
@Fair Economist: The difference between the Delta variant and original-recipe COVID is small, from the perspective of immune compatibility–the main difference is just that Delta reproduces faster, so it can overwhelm immune response by brute force. The Delta-targeted vaccine would likely not make a large difference here when it comes to fighting new variants. The vaccine makers have tested Delta-targeted vaccines and they’ll likely come eventually, but it’s more important for them to be prepared to rush one out against an actual escape variant if it starts spreading widely.
trnc
Really? Rand Paul clearly didn’t know shit about Ebola.
terben
In Australia today, a total of 1,023 new cases took the cumulative total to 200,651. Two states NSW (80,163) and Victoria (113,755) account for more than 96% of all cases.
There were 20 deaths reported today, bringing the total to 1968. The two states above with 623 and 1298 respectively accounting for more than 97% of deaths.
Although vaccination numbers vary between and within states, the national vaccination numbers are 71.6% fully vaccinated and 77.2% partially. Because Australia is not yet vaccinating people under 12yo, these rates are 84.2% and 90.7% of those eligible.
My state, South Australia, which shares a border with both NSW and Victoria, has enforced border controls for the past 5 months. These controls have effectively stopped the delta strain from entering from those states. Today those border controls were lifted and our Covid numbers are expected to begin to increase. Currently, SA has had 922 cases (623 from returning overseas travellers) and 4 deaths.
BC in Illinois
My daughter, who has four children (5, 7, 9, 11) in and out of school — in class (masked), back home, virtual, tested, quarantined, etc — has said that “Pandemics suck on a number of levels.
She found out yesterday about a St Louis program for vaccinating kids who live in the city. Free — with a $100 Target gift certificate! By yesterday afternoon, they were all vaccinated. The nurses were great, the paperwork was a bottleneck. But it’s all done, and they can get their second shot before Christmas.
“Yes, we will get a prize, toy, something at Target.But we’re saving the rest of it for later.”
And apparently that worked. But Pandemics still suck.
Lacuna Synecdoche
NYT via Anne Laurie @ Top:
It’s getting really hard to tell the difference between NYT and DougJ’s NYT Pitchbot.
I mean, really? A late autumn/winter Covid surge is ramping up, just like last year at this time, and NYT seriously wants to entertain questions about whether we still need to wear masks?
For fuck’s sake …
Ken
I got boostered* yesterday, and other than a little soreness at the spot, no reaction yet. The only weird thing that happened was there was a woman ahead of me in line who filled out all the forms, but when they called her name, she was nowhere in the store (a Walgreens). Being a nasty suspicious person, my first thought was trying to get around some vax requirement with “see, here’s pictures of me at the clinic”
(* shut up spellcheck, it’s a word if I say it’s one)
gvg
@mrmoshpotato:
My recollection is they were idiots then too. They clearly didn’t understand basic biology and were just reacting hysterically to damage Obama and democrats. They also wanted to halt all immigration and travel by Americans to foreign countries. I think they always want to halt both things and be isolationist. Also they are natural hysterics.
Taken4Granite
I got my booster Saturday when a state (NH) vaccine crew came to my town. It was a bit of a CF: they underestimated demand for the booster, and by the time I got to the front of the line (after more than two hours of waiting) they were out of Pfizer and nearly out of Moderna (since my initial shots were Moderna, I was OK with staying with Moderna). They were anticipating similar crowds at another such event in a neighboring town on Sunday.
The booster hit me harder than the original despite being a smaller dose. I was OK for the rest of Saturday, but spent most of Sunday in bed.
Lacuna Synecdoche
Dana Houle via @mrmoshpotato:
No, but I do sit back, every now and then, and think about the fact that we now know how conservatives would have reacted if Obama had, in fact, responded to Ebola the way they were demanding – i.e., the same way they’re reacting now to face masks, vaccines, etc.
Taken4Granite
@Matt McIrvin: Yes. The 2014 Ebola outbreak was centered on Liberia. I recall an attempt to quarantine somebody who was returning to the US from Kenya around this time. Nairobi and Monrovia are farther apart than Boston and San Francisco, and not (at least at the time) connected by regular direct flights while there are multiple daily BOS-SFO flights. But most Americans don’t realize this; sub-Saharan Africa is effectively one country to them.
New Deal democrat
@Matt McIrvin: That’s why Israel is so interesting, because they only have 65% fully vaccinated as well.
Optimistic scenario: because weather and human behavior are the same as last year at this time, cases will peak when they did last year, at roughly a 50% increase from here (130,000 or so) about two weeks after Christmas.
Pessimistic scenario: the winter wave started one month later this year, and will peak later as well, with an 8-fold increase from bottom to top, i.e., over 500,000/day.
I lean towards the optimistic scenario, but what happens in the Midwest in the next couple of weeks will tell the tale.
Btw, I have been meaning to ask you if you follow the Boston area wastewater monitoring site:
https://www.mwra.com/biobot/biobotdata.htm
As you know, wastewater gives an early warning. Unfortunately, the news has not been good for the past week.
YY_Sima Qian
On 11/22 China reported 5 new domestic confirmed (none previously asymptomatic) & 2 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
Dalian in Liaoning Province reported 4 new domestic confirmed cases (3 mild & 1 moderate), all traced close contact already under centralized quarantine. 12 domestic confirmed cases recovered & 2 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There currently are 260 active domestic confirmed & 28 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 2 communities are currently at High Risk. 29 Mediim Risk sites were re-designated to Low Risk. 19 sites are currently at Medium Risk.
At Ejina Banner in Alxa League, Inner Mongolia “Autonomous” Region 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently is 1 active domestic confirmed case remaining.
At Xi’an in Shaanxi Province there currently are 4 active domestic confirmed cases remaining.
At Yinchuan in Ningxia “Autonomous” Region 3 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 4 active domestic confirmed cases remaining.
At Gansu Province there currently are 6 active domestic confirmed cases (5 at Lanzhou & 1 at Zhangye) remaining.
At Hebei Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 48 active confirmed & 3 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
At Zunyi in Guizhou Province the 2 remaining domestic confirmed cases recovered.
Jilin City in Jilin Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city.
Beijing Municipality did not report any new domestic positive cases. 1 residential compound remains at Medium Risk.
At Rizhao in Shandong Province there currently are 5 active domestic confirmed & 5 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city.
At Sichuan Province 5 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 20 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Chongqing Municipality there currently are 5 active domestic confirmed & 3 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
At Changzhou in Jiangsu Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently is 1 active domestic confirmed cases remaining.
At Xining in Qinghai Province 2 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 7 active domestic confirmed case remaining.
At Heilongjiang Province 18 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 131 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
At Shangrao in Jiangxi Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered & 5 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation. There currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 12 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 1 township & 1 residential compound remain at Medium Risk.
At Henan Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 71 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Dehong Prefecture in Yunnan Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed & 2 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all at Ruili (via screening of persons under centralized quarantine). 1 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 30 active domestic confirmed & 32 active domestic asymptomatic cases at the prefecture. 1 zone & 1 village at Ruili are currently at Medium Risk.
Imported Cases
On 11/22, China reported 14 new imported confirmed cases (3 previously asymptomatic), 16 imported asymptomatic cases:
Overall in China, 64 confirmed cases recovered (24 imported), 10 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (8 imported) & 3 were reclassified as confirmed cases (all imported), & 3,623 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 1,006 active confirmed cases in the country (385 imported), 8 in serious condition (2 imported), 494 active asymptomatic cases (359 imported), 3 suspect cases (all imported). 27,908 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 11/22, 2,442.786M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 5.534M doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 11/23, Hong Kong reported 6 new positive cases, all imported.
Fair Economist
@Lacuna Synecdoche: 1,100 deaths per day is hardly “in the rearview mirror anyway”.
delk
Yesterday was the first long underwear day of the season. During summer/fall I wore my mask around my neck and only put it on when I was in a crowd/indoors/on public transportation but with winter coats with hoods and scarves it’s far easier to just put the mask on while suiting up for outside. And you know what? While I was outside I kept thinking that if the pandemic is ever truly over I will probably still keep wearing a mask during the winter because it felt great! Kept my face nice and warm.
Hubby is getting his booster this morning. I got mine two weeks ago.
Fair Economist
@New Deal democrat: That Boston wastewater data is worse than last year at the same time. Not good.
In the good news department, LA County’s aggressive containment measures (mask and vax requirements) are working so far. The real test comes after Thanskgiving, though – that’s when the epidemic got really crazy last year.
New Deal democrat
@Fair Economist: “That Boston wastewater data is worse than last year at the same time. Not good.”
Good catch.
Sloane Ranger
So, Monday in the UK we had 44,917 new cases. This is up by several thousand from the weekend figures but includes cases that weren’t reported then due to office closures. The rolling 7-day average is up by 8.4%. New cases by home nation,
England – 36,478 (up 2965)
Northern Ireland – 1469 (up 63)
Scotland – 2481 (down 196)
Wales – 4489 (up 2081 but there will be a considerable backlog due to Wales not reporting at all on Saturday’s).
Deaths – There were 45 deaths within 28 days of a positive test reported yesterday, but I expect to see a big increase today as offices continue to process weekend deaths. The 7-day moving average is down by 5.2%. 34 deaths were in England, 3 in Northern Ireland, 0 in Scotland and 8 in Wales.
Testing – 1,013,013 tests took place on Sunday. The rolling 7-day average is up by 2.7%. The PCR testing capacity reported by labs on Sunday was 656,244.
Hospitalisations – As of Friday, 19th, there were 8024 people in hospital and 911 on ventilators. The rolling 7-day average for hospital admissions was down by 4.5% as of 16 November.
Vaccinations – As of Sunday, 21st, 50,777,474 people had had 1 shot of a vaccine, 46,168,300 had had 2 and 15,331,311 had had a 3rd shot/booster. This means that 88.3% of all UK residents aged 12+ had had 1 shot by that date, 80.3% had had 2 shots and 26.7% had had a 3rd shot/booster.
Lacuna Synecdoche
@Fair Economist: Yep. Exactly. And we’re only at the beginning of what’s going to be another winter surge.
Bruce K in ATH-GR
Greece: it turns out that the slight decline in new cases at the end of last week may have been a false hope. The Monday evening numbers reported by Kathimerini: 7,287 new cases, 105 dead (worst day for that in all of 2021), and the number of patients intubated in ICUs has climbed to 608. And the Health Ministry is guessing that this wave might peak in the first week of December if things go well, or it might last until after Christmas. The newspaper To Vima is warning that the numbers today may be even worse.
Robert Sneddon
@New Deal democrat:
The UK’s current COVID-19 infection rate is kind of odd — it’s been flat for four months now (35,000 to 45,000 new cases a day) rather than the more usual sudden peaks and troughs experienced by many other nations. Given that the UK has a very high vaccination rate and nearly 30% of the adult population have received booster shots this is possibly the New Normal situation that the UK has reached ahead of most other countries, where COVID-19 is epidemic, like seasonal flu, rather than pandemic.
Even with a high number of new cases being detected (the UK test rate is twice that of the US) the hospitalisation and intensive case bed occupancy rates are not that high, indicating that a lot of positive tests are coming from “breakthrough” infections of vaccinated people and/or folks with some immunity from previous exposure. These cases are mostly being dealt with by bed rest at home and over-the-counter treatments rather than requiring hospital admission — typically in the UK there are 40,000 new cases a day reported by testing but only 700-800 admissions to hospital each day.
I’ve kept an eye on the Scottish figures over the past few months and COVID-19 ICU bed numbers have remained in the 50-80 range over that period for a country with a population of about 5.6 million people, about the same as Minnesota in the US.
rikyrah
@BC in Illinois:
CLAP CLAP CLAP CLAP
Mart
@mrmoshpotato: Actually they listened to Fox and thought everyone was going to get Ebola and die because Obama let a couple sick people in the country. Even though the disease spread by contact with body fluids, not sneezing. Remember that woman who deserted Chris Christie’s quarantine tent? Good times.
BC in Illinois
@rikyrah:
Thank you. This was a great relief, especially for a weary mother. As the grandparents of 7 g’children nearby (and one out on the coast), this is a continuing story. There will be no get-togethers of 15-18-20 people this week. We will see most everybody in small groups, and try to take some of the burden off of the parents of house-bound kids.
+ + +
Real home-bound conversation:
Dad: “How did you manage to pull off the [PVC basement] drain pipe?”
Child: “Well, you know how we walk along the back of the couch like a balance beam, and… it was an accident.”
Dad: *facepalm*
Fair Economist
@Robert Sneddon:
“Not that high” only relative to the horrifying numbers during some earlier waves. The UK’s current death rate, if continued, would amount 750 deaths per million per year, which in the US would comfortably be the third leading cause of death at 250,000 deaths per year. Plus, of course, a lot of long term issues. It’s AIDS times five, and easy to catch too
I agree it really looks like the “new normal” if there are no public health measures or repeat vaccination. Oh, and the UK’s economy is still down from before COVID.
Kalakal
@mrmoshpotato: I hate that framing. Given the way history is manipulated by the GQP that translates as Ebola outbreak in America that raged uncontrolled thanks to Obama. There 11 cases (9 imported). and 2 deaths
It does highlight their hypocrisy though
Robert Sneddon
@Fair Economist: It’s what we have here in the UK today, very high vaccination rates (90% of adults), very high numbers of booster vaccinations (30% of adults and counting) and lots of testing (about a million tests a day reported). What happened a year and more ago in the UK (lots of cases, lots of deaths especially of older people etc.) is in the past and not applicable to what’s happening right now which was the reason for my earlier post.
My take on the current UK situation is that vaccination rates do not materially affect infection rates but they do reduce the severity of reported cases when detected. Per capita, the UK reported death rate from/involving COVID-19 is about two-thirds that of the US with twice the number of new cases reported each day. Hospitalisation and ICU bed numbers I’m not clear about but my general impression is that the UK’s level of serious COVID-19 illness is also way down compared to the US.
cleek
in the mirror?
my 3xVax sister just got COVID from her school-age kids.
AlaskaReader
Curious if anyone has the expertise to know if there is a test where one can tell if someone who is vaccinated has ever contracted a previous case of Covid?
Follow on question would be can that previous infection, if detectable, can that infection be given a time line?
Would some type of blood test reveal different types of antibodies or would the antibodies from vaccination mimic possible earlier Covid antibodies and make it impossible to determine if there had been Covid infection at some point?
Kayla Rudbek
Dear Lord give me the patience not to unload a load of whoopass on the stupid bitch who’s begging for a job on Nextdoor because she doesn’t want to get vaccinated…or at least to phrase it in such a fashion that I won’t get Mr. Rudbek upset with me….