Risk is a spectrum, not an absolute. Whatever your plans are for this weekend, please consider at least making one change, any change, to reduce your risk.
If we all take a little bit fewer risks, that can add up to helping keep everyone safer. #TinyWiseDecisions
— Dr Ellie Murray, ScD (@EpiEllie) December 22, 2021
2021 is on track to surpass 2020 as the nation's deadliest. US health officials say 2021 is shaping up to be a record. While it's too early to say for sure since Nov & Dec deaths haven't been fully counted, data suggest 2021 may surpass 2020 deaths by ~15k https://t.co/71TDFDyNsm
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) December 24, 2021
The US reported +1,634 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 833,029. The 7-day moving average continued to hold relatively steady at 1,268 deaths per day. pic.twitter.com/Tfi3N1BhfS
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) December 23, 2021
Americans have been searching for scarce home tests or waiting hours in line at testing facilities to find out if they have COVID-19 before the holidays. Infections are averaging around 149,000 a day in the U.S., up from 75,000 at the start of November. https://t.co/n7UTwseBwi
— The Associated Press (@AP) December 23, 2021
More than 1600 Xmas Eve flights are canceled globally amid #omicron's spread. In the US, nearly 170k people are testing positive daily, a 38% jump from 2 wks ago. United Airlines said cancellations can be blamed on omicron. Flight crews are calling in sick https://t.co/iRgjjZ8WmH
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) December 24, 2021
JUST IN: Air travel is HIGHER than pre-pandemic levels. TSA says it screened more people at airports yesterday than on the same day in 2019. 2.08 million vs 1.94 million.
— Pete Muntean (@petemuntean) December 23, 2021
require vaccines on planes. tell americans the planes are getting sick. none of us know how planes work, you can say whatever
— Sarah Lazarus (@sarahclazarus) December 23, 2021
unvaccinated plane pic.twitter.com/W9ib8GCay6
— jcs (@tipsyinmadras) December 23, 2021
today, 200M fully vaccinated under Biden and press paints that as “failure” https://t.co/xABTWO4RMC
— Eric Boehlert (@EricBoehlert) December 23, 2021
FLASH from @CDCgov :
– Asymptomatic healthcare workers w/#COVID19 can return to work after 7 days w/a negative test
– That time can be cut if there are staffing shortages
– HCWers who've full #vaccine doses, w/a booster, don't need to #Quarantine following high-risk exposures.— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) December 23, 2021
======
Factoid of the day
Reported COVID-19 deaths globally are lower now than they have ever been in the last 365 days.
The number is still far too high and periodically going up and down, but with damped peaks, and the overall trend over the last year goes in the right direction. pic.twitter.com/7j8TGVMyfC
— Prof Francois Balloux (@BallouxFrancois) December 23, 2021
The city of Xi'an in China—with 13M inhabitants—has been ordered into lockdown after 52 new coronavirus cases were reported Wednesday. The 52 cases brings the total to 143 since December 9. Beijing is preparing to host the Winter Olympics in February. https://t.co/sLvPpROkiX pic.twitter.com/VknY8FdUxP
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) December 23, 2021
China reports fall in new COVID-19 cases vs day earlier https://t.co/x0FEG1z3ac pic.twitter.com/8aSkTHXm5q
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
Indian court urges delay in state elections as Omicron spreads https://t.co/oc1PecRN4W pic.twitter.com/PZQ5y1LlLH
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
Japan health panel approves Merck's oral COVID-19 treatment https://t.co/6YPmWj1Osl pic.twitter.com/4UjS4zNKko
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
Vietnam aims to vaccinate adult population with booster by end-March https://t.co/Pif46gyPW1 pic.twitter.com/oSusIPElsG
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
Britain:
Omicron: Good news, bad news and what it all means https://t.co/L5ASt6t9HJ
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) December 24, 2021
In Zimbabwe and much of Africa, people are fretting about paying bills and putting food on the table amid a resurgence of COVID-19 that highlights how the nearly 2-year-old pandemic has devastated economies across the continent. https://t.co/SqRAAcSySZ
— AP Africa (@AP_Africa) December 24, 2021
South Africa to roll out COVID-19 boosters immediately https://t.co/JEDyfvZUFY pic.twitter.com/G2S0XMOF0h
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
Covid: Ecuador makes vaccination mandatory for most citizens https://t.co/ZPLJJ2phvp
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) December 23, 2021
Mexico adds 149 COVID-19 deaths, official death toll nears 300,000 https://t.co/qWbUot6o0G pic.twitter.com/Bl76Mk36sl
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
======
Deja vu!
With #omicron, you need a mask that means business. It's much more transmissible than other coronavirus variants. It spreads at least 3x faster than delta. One person is infecting ~3 others at a time on average, based on data from other countries https://t.co/uvWMtaiHr7
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) December 24, 2021
The US Army reports progress on a Covid vax that fights all variants. Results from early human trials of the Spike Ferritin Nanoparticle—SpFN—vaccine expected by month's end. Tests so far show it works against all coronavirus variants, including Omicron https://t.co/nT9jVEqZGM
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) December 22, 2021
Good to know at least one of the home Ag tests seems to be reliable for #Omicron infection. Wish @US_FDA would run standardized battery of assays against all commercial kits and release findings. https://t.co/lz6TJdpHjb
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) December 23, 2021
The FDA has approved Merck's oral antiviral drug as a 2nd at-home Covid treatment. #Molnupiravir is cleared for adults 18 & up who've tested positive & are at high risk of hospitalization or death. Approval comes 1 day after Pfizer's drug was authorized https://t.co/K3FP2fk2kz
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) December 23, 2021
Here's some data from South Africa presented during last Saturday's @cdcgov /@IDSAInfo COVID Clinician Call by Dr Juliet Pulliam, looking at reinfections. Some people are on their FOURTH infection. More common with omicron, and more common with people infected during delta wave. pic.twitter.com/qk1nPMW52Y
— Alice Sato, MD PhD (she/her) (@asato4kids) December 22, 2021
======
Overwhelmed U.S. Midwest hospitals prepare for worst with Omicron https://t.co/u4YskCqcSt pic.twitter.com/5Shgkvaou3
— Reuters (@Reuters) December 24, 2021
Glad so many people did their duty and got vaccinated.
— Miss Alissa (@themstems) December 24, 2021
Some good news from New York City, despite skyrocketing cases: pic.twitter.com/KctR3ELQwN
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) December 23, 2021
Revelers will still ring in the new year in New York’s Times Square next week, according to Mayor Bill de Blasio. But because of a spike in COVID-19 cases, fewer people will be there, and they all must show proof of vaccination and wear a mask. https://t.co/mfeC8fRm0P
— The Associated Press (@AP) December 23, 2021
Massachusetts sets new one-day Covid-19 case record; Deer Island data suggest more to come https://t.co/SsLBQU3Ybd pic.twitter.com/ebp0oSjnzt
— Adam Gaffin (@universalhub) December 24, 2021
NJ reports more than 15,000 new COVID cases, more than double the pre-omicron record and up almost 60% in just one day https://t.co/qjCSouQkll
— NBC New York (@NBCNewYork) December 23, 2021
Dr. Smith was one of my first reliable pandemic sources, twenty months ago. I think we can stop pretending that the vaccine-resistant ‘just don’t have access to better information’…
Update on cousin: was moved to another hospital last week. Two amputations b/c COVID clots: left foot, right leg sounds like up to mid-calf.
She was unvaccinated and spent the last year posting that COVID was a hoax. I hate that so many are finding out the hard way it's not. https://t.co/xXaDXgXU3u
— Dr. Tara C. Smith (@aetiology) December 23, 2021
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s Ministry of Health reports 3,528 new Covid-19 cases today in its media statement, for a cumulative reported total of 2,735,241 cases. It also reports 44 deaths as of midnight, for an adjusted cumulative total of 31,265 deaths – 1.14% of the cumulative reported total, 1.16% of resolved cases.
Based on cases reported yesterday, Malaysia’s nationwide Rt is at 0.90.
261 confirmed cases are in ICU, 117 of them on ventilators. Meanwhile, 4,489 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 2,657,074 patients recovered – 97.1% of the cumulative reported total.
Four new clusters were reported today, for a cumulative total of 6,098 clusters. 229 clusters are currently active; 5,869 clusters are now inactive.
3,425 new cases today are local infections. 103 new cases today are imported.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 176,463 doses of vaccine on 22nd December: 3,504 first doses, 5,275 second doses, and 167,684 booster doses. As of midnight, the cumulative total is 56,576,586 doses administered: 25,971,365 first doses, 25,574,462 second doses, and 5,226,764 booster doses. 79.5% of the population have received their first dose, 78.3% their second dose, and 16.0% their booster dose.
SiubhanDuinne
Anne Laurie, love you for doing these Covid roundups every day, but please tell us you’re going to take the next couple of days off (even though the virus respects no holidays).
OzarkHillbilly
Willful ignorance can be hazardous to one’s health.
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
There were 521 new laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 on 12/23.
There were 159 new positive home tests reported on 12/23. Ugh.
YY_Sima Qian
On 12/23 China reported 52 new domestic confirmed (none previously asymptomatic) & 1 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
At Inner Mongolia “Autonomous” Region 35 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 292 active domestic confirmed cases in the region.
At Heilongjiang Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 15 active domestic confirmed (all at Harbin)& 5 active domestic asymptomatic cases (4 at Qiqihar & 1 at Heihe) remaining.
Shaanxi Province reported 52 new domestic confirmed cases (43 mild & 3 moderate). There are currently 264 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Yuncheng in Shanxi Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case, a truck driver who returned from Xi’an in Shaanxi on 12/19 (having tested negative before leaving), found via screening of all persons coming from Xi’an.
At Shanghai Municipality 1 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There currently are 6 active domestic confirmed & 2 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining. 1 residential compound is currently at Medium Risk.
At Jiangsu Province there currently are 1 active domestic confirmed (at Nanjing) & 2 active domestic asymptomatic cases (both at Wuxi) remaining.
Zhejiang Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed case. There currently are 489 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Tianjin Municipality did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently is 1 active confirmed case in the city, part of the transmission chain from Shaoxing in Zhenjiang.
Suzhou in Anhui Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently is 1 active domestic confirmed case in the city, part of the transmission chain from Zhejiang. 1 village is currently at Medium Risk.
Guangxi “Autonomous” Region reported 1 new domestic confirmed case, at Fangcheng. Apparently the cluster there is connected to smugglers operating across the border w/ Vietnam. There currently are 6 active domestic confirmed case (all at Fangcheng) & 1 active domestic asymptomatic case (at Chongzuo) in the province. 2 villages at Fangcheng are currently at Medium Risk.
Guangdong Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed case. There currently are 28 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
At Chengdu in Sichuan Province there currently is 1 active domestic confirmed case in the city, a quarantine hotel worker.
Xiamen in Fujian Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently is 1 active domestic confirmed case remaining.
At Dalian in Liaoning Province 3 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 9 active domestic confirmed cases remaining.
At Rizhao in Shandong Province there currently are 4 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
At Chongqing Municipality there currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
Henan Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 2 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 28 active domestic confirmed (26 at Zhengzhou & 2 at Zhoukou) & 2 active domestic asymptomatic cases (both at Zhoukou).
Dehong Prefecture in Yunnan Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 1 domestic confirmed case recovered & 1 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There currently are 35 active domestic confirmed & 17 active domestic asymptomatic cases at the prefecture.
Imported Cases
On 12/23, China reported 32 new imported confirmed cases (3 previously asymptomatic), 25 imported asymptomatic cases, 6 imported suspect cases:
Overall in China, 59 confirmed cases recovered (15 imported), 22 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (19 imported) & 3 were reclassified as confirmed cases (all imported), & 3,069 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 1,851 active confirmed cases in the country (668 imported), 9 in serious condition (3 imported), 497 active asymptomatic cases (461 imported), 8 suspect cases (all imported). 56,557 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 12/23, 2,732.749M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 13.29M doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 12/24, Hong Kong reported 5 new positive cases, 4 imported (1 each from Ireland, Ghana, Nigeria & Australia) & 1 domestic case who is a custodian at the airport, working in a holding area for visitors who have tested positive.
OzarkHillbilly
@SiubhanDuinne: Hear, hear.
debbie
New cases in Ohio totaled 15,989 yesterday.
I haven’t found anything specific, but has there been any indication that breakthrough cases would be less than dire for people with compromised health issues?
Zzyzx
I just got my boost and flu shot today. It was scheduled in the more innocent time of 3 weeks ago when I figured that I could go to Madison Square Garden to see Phish and it would be kind of dumb but everyone would be vaccinated.
Now the shows have been moved to April and I’m going to a much smaller local event but also expecting that to be axed in the next day or two too.
I’m glad they made the call to move them because I would have gone but it would have been a bad idea but I’m getting sick of these variants already. I don’t really celebrate Thanksgiving that much and I’m Jewish so I don’t do the Christmas thing, but New Year’s Eve is my one big gather with friends holiday and now it’s two straight years that Corona has made it impossible.
Nelle
Nothing like first hand experience to up the rage-meter. Last week, I was comfortably walking10 to 13,000 steps a day but was noticing some sciatica beginnings. Walking slowly helps. Yesterday, when I got out of bed, I couldn’t put weight on my right leg…just scream worthy pain. Turns out arthritis is so bad that it is bone on bone and the knee likely needs replacement. Spent the afternoon getting crash and ultrasound to rule out blood clots and cysts.
So, while I have pain from bum to foot, and I’m using a walker to gingerly move around the house, this will be an elective surgery. Hospitals are full; staff is exhausted. My older sister has been waiting for a knee replacement since July. Just clear the unvaccinated out to a field tent somewhere far from me.
On a better note, we’ve had four neighbors bring Christmas treats. One said it was, in part, a thank you for getting out the votes. Meanwhile, I have two tubs of cookie dough as my granddaughter and I were going to bake them yesterday. Instead, this 2 year old gently kissed my knee, brought me pillows and tried to cover me with a soft blanket.
Nelle
@SiubhanDuinne: I’m ambivalent about this. I want her to have a break, but on the last break, we got Omicron.
Baud
@Nelle:
Haha. AL is the Covid Whisperer.
OzarkHillbilly
@Nelle: Oh sure, blame the messenger!
s//
raven
@Nelle: Xmas, 68.
debbie
@Nelle:
Of course, the knee is a horrible situation, but your granddaughter! ?
HinTN
This was a sobering read.
I remember lockdown and survived it ok. May be headed that way again.
Good advice to do even one thing to reduce your risk.
Merry Christmas, jackals. Be safe!!!
HinTN
@raven: Oh baby
HinTN
@Nelle:
It really is time. They’re making personal choices against the public good. There need to be personal consequences for their choices.
Rachel Bakes
Thank you AL for the 2 plus years of nearly daily collations of real data. Sadly, I feel my day is “off” without my morning dose. But you deserve some time without.
On a related note-boosted yesterday and it smarts this morning!
debbie
@HinTN:
Yeah, it’s back to double-masking and steering clear of others on the street. Bummer.
WaterGirl
@Nelle: Not a very merry Christmas for you. So sorry on several different levels.
Having to wait months and months because of selfish people is no doubt rage-inducing. Sweet grandchild no doubt helps.
mrmoshpotato
LOL
Brachiator
Florida governor DeSantis continues to play with the lives of the people in his state. Is the press there doing anything to hold him to account?
The official Florida government web site prominently mentions one pandemic therapy that has been approved for a narrow category of the population.
This recommendation is based on this:
But the more pandemic general advice is insane. Exercise and vitamins.
Florida residents can follow a link to a page that does mention the value of vaccines, but which omits anything related to masks or social distancing.
pajaro
Anne,
Thank you so much for your work. For the last few months, I’ve started each day here. The information I’ve gotten here has really helped give me at least some idea of the relative risks in my interactions with the rest of the world. It’s easy for me to feel helpless in the face of the virus, but knowledge really is power, and this is the place I power up in the morning.
Anne Laurie
@SiubhanDuinne: I’m superstitious — after Thanksgiving’s Omicron news, I don’t dare announce another break!
If it’s any consolation, there should be much less actual breaking news… I’m hoping to maybe catch up on some of the longer, less volatile stories I’ve got stockpiled.
mrmoshpotato
@Anne Laurie:
Hehe, Merry Christmas, and thanks again for compiling these daily news roundups for us!
Cermet
It is possible that after Omicron, the plague will rapidly decrease and unless a new variant comes along, drop to low levels like the flu – maybe.
Hope Merck’s pill is outlawed (France did the right thing) – it is just asking to create a new variant that is worse. Its method of defeating the virus is exactly how the virus mutates into worse illnesses! Counting on random (and hence, mostly bad) mutations will defeat the infection is fine till one hits an extremely good (for the virus) mutation. Then it gets worse for all of us!
Again, the Defense act needs to be used for the Pfizer pill which is utterly safe relative to mutations.
Another Scott
Every election matters.
(via LOLGOP)
Cheers,
Scott.
mrmoshpotato
@Another Scott: ?
tom
Do be careful out there. I am vaxxed and boosted, but still I have a breakthrough infection. I’m pretty sure it’s from when I went out with a group of vaxxed/boosted friends to a local restaurant. Bad move – probably caught it from some other restaurant patron.
But vaccines work. My symptoms are mild, and it’s more of a damn nuisance than serious.
phdesmond
i was moved to write a short poem because of my daily reading of Anne Laurie’s Covid column. submitted it to a news-of-the-week poetry contest. will post here if it wins or places.
peter
Suzanne
@Another Scott: Well, COVID deaths do those people, regardless!
La Nonna
Matt McIrvin
@Cermet:
It’s gotten emergency authorization for the small population of high-risk people for whom other treatments such as Paxlovid are contraindicated. I think it’s unlikely that doctors will just let these people die over the risk of breeding new variants.
Robert Sneddon
Scotland — yet another increase in new COVID-19 case numbers reported, 7,076 with a caveat that the data flow from testing centres is still a bit hit-and-miss due to the numbers of tests. This number of cases is similar to the peak reached during September this year due mostly to the Delta variant but it’s still on an uptick.
There were ten deaths reported, the hospitalisation and ICU bed occupancy numbers remain stable and the test positivity rate remains high at 14%.
The booster program is continuing right up into the break for the holidays, with about two-thirds of all Scots aged 18+ now triple-vaccinated. The takeup of new first and second vaccinations remains low and if I read the bar graph data correctly most of those getting vaccinated are older children in the 16-17 age range who are now eligible for a second dose. The Young Immortals aged 18 through 39 seem to have stopped getting vaccinated at this point in time (ca 75% and holding).
Cameron
@Brachiator: Healthy lifestyles – yeah, that’s the ticket! I think that’s a big deal with the new Surgeon General. I’m surprised he’s not pimping Christian Science, too.
Sab
@Nelle: Yep. We were talking to a friend on Monday who is waiting for a cardiac ablation for his irregular heartbeat. Was supposed to be Tuesday but was postponed as elective surgery. If his heart de ides to go whacko he’ll end up in the overrun ER.
Sab
@WaterGirl: I thought the reason we were not supposed to want Obamacare was because with socialized medicine we wait months and months for elective surgeries.
So it is Obama’s fault not the unvaxed. s//
Bill Arnold
@Brachiator:
He continues to commit mass homicide*. He and his henchpeople are mostly killing Republicans of voting age, but … human mass sacrifices must be made.
* “stochastic mass homicide” – is there a proper legal term for this?
Bill Arnold
@HinTN:
Yes (FFP2 in Europe(?)).
Another thing worth doing is attempting to kill the term “mask mandate”, switching to something like “mask discipline”, similar to “gun discipline”. One should be disciplined about wearing a mask around others indoors during a respiratory virus pandemic – one should not spew possibly-deadly plumes at other people unless one wants to kill them. (Homicidal intent can then be determined by observing faces :)
If there were 100 percent mask discipline indoors with N95 (or equivalent) or better masks, community spread in a jurisdiction would be knocked out in several weeks.
See figure 6 in this recent study (pdf). A bit busy but worth it. Their model of aerosol dynamics is more detailed/complicated than usual.
An upper bound on one-to-one exposure to infectioushuman respiratory particles (Nov 1, 2021)
Robert Sneddon
UK national figures — 122,000 new cases of COVID-19 reported, just a little up from yesterday’s record total of just under 120,000. The week-on-week case number is up by 48%. Hospitalisation numbers are creeping up as are deaths but there’s no sudden spike. As yet the health services are not at risk of overload, however elective surgeries and treatments are being postponed in preparation for a possible upsurge in bed use for Omicron variant COVID-19 patients during and after the holiday period.
The map showing number of cases in areas around the UK on the government website has had another “colour”, dark blue, added to represent 1600+ cases a week per 100,000 population. Previously the colour chart topped out at a dark maroon colour representing 800+ cases per week per 100,000 population. London is solidly coloured in dark blue now thanks to Omicron.
Fair Economist
@Cermet: Merck’s pill is scary enough but in combination with monoclonal it’s terrifying. We might be getting a new Omicron every week, but without any guarantee it will be less dangerous than Delta.
Fair Economist
@Bill Arnold: There’s not a legal term for DeSantis’ mass murder because nobody had to deal with this before. New boundaries in evil. “Stochastic mass murder” seems good – it is intentional; so not just manslaughter.
Fair Economist
@phdesmond: Post it here anyway!
lowtechcyclist
Just flew down yesterday to central Florida.
I’m going to plague-land, plague-land, central Florida,
I’m going to plague-land
And my traveling companions are the unvaxxed and unmasked,
I’m talking about plague rats
But I’ve reason to believe we all will be received
in plague-land
Anyhow, there were 40 empty seats on Southwest’s BWI-Tampa flight yesterday mid-morning, which is usually full at any time of year. Last time I was on a plane with that many empty seats was in November 2001, when people were scared to fly in the wake of 9/11.
I’m assuming that Omicron got a lot of people to cancel their Christmas plans.
Soprano2
@Another Scott: Missouri counts will become less reliable since the state government is actively trying to get counties, cities and schools to stop any Covid measures. It wouldn’t surprise me if other counties quit counting Covid deaths too.
PaulB
Late to this but wanted to say again just how much these daily updates are appreciated and how much valuable information I’ve gained by reading them. Thank you from the bottom of my heart for all that you’ve done.
On a personal note, I had a bit of a scare last week with Covid-like symptoms last Friday. The good news? It’s not Covid. The bad news? It’s a hernia. Lucky me.