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Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Of course you can have champagne before noon. That’s why orange juice was invented.

We need to vote them all out and restore sane Democratic government.

This really is a full service blog.

And now I have baud making fun of me. this day can’t get worse.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

Dear Washington Post, you are the darkness now.

You passed on an opportunity to be offended? What are you even doing here?

I have other things to bitch about but those will have to wait.

fuckem (in honor of the late great efgoldman)

Balloon Juice, where there is always someone who will say you’re doing it wrong.

Lick the third rail, it tastes like chocolate!

Reality always lies in wait for … Democrats.

He seems like a smart guy, but JFC, what a dick!

“Just close your eyes and kiss the girl and go where the tilt-a-whirl takes you.” ~OzarkHillbilly

The fight for our country is always worth it. ~Kamala Harris

“But what about the lurkers?”

T R E 4 5 O N

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Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

Books are my comfort food!

It is not hopeless, and we are not helpless.

The arc of history bends toward the same old fuckery.

Disappointing to see gov. newsom with his finger to the wind.

Why is it so hard for them to condemn hate?

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You are here: Home / John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House" / Wednesday Night Open Thread

Wednesday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  December 10, 20258:23 pm| 91 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House"

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Powerball is up to near a billion so go and get one if you still can. And if you win, think of me.

Still feeling a little bit under the weather and my shoulders are killing me, so I probably just have some low grade bug. I’ve been drinking lots of fluids and taking it easy. I made a delicious hearty stew yesterday so we have that to eat for several days. Other than that, Joelle got some bloodwork for her surgery, and I futzed around working. Speaking of- the ad might go up in the next couple of days if it isn’t already I never notice the damned things anyway.

We also found out Joelle will be staying overnight the first night, and we are both psyched about that. It’s just soo much better this way because I take her in, she has her surgery, I can see that she is situated in her room, then I can go home and Joelle-proof the house= get rid of any obstacles in the living room and bedroom and put them in the patio room, get the tray table out, etc. Should anything go wrong post-surgery she will be in the best place for it, and they can do her first rehab sessions right there without us having to go anywhere.

Plus, if she is in a lot of pain they have access to and authorization to use far more powerful regimens of pain relief than I can offer. And I am kind of a total control freak when it comes to giving her the pain meds. I will keep her ahead of the pain and I will set an alarm every five hours and forty-five minutes and administer each and every nose, but you’re not getting more than what it says on the bottle. I will cram you full of as many edibles as you want, but as a West Virginian and an old practitioner of street pharmacology, and you don’t fuck with pills and you don’t fuck with needles. Period. I have seen far too many people go out way too young from that shit. I should add Joelle is perfectly fine with this and I’m not an abusive dick about it (“look I know you are in pain but you are still two hours away how about some ice or an edible), it’s just that I very strictly adhere to the regimen given by the doctors.

Completely unrelated, but if my cats would like to stop fucking dropping kibble in their water fountain making a beige cloudy pool with damp kibble congealed in the filter THAT WOULD BE FUCKING AWESOME.

***

In the fuck around and find out department, a measles outbreak is running wild in South Carolina:

The measles outbreak in South Carolina is “accelerating” with no end in sight following Thanksgiving and other large gatherings, state health officials said Wednesday.

As of Wednesday, 111 measles cases had been reported in what’s known as upstate South Carolina — an area in the northwest of the state that includes Greenville and Spartanburg.

“We are faced with ongoing transmission that we anticipate will go on for many more weeks,” Dr. Linda Bell, state epidemiologist for the South Carolina Department of Public Health, said during a news briefing Wednesday.

Twenty-seven of those cases have been reported since Friday. “That is a significant increase in our cases in a short period of time,” Bell said. She attributed the spike in part to holiday travel and get-togethers, as well as low vaccination rates.

I know I have posted this before, but once again I must bring you the criminally underrated Alonzo Bodden:

Perfect.

***

This is grotesque even by Trump standards:

President Donald Trump announced Wednesday that his long-promised “ gold card ” was officially going on sale, offering legal status and an eventual pathway to U.S. citizenship for individuals paying $1 million and corporations ponying up twice that per foreign-born employee.

A website accepting applications went live as Trump revealed the start of the program while surrounded by business leaders in the White House’s Roosevelt Room. It is meant to replace EB-5 visas, which Congress created in 1990 to generate foreign investment and had been available to people who spend about $1 million on a company that employs at least 10 people.

Trump sees the new version as a way for the U.S. to attract and retain top talent, all while generating revenue for federal coffers. He’s been promoting the gold card program for months, and once suggested that each card would cost $5 million, though he more recently revised that to the $1 million and $2 million pricing scheme.

It’s all just his to give away as he chooses, and not fucking one elected Republican will do a fucking thing about it.

***

Lot of video today in this post, but do not worry, we are not making a pivot to video. Having said that, Brad Lander is running for Congress and this was his announcement ad and it is equal parts charming and hopecore and cheesy and the most earnest thing I have seen in a while and I want you to watch it too:

That almost made this sour old fucker a little misty-eyed. We have a lot of really good young talent running in the next year- all of them coming forward with their own unique approach to their district, offering something positive and going about things in a great way. We need to protect these from the Rahm Emmanuel’s and the rest of those machine politicans.

***

That’s enough from me.

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Reader Interactions

91Comments

  1. 1.

    Lord Fartdaddy

    December 10, 2025 at 8:26 pm

    I wonder what angle he‘s going to come up with to keep the money.

  2. 2.

    Albatrossity

    December 10, 2025 at 8:35 pm

    Did he put his face or name on the card? That would be on point for the narcissistic old conman.

  3. 3.

    Gvg

    December 10, 2025 at 8:38 pm

    Who the fuck does he think he is? The President doesn’t get to declare who is or isn’t a Citizen. Aside from the constitution, the pathways are set up by standard laws passed by both haouses of Congress and then signed by the President. No such law has been passed that I have heard of.

  4. 4.

    Memory Pallas

    December 10, 2025 at 8:42 pm

    I didn’t “almost get misty eyed,” I full on teared up at the “singing” portion ending the Brad Lander video.​

  5. 5.

    Scout211

    December 10, 2025 at 8:43 pm

    @Albatrossity: Yes.

    Trump Gold Card.

    ETA:  I don’t know why he loves that portrait of himself so much. It always looks to me like he’s constipated.

  6. 6.

    eclare

    December 10, 2025 at 8:47 pm

    Just happy to be here.

  7. 7.

    Scott S.

    December 10, 2025 at 8:48 pm

    Not to get weird about it, and I like Brad and the ad, but he’s definitely walking on a treadmill against a green screen. 🤷‍♂️

  8. 8.

    schrodingers_cat

    December 10, 2025 at 8:50 pm

    I like Dan Goldman and hope that Brad Lander loses the primary challenge.

  9. 9.

    Ohio Mom

    December 10, 2025 at 8:52 pm

    Cole, I saw your BlueSky tweet/skeet/whatever it is, on adult adoption. It was a definite thing in ancient times.

    Ages ago, I took a class on the First century, focusing on when Judaism and Christianity split, and the teacher (a professor at the Jewish seminary here in Cincinnati) said that it was common back then for older couples without children to adopt (albeit informally) a young man who could help them with the farm or flock, with the promise the young man would inherit it all.

    A sort of elder care system.

  10. 10.

    Gin & Tonic

    December 10, 2025 at 8:56 pm

    @schrodingers_cat: My son lives in his district and likes him.

  11. 11.

    Ohio Mom

    December 10, 2025 at 8:59 pm

    I was hoping Brad Lander was going to at least be a member of Mamdani’s kitchen cabinet, if not helping in some sort of official capacity. I worry about Mamdani being a little too inexperienced for the job, charm is only going to get him so far. Lander knows his way around and I thought they could make a good team.

    There is probably a back story there I don’t know about.

  12. 12.

    brendancalling

    December 10, 2025 at 9:00 pm

    Great ad.

  13. 13.

    mrmoshpotato

    December 10, 2025 at 9:01 pm

    In the fuck around and find out department, a measles outbreak is running wild in South Carolina:

    Hopefully they don’t ask RFK Jr for help, because he’ll probably tell them to swim in sewage while shooting up smack.

  14. 14.

    tobie

    December 10, 2025 at 9:04 pm

    @schrodingers_cat: Happy to see the progressive Jewish PAC J-Street refusing to lend any credence to Lander’s claim that Goldman is an AIPAC-lackey.

    In a statement, J Street told me it is “proud” to endorse Goldman and “we deeply value his pro-Israel, pro-peace and pro-democracy leadership in Congress,” while calling Lander “a vocal leader for our values.” “We know that the issue of peace is close to both of their hearts.”

    Their full statement is here. They’re not getting involved in this race but must have felt compelled to correct the record given Lander’s claims.

  15. 15.

    wjca

    December 10, 2025 at 9:08 pm

    Powerball is up to near a billion so go and get one if you still can. And if you win, think of me.

    Powerball (and other government-run lotteries): a tax on ignorance of statistics.  Consider: your chances of buying a winning ticket are indistinguishable from your chance of finding the winning ticket lying on the sidewalk.

  16. 16.

    Jackie

    December 10, 2025 at 9:10 pm

    @wjca:

    Consider: your chances of buying a winning ticket are indistinguishable from your chance of finding the winning ticket lying on the sidewalk.

    Either is acceptable ;-)

  17. 17.

    mrmoshpotato

    December 10, 2025 at 9:13 pm

    @wjca:

    Powerball (and other government-run lotteries): a tax on ignorance of statistics. Consider: your chances of buying a winning ticket are indistinguishable from your chance of finding the winning ticket lying on the sidewalk.

    What if you live somewhere with no sidewalks?

  18. 18.

    MagdaInBlack

    December 10, 2025 at 9:13 pm

    @Jackie:  Ha! I laughed…and agreed ☺️

  19. 19.

    John Cole

    December 10, 2025 at 9:13 pm

    @wjca: You are as bad as my mom when I told her about the kid I gave a 2 dollar bill in exchange for a penny. I didn’t waste 1.99, I opened an endless array of possibilities in which that 2 dollar bill could change that kid or someone else’s life. And I will never know what happened so I can think on it for the rest of my life. I bought a powerball ticket for two bucks and it opens the potential for endless possibilities for a bunch of hours until I lose and then it will go to education or senior care or something we should already be taxed more to take care of, so fuck it. I think both were high value uses of 2 dollars.

  20. 20.

    Old School

    December 10, 2025 at 9:16 pm

    Powerball is up to near a billion so go and get one if you still can.

    That reminds me – I haven’t checked how my ticket for last Saturday’s drawing went.  I hope I won the jackpot!

  21. 21.

    zhena gogolia

    December 10, 2025 at 9:21 pm

    @schrodingers_cat: Goldman is great.

  22. 22.

    Suzanne

    December 10, 2025 at 9:22 pm

    Alonzo Bodden is great. I saw him at the Tempe Improv some years back. The crowd was smaller than it should have been.

  23. 23.

    Omnes Omnibus

    December 10, 2025 at 9:22 pm

    @wjca: The odds of getting your original 2 bucks back aren’t that bad.

  24. 24.

    TS

    December 10, 2025 at 9:24 pm

    $$$ does not equal top talent – but it sure gives trump his %

  25. 25.

    Old School

    December 10, 2025 at 9:24 pm

    He’s been promoting the gold card program for months, and once suggested that each card would cost $5 million, though he more recently revised that to the $1 million and $2 million pricing scheme.

    The platinum card will cost $5 million, but that program isn’t live yet (for whatever reason).

  26. 26.

    Geminid

    December 10, 2025 at 9:24 pm

    @Ohio Mom: Zohran Mamdani has almost 5 years experience as a New York State Assemblyman, so I’d say he has a decent base of knowledge. And Mamdani has his share of ambition and knows he has to have a successful first term as mayor if he is to have much of a future in politics. Mamdani strikes me as a pragmatic, hardworking politician who is highly incentivised to succeed, and I think he will.

  27. 27.

    p.a.

    December 10, 2025 at 9:25 pm

    Hear about the new lottery game?

    6 ways to win!

    1,225,398,455 ways to lose.

  28. 28.

    Omnes Omnibus

    December 10, 2025 at 9:29 pm

    Some of you people have no sense of fun.

  29. 29.

    Matt McIrvin

    December 10, 2025 at 9:32 pm

    @Gvg:

    Who the fuck does he think he is? The President doesn’t get to declare who is or isn’t a Citizen.

    At least until the SCOTUS ruling in a few months that says the phrase “subject to the jurisdiction thereof” in the 14th Amendment means Trump can declare anyone an unperson he wants and also you have to give him a blowjob on command.

  30. 30.

    wjca

    December 10, 2025 at 9:33 pm

    @mrmoshpotato: What if you live somewhere with no sidewalks?

    Does the place you buy lottery tickets have a sidewalk…?

    And if not, on the driveway, or even the middle of the street.

  31. 31.

    mrmoshpotato

    December 10, 2025 at 9:35 pm

    @wjca: Driveways and streets aren’t sidewalks. 😁

  32. 32.

    Princess

    December 10, 2025 at 9:36 pm

    Piggy is taking huge bribes to let workers in the country; meanwhile, Canada is fast-tracking permission for US H1B visa holders to move up north.

  33. 33.

    Geminid

    December 10, 2025 at 9:39 pm

    @schrodingers_cat: I’ll also be rooting for Goldman

    Dan Goldman and Brad Lander make an interesting contrast. I think Lander is basically what the video portrays: a warm, upbeat person. Goldlman is cooler and more aloof, traits with which I can identify.

    He’s also kind of driven. Goldman’s father was a US prosecutor who died when Goldman was a child, and that might account for his tenacity.

    At age 49, Goldman is the younger of the two; Lander is 56.

    I think the two men will fight hard but clean. Outside groups could make this a nasty primary, though.

  34. 34.

    Timill

    December 10, 2025 at 9:47 pm

    @Old School: You didn’t :-)

    usamega.com/powerball/drawing/2025/12/6

  35. 35.

    prostratedragon

    December 10, 2025 at 9:49 pm

    Oregon senator introduces bill to block Trump from appearing on $1 coins

  36. 36.

    tobie

    December 10, 2025 at 9:49 pm

    @Geminid: I think Lander’s statement that we need “fighters, not folders” was an ugly dig at his opponent. If this is the tenor of his campaign on Day 1, it’s only going to get worse as the primary season heats up. I took a quick look at the legislation Goldman has sponsored in his short time in Congress and it’s sizeable.

    congress.gov/member/daniel-goldman/G000599?q=%7B%22sponsorship%22%3A%22sponsored%22%7D

    I guess he’s a fighter. Notable measures include changing the tax code so wealthy individuals pay tax on what they borrow (think “margin accounts”), defending immigrant rights, preventing pretrial gun purchases, and mandating that ICE and Border Patrol carry visible IDs.

  37. 37.

    PJ

    December 10, 2025 at 9:51 pm

    @schrodingers_cat: I am a long-time constituent of Lander’s, and he is a completely disingenuous careerist.  I cannot in good conscience vote for him for anything.

  38. 38.

    HopefullynotCassandra

    December 10, 2025 at 9:55 pm

    @Matt McIrvin: please don’t give our resident black robed sadists any new ideas

  39. 39.

    Geminid

    December 10, 2025 at 9:56 pm

    @PJ: Welp. So much for my impressions!

  40. 40.

    kalakal

    December 10, 2025 at 10:00 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus: Says the man who dissed Brian Cox’s musical highlight

  41. 41.

    hells littlest angel

    December 10, 2025 at 10:00 pm

    This is grotesque even by Trump standards:

     

    I read that and wondered which fucking thing he did just today that you were referring to.

  42. 42.

    PJ

    December 10, 2025 at 10:00 pm

    @Ohio Mom: The backstory is that Mamdani had no use for Lander once he was elected.  Lander has been aiming to be mayor at least since he became a city council member, 12 years ago.  I’d bet it’s been his goal for longer than that.  If he were deputy mayor, he’d be using any chance to show that he was the guy actually running the city government.  Why put up with that?

    It’s far better for Mamdani if Lander is in Congress – he’ll be out of his hair, away in DC most of the time.  Even better if Lander loses to Goldman, because then he’ll have two time loser stink on him and will be even less likely to be a real rival in the future.

  43. 43.

    TS

    December 10, 2025 at 10:00 pm

    @Princess: I live in Australia but every time I visit the Washington Post website I get an ad suggesting I immigrate to Canada.

  44. 44.

    HopefullynotCassandra

    December 10, 2025 at 10:00 pm

    @prostratedragon: because we already have a law and the entire history of our country prohibiting our currency from profiling living politicians.  The only intent this GOP considers is how Mr. Trump feels this morning.

  45. 45.

    Quiltingfool

    December 10, 2025 at 10:02 pm

    Joelle is getting her knee replaced, yes?  I had mine done a couple of years ago, and once you get through the rough part, oh, man, it is the greatest!

    The hospital “gave” me the neatest thing.  It’s a machine that circulates chilled water around your knee.  They said put ice in the cooler portion, but that would have been difficult for me as hubby was out of town during the week.  Frozen water bottles are perfect and no mess to boot.  It really helped.

    I agree about the pain meds.  I set my phone alarm and took meds at the prescribed time, at first.  When the pain wasn’t as bad, I extended the time, basically to wean myself off the meds.  Constipation is a bitch.

    You might think about a raised toilet seat, too.  I had one that was meant for skinny people, and I am not a skinny gal.  I wasn’t going to fall off the toilet after being wedged in that thing!

    Do your best at physical therapy.  Here’s another thing I learned:  even though your new knee feels great and you aren’t walking like a drunken sailor anymore, you might have some back or hip issues.  I did.  I went to a chiropractor I trust and got my back and hip pain under control.  Your body has to adjust to correct walking.

  46. 46.

    Jackie

    December 10, 2025 at 10:03 pm

    @prostratedragon:

    Oregon senator introduces bill to block Trump from appearing on $1 coins.

    He wants his ugly mug and name on everything. Which Republican is going to suggest an amendment to rename the USA to UST? <eyeroll>

    eta: It would be more honestly be the DAT (divided states…)

  47. 47.

    prostratedragon

    December 10, 2025 at 10:07 pm

    Headline in movie The Miracle at Morgan’s Creek (1943): “HITLER DEMANDS RECOUNT.”

  48. 48.

    Trollhattan

    December 10, 2025 at 10:08 pm

    Shots fired.

    Fed Chair Jerome Powell pointed on Wednesday to a job-market risk that economists have been worried about for months: Official statistics could be drastically overstating recent hiring,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

    “Powell said that Fed staffers believe that federal data could be overestimating job creation by up to 60,000 jobs a month. Given that figures published so far show that the economy has added about 40,000 jobs a month since April, the real number could be something more like a loss of 20,000 jobs a month.”

  49. 49.

    Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)

    December 10, 2025 at 10:08 pm

    @Jackie:

    @prostratedragon:

    Awfulness and illegality of putting his face on a US coin aside, all of those proposed portraits look horrible lol

  50. 50.

    Omnes Omnibus

    December 10, 2025 at 10:09 pm

    @kalakal: A sense of fun is not incompatible with good taste.  No matter what Baud says.

  51. 51.

    Omnes Omnibus

    December 10, 2025 at 10:10 pm

    @TS: It does have more snow.

  52. 52.

    prostratedragon

    December 10, 2025 at 10:12 pm

    @PJ: ​ Kind of like sending Rahm Emanuel to Japan.

  53. 53.

    Quiltingfool

    December 10, 2025 at 10:15 pm

    @Quiltingfool:

    I’m sure you and Joelle have things under control and don’t need MORE advice…

    Recovery is a pain, but I remember standing at the stove cooking dinner and realizing my knee didn’t hurt.  For the first time in years.  That is worth every minute of discomfort from surgery.

  54. 54.

    prostratedragon

    December 10, 2025 at 10:16 pm

    @Goku (aka Amerikan Baka):  So many of  the things he does are consistent with him wanting to increase the hatred against him.

  55. 55.

    no body no name

    December 10, 2025 at 10:24 pm

    I play powerball because it’s a work thing.  Nobody expects to win it’s just a fun waste of money that funds good things.  Oh well.

  56. 56.

    Geminid

    December 10, 2025 at 10:29 pm

    @prostratedragon: I have this alternate history where Biden’s diplomatic appointments get scrambled. Jeff Flake is sent to Tokyo where he does fine. But Rahm Emanuel is sent to Ankara, and R.T. Erdogan ends up declaring war on the United States.

  57. 57.

    Jay

    December 10, 2025 at 10:29 pm

    Lander also made national headlines in June when he was arrested while trying to escort an asylum seeker safely out of the Manhattan federal building, after the government abruptly dismissed his asylum case so they could deport him faster. That incident gets a replay in Lander’s announcement video, to remind voters Lander isn’t afraid of getting in Good Trouble.

    As for the announcement itself, it’s freaking delightful, playing up the goofiness and nerdy Jimmy-Stewart earnestness that Lander wants to emphasize. Damn right it opens with cartoon birdies wishing him good morning, and it goes on to quote Fred Rogers, “a man who knew a thing or two about loving their neighbors: ‘Love isn’t a state of perfect caring, it’s an active noun.’” (The New York Post dismissed the line as “awkward”; we think it’s excellent.)

    “I know it’s corny,” Lander then adds, “but I love the idea that democracy is just neighbors working together to make our lives in common better.” Dang, what a radical!

    As Sarah Vowell noted ages ago, this is how Al Gore should have campaigned, by leaning into the wonkery and his reputation as a smart nerd.

    Lander hopes to unseat incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman, who is also pretty liberal, and who was the lead attorney in Trump’s first impeachment, after which Goldman won election in the then-newly drawn 10th District. As you no doubt noticed with that line about “not doing AIPAC’s bidding,” US support for Israel’s war in Gaza is one big difference between Lander and Goldman, who are both Jewish, and it could become a key issue in the primary.

    Lander, a self-described liberal Zionist, has criticized Israel’s conduct in the war and called for a cease-fire, while Goldman, who is also Jewish, has defended the country’s right to defend itself against Hamas.

    Goldman was among the Democrats who claimed — not very convincingly — that Mamdani hadn’t sufficiently condemned antisemitism by not repudiating strongly enough the protest slogan “globalize the intifada,” a position that Mamdani never supported and never said himself. Goldman said in an October CNN interview, “I’ve asked him to speak out on that and to condemn that and I frankly haven’t really seen him do much on that,” and then Mamdani won the mayoral election anyway.

    A very early September poll by Data for Progress found that Goldman could be vulnerable to a challenge from the left, with just 41 percent of 10th District voters saying they’d choose Goldman over a generic “other Democratic candidate.” When Lander was offered as a possible alternative, 52 percent of respondents said they’d go with Lander, and just 33 percent chose Goldman.

    That may not mean much with months to go before the June 23 primary, and Goldman, an heir to the Levi Strauss fortune, has an assload of his own money, and solid progressive bona fides as well, like supporting Medicare for All and the Green New Deal, as well as calling for higher taxes on the super-wealthy, including his own family. Both have fought against Trump’s deport-everyone agenda, too; both have protested ICE at 26 Federal Plaza in Manhattan, and Goldman has co-sponsored legislation to protect immigrants from being arrested when they appear for scheduled interviews and hearings.

    Let’s hope for a good clean primary campaign, ha ha. With nearly unlimited Republican dark money and online trolling, even if the candidates themselves behave, that wish seems even more wildly sunny than Lander’s announcement video.

    wonkette.com/p/brad-lander-wants-to-be-new-yorks

    and of course,

    Because both are Jewish, with much different opinions on US/Gaza, expect a lot of Macedonian, Indian, Pakistani and Nigerian “One True New Yorker” accounts on the Dead Bird Site to flood the zone.
    govtrack.us/congress/members/dan_goldman/456923

  58. 58.

    Melancholy Jaques

    December 10, 2025 at 10:30 pm

    @Scott S.:

    Not to get weird about it, and I like Brad and the ad, but he’s definitely walking on a treadmill against a green screen.

    He was also walking way too fast while talking. Did Aaron Sorkin coach him. Needed more of a saunter with a few pauses for effect.

  59. 59.

    sab

    December 10, 2025 at 10:33 pm

    OT I am a boomer and I have to take a required minimum distribution next year from the IRA I inherited last year. I don’t much need the money now and it will increase my income and have other unpleasant tax consequences.

    I am the tax person and I had been avoiding thinking about this. Then my older sister called me as she is concerned about the same issue.

    We can give IRA distributions to a qualified charity (e.g. our local foodbank) if we jump through the right hoops.

    As my sister put it: she would rather give all the money to the food bank and avoid all the taxes than to keep most of the money and give some to help our government blow up small boat people in the Carribean who probably aren’t drug smugglers.

  60. 60.

    Melancholy Jaques

    December 10, 2025 at 10:34 pm

    Back when I was still smoking, I would occasionally buy a ticket along with my Marlboros and especially when the jackpot was huge. Nowadays I sometimes think I might buy one when I’m getting gas, but I usually forget. Guess that reduces my chances of winning from almost zero to zero.

  61. 61.

    Jay

    December 10, 2025 at 10:46 pm

    Carrying US ID and proof of Citizenship does not protect against “Kavanaugh Stops” which can last anywhere from 1 hour to 31 days, if you don’t pass the Arctic White Colour Test.

    sahanjournal.com/immigration/ice-arrest-cedar-riverside-minneapolis-somali-man/

  62. 62.

    sab

    December 10, 2025 at 10:54 pm

    @Jay: Or probably even if you do with the wrong attitude.

    I had hoped to spend my retirement travelling and sightseeing.

    Now I am not sure that travelling, much less travelling overseas,  is worth doing. Risky and a bother to get back home safely.

  63. 63.

    rikyrah

    December 10, 2025 at 11:13 pm

    @Trollhattan:

    Just telling the truth

  64. 64.

    prostratedragon

    December 10, 2025 at 11:23 pm

    @Geminid: ​ Thank heaven Joe got it right!

  65. 65.

    Trivia Man

    December 10, 2025 at 11:42 pm

    Brad Lander is running against Dan Goldman in a primary. I was curious about Dan, some interesting details. One of the richest congressmen, he is connected. Great Great Grandpa founded Smart & Final grocery store chain. Great Grandpa was president of Levis, he is “heir to the Levis fortune” Wiki says. Mom was chairman of the board at Sidwell Friends, he attended there as well. Degrees from Yale and Stanford Law. Covered the Olympics as a writer for NBC, married an Olympic diver, later divorced. Beat the Republican last time with 81%, seems like a safe blue district.

  66. 66.

    Chris T.

    December 11, 2025 at 12:04 am

    I’m still working on a dead thread from this morning but I’ll stick my main comment here instead.

    Re MacKenzie Scott giving away billions… I had a thought a while ago. I was looking for some information regarding my own grandparents and came across information about work done by “Mrs <Grandfather’s Name>”. They basically erased my grandmother’s existence, she was just an extension of her husband.

    It then occurred to me that when we give faint praise to earlier Gilded Age moneybags types for their public works, we may be mis-attributing it.  Had the Ex-Mrs-Bezos been unable to divorce Bezos and reclaim her name, 100 years from now we might have all kinds of public goodies labeled “Bezos Thingum” instead of “MacKenzie Scott Thingum”.

    Maybe we didn’t have a better class of billionaires (then millionaires) back then after all. Maybe we just had different social rules.

  67. 67.

    frosty

    December 11, 2025 at 12:05 am

    I’m glad to hear Joelle will stay overnight after the surgery. My sister (and Ms F) both had both knees done at the same time. My sister stayed in the hospital for two days, getting PT several times a day. It was a great head start for her.

    Both are doing great! Ms F can go on hikes (well, walks) with me on our Road Trips which she couldn’t have done before. Best wishes for Joelle.

  68. 68.

    Jay

    December 11, 2025 at 12:06 am

    Raider
    ‪@iwillnotbesilenced.bsky.social‬

    Follow
    Everywhere they go, ICE goons are now disabling security cameras.

    5:27 PM · Dec 10, 2025

    Video at link.

    bsky.app/profile/iwillnotbesilenced.bsky.social/post/3m7ogal76xs2l

  69. 69.

    Anyway

    December 11, 2025 at 12:37 am

    @tobie: mandating that ICE and Border Patrol carry visible IDs.

    Are they carrying visible IDs? No dog in the Landers-Goldman primary but interested in any kind of accountability/restraints on ICE — doesn’t appear to be any and was surprised to hear of a “mandate”

  70. 70.

    WTFGhost

    December 11, 2025 at 12:43 am

    @wjca: Just as a Bayesian, I must ask you: how many jackpots were claimed by those who found tickets, versus those who purchased them?

    Because if the odds are “indistinguishable” we assume parity, correct?

    Yes, you don’t think dreaming of winning money is worth two bucks, other people do. Some people don’t like bacon, others do.

  71. 71.

    Jay

    December 11, 2025 at 12:55 am

    @Anyway:

    Courts have ruled,

    Cities, States and Municipalities have mandated laws,

    ICE/CPB have just paid it no nevermind.

    They are above the law.

  72. 72.

    Gretchen

    December 11, 2025 at 1:14 am

    I’m disappointed to hear that Landers’ opponent is Goldman. I like both of them. Kind of how I feel about Tallarico vs Crockett. I’d love to see all four of them in Congress.

  73. 73.

    Geminid

    December 11, 2025 at 1:25 am

    @Trivia Man: I recalled that Dan Goldman barely won his first primary. That was in 2022, and the 10th CD was an open seat after redistricting.

    So I checked and sure enough, Goldman won with only 25.8% of the vote. State Assemblywoman Yuh-Line Nioau was second with 23.7%; Rep. Mondaire Jones, who had repped the 17th CD in the lower Hudson Valley was 3rd with 18.2%; and Carla Rivera– who I think was a City Councilwoman– was 4th with 17.0%.

    Those three runners-up were considered more “progressive” than the merely liberal Goldman, so there was some consternation in left-wing circles over the result.

    Then Goldman made a name for himself with his effective questioning of Judiciary Committee witnesses. Goldman’s prosecutorial focus and deadpan delivery wowed people and helped make him a “star.” He also affiliated with the Progressive Caucus. So last year, Goldman was unopposed snd there was no Democratic primary.

    I think he would have been unopposed this time had it not been for the Gaza War. That war had a much bigger effect on Democratic politics in New York City than in most other places. In particular, the war politicized a lot of young New Yorkers, and many of these were the new voters who helped propel Zohran Mamdani to his June primary victory, and then his win last month.

    Now there is a feeling that New York City’s electorate has changed in such a way that the 10th CD can and should be represented by someone to Dan Goldman’s left. It’s possible Brad Lander will be that man.

    Personally, I think this primary will be well worth watching. I like this kind of stuff. But even if I didn’t, I think I’d have no choice because this is a big national story now, and people will be arguing about Lander and Goldman right up until the June primary.

    Another thing to look forward to in the New Year!

  74. 74.

    klokanek

    December 11, 2025 at 2:34 am

    The blue-yellow theme in the Lander ad is so Ukraine. All the feels!!

  75. 75.

    Ramalama

    December 11, 2025 at 4:01 am

    @sab: Are the hoops long and winding?

  76. 76.

    Ramalama

    December 11, 2025 at 4:09 am

    @Chris T.: I would think it’d be tricky or very difficult for historians to find evidence of the wife’s largesse. Unless you were someone like Isabella Stewart Gardner, but that was an house of art turned into a museum. Or unless the husbands and wives had a ton of correspondence…like John Adam’s and Abigail Adam’s did.

  77. 77.

    YY_Sima Qian

    December 11, 2025 at 4:22 am

    In relation to the “Affordability” thread earlier, it is far more than just the CPI number:

    Isabella M Weber @IsabellaMWeber

    The affordability crisis is an inequality crisis. When prices spike in key sectors, it’s not just inflation—it’s a massive redistribution shock that hits poor households hardest. In our **new working paper**, we identify the sectors that matter most. https://scholarworks.umass.edu/entities/publication/0e0146d8-de16-4d63-82cc-e5672fc7386a

    Standard inflation analysis reduces inflation to a single aggregate index. This conceals that inflation is often triggered by price shocks and that consumption baskets differ systematically across income groups, producing unequal inflation burdens. 2/16

    Sectoral cost shocks are therefore non-neutral: when relative prices shift unevenly across essential goods, inflation redistributes income, increasing income inequality. 3/16

    We ask: which sectors’ price shocks have the largest potential to raise income inequality in the US, and how do these sectors overlap with the systemically significant sectors for inflation identified in earlier work? 4/16

    We extend the input–output price model developed by Weber et al. (2024), which traces how a price shock in one sector propagates through production linkages, increasing the overall price level. 5/16 https://academic.oup.com/icc/article/33/2/297/7603347?searchresult=1

    Using decile-specific consumption baskets, we simulate how each sectoral price shock affects each income group’s cost of living, mapping these heterogeneous effects into changes in the Gini coefficient, ranking sectors by inequality impact. 6/16

    Consumption heterogeneity is central: even a uniform initial price increase produces sharply different inflation outcomes for poor and rich households, depending on the structure of spending across income groups. 7/16

    For example, a shock to food generates inflation 126% higher for the poorest than the richest decile; for petroleum and coal products, inflation is 54% higher for the poorest, revealing sectors where price increases have systemic distributional effects. 8/16

    Using pre-pandemic sectoral price volatility and real 2022 Q2–2023 Q2 price changes as shocks, we find that the capacity to increase inequality is highly concentrated within a small set of systemically significant sectors for inequality (SSS-I). 9/16

    These sectors span energy (oil, gas, petroleum & coal), food and agriculture, chemicals, housing, wholesale trade, and healthcare. With the important exception of healthcare, they mirror the sectors that propagate inflation systemically. 10/16

    This overlap implies that targeted price stabilization must be studied jointly with inflation and inequality, because shocks to these prices simultaneously raise the price level and regressively redistribute real income. 11/16

    The 2021-2022 joint shock to the eight systemically significant sectors raises the Gini coefficient by 0.0023—approximately one full year of the average annual increase in inequality observed during 1980–2021. 12/16

    Shocks to petroleum and coal products alone ≈ 1/3 of a yearly inequality increase, while food and agriculture shocks each ≈ 2/3 of that last magnitude, underscoring their disproportionate redistributive capacity. 13/16

    These shocks do not simply move the aggregate price level—they reshape the distribution of real income, compressing structural inequality dynamics in a single inflationary episode. 14/16

    Interest-rate hikes do little to lower the price of oil or food, yet they raise debt costs and weaken labor markets, amplifying inequality. Using blunt monetary tightening against supply shocks is both inefficient and regressive. 15/16

    Macroeconomic stability and the stability of the real income distribution are intertwined. A toolkit based on strategic reserves, supply resilience, and sector-specific price instruments can contain inflation without worsening inequality. 16/16

  78. 78.

    Baud

    December 11, 2025 at 4:41 am

    @Geminid:

    At age 49, Goldman is the younger of the two; Lander is 56.

    That seals it for me. I can’t stand older people running for office.

  79. 79.

    Professor Bigfoot

    December 11, 2025 at 7:36 am

    @John Cole:  Like any form of gambling, it’s entertainment.

    I buy a 2 dollar ticket and I spend the next few days thinking about all the great stuff I’m gonna do with my winnings.

    Then I lose, I chuckle, and move on.

  80. 80.

    Professor Bigfoot

    December 11, 2025 at 7:38 am

    @Geminid: Mamdani strikes me as a pragmatic, hardworking politician who is highly incentivised to succeed, and I think HOPE he will.

    Fully in agreement, with that one small change.

  81. 81.

    Professor Bigfoot

    December 11, 2025 at 7:46 am

    @Quiltingfool: Mrs. B got one of those when she got her knee replaced; and it’s amazing.

    Nurses recommended that we freeze half-liter bottles of water to drop into the circulation tank— that way you can quickly swap them out, put the melted ones back in the freezer and pull out the frozen ones in the tank.

    I feel so much like Jack Aubrey: “… this modern world we live in…”

  82. 82.

    StringOnAStick

    December 11, 2025 at 10:07 am

    @Quiltingfool: I had both my knees replaced when I was 60, after decades of pain.  I was concerned about doing it since I’m pretty sporty; too many people telling me it would screw me up and I wouldn’t be able to “do anything anymore”, when I was at the point that the pain was making that true anyway!

    I talked to several people who had done it 2 years before I did, and all of them said they were still getting an increase in their range of motion, so that was heartening.  For me, it took over 2 years after surgery where I wasn’t constantly aware of it, but then again I had lived a life on constant knee pain awareness for years.  Now it’s 7 years later and I’m skiing better than I ever had in the past, hiking almost as much as I used to (hey, I’m older too!), and gardening like a fiend, but by NOT kneeling on my knees because I was told that was a bad idea plus it feels….creepy.  Other than that, I’m thrilled with my new knees.

  83. 83.

    Geminid

    December 11, 2025 at 10:30 am

    @StringOnAStick: That’s good news. I trust your finger has healed properly. I remember when you hurt it because I’ve done paving myself.

    I wonder if you caught my comment about Hot Club Nax last weekend. They’re an Austrian quintet that plays in the Jazz Manouch style. I recommended their song “Joseph Joseph” as an example.

  84. 84.

    Miss Bianca

    December 11, 2025 at 10:34 am

    @tobie: Lander isn’t “young” – he’s older than Goldman. And yeah – he’s embracing the kind of empty sloganeering that apparently all Democrats are supposed to adopt now so they aren’t seen as old fossils fit only for ice floes. Fuck whether the people they are primarying have passed any worthy legislation, fuck what they believe in or what kind of constituent service they offer – are they “fighters”? You know, like, “warfighters”? Or are they “folders”?

    Fuck, we really do live in the stupidest timeline.

  85. 85.

    dnfree

    December 11, 2025 at 11:51 am

    @wjca: I always tell people I am way ahead on the lottery compared to most people who buy tickets.  I haven’t won anything, but then I haven’t lost anything either.  A few ticket-buying people come out ahead of me in the long run.

  86. 86.

    dnfree

    December 11, 2025 at 12:03 pm

    @sab: We do most of our charitable giving through a QCD since we have to take required minimum distributions.  There are rules for sure.  You can’t give to a fund like the United Way or a community fund that distributes money to other charities.  You can’t specify to the charity what the funds are to be used for.  The funds have to be used for current needs, not put in some kind of endowment fund.  The check has to go from your IRA holder to the charity, with you never having possession of the money.  (Vanguard makes the check out to the charity care of me, mails it to my address, and I deliver it to the charity.). You have to have a letter from the charity acknowledging receipt, that they’re a legally designated charity, AND that no goods or services were provided to you.

  87. 87.

    dnfree

    December 11, 2025 at 12:06 pm

    @Professor Bigfoot: Here I am, replying to you on a dead thread!  I was raised in a church that didn’t allow gambling (no Bingo games there), plus I’m a very risk-averse person.  The idea that maybe “throwing money away” could be entertaining is foreign to me.

  88. 88.

    Paul in KY

    December 11, 2025 at 3:34 pm

    @Scout211: He thinks he looks ‘tough’.

  89. 89.

    Paul in KY

    December 11, 2025 at 3:40 pm

    @John Cole: The daydreaming is generally worth the $2.

  90. 90.

    JustRuss

    December 11, 2025 at 6:39 pm

    I’m a bit under the weather too, so I raise my mug of lemon and honey tea in your direction. Cheers Cole.

  91. 91.

    SteverinoCT

    December 12, 2025 at 12:47 pm

    @wjca: Consider: your chances of buying a winning ticket are indistinguishable from your chance of finding the winning ticket lying on the sidewalk.

     

    Funny story: I was living in Florida when they started their state lottery with a scratch-off (1988, sez Wikipedia). They had a “second chance” deal where you saved your losing ticket and could win in a drawing. The first winner of the drawing found a discarded losing scratch-off, figured what-the-heck, and held onto it. When it won, he used the occasion to decry the whole state lottery concept. Hilarity ensued.

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