#COVID19: China's Feb. 15 numbers are out.
2009 new cases, 142 new deaths.
They bring China's numbers to 68,500 confirmed cases & 1665 deaths.
There have been 3 deaths reported outside China (France, Japan, the Philippines) & over 500 additional cases in ~26 countries. pic.twitter.com/zl48Q3ws97
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) February 16, 2020
Good day for getting all panicky, but only ‘theoretically’…
things are bad but remember that R0 is not a magic constant, it's a contextual number. some of the early rapid spread may be because of the extremely bad timing of the Lunar New Year https://t.co/raJdAXKMo4
— James Palmer (@BeijingPalmer) February 15, 2020
A top infectious-disease scientist warns that two-thirds of the world’s population could get infected with the coronavirus https://t.co/o3MbMmO6WU
— Bloomberg (@business) February 16, 2020
New information. >8000 close contacts of reported cases tested for #COVIDｰ19. Most interesting/concerning/comforting result is 34% of close contacts were + for COVID. This is very large fraction of contacts infected- suggests much wider spread. But 1/n.https://t.co/XYSzL4Yo1h
— Michael Mina (@michaelmina_lab) February 15, 2020
This is a great point. The impact of this will be non linear, meaning that the more cases, the harder it gets to handle (as seen already). This may indicate an important role for slowing its spread, even if it cannot be prevented entirely https://t.co/yYC3pmt8xd
— Bill Hanage (@BillHanage) February 15, 2020
This is very much worth listening to.
Especially: starting at time 7:00, a 5-minute overview of the Chinese health system that will ring true to those who have dealt with it, and will be a complete surprise to most listeners in the US/Europe. https://t.co/MbIjss4js4 https://t.co/QXcNGTF0Vq
— James Fallows (@JamesFallows) February 15, 2020
As #coronavirus spreads, so is misinformation about the disease.
Don't risk your family's health with online rumours. Turn to reliable sources like @WHO to truly #KnowTheFacts.https://t.co/a7yMRJ1wlv
— UNICEF (@UNICEF) February 16, 2020
I met with Yi Wang, Foreign Minister of #China, at #MSC2020. He updated me on the #COVID19 response & expressed ??’s commitment to do its best to protect its people and the world. We agreed that global solidarity is key to ending the outbreak. pic.twitter.com/7F2EyeZiI7
— Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus (@DrTedros) February 15, 2020
To stop the spread of the coronavirus much of China has effectively shut down. What’s not been fully appreciated is how extensive the closures are. By our calculations 760 million are living under some kind of residential lockdown. https://t.co/ZuO31QVi6g
— Paul Mozur ??? (@paulmozur) February 15, 2020
Chinese President Xi Jinping has called for tighter policing to protect social stability, while Beijing ordered people returning to the capital to self-quarantine for 14 days in the latest measure aimed at containing the virus https://t.co/6NYpEVWur2 pic.twitter.com/fmG1MuT5lN
— AFP news agency (@AFP) February 15, 2020
Foreign Policy is a reputable publication, but keep in mind Laurie Garrett is a bit of a professional alarmist:
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) February 15, 2020
this is the straight up Lysenko-esque 'ideology over science' story of this outbreak. TCM is bullshit. https://t.co/ivkEYl8cSu https://t.co/cWmtJSzX1h
— James Palmer (@BeijingPalmer) February 15, 2020
I almost always regret opening this website. pic.twitter.com/bU56OuuQ0g
— Noah Smith ? (@Noahpinion) February 14, 2020
(That’s from an Associate Professor of Economics at George Mason University, ergo more ‘respectable’ than some rando with a website… )
Meanwhile, the Clinton family refuses to stop interfering with America’s right to be self-destructive — how dare they!
Vaccinate your kids. Wash your hands (even at home). Don’t listen to Jim Bakker for health advice. https://t.co/rJYqDXOlo8
— Chelsea Clinton (@ChelseaClinton) February 14, 2020
Thank you for these daily (nightly) posts, Anne Laurie. They help me keep up with the situation.
I listened to the podcast mentioned in James Fallows’ tweet, for the 5 minutes starting at about 7:00. The outline of China’s current health-care system is quite disturbing.
Thank you for the post.
I don’t understand why Jim Bakker is still running around loose. If God existed, he should have died a painful death from one disease or another years ago. His wife, though “eccentric” in the extreme, seemed to be a better person in many ways, and she was the one who died…not fair.
‘morning. Thanks for the update.
Always remember that GMU got a bunch of money from the Kochs for endowed chairs and the like and should be suspected of having a fringe “libertarian” slant unless demonstrated otherwise as a result.
@Another Scott: Robin Hanson is a fount of shocking “libertarian” hot takes.
I saw people defending his suggestion as something to do if it got so bad that there was danger of mass panic. I know that when I think of ways to prevent mass panic in the event of a terrifying plague, having government agents go around deliberately infecting people with the disease is the first thing that comes to mind. (Damn, people won’t even get *vaccines*.)
@Another Scott: Hanson should take a vote among his GMU economics colleagues to become infected first, setting an example for the rest of us.
Fuck Jim Bakker and the lot of them. As Albert Camus wrote in The Plague,
These fakirs are the jewels of Capitalism. Not. ?
I like Hanson’s proposal but only if I get to pick the infectees.
A few notes on Chinese medical system:
I had to roll my eyes on Palmer’s comments that “even if 90% of people in China hated the CCP, how would each talk with the rest of the 90%?” As if people in China don’t talk to each other at home, at workplace, at parties, and on WeChat. The reason the CCP regime has survived the disasters that should have shaken and did shake the foundation of its rule, is that it does work to let off enough steam and to address the causes of popular discontent so that it does not get to the point of 60% dissatisfaction. It is an open secret that the CCP government at all levels frequently conduct polls to gauge popular sentiments on issues large and small. The social controls and repression is a significant part of it, but IMO not the most important part.
@YY_Sima Qian: Very interesting perspective. Thank you!
@YY_Sima Qian: Thanks for the perspective YY. Is Wuhan still under quarantine? and how is everyone holding up?