Confirmed coronavirus cases, by country ??
???? China: 78,927
???? South Korea: 2,337
???? Italy: 888
Diamond Princess passengers: 705
???? Iran: 388
???? Japan: 228
???? Hong Kong: 94
???? Singapore: 93
???? US: 60https://t.co/Vtx0mXvClh— CNET (@CNET) February 29, 2020
1. China’s Feb. 28 #Covid19 numbers are up.
427 new confirmed cases, 47 deaths.
Totals are now 79,251 case and 2,835 deaths. pic.twitter.com/GmWbQsjBoQ— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) February 29, 2020
Amazing infographic and explainer by the @Reuters graphics team, showing how one person in Korea who didn’t listen to her doctors (but went to brunch! and a megachurch!) exposed more than 1,000 people to #COVID19 https://t.co/zhAIhkasrD
— Maryn McKenna (@marynmck) February 28, 2020
South Korea ran over 10,000 tests between 9am and 4pm today and found 315 new cases. Stunning capacity. https://t.co/Dzc1WMtmGd
— Caitlin Rivers (@cmyeaton) February 28, 2020
BREAKING: Iran reports 205 new cases of coronavirus and 9 new deaths, raising total to 593 cases and 43 dead https://t.co/eUoE2b20hL
— BNO Newsroom (@BNODesk) February 29, 2020
Tonight administration announced they are allowing high complexity U.S. labs to advance their own tests for #Coronavirus. Coupled with public health labs, which will be at full tilt by Friday using revised CDC test, capacity could reach 10,000+++ tests a day in next two weeks.
— Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) February 29, 2020
Today’s been a long day. I hope this is my last update for the day: Community spread cases in the Bay Area of California, Oregon & Washington State. If there are 4, there are more. https://t.co/5WaLZ0IMUa
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) February 29, 2020
Another good piece from @juliaoftoronto. “A disease can spread widely, & become a pandemic, without being particularly severe. No one knows yet what a #COVID19 pandemic would look like — mostly b/c we don’t yet know precisely how lethal this disease is.” https://t.co/xtygZWATaK
— Kelly Hills (@rocza) February 28, 2020
It is not just CFR and length. It is also astonishingly high hospitalization rate … 16% of patients need hospital bed, 4% need ICU. Currently, in Italy, 9% of all infected are in ICU. Any health system breaks if this spreads unchecked. And God know what becomes of CFR then.
— xmp125a (@xmp125a) February 28, 2020
It feels gross to joke about the situation here, but what’s our alternative?
This is the most ambitious crossover yet pic.twitter.com/jiusp3Dgna
— veto players stan account (@Convolutedname) February 28, 2020
Amazing pic.twitter.com/ekPvYhQMFm
— Owl Parliamenterian (@davidabenner) February 27, 2020
If dramatic action is needed here to slow the spread of coronavirus, compliance will require trust from the citizens that the government’s actions are needed and appropriate. And trust of the federal government is at or near its all-time low. https://t.co/sojdk1DvKt pic.twitter.com/XWYJ0ZRHlc
— Orin Kerr (@OrinKerr) February 28, 2020
It mattered when Trump lied about his inaugural crowd size.
It mattered when Trump said wind turbines cause cancer.
It mattered when he claimed a half-dozen steel mills had reopened when they hadn’t.
It mattered because of moments like the present. https://t.co/LVQaiLDPwP— Catherine Rampell (@crampell) February 28, 2020
Great idea, #COVID19US will surely go away if it gets a tax cut. https://t.co/xcHh7NMmQe
— Jeff Fecke (@jkfecke) February 28, 2020
.John Garamendi (D-Calif.) on Friday said the director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases was told to “stand down” and not appear on five Sunday morning talk shows to discuss the #coronavirus. https://t.co/wDV8LJZo5H
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) February 29, 2020
This thread has brought me great joy. https://t.co/33ZKYmi49q
— Maryn McKenna (@marynmck) February 28, 2020
(Not really; we Massholes only sing about touching because it’s something we do so rarely. Also, we have a blue-state government that’s been prepping for the pandemic for the last six weeks.)
But seriously: Stop trying to hoard N95 respirator masks…
Sec. Azar estimates that the U.S. needs about 300M face masks to slow the spread of the coronavirus, and said officials only have about a 10th of that amount. https://t.co/9vfPGmJDwc
— NBC News (@NBCNews) February 29, 2020
… “There’s no role for these masks in the community,” he said, speaking of the respirator masks (which are more sophisticated than regular surgical masks) that some people have chosen to wear in public settings. Though respirators could help in settings where close contact with infected individuals is inevitable, washing one’s hands is much more likely to fend off the disease, which has sickened 83,105 people around the world and killed 2,858…
As the virus has spread, creeping steadily toward pandemic levels, the face mask has become a symbol of prophylaxis against an invisible, fast-moving foe.
That’s precisely the problem. Ordinary citizens have been scrambling to purchase N95 respirators, which are more effective than ordinary surgical masks in preventing inhalation of harmful particles. Those respirators have spiked in price, leading Amazon to investigate improper inflationary practices by sellers.
More importantly, the run on respirators has created a shortage that has left public health officials scrambling, concerned that their first-line responders — who are far more likely to benefit from a respirator than an ordinary citizen — will lack for a basic defense against the coronavirus…
This highlights something I expect will get worse before it gets better: stigma, and how sometimes a horse is a horse.
Folks have nervous ticks; live TV can be scary, studio lights are hot. Folks cough from asthma or allergies. And yet? Everyone jumps to OMG HE HAS #COVID19! https://t.co/4v3Eub5XLv
— Kelly Hills (@rocza) February 29, 2020
2009: the last time we didn’t have to work hard to convince people to get flu vaccinated. https://t.co/cDwwlXw8KM
— Marc Scheetz (@IDPharmacometrx) February 29, 2020
I’m excited to launch today a weekly podcast on the #coronavirus epidemic and response – with Dr @celinegounder. Please subscribe for reliable, timely information. https://t.co/RCWciPxyNm
— Ronald Klain (@RonaldKlain) February 28, 2020
Thread for the persistent:
This thread looks at the findings of the @WHO #COVID19 joint mission to China:
– Median age 51y (2d-100y, IQR 39-63y), majority 30-69y
– 51.1% male
– Bats appear to be reservoir, intermediate host unknown
– Xmission droplet & fomite, airborne and faecal-oral not major drivers pic.twitter.com/00PGgw3UuL— Amy Coopes (@coopesdetat) February 29, 2020
Cermet
The washington post has an article by someone (in their late 60’s, male) who had and now are recovered from the Corona virus:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2020/02/28/i-have-coronavirus-so-far-it-isnt-that-bad/
Bottomline: They really didn’t consider it bad at all.
David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch
Cocaine Larry Kudlow
hells littlest angel
@Cermet: If I get it and I don’t don’t die, I too will consider it to be not so bad. Because whatever doesn’t kill me makes me indifferent.
David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch
@hells littlest angel: Mr. President, I’m not saying our hair wouldn’t get mussed. Ten to Twenty million dead – tops!
JR
I wonder how COVID will compare to TB, which kills millions of largely poor people a year. There are obvious distinctions in that TB is treatable (although difficult to do so) and COVID is not.
Mikeindublin
This is either Gods will or The Illuminati. Not sure which.
Amir Khalid
@Cermet:
Well, he wasn’t one of the fatalities.
Baud
@Mikeindublin:
God needs to deploy a DNA patch already. Apple would have fixed this by now.
David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch
OzarkHillbilly
@Cermet: The Guardian has such an article too. It’s titled, ‘To hell and back’: my three weeks suffering from coronavirus .
I haven’t read it yet but I’m just gonna take a guess and say they didn’t have much fun.
Baud
@Cermet: “Dead people are pussies.”
Andrew Johnston
Some movement in retail today. While on a grocery run, I noticed that the single point of entry – the bottleneck where they stop people for temperature testing – had moved from the side of the shopping center nearest the supermarket to one of the front entrances. This was because they’ve reopened the retail outlets that lie between that entrance and the supermarket. It’s a minor change – most of the center is still shut down, including all of the outlets on the outside and all of the restaurants except a few stalls. Still, it’s approximating business as usual.
Andrew Johnston
@Cermet: That’s the kind of article that my wise-ass expat friends and I would have found amusing before all the dead people.
Betty Cracker
@Andrew Johnston: That’s good news.
MomSense
I saw a CNBC article that said a dog in Hong Kong tested weakly positive. The owner had the virus, too.
HeartlandLiberal
We are preparing to hunker down during the spread of this. My wife and I are in pretty good health for our age (given the course of events past three years feels a lot older than it should), but our son, who is staying with us now, is in very poor health, with COPD recently diagnosed, and an enlarged heart. He almost died three years ago from necrotizing pneumonia, and stopped drinking. He was an stone cold alcoholic since mid teens. Now the COPD has helped him stop smoking. A little too late, but hey. We are going to pretty much suggest he not go out in public starting in another few days, and we will limit our outings as much as possible. Laying in extra brown rice, so if power does not fail, we have a freezer full of frozen veggies and meats and could probably eat for a month without leaving the house. But we all love our chocolate milk and sweet milk, and may run out of that. But I admit, daily reading reliable reports of how this thing spreads so fast while people show no symptoms, and the death rate, which appears to be 15 – 20 times higher than the flu, is a might disturbing and concerning.
WereBear
My mind insists on comparing this with the W administration dismantling the Clinton antiterrorism protections and ignoring a report with “Bin Laden” in the title.
And we all know how well that went.
Cermet
Maybe it is or maybe it isn’t deadly to most people; I simply do not believe it is a cookie-cutter blanket danger. Children under ten get it and have minor to no symptoms. Also, people who never smoked or have pre-existing conditons might also react as this person did (the WP article.) That said, who really knows but even in China (outside Wuhan) the death rate is 0.4% (bad but hardly the 2.4%.) China’s far higher higher pop density, extreme air pollution and heavy smokers don’t compare to the average amerikan. More so, one can’t compare the average Chinese in their 50’s to 80’s having experienced better nutrition nor health care compared to the average Amerikcan in that range.
MomSense
@HeartlandLiberal:
I’ll be keeping your family in my thoughts. Your son is a fighter and I’m rooting for him.
Steeplejack (phone)
@Andrew Johnston:
Where are you?
RaflW
Not for the faint of heart, but folks might want to follow or bookmark
@R_H_Ebright, a Chemistry and Biology Prof at Rutgers
Barbara
@HeartlandLiberal: Not to fan your fear, but you can buy large containers of chocolate powder or syrup and shelf-stable milk. You can also freeze milk for a while (just put it in an appropriate container and date it).
marklar
I understand that Pence is working on prayer-based therapy that will convert the round virus into a straight bacterium, allowing it to be treated with Antibiotics.
Geminid
Iran’s official Covid-19 death toll is 43. BBC Persian, citing hospital sources, says there have been 210 Covid-19 deaths. The Iranian people may be in real trouble.
Ken
The Rivers and Gottlieb quotes should be next to one another for better impact:
Rivers: South Korea ran over 10,000 tests between 9am and 4pm today
Gottlieb: (US) capacity could reach 10,000 tests a day in next two weeks
Ksmiami
Plagues, rats, history. This is the stuff that causes mighty civilizations to fall/reorganize.
Walker
Was set to go to GDC in San Fran in two weeks. It was announced last night that they are shutting down do to coronavirus.
J R in WV
@Andrew Johnston:
Could you give us a rough location idea of where this is happening? I guess some folks may know where you are in general, but I have no clue — so your potentially valuable info is relatively meaningless to me, while I attempt to prepare for whatever will happen in my adrift and leaderless home nation.
Best wishes for your continued good health, wherever you are!
ziggy
@David ??Merry Christmas?? Koch:
He’s very reassuring!…especially as he looks completely drunk every time he’s on TV trying to tell us that everything is A-OK. Trying to find a clip.
Still waiting for Trump to update his “15 victims and dropping”. Two more non-traceable cases tested positive in my state (Washington) last night. I would appreciate hearing from Anthony Fauci.
IIRC Andrew Johnston is somewhere in China, but not Wuhan.
YY_Sima Qian
With so few new cases in China ex-Hubei (7 newly confirmed cases yesterday), and total stock of suspect cases plummeting to < 1500 cases, most of China is slowly returning to normality, in phases. In fact, many cities in China are now screening for potential introduction from overseas. Every city in China have built, converted or refurbished dedicated facilities over the past several weeks for surge capacity to absorb potential new clusters or small outbreaks, without imperiling the medical systems.
Even other cities in Hubei are only reporting low single digit new confirmed cases in recent days.
Here in Wuhan, we are still adding several hundred cases a day. However, it seems the medical system now have excess capacity for mild/severe/critical cases. > 42K medical workers have been sent from rest of China to reinforce the city, staff the surge capacity, and relieve the exhausted personnel within Wuhan. I don’t expect the lock down to end until Apr…
ziggy
@YY_Sima Qian:
If the numbers are correct, China has truly done a remarkable job of stemming the rise of the virus. We really should be watching what they are doing closely.
But the Wuhan lock down sounds very brutal. I don’t think that would even be possible in the US.
YY_Sima Qian
@ziggy: I hope the Chinese authorities are keeping very close eyes on the cases in the military and the paramilitary (almost certainly not captured in the statistics), so they do not reintroduce outbreaks in the general population. Likewise with overseas visitors to China.
What has been accomplished so far has been with enormous cost at human, society, economic and political levels. If only those responsible (Wuhan and Hubei governments I am certain, not sure how far into the central governments in Beijing) had not delayed response and suppressed information to the public in Jan. In hindsight, the virus may be too contagious to contain without drastic measures, but forceful action earlier would have lower the toll in Wuhan and Hubei, and perhaps would not have required so much of the rest of China to go into different degrees of shut down, as well. Furthermore, the cheapest and most effective means to slow an epidemic is public awareness and education, not measures after the fact.
ziggy
So true! We will see how that pans out in the US.
Barbara
@YY_Sima Qian: Thank you for all the information you have provided.
HeartlandLiberal
@MomSense: Thanks. Through all the decades, we have never given up on him. Hope it is not to late for him to have at least a couple decades of quality life.
Rob
First death from the coronavirus in the US just announced
https://www.king5.com/article/news/health/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-washington-state/281-5a511b20-4a3f-4380-8d79-15d7a1456887
eta Press conference at 1 pm Seattle time (UT -8 hrs)
opiejeanne
Dear Community Partner,
This is part of an email that arrived last night from our health caregivers. It ends with a couple of sources for current information, including the CDC. (Right now, I don’t trust what’s allowed on the CDC’s website by Pence.) :
“…EvergreenHealth’s Infection Control team continues to actively monitor the COVID-19 (coronavirus)situation worldwide and at home. Our focus, always, is on illness prevention, and that remains at the core of our response to this and all health risks.
You are a valued partner in our community, and we’d like to share with you these excellent resources and pertinent information to keep at your fingertips. We invite you to share this widely with your own partner organizations, family and friends – to ensure the health and well-being of our neighbors.
Prevention
Screening
Barb 2
today Washington state has had one death from Covid-19. There are two known cases with one death.
How could the CDC f*co up testing kits and then blocking even testing of suspected cases.
There are lots of articles on this and thankfully we have a very competent Governor and a heath department. The person who died was another community exposed with no known links to anyone who has traveled to Asia etc.
Meanwhile the idiot in chief is still quoting the number 15 for individuals with Covid19. The
The idiots at the CDC have finally allowing more testing plus releasing more test kits. This stupidity, probably happened because of a political appointee as well as the firing of staff who were trained in response to disease outbreaks.
opiejeanne
@Barb 2: There are 50 people who are being watched for the virus now in Kirkland. These are employees and clients of a care facility, and I think there are two confirmed cases there.
I haven’t heard what happened with the first case, up in Everett. When I heard of the death I wondered if it was that patient.