220,000 people dead, 8.2 million cases — worst outcomes on the planet https://t.co/1UQhjOEwDw
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) October 20, 2020
Nearly 300,000 more people have died in the United States in 2020 during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends, with two-thirds of the deaths due to COVID-19 illnesses https://t.co/Bj71nl6dyU pic.twitter.com/nVutZCZmKN
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 21, 2020
Our #COVID19 ‘third wave’ is actually just a nonstop roller coaster of failure and complacency. https://t.co/KwR9GSud5x
— Craig Spencer MD MPH (@Craig_A_Spencer) October 21, 2020
thread –
Rep. Clyburn, chair of the House S/C on coronavirus crisis, just released 6 weeks of WH Coronavirus Task Force reports obtained by the committee showing the WH was aware of an alarming rise in COVID cases as Trump publicly downplayed it and held crowded events.
— Jennifer Bendery (@jbendery) October 20, 2020
The director of NIH says it's very unlikely a vaccine will be approved before late November — and is urging people to trust health experts like Dr. Fauci who "don't really have an ax to grind."https://t.co/KpjVGtMieR
— NPR (@NPR) October 21, 2020
This gets to a core problem in this administration’s approach to crisis mgmt: the inability to acknowledge, learn from, and therefore fix, mistakes. Mistakes are inevitable in crises. But repeating them is not. https://t.co/MH7jYg7QUm
— Jeremy PLEASE WEAR MASKS! Konyndyk (@JeremyKonyndyk) October 20, 2020
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The rise of confirmed cases in Europe is very rapid.
– This is showing the 7-day rolling average. Over the last week 138,500 cases were confirmed every day.
[interactive source https://t.co/iv71Ipz3lb] pic.twitter.com/YIUHcZi3rl
– The doubling time of confirmed cases for Europe as a whole is two weeks.— Max Roser (@MaxCRoser) October 20, 2020
New Covid-19 restrictions in Europe. Selected countries @AFPgraphics pic.twitter.com/SPrl4T2ciB
— AFP news agency (@AFP) October 21, 2020
Some countries that avoided initial coronavirus surge see first spike in cases https://t.co/hoBdQE3AQi
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) October 20, 2020
Germany's confirmed coronavirus cases rise by 5,186 to 380,762: RKI https://t.co/GHJMsIHjrS pic.twitter.com/epkDc96V18
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 21, 2020
German Alpine region goes into lockdown – the first part of the country since initial Covid peak in spring https://t.co/Xjm9eoi1tC
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) October 20, 2020
Here is what the latest figures tell us about the pandemic in the UK:
✅The virus is spreading, but its pace is decreasing
✅North-west England and Northern Ireland have been hit the hardest
✅Younger people are spreading the virus to those over 60https://t.co/LKedKPO1To pic.twitter.com/5aVR3VbLoD— Financial Times (@FinancialTimes) October 21, 2020
⚡️ Russia confirmed 15,700 new Covid-19 cases Wednesday, bringing its official number of cases to 1,447,335, and broke its record for coronavirus deaths with 317 fatalities in the past 24 hours https://t.co/H0ppXb9Gjz
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) October 21, 2020
India's coronavirus tally climbs to 7.65 million https://t.co/QQnk50VbjD pic.twitter.com/U1JM9Dvj2q
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 21, 2020
India Covid-19: From losing loved ones to volunteering for a vaccine https://t.co/srfbEvhGJH
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) October 21, 2020
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Two new peer-reviewed studies show a sharp drop in mortality among hospitalized Covid patients. The drop is seen in all groups, including older patients and those with underlying conditions, suggesting providers are getting better at treating the illness. https://t.co/tAMGC5OsPM
— Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) October 20, 2020
.@Flipboard asked me to curate some articles on #Covid19. The collection includes some of mine, some by my @statnews colleagues & Covid superstar reporters @kakape, @sciencecohen, @edyong209 & @apoorva_nyc. No paywalls. https://t.co/BghZi1WcLz
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) October 20, 2020
Sorry that this @cragcrest article debunking the 6% conspiracy came out after I put together this collection for @Flipboard ; I would have included it. Christie does such great work. https://t.co/W4uCPdbKcB https://t.co/ewEIED8zXa
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) October 20, 2020
In a pandemic, the need for speed challenges old standards of the scientific process https://t.co/mqFpZrXdUz
— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) October 19, 2020
Let's say you're at high-risk for severe covid.
And in the weeks ahead monoclonal antibodies will get an EUA for early administration to prevent progression of illness.
You get a positive PCR test.
How and where do get an IV infusion?
There is no plan.https://t.co/iMnmx0JgiM pic.twitter.com/oGFWPEicKt— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) October 21, 2020
U.S. CDC issues 'strong recommendation' for mask mandate on airplanes, trains https://t.co/ef8nHdBryN pic.twitter.com/eB88EgcwvS
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 20, 2020
Latest #Covid19 vaccine update from @WHO has 44 vaccines in clinical trials, 10 in Phase 3 studies.
Repeating myself here, but this is truly extraordinary. A revolution in outbreak vaccine design & production. https://t.co/Tcff0xs20T— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) October 21, 2020
U.K. researchers are preparing to infect healthy young volunteers with the virus that causes COVID-19. They plan to use the contentious technique to study the disease and potentially speed up development of a vaccine that could help end the pandemic. https://t.co/8OIjEGX2Mx
— AP Europe (@AP_Europe) October 20, 2020
Covid: China's Sinovac vaccine to be included in Brazil immunisation plan https://t.co/Drwu4IhGUG
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) October 21, 2020
“Effective vaccination will be key to managing #COVID19 in the long-term, but we’ll need more than one safe and effective vaccine to achieve this goal” – Nick Jackson on @CEPIvaccines’ COVID-19 vaccine portfolio: https://t.co/3IxwvFfg7L
— Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance (@gavi) October 20, 2020
The US sent Russia $5.6 million in COVID-19 supplies. It got $1 million worth of coronavirus aid from Russia, including 45 faulty ventilators that it has now tossed in the trash. https://t.co/Rtf5xvMJhn
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) October 19, 2020
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The pandemic has caused ~300,000 more US deaths than expected in a typical year. CDC reports Covid19 has disproportionately affected Latinos & African Americans. But it has also struck 25-to-44-year-olds very hard: Their “excess death” rate is up 26.5% https://t.co/6owxvZW6nr
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) October 21, 2020
New study in JAMA reports a 20% increase in excess deaths March-July 2020; #COVID19 was a documented cause in at least two-thirds https://t.co/gQSy3uvYn7
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) October 20, 2020
Disney says California rules will keep Disneyland shut for 'foreseeable future' https://t.co/jiprH7uW7M pic.twitter.com/9jG7v5xKQ5
— Reuters (@Reuters) October 21, 2020
YY_Sima Qian
Yesterday, China reported 0 new domestic confirmed cases and 0 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
Yesterday, China reported 11 new imported confirmed cases and 15 imported asymptomatic cases:
Today, Hong Kong reported 8 new cases, 1 from local transmission, source of transmission unidentified.
gkoutnik
So Trump’s CDC is telling us that the real number is not 221,000 but 300,000. With that official Administration confirmation, it should be the number we use consistently when referring to US coronavirus deaths.
One death is too many; one is too big a number. But Trump must be made responsible for every single one.
David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch
It’s not even winter and things are already fucked.
rikyrah
@gkoutnik:
Every single one ?
David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch
CNN explains why they’re covering Covid with a powerful, intese (video)
rikyrah
debbie
@gkoutnik:
As must his followers and supporters.
Chyron HR
@David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch:
Just keep telling yourself, “We saved America from the emails,” Brianna.
gkoutnik
@debbie:
Agreed. They’re accessories both after and, by now, before the fact. They remained silent, and/or supported his criminal (in)activity, and now they know what the consequences are and they still support and enable.
mrmoshpotato
@David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch: Cool. Now I’d like CNN to explain why it spent days-worth of time humping Dump’s empty podium in 2016. Even when Bernie or Hillary were making speeches.
mrmoshpotato
@Chyron HR:
And from a highly qualified woman who actually wanted the job of being President.
Mary G
I get an older monoclonal antibody infusion for RA. There are two treatments two weeks apart. The first one takes six hours and the second three or four. They have to keep it at -80 degrees and it’s so unstable there’s a pharmacist on site who won’t even touch the freezer handle until the oncology nurse has hooked me up to the complicated IV machines. Some hospitals do them in individual patient rooms, some in bigger rooms holding seven or eight recliners. They are almost always all full with chemo patients and people getting blood infused, etc. Twitler got it with no problems, but scaling it up to do thousands of people who aren’t president at a time will take a massive effort. Biden is up to it because of his experience with Beau and his cancer moonshot, but the current crew will be hard put to even take care of their biggest donors.
Platonicspoof
From the second set (2nd box) of Helen Branswell links there’s one to a Scientific American article
that clearly explains how they list Covid-19 as a patient’s cause of death, comorbidity, etc., as opposed to a certain cockwomble’s retweet of a QAnon conspiracy theory.
This group isn’t likely to forget the vaccines we do have, and doctors and pharmacies usually automatically provide individual schedules, but more at this HHS page on who and when, cost, etc. E.g., even if you have no insurance other than Medicare A and B, vaccinations for flu, Hep B (certain situations) and pneumococcal disease are free.
As always, thanks Anne Laurie.
Sloane Ranger
Yesterday’s news from the UK.
We had 21,331 new cases nationwide. This is about 2500 more than the day before. We are being told that the rate of increase is slowing, but, to be honest, I’m not seeing it.
Cases per home nation are:
England – 17,814 (up @1500)
Northern Ireland – 913 (up @100)
Scotland – 1456 (up @500)
Wales – 1148 (up @500).
Deaths – There were 241 new deaths. A big jump from the last 2 days and up by about 100 from the 17th. 213 deaths were in England, 3 in Northern Ireland, 15 in Scotland and 10 in Wales.
Testing – 260,338 PCR tests were processed out of a capacity of 362,121, a bit lower than normal.
Hospitalisations – 6421 people were in hospital on 18th October of which 629 were on ventilators. All still trending upwards.
General – Boris has forced Manchester into lockdown but only given them £22 million in support rather than the £65 million Andy Burnham wanted. This is being seen as a punishment. According to at least one newspaper, “an account that seems to be linked” to the Conservative Students Group at Manchester University has accused Boris and Co. of betraying the north and called on him to go, saying he’s not a Conservative, just pro-Brexit (actually today, that IS the definition of Conservatism) and Tory MP William Wragg (Hazel Grove) has definitely slammed the move in the Commons. More areas are expected to enter Tier 3 shortly, which will mean that @50% of England will be in the highest tier.
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s daily Covid-19 numbers, much delayed by a series of typing mishaps. Director General of Health Dr Noor Hisham Abdullah reports 732 new cases today, including eight imported cases, for a cumulative reported total of 22,957 cases, and six new deaths for a total of 199 deaths — 0.87% of the cumulative reported total, 1.32% of resolved cases. He also reports eight new clusters: three in Sabah, three in Selangor, one in KL, and one in Labuan.
I’m having a very frustrating time with the typing — my mouse died, and I cannot comfortably work a laptop without one — so for my sanity I think I’d better skip the state-by-state breakdown today.
580 more patients recovered and were discharged, for a total of 14,931 patients recovered — 65.04% of the cumulative reported total. 7,827 active and contagious cases are currently in hospital; 102 are in ICU, of whom 31 are on respirators.
The six deaths were all reported in Sabah, and all but one were Malaysians.
Bill Arnold
Bunch of newer Vitamin D / COVID-19 studies, since I didn’t see last night’s discussion. These are all hospital studies, that is, they do not see mild or aympomatic cases, which may be important if there is a general shift to lower population case severity as population Vitamin D deficiency/insufficiency levels decline, and vice versa. (I did not spot any new RCT results in google scholar.) We are entering Northern latitudes lower-vitamin-D-levels season in countries that don’t ubiquitously supplement their population in the winter. (Some northern countries do, as a part of their health care system. Don’t know about the Southern hemisphere. Please consider not being Vitamin-D deficient this particular (northern hemisphere) winter. Or Zn or VitC deficient, at least RDAs of those.)
Impact of Serum 25(OH) Vitamin D Level on Mortality in Patients with COVID-19 in Turkey (05 October 2020, S. Karahan & F. Katkat)
N==142
Does Serum Vitamin D Level Affect COVID-19 Infection and Its Severity?-A Case-Control Study (13 Oct 2020)
A small study not finding a (strong) link between VitD deficiency and COVID-19 severity:
Impact of Vitamin D Deficiency on COVID-19—A Prospective Analysis from the CovILD Registry
Another small study:
Vitamin D Deficiency and Outcome ofCOVID-19 Patients (10 September 2020, authors at University of Heidelberg)
N==105 older adult UK study. (Vitamin D levels may be predictive of worse morbidity outcomes.)
Vitamin D status and outcomes for hospitalised older patients with COVID-19 (1 August 2020)