U.S. COVID update:
– New cases: 156,133
– Average: 122,556 (+4,891)
– States reporting: 32/50
– In hospital: 28,057 (-159)
– In ICU: 3,020 (-46)
– New deaths: 428
– Average: 330 (+33)
More data: https://t.co/ohnVKtNdM3 pic.twitter.com/SwcNUu7LrA
— BNN Newsroom (@medrivaUS) June 8, 2022
Since early 2021 forms of #SARSCoV2 that emerge in #SouthAfrica have appeared about 6 weeks later in the USA & eventually dominated our #COVID19 landscape. So pay heed: SoAfrica is in the throes of a BA.4 and BA.5 #Omicron double variant epidemic.https://t.co/FAOu5NbHC1 pic.twitter.com/8pf26B4tCN
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) June 7, 2022
As recently as the early 1980s, well-meaning people could believe they ‘didn’t personally know any homosexuals’. AIDS, and the AIDS movement, changed that — and, IMO, helped open the legislative doors to a whole raft of anti-discrimination laws, not least among them same-sex marriage rights.
It may be that the pandemic is about to do the same for our concept of ‘disability’:
… The dramatic influx of newly disabled Americans changes the calculus for disability advocates, who have in recent years been uniting around a shared identity, pushing back against historic marginalization by affirming their self-worth and embracing their disabilities.
“We’re taking a big-tent approach in the disability community,” said Rebecca Vallas, a senior fellow at the Century Foundation.
The shift also underscores the challenges of creating common cause among people who have sometimes battled over limited resources. Those tensions resurfaced as some who share similar symptoms with covid long-haulers, including persistent fatigue, saw research dollars pour into long covid.
“There were resentments,” said Diana Zicklin Berrent, who founded the long-hauler advocacy group Survivor Corps. “It was, ‘We’ve been out here screaming from the rooftops for decades, and you guys show up,’” said Berrent, who emphasizes the importance of working together.
By joining forces, long haulers are forcing an existing conversation into the open…
As many as 61 million, or 1 in 4, U.S. adults live with some form of disability, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Those numbers are being bolstered by between 7 million and 23 million long-haulers — including 1 million who can no longer work — according to recent government estimates. Think tanks and others expect the numbers to rise as covid settles in as an endemic disease…
Plus, there is strength in numbers.
Matthew Cortland, a senior resident fellow at Data for Progress, a think tank dedicated to advancing liberal causes, is working on furthering the conception of disabled Americans as a recognized constituency — one that “should be treated by politicians and policymakers with the respect of any other voting bloc,” Cortland said…
Covid in Florida pic.twitter.com/bVTQ2CQmW6
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) June 7, 2022
Monroe County, NY:
128 new cases reported.
Malaysia’s Ministry of Health reported 1,128 new Covid-19 cases yesterday, for a cumulative reported total of 4,517,447 cases. It also reported nine deaths for an adjusted cumulative total of 35,699 deaths – 0.79% of the cumulative reported total, 0.79% of resolved cases.
There were 21,202 active cases yesterday, 428 fewer than the day before. 918 were in hospital. 25 confirmed cases were in ICU; of these patients, 12 confirmed cases cases were on ventilators. Meanwhile, 1,547 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 4,460,546 patients recovered – 98.7% of the cumulative reported total.
1,127 new cases reported yesterday were local infections. One new case was imported.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 5,781 doses of vaccine on 7h June: 409 first doses, 3,604 second doses, and 1,768 booster doses. The cumulative total is 71,000,224 doses administered: 28,002,252 first doses, 27,103,420 second doses, and 16,109,012 booster doses. 85.8% of the population have received their first dose, 83.0% their second dose, and 49.3% their booster dose.
New Deal democrat
First off, on Ba.4/5: that tweet by Laurie Garrett is already outdated. South Africa *had* a Ba.4/5 wave that lasted 3 weeks from onset on April 19 to peak on May 11, and has already receded almost 90% back to previous levels.
Meanwhile the CDC, which through last week was not separating out Ba.4/5 cases, is now doing so. In the last week, Ba.4/5 doubled to 13% of all cases nationwide, even as Ba.2.12.1 slowly increased from 59% to 62%. Ba.2.12.1 now makes up a little over 80% of cases in NY, NJ, and PR, while BA.4/5 combined make up 18% of all cases in the northern Rockies and 22% of the southern Plains, including Texas.
It is unclear it this point how much, if at all, nationwide cases will increase. It depends on how much Ba.2.12.1 fades compared with how quickly Ba.4/5 take over.
Nationwide cases are at 116,100, above the previous BA.2.12.1 peak. Hospitalizations increased to 29,400, a 5% increase from one week ago. Deaths rose to 339. Again, *the* most noteworthy thing happening in the pandemic is the continued very low number of deaths more than two months after the low in cases.
91-Divoc hasn’t updated in two days, so State by State or regional breakdowns are much more time-consuming. In general in the North and where Ba.2.12.1 is the highest percentage of cases, there are continued declines. In the South from Florida to California and the interior West, where the Ba.2.12.1 wave had not peaked and Ba.4/5 is relatively the most cases, cases continue to increase substantially. CA alone is responsible for over 7,000 in the jump in cases, but TX also shows a big increase, and FL a smaller one in the NYT data.
In South Africa, the Ba.4/5 peak was 1/3rd that of Omicron, and deaths 1/5th. This argues for a relatively quick US summer wave in the South, where people spend the most time indoors at this time of year.
On 6/7 Mainland China reported 44 new domestic confirmed (1 previously asymptomatic), 80 new domestic asymptomatic cases, 0 new domestic suspect cases, & 0 new deaths.
At Guangdong Province there currently are 3 active domestic confirmed & 4 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
At Guangxi “Autonomous” Region 1 domestic asymptomatic recovered. There currently are 26 active domestic asymptomatic (25 at Fangchenggang & 1 at Chongzuo) cases remaining.
At Tianjin Municipality 4 domestic confirmed & 3 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 9 active domestic confirmed & 14 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
At Shandong Province 1 domestic asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 1 active domestic confirmed cases & 19 active asymptomatic cases in the province.
Inner Mongolia “Autonomous” Region reported 35 new domestic confirmed & 46 domestic asymptomatic cases. There currently are 96 active domestic confirmed & 144 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the region.
At Hebei Province there currently are 1 active domestic confirmed & 64 active asymptomatic case in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks. 1 industrial park at Langfang is currently at Medium Risk.
Liaoning Province reported 5 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all at Dandong, 15 persons under centralized quarantine, 3 via screening of residents under movement control, & 1 via screening of persons deemed at risk of exposure. 7 asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 13 active domestic confirmed & 131 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
Jilin Province reported 3 new domestic asymptomatic cases. 1 domestic confirmed & 5 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. As the province does not consistently break down recoveries by confirmed & asymptomatic cases or by jurisdictions, I can no longer track the count of active case counts in the different jurisdictions.
Beijing Municipality reported 4 new domestic confirmed & 4 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all traced close contacts under centralized quarantine. 28 domestic confirmed & 1 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The municipality is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there. 1 sites are currently at High Risk. 4 sites are currently at Medium Risk.
Shanghai Municipality reported 4 new domestic confirmed & 11 new domestic asymptomatic cases, 11 were already under quarantine & 4 from community screening (at Baoshan, Jing’an & Pudong Districts). There were 0 new deaths. 68 domestic confirmed & 511 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 403 active domestic confirmed (19 serious & 15 critical) in the city. The city is no longer publishing the number of active asymptomatic cases. 20 sites are currently at Medium Risk.
At Hubei Province there currently is 1 active domestic confirmed (mild, at Wuhan) case remaining.
Jiangsu Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case at Nantong, a person coming from Shanghai & under centralized quarantine since arrival. There currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 5 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in each administrative division, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
Zhejiang Province reported 2 new domestic asymptomatic cases, both at Hangzhou, both person coming from elsewhere & under centralized quarantine since arrival. 2 domestic confirmed cases recovered. The province is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there.
Zhangzhou in Fujian Province reported 2 new domestic asymptomatic cases, both traced close contacts under centralized quarantine. The new cluster are dock workers that worked w/ the imported asymptomatic cases reported on 6/7. There currently are 3 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city.
At Jiangxi Province 1 domestic asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 13 active domestic asymptomatic cases (12 at Yichun & 1 at Shangrao) remaining.
At Henan Province 10 domestic confirmed & 22 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 13 active domestic confirmed & 74 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
Sichuan Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed (at Guangyuan) 3 new domestic asymptomatic (2 at Chengdu & 1 at Bazhong) cases, all new positive cases coming from elsewhere & under centralized quarantine since arrival. 16 domestic confirmed & 78 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there.
At Ürumqi in Xinjiang “Autonomous” Region the last domestic asymptomatic case recovered.
Yunnan Province reported 3 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all at Hekou County in Honghe Prefecture. There currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 8 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
On 6/7, Mainland China reported 23 new imported confirmed cases (0 previously asymptomatic), 69 imported asymptomatic cases, 0 imported suspect cases:
Overall in Mainland China, 162 confirmed cases recovered (33 imported), 760 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (110 imported) & 1 was reclassified as confirmed case (domestic), & 7,955 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 981 active confirmed cases in the country (195 imported), 39 in serious/critical condition (all domestic), 4,025 active asymptomatic cases (475 imported), 0 suspect cases. 114,793 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 6/7, 3,385.853M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 773K doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 6/8 Hong Kong reported 558 new positive cases, 63 imported & 495 domestic (194 via RT-PCR & 301 from rapid antigen tests), 0 deaths.
On 6/8, Taiwan reported 80,223 new positive cases, 54 imported & 80,195 domestic (including 198 moderate & 146 serious). There were 159 new deaths (ages ranging from 20+ y.o. to 90+ y.o., actual dates of death between 5/15 – 6/5, 157 having a range of underlying conditions, 88 partially/fully vaccinated).
I wonder what the break-out is among Long Covid disabled: how many became disabled before vaccines and how many refused vaccination and then became disabled. Because there will be irony in the anti-government refusers suddenly looking for government’s support as they struggle to adopt to their new circumstances.
That’s IF they decide to identify with the larger disabled community. They might not shed their ableism. They might continue to see themselves as a special case (something like how anti-choice activists think that their abortions are the only ones justified).
Then there’s the thought that vaccine-refusers put the segments of the disabled community who are very at risk for Covid complications/death at unnecessary risk.
I’m a big admirer of Matthew Cortland but I don’t think this would be an easy partnership.
Too early to establish absolute cause and effect with any semblance of certainty but a breakout of clinically confirmed instances of long COVID cross-referenced with each variant would prove enlightening. Is the presence of long COVID greater, lesser, equivalent or unclear related to the symptomology?
Speaking from first hand experience, they do. And they vote for GOP politicians who regularly demonize people who are on disability and run on ending SS disability benefits.
“Well, they don’t mean meeeeeee. They’re talking about all those freeloaders.”
Freeloaders = black people or “my good for nothing cousin” or both.
Welp, weekly Rona numbers in NL rose again after weeks of settling towards a floir of ~7000.
Previous week: 7088
Last week: 9459
It was nice while it lasted.
How long before it’s applied to “that Afghan family the gummint moved in up the street?”
@NotMax: I imagine that’s a question doctors are already looking at. As I said the other day, there are Long Covid clinics starting up all over. They will be collecting data as much as they will be trying to treat patients.
Los Angeles County may be asked to mask up again.
I’ve had a theory for a while that while racism is certainly a contributor, much of the belief that poverty is poor people’s fault comes from well-off folks having contact with the poorest members of their families and social circles, people who started out with all the same advantages as they did and somehow didn’t make it.
Exceedingly difficult to pull oneself up by the bootstraps absent boots.
Some vaccinated people also become disabled. But, like I said the other day, the worst long Covid cases I personally know are people who were unlucky enough to get Covid before they had access to vaccines. So I suspect there’s some protective effect.
In my experience, this is quite true for many working-class / lower-income individuals. It’s almost superstitious: Me & Junkie Joe both had the same challenges, but he ‘failed’ and I — so far! — didn’t. I don’t want my taxes to help him, because I can’t afford to be associated with his bad karma.
There’s plenty of arguments in favor of helping those who’ve fallen from the security network, none of which start with lecturing people lower down the socioeconomic scale about ‘fairness’, unfortunately.
My 15-year old is immuno-compromised. He is immuno-compromised because he is on immuno-suppressants for Crohn’s Disease. We had him off those medications for a couple years because it required 3-4 hours every other month at outpatient – not advisable during a pandemic – and…they are immuno-suppressants. He did well. And then I encountered our non-mask wearing neighbor who knew she was sick for less than 10 seconds. (I was going from car to house and had no idea she was there and sick – she’s a cop so really should be wearing a mask always. But I should have had a mask on always so, my bad as well.) We got COVID, it triggered a Crohn’s flare-up, and now he has to be back on immuno-suppressants. During a pandemic.
This is my long way of saying, wear a mask. It’s a mild annoyance, it’s easy to do and it will help people like my kid.
Sadly, in blue NJ where I live almost nobody wears a mask because I guess this shit is over and, well, fuck my kid.
@OGLiberal: I am so sorry. Stupid stupid stupid selfish people. I am so sorry you guys are having to go through this.
The phrase incandescent rage comes to mind. Wish I could help.
@Matt McIrvin: Yup, my break-out did not include those folks. Or people like my friends’ 30-something daughter who is the one in a gazillion who had a reaction to the vaccine (don’t know which brand) and now has some sort of a cardiac complication and a cardiologist. I’m hoping whatever it is corrects itself, a hope based on ignorance.
@WaterGirl: Thank you! He’s good so far but with COVID – with or without a pre-exist – there is so much we don’t know so better to err on the side of safety. Also, the meds he needs to be in Crohn’s remission – and when you flare up you really can’t let it go and taking ‘roids off and on is very bad – come with the long “and, sometimes, death” disclaimer so it was nice to have him off for a couple years until Jane selfish cop infected us. (Why aren’t cops wearing masks always?)
@OGLiberal: Even in the worst pre-vaccine pandemic times around here I essentially never saw a police officer wearing a mask. I remember one time I was waiting in line for a drive-through testing site the city had set up and saw an unmasked police officer having a long chat with a tester who was wearing all this hospital-grade protective equipment. It was like they needed to demonstrate that they didn’t have to because they were boss, as if they could boss the virus around.
@Matt McIrvin: I have a half sister who is a classic welfare cheat, and of course a RW Christian pentacostal and grifter because it’s OK if she does it. She had every advantage her other 3 siblings had, but given a set of life choices she would always choose the obviously worse choice, guaranteed. Pregnant by her first semester in high school, 4 more since, one who became a hooker with her dad as her pimp. I make it a point to have nothing to do with her because she is such an aggressive guilt tripper and grifter, but I vote to help people like her because I think it is the right things to do. She, of course, always votes R because of abortion.
@Matt McIrvin: Don’t some of them wear masks to cover their badge numbers or body cams?
Seriously, a lot of cops were wearing masks in cities with big BLM demonstrations. They maybe got the word that infection rate among cops was one of the highest.
COVID-19 deaths seem to ranging from 200 to 400 day as infections rise and fall. So this indicates that 1400 to 2800 are dying a week. Multiply that out by 52 weeks, and another 100,000 Covid-19 deaths, which be the annual death toll for an indefinite number of years. Many of them unnecessary if people got vaccinated and wore masks when indoors & in crowds.
re: That Delthia Ricks tweet about cardio vascular problems showing up later, I don’t think any country on earth is really ready for the level of disability (and mortality) that’s coming. Diabetes from Covid being my other big worry.
Add in a parsimonious GOP that cuts every social safety net thing it can, it’s gonna get Dickensian around here. I do think about things like the thread the other night discussing Xi and China, and also Putin and Russia: Can a GOP that seizes power in the US do enough social hot-button distraction to avoid having to actually govern and provide, given the displacements and suffering I think is coming?
Rule by force can only impose order for a time. It doesn’t create stability.