Last night's update: Nearly 200,000 new cases https://t.co/Bf6oeUf8F6
— BNO News (@BNOFeed) November 28, 2023
Nationwide, COVID hospital admissions increased by 10%, with nearly 14,000 people currently in hospital, the highest in nearly 2 months.
Deaths remain elevated from the wave in September with more than 1,000 deaths for 11 weeks in a row, or nearly 16,000 during the same period.
— BNO News (@BNOFeed) November 28, 2023
US: Covid hospitalizaton data right down to county level too.
Some counties seeing increases of 100% – 200% in the past week. https://t.co/gPJuFDAUsj https://t.co/h5krJtqW1X pic.twitter.com/P9Uv4LdUYJ
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 29, 2023
CDC ww trends show us back to fall peak highs already. pic.twitter.com/RFa9kZ2Laq
— JWeiland (@JPWeiland) November 29, 2023
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WHO: Last year's highest peak for global Covid cases was on 19th December 2022https://t.co/b8GH8NAiQO pic.twitter.com/BeiBD9AZli
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 29, 2023
.@WHO's @mvankerkhove understands why the combination of undiagnosed + clusters + kids with pneumonia + in China equalled "Oh God, not again." But what's happening in China isn't the next #Covid, she told STAT in an interview today. https://t.co/rupXRUBLiI
— Helen Branswell 🇨🇦 (@HelenBranswell) November 24, 2023
(link)
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New Zealand: Highest number of Covid cases since January 2023
Covid-19 still NZ's 'biggest infectious disease problem'.https://t.co/9mCNOvhHLr report:https://t.co/w2PJf1Vnfa
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 28, 2023
I haven’t seen anything about Russia on my usual tweet-trawls for many weeks, but suddenly:
Russia: Almost 40% increase in COVID-19 in one week.
The incidence of COVID-19 increased by more than 38% in a week. The number of hospitalizations increased by almost 17%. About 30% of cases occur in St. Petersburg and Moscow regions.
Izvestia report:https://t.co/aT49YWRKYp
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 27, 2023
Russia: Whooping cough outbreak in several regions
"In combination with COVID-19, ARVI and influenza, the disease is more severe than usual."
Izvestia report:https://t.co/8RSCPw9Jss pic.twitter.com/0Y5YCMpMqv
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 26, 2023
Russia: The Covid-19 incidence rate in the Trans-Baikal Territory was 131.7 per 100,000 population over the last week.
❗️The highest incidence rates are in the age group of children under one year.
Variants circulating are Arcturus, Kraken and Eris.https://t.co/6OjNUX1rAL
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 28, 2023
Finland: Air purifier use at daycare centres cut kids' sick days by a third
"It would be a big savings if we could get rid of 30 percent of sick days spread by children, as well as the illnesses that go home to parents,"https://t.co/oD6qsfUy6Z
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 28, 2023
Italy: Covid infections up by 31% in one week.
The weekly incidence is 76 per 100,000.
The reproduction rate has risen from 1 to 1.12
Hospital bed occupancy rises from 6.7% to 7.7%, equivalent to 4,811 Covid hospitalized patients.
La Stampa report:https://t.co/GSA9A1HzNy
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 25, 2023
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How inquiry is exposing deep flaws in Covid decision-making https://t.co/n7ArQOmTyd
— BBC Health News (@bbchealth) November 26, 2023
Canada, Ontario: Covid in wastewater at one-year high
‘Your chance of being exposed is very high’
The Star report:https://t.co/8JV6JVzv9K
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 26, 2023
Canadian COVID Forecast update: Nov 25-Dec 1
We've revised the forecast, based on this week's data.
Number of people infected:
🔴1 in 14: AB, MB
🔴1 in 15: QC, SK
🔴1 in 18: CAN, North, ON
🔴1 in 20: NB
🔴1 in 22: NL
🔴1 in 23: BC
🔴1 in 27: PEI
🔴1 in 37: NSGET YOUR SHOTS! pic.twitter.com/pE9pTHxj9z
— Tara Moriarty (@MoriartyLab) November 26, 2023
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A special issue @PNASNews on neurobiology of stress and "the second pandemic"
"Evidence suggests that we are facing a second pandemic of mood and anxiety disorders, including major depression, anxiety and PTSD." —@Huda_Akil1
and @EricJNestler
Overview: https://t.co/ewHiemFhBF pic.twitter.com/KQaeUsKjrh— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) November 28, 2023
Novavax's updated vaccine has been granted emergency-use authorization by the World Health Organization (WHO) for active immunization to prevent COVID-19 in individuals aged 12 and older, the company said on Tuesday. https://t.co/xF2427scor https://t.co/xF2427scor
— Reuters Health (@Reuters_Health) November 28, 2023
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Study: Survival of SARS-CoV-2 in foods and its inactivation by different methods
"in the case of frozen beef and mutton, SARS-CoV-2 survived for over two months at -20°C, with only a minimal reduction in viral load during storage."
H/t @Yash25571056
https://t.co/ofxHEp3PUm— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 27, 2023
An alarming surge in premature births caused by #Covid has been halted by vaccination, which returned the premature birth rate to pre-pandemic levels, a new study shows. #SARSCoV2 endangers pregnancy by triggering immune & inflammatory responses https://t.co/7j1HhELwXW pic.twitter.com/riPUVLmSIX
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) November 28, 2023
Birth records show COVID-19 caused spike in preterm births
The study suggests the US vaccination campaign likely prevented thousands of preterm birthshttps://t.co/TGwZ7geuJD
Amber McNamara/flickr pic.twitter.com/vpUKPQAult
— CIDRAP (@CIDRAP) November 28, 2023
#Covid-related loss of taste and smell reversible over time. The study, conducted in Italy, observed patients over a 3-year period. The research suggests a favorable rehabilitation of smell and taste function, even for the hardest hit patients https://t.co/TC2B8rCSbN pic.twitter.com/cCuKT1LYvX
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) November 24, 2023
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U.S: Covid hospitalizations rising in the Midwest
"Some of the highest increases are in the Midwestern region covering Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin, where trends are nearing levels not seen since early January."
CBS report:https://t.co/REpEjb3KV0
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) November 27, 2023
And there’s people out there hawking books saying we should have jacked up the death rate to more resemble Florida. https://t.co/fhZbCLuiEc
— Clean Observer (@Hammbear2024) November 28, 2023
I think it’s because the reality makes us feel helpless – which in many ways we are – whereas blaming someone ironically puts the power back in human hands.
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) November 27, 2023
Please join us in celebrating the life & legacy of our co-founder Rosalynn Carter, a true public health champion. Her decades of advocacy for vaccine access & education will ultimately save millions of lives.
??????https://t.co/ZaaymnPa8N pic.twitter.com/kQKL97bUpB— Vaccinate Your Family (@Vaxyourfam) November 20, 2023
Reader Interactions
47Comments
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satby
I’m hanging that Doonesbury cartoon on my booth tomorrow.
eclare
What a great tweet to end with, thank you AL.
dr. bloor
Trudeau’s keeping his fastball longer than Nolan Ryan did.
SiubhanDuinne
@satby:
It’s a terrific cartoon, and I love it. But I’m sadly aware that my inner, OCD-afflicted, nit-picking pedant is irritated that the committee chairman is a Republican and the ranking member is a Democrat. Surely Garry Trudeau knows that we are the majority party in the Senate!
But it is a splendid cartoon.
Baud
@SiubhanDuinne:
Haha. Good catch, eagle eye.
Chris T.
@SiubhanDuinne: Who says the covid virus guy is using the right words? Maybe he should have said “Congressman” instead of “Senator”…
VeniceRilet
I wish I could buy a booster here. Under 65 they’re just letting the stock expire and be thrown out. Madness!
lowtechcyclist
The Kraken has released itself!
eclare
@VeniceRilet:
Where is this? I got mine weeks ago.
Scout211
We had 15 people here for Thanksgiving and Monday one of the family members tested positive for COVID so we are all checking off the days and keeping our fingers crossed.
Two things: First, her other two family members who drove 2 1/2 hours both ways with her have tested negative (so far). They both got the updated COVID vaccination and the infected family member did not. Second, I realized that we haven’t heard of any “super spreader” events in a long, long time due to vaccinations and immunities from COVID infections. I guess that is a double-edged sword, though. It’s good to have those events in the rear view mirror but it also makes people less aware and less cautious because “COVID is over.”
Narrator: COVID is not over.
OzarkHillbilly
Washington Co had 180 new hospital admissions this past week. We only have 1 hospital (not a very big one) and it’s down in Potosi. Lots of ambulance miles.
H.E.Wolf
Thank you, Anne Laurie, for continuing to keep us informed on this topic. Much appreciated!
OzarkHillbilly
@VeniceRilet: @eclare:
When I got my booster, they told me the govt was no longer involved with the vaccines (beyond approving them). You don’t need a vaccine card to show your record of vaccinations to get a new one. I don’t know about age restrictions.
My insurance is more than happy to pay for all my vaccines.
New Deal democrat
It’s pretty clear that the winter wave has started, right on schedule. The post includes the new CDC wastewater graph, which is identical to the Biobot graph. Unsurprisingly, the biggest regional increase has been in the Midwest, which is back up to levels last seen in February, followed by the Northeast. Also unsurprisingly, the South has both the lowest rate and the smallest increase.
Hospitalizations have also increased for the second week in a row from their low of 15,000 to 18,200. This is about 75% of their level exactly one year ago. Deaths as of the week of October 28 were just below 1,200, about 45% below their level of one year ago of 2,400.
If the above pattern holds, by early January we should see hospitalizations of about 33,000 and deaths of about 2,000 per week.
The latest variant update last Friday shows that, after almost a year of dominance, XBB has faded to about 10% of all cases, with newer variants HG.1 and EG.5 making up close to 50%. Most experts seem to think new variant JN.1, which has become dominant in some other countries, will become the dominant variant in the U.S. this winter. It is likely shown as its parent, BA.2.86, on the CDC graph with 9% of cases. So far the information I have seen is that it is more immune evasive, but not more virulent.
Anecdotally, I have a nurse friend who was diagnosed simultaneously with COVID and the flu last week. Apparently mask wearing in hospitals has unbelievably become sporadic. For my part, for both infectious reasons, I am masking up in all indoor public spaces.
lowtechcyclist
And if Covid caused a spike in pre-term births, it surely did the same for pre-viability miscarriages. You know, those “unborn baybeez” the pro-birthers are supposedly so concerned about. And vaccinations therefore kept a whole bunch of those miscarriages from happening.
Last I checked (2021) my fundie in-laws were mostly anti-vax. I plan to mention this at Christmas.
I don’t expect it to change any of their minds about vaccination, but the best defense is a good offense.
lowtechcyclist
@New Deal democrat:
It has, but fortunately it’s looking to be a much smaller winter wave than the waves we had between the beginning of the pandemic and the first few months of 2022.
Nonetheless, people should get vaxxed up if they haven’t already, and if they’ve stopped wearing their masks at the grocery, time to start doing so again. Better to be safe than sorry.
Soprano2
Covid is dropping at both of our wastewater treatment facilities. I saw something on the MO sewershed map I hadn’t seen before – a blue diamond, which designates that levels were undetectable for two weeks in a row. It was Warsaw, which is a small town population around 2,200, but still I had never seen that before!
Soprano2
@SiubhanDuinne: Should have made it the House.
Baud
@lowtechcyclist:
I believe their preferred term is “baby killers.” Feel free to use it.
eclare
@OzarkHillbilly:
My insurance paid for mine no problem, and I’m under 65.
Kay
@lowtechcyclist:
The Danish public health system told pregnant women NOT to get vaccinated. My DIL decided to follow the US guidance instead and got the vaccine while pregnant on a trip to Chicago.
I bet she’s feeling pretty smart :)
Baud
@Kay:
Do you know why? Just the uncertainty or something else?
Matt McIrvin
Cases and wastewater levels are starting to tick up again in the Boston area after the decline of our modest fall wave.
Here it now looks a lot like a repeat of last year, when we had a 2022-23 winter wave though it was nothing on the level of the giant surge when Omicron first hit in 2021-22. I actually got COVID for, so far, the only time in late January 2023. I would like to avoid a repeat of that but there’s likely going to be less accommodation for WFH this time around.
Scout211
IIRC, VeniceRiley/VeniceRilet moved to somewhere in the UK.
SiubhanDuinne
@Soprano2:
Yeah, or instead of addressing him as “Senator,” he could have just used “Mr Chairman.” I’m trying not to let this incredibly trivial and petty observation ruin for me what is otherwise a wonderful cartoon. Garry Trudeau — talk about a national treasure!
(BTW, did you know his wife is Margaret Trudeau? It’s true. Jane Pauley’s actual name is Margaret Jane. Always thought it would be amusing if she interviewed the Canadian Margaret T. sometime. Maybe she has.)
Baud
@Matt McIrvin:
Why do physicists have to go into the office?
Kay
@Baud:
I don’t know why. It’s a very child/maternal health centered country so I was surprised. She was determined to get it – we had to look for a one dose shot in Chicago because they weren’t staying long enough for a two shot series. Easy to find at that time- it was during the initial vaxx push.
eclare
@Scout211:
Ah…thanks. Wow that is short-sighted. NHS already doesn’t have enough workers.
jonas
It would be very useful to know what percentage of those being hospitalized with Covid now are up to date on their vaccinations. I suspect it’s a pretty small number.
New Deal democrat
@lowtechcyclist: In re “it’s looking to be a much smaller winter wave,” I agree.
Now that we are almost 4 years in, we can do some comparisons of 2023 since March vs. the previous 3 years. And in each year the death rate over the same time period has gone down.
dmsilev
@Baud: Some of us use actual lab gear. Hard to turn a screwdriver over Zoom.
jonas
Ugh. Well, this chart is depressing. Uptake of the new seasonal Covid vaccine is only around 10-15% so far.
Matt McIrvin
@Baud: I’ve been a humble code monkey since the late 1990s. There were no damn jobs in physics.
Manyakitty
That statistic about the mental health crisis is on point. Nobody is okay after the past 5+ years. Nobody. COVID drove all that home. We sustained generational trauma and I’m not sure how we come back from it.
Manyakitty
@Matt McIrvin: that’s why my dad became an optometrist back in the early eighties. (PhD in theoretical physics)
Trivia Man
@Chris T.: That’s my head canon now – Mr Virus isn’t a nerd, he doesn’t know the difference
Matt McIrvin
@New Deal democrat: I should have mentioned that while wastewater virus counts look like a repeat of last year, the case, hospitalization and death counts are much, much lower even than last winter. I assume cases are massively undercounted, but it should probably be taken as a count of disease bad enough to get some medical attention. It all points to decreasing impacts as people develop resistance one way or another.
hrprogressive
@Manyakitty:
That’s the fun part – with a never-ending pandemic, the rise of global fascism, and the collapse of the planet – we don’t.
Manyakitty
@hrprogressive: sigh 😔
Juju
@SiubhanDuinne: That bothered me as well.
Juju
@Chris T.: Senators and Representatives have an identity plaque in front of them.
Misterpuff
@lowtechcyclist: They will just threaten to arrest the COVID virus for acting as an abortifacent.
Pinkpuppy
Can anyone explain the India numbers? They have a population of 1.3 billion and they only have 79 new cases, while the US with ~300 million has 200,000 new cases???
Martin
@dmsilev: You’re experimental?
<huffs off in theoretical>
NoOneOfConsequence
Re:
The political issue was, “will you risk your job, to do the right thing, or will you prefer the easier, more popular method, that will help you win re-election, at the cost of thousands of deaths?”
We know the answer to that, now. A lot of people would rather see “a few” people die, so long as they don’t know them, so, politicians decided to kill people, to stay popular. DeSasterous actively tried to spread Covid-19, so he could make his buddies who manufactured monoclonal antibodies rich. When they stopped working (as predicted and expected…) his failure to plan caused massive deaths, but that only matters to people who care about their fellow Americans.
Seeing Covid-19 “primarily as a political issue” is fair: we learned who wants to save lives, and who’d rather sacrifice them. Isn’t that important to know?
lee
I did a bit of digging around after seeing a comment somewhere else and I found something interesting.
It seems there are conflicting studies to whether or not lockdowns helped. In Australia and NZ there was obvious benefit. In other parts of the world it was not so clear cut.
That got me thinking if it had to do with population density.
@Pinkpuppy:
The numbers out of India have always been a bit more undependable than those from the US.
Matt McIrvin
@lee: I think a lot of public policy was ineffective simply because of low compliance. Omicron COVID is so contagious that you’re not really going to stop it with non-medical interventions unless people comply nearly 100%. In America that was impossible because the President when the pandemic began actively promoted noncompliance as an element of political identity. And maybe because Americans are just too contrary to live.
A lot of the discourse seemed to be confused by the distinction between e.g. “do masks work?” and “does a public policy of masking work?” The policy is never going to work if people won’t wear the masks.