Heavy Mental pic.twitter.com/l8T32UJJAw
— Schooley (@Rschooley) July 31, 2020
The US reported +1,462 new coronavirus deaths today, bringing the total to 156,747. The 7-day moving average rose to 1,100/day, its highest since May 25. pic.twitter.com/k8PU2HRVS2
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) August 1, 2020
US daily numbers via @COVID19Tracking:
Newly reported deaths
Today: 1,308
Yesterday: 1,262
One week ago (7/24): 1,178Newly reported cases
T: 68K
Y: 70K
7/24: 75KNewly reported tests
T: 719K
Y: 813K
7/24: 930KPositive test rate
T: 9.4%
Y: 8.6%
7/24: 8.1%— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) July 31, 2020
18 U.S. States have partially controlled or downward-trending #COVID19 outbreaks.
The rest? 32 have "Uncontrolled spread" (dark brown) as of today.https://t.co/48lRtWAzD4 pic.twitter.com/U2UbcXE5jL
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) July 31, 2020
U.S. records over 25,000 coronavirus deaths in July https://t.co/VKveCgKZDo pic.twitter.com/9LWnfJ7RpW
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
"Hot spots": Average number of new cases per 100,000 people, across the US, in the past week: https://t.co/yKEwCLLAth pic.twitter.com/jJ7JbPawmG
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) August 1, 2020
Read @ResolveTSL's full report on the 15 essential indicators states should be tracking. Thank you to our partners on the report: @PublicHealth, @ASPPHtweets, @JHSPH_CHS, @HealthyAmerica1, and @cmyeaton. https://t.co/HiUba8zfmT
— Dr. Tom Frieden (@DrTomFrieden) July 31, 2020
Great questions @JoannalnNY_MPH –where should ppl turn for #COVID19 US trends info, given the US govt numbers are no longer reliable?
Try these:https://t.co/pNgbdK3j88 &https://t.co/g5iRI3uXcl &https://t.co/48lRtWSb1E
and your local health department website. https://t.co/DUd2yZldv7
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) July 31, 2020
======
The WHO reported 292,527 new #COVID19 cases on Friday, a new record. It says the pandemic's effects "will be felt for decades to come."
▪️5,200 people have died every day in July, on average
▪️Nearly 40 countries reported new case records this week pic.twitter.com/E20YDifLfB— AJ+ (@ajplus) July 31, 2020
Another sad #covid19 record today globally:
292,527 new cases reported to @WHO in 24 hours. That’s more than 3 new cases per second. We’ll likely see the first day with more than 300,000 cases soon.
Also a devastating 6,812 new deaths reported. pic.twitter.com/IlheCQsL0c— Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) July 31, 2020
International evidence could hardly be more clear: if you control the virus, spending in restaurants, entertainment venues etc bounces back. If not. It doesn’t. @FT trackerhttps://t.co/ffw9E2QSwK pic.twitter.com/KYDktRjpXp
— Adam Tooze (@adam_tooze) July 31, 2020
People who visited Italy accounted for more than 1/4 of the 1st #coronavirus cases outside China in the early weeks of 2020, according to a new CDC study that found most initial infections were linked to just 3 countries: Italy 27% Iran 22% & China 11% https://t.co/aJigYauks2 pic.twitter.com/1mgVx3QADA
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 31, 2020
Danish officials said Friday they were now recommending the use of face masks on public transport to curb the spread of COVID-19, just days after saying they did not "make sense in the current situation"https://t.co/rxBG9RPub6
— AFP news agency (@AFP) July 31, 2020
Greece enforces mask-wearing in all indoor public places https://t.co/VsWtvXU3R5 via @medical_xpress
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 31, 2020
Egypt reports lowest coronavirus daily figure since May 3 https://t.co/XmcwrTVSrb pic.twitter.com/FTP8NAfIkm
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
Russia plans mass vaccination against coronavirus from October, RIA reports https://t.co/5KdzxNNdJe pic.twitter.com/PYdR8nZgpe
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
Indonesia reports 1,560 new coronavirus cases, 62 deaths https://t.co/DV5us1yx7N pic.twitter.com/YQP1scHJlb
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
'Losing battle': Philippine doctors, nurses urge new COVID-19 lockdowns https://t.co/pgzHzOmmHx pic.twitter.com/Be5elAvu7j
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
Japan's Okinawa region has declared a state of emergency and asked people to stay home for two weeks as the popular tourist destination sees an "explosive spread" of coronavirus caseshttps://t.co/xbfuvOOuA6
— AFP news agency (@AFP) August 1, 2020
"We're not ready for another surge"
Dr Amara Khalid, who works in one of Pakistan’s busiest hospitals, has kept a video diary of the country’s struggle with coronavirushttps://t.co/PQWaD2nr3V pic.twitter.com/V1zKZcALa4
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) July 31, 2020
To date, Ethiopia has recorded just over 16,600 coronavirus infections and 260 deaths — modest figures given its population of 110 million.
Yet the numbers have been trending sharply upward and have doubled in less than three weeks https://t.co/1xyAucrUPe
— AFP news agency (@AFP) July 31, 2020
Brazil registers 52,383 coronavirus cases, 1,212 deaths in 24 hours https://t.co/HrrZj0aFj3 pic.twitter.com/ly0wG7HmXb
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
Coronavirus: Mexico's death toll becomes world's third highest https://t.co/dJSV5b0iTz
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) August 1, 2020
Devastating economic data pours in as nations count the cost of efforts to contain the #coronavirus pandemic, even as fresh spikes force countries including Britain to put the brakes on a return to normality https://t.co/WR5VbrSgYD pic.twitter.com/7NKY2dYlzS
— AFP news agency (@AFP) August 1, 2020
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Drugmakers win $2.1 billion vaccine deal: Sanofi and GlaxoSmithKline are the latest to get funds from Operation Warp Speed in exchange for millions of doses of an experimental vaccine. Production facility at Sanofi in Val-de-Reuil France https://t.co/2jlj1yJoNA pic.twitter.com/QU3RvSBqtJ
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 31, 2020
Google says 20 U.S. states, territories 'exploring' contact tracing apps https://t.co/Khz0t78c8z pic.twitter.com/XrUiHQCrnS
— Reuters (@Reuters) August 1, 2020
We thought #COVID19 was just a respiratory virus—we were wrong https://t.co/AlIgclPMQa via @medical_xpress
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 31, 2020
======
we had 2 experts on @NewsHour tonight, one economist @krogoff, the other emergency physician @meganranney. they made identical points: until the virus is brought under control, life can't get back to normal; and the virus can't be controlled w/out a coordinated national effort
— Judy Woodruff (@JudyWoodruff) July 31, 2020
Nevada had a record number of deaths today. pic.twitter.com/goFEDmkOCF
— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec) August 1, 2020
‘Not Sparing Anyone’: The death toll is so high in the Rio Grande Valley, funeral directors have purchased refrigerated trucks to help handle the dead. The pandemic has been devastating throughout much of Texas https://t.co/j5vxOZB8i8
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) July 31, 2020
Thread:
2/ Yesterday, SF’s health director (& my former resident) Grant Colfax offered gloomy projections (“as many as 1800 deaths by the end of the year”) & committed to opening new hospital beds in the city https://t.co/FGjsAzwJal. While it’s Grant’s job to paint worst-case scenarios…
— Bob Wachter (@Bob_Wachter) August 1, 2020
Guten tag, the unroll you asked for: @Bob_Wachter: 1/ Covid (@UCSF) Chronicles, Day 136 San Francisco is experiencing a surge, so it might seem odd to focus… https://t.co/RxEJx0MKHD Share this if you think it's interesting. ?
— Thread Reader App (@threadreaderapp) August 1, 2020
75% of immigrant households have had a Covid-19-related job loss, survey says https://t.co/w5zRvUNS8w
— Adam Gaffin (@universalhub) July 31, 2020
DEVASTATING animation—and clear contrast of how other countries succeeded while US has failed under poor leadership. Chaos has a price. #COVID19 @CAPAction pic.twitter.com/yEZyzh48lO
— Eric Feigl-Ding (@DrEricDing) July 30, 2020
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s daily numbers. Nine new cases. Two cases from local infection, one Malaysian and one non-Malaysian. Seven imported cases: five Malaysians, returning fron the United Arab Emirates, India (two), Japan, and the Philippines; two non-Malaysians, arriving from Switzerland and Pakistan. Cumulative total 8,985 cases.
Three more patients recovered and were discharged; total 8,647 recovered, 96.2% of the cumulative total. That leaves 213 patients with active and contagious cases in hospital for isolation and treatment; two are in ICU, one of them on a respirator.
No new deaths. Total stands at 125 deaths, 1.39% of the cumulative total, 1.42 of resolved cases.
Wearing a mask in public becomes mandatory in Malaysia effective today. Noncompliance incurs a RM1,000 (US$235) fine.
JPL
Chaos has a price needs to be on TV…
JPL
@Amir Khalid: Gov. Kemp once again said that citizens cannot be ordered to wear masks. sad
NotMax
Countries reporting more than 10k new cases over the most recent 24 hours.
U.S. ~67k
India ~57k
Brazil ~52k
South Africa ~11k
.
Colombia has been hovering at just under 10k.
rikyrah
@JPL:
Opening up schools without a mandatory mask policy??
rikyrah
@Amir Khalid:
Travel to your country still closed?
rikyrah
Oh Texas?
rikyrah
Everything we learn about this disease is bad??
Of all the horrifying things is that having it doesn’t give you immunity from it????
NotMax
Unfortunately I presume there isn’t very much caseload tracking/reporting occurring among the population of itinerant farm workers as harvest season progresses.
Amir Khalid
@rikyrah:
Essential travel — incoming diplomats, businesspeople, permanent residents returning from abroad — is permitted.
Baud
@JPL:
Unlike forcing women to being a pregnancy to term, mask wearing requirements interfere with basic human freedoms.
Baud
@rikyrah:
I blame scientists.
raven
Amir Khalid
@Baud:
A lot of people, not only in the US, simply can’t or won’t understand that a public-health measure ≠ political repression.
Van Buren
@Baud: I have an extremely well educated relative who told me last night that the media is focusing too much on the deaths, thereby upsetting people, when they should be giving the people hope with stories about how soon the vaccine will be here
IOW, it’s CNNs fault.
David C
@rikyrah: “Of all the horrifying things is that having it doesn’t give you immunity from it????”
Not necessarily true. People get well because the immune system responds. Antibody responses may go down, but there seems to be persistent T cell (and maybe B cell) memory, so a second infection could elicit a rapid immune response.
Robert Sneddon
@David C: Immunity covers a range of responses, from “the viruses just bounce off” to “I’m not dog-sick, I can still eat without vomiting afterwards and I’m getting by by with a nap in the afternoon and a bucket of Tylenol”. Acquired immunity, from getting the disease and surviving it has a similar range of effectiveness to any vaccine with the caveat that some vaccines will be better than others and future vaccines will be better than the first ones that get out the door and into people’s arms.
We need those first vaccines though, to drive down the virus reproduction rate and limit its spread through a complacent population, even if they’re only 50% effective and last for less than a year. Those are crap standards, no vaccine for another disease would get through the licencing procedure with that sort of efficacy but things are different today.
David C
@Robert Sneddon: I know, which is why I countered the claim that infection doesn’t provide immunity. Infected people do get immunity, but we don’t fully understand the extent or the duration.
WereBear
All of this was from decades of Right Wingers losing their grip on the culture and being enabled with their fantasies, leaving them in denial of it happening.
YY_Sima Qian
Yesterday, China reported 39 new domestic confirmed cases and 12 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
Ürumqi in Xinjiang “Autonomous” Region reported 31 new confirmed cases (30 are previously asymptomatic, already under quarantine), and 8 new asymptomatic cases. 5 case in critical condition, and 25 in serious condition, 2 serious case has stabilized to moderate condition. There are currently 547 confirmed cases (544 in Ürumqi, 1 each at Kashgar, Changji Prefecture, and Xinjiang Construction Corps), and 109 asymptomatic cases (107 in Ürumqi, 1 each in Changji Prefecture and Xinjiang Construction Corps), plus 1 asymptomatic case exported to Shaoxing in Zhejiang Province. Since 7/15, 16 confirmed cases have recovered and been released from hospitals, 16 asymptomatic cases have been released from medical quarantine (including 7 of each yesterday). There are 14540 close contacts under quarantine and medical observation. There was a significant drop in new cases yesterday, hopefully it is not just a reporting blip.
Dalian in Liaoning Province reported 8 new confirmed cases and 4 new asymptomatic cases. 5 of 8 confirmed cases were previously identified as asymptomatic. The outbreak in Dalian has a total of 76 confirmed cases: 3 serious cases, 61 moderate cases and 12 mild cases; 36 are workers from the import seafood processing plant, 11 are their close contacts, 17 are residents of Dalian Bay sub-district, and 9 are close contacts of confirmed/asymptotic cases not directly connected to the plant, 3 have unclear source of transmission. The city also has 31 asymptomatic cases: 19 are workers from the import seafood processing plant, 2 are their close contacts, 7 are residents of Dalian Bay sub-district, and 3 are close contacts of confirmed/asymptotic cases not directly connected to the plant. Additionally, 6 confirmed and 9 asymptomatic cases exported to the rest of China. Dalian has completed the mass screening of the population in the urban districts, totaling 4.49M individuals tested, and apparently has embarked on a 2nd round of mass screening in the hot spot districts (as in Ürumqi). All in all, of the 107 total cases (confirmed + asymptomatic), 65 were identified by contact tracing, 28 by mass screening, 14 by visiting fever clinic (mostly early during the outbreak).
Yesterday, China reported 6 new imported confirmed cases, 11 imported asymptomatic cases, and 1 imported suspect case:
Today, Hong Kong reported 125 new cases, 124 from local transmission. Hong Kong SAR government has officially declared the Legislative Council Election scheduled for September to be delayed by a year. Surely this will prove very controversial and divisive. South Korea and Singapore have successfully held elections in the midst of an outbreak, without further aggravating the epidemic. Of course, many other countries have postponed elections. In the meantime, the neighboring Guangdong Province will send 60 medical staff to Hong Kong to reinforce sample collection and testing, and Hubei Province will send a team to help Hong Kong build the makeshift medical facilities to house mild to moderate cases. The Asian Expo space near the Hong Kong airport has already been converted for such purpose, with 500 beds in Phase 1 and ultimately 2000 beds.
Mary G
Orange County continues to improve relative to the last couple of weeks. New cases down to 418, positive tests down to 9.7%, and hospitalizations down 8.9%. Deaths still going up lagging the explosion of cases. 14 today:
5 skilled nursing facility residents,
4 assisted living facility residents,
5 residents (not living in a facility)
Gov. Newsom’s orders to reclose bars and in-restaurant dining has had a good effect.
topclimber
@David C: Do you have a link to the immune memory study? I have been banking on dormant immunity as one way out of this mess.
mrmoshpotato
@JPL: Yes.
YY_Sima Qian
@Mary G: It does seem that getting the Rt < 1 is not that difficult: close off the venues where super spreading event are likely to occur, and encourage universal masking. However, unless COVID-19 is thoroughly suppressed (new case counts nearly zero for a week or two), exponential growth will simply restart as soon as restrict are eased. That has been the decision made by China, Vietnam, New Zealand and Australia. Nevertheless, Vietnam and Australia (state of Victoria specifically) suffered lapses with imported cases and are now dealing with messy situations on their hands. China continues to do the whack-a-mole, each time aiming to fully eradicate the new outbreak. Germany and South Korea are also playing the whack-a-mole game, but appear to be willing to tolerate low dozens of cases per day regionally, and rely upon their Test/Trace/Isolate capabilities to keep the lid on things.
Unfortunately, to get to thorough suppression or eradication in reasonable amount of time (say, < 2 months), from the current high levels of transmission across much of the US, will likely need Rt < 0.5, and it probably takes far more restrictive measures than currently being employed. Southern and Eastern Europe offer cautionary tales here. They locked hard, and either fully suppressed the first wave or avoided significant impact altogether. Now, cases are surging again following relaxation (which they did when they still each had low hundreds of cases per day) and population complacency. I am not sure if these countries established sufficient TTI infrastructure to properly play the game of whack-a-mole like Northern Europe.
mrmoshpotato
@rikyrah:
Also being an illegitimate governor who’s a thieving bastard.
mrmoshpotato
@rikyrah:
Probably. Malaysia wouldn’t be able to handle the 75% of us who aren’t crazy anyway. ?
mrmoshpotato
@Amir Khalid:
Now you look here Mr. Factsman!
Everyone, but everyone!, knows wearing a relatively light piece of cloth over your mouth and nose to slow the spread of disease is the oppressiest oppression that ever oppressed!
Mary G
@YY_Sima Qian:
America is so far off from having enough tests and contract tracers to hold down the numbers, it’s depressing.
Sloane Ranger
Yesterday’s UKwide figures were 880 new cases and 120 deaths. There is now a clear upwards trend in new cases, especially in the North of England. The spike in Leicester, however seems to be receding. Government advisors are saying publicly that England might have exceeded the R1 number.
One has said this morning that if we want schools to re-open, there might have to be a trade-off by closing something else, eg pubs, in order to keep the R number at 1 or below.
I am lucky to live in a town with stable transmission rates, average of 3 new cases per week.
RoonieRoo
The announcement that Russia will begin vaccination in October has me mildly freaked out. October – which means Trump will be all over that. It wouldn’t shock me one bit if he announces the generous gift from Russia of a vaccine in October. I think I bent my tin foil hat but with this season’s writers, nothing seems unlikely.
YY_Sima Qian
@Mary G: At current level of prevalence across the Sun Belt (even CA?) TTI would not work. Just not enough resources, evidenced by the long turn around times on test results (so tardy as to be utterly irrelevant), far too many cases for contact tracers to handle (and who in any case often do not have up to date data due to testing delays), and cannot isolate mild/moderate cases at medical or quarantine facilities (the former is overwhelmed and the latter is distrusted).
Have to bite the bullet, lock down hard, get the case load down to a level that can be handled by TTI (assuming they have been built). The tragic and depressing thing is, we have already seen this movie in the US, after all the previews in China, South Korea, Iran and Europe. The Northeast, the West Coast and parts of the Upper Mid-West (IL & MI) have shown that it can work, even if the epidemic has already reached seemingly apocalyptic proportions. Yet the Sun Belt and Mid-Western states still refuse to take meaningful action, and state governments are often undermining the local ones. Even CA has been slow the 2nd time around IMO.
Jay
Thank you again, Anne.
this is a key resource for so many of us, and you do it every day.
And thank you to everybody else who pitches in with local numbers and situations.
Robert Sneddon
Scotland’s data for the past 24 hours — 18 new cases, zero deaths from confirmed COVID-19 infection. If this level of spread and serious trace-and-test efforts can be sustained it’s possible, just, that the intended re-opening of Scottish schools starting next week won’t be a major disaster. The numbers of people in hospital and in intensive care remains steady.
The figures for the whole of the UK for the past 24 hours (updated as usual at 4:00 p.m. local time here) are 771 cases and 74 deaths.
MomSense
@NotMax:
We had an outbreak at a blueberry farm/processing facility involving migrant workers.
David C
@topclimber: Here’s a very recent review paper on T cell responses. Right now it appears that the T cell response to coronaviruses does include memory T cell persistence, but it is still too early to know what kind of response people get with a challenge infection.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41577-020-0402-6