Charles Gaba blew it this time. His projections were, for him, way off:
I was off by about 6% on my HC.gov estimate through the 4th week. On the other hand, this is good news because it means that the actual enrollment total is 126K higher than I thought…and that’s just via Healthcare.Gov…. assuming the 75/25 ratio is accurate, it should mean that instead of the 3.1 million national total I had estimated for 12/12, it should be closer to 3.3 million!
Open enrollment for coverage starting January 1, 2015 is over for Healthcare.gov states. Several states running their own exchanges either added overtime or scheduled a different close-out date. Those dates will close in the netx week. People who attempted to get into Healthcare.gov but could not but called the help desk are being given time to complete their applications. The surge has subsided and the systems fundamentally worked well enough.
Autorenewals will start in the next couple of days for Healthcare.gov states. If people are autorenewed and see a premium that they hate come in the mail, they need to pay the premium for January, but as long as they switch plans by January 15th, their new policy can start on February 1st.
This thing is fundamentally working as designed right now… now we just need the Supreme Court to not fuck it up.