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You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads / Excellent Links

Excellent Links

Open Thread: Our ‘Not Enough Facepalms’ Administration

by Anne Laurie|  March 25, 20267:15 pm| 64 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Republican Venality, Trump Crime Cartel, War

Iran rejects ceasefire as widely predicted.

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— George Pearkes (@peark.es) March 25, 2026 at 8:38 AM

Forget TACO, we are approaching the NACHOOO Zone
Not
Able to
Cease
Hostilities
On
Our
Own
‪

This is what is consistently missing from coverage of Trump’s blurts about the war, and especially market reaction. He controls very little.
The key to ending the war is reopening the Straight, and Iran has total control over when (and what) transit occurs there. The war ends when they say so.

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— Douglas Moser (@douglasmoser.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 12:33 PM

No problem, libs!

We are literally planning an actual war around what is essentially a Call of Duty highlight reel.

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— Starfire’s Deranged Neocon Foreign Policy Podcast (@irhottakes.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 8:02 AM

… The daily montage typically runs for about two minutes, sometimes longer, the officials said. One described each daily video as a series of clips of “stuff blowing up.”

The highlight reel of U.S. Central Command bombing Iranian equipment and military sites isn’t the only briefing Trump gets about the war. He’s also updated through conversations with top military and intelligence advisers, foreign leaders and news reports, the officials said.

But the video briefing is fueling concerns among some of Trump’s allies that he may not be receiving — or absorbing — the complete picture of the war, now in its fourth week, two of the current officials and the former official said.

They said the videos are also driving Trump’s increasing frustration with news coverage of the war. Trump has pointed to the success depicted in the daily videos to privately question why his administration can’t better influence the public narrative, asking aides why the news media doesn’t emphasize what he’s seeing, one of the current U.S. officials and the former U.S. official said. ..

“We can’t tell him every single thing that happens,” a current U.S. official said. The official noted that Trump’s briefings tend to draw better feedback from his aides when they focus on U.S. victories.

Overall, the official said, the information Trump gets about the war tends to emphasize U.S. successes, with comparatively little detail about Iranian actions.

One example came this month when five U.S. Air Force refueling planes were hit in an Iranian strike at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, according to one of the current U.S. officials. Trump wasn’t briefed about the strikes, and he learned what had happened from media reports, the official said. When Trump inquired, he was told the planes weren’t badly damaged, the official said.

The official said Trump reacted angrily behind the scenes to the news coverage. Publicly he posted on Truth Social calling coverage of the strike misleading and accusing media organizations of wanting the U.S. “to lose the War.” …

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Elsewhere…

I was told this constituted concealing military objectives inside civilian areas. Hostage-taking, essentially. Hope there aren't any elementary schools nearby!

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— Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 3:14 PM

Ooo, 5000 Marines (including support troops) against a country with a population the size of Germany’s.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 4:23 PM


Pastor Mike Johnson, Speaker for the Enabling Party
:

More from the Speaker to me about 2,000 troops:
"The build up of troops is very different than boots on the ground. We don't have boots on the ground. I don't think that's the intention, but I think Iran should watch that build up, and they need to take note of that."

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— Eric Michael Garcia (@ericmgarcia.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 10:59 AM

We've got to continue waging the war to get something back that we had before we started the war.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 8:44 AM

Contra:

Even the crazy lady gets it.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 3:41 PM

Forget the Madman Theory, this maladministration has invented the Idiot Theory!

"I DONT WANNA PLAY ANYMORE THIS ISNT FUN FOR ME NOW!!"

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— Daniel Gilmore (@gilmored85.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 1:57 PM

Besides Trump only being capable of bullshitting ppl, another huge driver in the collapse of his presidency is his inability to understand culpability. His narcissistic ego doesnt allow for it in order to protect itself, so "dont do unpopular things bc ppl will blame you" just doesnt compute to him

— Daniel Gilmore (@gilmored85.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 11:54 AM

What a creative way to say Trump has no plan in Iran…

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— Congresswoman Sara Jacobs (@sarajacobs.house.gov) March 25, 2026 at 2:37 PM

Open Thread: Our ‘Not Enough Facepalms’ AdministrationPost + Comments (64)

Late Night Open Thread: “God Is A Comedian”

by Anne Laurie|  March 24, 20262:30 am| 48 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, War

This is excellent.
open.substack.com/pub/no01/p/m…

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— Bill Kristol (@billkristolbulwark.bsky.social) March 22, 2026 at 7:53 PM

The Trickster God is certainly not a *subtle* comedian, and Donald Trump is one of his strongest chaos agents. Clips from this post at the Gold and Geopolitics SubStack are being widely shared, with good reason:

It is a well-established fact that the universe has a sense of humour. It is less well-established, but increasingly obvious, that the humour is of the kind best enjoyed from a great distance, like, let’s say the moon.

Three weeks into the Iran war, reality has passed through the looking glass, out the other side, and is now selling tickets to the gift shop. What follows is not satire. Satire requires exaggeration, and you cannot exaggerate something that is already operating at maximum absurdity. This is simply the news, and nothing but the news. Told straight, in a universe that has clearly stopped taking its medication.

The United States is sending 5,000 Marines into the Persian Gulf to seize Kharg Island, a speck of land 15 miles off the Iranian coast that handles 90% of Iran’s oil exports. This is, on paper, a reasonable military objective in the same way that sticking your hand into a beehive is a reasonable way to acquire honey. It is technically correct. The bees would disagree…

A White House source told Axios they need “about a month to weaken the Iranians more” before attempting this. One month. Of a war Trump described as ‘winding down’ on Friday – three weeks in, which by his count is basically four days… Both statements were made, as far as anyone can tell, by people who occupy the same government and occasionally share a building.

A former Navy SEAL called the plan “insane”. A retired Vice Admiral called it “a massacre-in-making scenario”. A retired Rear Admiral pointed out that even if they seize the island, Iran simply turns off the pipeline at the other end. Frankly, I think they’re being extremely polite. This is a clusterfuck of historic proportions and everyone who’s ever held a rank knows it…

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There exists in diplomacy a concept known as “sanctions”, which works on the same principle as telling a child they can’t have dessert while you’re eating cake in front of them. The United States has been sanctioning Iran for years. It has also been bombing Iran for three weeks. These are, in the normal course of events, complementary activities. One is economic warfare. The other is the regular kind.

This week, the US Treasury lifted all oil sanctions on Iran. For 30 days. 140 million barrels of Iranian crude, sitting on ships at sea, may now be sold freely on the global market. Including to the United States itself.

In yuan…

The logic, insofar as there is any, goes like this: the war has crashed the global oil market so hard that the administration needs the enemy’s oil to keep gasoline prices from eating the midterms. They are unsanctioning the people they’re bombing because the bombing is working too well at the thing they didn’t want it to do. The sanctions were necessary to stop Iran funding the war, but the war made the sanctions too effective, so the sanctions had to be lifted to fund the war effort against the country that no longer needs sanctions because the oil revenues that sanctions were preventing are now required to prevent the economic damage caused by preventing those revenues, which is itself a consequence of the military campaign designed to make the sanctions unnecessary by making Iran the kind of country that doesn’t need sanctioning, which it would be, if the sanctions hadn’t been lifted to pay for making it that…

On the other end of all this, sits Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi, who is not answering texts from US envoy Steve Witkoff. And why would he? The last Iranian official who engaged in negotiations was Ali Larijani, head of the Supreme National Security Council. Israel killed him. The supreme leader before that was killed on day one. Defence Secretary Hegseth is openly calling senior IRGC positions “temp jobs”. You are assassinating everyone with the authority to negotiate and then complaining, with what appears to be genuine bewilderment, that nobody will negotiate.

This is the diplomatic equivalent of burning down every restaurant in town and then leaving a bad Yelp review about the lack of dining options…

Much more at the link. If you love our own Tony Jay‘s posts, you’ll enjoy this!

Late Night Open Thread: <em>“God Is A Comedian”</em>Post + Comments (48)

Foreign Sports Affairs Open Thread: “Not Possible”

by Anne Laurie|  March 12, 20264:23 pm| 192 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Sports, Trumpery, War, World Cup

Iran was expected to take part in the World Cup that will be held across North America, but the country's sports and youth minister told state television that his country’s soccer team players are not safe in the U.S., according to a video of the interview posted.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) March 11, 2026 at 1:58 PM



Trump take World Cup:

… Iran was expected to take part in the World Cup that will be held across North America in June, but Iranian Sports and Youth Minister Ahmad Donyamali told state television that his country’s soccer team players are not safe in the U.S., according to a video of the interview posted Tuesday.

“Due to the wicked acts they have done against Iran — they have imposed two wars on us over just eight or nine months and have killed and martyred thousands of our people — definitely it’s not possible for us to take part in the World Cup,” he said.

Iran is scheduled to play in Inglewood, California, against New Zealand on June 15 and Belgium on June 21 before finishing group play against Egypt in Seattle on June 26. The U.S. is hosting the tournament with Canada and Mexico from June 11 to July 19…

 
Mary Geddry, at her Substack — “The World Cup, the Border, and the Performance of Grace”:

There is no role Donald Trump enjoys more than the one where he wrecks the furniture, strolls back into the room with a solemn expression, and expects praise for not smashing the lamp on his second pass. He has built an entire political career on this particular form of self-flattering absurdity. First he creates the ugliness, then he moderates it slightly, then he waits for the standing ovation that is supposedly owed to a man of such tremendous restraint. It is the logic of the mob boss who wants a thank-you card because he only broke one kneecap. It is also, in miniature, exactly what played out in the bizarre little drama over Iran and the 2026 World Cup.

The sequence is what makes it funny, because the sequence is always what makes Trump ridiculous. On March 3, when asked whether Iran should be allowed to play in a World Cup co-hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada, Trump offered the sort of response one imagines from a casino owner who has just been informed that diplomacy exists. He said he “really didn’t care.” Not exactly the language of a gracious statesman preparing to welcome the world. Not even the language of a man pretending to care about the grandeur of international sport. It was petulant, bored, and casually imperial, which is to say it was perfectly on brand.

Then came the pivot, because with Trump there is always a pivot from brute force to theatrical benevolence whenever he senses that benevolence might photograph better. A week later, FIFA president Gianni Infantino emerged from a meeting with him carrying the reassuring message that Iran was, “of course,” welcome to come compete in the United States. “Of course” is such a marvelous phrase in this context because it comes wrapped in fake inevitability and counterfeit grace. It makes the whole thing sound civilized, as if nobody had been threatened, excluded, bombed, banned, or turned into a geopolitical prop five minutes earlier. “Of course” is what one says when one wants credit for generosity while frantically hoping nobody notices the velvet rope, the armed guards, and the guest list composed by people who confuse domination with order.

It was a perfect Trumpian tableau. First the shrug, then the soft-focus magnanimity, then the implied request for admiration. Look at the great man, rising above petty conflict for the love of the beautiful game. Look at him setting aside animosity so that football may unite humanity. Look at him behaving, for one brief and miraculous second, like a functioning host of a global event rather than a nightclub owner deciding which faces belong past the cordon. It was the kind of scene that only works if everybody agrees to participate in the fiction. Iran, gloriously, did not.

The next day, Iran’s sports minister said participation in the World Cup was “not possible.” Not “awkward,” not “under discussion,” not something to be evaluated by committee after a productive round of consultations. Simply, “not possible.” The bluntness of the response was what gave it its comic timing. Trump and Infantino had barely finished arranging the lighting for the magnanimity photo op before Iranian officials came in and kicked over the set. It was, in essence, a rejection not just of the invitation but of the story Trump was trying to tell about the invitation. He was prepared to cast himself as the large-souled host, dispensing grace to a nation in crisis. Iran’s answer was that it had no interest in playing grateful guest in his vanity pageant.

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And honestly, who could blame them. The alleged generosity on offer was fraudulent from the start. The United States had not suddenly become some radiant temple of open borders and cosmopolitan fellowship. Under Trump’s travel restrictions, athletes and official team delegations could receive an exception tied to major sporting events, while ordinary nationals from Iran still faced broad restrictions on entering the country. In other words, the arrangement was never “you are welcome.” It was “your team may come provide content, spectacle, and valuable television inventory, but your people can remain a problem.” That is not magnanimity, that is event logistics dressed up as moral elegance…

 
Will Leitch, last week, at NYMag — “The Olympic Hockey Mess Was a Preview of Trump’s World Cup”:

… In three months, the World Cup — the biggest sporting event in the world, bigger than the Olympics, really — will take place across the United States (and parts of Canada and Mexico). And in two years, the Summer Olympics will take place in Los Angeles. There is zero question that Trump will put himself at the dead center of every aspect of both events, not just because that’s what he does but because they are happening in his backyard. That FIFA Peace Prize madness was merely the beginning…

This will be the Trump World Cup.

If we’ve learned anything from the first year-plus of Trump 2.0, it’s that he considers anything involving the United States to be his: something he owns and controls, an extension of himself. Every time he sees a flag, or an American athlete, or, like, a truck, he is going to make sure everyone who sees it thinks of him — and thinks he is in charge of it. The World Cup will be a vivid, overwhelming manifestation of this, with nearly every citizen on the planet, from every country and continent, at full attention. Trump does not care about soccer any more than he cares about hockey — no way could he name one single hockey player, men’s or women’s, other than Wayne Gretzky, and he surely knows even fewer soccer players — but every game played at every venue this summer will assuredly have his stamp on it. (It is widely assumed, thanks to his relationship with FIFA head Gianni Infantino, that Trump will deliver a message before the World Cup, one that may even be played before every game.) That Trump tarnished an all-time USA hockey win is irrelevant to him; all that matters is that he was center stage. He’ll make sure he continues to be.

It’s increasingly likely at least one team won’t show up.
As I’ve written before, this warmongering, global-bully version of the United States will become increasingly isolated on the global sports stage. This is not such a big deal at the Winter Olympics; there are very few Latin American or Middle Eastern countries that really compete much in the snow. But it’s going to be a huge problem at the World Cup. ICE has already promised a heavy presence at the event, to the point that many Latin American fan groups have made it clear they won’t be attending. But this extends to the athletes themselves. At the World Baseball Classic, which began this week, eight people involved with the Cuban team, including its pitching coach, were denied visas by the State Department. That will absolutely happen again this summer with countries like Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, and Paraguay in the mix. There are in fact four countries competing — Iran, Ivory Coast, Haiti, and Senegal — that are part of Trump’s travel ban. Iran, for obvious reasons, seems most at risk of an absence; its first game is scheduled for June 15 against New Zealand at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. But Iran’s soccer-federation president has already said he “does not know” if the country’s team will compete, and Trump commented that he “really doesn’t care” one way or another. There is more of that to come…

This makes everything so much less fun for everyone.

Again: You cannot separate sports from politics because you cannot separate anything from politics. It’s all connected, whether we want it to be or not. But I will say that when you spend your time watching a sporting event wondering whether the person you’re cheering for is a supporter of a fascist regime, you are not, in fact, having a very good time. And sports is supposed to be a good time! This is supposed to be a diversion! We’re supposed to be enjoying ourselves! But this isn’t fun for the athletes, it’s not fun for those trying to make these games happen (and make money off them), and it’s certainly not fun for the fans. Do you want to tune out the noise of the madness of living in 2026 for a few hours and just enjoy a game? Do you want to escape? You can’t. Trump won’t let you. That was how it played out at the Winter Olympics, and that’s how it will be at the World Cup…

Foreign Sports Affairs Open Thread: <em>“Not Possible”</em>Post + Comments (192)

Excellent Read: “Gullible, Cynical America”

by Anne Laurie|  March 9, 20267:40 pm| 87 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links

Adam Serwer, always worth reading:
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0…

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— Anne Laurie (@annelaurie.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 7:28 PM

If nothing we know is true, then anything might be true… Gift link:

Many Americans believe that vaccines are unsafe, but will jab themselves full of performance enhancers. They think seed oils cause chronic disease, but beef tallow is healthy. They’ll say you can’t trust federally insured banks, but you can trust the millionaires who want you to invest in their volatile vaporware crypto tokens. They think food additives are toxic but support an administration removing all restrictions on pumping pollutants into the air and water. They’ll insist that you can’t trust scientists, because they’re part of the conspiracy. The podcaster selling you his special creatine gummies, though? He seems trustworthy.

The coronavirus wasn’t the only epidemic to hit the United States in the past decade. Americans are also facing a bizarre epidemic of gullibility and cynicism—gullicism, if you need a portmanteau—that is drawing people into a world of conspiracism and falsehoods, one where facts are drowned out by a cacophony of extremely loud and wrong voices. Reliable information is both more available and harder to find than ever—and those who spread misinformation have been rewarded with positions of power, platforms they can exploit to further pollute the information environment…

Gullicism creates not just a void but also an opportunity. It creates an ideal business opportunity for snake-oil salesmen to peddle products whose whole appeal is that they’re not scientifically validated. What is ultimately being sold is the feeling that consumers can prove they’re smarter than those snooty experts who think they know everything—and who probably are in on the conspiracy to deprive you of the truth…

Such theories are an example of what Nancy Rosenblum and Russell Muirhead describe in their book A Lot of People Are Saying as “the new conspiracism.” They portray a nation so “disoriented” by nonsense claims that people struggle to determine what is true. The new conspiracism is characterized by the absence of prescriptive solutions—it offers “no notion of what should replace the reviled parties, processes, and agencies of government once covert schemes are revealed.”

But that’s not quite right. What replaces these processes is snake oil: wellness products that cure no one, firearms and freeze-dried food for an inevitable but always delayed apocalypse, volatile digital tokens in exchange for real money. These substitutes provide nothing useful or tangible—only the self-esteem boost that comes from feeling like you understand infectious diseases better than an epidemiologist (or whatever expert told you something you didn’t want to hear). In some cases, the replacement is even worse—between anti-vax lunacy and shots of raw milk in the Oval Office, we appear to have a grand political coalition for returning to the days when people regularly died of diarrhea. You, too, can be a lone, rugged wolf rising above the masses of sheep. (At least until the listeria gets you.)

That’s exactly how the cryptolords and gambling companies and supplement salesmen want you to feel, because if they can sell you that feeling, they can sell you anything at all. That goes for politicians, too…

Excellent Read: <em>“Gullible, Cynical America”</em>Post + Comments (87)

(Qualified) Good News: ICE is re-evaluating the future of Camp East Montana, its largest detention facility

by Anne Laurie|  March 7, 202610:07 am| 54 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Immigration, Shitty Cops, Trump Crime Cartel

DHS says it is re-evaluating the future of the largest immigrant detention center in the country just seven months after it opened at the Fort Bliss army base outside El Paso, Texas.

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— NBC News (@nbcnews.com) March 5, 2026 at 12:38 PM

As with ‘Alligator Alcatraz’, Camp East Montana was a horrific concept badly implemented, and shutting it down would be good news — if (when) it actually happens. Even this grudging announcement means the monsters squatting in the Oval Office are beginning to understand that Stephen Miller’s concentration-camp wet dreams are both hard to implement and liable to cause future legal trouble for its implementers:

… The tented facility known as Camp East Montana has had a troubled history starting with a fatal construction accident and three detainee deaths in less than six weeks, one of which was ruled a homicide. There have also been outbreaks of both tuberculosis and measles.

“ICE is always looking at ways to improve our detention facilities to ensure we are providing the best care to illegal aliens in our custody,” an agency spokesperson said in an email.

She added that the contract for the facility “was inherited” from the Defense Department. “DHS undergoes rigorous audits and inspections of our facilities to ensure they are meeting our high standards. DHS is reviewing this facility and contract. No decisions have been made related to contract extension, termination, or award,” the spokesperson wrote.

The detention center houses almost 3,000 immigrants as of mid-February and the vast majority, 82%, have no criminal histories, according to ICE data…

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More than 100 other people have been isolated in connection with the [measles] outbreak, said Rep. Veronica Escobar, D-Texas, whose El Paso district includes the detention center. She added that Camp East Montana is closed to lawyers and visitors because of the outbreak.

The Fort Bliss facility was built and has been operated by Acquisition Logistics, a small government contractor out of Richmond, Virginia, that won the $1.2 billion ICE contract in July. The firm’s largest previous federal contract was for $16 million…

Its CEO is a 77-year-old man named Kenneth Wagner who appears to run the business out of his private home. Previous attempts to reach Wagner have been unsuccessful.

ICE is in the process of a $38 billion expansion of its detention centers nationwide, according to internal ICE documents. To do this, the agency is buying mega warehouses across the country and plans to use them to boost the number of people who are arrested and detained nationally from 70,000 to 160,000. NBC News was first to report on the warehouse expansion in November.

In January, ICE purchased a warehouse for more than $120 million outside El Paso, not far from Camp East Montana.

Two DHS contractors have expressed skepticism of ICE’s plans to house more than 8,000 detainees per center. They said housing more than 1,500 people in any facility is risky.

Charlotte Weiss from the Texas Civil Rights Project has been visiting the facility almost weekly and has raised concerns about what she says is a lack of food, excessive use of force and inadequate health care. She said the detention center is not scheduled to reopen to visitors until mid-March because of the measles outbreak.

Weiss is hopeful DHS will close the facility for good: “We have been calling for it to be shut down from the very beginning and more so because the government has been on notice on these issues for three months.” …

The Washington Post first broke this story:

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement is taking steps to close Camp East Montana, a massive immigrant detention camp near the Mexican border that opened less than eight months ago, according to an internal ICE document reviewed by The Washington Post.

The document, distributed to agency staff this week, indicated that ICE is drafting a letter to terminate the facility’s contract, but did not give any timeline or reason for the decision. The $1.2 billion contract, awarded to Acquisition Logistics LLC in July of last year, had an estimated date of completion of Sept. 30, 2027…

Once seen as the model for a new breed of makeshift tent encampments the Trump administration planned to rapidly build all over the country in its campaign to detain and deport millions of immigrants, Camp East Montana struggled to provide safe and humane housing for thousands of people, The Post’s reporting has shown. Detainees have complained of physical abuse by guards, inadequate food and substandard medical care. Last September, ICE’s own inspectors found dozens of violations of federal standards.

These problems culminated with the Jan. 3 death of Geraldo Lunas Campos, a Cuban detainee who died following a struggle with detention center staff — an incident the local medical examiner later ruled a homicide. Campos is one of three detainees who died at the facility in the span of two months, including a Guatemalan man who died of health complications last December and a Nicaraguan man who died of an apparent suicide in January.

Camp East Montana’s population has declined to about 1,500 detainees in recent weeks, about half as many people as it held in January, according to a separate internal ICE document obtained by The Post. It is currently closed to visitors and attorneys due to a measles outbreak, according to Rep. Veronica Escobar (D), who represents El Paso and periodically visits the detention center…

“Camp East Montana should have never opened. The $1.24 billion cost for this facility could have been used for healthcare, nutrition programs, and a litany of other things to improve our society and our country,” Escobar said in a statement. “Instead, it promoted the dehumanization of immigrants and lined the pockets of a corrupt, incompetent private prison corporation.”

The El Paso tent encampment was built in the span of a few weeks last year on a formerly empty patch of desert adjacent to the Fort Bliss Army base. When the first detainees arrived Aug. 1, they were held on an active construction site, where dust swirled and excavators hummed as contractors worked to finish building the facility…

At Camp East Montana, detainees live in enormous white tents, each as long as two football fields. Inside, temporary walls divide the cavernous spaces into smaller pods, where up to 72 people eat, shower, sleep in bunk beds and used the bathroom, documents and interviews show. Because the pods are open on top, without ceilings, the conversations, outbursts and cries of hundreds of people create a cacophony day and night.

In September, as the site’s population surged past 1,000 detainees, inspectors with ICE’s detention oversight unit said in an internal report that the migrants were subjected to conditions that violated at least 60 federal standards for immigrant detention, according to The Post’s reporting. The facility lacked basic procedures for keeping guards and detainees safe and for weeks did not provide many of them a way to contact lawyers, learn about their cases or file complaints, the report said.

ICE inspectors also said Camp East Montana failed to follow mandatory procedures for medical care. Some medical charts were never filled out and some intake screenings were never conducted, meaning, the inspectors wrote, that the medical team could not “identify emergent or past chronic medical conditions, mental illness issues such as suicidal/homicidal ideation or intent that could lead to detainee life-safety issue.”

In interviews with the American Civil Liberties Union and other nonprofit groups in November, several immigrants detained at Camp East Montana claimed they were beaten by guards for complaining, demanding medical treatment, refusing to eat or for resisting deportation…

Deaths in ICE detention centers have occurred with increasing frequency in recent months. At least 30 people died in detention last year — the highest in two decades — and at least nine detainees have already died this year, ICE records show.

(Qualified) Good News: <em>ICE is re-evaluating the future of Camp East Montana, its largest detention facility</em>Post + Comments (54)

Trumpery Open Thread: Iran Does Not Have Nukes

by Anne Laurie|  March 2, 20266:14 pm| 152 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Foreign Affairs, Open Threads, Rofer on Nuclear Issues

If Trump hadn’t torn up the Iran deal, those 6 American soldiers would still be alive

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— PatriotTakes 🇺🇸 (@patriottakes.bsky.social) March 2, 2026 at 4:46 PM

Time to say it again!

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— Cheryl Rofer (@cherylrofer.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 7:11 PM

Former front-pager Cheryl Rofer, now posting at Lawyers, Guns & Money:

It’s time to say it again: It’s highly doubtful that the Iranians were pursuing a nuclear weapon. And they certainly don’t have any.

Donald Trump says that (one of the purposes/ the purpose) of his attack on Iran is to make sure they never get a nuclear weapon. He has also tried to look reasonable by saying “All they have to do is say they will not build a nuclear weapon.”

Iran has done that second thing already, by ratifying the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. When North Korea decided to build nuclear weapons, they withdrew from the treaty. Iran has threatened to withdraw, but they haven’t. This is a signal of their intention not to build nuclear weapons.

Trump’s insistence seems more like that of a middle-school boy sitting on another, hollering “Say uncle.” Big strong ayatollahs must come to Trump with tears in their eyes and say it.

Iran had a nuclear weapons program up until 2003 and then gave it up. Iran has said that. Western intelligence services have said that…

All along, there have been factions within Iran that wanted a bomb, mainly in the IRGC. But Ayatollah Khamanei has said several times that nuclear weapons are forbidden by Islam, another expression of that statement Donald Trump says he wants.

I have seen reports that the current negotiators, whose expertise is in real estate, not nuclear issues, may have misunderstood Iran’s recent offers and seemed not to know what the IAEA was. It’s a subject for specialists, which is why specialists were included in the 2014-2015 negotiations.

Iran hasn’t been working toward a bomb. They have played a negotiation based on an understanding that a bomb could be one outcome of their work. The subtlety of that produced the JCPOA. It doesn’t work with a regime whose basic mode of operation is that of gangsters.

what in the world

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— Mike Black (@mikeblack114.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 7:44 PM

this is also true for 90% of the military's understanding of military affairs tbh

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— thinkingbayonet.bsky.social (@thinkingbayonet.bsky.social) March 1, 2026 at 9:06 PM

Probably not related, but it has been noted today that The World’s Most Dangerous Cranky Grandpa has a new health issue. If the neck rash is shingles, I understand that they are very painful & liable to make victims (more) cranky. How fortunate that Trump has the best medical care available to him!

whoa — this is new. Trump has a significant rash-like injury on his neck today in addition to his disfigured hand
(Saul Loeb/Getty)

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) March 2, 2026 at 12:47 PM

Trumpery Open Thread: Iran Does Not Have NukesPost + Comments (152)

How to Dispel That Musky Smell

by Betty Cracker|  March 2, 202612:51 pm| 193 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Domestic Politics, Excellent Links, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Venality, All we want is life beyond the thunderdome, Assholes

Jason Sattler, aka LOLGOP on Bluesky, published an important essay yesterday on Elon Musk’s social engineering con to reelect Trump in 2024 and how Musk plans to use his ill-gotten gains to fuck with the upcoming elections. I almost never say “read the whole thing,” but seriously, read the whole thing.

It’s titled “America Needs to Prepare for Elon Musk Like He’s a State-Sponsored Cyber Attack.” That’s a good way to put it because in terms of resources and connections, Musk is the equivalent of a state actor. Sattler starts by reviewing how Musk pulled off the con in 2024:

Let me walk you through what it actually did, because the details would repulse a society with anything like a healthy gag reflex, and because they reveal the one thing Musk actually believes in: his power to loot America dry, a position that puts him in exact sync with the man he spent more than any individual in the history of the planet to elect.

Muslim voters in Michigan saw pro-Israel ads praising Kamala Harris for marrying a Jewish man and backing Israel’s military. Jewish voters in Pennsylvania, targeted by the same operation, saw ads claiming Harris wanted to cut off U.S. arms to Israel. Young liberals got headlines about how Harris had sold out the progressive movement. Working-class white men in the Midwest were warned she’d impose race-based hiring quotas. Black voters in North Carolina were told Democrats were coming for their menthol cigarettes.

Every one of those messages, totally contradictory and engineered around each target’s specific fears and identities, came from the same organization, routed through a dark-money structure designed to hide that fact. 404 Media documented the Snapchat ad buys in granular detail: same PAC, same campaign, opposite messages, sorted by ZIP code, with Musk as the obscured original donor behind a dark-money nonprofit. In information security, this is called spoofing.

As Sattler points out, this kind of appeal works because it’s microtargeted and emotionally charged. Crucially, it’s also anonymous, so the recipients don’t know they’re being played for suckers.

show full post on front page

This isn’t a new tactic. Russia and other state-sponsored actors microtargeted communities in the runup to the 2016 election to help push Trump over the finish line (remember the “super-predators” thing?).

That was arguably the most successful enemy action since bin Laden baited the U.S. into self-ruinous lashing out 15 years earlier. But now the calls are coming from inside the house, microtargeting and mass communication are much easier to accomplish with AI tools (conveniently controlled by right-wing oligarchs), and the thoroughly corrupt president Musk purchased is fully onboard with the project.

Sattler says media literacy campaigns won’t work to counter this kind of threat, and there’s no opposition party messaging solution either because Musk isn’t looking to persuade. Instead, he’s using his vast wealth and the regrettably still-influential media platform he purchased to sow chaos, hatred and division so he and his sleazy pals can steal our democracy and loot our treasury, as they’re doing right now.

You can’t out-podcast someone whose goal isn’t persuasion but degradation of the epistemic commons itself. It still places the entire burden of defense on individual persuasion and completely ignores what Musk is actually trying to do. He isn’t trying to win people over. He’s trying to poison enough of the electorate that any result Republicans don’t like can be plausibly contested. Those are different attacks, and they require different defenses…

When someone receives a message precision-engineered around their specific identity and fears, delivered through a channel that appears organic and independent, their media literacy doesn’t protect them. Not because they’re unintelligent, but because that’s how human cognition works under emotional strain. Musk’s team has studied this and is building for it. Every false-flag ad is a spear-phishing email optimized for exactly the psychological moment when critical thinking fails.

Sattler compares media literacy strategies to the mostly ineffective user training companies do to try to stop workers from clicking spear phishing links. He notes that training doesn’t help because sophisticated scammers embed personal information designed expressly to defeat critical thinking skills.

Recognizing that, cybersecurity experts focus instead on making attacks harder for scammers to execute, taking the burden off the potential victims. Sattler proposes something similar to deal with Musk and other scammers in the political arena:

The political equivalent is mandatory, real-time disclosure of the ultimate funding source behind every digital political ad, not the shell nonprofit or the PAC name, but the actual billionaire. You don’t ask voters to do anything. You just make the spoofing structurally harder to run.

That sounds like an excellent solution, but it won’t work in the short term at the federal level because it would require legislation written and passed by people who aren’t benefitting from Musk’s scam, i.e., Democrats, who are currently out of power.

In the meantime, Sattler points to a couple of grassroots actions that have thwarted Musk. One is the Tesla Takedown protests that dented Musk’s car brand and sent him scurrying away from public-facing DOGE activities with his tail between his legs.

The other example was when Wisconsin beat back Musk’s attempt to buy a state Supreme Court seat in 2025. Judge Susan Crawford whupped the Musk-backed candidate by explicitly running against Musk:

Crawford made Musk the opponent, not Schimel, the actual name on the ballot. She ran against the money, against the interference, against the sheer gall of the richest man on earth treating a state judiciary like a personal acquisition. Her campaign wasn’t a fact-check operation or a media literacy seminar. It was a sustained, morally direct counter-attack that named the con loudly and repeatedly until the name stuck.

Musk is already gearing up for another round. He donated tens of millions already to support Republicans in the midterms and has strategized directly with Trump, Vance and Wiles, according to Sattler. So we can definitely expect more fuckery.

But Trump is now deeply unpopular, as is Musk. Sattler suggests that Democrats who are running against Musk-backed Republican opponents (which is all of them, basically) hang Musk around their necks like Crawford did. Sounds like a good plan to me.

Open thread.

How to Dispel That Musky SmellPost + Comments (193)

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