I Have Tasked a Review of Curfew Regulation: During This State of Emergency, Curfews Can Be Lifted for Some Cities and Communities – Address by the President

14 January 2026 – 20:01

Dear Ukrainians!

It’s been a long day. I just held an energy-sector meeting – the most important one today. Many issues have been discussed. Denys Shmyhal has been appointed First Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Energy of Ukraine; his key task is to handle the current emergency situation in the energy sector caused by Russian strikes and the harsh winter weather. We separately analyzed the situation in some of our cities – it’s especially difficult in Kyiv, as well as Odesa, Dnipro region – Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih – and several other cities and regions. We can see that much has been done, particularly in Kharkiv, where local authorities were prepared. Kyiv, unfortunately, has done much less – far too little has been done in the capital. And even these past few days, I haven’t seen sufficient effort – all of this must be urgently corrected. Decisions must be made. Legally, the state of emergency in the energy sector will be officially declared – this will provide more possibilities. The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine will simplify to the maximum all processes related to connecting backup energy equipment to the grid. Zero bureaucracy. I have instructed them to increase electricity import capacities – using all business opportunities. In Kyiv and other cities, there must be more, much more, assistance points for people – Points of Invincibility. I have tasked a review of curfew regulations: during this state of emergency, curfews can be lifted for some cities and communities where the security situation allows it. The government officials must present the corresponding proposals. So that people have access to all necessary support at any time, and that businesses can plan their operations more rationally.

I would like to especially thank all energy companies, regional and local authorities, and everyone ready to work together with us, with the state institutions. Unity must be maximized for the sake of shared results.

I held a meeting with the new Minister of Defense of Ukraine, Mykhailo Fedorov. The top priority is the protection of the skies. Decisions, tasks – he’s got everything. We must support the front. Provisioning for brigades, funding, drone supplies – transformation is coming. There are specific tasks for our diplomats – the entire Ukrainian diplomatic corps, which must live with the same problems, the same emotions, the same goals as all Ukrainians. We need more support for our state and our people, for our resilience, for recovery. The necessary requests to partners have been made.

And one more thing.

Today, I spoke with Rustem Umerov and other members of our negotiating team. Work on the documents – security guarantees, economic agreements, and the political document – needs to be swift. On our end, we are being as productive as possible. We also expect energy from the American side in their work. I personally am very much expecting this. I thank everyone who stands with us, who stands with Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

First Lady Zelenska was in Chernihiv today where she opened an age 12 to 21 youth space.

A “12–21” Youth Space Opened in Chernihiv, by the Olena Zelenska Foundation

14 January 2026 – 18:34

A new “12–21” youth space has opened in Chernihiv – the third in the network developed by the Olena Zelenska Foundation. The space is designed for adolescents and young people aged 12 to 21, combining leisure activities, peer-to-peer interaction, and professional psychosocial support.

During the opening, Ukraine’s First Lady, Olena Zelenska, met with teenagers and young people from Chernihiv. Unfortunately, due to an air raid alert, the meeting had to take place in a shelter. Despite this, the young visitors were able to explore the space and experience its welcoming atmosphere.

“For us, it is important that young people come here not out of obligation, but from a genuine need. They should come seeking a sense of safety, support, and acceptance,” Olena Zelenska said.

The First Lady emphasized that Chernihiv is experiencing a difficult winter, with shelling and power outages. Under such conditions, it is especially important for young people to have a place where they are not left alone with their worries. This is exactly what the “12–21” space aims to provide.

The space will host a variety of activities, including creative workshops, training sessions, book clubs, and movie nights. Social workers and psychologists will also be available on-site, offering confidential and free support for any questions or concerns.

The “12–21” youth spaces are already operating in Bila Tserkva and Khmelnytskyi. The network is expanding to ensure that support for adolescents and young people is accessible across all regions of Ukraine.

Georgia:

Mood in Tbilisi, Georgia.

#FreeIran #GeorgiaProtests #StandWithUkraine

📷 Levan Zazadze

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 6:44 PM

A rally in support of the Iranian people was held in front of the Iranian Embassy in Tbilisi, #Georgia.

#FreeIran

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 3:35 PM

Iranian and Georgian protesters stand side by side outside the Iranian Embassy in Tbilisi in solidarity.

Iranians have been protesting here daily, and today a larger rally brought many Georgians out in support. #FreeIran

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:44 AM

A protest in support of the people of Iran was held in Tbilisi. The participants were both Iranian and Georgian citizens. Images of Iran’s Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, were set on fire at the rally.

#Freeiran
#GeorgiaProtests

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:06 PM

A man collapsed during today’s protest outside the Iranian Embassy in Tbilisi.

According to his friends, he had just learned that a family member was killed during protests in Iran.

A solidarity protest for the Iranian people is ongoing in Tbilisi. #FreeIran

📷 Publika

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:54 AM

A Georgian citizen Nutsa Makharadze was arrested at a rally supporting #Iran in Tbilisi “for illegally crossing the road”.

#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:12 PM

A rally in support of the Iranian people was held in front of the Iranian Embassy in Tbilisi, #Georgia.

#FreeIran

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 3:35 PM

The slogans at the Georgian-Iranian protest feel relevant to all participants: one solution – revolution! Regime change! Long live freedom!

#FreeIran #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:44 AM

Protests continue outside the Iranian Embassy in Tbilisi, with Georgian and Iranian demonstrators using zebra crossings to reach the embassy side of the street—an area they’re usually barred from—briefly stopping traffic.

This is risky: blocking roads carries jail sentences.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 10:41 AM

Meanwhile, in the world’s most rapidly consolidating dictatorship at the moment, Ana Bdeiani, a mother of 3 is expected to face criminal prosecution of up to a year prison for standing on a pavement.

#GeorgiaProtests Day 413

📷 Levan Zazadze

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 8:44 PM

Political leader Tamar Chergoleishvili faces an administrative trial over insulting Georgian Dream MP Archil Gorduladze in her Facebook post, while protester Tako Gvilia faces such trial for “insulting a policeman” on her Facebook.

#TerrorinGeorgia #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:11 PM

One way to safeguard Armenia medium-to-long-term is to unseat the illegitimate regime in Georgia that is a Russian proxy, because Armenia now has Russian rule as its northern neighbour.

But, fingers crossed a free Iran enters the picture soon.
oc-media.org/russias-soft…

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 7:37 PM

Today is Georgia’s National Flag Day.

The US Embassy congratulated with a picture of the flag of Georgia.

The EU Delegation made a video, the end of which also featured the flag from the #GeorgiaProtests

1/3

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 8:53 AM

In line with the regime propaganda that tries to not completely lash out at Trump & the US, while fully demonizing the EU, top propaganda media TV Imedi contrasts the two congratulatory messages,

2/3

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 8:53 AM

reinforcing their narrative that the EU does indeed “plan a coup” in Georgia “to drag us into war with Russia and to make us gay.”

3/3.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 8:53 AM

Greenland:

Ted Cruz in 2016, “We’re liable to wake up one morning and Donald Trump if he was President would have nuked Denmark”

“That’s not the temperament of a leader to keep this country safe”

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— Farrukh (@implausibleblog.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 3:37 PM

What did Ted Cruz know and when did he know it.

More seriously:

Denmark confirms an expanded, more permanent Danish and NATO military presence in and around Greenland, beginning today. Deployments span land, sea, and air, including protection of critical infrastructure, fighter jets, and naval operations. Sweden has committed forces; other NATO allies may follow

— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) January 14, 2026 at 2:17 PM

Danish Foreign Minster Lars Løkke Rasmussen speaks after WH meeting: “For us, ideas that would not respect the territorial of the Kingdom of Denmark and the right of self-determination of the Greenlandic people are of course totally unacceptable. We therefore still have a fundamental disagreement.”

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) January 14, 2026 at 2:02 PM

Q: What did Trump’s team say when you told them that you can’t just take over a nation? Did they appreciate that perspective?

GREENLAND FOREIGN MINISTER: I don’t want to say what we discussed in the closed meeting room, but I’d like to have hope for more mutual understanding

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) January 14, 2026 at 2:22 PM

Here’s the full press conference:

Denmark, Greenland failed to win the Trump team over

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— Politico (@politico.com) January 14, 2026 at 3:12 PM

From Politico:

Denmark and Greenland “still have a fundamental disagreement” with the U.S. over President Donald Trump’s desire to control the Arctic territory, Denmark’s foreign minister said Wednesday.

Lars Løkke Rasmussen and his Greenland counterpart, Vivian Motzfeldt, finally had their chance to try to turn down the temperature at the White House after more than a year of aggressive internet trolling, statements and demands from the U.S. Their conversation did little to dissuade Trump and his team from their hold on Greenland.

“We didn’t manage to change the American position,” Rasmussen told reporters after the meeting. “It’s clear that the president has this wish of conquering over Greenland. We made it very, very clear that this is not in the interest of the Kingdom.”

Rasmussen and Motzfeldt took pains to describe the session as respectful, frank and constructive but their frustration that their longtime ally would not cooperate was clear.

“It is of course very emotional for all of us,” Rasmussen said.

The U.S., Denmark and Greenland agreed in the meeting to convene high-level working groups to see if they could find a way forward, but Rasmussen said he was unsure whether it would be possible. One EU diplomat, granted anonymity because they weren’t authorized to speak publicly about the sensitive talks, said this was a positive outcome because the sides agreed to keep the lines of diplomacy open.

Trump said later Wednesday while signing executive orders at the White House that he was still deciding how to address his concerns about Greenland, which he said the U.S. needs for his planned Golden Dome missile defense system.

“If we don’t go in Russia’s going to go in and China’s going to go in,” he said and declined to rule out using military force.

“There’s not a thing that Denmark can do about it if Russia or China wants to occupy Greenland. But there’s everything we can do, we found that out last week with Venezuela,” Trump said. “I can’t rely on Denmark being able to fend themselves off.”

Demands that would violate Denmark and Greenland’s sovereignty are “totally unacceptable,” Rasmussen said.

Denmark has contributed $15 billion to Arctic security over the past two years and has pressed the U.S. and other NATO countries to do more through the alliance, Rasmussen said in the briefing to reporters. Denmark announced earlier Wednesday that it would beef up its security presence in Greenland, which has been under Danish control for nearly 300 years.

The officials noted much of what Trump and his team continue to say about Greenland is untrue, including Trump’s often repeated claim that Greenland is crawling with Russian and Chinese warships. Rasmussen said there has not been a Chinese warship in the Arctic for a decade.

Those statements and Trump’s threatening tone do not yield a constructive dialogue, Rasmussen said.

“It is not easy to think innovatively about solutions when you wake up every morning to different threats,” he said.

I’ll remind everyone that this entire idea of the US buying or conquering Greenland began as a Russian influence operation. Russian intelligence forged a letter from Greenland’s foreign minister in 2019 and sent it to Tom Cotton. Neither Cotton, nor his staff bothered to vet or verify the letter. They didn’t contact the Danish Embassy or the Greenland consulate. Instead Cotton just took it right to Trump, then started talking about it on the Sunday gasbag shows and during Senate committee hearings. Cotton was targeted because he’s a far too credulous ignoramus and Russian intelligence took advantage of that fact.

From United24 Media:

Nearly five years ago, Russia reportedly floated the idea of the US purchasing Greenland in a fake fundraising letter sent to Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton, according to Danish intelligence.

The accusations reemerged on social media over the weekend, just days before Trump’s inauguration.

On January 7, US President-elect Donald Trump stated that he would not dismiss the possibility of using military or economic measures to acquire the Danish overseas territory of Greenland after assuming office on January 20.

In 2022, the Danish Security and Intelligence Service determined that the 2019 letter was a forgery, likely orchestrated by Russia. A Danish intelligence report suggested that Moscow aimed to create tension between Denmark, the US, and Greenland. Moscow denied the accusations in an email to Reuters.

“It is highly likely that the letter was fabricated and shared on the internet by Russian influence agents, who wanted to create confusion and a possible conflict between Denmark, the USA, and Greenland,” said the Danish Security and Intelligence Service in January 2022.

There’s a screen shot of the forged letter at the link.

The US:

Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are seeking to travel to Moscow to meet with Putin
The discussions are expected to cover security guarantees that the US and Europe would provide Ukraine to ensure that any peace agreement holds, as well as the country’s post-war reconstruction- Bloomberg reports.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:47 AM

Oh boy, here we go again. Yes, why don’t we go ask our attacker how we can defend against his future attacks. Brilliant idea

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:47 AM

Poland:

Polish President Nawrocki:

“We in Poland, we don’t know different Russia than aggressive Russia. Never mind Tsarist Russia, White Russia, Bolshevik Russia, or today’s Putin’s Russia – is always the threat for Poland, for Europe, for East-Central Europe.”

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:13 AM

Yes. It’s probably the mysterious Russian soul everyone keeps talking about.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 9:13 AM

Japan:

“Militarnyi” reports that the Embassy of Japan in Ukraine has delivered an undisclosed number of Toyota HMV off-road vehicles to the Ukrainian Defense Forces.
militarnyi.com/uk/news/yapo…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:22 PM

The Ministry of Defense and the Japan Self-Defense Forces decided to transfer various vehicle models back in October 2025. The latest batch arrived in Poland on January 12.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:22 PM

The Caspian Sea:

In the Caspian Sea, the Iranian cargo ship Rona is sinking. The vessel may have been transporting weapons and sanctioned components from Iran to Russia.

The incident occurred off the coast of Turkmenistan. Coastal rescue services saved all 14 crew members.

Interesting 👁👁

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 1:42 PM

Back to Ukraine.

According to the UNHRM in Ukraine, 2,514 civilians were killed and 12,142 injured in 2025 as a result of russia’s war.

That’s 31% more civilian casualties than in 2024, and 70% more than in 2023.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 6:30 AM

The 412th Nemesis Brigade of the hit six Russian air-defense systems and radars within 48 hours , over 48 hours (12–14 January 2026):

• TOR SAM;
• 50N6E Vityaz radar;
• Buk SAM;
• Buk-M1 SAM;
• Strela-10 SAM;
• TOR-M2 SAM.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:50 PM

A rare sight of a Russian tank in all-white winter camouflage.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:43 PM

Second known downed Russian Shahed equipped with a R-60 air-to-air missile

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 5:54 AM

Karamtorsk:

In Kramatorsk, a man was killed in russian attack.

Overnight, russian forces struck the city’s residential sector. A private home was destroyed and a fire broke out. Trapped beneath the rubble, a man lost his life, his body later was recovered by rescuers.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 8:22 AM

The Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant:

🚨 Near the nuclear reactors of the occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, russian forces have positioned military equipment, the spokesperson for the Southern Defense Forces Vladyslav Voloshyn reported.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 10:43 AM

He stated that from this location, the Russians have repeatedly launched artillery strikes on Zaporizhzhia‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 10:43 AM

Kyiv and Chernihiv Oblasts:

The Ukrainian Air Force has released footage showing the downing of jet-powered UAVs over the Kyiv and Chernihiv regions.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 12:36 PM

Kyiv:

Emergency power outages continue in Kyiv. In some districts, electricity has been out for 10 hours or more, so residents of one residential complex gathered for an improvised “picnic” outside their building during yet another blackout.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 7:46 AM

Kyiv’s “Invincibility points ”.

This is how Kyiv residents survive without electricity and heating after Russian attacks.

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— Anton Gerashchenko (@antongerashchenko.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 3:44 PM

Khmelnytskyi Oblast: (h/t: Jay)

Ukrainian Railways made an unscheduled train stop for the 7-year-old daughter of a missing Ukrainian Defender.

Iryna Vlasenko, a resident of the Khmelnytskyi region, had tickets to Kyiv for her seriously ill, bedridden daughter.

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— Anton Gerashchenko (@antongerashchenko.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 1:37 AM

However, due to severe frost and snow-covered roads, they were unable to reach the railway station in the regional center.

She wrote to the company with a request to stop the express train at the small Korzhivtsi station near their settlement, and the railway workers responded.

— Anton Gerashchenko (@antongerashchenko.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 1:38 AM

The child was successfully transported to Okhmatdyt Children’s Hospital, and on the way, the Ukrainian Railways team supported the child with gifts.
📷: _vlasenko._.iryna_99/Threads

— Anton Gerashchenko (@antongerashchenko.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 1:38 AM

Russian occupied Donetsk Oblast:

In occupied Donetsk Oblast, preparations for conscription into military service in 2026 have been announced. The relevant decree was signed by the head of the so-called “DPR,” Denis Pushilin. It applies to men born between 1996 and 2008.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 11:42 AM

According to the decree, a “republican” draft commission will be established in the occupied territory, along with commissions in cities and municipal districts. Their personnel will be approved, and a list of medical facilities where conscripts will undergo examinations will be determined.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 11:42 AM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

Last night in russian Rostov, a drone attack ignited buildings at industrial and warehouse facilities in the city’s industrial zone 👀

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 8:54 AM

Stavropol Krai, Russia:

🔥 In Russia’s Nevinnomyssk, Stavropol Krai, the “Azot” plant is engulfed in a massive fire 👁👁

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 3:16 PM

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

Footage claimed as yesterday’s drone strike on Delta Harmony IMO: 9408463 tanker near Novorossiysk.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 14, 2026 at 3:57 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new Patron video:

@patron__dsns

На вулиці лютий мороз. То якщо ви зустрінете безпритульну собачку чи кота – впустіть їх погрітись бодай у підʼїзд. Нагодуйте чимось теплим. Постеліть коробку чи старе одіяло, аби вони могли перекимарити🥺 Всім лизь з обігрівом 👅☀️

♬ som original – Conde X

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

It’s bitterly cold outside. So if you meet a homeless dog or a cat, let them warm up at least in the entrance. Feed something warm. Put a box or an old blanket on so they can overdo it 🥺 Everyone lick with heating 👅☀️

Open thread!

We Continue Preparing Documents With the U.S. Regarding Security Guarantees and Recovery – Address by the President

13 January 2026 – 20:26

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today has been no easy day – there was another Russian strike, ballistics: 18 ballistic missiles alone, plus cruise missiles and attack drones. Some were shot down. Just with interceptors, 64 “shaheds” alone were shot down. But there were hits, unfortunately.

In fact, it’s been far from the first week this winter that our repair crews, our energy teams, and municipal services in many Ukrainian cities have been working around the clock. The weather adds challenges – extraordinary ones. What matters is that so many of our people are working professionally, restoring supply, striving to keep life going. Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko and government officials are in constant communication with regional heads – ready to support communities as needed in this situation. But the communities themselves must be as active as possible – much depends on whether work in the cities is professionally organized. I thank the community leaders who are in their communities, with the people, and truly helping, and about whom people can say they are really there and effective.

Today, I held a Staff meeting – the focus was on defense issues. Missiles for air defense, production of interceptors, and all necessary supplies. Contracts, funding. We are fully providing for it. What matters is the real and timely fulfillment of all agreements with our partners. The PURL initiative needs funding, and progress in January has been insufficient. This is a task for our entire diplomatic team, both the Office of the President and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs.

I spoke with U.S. Congressmen Lindsey Graham and Richard Blumenthal. I am grateful for the unwavering bipartisan support of Congress. Right now, we are engaged in very productive work with the President of the United States and his team. We went over all the details. I briefed them on the situation with Russian strikes and the need for air defense. We discussed how additional pressure on Russia can deliver strong diplomatic outcomes. And it is crucial that the U.S. Administration has as many instruments as possible for the right kind of pressure. We also discussed support programs that have not yet been fully implemented and can still be put to use. In particular, this specifically applies to protecting the skies.

We continue preparing documents with the U.S. regarding security guarantees and recovery. We are genuinely working to ensure that, in the near future, the formats for signing and approval – legal approval in the United States Congress and in the Ukrainian Parliament – can be in place. Today, Rustem Umerov delivered a report, in particular on these issues as well. It is essential that Ukraine-related issues remain at the top of the agenda in relations with the United States, despite all the information and political challenges that exist today.

We support the position on Iran: A regime that has lasted so many years and killed so many people does not deserve to exist. Changes are needed. Changes are also needed here, in Europe – the bloodshed that Russia started and is the only one still prolonging must come to an end.

I thank everyone who supports us, who supports life, who supports Ukraine. And those in the world who do not stand aside from real problems. If life can be protected, it must be protected.

One more thing.

Today, there was a briefing from Commander-in-Chief Oleksandr Syrskyi. Things are difficult everywhere right now, but at the front, they are the hardest. Considering the weather and the Russian efforts to pretend that the need to end this war does not concern them. Assaults continue. The defense of our positions continues.

I want to thank every unit of ours, every soldier, sergeant, and officer, achieving results for Ukraine. Pokrovsk direction, Huliaipole, Kupyansk direction – all directions wherever needed. Russian losses must not decrease. Our defense at the front is our strength in diplomacy. Ukraine must be strong. I thank everyone who fights for this and who works for Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Tomorrow’s supposed to be a larger protest at the Iranian Embassy in Tbilisi. It’s the day when mass executions are to begin…

#FreeIran #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 4:59 PM

Nana Akobidze, a Georgian woman, says she will keep calling the number of her Booking. com reservation who didn’t show up until she makes sure that she’s alive and safe.

The stranger who consumed Nana’s thoughts is an Iranian woman.

#FreeIran #GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 4:17 PM

A must 👇🏻

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 8:21 AM

Britain:

The UK is preparing to board and seize shadow fleet tankers, just as the US did last week.

In desperation, several shadow fleet tankers switched to Russian flags. However, a Russian flag didn’t protect Bella 1/Marinera. Neither did Russian warships.

This will be interesting.🍿

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 2:03 AM

The G7:

G7 leaders to press Trump next week on approving security guarantees for Ukraine — Financial Times

Leaders of Italy, Germany, France, Canada, and the United Kingdom, together with the President of the European Commission, plan to meet with Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:57 AM

at the World Economic Forum in Davos next week. Leaders from some “Coalition of the Willing” countries may also join the meeting. Separate talks at the level of national security advisors are also expected.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:57 AM

Allies intend to press Trump to approve the agreements that were negotiated by his representatives at last week’s summit in Paris. These agreements are considered critically important for ensuring Ukraine’s security after a potential ceasefire.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:57 AM

NATO:

NATO’s Rutte:

“Let’s not forget that, at the moment, the russians are losing massive numbers of soldiers due to the Ukrainian defense, the staunch Ukrainian defense.

In a single month, this amounts to 20,000 to 25,000 Russian soldiers killed.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 1:24 PM

I am not talking about those seriously wounded, but about those killed-dead- 20,000 to 25,000 a month!”

Honestly, the number is mind-blowing to me. Twenty-five thousand soldiers die in a foreign land every month, in a war they do not need. I would be furious if my government did that.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 1:24 PM

But russians don’t care or support. 🤷‍♀️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 1:24 PM

Greenland:

Greenland PM Jens-Frederik Nielsen:

“If we have to choose between the US & Denmark here and now, we choose Denmark. We choose NATO. We choose the Kingdom of Denmark. We choose the EU.”

“Greenland does not want to be owned by the US. Greenland does not want to be governed by the US” he later added.

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— Adam Schwarz (@adamjschwarz.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 2:50 PM

The US:

Trump threatened Greenland’s PM: “I don’t even know who he is, I don’t know anything about him. But that’s gonna be a big problem for him.”

Wild idea, maybe start by reading the briefing notes on allies *before* threatening them. #overrated #apparently

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 5:52 PM

Ambassador Bruce to UN Security Council:

“We condemn Russia’s continuing and intensifying attacks on Ukraine’s energy facilities and other civilian infrastructure. These attacks make a mockery of the cause of peace, a cause of paramount importance to the world and to President Trump”

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 9:48 AM

Iran:

Hundreds of missiles, millions of rounds of ammunition, and Shahed-136 drones and technology that has enabled russia to manufacture them domestically under the name “Geran-2”

It’s the same drones russia unleashes by the hundreds each day to murder Ukrainians.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 9:35 AM

The Black Sea:

3 Greek-managed oil tankers were hit by unidentified drones in the Black Sea on Tuesday as they were on their way to load crude at a terminal on Russia’s coast – Reuters 👀

Shadow fleet must be stopped.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 9:20 AM

The Sahel:

The Center for Countering Disinformation of Ukraine reports that Russia has publicly admitted for the first time that a “private military company” is involved in its so-called “cultural centers” in African countries, assisting in their opening and security operations.
t.me/c/1663231580…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 11:08 AM

These are the Russia Houses. The entire network is run from the one in Bangui. There are all legal fronts in what was Prigozhin’s network.

Back to Ukraine.

Day 1419 of my 3 day war. Unleash the teletubbies!!!

I remain a master strategist.

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— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 3:19 PM

A deep, nuanced portrait of General Zaluzhnyi
– from wartime commander and national symbol, to ambassador in London, to the figure many Ukrainians quietly project their future hopes onto.

Highly recommend taking the time to read this.⬇️

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 12:50 PM

From The Washington Post:

LONDON — The man who many Ukrainians see as the most credible alternative to President Volodymyr Zelensky lives in London, far from the battlefields that have defined his career. For the past year and a half, retired Gen. Valery Zaluzhny, Ukraine’s former commander in chief, has been its ambassador to Britain, a post widely regarded as a graceful exile after his dismissal by Zelensky in February 2024.

Zaluzhny’s distance from Kyiv, possibly an attempt to sideline his political ambitions even before he voiced any, instead has left him at a safe — if at times personally frustrating — remove from tensions back home. Zelensky has been rattled by a corruption scandal and is under pressure from President Donald Trump to accept a plan to halt the war that will likely force him to cede territory.

Already, jabs by Trump — echoing a talking point of Russian President Vladimir Putin — have forced Zelensky to say that he would be prepared to call an election if the United States and its allies provide security guarantees, and if the Ukrainian parliament adopts legislation to allow a vote under martial law.

Experts on democracy and elections say it would be impossible to meet international standards for a free and fair election in wartime conditions, with millions of Ukrainians displaced. But even hints of a vote, along with signals by Zelensky that he would not remain in office after the war, have stirred speculation about Ukraine’s future and renewed attention on Zaluzhny. In Ukraine, where he is credited with holding off Russia’s early onslaught, no name looms larger in the public imagination.

“You could almost say it was a win-win situation,” Orysia Lutsevych, head of the Ukraine Forum at Chatham House, said of the general’s appointment as ambassador. “It avoided destabilizing Ukraine, where he was so popular, while giving him something useful to do in wartime that is related to the war effort.”

Even from abroad, Zaluzhny has maintained the habits of a commander. In his embassy office in London, he watches live battlefield feeds on a bank of monitors. He rarely speaks with Zelensky now but has never publicly criticized the man who ended his military career. Removed from uniform — his hefty frame now fills business suits — he has continued to serve with disciplined restraint.

Zaluzhny’s wartime record is mixed. He is credited with defending Kyiv in 2022 and leading stunning counterattacks that pushed back the Russians in Kharkiv and Kherson that fall but also associated with a failed 2023 counteroffensive that led to many casualties but no significant battlefield gains.

Yet public trust in him has endured. Polls suggest he would be a formidable contender if he ran for president, though even his aides say they do not know whether he intends to do so. Zelensky removed him amid disagreements over mobilization levels and growing unease in the presidential administration about the general’s popularity.

Zaluzhny writes articles, delivers speeches and issues statements, but largely avoids interviews. The Ukrainian Embassy in London did not respond to an interview request for this article.

Zaluzhny, 52, has served as ambassador to Britain since July 2024.

He has met with British officials and diplomats from around the world, spoken at cultural events and steadily built a civilian identity separate from his military past. He occasionally posts glimpses of his new life in London, including a Tower Bridge selfie with his wife. Some posts have drawn light mockery back home, a sign of how closely Ukrainians watch him.

People who have met Zaluzhny describe a soft-spoken, attentive figure who is comfortable delegating, and whose speeches often gravitate toward defense and the future of modern warfare, subjects he treats with professional fascination.

He has been an engaged diplomat, addressing Ukrainian students at Cambridge, meeting with Defense Secretary John Healey, accompanying King Charles III during a visit to a trauma research center at Imperial College London, addressing both the Labour and Conservative party conferences, reflective of U.K.’s bipartisan support of Ukraine.

Ukrainian political figures sometimes visit him at the embassy in London’s Holland Park, according to media reports. But Zaluzhny does not solicit publicity and has publicly denied forming a political team or supporting elections while there is a war. His media adviser, Oksana Torop, a former BBC journalist, told the New Voice of Ukraine that “there’s no such thing as a campaign headquarters.”

Observers say London has broadened Zaluzhny’s profile. Previously known exclusively as a military leader, increasingly he carries himself as a statesman. A splashy feature in Vogue Ukraine last summer showed him in a sharp blue suit and set off buzz about political ambitious — speculation he has repeatedly played down.

Polling nonetheless shows how competitive he could be.

In a survey published in December, IPSOS found that 23 percent of respondents preferred Zaluzhny, compared with 20 percent who supported Zelensky. Other figures in the survey trailed well behind, including former president Petro Poroshenko at 9 percent and Kyrylo Budanov, the former head of military intelligence who was recently appointed as Zelensky’s new chief of staff, at 7 percent.

That support, analysts said, is driven in part by anxiety about the future. Many Ukrainians expect Russia to attack again even if the war is halted, said Mykola Davydiuk, a political scientist and author of “How Putin’s Propaganda Works.” In that scenario, he said, voters want a leader who understands how to prepare for — and deter — another war.

Zaluzhny has pushed back against speculation he is preparing for a political run. “I do not recognize any idea of holding elections during the war,” he wrote in an October Facebook post. “I am not creating any headquarters or parties and, as a matter of principle, have no ties to any political force. As long as I have the ability to serve the state, I will do so.”

Ukrainian law prohibits presidential elections under martial law, and democracy experts have noted the seeming absurdity of Putin complaining that Zelensky has stayed in office beyond the normal length of a term because of a war that Russia started, while Putin rewrote Russia’s constitution to eliminate term limits and has long won elections widely derided as neither free nor fair.

Zaluzhny emerged as a national hero after the Ukrainian army thwarted Moscow’s expectation of a swift victory. Several towns and cities have named streets after him, a sign of how strongly his wartime leadership resonated.

“After the battle for Kyiv, there was this certain realization that the Ukrainian army was in hands of a very competent man who could make decisions quite swiftly, but also who had all the features that good Western military leaders have,” said Natia Seskuria, an associate fellow at the Royal United Services Institute. She noted that Zaluzhny helped modernize Ukraine’s military by embracing NATO standards and delegating authority — a departure from Soviet-style command.

After the failed counteroffensive left Ukraine’s forces deeply depleted, Zaluzhny proposed calling up as many as half a million troops, while Zelensky argued that level was unrealistic given limited funds and resources. Several reports said that tensions between the men had been building for months.

Announcing Zaluzhny’s departure, Zelensky posted a picture of them shaking hands, saying they had discussed “renewed leadership” and that he had asked the general to remain “part of the team.” His reassignment to London was widely seen as difficult, for him and for many Ukrainians.

“He’s a military man and Zelensky removed him from the job of his life,” Davydiuk said. “But he never said anything bad — he respects the position of the presidency and the state institution.”

More at the link.

The Tempest air defense system in service with the Ukrainian Air Force. It has already accounted for 21 downed Russian Shahed drones.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 8:38 AM

Kharkiv:

Russian Molniya drone struck Kharkiv today. The latest update says it injured a 16-year-old girl.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 1:01 PM

Makiivka:

Something is on fire in occupied Makiivka

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 1:31 PM

Makiivka and Mariupol:

Birds of the SBS showed how they “blacked out” Mariupol and destroyed an RAV warehouse of Military Unit 51A in Makiivka on the night of January 12 – 13.

t.me/c/1680956281…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:16 AM

The courtesy visits were carried out by the Birds of the 1st Separate Detachment of the SBS and the “Kairos” Battalion of the 414th Brigade “Birds of Madyar,” coordinated by the newly established Deep Strike Center of the SBS Grouping, with reconnaissance support from the SBU.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:16 AM

Russian occupied Mariupol:

After a UAV visit, there are power outages in occupied Mariupol and a number of regions in the occupied Donetsk region.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 5:28 AM

Orihiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

Orihiv, once a cozy town of 15,000 people, stood proud for 250 years until russia came to destroy it.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 4:19 PM

Russian occupied Donetsk Oblast:

Ukrainian channels report that occupied Donetsk is currently under a UAV attack. It is reported that a Ukrainian drone hit a TV tower in the Petrovskyi district.
What a shame – now it’ll be a struggle for the Russians to broadcast their propaganda.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 12:05 PM

Izium, Kharkiv Oblast:

A mass grave near Izium where 447 bodies were discovered. After deoccupation, a site was found where people had been buried without coffins and without names, often with several bodies in a single grave.
www.instagram.com/reel/DTcuOti…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:59 AM

To preserve memory against time and silence, Skeiron created an accurate 3D replica of this burial site. Using records from the city’s only active wartime funeral service, they matched data to the site – transforming anonymous numbers back into names.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 10:59 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

“Electricity is not a right but a privilege”- russian propagandist Simonyan about attacks on Ukrainian infrastructure.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 4:10 PM

Oryol Oblast, Russia:

The thermal power plant in the city of Oryol is also on fire following a UAV attack.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 7:27 AM

Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, Russia:

During the night, the “Atlant-Aero” plant in Taganrog was attacked. The plant is engaged in the production of aircraft, including spacecraft.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 6:14 AM

It is currently one of the important components of Russia’s military-industrial complex. The facility also manufactures components for combat drones, control systems, and electronic warfare systems.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 6:14 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

🇺🇦🐶 His eyes are closed, his nose is calm, and his body is relaxed—he completely trusts his human. He doesn’t care that there is a war going on around him. He knows only one thing: here, in these reliable arms, under this military jacket, he is warm and safe.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) January 13, 2026 at 2:06 PM

Open thread!

We Are Coordinating with the Envoys of President Trump on the Schedule of Meetings – Our Documents Are, in Many Respects, Already Prepared for Signing – Address by the President

12 January 2026 – 20:45

I wish you health!

Today’s summary. There was a meeting with the negotiating team regarding all the outcomes of communication with the American team. The guys stay in contact essentially every day, and a lot has already been done. We are coordinating with the envoys of President Trump on the schedule of meetings – our documents are, in many respects, already prepared for signing. We expect that the Davos format this year will be sufficiently productive specifically in terms of our relations with partners and our recovery after Russian strikes. Now it is necessary for government officials to promptly analyze each of the documents on economic agreements so that all of Ukraine’s interests are fully taken into account. We are also working to create effective financing mechanisms for recovery – fair for Ukraine. Thank you to everyone who is helping us.

We understand that the American side is in constant contact with Russia, including regarding the basic document for ending the war. This is a political document, and we have outlined our vision – what can realistically work. And although the diplomacy of Ukraine, the United States, and our partners has been extraordinarily active over the past few months, the main question remains unanswered – and this question concerns Russia, and what they are ready for. Russia’s behavior and rhetoric in no way indicate that they want to end this war or are preparing for that. Everyone sees this. And it depends entirely on our partners – first and foremost on the United States and the President of the United States – what Russia will choose: peace or continued war. That is why all options for pressure on the aggressor must remain on the table – all pressure options.

We see how principled action can be taken against the shadow tanker fleet, as in the case with Venezuelan oil. When there is political will, oil flows can be stopped without any trouble for the global market. We also see that there are many tools to block those who evade sanctions or prop up marginal regimes. Russia must start trying all of this on for size now – if it refuses to move toward real peace. Especially since the circle of Russia’s accomplices is narrowing. And what is happening in Iran now – large-scale protests, in fact an uprising – is also a clear sign that things will not become easier for Russia. And every decent person in the world genuinely wants the people of Iran to finally have the fortune to free themselves from the regime in power there – one that has brought so much evil, including to Ukraine and other countries. It is important that the world does not miss this moment – when change is possible. And every leader, every country, and international organizations must now engage – to help the people remove those responsible for the fact that Iran, unfortunately, has been what it has been. Everything can be different.

Today, I had a good meeting with the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Norway. Norway is one of our biggest supporters in defense. A leader in the PURL initiative, which allows us to purchase American weapons, primarily air defense systems. Norway has significantly helped us with air defense. We again discussed exactly these matters: the protection of the sky, our joint steps, our joint plans – both with Norway and with other partners in Europe. There is also a new support package from Norway – 400 million for energy and for Ukraine’s resilience. Eight billion in annual assistance from Norway. This is very tangible. Thank you!

And today I continued personnel changes – both in the regions and in the Security Service of Ukraine. There will be more decisions. We also just spoke with Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko about recovery and work in all regions. I thank everyone who is literally working for the sake of life. We agreed with the Prime Minister to develop a special program to support precisely these people – those who work directly in repair crews, 24/7, in the most difficult conditions. The government will propose ways to significantly increase the pay of such specialists for each month of winter. And please, make sure to pay attention to the air raid alerts. There is intelligence indicating that the Russians are preparing a new massive strike. Drones to deplete our air defenses, and missiles. They want to exploit the cold. This strike may occur in the coming days. Please take care of yourselves. Take care of Ukraine. And help those who are in the most difficult situation and who need support. Together, we will overcome everything.

Glory to Ukraine!

First Lady Zelenska was in Vienna today participating in a study group on barrier free environments at the state and municipal levels of government.

A Systemic Approach to a Barrier-Free Environment: Discussion Was Held on the Results of the Ukrainian Delegation’s Study Visit to Vienna

12 January 2026 – 18:11

First Lady of Ukraine Olena Zelenska took part in a meeting presenting the results of the Ukrainian delegation’s study visit to Vienna. Ukraine’s representatives examined how issues of a barrier-free environment are managed at both the state and municipal levels.

“During my visit to Vienna last year, we agreed to organize these trips, when I had the opportunity to see with my own eyes how systematically accessibility is built there. It was important for me to see that accessibility in this city works not ‘on request,’ but constantly – not in isolated pockets, but as a single system. Transportation, streets, institutions, and buildings are connected by a comfortable shared space. And people are united by barrier-free opportunities in meeting their needs. This is exactly the approach we strive for in Ukraine,” the First Lady emphasized.

The participants of the visit familiarized themselves with how accessibility processes are planned and implemented within European city systems. In particular, they studied accessible urban development, the experience of social enterprises that employ and train young people with disabilities, and career orientation systems developed for teenagers starting at age 15.

“This topic is especially important for Ukraine. Last year, my Foundation conducted a study called the Future Index. According to the results, only one-third of Ukrainian teenagers were able to say who they want to become. Yes, our children are growing up in wartime conditions, but we must help them envision the future and make plans, just like children do all over the world,” Olena Zelenska noted.

Within a month after returning, the members of the delegation worked in their respective communities to develop projects for changes in urban management, which will be implemented over the next six months. These projects were presented at today’s meeting.

Obligatory:

Georgia:

“The fight for Mzia’s freedom continues” – a march in support of Mzia Amaglobeli. On December 12, 2025, exactly one year ago, Mzia Amaglobeli was illegally arrested under criminal law.

#GeorgiaProtests
#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 12:01 PM

A protest march is being held in Tbilisi today, exactly one year after the illegal detention of media manager Mzia Amaglobeli. Her brother, Malkhaz Amaglobeli, is participating in the march.

#GeorgiaProtests
#TerrorinGeorgia

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 11:46 AM

In Tbilisi, it’s the third day in a row that people gather in front of the Iranian Embassy to support the people of Iran. Iranians living in Georgia and Georgians are both there.

On January 14, the first day when executions are to take place,

1/2

📷 Dodie Kharkheli

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 11:51 AM

a larger rally at the Embassy was announced at 6 PM Tbilisi time.

The daily #GeorgiaProtests at Rustaveli is now also demonstrating support for Iranians, so we actually have two locations for #FreeIran.

2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 11:51 AM

Iranians and their supporters continue to gather daily in front of the Iranian embassy in Tbilisi. Despite the protest being peaceful, police presence is heavy and protesters are kept on the opposite side of the street. #FreeIran

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 10:38 AM

This is the same dude who got confronted by a Georgian guy last year, on this very day — his birthday trip — in Abu Dhabi, later leading to his troubles in the Emirates and temporary detention.

Plan birthdays better next time, Irakli [Zarkua].

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 4:23 PM

Ooopsie!

France:

At this point, these are just thoughts.. but Trump gave them all the reasons to have these

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— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) January 12, 2026 at 11:51 AM

The Nordic states:

“Nordic diplomats rejected Trump’s claims of Russian and Chinese vessels operating near Greenland, which he has invoked to justify his desire to seize the vast Arctic island from Denmark.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 9:33 AM

Two top Nordic diplomats with access to Nato intelligence briefings said there were no signs of Russian and Chinese ships or submarines in recent years around Greenland. They are in the Arctic, yes, but on the Russian side.”

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 9:33 AM

Moldova:

President of Moldova Maia Sandu stated that if there were a referendum on unification with Romania, she would vote yes because:

“It is getting more and more difficult for a small country like Moldova to survive as a democracy, as a sovereign country, and of course to resist Russia.”

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 12:35 PM

Larger countries might interpret this as a sign of weakness, yet to me it reflects her awareness of just how far russia is prepared to go to restore its empire.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 12:35 PM

Estonia:

Estonia has banned hundreds of Russian soldiers and militants involved in the war against Ukraine from entering the country, and is calling on other EU nations to create a “unified blacklist” within the Schengen Area.
news.err.ee/1609907773/e…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 10:59 AM

NATO:

NATO’s Rutte:

“We saw just last week the use of the Oreshnik missile on Lviv, and continued attacks on civilian and energy infrastructure.

​Russia is trying to deter us from supporting Ukraine, but we will not be deterred.”

We very much hope so! Thank you!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 9:09 AM

Germany:

Rheinmetall will provide Ukraine with the first five Lynx KF41 IFVs, following a contract signed in December 2025. The first deliveries are planned for early 2026. The initial batch valued in the mid double-digit millions of euros, with funding provided by Germany.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 5:30 AM

Armenia:

“Russia is not your enemy,” they said. Aha.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 5:08 PM

The US:

Castelion has unveiled a new missile designed for HIMARS systems.

– The system is called Blackbeard GL — a low‑cost, mass‑produced missile with a range of up to 1,000 km.
– It features a homing warhead capable of striking moving targets.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:39 AM

– The missile is compatible with M142 HIMARS and M270 launchers.
– Development is expected to be completed by 2027.

Ukraine can offer free testing 😏
Loooots of testing! 😁

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:39 AM

Since the last time Trump spoke about cards, russia has lost 20% of its entire long‑range aviation fleet and lots of oil production capabilities.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 6:54 AM

Britain:

The reason this is being developed is so Europe doesn’t need to buy ATACMS. So well done Donald, you’ve screwed American business again.

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— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:49 AM

Back to Ukraine.

“Every time the international community believes that Russia has reached the limits of lies and barbarity, Moscow once again outdoes itself, finding the way to sink even lower and proving that there is no bottom to its criminal intent.” – Ambassador Andrii Melnyk

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:26 PM

Ukraine’s energy workers are thawing pipes completely frozen under layers of ice to restore heating to Ukrainian homes amid severe subzero temperatures.

Ordinary people performing miracles — while the world watches russian genocide unfold in real time.

This is despicable.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 1:08 PM

Please help me to show these images widely.

russia doesn’t want peace. It wants to kill as many of us as it can.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 1:35 PM

Horseshit. I did that while you were being indicted. 😤

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— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 9:34 AM

This came from @kateinkharkiv.bsky.social. the SVR claim she gets mad when I don’t give credit as she has crush on Prez.

Can you really blame her?

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 9:34 AM

Russian military are testing some unknown technology. By the looks of it, this is a portable, individual tent meant to protect infantry from winter weather during assaults. Apparently, Russian soldiers are expected to move forward while wearing this tent on themselves.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 12:08 PM

Russian ground robotic complexes eliminated by drone pilots of the 5th Assault Brigade.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 4:10 AM

Military communications expert “Flash” reports that cases of Shahed drones dropping PTM-3 mines are being documented in Ukraine. The drones are mining both specific areas and territories near their crash sites.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 7:43 AM

These mines are equipped with magnetic fuzes and are designed to target State Emergency Service or police vehicles. Furthermore, due to the snow, they are now invisible to the naked eye.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 7:43 AM

Makiivka, Russian occupied Donetsk Oblast:

Fire and detonation reported in occupied Makiivka 👀🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 11:43 AM

Russian occupied Mariupol:

Something is on fire in occupied Mariupol

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 4:26 PM

Kharkiv:

More explosions in Kharkiv ‼️ too fast and too many to count. Russia is attacking our city with missiles 🚨

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 5:12 PM

Kharkiv is under russian attack right now ‼️

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 5:24 PM

Again explosion in Kharkiv ‼️ i lost count of how many times russia struck us tonight.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 6:52 PM

Local authorities report at least two people killed in tonight’s russian attack on Kharkiv ‼️

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 7:53 PM

Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast:

“Khartiia” has established control over the Kupiansk City Council building, with the Ukrainian flag already flying above it. The Defense Forces of Ukraine are completing the clearance of the city, according to the corps’ press service.
t.me/c/1477552474…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 4:56 PM

Yahidne, Chernihiv Oblast:

russian occupation is not peace. It’s taking the entire village hostage in the school basement, killing tens of fellow villagers by inhumane treatment and deprival of medical care.

We must not allow rewriting history especially as our wounds are still bleeding. #yahidne #makerussiapay

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 10:27 AM

Kyiv:

Fucking explosions in Kyiv again

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 6:11 PM

It’s not like I had electricity for the past 2 days anyway

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 6:11 PM

The Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk axes:

On 12 January 2025, strike drones destroyed three Russian air-defense assets on the Zaporizhzhia and Donetsk axes:
• P-18 “Prima” radar
• Tor SAM system
• Tunguska SPAAG/SAM system

These were the 9th, 10th, and 11th enemy radar and air-defense assets destroyed between 1–12 January

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:38 AM

Odesa Oblast:

Russians are currently launching a massive drone attack on the Odesa region. Local social media channels report that a Shahed drone struck a vessel in the waters near Odesa. A massive fire broke out, which local residents spotted from the shore.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 11:29 AM

Dnipro:

The “Rubikon” center of Russia’s Ministry of Defense published UAV footage showing the attack on oil tankers in Dnipro on January 5.

The Shahed drones were equipped with video cameras transmitting live footage.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:15 AM

The Russians can see in real time where their guided drones are striking. In these cases, the UAVs were fitted either with Starlink, LTE modules, or used mesh networking if a group of drones was operating.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 8:15 AM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

The Novocherkassk power plant in russia’s Rostov region is still burning after being attacked early this morning local time. 👀

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 12, 2026 at 9:23 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

A new Patron video!

@patron__dsns

Хто в якій команді? Оголошую перекличку в коментарях🐶🐱😄

♬ original sound – vicmram

Here’s the machine translation of the caption:

Who is in which team? I announce the roll call in the comments🐶🐱😄

Open thread!

The First Priority Is Air Defense Missiles. Tomorrow We Have a Meeting Where We Will Be Discussing This – Address by the President

11 January 2026 – 20:23

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Throughout the day, I received reports from Prime Minister Yuliia Svyrydenko, our government officials, and the Office on the situation in the regions. Restoration efforts, electricity, and heating were the key topics.

There are communities where the situation, unfortunately, remains extremely difficult – particularly in parts of towns and villages in the border regions. In Kyiv, repair work is still ongoing after the strike that occurred the day before yesterday. The main task is to restore energy supply to all homes.

Nearly two hundred repair crews are also working in the Kyiv region, with active support from the State Emergency Service of Ukraine. Thank you. Brovary, Vasylkiv, Fastiv, Boryspil – the situation is most difficult there. Much has been done, but a significant number of families are still without electricity. Across the entire country, Points of Invincibility have been deployed in all regions, with the involvement of the capacities of Ukrzaliznytsia, Naftogaz, and other state companies.

Dnipro, Zaporizhzhia, Kharkiv, Donetsk regions – everywhere our energy workers are on the ground right now, along with repair crews and all municipal services that are truly working, truly doing incredible and genuinely heroic things.

The harsh winter weather adds difficulties. That is why it is so hard. That is exactly the kind of weather the Russians are trying to exploit. I am grateful to everyone in Ukraine who – through repairs, through restoration, despite everything – is defending life.

I spoke with Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi, and first of all we discussed air defense and supplies from our partners – what is on the way, what is needed, which requests have still not been fulfilled, and what needs to be accelerated. The first priority is air defense missiles. In particular, tomorrow we have a meeting where we will be discussing this. New contributions from partners to the PURL initiative are needed, as well as deliveries from stockpiles in Europe: the missiles are there in the depots, and we know that, we know all of it – and they have to be in service with our air defenders.

Today, Rustem Umerov delivered a report on his communications with the American side. We are planning the schedule of meetings and further negotiations, and Ukraine is as constructive as possible and as fast as possible in this process. We are not dragging out time – unlike Russia. They have already dragged things out enough, to be honest. Russia’s full-scale war against Ukraine has now lasted as long as Nazi Germany’s war against the Soviet Union.

Today is the one thousand four hundred eighteenth day of Russia’s war against Ukraine. They wanted to repeat – and they repeated the abuse of people, repeated fascism, repeated almost all the worst things that happened in the twentieth century. They even additionally invented warfare with “shaheds” and ballistic missiles against power plants and boiler houses.

But still, the Russians are trying to seize the same Donbas as almost four years ago. They want to lie once again that they “took” Kupyansk. They keep dying endlessly in the fields of Zaporizhzhia region. And they are still fighting against Ukraine only – with all the help from our partners, it is only our people who are holding the front.

This speaks volumes about the system Putin has built, and about him personally. Right now, Russian losses amount to no less than 1,000 killed per day – and this has been the case since December. This is how Russia is essentially paying just to keep the war from ending.This is madness.

And this Russian madness can only be stopped by combined forces – the forces of Europe and the United States, the forces of all our partners. Every day of this war is a reminder that the world cannot protect itself from madmen. We must protect it. Russia must be stopped.

Thank you to everyone who stands with Ukraine! Thank you to everyone who helps our people, our defense, and our recovery! Thank you!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Day 410 of daily, uninterrupted protests in Georgia. 🇬🇪

The crowd in front of Parliament on Rustaveli Avenue, and Dati, one of the strays who always attends the protests and often barks at oncoming traffic and police. 🐕

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 12:57 PM

I sometimes forget how beautiful the Georgian national anthem is — until protesters sing it in traditional polyphonic harmony.

Journalists and activists are gathered outside Rustavi women’s prison to mark one year since the illegal arrest of journalist Mzia Amaghlobeli.

🎥 Publika

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 1:12 PM

Day 410 of #GeorgiaProtests

Iranians living in 🇬🇪 recently joined the protests in a magnificent blend of international protest against dictatorship, and it’s been at least two days of such 🇬🇪-Iranian protests in Tbilisi.

I’m not crying, you’re crying.

#FreeIran #FreeGeorgia

📷 Levan Zazadze

1/2

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 1:48 PM

Before anyone starts pouring out shameless conspiracy theories, the American flag is there because at the daily protests in Georgia, we always have US, UK, Ukrainian, French, German, and other ally flags of Georgia.

2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 1:48 PM

“The Iranian lion has awoken,” this Georgian protest banner says.

Day 410 of #GeorgiaProtests

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 1:48 PM

It has been a year since Mzia Amaghlobeli was arrested. This is footage of her first arrest. She was briefly released afterward, and soon after that came the slap and her arrest under the criminal code. For placing a sticker on a wall for a few seconds, she was fined about $700.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 6:18 AM

Lithuania:

OTD in 1991 January events in Vilnius began. They are part of our “peaceful withdrawal from our own territory of the USSR” which Lithuania had joined “on a contractual basis”.

14 died and 700+ injured “trying to stop is leaving” is how my tankies say it.

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— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 9:47 AM

We genuinely pretend as hard as we can we have no idea why so many of our former colonies want to join NATO cos we never whitewash this at all.

My Lithuanian fans might be comforted knowing those very tanks are probably rusting in Ukrainian field coated inside with Orc puree

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 9:47 AM

Chechnya:

Kadyrov has suffered kidney failure, discussions are underway in Russia about a potential new head of Chechnya – a source in GUR for Ukrinform.

He is currently being treated at his private hospital in Chechnya. Members of his family clan (teip), including relatives from abroad, have gathered there.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 10:50 AM

At the same time, the process of selecting a potential successor has intensified. Among the most likely candidates are Magomed Daudov, Apti Alaudinov, and Ramzan’s eldest son Akhmat.

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 10:50 AM

From UKRINFORM:

According to Ukrinform, this was reported by a source in the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine.

It is noted that due to kidney failure, Kadyrov is undergoing dialysis, and doctors are not giving any prognoses.

According to sources in the Defense Intelligence of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Kadyrov is currently in his own hospital in Chechnya, where members of his family clan (teip) have gathered, including those from other countries.

Against the backdrop of Kadyrov’s poor health, the process of selecting a candidate for the position of the new leader of Chechnya has intensified.

Among the most likely and convenient candidates for the Kremlin are Magomed Daudov, Apti Alaudinov, and Ramzan’s eldest son, Akhmat Kadyrov.

Slovakia:

Slovakia will no longer provide military support to Ukraine or contribute to EU loan guarantees, President Pellegrini, PM Fico and Parliament Speaker Raši announced after meeting in Bratislava.

www.aktuality.sk/clanok/vQbXf…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Britain:

Interviewer: If you could kidnap one world leader, who would it be?

British Defense Secretary ​John Healey: Oh, I would take Putin into custody, hold him account for these war crimes, hold him account for what I saw in Bucha on one of my first visits to Ukraine, and for

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 6:24 AM

the abduction of some of the Ukrainian kids that I met in Irpin.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 6:24 AM

Back to Ukraine.

Ukraine fields 900,000 active troops, one of Europe’s largest armies. Together with NATO’s European members, they outnumber Russian forces more than two to one.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 7:49 AM

African mercenaries, some singing in Swahili, fighting for fascist Russia in Ukraine.

The war will continue to rise in intensity and expand in geography until the West provides Ukraine with sufficient military and economic support for it to be able to defeat fascist Russia.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 5:58 AM

«Here’s a gyroscope from Oreshnik. Yuri Gagarin flew with one of these.»

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM

The Oreshnik is primarily a psychological weapon aimed at the minds of Ukrainians and Western leaders.

It’s basically a variant of the RS-26, built on Soviet-era tech with a few modern bits bolted on, one less stage, and a reconfigured warhead.

In short, it’s Putin’s answer to Hitler’s V-2.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 5:28 AM

From Major General (ret) Mick Ryan’s Futura Doctrina:

The Oreshnik Attack. Both Ukrainian and Russian officials have now confirmed that Russia did indeed launch an Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) strike against Lviv on the evening of 8-9 January 2026. It is only the second time the Russians have employed this missile during the war.

The Oreshnik missile has a range of up to 5,500 kilometres and can mount both single or multiple conventional and nuclear warheads. Travelling at speeds over 12,000 kilometres per hour, this is a missile which very few defence systems can intercept. The excellent Missile Matters Substack had a good feature on this missile back in November 2024, which you can read here. More recently, the United24 website also has an in-depth review of the missile and its capabilities, and that can be read at this link.

A central reason for the deployment of the Russian Oreshnik to Belarus, and its use against a civilian infrastructure target in Lviv, is to demonstrate that Russia remains a nuclear-armed, world power. In this guise, it is a psychological weapon – an instrument of Putin’s cognitive war against Ukraine and the West – rather than a weapon of mass physical destruction.

As I wrote earlier this week, Putin has had a bad couple of weeks in regard to Russia’s position in the world. The raid on Venezuela, which showed how little Russia was able help those it expressed support for, the boarding the Bella 1 in the Atlantic, the ongoing Ukrainian strikes against his oil and military infrastructure, and the gathering momentum behind a peace deal that does not favour Russia all combine to drive Putin to use the missile as a message to Washington and Europe. Whether the message is heard and heeded is another issue.

As a result of the strike, a UN Security Council meeting was called and this will be held on Monday, New York Time. Noting Russia is a member of the Security Council (and it is the UN after all), we should not hold our breaths for any significant outcome from this forum. The UN has done nothing to moderate Russia’s brutal behaviour in Ukraine for the past four years – why would it start now?

In the most recent update on this issue, President Trump finally made a comment about Russia in the wake of the Oreshnik attack. His stated the following:

Putin is not afraid of Europe. He’s afraid of the United States of America as led by me. There’s no fear of Europe.

This follows the clear messaging of the recent U.S. National Security Strategy on European defence and security and aligns with the Trump administrations’ growing library of anti-European narratives. It goes without saying, this is hardly the kind of rebuke for Putin’s use of the Oreshnik IRBM that should have been provided by Trump – or any American administration.

To wrap up this update on the Oreshnik strike against Lviv, I would like to reinforce my conclusions about the attack from my recent article on this topic:

The employment of an Oreshnik missile overnight against a target near Lviv makes enormous strategic sense to Putin. Their use is the sign of a fearful, worried leader and not one that is confident and anticipating victory. It is not the first time he has done so as part of Russia’s ongoing cognitive war against democracies. It is unlikely to be the last.

AASM Hammer air strike on Russian positions by the MiG-29

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 1:31 PM

Tempest air defense system with AGM-114 Hellfire missiles in service with the Ukrainian Air Force

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 8:33 AM

🐝STING interceptor drones have already shot down over 3000 Russian Shahed type drones!

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 6:25 AM

Photo reportedly shows Geran-5 wreckage. The drone has a new aerodynamic design but shares components with earlier models, including Kometa GPS, Raspberry tracker, and Telefly engine, and resembles Iran’s Karrar.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 5:08 AM

Kyiv:

Tonight in Kyiv, it’s −13°C. Some parts of the city have been without electricity for more than 60 hours after russian attacks.

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 5:58 PM

Ice on the inside of the entry door to our Babusya’s apartment block in Kyiv. The temperature is -12 C outside, and Russia is continuing to attack the Ukrainian capital’s energy infrastructure with drones. The latest air raid ended about an hour ago.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 12:07 PM

Kyiv my beloved

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 5:36 PM

Mind you it’s -15 Celsius

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 5:41 PM

Chernihiv:

📍Chernihiv Oblast

Russia struck an ambulance with a drone. Two medics were injured.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 4:40 PM

Kharkiv:

In Kharkiv eescue operations concluded after russian strike on January 2.

Russian forces struck the city center, destroying a commercial building and part of an apartment block. Rescuers, police, and volunteers saved 12 people.

The search lasted over eight days. 2 bodies and remains of 5 more

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 6:32 AM

victims were recovered from the rubble.
One of the bodies was of 3-year-old boy.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 6:32 AM

The Dnipro River, Kherson Oblast:

Landing boats with Russian infantrymen destroyed by drones in Dnipro River, not far from Kherson.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 4:12 PM

Zmiinyi Island:

Ukrainian border guards released rare winter footage of Zmiinyi Island. Russia seized it in February 2022, Ukraine took it back in June 2022.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 10:21 AM

Russian occupied Donetsk Oblast:

Magyar’s unit struck three energy infrastructure sites in occupied Donetsk region on January 9. Ukrainian analysts identified likely targets as Zoria substation, Volnovakha traction power station, and possibly Pivdenna substation.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 3:11 AM

Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast:

Russian troops tried storming northern Pokrovsk, but over 20 were hit while trying to hide in buildings, Ukraine’s 7th Airborne Corps reports.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 2:35 AM

The Caspian Sea:

🔥🛢️Special Operations Forces struck three offshore drilling platforms in the Caspian Sea.

On the night of January 11, 2026, SOF hit Lukoil platforms in the Caspian Sea. The targets were the Filanovsky, Korchagin, and Grayfer ice-resistant fixed platforms, used to supply fuel to the enemy’s military.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 9:36 AM

 

Volgograd Oblast, Russia:

Oil depot in Oktyabrsky, Volgograd region of russia is still on fire 🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 7:25 AM

Rostov Oblast, Russia:

Fire reported in Rostov region, cause unknown. Russian channels earlier warned of air threats across southern Russia. Air raid alerts now sounding in occupied Crimea.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 3:33 PM

Moscow:

ATESH reports striking an air defense site in Moscow region, taking out a communications tower of Russia’s 5th AD division.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 11, 2026 at 8:29 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

This is Mikhail, a retiree in Kharkiv who helps animals. He has 20 cats here (and 1 dog), all found in the street—some hit by cars, others displaced by war. He cares for 50 more cats who live in basements outside. The Hachiko team is making sure he has food & medicine for them!

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— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 10:48 PM

Open thread!

The War Must Be Brought to an End; This Requires Pressuring Russia – Address by the President

10 January 2026 – 17:31

I wish you good health!

Briefly about this day. I received a briefing from the Security Service of Ukraine – from Yevhenii Khmara. He leads many of our operations. That is exactly what we discussed: the operations that have taken place recently. The Security Service of Ukraine is working effectively – I want to thank all SSU operatives and special forces personnel for this. It is still too early to speak publicly about some of the operations – ones that the Russians have already felt. Some of the operations are still underway. I also approved new ones. We are actively defending ourselves, and every Russian loss brings the end of the war closer. Our deep strikes, special measures – all of this, of course, must continue.

I also spoke with Kyrylo Budanov – including about the sanctions policy. Last year, with many partners, we established a new cooperation to synchronize sanctions, but the pace must be higher, much higher. Russian production of missiles and drones cannot exist without supplies of components from other countries. And this applies not just to some individual Russian-made items, but to all Russian weapons. This is weaponry built on components that Russia does not produce itself. That is why blocking supplies and expanding sanctions is one of our key priorities. And it must also be a priority for our partners. Our institutions must work on this more actively. Budanov also reported on part of the meetings within the diplomatic track. I am expecting a full, detailed report from the entire negotiating team. And we continue communication with the American side practically every day. Today, Rustem Umerov once again reached out to our American partners. This is our strategic task: dialogue with the United States must be one hundred percent constructive. Ukraine has never been and never will be an obstacle to diplomacy, and our effectiveness in working with partners has always been at the highest level. And it will remain so. Only Russia is the source of this war, the reason the war is being dragged out, and it deserves all retaliatory strikes and pressure for everything it does against life and people, against diplomacy, against partners. We carefully monitor and document every attempt by the Russians to undermine our relations with partners. We see which lobbyists Moscow is engaging, through whom it is trying to act, which internal operations it is attempting to launch in Ukraine and in Europe. Our response will be tangible – through our special services, through our intelligence agencies, through political cooperation with our partners, and, in particular, through sanctions. What is important is that the U.S. Congress is back in motion on tougher sanctions against Russia – targeting Russian oil. This can truly work. I thank everyone who is helping.

Today, I want to recognize our warriors – every single one, who, despite everything – despite constant strikes, Russian assaults, despite this entire harsh, cold winter – are defending our positions and destroying the occupier. The Pokrovsk direction – the warriors of the 38th Marine Brigade, the 425th Separate Assault Regiment, the 414th Unmanned Systems Brigade “Magyar’s Birds,” and the 14th Brigade of Operational Assignment of the National Guard “Chervona Kalyna.” Thank you! The Kramatorsk direction – first and foremost, the warriors of the 24th Mechanized Brigade. Thank you! The Kupyansk direction – the 43rd Mechanized Brigade and the 13th Khartiia Brigade of the National Guard. Thank you! Also in our Kharkiv region, the warriors of the 72nd Mechanized Brigade deserve special thanks. Well done, warriors! Huliaipole – the 5th Assault Brigade, the 1st and the 225th Assault Regiments. Thank you! I thank everyone who is fighting for Ukraine!

There was a briefing today from Mykhailo Fedorov, essentially on our defense plan – we discussed strategic matters. I expect that, next week, parliamentarians will support Mykhailo for the position of Minister of Defense of Ukraine. We have an action plan for the defense sector. Just as we do for diplomacy. And it depends solely on our partners’ resolve – which plan will take priority for the year. The war must be brought to an end. This requires pressuring Russia. Those who speak the language of ballistics and “shaheds” understand nothing but force. We are working to ensure the world acts effectively.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

People on Twitter/X: Georgia has given up.

Georgians on day 409 of daily, uninterrupted protests:

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:19 AM

Saturday is the day of the protest march in Tbilisi.

#GeorgiaProtests
Day 409

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:09 PM

It’s Day 409 of #GeorgiaProtests

People endure to keep it going, to prevent the dictatorship from stabilizing and normalizing itself socially, and they also prepare solid grounds for the next spark major that will inevitably come.

📷 Merab Metreveli

1/2

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:54 AM

P.S. Please don’t compare it to Iran, decades-long economic hardships and difficulty for Iranians to move abroad make it very different. And I’m sure there are some long-running cultural differences too.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:54 AM

📷 Lasha Janjghava #GeorgiaProtests Day 409

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 12:41 PM

Day 409 of daily, uninterrupted protests in Georgia.

Our weekly march, “the regime is poisoning us”, referring to the #theCamiteCase.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:11 AM

“Our victory against the regime is inevitable.”

Day 409 of daily, nonstop protests in 8+ cities across Georgia. This is Tbilisi.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:41 AM

A small demonstration took place today in Tbilisi, Georgia, in front of the Iranian embassy, in solidarity with the Iranian people.

It seems that one of the protesters later joined the weekly march on Rustaveli Ave, carrying a small Iranian flag. #FreeIran

📷 Lasha Janjghava

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 1:49 PM

Georgians stand with the people of Iran.

Everyone but the regime pillars, that is.

Day 409 of #GeorgiaProtests

#FreeIran #FreeGeorgia

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 3:07 PM

🇮🇷🇬🇪Over the past two years, Georgia’s ruling party Georgian Dream has quietly deepened ties with Iran. Not rhetorically. Practically. Through trade, business access, and political signaling that matters far more than speeches.
1/9

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— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

While Iran faces heavy international sanctions, Georgia has emerged as a low-friction gateway: company registrations, banking access, logistics, and regional transit. This is not accidental. It is policy enabled by political choice.
2/9

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— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

Thousands of Iranian-linked businesses are now registered in Georgia. Trade volumes are up. Air links operate. Financial and commercial channels remain unusually permissive for a country formally aligned with the West.
3/9

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— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

This matters because sanctions are not just about borders. They are about ecosystems. Georgian Dream has helped create one where Iranian capital and networks can breathe, move, and adapt under pressure.
4/9

— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

At the same time, Tbilisi’s relations with the EU and the US have deteriorated. Democratic backsliding at home has been paired with geopolitical hedging abroad.
Iran is not an outlier. Alongside their other partners Russia🇷🇺 and China🇨🇳, it fits a clear pattern.
5/9

— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

Let’s be clear: this is not neutrality. It is alignment by facilitation. When an authoritarian regime under sanctions finds operational space, the host enabling that space becomes part of the system.
6/9

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— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

Now comes the turning point. If Iran’s popular uprising succeeds, this entire architecture collapses. The regime Georgian Dream has supported will lose power, legitimacy, and its offshore enablers.
7/9

— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

Georgia will then face an uncomfortable question:
Why was a country aspiring to Europe so deeply embedded in sustaining one of the world’s most sanctioned regimes?
History has a way of auditing these choices. Georgian Dream must be replaced soon.
8/9

— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

☕️ If you value my threads, please consider supporting my work at buymeacoffee.com/terjehelland.
Your support helps me continue informing and engaging on Georgia’s fight for democracy.
Thank you!
9/9

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— Terje Helland (@terjehelland.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:13 AM

A reminder that the current backbone of the Georgian economy is illicit or outright criminal international schemes that are part of the Autocracy, Inc.

All thanks to the Georgian Dream.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 6:49 AM

More on this👇🏻

bsky.app/profile/ceia…

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 6:51 AM

Georgia fined and released the Panama-flagged tanker Caminero after detaining it for navigation violations. The vessel previously sailed under Russian flag, Georgian border police said.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 12:55 PM

Way too many people sound like this: “I’d rather have an endless civil war / regime repression and mounting death toll in a country than a quick and much less painful external intervention, because sovereignty.”

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 4:44 PM

Finland:

Finland has officially withdrawn from the Ottawa Convention banning anti-personnel mines, following the lead of other Eastern European countries.

Not much choice when your neighbor is a genocidal horde…

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:05 AM

This is solely so that Finland can mine the possible/probable Russian approaches.

Britain:

Back to Ukraine.

❤️🩹 Ukrainian energy workers restore electricity after Russian attacks.

This isn’t just infrastructure work. This is resilience under fire. This is people choosing duty over fear, exhaustion, and cold.

We thank every single one of them for bringing the light back💡

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:52 PM

Winter conditions make tracking easier, as footprints in the snow clearly reveal enemy movement routes.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 3:39 AM

Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha called on the international community to increase pressure on Iran, linking Tehran’s support for Russia’s war with its domestic repression.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 1:40 PM

Another video from Ukrainian marines shows two Russian boats destroyed and eight occupiers who also thought the reeds would save them.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 9:52 AM

Robert ‘Magyar’ Brovdi has released new footage of Unmanned Systems Forces drones striking Russian positions and equipment.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 8:35 AM

Today, in response to attacks that took out power & heat, Ukrainian Railways deployed 7 of our Invincibility Train Cars. 2 more will be active tomorrow. I hate that these are needed, but I’m glad we are able to provide some warmth, phone charging & a safe place for kids to go. 🇺🇦

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— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 12:09 PM

Kyiv:

Blackout in Kyiv. Our capital, a multimillion‑person metropolis, has been plunged into darkness amidst the freezing cold. It is a humanitarian disaster caused by russia.

📸: Yan Dobronosov

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 1:08 PM

Kyiv in darkness.

Not broken.
Not defeated.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 5:31 PM

Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast:

On the afternoon of January 10, russian forces attacked the city of Lozova in Kharkiv region with at least 14 drones, Kharkiv Regional Prosecutor’s Office reported.

As a result of the attack, a 38-year-old man was injured, and infrastructure facility was damaged.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:13 AM

Kharkiv:

Allegedly, for the first time during the war, air defense shot down a ballistic missile flying towards Kharkiv.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 10:10 AM

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

Russia struck Dnipropetrovsk region today. A 68‑year‑old man was killed, while three others: men aged 79 and 86, and an 87‑year‑old woman, were wounded.

Attack on the elderly is the lowest. Terrorists.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 1:01 PM

Sumy Oblast:

Ukrainian Defenders of the 15th Steel Border Mobile Border Guard Detachment,”Korea”&”Pastor,”held positions in the Sumy region for 131 & 94 days without rotation,respectively.Together,they repelled 6 massive assaults.In December,”Korea” sustained a gunshot wound but decided to remain at the position

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— Anton Gerashchenko (@antongerashchenko.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 1:43 PM

Russia:

🚨Turning point: Russia is cutting oil production.

As oil prices drop to a net loss per barrel and some remains unsold, production is being cut and output is now 250k barrels a day below Russia’s OPEC+ quota.

Restarting a stopped oil well is expensive, and sometimes impossible.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 7:42 AM

Footage shows morning drone attack on southern Russia and occupied Ukrainian territories.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 4:15 AM

Volgograd Oblast, Russia:

Oktyabrsky, Volgograd region of russia. Oil depot 🔥

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 12:19 PM

Photos show the Zhutovskaya oil depot burning in Russia’s Volgograd region.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:37 AM

Voronezh Oblast, Russia:

Ukrainian drones currently striking Voronezh, Russia.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 1:47 PM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

More than half a million residents of Russia’s Belgorod region remain without electricity, heat or water after a Ukrainian attack, local authorities say.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 11:16 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Today,volunteer Ruslana Kulbida evacuated 11 animals from Dnipropetrovsk region. Most of them were taken to shelter.One dog is in critical condition -veterinarians are fighting for her life right now, UAnimals shared

Also volunteers from evacuated 27 cats from Zaporizhzhia region

📷UAnimalsENG

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— Anton Gerashchenko (@antongerashchenko.bsky.social) January 10, 2026 at 2:06 PM

Open thread!

The Russians Are Exploiting the Weather – The Cold Snap – Trying to Hit as Many of Our Energy Facilities as Possible – Address by the President

9 January 2026 – 19:19

Dear Ukrainians!

Restoration efforts are currently underway in our cities and our communities – in Kyiv and the region, in the Dnipro, Lviv, Kirovohrad, Cherkasy, and Odesa regions. Repair crews are almost constantly working in the Sumy, Chernihiv, and Kharkiv regions. Maximum forces are deployed to restore vital services. The Russians are exploiting the weather – the cold snap – trying to hit as many of our energy facilities as possible. So much for their respect for America and all diplomacy. Last night, over 200 Russian drones were launched, as well as a significant number of ballistic missiles, primarily targeting Kyiv. Four people were killed – my condolences to their families. Nearly thirty were wounded. Prior to that, there were strikes on Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, and Zaporizhzhia. And before that – Odesa. The main Russian tactic is to try to completely shut cities down. It is crucial that every city administration understands this goal, the goal of the enemy, and prepares for full counteraction, for actual work for the benefit of citizens. The focus should not be on avoiding problems but on solving them, especially when the resources exist to do so – as in Kyiv. It is the best-financed city in Ukraine, and all necessary backup systems must be in place.

Today, I held a special energy meeting with military officials, government representatives, and specialized services to discuss the details of protecting energy facilities and the necessary decisions. Diplomats must be as active as possible – through the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and informal diplomatic channels.

Oreshnik was used again – this time against the Lviv region. Once again, it was pointedly close to the borders of the European Union. And in terms of using medium-range ballistic missiles, this poses the same challenge for all: Warsaw, Bucharest, Budapest, and many other capitals as well. Everyone needs to see this in the same way and with the same seriousness: if the Russians aren’t even bothering to come up with a plausible excuse for using such weapons, then no personal connections and no rhetoric will protect anyone from this. What is needed is a system of joint action, a system of collective defense – one that truly works. Does such a system exist now? That’s an open question, because across Europe there is the same doubt – whether their capital would be defended if Putin suddenly lost it.

Today, I received a detailed military briefing from the Commander-in-Chief and the Chief of the General Staff, including on work with partners in recent days on security guarantees. The documents are largely finalized. But the essence of these documents – their strength – lies in ensuring confidence that the guarantees will work. This can only be truly seen if protection is also operational right now. Timely delivery of air-defense systems. Timely delivery of equipment for our resilience and our energy infrastructure. Timely provision of financial support for Ukraine – for our defense and our stability. There are many details, and each one must be worked through now in a way that ensures confidence for tomorrow.

I also want to thank all our people involved in responding to the aftermath of the strikes. This is truly heroic work. In hours, people accomplish what in other countries can take days or weeks. The important thing is that help is available everywhere, repairs are happening everywhere, and maximum effort is being made to restore electricity and heating to the people. I have tasked government officials with communicating as fully as possible what will be done and within what timeframe. I thank everyone who is helping! I thank everyone who supports our people. I thank all the leaders who have not stayed silent and who are standing with us, with Ukraine.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Somewhere in residential Tbilisi.

🇬🇪🇪🇺🇺🇦🇺🇸

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 9:33 AM

From Goga Khachidze’s Facebook profile

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 9:33 AM

1/ Dream is threatening to arrest a citizen for protesting on the pavement. A judge ruled that Giorgi Tsulaia’s administrative case “constitutes violations under the Criminal Code,” and it has now been transferred to the MIA.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 8:24 AM

2/ Giorgi Tsulaia had already been deemed to have “violated” the law once for blocking the road. Under GD’s new repressive laws, a second administrative violation, such as alleged obstruction of pavements, triggers criminal liability and can result in up to one year in prison.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 8:24 AM

3/ GD is using these laws as a tool of repression against protesters.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 8:24 AM

Georgia 2008 was not an exception. It was a rehearsal. Weak Western responses taught Moscow that calibrated aggression works. Ukraine confirmed it. The Baltics know the next test comes if Russia is not stopped decisively now. Deterrence must be credible or it fails. politicsgeo.com/europes-unfi…

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— gvineria.bsky.social (@gvineria.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:57 PM

From Geopolitics:

Vladimir Putin’s frustration with Russia’s setbacks in Ukraine has not overshadowed his long-standing interest in undermining NATO’s cohesion. On the contrary, there are growing concerns that this may now be the moment Moscow finds suitable for a limited, ambiguous hostile act against a NATO member, designed to probe whether the Alliance would respond collectively. Such an operation could involve a small-scale, deniable military incident or a multi-domain provocation that generates sufficient violence and confusion to constitute an armed attack while preserving plausible deniability.

Yet Allied assessments of the likelihood that Russia will pursue such a course vary widely. In the Baltic states, policymakers and society treat the possibility of Russian aggression as high and actively prepare for it, discussing these risks openly in daily life. However, in much of southern and western Europe, the idea that Russia might attack a NATO country is viewed as unrealistic or overstated.

Only a clear Russian defeat in Ukraine can prevent further aggression in Europe. 

Whether Russia might attempt to strike a NATO member to test the Alliance’s credibility, and what would guide the Kremlin’s calculus in deciding whether such a move is worth the risks, remain open questions. What shapes Putin’s assessment of escalation and de-escalation remains one of the most contested debates in global security today. Some argue that accommodating Russia’s demands in Ukraine will satisfy Putin’s ambitions and turn him into a constructive player. Others maintain that only a clear Russian defeat in Ukraine can prevent further aggression in Europe.

The answer depends on which European and transatlantic decision-making structures are prepared to recognize that such an attack would require a decisive response. If analysts focus only on conventional invasions or missile strikes on European capitals, escalation by Russia may appear irrational at this moment. But if the attack scenario involves cross-domain pressure, calibrated ambiguity, and gradual escalation toward a military incident, the outcome instead depends on the clarity of Allied red lines, the strength of military and civil preparedness, the resilience of societies under psychological pressure, and the extent to which Europe completes its unfinished security architecture before the next security shock arrives.

We should, therefore, turn to recent history, beginning with Russia’s 2008 war against Georgia and its successive acts of aggression against Ukraine since 2014, as cases where deterrence failed to prevent the use of force and contrast them with the Baltic states, where deterrence has held so far. Taken together, these cases crystallize a central puzzle. Why did the Kremlin judge that it could attack Georgia and later Ukraine, yet refrain from similar action against Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania? If deterrence has worked in the Baltics to date, what has changed in the strategic and political environment that fuels growing fears of a possible Russian move against them?

The question is not only what Russia might do next, but what kind of European and transatlantic architecture will confront that challenge.

Europe’s eastern flank is entering a strategic turning point. Russian aggression, both military and hybrid, has forced front-line states to reconsider whether deterrence by punishment alone can still guarantee security, or whether the region now requires sustained, defense-centered deterrence by denial. The question is not only what Russia might do next, but what kind of European and transatlantic architecture will confront that challenge. Europe clearly needs readiness and resolve, yet the design of its future security structure remains unresolved.

At the heart of this problem lies a deep strategic uncertainty. Every sound strategy rests on explicit and shared assumptions. In the European case, many of the most basic assumptions remain contested or undefined. Will the United States remain the central security guarantor for Europe in the coming decade? If yes, in what form and with what political and military commitments? If not, who will shape the new European security architecture and how? What exactly does European defense mean in institutional terms? Does it encompass only the European Union and its member states, or does it also include the United Kingdom and other non-EU Allies within a broader constellation of actors? Who is setting the principles and institutional frameworks of this emerging architecture, at which decision-making tables, and through which political processes?

As Russian aggression continues to evolve, front-line states must decide whether or not to rely primarily on the threat of overwhelming retaliation or to invest much more heavily in deterrence by denial; that is, in making their territories and societies extremely difficult to coerce or subdue. The answer depends on the interaction of military capability, political signaling, societal resilience, and alliance cohesion. To understand how these elements come together in practice, we should first examine the evolving posture in the Baltic region and the debate on European strategic autonomy within the broader Euro Atlantic framework; second, we can turn to the case of Georgia and ask what the failures of deterrence in 2008 can tell us about current vulnerabilities and options for Ukraine, the Baltic Sea region and for Europe as a whole.

Debates about the Baltic posture now unfold inside a transforming transatlantic context. The new United States National Security Strategy and the surrounding commentary mark a clear shift in how Washington conceives alliances. Clearly visible is the emphasis on sovereign power as the central organizing principle of foreign policy, and a deliberate reframing of Europe away from its long-standing supranational political project, up to and including an explicit disregard for or marginalization of the European Union as a strategic actor. These elements reveal a multilateral worldview centered on sovereign nation-states and transactional bilateralism, consciously detached from the normative and institutional frameworks that previously underpinned the liberal international order. For European allies, especially those on the eastern flank, this raises a fundamental problem. They can no longer assume that the United States’ power will automatically anchor deterrence in the Baltic region as before.

If Russia can stabilize the front in Ukraine on terms it deems acceptable and then return a reconstituted, battle-tested army to the eastern flank, the risk picture for the Baltic region will look very different from the assumption that Russia is too weak to threaten NATO territory.

At the same time, Russia is not a static or permanently weakened actor. The war in Ukraine has imposed severe costs but has also driven a large-scale mobilization of resources and the militarization of the economy. The Russian budget for 2025 envisioned military spending accounting for approximately 40% of total state expenditure, a historically high level. The same 40% is true for the 2026 state budget. Most assessments suggest that Moscow intends to rebuild and modernize its armed forces by 2030, drawing on combat experience, large-scale production of drones and missiles, and lessons from high-intensity warfare. If Russia can stabilize the front in Ukraine on terms it deems acceptable and then return a reconstituted, battle-tested army to the eastern flank, the risk picture for the Baltic region will look very different from the assumption that Russia is too weak to threaten NATO territory.

These trends intersect with an ambitious but still incomplete European adaptation. The White Paper for European Defense and the Readiness Roadmap 2030 outline plans to move the European pillar from chronic underinvestment to a posture of genuine readiness. The White Paper presents a once-in-a-generation surge in defense investment under the ReArm Europe plan, aimed at closing critical capability gaps, rebuilding ammunition stocks, and establishing a strong and sufficient European defense posture by 2030, explicitly linked to support for Ukraine and the credibility of the transatlantic bargain. The Readiness Roadmap translates this into concrete flagship projects, such as the Eastern Flank Watch, the European Drone Defense Initiative, the European Air Shield, and the European Space Shield, all intended to strengthen situational awareness, air and missile defense, and the resilience of critical infrastructure, with particular relevance for the Baltic region.

Yet, these documents also expose the central dilemma of European strategic autonomy. If the United States remains engaged in Europe with substantial conventional and nuclear forces, these initiatives reinforce NATO and provide better burden sharing. If the United States’ conventional presence is reduced or redirected, the same initiatives would have to serve as substitutes, at least in part, for the United States’ strategic capabilities. That would mean Europeans not only spending more on national forces, but also assuming responsibility for long-range strikes, high-end air power, strategic transport, theatre missile defense, large-scale command and control, and the industrial base required to sustain a prolonged crisis in the Baltic area.

For the Baltic states, the practical question, therefore, is not abstract support for “more Europe” but whether the evolving European architecture can produce real capabilities, credible planning, and timely decision-making. The new roadmaps and white papers show that Brussels recognizes the scale of the challenge and is trying to inject coherence into defense industrial policy, procurement, and readiness. At the same time, foreign and security policy inside the European Union remains largely consensus-based with complex procedures and national veto points. As the failed deterrence in Georgia and Ukraine demonstrates, in a cross-domain crisis involving calibrated Russian pressure against the Baltic region, when the aggressor moves at lightning speed, slow and contested decision-making would itself become a major vulnerability.

These variables and uncertainties compel the Baltic states to invest all available resources in comprehensive defense strategies that extend beyond traditional military planning. In addition to strengthening hard capabilities, Baltic governments are developing programs that integrate societal preparedness into national defense. This involves preparing societies to defend their countries if necessary, communicating existing threats clearly so that public opinion is adequately informed and fostering citizen willingness to support sustained investment in defense arrangements. A recent example of this approach is Latvia’s ambition to become a drone powerhouse in Europe. The initiative aims not only to expand national and regional unmanned aerial capabilities but also to develop education, industrial partnerships, workforce training, and civic engagement in technology and defense innovation. This reflects a broader understanding that modern deterrence and defense require both advanced capabilities and resilient societies prepared to respond collectively to an increasingly complex security environment.

The debate about a European army functions as a proxy for deeper questions rather than as an immediate institutional project. A fully unified army would require pooling sovereignty over the use of force to a degree that few member states currently accept, even on the frontline.

In this setting, the debate about a European army functions as a proxy for deeper questions rather than as an immediate institutional project. A fully unified army would require pooling sovereignty over the use of force to a degree that few member states currently accept, even on the frontline. In practice, given the scarcity of material and human resources, the likely path for the Baltic region is more incremental and more hybrid. It will rely on denser integration of national forces, framework nation concepts, forward-deployed units, and joint projects funded through European instruments, all nested within NATO planning. Whether this will be enough to deter a Russia that has rebuilt its forces and faces a more fragmented NATO and a transactional United States is precisely the uncertainty that raises the stakes and motivates a comparison with the cases of Georgia and Ukraine.

For Georgia, it marked a painful demonstration that political assurances without clear and credible guarantees do not deter a determined adversary.

The war between Russia and Georgia in August 2008 was the first major test for Western deterrence and resolve after the Cold War and it revealed how quickly uncertainty, indecision, and unpreparedness can be turned into an opportunity for aggression. For Moscow, the conflict demonstrated that a calibrated use of force could alter borders, establish new facts on the ground, and still avoid a decisive Western military response. For Georgia, it marked a painful demonstration that political assurances without clear and credible guarantees do not deter a determined adversary.

The August war did not appear out of nowhere. It arose from a prolonged period of tension over the Tskhinvali Region/South Ossetia and Abkhazia, combined with Russia’s growing discomfort with Georgia’s westward orientation. In the months before the conflict, Russia increased its presence in and around the separatist regions, conducted large exercises close to Georgian territory, and used strong rhetoric to frame Tbilisi as the source of instability.

A central turning point was the NATO summit in Bucharest in April 2008. Allies agreed that Georgia and Ukraine would become members in the future, but could not agree on a Membership Action Plan. The result was an ambiguous formula that signaled political support while withholding a concrete path or security guarantees. From Moscow’s perspective, this mixture of promises and hesitation suggested that Georgia was important enough to provoke political debate, but not important enough to trigger a firm and unified response if Russia used force. That impression, combined with unresolved conflicts on the ground, limited Georgian military capacity, and total absence of societal mobilization and engagement practices, encouraged the belief that a short, sharp intervention would be manageable.

The fighting lasted only a few days, yet the strategic effects have been long-lasting. Russian forces pushed Georgian units out of the Tskhinvali Region/South Ossetia, advanced into other parts of Georgia, and paralyzed key elements of its defense infrastructure. Shortly after the ceasefire, Russia recognized Abkhazia and the Tskhinvali Region/South Ossetia as independent states and entrenched its military presence there. For Georgia, this meant a permanent loss of control over parts of its territory and a constant security pressure along new dividing lines.

The message the Kremlin received was loud and clear: limited use of force, combined with psychological warfare and sowing uncertainty through strong narratives about protecting compatriots and restoring order, could reshape the security environment without provoking a united and decisive response from the Euro-Atlantic community.

Equally important were the political signals. The absence of any meaningful response from NATO and the European Union confirmed to Moscow that the costs of this operation would remain limited. Western governments condemned the intervention and launched symbolic diplomatic and economic measures. Still, the basic structure of the European security order insulated this clear act of military aggression as an isolated incident between the two neighbors. Butthe message the Kremlin received was loud and clear: limited use of force, combined with psychological warfare and sowing uncertainty through strong narratives about protecting compatriots and restoring order, could reshape the security environment without provoking a united and decisive response from the Euro-Atlantic community.

More at the link.

Britain:

British Defense Secretary, John Healey, speaking from Ukraine:

​”Putin talks about peace, but he’s stepping up and escalating his attacks. Not just attacks on the Ukrainian military, but on civilians and cities like this.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 1:53 PM

And there were 90 Shahed drones attacking Kyiv last night, many with targets at residential buildings like this. It’s brutal, it’s cynical, it’s exactly why we’ve got to work so hard to help Ukraine secure peace.”

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 1:53 PM

Ukraine and the UK have signed a 2026 defence partnership roadmap during British Defence Secretary John Healey’s visit to Kyiv, implementing the earlier agreement on a 100-year security partnership.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 8:42 AM

The US:

Witkoff and Kushner met with Dmitriev Wednesday to discuss the US peace plan, and the US wanted a clear response on it from Putin.

Last night, another war crime: the Russians killed a medic in a double-tap strike on a Kyiv residential high-rise.

Is that response clear enough??

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 2:02 AM

When asked whether he could ever order the capture of Vladimir Putin, Trump said he doesn’t think that will be necessary.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 4:01 PM

Shot:

Ukraine awarded major lithium project to investors with links to Trump.
Ronald S. Lauder, a billionaire friend of President Trump is among the investors. Decision, made by UA gov commission, has to be approved by cabinet of ministers, but the deal is “essentially sealed”, per sources within UA gov.

— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) January 9, 2026 at 9:58 AM

As long as the “prosperity agreement” includes no more invasions.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 3:40 PM

Chaser:

Russia rejects Trump’s 20-point peace plan for Ukraine.

I wish ppl would understand the catch-22: by offering “guarantees” (that aren’t guaranteeing anything based on what we see being done with the Budapest memorandum), they decrease the chances of Putin accepting it. They should know it, too.

— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) January 9, 2026 at 10:11 AM

Saying this without judging religions or ideological beliefs as such, I find a dark amusement in watching millions who claim to be devout Christians and defenders of traditional family values cheer for the death of a woman, strip protections from the needy, separate families, and celebrate wars

— Tatarigami (@tatarigami.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 7:31 AM

Italy:

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— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) January 9, 2026 at 9:42 AM

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— Olga Nesterova (@onestpress.onestnetwork.com) January 9, 2026 at 1:10 PM

The EU:

Putin doesn’t want peace, Russia’s reply to diplomacy is more missiles and destruction. This deadly pattern of recurring major Russian strikes will repeat itself until we help Ukraine break it. (1/3)

— Kaja Kallas (@kajakallas.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 5:33 AM

Russia’s reported use of an Oreshnik missile is a clear escalation against Ukraine and meant as a warning to Europe and to the US. (2/3)

— Kaja Kallas (@kajakallas.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 5:33 AM

EU countries must dig deeper into their air-defence stocks and deliver now. We must also further raise the cost of this war for Moscow, including through tougher sanctions. (3/3)

— Kaja Kallas (@kajakallas.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 5:34 AM

Back to Ukraine.

As we’ve used them again to murder a bunch of civilians, what odds are we giving that at some stage someone involved in design & manufacture of our Oreshnik missiles suffers a tragic Semtex related accident?

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 6:21 AM

Rest in piss.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 10:44 AM

A giant neutralized Russian ‘turtle tank’ along with its crew.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 7:12 PM

African mercenary Francis, who for some reason chose to fight in the Russian army, has suddenly “upgraded” from infantryman to disposable kamikaze.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 10:31 AM

Ukraine carried out at least 73 strikes on 28 Russian oil refining facilities in 2025, Forbes reported. The targeted plants have a combined capacity of about 219 million tons of oil per year, roughly two-thirds of Russia’s total refining.

forbes.ua/war-in-ukrai…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 1:29 PM

From February, Ukraine will produce 1,000 Octopus interceptor drones per month, Defence Minister Denys Shmyhal said.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 8:46 AM

Test flight of the Razor P100 VTOL drone from US company Mayman Aerospace. The UAV can carry up to 45 kg of payload and reach speeds of up to Mach 0.75.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 6:02 AM

Kyiv:

Hi from Kyiv hallway. It’s 2:03 and Russia is attacking us with ballistic missiles . Loud explosions heard just now . Russia is trying to destroy yet another power station , this time in Kyiv . It’s about -11 outside tonight, so yes Russia is trying to freeze us

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— Margo Gontar (@margogontar.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 7:05 PM

The moment a strike hit a high-rise apartment building on the left bank of Kyiv yesterday during Russia’s attack.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 1:23 PM

Russia carried out a double-tap strike on an apartment building in Kyiv — hitting it again while rescuers and medics were on site

A medic was killed. Five rescuers, four medics, and a police officer were injured

In total, four people were killed in Kyiv and at least 25 injured

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 3:39 AM

Russia killed 56‑year‑old paramedic Serhiy Smolyak in Kyiv last night.

When the emergency medical team arrived at the site of a residential building strike, the terrorists launched a second attack. Serhiy was killed instantly.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 7:43 AM

Lviv:

‼️ Security Service of Ukraine has released images of massive debris from the Oreshnik missile used by Russia in last night’s attack on Lviv region.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 10:19 AM

Ukraine’s Security Service Demonstrates Debris of “Oreshnik” Missile Used in Attack on Lviv Region;

Strike Classified as a War Crime
SSU has located and documented debris from a Russian ballistic missile used in an attack on Ukraine’s Lviv region during the night of 8–9 January 2026

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 6:53 AM

Kherson:

This is a hospital in Kherson after russian attack, that happened today at 12:15.

A shell pierced the wall of one of the wards. Two nurses were wounded and hospitalized with blast injuries and concussions, according to local administration head Shanko.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 8:20 AM

Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast:

Russian forces attacked two grain ships in Ukrainian ports, killing a Syrian sailor.

According to Ukraine’s Deputy Prime Minister Oleksiy Kuleba, a Russian drone struck a vessel sailing under the foreign flag of Saint Kitts and Nevis,

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 10:36 AM

which was headed to the port of Chornomorsk to load grain. Preliminary reports indicate there are wounded.

Another vessel carrying soybeans was attacked in the port of Odesa. As a result, a crew member—a Syrian citizen—was killed.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 10:36 AM

Russian occupied Crimea:

Missile alert in occupied Crimea. Monitoring channels report road traffic on the Crimean Bridge is temporarily blocked and the bridge lights are switched off right now.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 2:46 PM

Kharkiv:

Russia struck garages in Kharkiv with a missile earlier today.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 4:01 PM

Novomarkove, Donetsk Oblast:

Fighters from the Adamakha drone unit of Ukraine’s 56th Motorized Brigade shared footage showing Russian personnel, buggies and motorcycles being destroyed near Novomarkove.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 12:37 PM

Kapustin Yar, Astrakhan Oblast, Russia:

Kapustin Yar, the place from which russians launched their Oreshnik at Lviv last night Vol. 2

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 11:22 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

Ukrainian forces reportedly used HIMARS to hit energy infrastructure in Russia’s Belgorod overnight, striking two CHP plants and a 330 kV substation and leaving dozens of smaller substations de-energised.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 12:11 PM

Ukraine carried out one of its most effective strikes on Russian infrastructure since the war began, NetBlocks said. Major internet outages in Russia’s Belgorod region followed Ukrainian attacks on local energy facilities overnight.

x.com/netblocks

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 9, 2026 at 10:45 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Ukraine’s defenders are tough, but they have 1 soft spot—animals❤️

They go through all the hardships together. There isn’t a safer place on the front, other than beside Ukrainian warriors. And there isn’t a cozier one, other than beside their cute pets.

u24.gov.ua/donate/defen…

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— UNITED24 (@u24.gov.ua) January 1, 2026 at 2:31 PM

Open thread!

It Is Important to Pay Attention to Air Alerts. The Russians Haven’t Changed One Bit. They Are Trying to Exploit the Weather – Address by the President

8 January 2026 – 19:03

Fellow Ukrainians!

All day today there have been briefings from the Government and all services that are effectively working around the clock to deal with the consequences of the Russian strikes. In Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia regions, after the attack on infrastructure, the situation with electricity and essential services was extremely difficult. All necessary resources have been deployed. I am grateful to all repair crews, municipal services, the State Emergency Service of Ukraine, and all energy companies – work continues nonstop. In Zaporizhzhia region, power supply was restored according to schedule earlier today. Restoration work continues in Dnipro, Kryvyi Rih, Nikopol, Pavlohrad, and other cities and communities of the Dnipro region. There were, unfortunately, new strikes today as well – specifically against the energy infrastructure and against the civilian sector. In Kryvyi Rih, residential buildings were hit. There is information that another massive Russian attack may happen tonight. It is very important to pay attention to air alerts today and tomorrow and to always go to shelters. The Russians haven’t changed one bit. They are trying to exploit the weather. I instructed the Government to assist local authorities and everyone involved to the maximum. Together with the Prime Minister of Ukraine, we reviewed reports from the regions – not all of the reports were accurate. There will be conclusions. I dispatched the Deputy Prime Minister for Restoration to Dnipro so that he can personally oversee the work and promptly resolve issues related to assistance. Maximum efforts are being made to restore supply.

Across many of our regions, weather conditions have significantly worsened, causing serious problems on the roads and with utilities. In practice, this is an emergency situation for all services. And we agreed with the Prime Minister of Ukraine that the Government will prepare a decision – for the period of such weather conditions, in the coming days – to allow non-critical institutions and regular offices to keep people at home. Also, in coordination with local authorities, parameters for the operation of schools in such conditions must be defined for this week and next week. Today, documents regarding new heads of four regions have already been prepared. I signed the corresponding decrees. In the near future, the leaders will be presented – Poltava, Chernivtsi, Vinnytsia, and Dnipro regions. As for the Ternopil region – a candidate was also agreed upon today. And overall, we will continue making personnel decisions.

I spoke with Rustem Umerov. The negotiating team is returning to Ukraine. I am expecting a report with all the details, including those that cannot be discussed over the phone. There were different formats of meetings – both with the American team and with the European team. We believe the security guarantees agreement with the United States is ready to be signed at the highest level. Importantly, in a trilateral format we discussed the documents on Ukraine’s recovery and economic development – Ukraine, the United States, and Europe. They are almost ready. We also worked in a very substantive manner on the main political document, and on our side there was full constructiveness. The American team needs to receive a response from Russia – what they are ready for and whether they are truly willing to end the war. We believe that only pressure will resolve this – pressure on Russia, and only if it is sufficient. Right now, Russia is betting more on winter than on diplomacy – on ballistic missiles against our energy system rather than on working with the United States and agreements with President Trump. This must change – through pressure on Russia and continued support for Ukraine. Thank you to everyone who sees the situation for what it is. Thank you to everyone who stands with us, with our people, with Ukraine. Thank you to everyone who helps our people.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Day 407 of #GeorgiaProtests

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 2:23 PM

A police officer is taking pictures of protesters.

#GeorgiaProtests
Day 407

📸 Khatia Kakhidze/Publika

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 4:38 PM

Well that seems a wee bit familiar.

Today, prosecutor Vazha Todua reiterates that protester Nika Gventsadze inflicted harm upon a policeman by throwing at him a single tissue.

More precisely, he says “it doesn’t matter what the thrown item was.”

Gventsadze has been in jail for 3 months.

#GeorgiaProtests

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 9:50 AM

This too.

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 3:36 AM

Iraq:

The Iraqi government has nationalized Lukoil’s oil extraction rights in the country.

Those rights have been transferred to the state-owned Basra Oil Company.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:25 AM

In early December, Iraq’s Ministry of Oil sent exclusive invitations to several major U.S. companies to apply for control of the field. according to Reuters, companies such as Chevron and ExxonMobil are considering investments.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:25 AM

A large russian Z-blogger described the loss of Lukoil’s extraction rights in Iraq as the “эффект терпилы”, which basically translates to “doormat effect.” 😁

It’s a jab at putin, suggesting that his habit of silently enduring humiliations is finally catching up to him.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 11:04 AM

Lithuania:

In Lithuania, the possibility was raised of deploying several hundred troops to Ukraine in the event of a ceasefire.

www.lrt.lt/pl/wiadomosc…

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 4:57 AM

The Minister of Defense noted that Lithuania would certainly contribute to security guarantees for Ukraine and therefore, in the event of peace, could send several hundred soldiers.

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 4:57 AM

Poland:

Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski:

“Putin still dreams of subjugating all of Ukraine, which is not achievable [..] at this rate it would take him decades to conquer Ukraine. But this is the trouble with dictators: once you’ve been in power for 20 years, very few people will tell you the truth.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:52 AM

People only bring you the good news.”

He understands russia well. This is exactly the case.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:52 AM

The Black Sea:

In the Black Sea yesterday, a drone attacked the oil tanker Elbus as it was heading toward Russia.

The incident occurred near Turkey’s Kastamonu province. The vessel was sailing under the flag of Palau.

👀

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 6:31 AM

Britain:

The UK has confirmed that it has delivered 13 Raven air defence systems and two prototype Gravehawk systems to Ukraine, with further Gravehawk units due to arrive shortly

Thank you UK 🇬🇧🇺🇦

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 5:59 AM

Back to Ukraine.

According to the media, russians attacked a critical infrastructure facility in the Lviv region with Oreshnik. The threat of its repeated use remains for the night.

Swarms of drones are storming Ukraine’s sky, heading twd Kyiv. We expect ballistics and Kinzhals too.

russia aims to freeze Ukraine.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 6:04 PM

🇺🇦 Our AFU warrior shoots down a “Shahed-136” at long range with twin “Maxim” machine guns.
– Left, Yura, left!
– Yes! Target hit! 💥

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 11:53 AM

Various Russian cavalry units have begun installing Starlink terminals on horseback. This is not just an isolated case.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 7:34 AM

As far as I understand from Russian sources, their idea of installing Starlink terminals on horseback is as follows:

A Starlink terminal mounted on a horse’s back and powered by a powerbank placed in the saddle. The terminal is connected to a smartphone carried by the rider in a chest pocket.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 8:23 AM

/2. This setup is intended to provide continuous live video feed from the cavalryman’s point of view. From headquarters, commanders would be able to monitor the real-time situation around mounted units and track their movements and surroundings online.

Example of a Starlink-enabled cavalry stream:

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 8:24 AM

Oy vey.

Eight air defense systems destroyed by the 412th Nemesis Brigade in last month: Tor-M2 (2 units); Buk-M1 (2 units); Tor-M1; Buk-M3; Strela-10; S-350 Vityaz SAM system radar.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 4:55 AM

Kryvyi Rih:

Russia struck residential buildings in Kryvyi Rih with Iskander missiles. As of now, at least five civilians reported injured.

The attack is still ongoing — drones keep flying into the city again and again.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 11:43 AM

Ukrainian channels report that Russia is currently striking Kryvyi Rih with ballistic missiles. The attacks are coming one after another.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:30 AM

It is reported that Russia struck a multi-storey residential building in Kryvyi Rih with two Iskander-M missiles. There are already 12 injured.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 1:28 PM

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Kyiv:

As of now, at least two people are reported killed and five injured in Kyiv as russia carries out a massive attack on Ukraine’s capital and other cities across the country.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 7:28 PM

Several districts of Kyiv lost power after one of dozens of russian strikes.

The number of people killed has risen to four.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 9:09 PM

Kyiv tonight‼️

As always, russia fights apartment building. Terrorists.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 6:59 PM

Russia’s attack on Kyiv tonight is yet another act of terrorism against civilians.

A missile struck a residential building, killing an entire family.

A medic was killed and other medical workers wounded. They had rushed to help the injured after the strike in Darnytskyi district, said Mayor.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 8:02 PM

Kyiv now

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 6:32 PM

I really hope someone still gives a damn

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 6:33 PM

Dnipro:

Total blackout continues in Dnipro after the russian attack.

No electricity or water in the middle of the winter.

Russia, as always, fights civilian population. Terrorists.

🎥: Yan Dobronosov

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 10:31 AM

Kharkiv:

Site of a direct russian missile strike on an apartment building in Kharkiv on January 2.

6 bodies were recovered here. 4 required DNA testing for identification, while the other 2: those of a 3‑year‑old boy and his mother, were identified visually.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 5:44 AM

Lviv:

Russia reportedly struck Lviv with an Oreshnik missile.

​Thankfully, there are no reports of victims so far.

​We must remember that russia kills Ukrainian civilians daily using a barrage of drones and missiles.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 5:48 PM

Don’t fall for the Kremlin’s narratives designed to project strength; these are not strategic military moves, but acts of state-sponsored terrorism.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 5:48 PM

Video of “Oreshnik” IRBM strike on Lviv.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 5:36 PM

Another footage of the “Oreshnik” intermediate-range ballistic missile strike on Lviv.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 6:39 PM

Different angle on the “Oreshnik” IRBM strike on Lviv.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 7:17 PM

Donetsk Oblast:

🔥Burning radar of the Russian S-350 air defense system, possibly 50N6A. The attack was carried out using two strike-drones. Donetsk Region. January 5, 2026.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 12:09 PM

Russian occupied Crimea:

The General Staff of the Armed Forces of Ukraine confirmed that the Defense Forces struck a moving fuel train at the loading rack of the “Hvardiiske” oil depot in occupied Crimea.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 2:38 PM

Kostiantynivka:

On the Kostiantynivka axis, operators from “Cursed Empire” burned one motorcyclist and wounded another.
www.instagram.com/cursedempire_/

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 12:20 PM

Siversk:

The crew of a Ukrainian T-72 tank from the 10th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade is engaging a tree line with Russian infantry on the Siversk sector of the front, withstanding hits from enemy kamikaze drones.

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 7:51 AM

Russia:

Russian economic collapse: oil revenues hit a new record low since the start of the full-scale war.

The discount on Urals crude is now almost 50% off Brent, oil is selling at a loss, and buyers are still avoiding Russian oil.

The 1990s are coming back. Make Russia Broke Again.

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— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 3:22 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

Blackout in russian Belgorod.

Russia has been striking Ukrainian infrastructure for years, but this is the first year Ukraine responds.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 4:28 PM

Moment of blackout in Belgorod, Russia 🖤

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 4:34 PM

Oryol Oblast, Russia:

«Where’s air defence?» in Russian Oryol, a drone struck the local thermal power plant. Parts of the city were left without electricity and heating

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— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 5:36 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Wait for it. Wait for it.

One damn lucky deer

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) January 8, 2026 at 2:24 PM

Hello!

Open thread!