Rumors are flying that President Elect Trump has chosen/selected/designated LTG (ret) Flynn as his National Security Advisor. This position does not require Senate confirmation. The only thing I’ve seen is the MSNBC crawl – nothing else. The National Security Advisor is basically the defense, foreign, security, and intelligence policy gatekeeper for the President. In many ways the position is a Chief of Staff position for these areas. When they do their jobs well, they deconflict disputes between the various principles and senior deputies from the defense, foreign affairs, security, and intelligence portions of the Interagency and manage the National Security Staff. The classic organizational document for this is National Security Council Paper 68 (NSC-68) issued under President Truman. Each President modifies and adapts the National Security Staff structure and processes to better suit their preferred leadership style. Here’s the link to President Obama’s orders restructuring the National Security Council System to fit the needs of his Administration.
If, indeed, LTG (ret) Flynn is the next National Security Advisor, it makes sense to get a better idea of how he understands the global system and the threats, challenges, and opportunities facing the US and how the US should approach them. Fortunately for us, al Jazeera English’s Mehdi Hasan got LTG (ret) Flynn to join him in committing an act of journalism and reporting. Hasan’s interview with Flynn is below.
lamh36
Since we’re talking about Trump and foreign affairs, this from Yglesias…seems worrisome…
@mattyglesias
This seems to confirm, incidentally, that Trump is doing diplomatic talks over non-secure phone lines.
Adam L Silverman
@lamh36: Pretty much.
Omnes Omnibus
Career Military Intelligence. Jumbo shrimp, etc. Off to watch the vid.
Miss Bianca
@lamh36:Say it with me now: “but-but-but-but EMAILS!!”
lamh36
Hey Adam, I posted this in one of the previous threads. I was waiting to see one of your post to ask you what you think.
As I said I haven’t watched cable news in months even before I lost my cable. Do you have any idea what Engel is hinting at here?
Miss Bianca
@Omnes Omnibus: Principles of Finance. Yeah, me too.
Ian
What would you do differently?
Flynn- I would make the Arab leaders help themselves
jacy
So, how long before we can expect a major catastrophe? Before inauguration, the next day?
Gin & Tonic
@lamh36: Wonder who’s doing the interpreting when he talks with, say, Sisi or Putin.
Steeplejack (tablet)
I am reliably informed that ISIS/ISIL will not be a problem because Trump will be informing the generals of his secret plan and instructing them on its implementation right after Inauguration Day.
Tick-tock, radical Islamic terrorists.
Corner Stone
And BOOM! Goes the dynamite. Looks like Flynn is in.
Adam L Silverman
@lamh36: I saw that when it was first tweeted. The general officers/senior officers take Civilian control over the Military very, very seriously. But they also take the UCMJ, laws of war, and Foundational/Constitutional Law very seriously too. We spent a lot of time in the seminar room discussing that our client is the Constitution and via the Constitution the American people. While the President may be at the top of the chain of command – the Commander in Chief for the uniformed services and DOD, Department of the Army, Navy, and Air Force civilians (the President is just the President for everyone else!) – the military does not swear allegiance to him (and one day her). The allegiance is to the Constitution. So this does not surprise me at all.
Gin & Tonic
@Corner Stone: Does that mean he has to give up his RT gig?
mouse tolliver
@lamh36: He was talking about how the generals he knows are worried that Trump will ask to do things that consider immoral, and they want to know what legal authority they have to say no.
Corner Stone
@Gin & Tonic: No. Why would he? Synchronicity, baby!
Gin & Tonic
@Corner Stone: Maybe they can simulcast the NSC meetings.
Gin & Tonic
@mouse tolliver: Why weren’t they worried about that when W was telling them to torture people?
Omnes Omnibus
@Adam L Silverman: They are looking at their options if Trump gives a blatantly unconstitutional order. Refuse or resign are the obvious answers. They are looking for any other options.
Also, I am having difficulties not screaming back at Flynn. Gahhhhh!!!!
Timurid
@lamh36:
Probably obstruction, not an outright coup.
A mutiny in the older sense of the word. Most pre-modern military mutinies were not violent takeovers like the “Sepoy Mutiny” or the “Mutiny on the Bounty.” They were essentially strikes. Soldiers would stop work and stop obeying orders until their grievances (often involving back pay) were addressed.
Mnemosyne
@mouse tolliver:
That was kind of what I was assuming — they’re trying to figure out how to legally refuse to obey stupid and/or illegal orders. IIRC, the Army and Marines were not big fans of the torture that happened in Iraq, to put it mildly.
Adam L Silverman
@Ian: Which is what we’re doing.
schrodinger's cat
@Timurid: Sepoy Mutiny was no mutiny, the limeys were in India, Indians had every right to throw them out, instead of accepting to British rule. Unfortunately, they failed and they were stuck with that fat bitch with the handkerchief over her head (Queen V) for a long time.
Adam L Silverman
@Omnes Omnibus: Yes and yes.
Omnes Omnibus
@Timurid: There will be no military coup. The military will obey dumb but legal orders.
Lev
Trump had all the party’s has-been and Z-grade nobodies around him during the campaign because the GOP elite knew he wasn’t fit to be president and anyone with a better option took it. Now he’s forming a government with that bunch of inexperienced cranks and retreads.
mai naem mobile
The Elliot Cohen story(WaPo IIRC) said something to the effect of the Trumpies having a hard time recruiting people for NSA/Spooks etc not only because of Trumpies instability but because Flynn has a bad reputation from when he worked at the NSA before.
Gin & Tonic
Man, this here is good. Welcome to the bigs, Donnie.
Mnemosyne
@Gin & Tonic:
I’m guessing the answer is nyet, comrade.
Adam L Silverman
@Omnes Omnibus: Without a doubt. But the general officers/flag officers and the senior executives at DOD and the service specific departments know how to work the system better than the people that are going to get the political jobs. And the Geographic Combatant Commanders have a significant amount of power to work the boundaries on the operational side of the house.
Timurid
@Omnes Omnibus:
Agreed. Respect for civilian authority is in their DNA.
By the time any general officers seriously contemplate a coup, it will be far too late to matter.
Omnes Omnibus
Mr. Hasan is a better man than I. I watched 15 minutes and I know he is dangerously off. The ease with which he conflates Islam with Islamist is enough of a tell.
donnah
@lamh36:
Late on Election night, Richard Engel was pulled onto the panel on NBC news and was asked by Chuck Todd and Tom Brokaw about the views abroad about the Trump presidency. It’s worth seeing on Google. He said immediately that a Trump presidency will be catastrophic. He said the US would be like a nuclear battleship stuck in the water, a sitting duck for aggressive countries.
And then when Chuck Todd said Trump said he knew more than the generals, Richard said that he’s talking to generals, too, and they’re reading the Constitution closely to see if they can refuse to take part in immoral actions issued as orders from Trump to round up immigrants.
He was dead serious.
Adam L Silverman
@mai naem mobile: No one wants to work with him from when he was DIA Director (he’s never been at National Security Agency). The reporting and scuttlebutt is that he is considered to be a toxic leader and alienated significant numbers of his peers among the general officers/flag officers.
Mnemosyne
@Omnes Omnibus:
I’m trying to remember what the phrase is — is it “working to rule”? Where you do the absolute bare minimum required of the job to protest something?
I suspect there’s going to be a whole lot of that at all levels of government and the armed forces for the foreseeable future.
rikyrah
marla sue ⭐️
@marlasue01
More making America great ~>The President-Elect Is Suing Washington, D.C., So His Luxury Hotel Can Pay Less in Taxes
mai naem mobile
Camacho had time tonight to tweet about some Kate Upton/Ayesha Taylor twitstorm about the MLB. I don’t follow Camacho so I actually clicked on his tweet just to make sure it wasn’t a parody account. I am not kidding. He also had.Bob Kraft and Woody Johnson at Trump Tower today. I fully expect a Camacho Rally at the Superbowl with Orange flavored Brawndo.
Timurid
@schrodinger’s cat:
Yes, I know all about the ‘First Indian War of Independence.’ It was a broad-based rebellion that happened to include elements of the military. I just referenced it because the ‘Sepoy Mutiny’ and things like the Bounty are the stereotypical examples people think about when they hear ‘military mutiny.’
Mnemosyne
@mai naem mobile:
And yet he still can’t be arsed to send a tweet to his racist followers to tell them to stop vandalizing churches and bullying people.
the Conster, la Citoyenne
why am I in this handbasket and where are we going?
WaterGirl
@Mnemosyne: I used to work with a fellow who said when they (the bosses) really pissed him off, he would do exactly what they would tell him to do. Since they didn’t understand the consequences of what they were asking him to do, it didn’t turn out well for them (the bosses).
This sound like maybe a similar thing.
edit: or maybe not.
Gin & Tonic
@Mnemosyne: I think a lot of us at some point or another have been faced with an asshole boss who came in from elsewhere. I know I did, but I was quite secure in my job and knew *way* more than the boss about the subject area, so I just did what needed to be done according to my training and experience. Slowly and carefully. Eventually the boss was gone and I wasn’t. I’m sure we’ll see plenty of that.
Omnes Omnibus
@Adam L Silverman: “You ordered me to move against ISIS with all due force. And, Mr. President, we are using SF and the Rangers to do xyz in preparation for the moment when we….” “Yes, sir, it is not yet time for … because we are doing abc. “
Adam L Silverman
@mai naem mobile: Give this a look:
http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/10/how-mike-flynn-became-americas-angriest-general-214362
There’s a lot more at the link.
NotMax
@Adam L. Silverman
Too, institutional memory is so long as to approach infinity.
Mnemosyne
@the Conster, la Citoyenne:
I’m still trying to think of a good way to combine that phrase with “basket of deplorables” and maybe get myself a Facebook meme. It’s the little things that keep me going.
Corner Stone
I’m getting the strong feeling that the Bannon appointment is the lightening rod being used to distract all the elected D’s and the media chasing this bullshit story.
Omnes Omnibus
@Mnemosyne: Working to rule is it. OTOH, it is not a part of military culture.
WaterGirl
I am starting to feel kind of panic-y like I did on election night once it became clear that Trump had won.
In an effort to quell those feelings, I read again the article summarizing Obama’s phone call with OFA from 11/14
Would anyone care to speculate what Barack Obama might have meant by this, particularly the part I have bolded?
mai naem mobile
@Adam L Silverman: well,I stand corrected. Not that it makes me feel any better.
rikyrah
Brendan Karet
@bad_takes
Trump surrogates are already citing Japanese internment camps from WW II as “precedent” for Muslim registry
Adam L Silverman
Apparently former SeAL Carl Higbee is part of this National Security leadership team. Higbee published a book before retirement that caused DOD to downgrade his clearance. And they changed his discharge after his retirement from honorable to general. He did 8 years, got in trouble, and decided to retire. Nothing but tactical level experience. So he’s a real winner too!
Omnes Omnibus
@the Conster, la Citoyenne: You know what you did.
schrodinger's cat
So lawyers and constitutional scholars is there anyway to stop this train wreck in motion?
rikyrah
Matthew Yglesias ✔ @mattyglesias
This seems to confirm, incidentally, that Trump is doing diplomatic talks over non-secure phone lines.
8:35 PM – 16 Nov 2016
Mnemosyne
@Omnes Omnibus:
And now I’m remembering this classic phone conversation from the movies.
Adam L Silverman
@Omnes Omnibus: Exactly.
Ian
@Adam L Silverman:
It was just the sheer audacity of that answer. Criticize the Obama admin, and when pressed offer a vague non answer. Not a policy proposal, not a context laden answer, nothing.
Timurid
@donnah:
Trump is going to use law enforcement as his Revolutionary Guard.
The military is largely incorruptible, but police chiefs will be lining up around the block to piss on the Constitution…
GregB
It is really a big fucking deal to staff the most powerful nation in the world with a rogues gallery if misfits, malcontents and wannabe mob bosses.
It continues to be not good and getting worse.
The season opener of this show could be worse than The Walking Dead.
NotMax
@rikyrah
Yellow crescents on the horizon.
It’s like they open their meetings by singing a snippet to the tune of Swanee but with the lyrics changed to Wansee.
Timurid
@schrodinger’s cat:
Since we’re on the topic of mutinies, our best shot is probably the Electoral College going full inqilabi. It’s the only option that doesn’t leave us with President Pence. But it’s a hell of a long shot. There would be violence if it happened. Aside from the concerns for precedent and propriety, any Electors who went rogue (and any Republican pols who egged them on) would be in real danger.
Vhh
@Adam L Silverman: Except for the like of Kissinger, most Nat Sec Advisors appear to me to be Presidential desk accessories, or in the case of a Trump or a W, what Germans call Schlanghalters. I gather that Flynn’s a second rater who was forced into retirement. Disgruntled vengeance seekers cause trouble but burn out. Trump will prob choose a loon as Sec State, who will drive away competent ppl by the score if not hundreds. Neocon and Pnac founder Eliot Cohen is loudly telling even GOP policy pros to stay away from Trump. So the nation’s foreign policy will be run by an ignorant ADHD narcissist surrounded by sycophants determined to promote idiotic ideas. Bad things will happen, but we can at least hope they will happen so fast, so embarassingly, on such small things that the system’s survival instincts will kick in. My worry is what NO ONE in the US public is talking about: Putin taking the Baltics a la Stalin (who emulated Peter the Great and Catherine the Great, who did the same thing), breaking NATO and ultimately the West. Poland and Hungary are now run by neofascists, Brexit happened, Le Pen is rising in France, and the new right AfD is gaining in Germany. It could become the 1930s all over again very quickly, but this time with Russia as the military giant. Fun times. We are moving to NE Germany next yr for work (big science project) so we’ll have a front row seat (gulp). I speak Russian and French well already, expect to get better in German real fast. Ready to meet up with new overlords, whoever they are. Too bad the Wehrmacht won’t be there when our side needs them.
Adam L Silverman
@Ian: Yep. I think part of the problem is that LTG Flynn looks at the overall strategic picture through the lens of what Special Operations needs from Intelligence. He was, from every report I’ve seen and from people I know that worked for GEN McChrystal at the same time, though lower, down, that he was excellent overseeing intelligence for GEN McChrystal when he was the Joint SOF commander. Sometimes people, with excellent records and qualifications, get promoted where they can no longer excel. Additionally, I think he couldn’t shake the SOF mindset. The DIA has a lot of career civilian personnel, not just uniformed. A good chunk are retirees or former military, but a lot are just civilians. They don’t react the same way as a bunch of SOF guys do and that may have contributed to the conflicts and the creation of the toxic environment.
Adam L Silverman
@Timurid: More likely sheriffs, specifically the ones that have bought into the constitutional sheriff BS.
Omnes Omnibus
So, when I was a teenager, I thought it would be cool and romantic to be a part of the French Resistance. And Stauffenberg in Germany (as an army officer, I met his son who was a German general). Okay, karma, I was a fucking kid and I wanted to be on the side of good guys. And get a medal. Don’t make me live through this. The medal is not that important.
SWMBO
My daughter sent this and I thought it was worth sharing. For those of us struggling to say what we need to say, this is a place to start.
Raven Onthill
(I haven’t watched it. Too long, too much heartache. But — another damn bigot?)
Mnemosyne
@Timurid:
You might be surprised to hear this, but there’s actually a pretty major political split among police chiefs. The International Association of Chiefs of Police publicly apologized for how minorities have been treated. It’s not going to be as cut-and-dried as you think.
Here in CA, the LAPD has already said they will refuse to participate in any kind of round-ups of immigrants. Big city cops know that doing that kind of stuff just makes their own jobs harder.
NotMax
@Timurid
Better chance of shooting a golf ball into space and making a hole in one on Mars.
Omnes Omnibus
@Adam L Silverman: How does an MI guy get the Joint-SOF job?
Adam L Silverman
@Omnes Omnibus: Bernard Fall is sort of a professional icon, so let me know where in the forest we’re meeting up.//
Timurid
@NotMax:
That’s what I thought on 11/9. But… holy fuck this transition… barely a week in and we’re already way off the rails. What kind of headlines will we be seeing by the time those guys sit down to vote?
CaseyL
It just gets better and better, doesn’t it. Flynn at NSC, Tom Cotton at the Pentagon.
Flynn will be feeding incredibly lousy intelligence from the NSC to guide whatever insane military adventures Cotton decides to get us into. Cotton hates the Iran deal, so I guess we can assume Iran is top of his list.
I’m thinking Trump’s first State of the Union speech will be an occasion to declare we’re declaring war on Iran. Won’t that be special.
I know Obama is deeply respectful of institutional norms, and I know that arresting and locking up the entire Trump team would cause a shitstorm the likes of which this country hasn’t seen since the Civil War. It might cause a Civil War, in fact. But I think even that would be preferable to what Trump’s going to get us into.
SWMBO
@SWMBO: She also sent this. It sort of helps when you know that there are like minded others in the world.
Emma
@rikyrah: Jesus, Mary, and Joseph.
Major Major Major Major
@Adam L Silverman:
There’s even a name for it. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_principle
Adam L Silverman
@Omnes Omnibus: He started his career in 82nd ABN, went to 25th ID, back to XVIII ABN with several other stops in between. This included being an intel officer for joint special ops for the Grenada invasion. He was the XVIII ABN G2 – the current one is one of my former students. My guess is that he and GEN McChrystal knew each other, had worked together, and that GEN McChrystal specifically picked him. When I was at SOCOM in 2015 the vast majority of the uniformed personnel assigned there were not Special Operations Forces (SOF), they were conventional Forces. That’s my guess for how Flynn got the billet.
Mary G
Now some of the Republican state legislature in Georgia want to amend a law originally targeting KKK members from wearing their hoods to deny women the right to wear burqas and veils in public.
Omnes Omnibus
@Adam L Silverman: Tracking. Paris is the obvious place.
Major Major Major Major
@Mary G: just tell them they do that in France and they’ll stop.
Mnemosyne
@Adam L Silverman:
@Omnes Omnibus:
Which one of you will be wearing blue?
Omnes Omnibus
@efgoldman: That comes later on… When you need to say no. One avoids it as long as possible.
Adam L Silverman
@CaseyL: If he picks Senator Cotton it would be a huge mistake. You don’t put an Army captain (O3), who’s last assignment was as the staff weenie for a State Department Provincial Reconstruction Team (you got this assignment because NO ONE wanted you serving with them!!!) and nothing but tactical level experience in charge of generals and admirals. He also has no administrative experience. If they make him SecDef his career will be over in short order. I think he’s far too ambitious to give up a pretty safe seat in the Senate to be SecDef.
RealityBites
More Leonard Cohen
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: Yes there is.
NMgal
@SWMBO: Thanks, bookmarked. I called my rep today about Medicare. I *hate* making calls to politicians’ staffs. Am going to do it anyway. Desperate times and all that. Phone calls are nothin compared to what might be coming down the pike, we need to put on our big girl/boy panties.
Adam L Silverman
@Omnes Omnibus: Given French laws regarding fire arms, I’m not sure its the practical place to locate le resistance. The food would be good though!//
Psych1
@Adam L Silverman: Adam, you may recall a few months back, before all the Bernie-hate drove me away from here, I brought up that Trump was considering Flynn for VP. I worked with Flynn some years ago and found him to be outstanding. And, that is comparing him to many other top-tier players. True his book with Ledeen is a bit nuts but don’t dismiss him. As I said some months ago, he is formidable.
Mary G
@Adam L Silverman: He also doesn’t know how the government works very well. That letter he wrote to the Iranians before the treaty was signed was ridiculous. He and Marco Rubio are both empty suits.
ETA: Iranians, not Iraqis. Can’t even blame AutoCorrect, either.
Seth Owen
Our military is too vast to be of one mind, either.
Generally speaking, in order of decreasing reliability as to apolitical/devotion to Constitution I would put the Army at the top, followed by Coast Guard, Navy, Marines, National Guard (albeit with state variations), Air Force, Special Forces (while administratively part of parent services, since creation of SOC they are essentially a separate service).
Most problematic are the last two. SOC is heavily white, USAF has disturbing Dominionist Christian influence.
I agree that law enforcement is more fertile ground for trouble but at least some elements of the military could be tapped if they were ruthless enough.
WaterGirl
@SWMBO: Please send that to Richard Mayhew or Tim F. so that it can be front-paged on a “call to action” thread.
That is awesome. If every sane person made all those calls every day or every week, maybe it could make a difference.
PLEASE send that to one of them so it can be front-paged.
Omnes Omnibus
@Mnemosyne: Won’t happen. But if does, I am guzzling the damned booze. I am appalled that my adolescent fantasies might come to life. OTOH, if they do, and if so dog help us, I have already started by putting my name on the useless faithless elector petition.
Ian
@Adam L Silverman:
I think Tom Cotton is far to stupid to do the smart thing. Any chance to promote Tom Cotton to the rubes outside of his state is great for Tom Cotton. The whole letter to Iran thing worked out just great for him :P
weaselone
Obama spent the last 8 years shoring up and repairing the web of alliances and dependencies that had become unsteady and frayed during the Bush years and these morons are going to blow the whole network up, douse the rubble with gasoline, set it on fire, piss on the ashes and then flush them down the toilet. Our actual enemies couldn’t have accomplished this in their wildest dreams with years of effort and Trump along with the backing of the Republican Congress is going to do it for them.
Although it’s not as though it isn’t deserved. We’ve basically become the country equivalent of Jekyll and Hyde. Democrats are in power and we are a strong leader and exemplar in the global community. Republicans take power and we turn everything we touch to shit.
Mary G
@Adam L Silverman: Here’s another winner:
And they will probably say objecting to her is sexist and racist for extra credit.
Adam L Silverman
@Psych1: I’ve never met him, The closest I’ve ever come to interacting with him was when Tom Ricks, of CNAS and Foreign Policy, asked me to write a response (as I’m an actual practitioner of the topic) to Flynn’s CNAS report on how to better use cultural information.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2010/01/18/the-flynn-report-v-how-to-feed-the-beast/
He’s clearly very, very smart. He’s clearly a very sharp Intel officer. I think he was placed in the wrong billet, it killed his career, and he’s angry. I have some significant concerns about his not drawing a sharp enough line (I’m not even sure he’s drawing a line) between Muslims and the Muslim extremists and terrorists/Islam and Islamic extremism and terrorism. That may be a blind spot. That may be just too many years looking at and trying to deal with threat. As I’ve written – I don’t know him. I just knew him by reputation, which until the DIA stuff, was considered excellent/exemplary. I was always surprised that LTG LeGere did not get the billet, but my take was that GEN Odierno, for who she’d served as the G2 when he was the Force Commander in Iraq, wanted her, and got her, as the Army G2. But I’m also not privy to the promotion and assignment selection boards and do my best not to meddle in general officer/flag officer politics.
Omnes Omnibus
@RealityBites: You messed up your link. I love the song.
Adam L Silverman
@Psych1: And glad you’re back.
//Did anyone get you to sign the post election no longer Bernie loyalty oath?//
Timurid
That’s like saying “molten lava is warm to the touch.”
Obama is the straightest arrow that ever arrowed. An obsession with precedent, propriety and the rules are the only reason he made it all the way to the White House as a black Democrat. Nothing ever stuck to him. He was completely above reproach. If it had been even a tiny bit different, he would have been destroyed like Gore and Hillary. As President and as ex-President he will stick to the letter of the law long while Trump and his minions trample on every written and unwritten rule. It’s not in his nature to act differently. What was his greatest strength in a sane, peaceful country is going to be his greatest weakness in an unprecedented crisis.
When Obama starts calling for a revolution… or the Joint Chiefs are sitting around a table asking ‘so how does this here coop thing work again?’… the game will already be over. The clock will have hit zero. The teams will have left the field and hit the showers. Of course only the winning teams’ showers will be the kind with water in them…
Adam L Silverman
@Mary G: I saw that yesterday. She’s just nuts.
Mnemosyne
@Mary G:
Secret Muslims will be the new Red Menace. In some circles, they already are.
WaterGirl
@Timurid: Do you think what he’s saying here is basically worthless?
https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2016/11/14/remarks-president-conference-call-grassroots-supporters-and-ofa-alumni
Omnes Omnibus
@Timurid: I am an institutionalist with rather leftist goals. I think Obama was the same. It makes us center left people. Not because of what, but because of how.
WaterGirl
@Omnes Omnibus: Young WaterGirl romanticized Anne Frank’s situation. So you are not alone.
Omnes Omnibus
@WaterGirl: I don’t want this world.
Mai.naem.mobile
If you can get Camacho’s tax returns you might be able to flip some electors. Even if you do that you would have real crazy riots and HRC would have to travel around in a literal bullet proof bubble. Otherwise try and get the LA senate seat and get two GOPrs to flip to independent and mitigate the damage. I don’t see any GOP senator doing that. Even the old farts like Hatch and McCain who don’t have many years left.
Lizzy L
@Psych1: Outstanding is a big word; so is formidable. Can you say something about his character, if you know anything? Would he support/condone/approve of torturing prisoners, for example? (I recognize that you may not know.)
Omnes Omnibus
@Mai.naem.mobile: You are a nice person. But no. Sorry.
Mnemosyne
Okay, if I talk about the Election Thieves any more tonight, I may start screaming.
Any of my fellow ladies have clothing tips for San Francisco this time of year? I was thinking of fleece-lined leggings and a sweater, but I do get chilly easily. Do I also need a hat, scarf, and gloves? I have to travel light since I need to keep my backpack with me all day.
ETA: I will also have a jacket, and probably a raincoat since there’s currently a 90 percent chance of rain on Saturday.
Aleta
Also today: The oat=k==pers site put up a long screed against Tr. protesters, with fake photos and accusations (like communist flags!), and implying need for pat==ot vigilance against protestors.
WaterGirl
@Omnes Omnibus: Nor do I. I am struggling with the fact that this is actually reality and there isn’t anyone or anything that can swoop in and rescue us from it. It’s shocking to know that we are well and truly fucked and that there doesn’t appear to be any way to stop the oncoming train.
Young WG also thought it would be super fun to be in a flood because of how fun it would be to get to swim around in the streets. All the flood water was perfectly clean and clear by the way, and there were no casualties.
Jeffro
@Timurid:
I agree. And I wonder…if enough madness happens these next four weeks…if there’s enough pressure from the right sources…and if HIllz played ball…
…if the Electors (or even just enough of them to tip the balance) would agree to vote for her, provided she walked up to the Inaugural podium with a resignation letter in hand? Block Trump and his gang of incompetent Russia-stooges, be sworn in, turn, and turn it over to Kaine (America’s nice dad).
She deserves it, but I’m sure she knows at this point what would happen to the country if she served her term – believe me I hate to say it or even hint that she should just walk away from a hard-earned victory and so much self-sacrifice. But still. We are where we are. He cannot be officially elected, and certainly not sworn in.
RealityBites
I have problems with links. Was a lurker for too long, I expect. But I think Leonard Cohen’s “The Partisan” is appropriate for this thread if anyone wants to check it out. Will practice links later. I am at work and can only check in here occasionally.
Timurid
@WaterGirl:
No, certainly not. Not as long as things don’t escalate too far. And they might not.
What I’m saying is that none of our presumed knights in shining armor, whether it’s the Army, President-for-life Obama or Hillary of Arc, would actually attempt explicitly illegal solutions until the situation was past the point of no return.
Jeffro
@CaseyL:
Obama’s temperamentally incapable of taking this situation head-on and doing as you say…but you have to wonder what would happen if in the next 29 days, he was presented with proof that Bannon, Flynn, Giuliani, any of them, were working with the Russians to tamper with our elections.
Omnes Omnibus
@RealityBites: The Partisan. Handled for you. Don’t worry.
Aleta
@Mnemosyne: Thin silk long underwear or t shirts are nice. You barely feel them under clothes, they roll up small, you can remove them in the middle of the day. (Wintersilk sells by mail, also prob REI in Berkeley etc.) A soft silk/wool hat works great too.
Omnes Omnibus
@Jeffro: Fuck you. He is the president; he has a job. He is doing it.
Davis X. Machina
@Mary G: Laurie Mylroie wasn’t available?
WaterGirl
@Timurid: I get what you’re saying.
Jeffro
@Aleta:
One has to…speculate…as to how the Koch Brothers would react to a bill that could make wealthy sponsors of street protests liable for those actions. Especially if there were a “right-wing Astroturf” clause inserted in there….
Mnemosyne
@Aleta:
I have one of those, so that was at the back of my mind. I may end up looking strangely fashionable and wearing my tall black boots with low heels since they’re waterproof. I was planning to wear sneakers, but that just means squishy socks all day long, which would drive me nuts.
ETA: I’m taking the train up from LA on Friday, staying overnight, and flying back on Saturday, so I have to be my own packhorse all day on Saturday. Thoughtful packing is a must.
WaterGirl
I was just thinking that it’s really stupid of Trump to be showing his hand this early. It would have been much smarter for him to act like he was going to play nice and not burn the country down – until after January 20.
Jeffro
@Omnes Omnibus: Oh please do relax.
Philbert
@Timurid: I see in Russia Today Trump has been named an honorary Cossack. They are the unregistered thugs Putin uses to attack demonstrations after stolen elections. Oathkeepers etc?
Mingobat f/k/a Karen in GA
I thought if the electors turn on Trump, it goes to the House of Representatives? We’d be looking at President Romney or Kasich, rather than Clinton or Kaine.
Omnes Omnibus
@Jeffro: ?
Lizzy L
@Mnemosyne: My go-to fall/winter outerwear in the Bay Area is a sherpa-lined hooded zippered heavy sweatshirt that I bought at Sears men’s dept. about 8 years ago. The hood keeps my head warm and dry. When it’s raining, I wear a hooded rain poncho over the sweatshirt. If you are planning to do lots of walking in the rain you’ll want a raincoat or jacket with a hood. If your head gets cold easily — mine does, since my hair is buzz-cut — I suggest a watch cap. If your jacket doesn’t have a hood, a scarf is a good idea to protect your head and neck. Gloves aren’t necessary unless you’re going to be outdoors a lot. Wear warm socks and shoes that can handle rain.
CaseyL
@Jeffro: It drives me insane to think we KNOW about the blatant thievery and interference by Russia and its agents (Wikileaks), and can do absolutely nothing while the government is stolen right out from under us.
I felt something similar to this during the 2000 election, when SCOTUS handed the Presidency to W. But my rage at the time was tempered somewhat by the knowledge that throwing the election to the House would still have put W in the White House.
This is different. This is a goddamn nightmare. Not only because the election was so corrupted, with the means and the perpetrators right out there in the open, but because the consequences are so much worse.
We got W and from that we got 9-11, war with Iraq, and a financial collapse we’re only starting to get out from under. Not to mention the gross negligence and reckless disregard that characterized his domestic policies.
Trump will make that era look like a Golden Age.
Adam L Silverman
@Aleta: I saw the Oathkeepers’ screed.
Timurid
@Mingobat f/k/a Karen in GA:
I’d take Romney right now. And I’m saying that as somebody who would have voted for Richard Nixon over that prick if they’d been my only two choices…
Omnes Omnibus
@Jeffro: You are fucking nuts. Anyway….
Mnemosyne
@Lizzy L:
I have one of these sherpa-lined jackets from Lands End that I love, but it’s been too warm down here to wear. No hood, but I’m not always a fan of hoods — they seem to let the wind in. Our last few winters have been quite warm (stupid global warming) so I have to dig around and see if I can find my cold(er) weather stuff.
Lizzy L
@Jeffro: Notice how acts of protest (First Amendment, right of the people peaceably to assemble) turn into acts of terrorism? Fuck him.
MisterForkbeard
@Mingobat f/k/a Karen in GA: Depends. If enough faithless electors vote Hillary to put her at 270, she’s the President by law.
As I understand it, if no one has 270 EV, then it goes to the House (sorta), where each state representation gets one vote, and the vote has to be for someone who was in the top 3 of electoral votes. At which point… probably Trump, due to Republican house representation. The only way they’d vote otherwise was if some incredibly awful news broke about Trump, such as deliberately working with the Russians against Hillary and there’s video of him talking about n-words to guys in white hoods while screwing a young boy.
Dog Dawg Damn
This thread right here is why I’m having daily meltdowns.
Holy shit. I want out.
Major Major Major Major
@efgoldman: I’ve been saying all week that America’s last great hope is John McCain’s ego. Fortunately, it is formidable.
Adam L Silverman
@Jeffro: @Aleta: That’s aimed at George Soros. The word has gone out in the usual circles that Soros is funding all of this to bring down the government of the US on behalf of Communism or something.
WaterGirl
@Dog Dawg Damn: Stop the train, I want to get off.
Mingobat f/k/a Karen in GA
@Timurid: Oh yeah. Any Republican gets in, and we watch Medicaid get cut to the bone and then some, and then we can’t pay for the nursing home my father-in-law is in. My family and I are screwed either way. But at least we’d have a President who conducts sensitive talks over a secure damned phone line.
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: As is his temper and his curse word vocabulary.
Major Major Major Major
@Adam L Silverman: how much of the Soros hate has been anti-semitism? It always reeked of “scary foreign Jew” to me.
Lizzy L
@Mnemosyne: Better too warm than too cold, for me. If you’re planning to be mostly inside you may not need the poncho even in the rain, BTW. I only use the poncho when I know I’m going to be walking in the rain a lot. Also, I hate umbrellas and never carry one. YMMV. My friends from San Diego always freeze when they come up here to visit, even though it doesn’t seem that cold to me. It’s all what you’re used to.
Davis X. Machina
@Major Major Major Major: Isn’t “Jew banker” a tautology?
Mnemosyne
So, anyway, I’m going to wander off since I should at least try to do a little writing tonight. If ruemara shows up, can you guys remind her to check her e-mail? KTHXBAI.
WaterGirl
Can it really be this bleak? Where we are left to ponder whether our democracy will go out with a whimper or a bang?
weaselone
@Adam L Silverman:
It’s not aimed at Soros. It’s aimed at the right to protest. Soros is just brought in as a boogeyman to discredit the protests and mark them as illegitimate.
Aleta
One of Tr’s campaign promises and taunts is “say ‘radical islam.’ Flynn says (writes) it a lot. Proof that Tr gets things done faster than anyone.
Bannon wants to make islam itself the enemy. Flynn’s already on board; in fact he claims Obama fired him for saying this. (Extreme Christians (my sister) see this as proof that Satan has infiltrated the Pentagon and Obama is allowing Islam to take over the armed forces. Not kidding.)
Dog Dawg Damn
@Major Major Major Major: I always see that Soros was a Nazi. It’s so sad. Jews were responsible for the Nazis, dontchaknow?
MomSense
I want to hide under my bed.
Major Major Major Major
@MomSense: mine has a cat so I’m stuck sitting in my study, but I feel the same way.
Lizzy L
@Mnemosyne: That looks very warm. Might be a bit overkill for us. It says it can be worn at temperatures from -5 to +25 F: we don’t get that cold.
Mingobat f/k/a Karen in GA
@MisterForkbeard: I was thinking there’d be no way Hillary would get enough electors to put her over 270. I have to admit, though, that in the happy rainbow fairy land I constructed in my head where all of this actually happens, I only got as far as flipping enough electors for Trump to fall short of 270 — I haven’t put much thought into the rest of the details.
But there are unicorns that piss vodka and shit $100 bills, so there’s that.
frosty
@Adam L Silverman:
I hope it’s just the sheriffs. My eldest son starts Police Academy next month, and then to the job he’s been working towards with a BS in Criminal Justice and mustering out of Nat’l Guard as a Sargeant. I think he’ll do great but I’m worried about what kind of culture he’ll find himself in.
SWMBO
@WaterGirl: Will do.
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: All of it. They’ve accused him of being a sort of kapo, even though he was about 8 or 9 at the time. It is also often conflated with him being a Soviet and Communist dupe. Coherency is not a high priority here.
Lizzy L
@Philbert: I had not heard this.
The Cossacks, especially in Ukraine, were the destroyers of the shtetl. Most Ashkenazi families — like mine — brought those memories with them to the New World.
Major Major Major Major
@Lizzy L: @Mnemosyne: it’s not rocket science. Top, light jacket (hoodies are popular for a reason), actual jacket, and something for rain.
GregB
I am starting to wonder for my own sanity too.
When I saw that the future leader has gone out for steaks, had a meeting with Bob Kraft and was Twittering about celebrities while the transition is in crisis, I think surely will wake from this.
Adam L Silverman
@weaselone: I meant that bit about outside financiers.
That part is aimed at Soros. He’s the bogeyman that’s always circulated as the money and evil genius behind every left wing protest.
Adam L Silverman
@frosty: He should be fine. You all (his family) and the military have had a lot longer to acculturate him to appropriate norms and behaviors than the police academy will. If you have concerns, email me offline and I’ll ping a very close friend who is a SWAT sniper and law enforcement tactical trainer. And I’ve also taught a lot of cops, not to mention Soldiers, over the years.
Peale
@Adam L Silverman: it’s funny how they think it takes a lot of money to fund a protest. Maybe because their AstroTurf events are so full of grifters that no one has safe wallets.
Lizzy L
@efgoldman: A little bit of this, yeah. The news from D.C. just sounds insane. We cannot do four years of this.
GregB
Twitter tells me that a surrogate to the future leader cited Japanese internment camps as precedent im dealing with Muslims. I watched the clip. He did in his interview with Megyn Kelly.
Steeplejack (tablet)
Night Owl Movie Alert!
Woodstock on TCM at 12:45 a.m. EST for those who could use a distraction.
catclub
@Timurid: All those ‘Oath Keepers’ who organized during the Obama admin.
Lizzy L
Enough. Going to bed. Good night, sleep tight.
Mnemosyne
@Lizzy L:
I really do get cold easily. I’m not allowed to visit the Midwest during the winter because I get very sulky and act like the weather is a personal insult.
@Major Major Major Major:
Pipe down, you. ;-)
Davis X. Machina
@catclub: The German for “Oath Keepers” is Freikorps.
Adam L Silverman
@Lizzy L: http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/11/10/this-week-donald-trump-became-president-elect-and-also-an-honorary-russian-cossack/
WaterGirl
I am worrying tonight that we are fiddling while Rome burns. And on that happy thought, I am signing off. Perhaps things will look brighter in the morning.
frosty
@Adam L Silverman:
Thanks, that helps, it’s mostly just free-floating anxiety here. And he voted for Hillary, so we indoctrinated him that far, at least. :-) And thanks for the offer, I’ll email if the anxiety has occasion to come down to earth.
GregB
NSA chief Rogers states Wikileaks was attempt by foreign power toninfluence US election.
Adam L Silverman
@Peale: That and also because MoveOn.org often is involved in promoting them. So if MoveOn is involved, Soros is personally pulling the strings.
Adam L Silverman
@frosty: No worries.
Aleta
@Adam L Silverman: I fear it is not just directed at donors like Soros. Instead (and maybe I’m wrong) could be a way to come closer to introducing something like the material-support law for domestic “terrorist organizations” (with leeway for definition given to lower courts, if I remember and understand correctly). The Roberts Court did not exclude speech, even if urging nonviolence, from consideration when it ruled about material support for overseas organizations. So potentially an inroad to rulings that might inhibit our freedom of assembly and speech. (My legal understanding is limited; but this is what comes to mind for me.)
Timurid
@catclub:
I had a wingnut Marine veteran (he was a helicopter mechanic in Iraq) in one of my classes who claimed that about a third of active duty Marines and two thirds of Marine veterans were Oathkeepers.
I’m pretty sure that was confirmation bias talking, but it still made my skin crawl…
Lizzy L
@Adam L Silverman: Yeah, saw that. Laughing just to keep from crying, me.
And now I really am going to sleep.
catclub
@Adam L Silverman: Isn’t there an explicit mention in the constitution about royal titles for US Gov members? And it is not in favor of same.
Adam L Silverman
@Aleta: I don’t know. I doubt it would be considered Constitutional from the article excerpted. There are already laws about riot and crimes against property and person on the books. Gonna be a tough sell to a Federal court to limit the rights to assemble, petition the government for redress of grievances, and lawfully protest.
Adam L Silverman
@catclub: The Emoluments Clause.
Aleta
@Adam L Silverman: Yes, I hope it would not even pass in Congress, or else get struck down right away. But the SC under Roberts is not consistent about protecting freedom of speech. I wish conservatives or patr.s had shown more awareness of this before they voted. Anyway, I’m not as confident that the right to protest will be protected in the way we are used to, under the new guys in power or the judges they will appoint.
Davebo
@Omnes Omnibus: I’m curious, after having watched it all now, if your opinion of Flynn changed at all.
Honestly, I started watching ready to be shocked and at some points I was yet I can’t ignore the fact that he didn’t seem to be the raving demagogue I had thought he was.
I haven’t read all the comments yet but thank you Adam for that link.
joel hanes
@Mnemosyne:
I’m taking the train up from LA
Bless you.
Steeplejack (tablet)
@Aleta:
If you can’t do a link, can you at least provide a citation so we know what state this is?
Bess
Reading through the comments, I might be the only one besides Adam who watched the entire video he linked. Something that he talked about at the end was very important, IMHO.
He said that what we are doing now is tactical. We are fighting the fighters. But that will not end the problem. In order end ISIS type problems we need a strategy that removes the motivation for young men to be radicalized into the movement.
He said, I think he has this right, the Mideast needs a new economy. A transition over the entire region where the economy is strong and growing and people have things to do. To me it’s the same problem where inner city violence is still a problem. Young men with energy and desire who see no hope of improving their lives.
Flynn suggest that we work with the more affluent nations to build up the area. Create the sort of opportunities enjoyed in much of the rest of the world. It wouldn’t be a quick or easy task, but unless we create an alternative we may be fighting an unending war that could stretch far into the future.
It’s worth discussing…
gogol's wife
@Bess:
Da, da, ochen’ interesno. Vy zhivete v Moskve ili v Peterburge?
Psych1
@Adam L Silverman:
@Psych1: And glad you’re back.
//Did anyone get you to sign the post election no longer Bernie loyalty oath?//
NO!!! I believe that good analysis over time will show that Bernie, running with Liz Warren, would have won. Bloomberg would have come in and run a strong 3rd party campaign but taken most votes from Trump. I believe the misguided thinking exemplified here by most during the primary campaign is what got us Trump. And, it will be hard to go forward without seeing this.
Regarding Flynn, I’m glad some here are taking a closer look. We could do a lot worse. I should clarify that while I did have regular contact with him for about a year our more intense contact was basketball not policy. He was a terrific basketball player and very clear on timing and strategy
Adam L Silverman
@Bess: Its also the current policy and strategy.
Adam L Silverman
@Psych1: I’m not sure why I bothered with the sarc tags…
Gretchen
@GregB: It wasn’t an attempt. It was a successful intervention in the US election.
Gretchen
@Psych1: You believe wrong. There was plenty of damning oppo research on Sanders, and none of it was deployed because Clinton didn’t want to destroy a potential Democratic nominee. Trump would have deployed it all:
http://www.newsweek.com/myths-cost-democrats-presidential-election-521044