If a Republican runs for office in Indochina, I want a liberal waiting in a bowl of rice ready to raise seven figures in ActBlue money. So let’s go after some more House seats. This is Balloon Juice Tier 2 — Republican-held seats that are listed as Lean R by Cook. This is probably good bang for your buck. A lot flying under the radar but Silver and Wasserman say typically Dems are running 8-10 point higher in these than Hillary did in 2016.
There’s 18 Democratic candidates your money will go to: Carolyn Long, Christina Finello, Alan Cohn, Joyce Elliott, Diane Mitsch Bush, Alyse Galvin, Hillary Scholten, Lulu Seikaly, Jon Hoadley, Dan Feehan, Morris “Moe” Davis, Nancy Goroff, Mike Siegel, Patricia Timmons-Goodson, Kathleen Williams, Ammar Campa-Najjar, Betsy Dirksen Londrigan.
Balloon Juice House Tier 2 (Republican-held seats that are listed as toss-up)
As always you can see all our candidates here.
Patricia Timmons-Goodson needs to win because, based on the ads he’s running against her, her opponent is a scumbag.
Done. I don’t even know any of these names but one, but some earth-scouring sounds good to me
Done! Let’s scour the damn earth!
Scouring sounds great! Let’s swab the entire deck *and* polish the brightwork.
Carolyn Long, if elected, would give WA State 8 Democratic US Reps in their 10-person delegation.
PS: I have 10 postcards to write for Hillary Scholten – final batch before the election.
Threw in for four of these. Gave extra to Diane M-B in Colorado in honor of climate realism in the face of horrific fires there. Godspeed to the Colorado dems (and everyone, in terms of personal safety – I’m not a partisan when the house is on fire).
West of the Rockies
DougJ, any love for Audrey Denney (D) vs. Dirty Doug LaMalfa (R) in CA (District 1)?
Scouring the Earth is going to require a whole bunch of steel-wool pads……..
I’m cautiously optimistic about CA-50. (Ammar Campa-Najjar). This is Duncan Hunter’s district and Darrell Issa is the GOP candidate, so it’s a tough district for Dems, but I think the stars may be right. Last polls I’ve seen had it at an even race.
@H.E.Wolf: I really hope we can make it 11. I know Cathy McMorris-Rodgers will most likely win this time around, but I’m hoping there will be one candidate that will finally take her out.
While I have your attention…I’m keeping an eyeball on this kid. Justin Raffa has a really good shot at getting on the commission this cycle. I’m hopeful he can build that into a challenge that might just take Newhouse out. I live in hope anyway.
Cheryl from Maryland
Done. I want a wipe-out of the GOP.
Garamendi’s seat is Lean R? He is an incumbent D congressman
Also glad to see Moe Davis up there, since he is basically running against a young millennial neo-Nazi who has no worthy life experience AT ALL that qualifies him for the seat he is running for.
That first sentence, with the ethnic stereotyping- not cool, dude. Not. At. All.
Republican Rep. Rodney Davis is very vulnerable in Illinois-13 and Betsy Dirksen Londrigan has an excellent shot to knock him out in this rematch. Throw her some love (and cash!)
Ammar Campa-Najjar is running in CA50 against the undead Darrell Issa. He lost to indicted Duncan Hunter in 2018, so I didn’t think he had much of a chance. He is of Mexican and Arab American descent, just a stellar candidate who worked for Obama in the White House and Dept. of Labor, young, good looking, and smart.
Unfortunately, he had one big negative: his paternal grandfather was one of the terrorists in Munich at the 1972 Olympics. Hunter made a lot of hay out of that. The grandfather was dead before Ammar was born, and his father left home when he was an infant. He was raised by his Mexican-American mom in East San Diego County, where he was active in a church and in the community.
However, this article says this time might be different.
Recent polling from the 50th Congressional District shows Republican Darrell Issa and Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar are nearly neck and neck. I’m now thinking that the heavy military presence in his district may be quite disillusioned with Twitler, so he may have a chance. I sent him some money, not least because of Darrell, who has a lot more cash because he donated $6 million to himself and is trying to buy the seat.
Happy to wear the badge of “difficult” constituent and would love to see him go down again in a second district.
@jackmac: Oh my god, I should have been bugging Doug about Betsy all along.
Rodney Davis is a total fucking slimy pig, and it feels like I have had some version of my Unseat Rodney Davis magnet on my car since the beginning of time. Have I mentioned that I don’t care for him? He truly represents only those who have voted for him
@WaterGirl:I’m not sure what you’re saying. Do you like Rodney Davis or not??
Finally, Donald Trump says something we can agree with:
Trump privately tells donors it would be ‘very tough’ for GOP to hold Senate
‘Some strategists’ are in the running for the Emperor Hirohito Memorial Award For Excellence In Understatement.
@WaterGirl: My daughter’s in college in that district and I’ve told her to MAKE DAMN SURE she votes for Londrigan.
It’s sad to see Republicans lose faith in the power of their hate.
Separately – holy cow! ActBlue is at $7.44bn right now. They crossed $7bn not so long ago…the amount of money pouring into Democrats is at ridiculously stratospheric levels.
@H.E.Wolf: Wanted to thank you again for your encouragement to volunteer with postcardstovoters. I finished up the last of my postcard supply the other day (seemed fitting to have the last few batches going out in support of Jaime Harrison). It’s given me something concrete to do and keep my sanity.
Now off to donate to the Tier 2 list. I want a blue tsunami!
fixed it. Thanks
Huh. Dolt45 must be in transit or something. The Twitters are all celebrity gossip trends right now.
@WaterGirl: Davis is awful. I have been driving around Champaign Urbana to deliver Betsy yard signs. I still have 5 in my garage, let me know if you need an extra yard sign.
tokyocali (formerly tokyo expat)
Thank you, Doug! I’m in CA-50 and voted for Ammar Campa-Najar. He’d be great for the district if only he gets the chance to serve. Issa was kicked to the curb and he needs to stay gone. Money is definitely key. Every dollar raised here can make a difference.
Late return to this post, after a 5-hour Zoom event. (blech)
I wrote 10 postcards for him, too! Fingers crossed.
Fingers crossed for him as well. I’ll keep my eyes open for his future political activities. Ears that stick out could be a good sign (BHO ears! :) ).
Oh, thank *you*! I’ve been seeing your comments in various threads, and you’ve been inspiring me to keep writing, right down to the wire. I have 10 more to do (will mail them on Monday), and after that I’m going to focus on database wonkery for our State Democrats.
Might I suggest something with more bang for your buck…