ATTN NY, FL, TX, IL,OK, NM, NV, CA — your #COVID19 positive testing rates are shooting up fast.
?? pic.twitter.com/un4d9u3MOs— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) August 8, 2023
Reminder: All these increases are from much lower baselines than even a year ago. Stay alert to changes, but don’t panic about every uptick!
US hospitalizations for #Covid are rising again, but not like 2022. Admissions have inched up since early July. For the wk ending Jul 29, Covid hospitalizations numbered 9056, an increase of ~12% from the previous wk, but less than the 45k of late Jul 2022 https://t.co/6dyRuXuZhM
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) August 8, 2023
Signs point to a COVID-19 summer surge once again for the fourth consecutive year. Overall, infections remain much lower compared to the past, but began increasing last month. https://t.co/x2wbLMyl6O pic.twitter.com/BRJuJTVnri
— PBS NewsHour (@NewsHour) August 3, 2023
BREAKING: The Walgreens COVID-19 index has been updated! All time record high positivity has been recorded in some states including Texas, Florida, and New York! pic.twitter.com/WUs71GNnzN
— CyFi (@CyFi10) August 7, 2023
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Agree w/ @EricTopol 100%
New COVID Booster (XBB.1.5) is only a few spike mutations away from the top circulating SARSCoV2 lineages and should be effective in preventing severe COVID and hospitalizations especially in senior and vulnerable populations (comorbid conditions) https://t.co/FUhEZHPCja
— Raj Rajnarayanan (@RajlabN) August 6, 2023
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Endemic, not ‘over’…
WHO: 14.9 million excess deaths associated with the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021.
Some 68% of excess deaths are concentrated in just 10 countries globally.
Middle-income countries account for 81% of the excess deaths.
H/t @Johnincarlislehttps://t.co/49omVaYWso
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 5, 2023
COVID-19: China focuses on new vaccination drive as coronavirus wave looms over nation https://t.co/GJFcrqTAzr
— SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) (@COVID19_disease) August 3, 2023
India: Mutation Analysis of SARS-CoV-2 Variants
"Since March 2022, the daily sample load for SARS-CoV-2 rRT-PCR testing has been less than 50 suspected cases per day, and the positivity has been close to zero on most days."
A fascinating study.https://t.co/exGE1j4oOy
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 9, 2023
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Japan: "I should note that 78,502 reported cases are equivalent to about 800,000 cases actually."
True. The 78,502 Covid patients were those ill enough to seek medical help. They will only represent a small % of those infected.https://t.co/CYdalMrDli
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 4, 2023
South Korea: Easing of restrictions postponed amidst recent COVID-19 surge
"We were going to announce plans to lower the disease level of COVID-19 to Class 4 and lift all mask mandates at hospitals on Wednesday, but the schedule was put on hold,"https://t.co/LekHkOMqBo
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 7, 2023
Most of those illnesses do not seem to be covid-related, though — mostly heat & bad sanitation. However:
… The British scout delegation — the largest foreign contingent at the Jamboree with 4,500 participants — was the first to announce their exit from the campsite on Friday evening, followed shortly after by the 1,500-strong U.S. and 60-member Singaporean scout delegations on Saturday.
Together, British and U.S. scout delegations made up approximately 14 percent of the 43,000 participants at the Jamboree…
The Korean government pledged this past weekend to dedicate additional resources to support participants remaining at the Jamboree, which will continue after most other national scout delegations agreed on Saturday to carry on with the event…
(link)
A new COVID-19 strain EG.5.1 has appeared in the UK and is spreading quickly. A runny nose, sore throat, fatigue, and sneezing are signs of the Eris variant, which has descended from Omicron. https://t.co/QjLHf5Yy7f
— SARS‑CoV‑2 (COVID-19) (@COVID19_disease) August 7, 2023
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#Covid variant EG.5.1— aka Eris—is quickly becoming notably prevalent in the U.S. & the UK. In recent weeks Eris has gained traction & now accounts for 41.82% of all U.S. Covid cases, 2nd only to the variant known as Arcturus. #CovidIsNotOver https://t.co/PS8ChEgvYz
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) August 8, 2023
Latest COVID mutation EG.5 seems to be driving cases, my comments @Salon https://t.co/1IQ8B8Ne4Y
— Prof Peter Hotez MD PhD (@PeterHotez) August 8, 2023
🆕 @LancetMicrobe
In the largest study to measure cytokines and chemokine during Covid, with or without vaccination, a lower inflammatory profile was seen with prior vaccination, supporting its potential short and long- term protective benefithttps://t.co/bT5mYqdcJ0 pic.twitter.com/vYbxtD9o8Q— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) August 7, 2023
Scientists are beginning to untangle how #Covid affects the brain. British team reveals in lab experiments how #SARSCVoV2's variants breach the blood-brain barrier & damage brain cells in different ways. Study so far doesn't explain how vaccines protect https://t.co/5Kw1nJP4NM pic.twitter.com/4evfEtcELe
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) August 7, 2023
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Scientists have developed a breath test that detects #SARSCoV2 in 1 or 2 breaths & provides results in <1 minute. Because airborne transmission of virus-laden aerosols is the dominant route of spread, a non-invasive screening has been a long-sought goal https://t.co/QapZ9aPhyy pic.twitter.com/X4BIWW5498
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) August 4, 2023
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This talk is open to the public if anyone is interested.
Thursday at 5PM EST. https://t.co/d8FqtLLQPc
— Marc Johnson (@SolidEvidence) August 7, 2023
======
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The X platform has been overtaken by crackpots, crazies, conspiracy theorists and the purely insane. The nuttiest nuts have blue checks. Simone Gold is an ex-con & a January 6 insurrectionist. She's also a quack who tweets/posts anti-science nuttery👇 https://t.co/bZN99IV7OR
— delthia ricks 🔬 (@DelthiaRicks) August 8, 2023
Maybe carry a bell to ring, when anyone gets too close?…
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Reader Interactions
35Comments
Comments are closed.
lee
From the wastewater tweet: “As national reporting and data collection systems collapse….”
Isn’t it that the red states just stopped reporting their numbers or is there a broader problem?
eversor
Tell the anti vaxers a mask protects them from the vaxed!
OzarkHillbilly
“Is there something we can do ahead of time to protect ourselves from the shedding/transmitting?”
Death is always an option.
lowtechcyclist
@eversor:
That might even work!
Baud
It is my God-given right as a liberal to panic.
rikyrah
Thank you for this beat, AL. Your work is appreciated.
lowtechcyclist
I need a t-shirt that says something like:
I AM FULLY VACCINATED
I am shedding mRNA genes that will take over your brain
RESISTANCE IS FUTILE
rikyrah
@eversor:
We really should have gone that route with those clowns
arrieve
Adding my thanks to AL for continuing these very helpful updates. I had noticed myself getting a little careless, a little complacent. When I went to see Barbie, I wore a mask of course, but I pulled it down to sip my iced coffee and realized halfway through the movie I hadn’t pulled it back up again. I dropped off dry cleaning and didn’t put on my mask because the door was open and I was inside for less than five minutes.
Then I started hearing about friends getting sick–again!–including one entire family in the Bay Area.
It looks like I’ve been lucky–fingers still crossed–but I’m back to diligent masking, even if I’m the only one. School is starting in a couple of weeks, and I teach English so can’t really mask in the classroom because the students need to see my mouth, but I will mask every other minute I can.
Central Planning
@lowtechcyclist: Could be a good license plate too: ISHDMRNA
p.a.
Don’t think mRNA shedding is a thing, but maybe tRump is a sort of MAGA fungus exerting control? (Every accusation is an admission) It’s irresponsible not to speculate!
Ophiocordyceps unilateralis, commonly known as zombie-ant fungus,[2] is an insect-pathogenic fungus, discovered by the British naturalist Alfred Russel Wallacein 1859, and currently found predominantly in tropical forest ecosystems. O. unilateralis infects ants of the tribe Camponotini, with the full pathogenesis being characterized by alteration of the behavioral patterns of the infected ant. Infected hosts leave their canopy nests and foraging trails for the forest floor, an area with a temperature and humidity suitable for fungal growth; they then use their mandibles to attach themselves to a major vein on the underside of a leaf, where the host remains after its eventual death.[3] The process, leading up to mortality, takes 4–10 days, and includes a reproductive stage where fruiting bodies grow from the ant’s head, rupturing to release the fungus’s spores. O. unilateralis is, in turn, also susceptible to fungal infection itself, an occurrence that can limit its impact on ant populations, which has otherwise been known to devastate ant colonies.
New Deal democrat
Per the CDC’s latest variant update, there is a completely new alphabet soup of XBB subvariants that are competing with one another, and one of them, EG.5.1, has been surging in a number of countries worldwide and is now the fastest growing subvariant in the US as well.
Since the CDC and most States have stopped reporting, our only reasonably reliable metric for infections is Biobot’s waste surveillance, which shows that for the fourth summer in a row, from an all-time low in late June, particles in wastewater have more than doubled, to levels last seen back in April. The increase is occurring across all four US Census regions.
Hospitalizations started increasing during the week of July 15, and are now about 50% higher than their recent nadir, although they are still lower than 10,000, which was their previous low in summer 2021 and spring 2022.
Deaths probably started rising from their all-time weekly low under 500 during the same week, although reporting is not final yet.
It’s too soon to tell how high the peak of this summer save will be, or when it will take place. It may be that hospitalizations and deaths peak at levels below their all-time lows previous to this spring. But they may not – we can’t tell until BIobot’s number clearly suggest a peak, and they aren’t doing that yet.
But it is clear now that we are having yet another summer wave, aided no doubt not just be summer get-togethers, but also be an increase in indoor activities and the absence of any mitigation measures whatsoever. And also the facts that resistance due to prior infections and/or vaccinations are likely waning, and the next booster won’t be available until (apparently) sometime this autumn.
I have begun to temporarily revert to my prior precautions, mainly masking in any indoor public venues.
p.a.
Moderation?!
sab
@arrieve: My dad’s floor in his nursing home just had an outbreak. Everyone in their 80s and 90s ( dad is almost 99.) Everyone survived. Those vaccines work!
Another Scott
I feel for those kids at the Scout Jamboree. I went to a state one at WPAFB in Ohio a few decades ago. Brutal summer heat, staying out in the open in a giant airfield (no trees, no shade) in summer for days on end, wasn’t fun. Some kids there got sick because they were chewing on stalks of grass that had been previously sprayed with an herbicide to keep the weeds down… :-/
A colleague at work started wearing a mask yesterday because a cousin he visited recently tested positive. He’s not positive, but… :-/
Thanks for your work, AL. It’s appreciated.
Stay safe, everyone.
Cheers,
Scott.
Lapassionara
Many thanks, AL. Can I get that nasal spray vaccine soon? Please?
Still masking in public. A friend called yesterday, said she was sick, so staying home. She cannot find a COVID test anywhere in the St Louis area. What gives?
Yarrow
Some friends in the UK have told me, “we never hear about Covid anymore” and that they have to pay for tests so no one is testing. A couple of friends there have had “colds” in the last few weeks. I’ve asked them if it could be Covid and they say they don’t know and won’t test because it’s expensive.
I’ve read that wastewater testing isn’t done at anything near the levels it’s done elsewhere. Given all of that I’m not sure how accurate their Covid data is. Anecdotally I’d guess the prevalence is much higher than reported.
Barney
I’m in the 50 to 64 group.
YY_Sima Qian
Cao Yunlong (Richard) at Peking University has a new analysis of the ACE2 binding & immuni-escape properties of a new XBB variant, something to watch out for this winter:
Maxim
@Yarrow: I recently visited a cousin at her home. A few days after we got together, she tested positive, and then I did. My symptoms are consistent with the Eris variant. I took Paxlovid, got better, and then relapsed and am now recovering from round 2. I was fully vaxed / boosted, so my case wasn’t severe, but it’s been no picnic (I asked for an additional booster the week before I was exposed, and was denied). I am crossing my fingers that the Paxlovid can help protect against long Covid even when the virus rebounds.
@Barney: Refusing to offer flu and Covid vaccines to a majority of the population is just insane.
Anne Laurie
Can you claim a ‘household contact’ who’s over 65? Your seniors card group, that meets in your home every week? An (imaginary) relative who needs you to ferry them to the shops? Or the toddlers at the daycare across the street?
lee
@Anne Laurie:
I’m in the same age group and it is pretty irritating that we can’t get vaccinated. I have not tried to get a another vaccine yet but I’m going to use my Dad as my pass (he’s 90). I might even take him to get vaccinated with me (the place he lives has done it in the past)
@sab:
My Dad has Covid back in November (he’s 90). Between being vaccinated and Paxlovid he was damn near 100% within a week.
I caught it taking care of him even though I masked up but it was a very minor case.
Yarrow
@Maxim:
I’m not sure what those are. Are they different from the usual Covid symptoms? At this point I feel like pretty much anything from an upset stomach to cough and congestion to aches and pains, fatigue and brain fog can be a Covid symptom.
Yep. No picnic. And yep, same on the booster. Not old enough, not sick enough. So I lost a month being sick and am still dealing with lingering stamina/fatigue issues and minor brain fog. It sucks. It’s also bad policy. The number of people who would get the extra vaccine is so small this decision can’t be because of cost. If they’re offering it to older/immune compromised people then it has efficacy. They should let any adult who wants one to get a booster after a number of months (they decide that) from their last one.
If I’d been allowed to get it I likely wouldn’t have got sick and also wouldn’t have spread it to who knows how many people. You’re contagious before you have symptoms and unless you mask all the time you’re spreading it.
SomeRandomGuy
“Operation Warp Speed” was a failure at every level – I don’t know why people keep pretending otherwise.
Did it get a vaccine to market faster? No, Pfizer, who took no “warp” money, got to market first, with the same technology the warp-companies used.
Did it pre-order doses, and provide funding to manufacture doses quickly? Yes, and this is roughly the equivalent of “the administration counseled its experts to remember to wipe after making poopies.”
Did it absolutely and completely screw the pooch on delivery of vaccine to eager recipients? Yes it did. I can’t say that this wiped out the “build up manufacturing” benefit, but, remember: the idea that vaccines should have a good manufacturing base isn’t the “low hanging fruit,” it’s the legendary apple that conked Newton – it’s the fallen fruit that makes something so bloody obvious even a cookie inventor could figure it out!
(Yeah, I know, Newton invented calculus, and all. And how many people are grateful for calculus, versus those who despise it utterly?)
So operation warp speed had one job to do: get vaccines out, and administered quickly. It flubbed.
Also: Trump is the parent of vaccine refusal, and remember, all because *he* didn’t want to deal with a pandemic – *he* wanted to hold *rallies* rather than protect America.
trollhattan
My county (Sacramento) stopped updating the dashboard March 1 but still collect data and sends to the state, which shows an increase in positive tests between June and July.
https://covid19.ca.gov/state-dashboard/#county-statewide
Several school districts begin classes this week, so watch for a further August jump (my guess).
Finally tested negative yesterday, nine days after first testing positive and three days after finishing Paxlovid. Certainly not 100% but I can at least function and eat. My Rotten Tomatoes scoring of this movie is 2, only because I have see Ken Russell movies.
Bring forth the next booster.
Yarrow
@trollhattan: Congratulations on finally testing negative!
trollhattan
@Yarrow:
Thank you. I found covid, frankly, to be a little clingy.
Yarrow
@trollhattan: An unwanted houseguest that stayed far too long.
glc
@Barney: Well that managed to surprise me. My expectations clearly remain unrealistically high, even after the head of lettuce and all.
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
18 new cases on 08/02/23.
17 new cases on 08/03/23.
27 new cases on 08/04/23.
13 new cases on 08/05/23.
18 new cases on 08/06/23.
14 new cases on 08/07/23.
15 new cases on 08/08/23.
Deaths now at 2297, up 2 from last week.
An anti-masker friend of mine is coming over on Saturday to help me triage the junk in my basement. I don’t dare look a gift horse in the mouth by asking her to mask up when the case counts around here are still relatively low.
owlbrick
@trollhattan: Being in the same part of the world as you, I’ve found the CDPH wastewater monitoring dashboard to be the best information. It’s updated frequently, and is a much better indication of actual levels of spread than the poorly maintained self-report based test positivity numbers.
The kid is on the highschool football team, and has tested positive following an outbreak among the players. The wife and I haven’t tested positive yet, so we’re quarantining in separate zones of the house. I’m not thrilled with the state of the world right now.
Yarrow
@NeenerNeener: If your basement has windows and/or doors, keep them open if possible. Also, you can get relatively inexpensive portable HEPA filters on Amazon. If you have one going it’ll help improve air quality.
If you think your friend will freak about either of those, for all of the above you could say it’s because you want to reduce musty odor or dust or something like that.
Mel
@eversor: Oh, I am more than happy to have those monsters stay 6 feet away from me at all times. 60 feet away would make me even happier…
Mel
@NeenerNeener: Protect yourself. In my opinion, It’s not worth risking Covid or the hell that is Long Covid to tiptoe around someone’s craziness.
If she’s truly a friend, she will care enough to look out for your safety, even if she personally thinks it’s silly to mask. Masking works exponentially better when all people involved are masked, since the virus can enter at the eyes as well as the mouth and nose.
piratedan
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WeeklyAmericanPandemicDeaths@[email protected]
NOTE
The total number of Americans who died from COVID-19 updated each week
Note: I am not a relevant expert of any kind on this subject.
Sources differ in counts and there may be under counting.
American Deaths:
498,332 – The Civil War
116,516 – WW1
675,000 – 1918 The Spanish Flu
405,399 – WW2
2,958 – 9/11
https://mastodon.social/@WeeklyAmericanPandemicDeaths/110089918397581664
Milestones:
https://mastodon.social/@WeeklyAmerica