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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

If you’re gonna whine, it’s time to resign!

It’s all just conspiracy shit beamed down from the mothership.

I swear, each month of 2025 will have its own history degree.

GOP baffled that ‘we don’t care if you die’ is not a winning slogan.

She burned that motherfucker down, and I am so here for it. Thank you, Caroline Kennedy.

Our messy unity will be our strength.

“Alexa, change the president.”

A democracy can’t function when people can’t distinguish facts from lies.

Technically true, but collectively nonsense

Lick the third rail, it tastes like chocolate!

“Facilitate” is an active verb, not a weasel word.

Speaking of republicans, is there a way for a political party to declare intellectual bankruptcy?

Their boy Ron is an empty plastic cup that will never know pudding.

I’m starting to think Jesus may have made a mistake saving people with no questions asked.

… pundit janitors mopping up after the gop

You can’t attract Republican voters. You can only out organize them.

Whoever he was, that guy was nuts.

Impressively dumb. Congratulations.

Republicans seem to think life begins at the candlelight dinner the night before.

Hey hey, RFK, how many kids did you kill today?

It may be funny to you motherfucker, but it’s not funny to me.

Red lights blinking on democracy’s dashboard

I’m more christian than these people and i’m an atheist.

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You are here: Home / Archives for 2024

Archives for 2024

Monday Night Open Thread

by John Cole|  December 2, 20247:55 pm| 157 Comments

This post is in: John Cole Presents "This Fucking Old House"

What follows will be my only post about the Biden pardon, and this sums up my thoughts completely:

I don’t give a fuck and I hope he pardons about 100k more people. Would I rather that things take the normal course and he be sentenced and all that, yes. But that would require this to have been a normal prosecution, which it wasn’t. Let me put it this way- the Republican party, the folks who would get rid of every gun law in the country if they thought it would get them more votes and NRA money, the people who sit by and do nothing actively block gun control measures as children are slaughtered in schools and the population is massacred in grocery stores, finally found a white male American they think should not have a gun, and it just so happened that guy was named Biden during the Biden presidency. What a fucking coincidence.

Give me a fucking break. And the media making this a multi-day freakout just confirms everything I think about them. So fuck it. Joe Biden decided that his surviving son should not rot the rest of his life in jail to give the worst people on the planet the jollies. That it has given our failed media a big giant sad is just a bonus.

We are about to enter a period of profound lawlessness, and Biden decided to protect his son, and I don’t blame him one bit. Now commute the death penalty sentences of everyone on federal death row, pardon as many people as you can, and hand out a fuck ton of preventive pardons if that is possible.

Other than that, I got nothing. The institutions are not going to save us, the media is actively aiding the other side, and it is every man for himself and I applaud Joe for taking care of his family.

Beautiful day here- we just got back from the gym and it is time for dinner.

Monday Night Open ThreadPost + Comments (157)

Monday Evening Open Thread: What We Could’ve Had

by Anne Laurie|  December 2, 20245:58 pm| 93 Comments

This post is in: Elections 2024, Kamala Harris for President, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Love this 100th birthday post by VP Harris for Shirley Chisholm. Kamala knows she is walking in Shirley’s footsteps! ????

[image or embed]

— ?? @FlyWithKamala | WHATEVER KAMALA WANTS 202X! (@flywithkamala.bsky.social) November 30, 2024 at 4:26 PM

Shirley Chisholm was one of my earliest political idols, and yes I am still bitter at the way she was treated by her fellow ‘establishment’ Democrats in 1972, and I guess now I can be bitter about the way Kamala Harris is being treated by all too many of our Very Serious Democratic Insiders. (Case in point: CNN’s Ronald Brownstein, at the Atlantic, just gave four Harris campaign surrogates who should’ve known better ten thousand chances to blame everyone but themselves [gift link].

Politico does its best to scare the horses in this pre-Thanksgiving story, but I’m actually looking forward to seeing what Madam Kamala does next… “Harris is telling her advisers and allies to keep her political options open”:

Kamala Harris has been lying low since her defeat in the presidential race, unwinding with family and senior aides in Hawaii before heading back to the nation’s capital.

But privately, the vice president has been instructing advisers and allies to keep her options open — whether for a possible 2028 presidential run, or even to run for governor in her home state of California in two years. As Harris has repeated in phone calls, “I am staying in the fight.”

She is expected to explore those and other possible paths forward with family members over the winter holiday season, according to five people in the Harris inner circle, who were granted anonymity to discuss internal dynamics. Her deliberations follow an extraordinary four months in which Harris went from President Joe Biden’s running mate to the top of the ticket, reenergizing Democrats before ultimately crashing on election night.

“She doesn’t have to decide if she wants to run for something again in the next six months,” said one former Harris campaign aide. “The natural thing to do would be to set up some type of entity that would give her the opportunity to travel and give speeches and preserve her political relationships.”

Most immediately, Harris and her advisers are working to define how and when she will speak out against Donald Trump and reassert her own role in the Democratic Party. Closing out her term as vice president, she’s set to preside over certifying the November election she lost to Trump, and then appear at the once-and-future president’s inauguration on Jan. 20.

“There will be a desire to hear her voice, and there won’t be a vacuum for long,” a person close to Harris said…

I insist that we re-use VP's FREEDOM rhetoric because that's what this country was supposed to be founded on

[image or embed]

— Tony Moonbeam Returns (@moonbeamii.bsky.social) November 29, 2024 at 11:47 AM

Monday Evening Open Thread: What We Could’ve HadPost + Comments (93)

Pardon My Enthusiasm

by @heymistermix.com|  December 2, 20245:20 pm| 77 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Pardon My Enthusiasm
I’m fine with Biden pardoning his son, Hunter.  I’ve been reading through the takes and I’ve settled on “who fucking cares”.  So I agree with Josh Marshall:

[…] I’m glad he did it. Biden learned the right lesson: no one gives a fuck about norms. It’s unquestionably true that Hunter Biden wouldn’t be in this position if not for his dad. That’s basically the justification Biden gave. And he’s right. It may sound angry or cynical to say “no one gives a fuck.” But I mean it both in a general way and in this particular way: the reason for Biden not to do this was to allow his son to remain collateral damage of the GOP war against his presidency and to leave him in the hands of the Trump DOJ for at least the next four years all to make a point of principle about being better, different, more righteous, more norm-honoring than Donald Trump.

 

Truly. No one gives a fuck. If anything, that logic I just laid out sounds like one of those fastidious, hyper-process-oriented and baroque bits of reasoning that have of late left Democrats mesmerized while the real world is passing them by.

If you do want to read more fastidious takes, Brian Beutler thinks Biden should have commuted the sentence instead of issuing a pardon (my take is that it makes no political difference and this is fundamentally a political act, so who cares.) Merrick Garland’s #1 fan Marci Wheeler thinks that Hunter should be allowed to go through the appeal process (my take is what the fuck is she smoking — an appeals process would end up at the corrupt Supreme Court who would looooove to shit on Hunter 6-3.  But, at least in this instance, she admits that Garland fucked up.)

Anyway, one point I’d like to make is relevant to some of my recent posts:  People who think that I’m wrong about calling out the abusers in Trump’s cabinet because you can’t just repeat what they did every day should remember that repeating what he did every day is exactly what Hunter Biden’s persecutors did.  Obviously, they repeated it with different variations on a theme, such as wanting to post pictures of his dick.  But, it’s been more or less the same basic facts for years.  And, guess what, as his dad would say:  they won.  They beat Hunter Biden. He pled guilty to charges that almost nobody else in the same situation would ever face. Republicans: 1, Democrats:0.

Now, we can either look at this evidence and decide that we’re too good to do this for some reason that I can’t fathom, or we can understand that we’re not sinking to the same level as Republicans if we call out Hegseth, RFK the lesser, Gaetz and any other sex pests that I probably forgot about since there are so fucking many.  Hunter Biden was not a cabinet appointee.  He had no power in the Biden administration.  His peccadilloes were, in main, personal, not political.

Hegseth, Bobby Very Junior, Gaetz, et. al. are about to be put in charge of big government organizations.  Are there dick pics?  Let’s see them.  Are there scuzzy details?  Let’s hear them.  I frankly don’t know what to do about their victims, but this is a conundrum that faces anyone who wants to stop a sex pest.  The people they abuse get abused again when the abuser’s crimes are revealed.  The good news is that sometimes the abuser dies in prison, like Harvey Weinstein is going to do.  And if they don’t go to prison, at least, maybe, they will go away.

(Edit:  I almost forgot:  Fuuuucccckk Jared Polis.)

Pardon My EnthusiasmPost + Comments (77)

Party Boys

by Betty Cracker|  December 2, 20243:49 pm| 145 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, The War On Women

We know the Fox News personality Trump nominated to run the Department of Defense, Pete Hegseth, is a creep who abuses women. Heck, his own mother said so, as Anne Laurie covered in a recent post. In case you missed it, Penelope Hegseth emailed the following comments to her son (source is the NYT):

“On behalf of all the women (and I know it’s many) you have abused in some way, I say … get some help and take an honest look at yourself,” Penelope Hegseth wrote, stating that she still loved him.

She also wrote: “I have no respect for any man that belittles, lies, cheats, sleeps around and uses women for his own power and ego. You are that man (and have been for years) and as your mother, it pains me and embarrasses me to say that, but it is the sad, sad truth.”

She took it all back when contacted by the Times for comment and claimed Hegseth is a good husband and father. That’s the mother’s version of a horndog politician’s wife standing stoically next to her man during a press conference called to address a gross sex scandal.

Women are routinely expected to endure this sort of humiliation to preserve men’s hold on power. There’s no payoff for them, of course. Just ask Hillary Clinton.

I thought maybe that would change eventually, but we’re going backward in this country on women’s equality. An adjudicated rapist will put his tiny hand on a bible soon and be restored to the highest office in the land. The parade of sex offenders around the sex pest in chief is a big FUCK YOU to women, whether they acknowledge it or not (and many do not).

But the Hegseth nomination is also a giant FUCK YOU to basic competence, as The New Yorker’s Jane Mayer revealed in an article published yesterday. I suppose it’s paywalled, but here’s a link. Excerpts below:

…Hegseth’s record before becoming a full-time Fox News TV host, in 2017, raises additional questions about his suitability to run the world’s largest and most lethal military force. A trail of documents, corroborated by the accounts of former colleagues, indicates that Hegseth was forced to step down by both of the two nonprofit advocacy groups that he ran—Veterans for Freedom and Concerned Veterans for America—in the face of serious allegations of financial mismanagement, sexual impropriety, and personal misconduct.

A previously undisclosed whistle-blower report on Hegseth’s tenure as the president of Concerned Veterans for America, from 2013 until 2016, describes him as being repeatedly intoxicated while acting in his official capacity—to the point of needing to be carried out of the organization’s events. The detailed seven-page report—which was compiled by multiple former C.V.A. employees and sent to the organization’s senior management in February, 2015—states that, at one point, Hegseth had to be restrained while drunk from joining the dancers on the stage of a Louisiana strip club, where he had brought his team. The report also says that Hegseth, who was married at the time, and other members of his management team sexually pursued the organization’s female staffers, whom they divided into two groups—the “party girls” and the “not party girls.” In addition, the report asserts that, under Hegseth’s leadership, the organization became a hostile workplace that ignored serious accusations of impropriety, including an allegation made by a female employee that another employee on Hegseth’s staff had attempted to sexually assault her at the Louisiana strip club. In a separate letter of complaint, which was sent to the organization in late 2015, a different former employee described Hegseth being at a bar in the early-morning hours of May 29, 2015, while on an official tour through Cuyahoga Falls, Ohio, drunkenly chanting “Kill All Muslims! Kill All Muslims!”

To sum up, Hegseth is a blackout drunk who sexually harassed female employees and tolerated the same behavior from other members of his team. He’s an accused rapist and alleged bigot. That would normally be a problem for the potential leader of the DoD, but “norm” flew out the window a long time ago. However, Hegseth’s incompetence is disqualifying even if the character issue is moot these days:

Margaret Hoover, a Republican political commentator and political strategist who worked as an adviser to V.F.F. between 2008 and 2010, recently told CNN that she had grave concerns about Hegseth’s ability to run the Pentagon, the largest department in the federal government, given his mismanagement at V.F.F. “I watched him run an organization very poorly, lose the confidence of donors. The organization ultimately folded and was forced to merge with another organization who individuals felt could run and manage funds on behalf of donors more responsibly than he could. That was my experience with him.” Hoover stressed that V.F.F. was an exceedingly small organization, with fewer than ten employees, and a budget of between five million and ten million dollars. She told CNN, “And he couldn’t do that properly, I don’t know how he’s going to run an organization with an eight-hundred-and-fifty-seven-billion-dollar budget and three million individuals.”

Good question, Ms. Hoover.

One amusing aspect of this disgraceful mess: Hegseth allegedly lied to the Trump people and said no skeletons would tumble out of his closet if he were nominated, so they were “blindsided” when the rape accusation and payoff surfaced.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Trump’s transition team was blindsided by the sexual-assault story because Hegseth had failed to disclose anything about it, including the fact that he had paid off his accuser. He also failed to disclose that he had received a copy of the police report in 2021, long before the Monterey police’s recent release of it. The series of damning revelations has reportedly infuriated the transition team. “When we ask, ‘Is there anything else we need to know about?’ that is usually a good time to mention a police report,” a Trump adviser told Rolling Stone. “Obviously he remembered that this all happened and there is no way—I don’t think—he could have believed this wouldn’t come out once he got nominated.”

Well, maybe Hegseth is yet another scumbag following the corporate ethos of an organization led by Donald J. Trump, so he felt no need to disclose anything. If the boss can sexually assault and defame women with impunity and be reelected, why should Hegseth see his own sordid history as an obstacle to an important job?

The truth is, a critical mass in this country despises women and scoffs at basic standards of competence — or else is so indifferent that it amounts to the same thing. That’s not a hot take; it’s been cooling on the windowsill like a rancid pie for decades.

Open thread.

Party BoysPost + Comments (145)

Medicaid is Considered an Entitlement

by @heymistermix.com|  December 2, 20241:59 pm| 68 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

Medicaid is Considered an Entitlement

I just re-upped for Obamacare, and I’ll quickly mention that it is shitty insurance that costs $1,300 a month for my wife and me.  Even though we’ve used healthcare services in the past 3 or so years that we’ve been on Obamacare, we haven’t seen a single penny from the insurance company because our massive deductible has never been satisfied.  It’s medical bankruptcy insurance that I’m lucky enough to be able to afford.  My personal situation tempers any talk of how people ought to be grateful for Obamacare, especially considering the almost $50K I’ve spent on healthcare plus insurance over the past 3 years.

That all said, Medicaid plus Obamacare is a huge working class benefit in red states, because it actually pays out to a lot of people who work for a living but don’t have employer-sponsored plans.  I have some Trump-voting relatives who are on Medicaid or premium support or “buying off the exchange” or whatever else they call it.  Some of them run small ag businesses where they pay little or no tax because they’re plowing every spare cent back into the business.  (They are not tax cheats — anyone who’s run a small business that makes big capital investments can work it so they don’t really pay much.)

Though they’re probably on the same exact insurance as what Fox and Friends would characterize as “welfare” for undeserving brown poors, they wouldn’t acknowledge that they’re on anything like”welfare”.  They work and pay taxes (well a little bit) and, in their minds, they deserve their “insurance”. I’m sure they have not even an inkling that Trump wants to take away what they consider an entitlement in the most basic sense of the word.

This will be a great opportunity for the opposition party to point out that (a) they only have their insurance because we worked our asses off for them to get it, (b) the guys they vote for have wanted to take it away, repeatedly and (c) the reason is tax breaks for rich dipshits.

Medicaid is Considered an EntitlementPost + Comments (68)

Pet Calendar Update

by WaterGirl|  December 2, 20241:45 pm| 22 Comments

This post is in: Balloon Juice, Open Threads, Pet Calendar

As you can see, we didn’t hit our goal of having the calendar available for oder by December 1.

I can assure you that we have spent countless hours on the calendar and are working as fast as we can.  We had about 250 submissions, so that means 2 calendars – at 20 photos on a page, they would all have to be the size of postage stamps. :-)

Hoping to have spreadsheets available in a day or two so you can make sure all your guys are in the same calendar, that everything is spelled right, and that heart status is correct.

In the meantime, though, you can have a sneak peek at the 5 finalists for the calendar covers.

In no particular order…

Open thread.

Pet Calendar UpdatePost + Comments (22)

Drug spending concentration over a decade

by David Anderson|  December 2, 20241:25 pm| 5 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance

In a recent article in the Journal of Managed Care Pharmacy, Niu et al analyze the increasing concentration of spending in Medicare Part D among a few select classes of drugs.  In 2012, the Top 1% of drugs made up just over 31% of total spend while in 2021, that same Top 1% of drugs made up 41% of total spend despite having a lower share of prescriptions.  Cutting the data by the Top 5% and Top 10% show directionally similar trends.

 

3x4 stacked column bar charts of spending and prescription drugs in top 1%, Top 5% and Top 10% comparing 2012 vs 2021. TLDR: Most expensive drugs take up a bigger share of all spending

Why does this matter?

In Medicare Part D pre-Inflation Reduction Act, the federal government paid the overwhelming majority of the “catastrophic” costs of the top 1%. Insurers paid a small chunk through premium revenue. The IRA, effective 1/1/25 flips this. The insurer now covers most of the catastrophic costs which is funded by higher premiums while the federal government takes on a fraction of the catastrophic costs.

This article shows (as many others have) that the truly catastrophic costs are a growing share of total costs.  Changing who is responsible for these costs will change the shape of the Part D program and insurers that have a large number of people with catastrophic costs will have very strong incentives/reasons to run like hell from those enrollees.

Drug spending concentration over a decadePost + Comments (5)

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