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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 1,131: You Actually Have to Have a Deal to Have a Deal

War for Ukraine Day 1,131: You Actually Have to Have a Deal to Have a Deal

by Adam L Silverman|  March 31, 202510:38 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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Bucha was liberated three years ago today:

Three years ago, when Ukraine liberated Bucha, the world witnessed for the first time what Ukrainians had always known: we cannot stop resisting the Russian invasion, for to do so would mean they will murder us all.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 1:59 PM

🇺🇦 On the third anniversary of the liberation of Bucha, President Zelenskyy, together with the First Lady, Ukrainian and foreign politicians, honored the memory of those who died during the occupation of part of Kyiv region.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 10:07 AM

🇺🇦 “Three years ago, our soldiers liberated Bucha from the Russian occupiers. And the world saw what the Russian occupation is. Killed people on the streets. Tortured people. Graves in the yards of ordinary houses.”

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 10:07 AM

“Today, we are in Bucha, where three years ago the world began to grasp the scale of Russia’s aggression against Ukraine.” – Zelensky at the Bucha Summit, dedicated to the anniversary of the city’s liberation from Russian occupation.
t.me/c/1377735387…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 1:46 PM

Here’s President Zelenskyy’s full remarks at the Bucha Summit:

Trump decided to make a new veiled threat against President Zelenskyy and Ukraine:

“Zelensky, by the way, I see he’s trying to back out of the rare earth deal — and if he does that, he’s got some problems, big, big problems”

What problems, Donald? You’re going to cut off military aid regardless. You’ve severed ties with Europe and lost the leverage you once had.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 30, 2025 at 10:34 PM

If you want to blackmail people, you need to stop discarding your “card” so carelessly.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 30, 2025 at 10:34 PM

The real issue here is there is NO deal! All President Zelenskyy has done is agreed to negotiate a potential deal. What Trump and his team have done is continually up their demands on Ukraine. Regardless, nothing has been signed, nothing has been agreed to other than continuing negotiations. What we’ve got here is a pale underneath his burnt Thanksgiving turkey colored makeup, flabby, impotent old man flapping his gums.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

We Will Continue Working to Ensure That Russia Is Held Accountable for This War – And That This Accountability Is Tangible – Address by the President

31 March 2025 – 21:18

I wish you health!

I just spoke with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and thanked him for the support. We coordinated our steps – joint steps, our joint diplomacy, and the work of our teams to bring peace closer and guarantee security. We are preparing a meeting between our military representatives for the preparation of contingents. We appreciate the UK’s position regarding pressure on Russia – pressure must be strong enough to prevent the Russians from expanding this war. All the more so now, as Moscow blatantly makes a mockery of our partners’ efforts to advance a peace agenda – with constant new drone attacks and relentless, brutal shelling. Only through pressure can this be ended and Russia forced into peace.

Today, I also thanked Keir and all of the UK for the participation of a representative of the British Parliament – Speaker of the House of Commons Lindsay Hoyle – in the Bucha Summit, at the level of European parliamentary representatives. Partners came specifically today – on the anniversary of Bucha’s liberation from Russian occupiers. Today, together with the First Lady of Ukraine, the speakers of parliaments, the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, and the Prime Minister of Ukraine, we honored the memory of our people whose lives, tragically, were taken by the occupiers. Russian war criminals must absolutely be held accountable for all of this – and today, the summit participants were unequivocal on that: Europe will not forget the moral conclusions drawn from this war. It cannot be allowed for Putin, other Russian criminals, and the Russian state itself to be absolved of responsibility. It is simply impossible to normalize what they did in Bucha, in Mariupol, and in so many other cities and villages. We will continue working to ensure that Russia is held accountable for this war – and that this accountability is tangible. I thank everyone around the world who is helping.

Today, there’s a new defense package from Sweden – the largest since the start of this war – worth $1.6 billion. A significant portion will go toward weapons procurement and production. It also includes arms supplied from stockpiles. Thank you, Sweden! This will help.

And one more thing. We’ve planned our team’s diplomatic work for April – the Office, the Government – including negotiations with partners and meetings. Our priorities are clear – to protect our people and Ukraine’s positions as much as possible, to use all diplomatic opportunities to the fullest, and to work together with our partners – with the United States, with Europe, and with all others – constructively, so that peace can be achieved. And of course, to do everything possible to support our people, our state’s resilience, and to maintain all the necessary ties with the world.

I thank everyone who is helping! I’m grateful to all Ukrainians who are defending our country, fighting on the front lines, and working for Ukraine and its people.

Glory to Ukraine!

President Zelenskyy also met with the heads and representatives of the parliaments of partner countries and the European Parliament:

 

 

First Lady Zelenska met with representatives of the ZHE community who are implementing the “How are you?” program:

Georgia:

#GeorgiaProtests
Day 124

📸 Buka Sulaberidze

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:46 PM

Day 124 of DAILY protests!

More people are coming, it hasn’t peaked yet.

We need new, free and fair Parliamentary elections.

You can support us avoid whatever costs can be avoided in our liberation journey through sanctions and supporting free elections.

#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 1:18 PM

Day 124 of the pro-European protest in Georgia.

#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 1:10 PM

📍 A group of civil activists began a 100-km march from Dmanisi to Tbilisi on March 29 to join the March 31 rally. Along the way, they urged locals to join their protest. Their demands—like those in Tbilisi—include releasing detained protesters, new elections, and a democratic state.

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 10:58 AM

A sixth month of #GeorgiaProtests.

As President Zourabichvili pointed out during her tonight’s address, the dictatorship stands on 3 pillars that our partners can help us shake:

1. Financial network of the oligarch;
2. Russian(-style) propaganda;
3. Repressive resources.

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 2:14 PM

People went up to the back side of the Parliament and cheerfully chanted the “F the Georgian Dream” song. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 2:38 PM

At this very moment, it’s getting a little tense in Tbilisi – for the first time in months.

Protesters are numerous, angry, and fed up.

ALL EYES ON GEORGIA!

#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:13 PM

The very banned fireworks are back, hitting both sides of the Parliament.
The fireworks have become mood markers for #GeorgiaProtests
Video 1

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:16 PM

Video 2

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:16 PM

People ask the police outside of the Parliament gate: “Who started the [2008] war?? Answer us!!” in an angry effort to make them say it was Russia, unlike what Russia’s puppet regime in Tbilisi now declares.
#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:49 PM

Earlier tonight, there was an installation of those fallen in Russia’s invasion of Georgia of 2008, as a response to the regime revising history in Russia’s favour. #GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:54 PM

Where people are at in Georgia (other than a rapidly escalating mix of Belarus and Chechnya):

1. The people are there – out in the streets, angry, fed up, confused, but stubborn and determined at the same time. After 4 months, nothing broke the protest, the spirit is as good as ever; 1/

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

2. The portion of people who openly call for an outright revolution as opposed to any diplomatic language on new elections is increasing. However, what body of people could emerge as heading such a scenario is quite unclear and I’m not even sure if anyone’s actually preparing for it right now; 2/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

3. Tonight did not portray the democratic forces in a good shape. For many people, “well, we don’t have the opposition” is now a given, with varying degrees of how it affects the public mood. Some are somewhat disorientated by this, others just don’t care anymore and proceed stubbornly. 3/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

There were expectations that the President would announce something viable together with parties, which did not happen in public perception. 4/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

I am from the opposition myself and I cannot without permission comment on this in an effort to not harm the process, but there are two sure factors at play, which are universal, logical, and don’t imply any names: 5/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

One: If all other spheres of life are infiltrated by the regime, then of course so is the opposition – moreover, it’s likely that they would infiltrate the opposition earlier than all else; Two: Not everyone has the correct instinct or selflessness when it comes to countering a dictatorship; 6/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

In a good scenario, this is all a cleansing process that eliminates those who cause disruption or are otherwise weak. In a bad scenario… well; 7/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

4. I suppose that with the whole “prosecuting 🇬🇪 over 🇷🇺’s 2008 invasion,” the share of those who consider the Georgian Dream to be outright Russians is also increasing, because honestly the share of “neither Russians, nor Europeans” was disturbingly high lately for my taste & level of frustration. 8/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

This is good. If anything can end this dictatorship, it’s the anti-Kremlin DNA of Georgians. It’s always been the ambiguity and propaganda cover-up that helped them; 9/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

5. The regime has apparently learned not to get triggered by fireworks because violence mobilizes people more. In general, it seems like they did learn the Maidan lesson very well – there are limits to running over people too, which better not be crossed. 10/10.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:30 PM

📍 A group of civil activists began a 100-km march from Dmanisi to Tbilisi on March 29 to join the March 31 rally. Along the way, they urged locals to join their protest. Their demands—like those in Tbilisi—include releasing detained protesters, new elections, and a democratic state.

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 10:58 AM

The trial of illegally detained journalist Mzia Amaglobeli is underway at the Batumi City Court. “Freedom for Mzia!”—her entrance into the courtroom was met with shouts from the audience.

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 5:54 AM

Well, this is true.

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 3:57 PM

France:

Hysterics in Moscow in 3…2…1…

[image or embed]

— Maria Avdeeva (@mariainkharkiv.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:31 AM

The Netherlands:

The Netherlands will allocate €2.2B to Ukraine in 2025, announced Dutch Defense Minister Ruben Brekelmans.

The aid includes €500M for UAV development/production, strengthening air defenses, artillery/ammo, equipment maintenance, and training/education for Ukrainian troops.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 2:11 PM

Sweden:

Sweden will provide Ukraine with the largest aid package since the start of the full-scale war: $0.92B for weaponry, $0.5B for funds/coalitions to buy equipment, and $50M for machine guns, training weapons, small-caliber ammo, and medical transport vehicles.
www.svt.se/nyheter/utri…

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 8:02 AM


Back to Ukraine.

Kharkiv:

Another night, another russian attack on Kharkiv. Six drone strikes damaged an enterprise, destroyed its warehouses, and left three employees injured.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 5:21 AM

Kharkiv after last night’s russian drone strike on the city.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 7:17 AM

Today’s morning in Kharkiv after the russian drone attack on the city

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 4:52 PM

Zaporizhzhia Oblast:

Russia murdered a woman in today’s glide bomb attack on the Zaporizhzhia region and injured two other people.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 8:17 PM

Donetsk Oblast:

🦾🇺🇦 “Magyars’ Birds” epically destroyed an enemy tank 🔥
The pilots of the 414th separate brigade of strike unmanned aerial systems of the Land Forces demonstrated their combat work in Donetsk region.
Often the land itself helps our soldiers fight the hordes.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 4:52 PM

Oleshky, Kherson Oblast:

💥Strike by a MiG-29 on the Russian underground command post. The strike was carried out using a GBU-62 precision-guided bombs. Oleshky, Kherson region t.me/soniah_hub/9…

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 8:49 AM

Belgorod Oblast:

💥 A juicy selection of strikes by Ukrainian aviation against Russian targets in Demydivka and Kondrativka in the Belgorod region.
GBU-39, GBU-62 and AASM Hammer 250 bombs were used for the strikes.

[image or embed]

— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 4:52 PM

Russian army set up an ammunition depot in the Belgorod region. Now it’s no longer there.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 6:06 AM

Moscow:

Putin has signed a decree for the spring military draft, yet Trump still believes that the Russian dictator will agree to end the war.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) March 31, 2025 at 9:41 AM

Meduza has the details:

President Vladimir Putin signed an order on Monday to draft 160,000 men as part of Russia’s biannual conscription drive.

According to the Moscow Times, this year’s spring draft marks Russia’s largest conscription campaign since spring 2011, when the Defense Ministry called up more than 200,000 men. It also marks an increase from last spring, when Russia drafted 150,000 men.

This year’s increase comes after Putin issued a decree in September 2024 to expand the Russian army by 180,000 soldiers, setting the total number of active servicemen at 1.5 million.

Russia holds conscription drives twice a year, in the spring and the fall. However, this is not to be confused with combat-service mobilization. Mandatory military service now applies to men between the ages of 18 and 30, in accordance with new legislation that came into effect last January.

This year’s spring conscription drive will run from April 1 to July 15.

That’s enough for tonight.

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Reader Interactions

13Comments

  1. 1.

    Jay

    March 31, 2025 at 11:11 pm

    Thank you, Adam.

  2. 2.

    karen gail

    March 31, 2025 at 11:12 pm

    The people of Ukraine must be tired in their souls of the fighting, yet they keep going, they keep fighting. While Putin won’t let go of his “dream” of ruling; it wouldn’t surprise me if he dreamed of taking over all of Europe.

    While Trump can’t let go of being a school yard bully who is egged on by those who want to either destroy or rule all of North America, along with part of Central America.

    Adam, I respect your ability to wade through this shit day after day.

  3. 3.

    Jay

    March 31, 2025 at 11:15 pm

    @karen gail:

    Dolt47 is trying to negotiate a Piece Deal, not a Peace Deal.

  4. 4.

    AlaskaReader

    March 31, 2025 at 11:18 pm

    Thanks Adam

  5. 5.

    Adam L Silverman

    March 31, 2025 at 11:24 pm

    @Jay: @karen gail: @AlaskaReader: You’re all welcome.

  6. 6.

    MobiusKlein

    March 31, 2025 at 11:33 pm

    There was no signed deal.   And even if, Trump has no compunctions ripping up a deal when he feels like it, so I don’t understand why independent observers would expect anything to be binding.   The only thing you get out of a deal with T is a chance his ADHD fixes on a different target before he does damage to you

  7. 7.

    AJ of the Mustard Search and Rescue Team

    March 31, 2025 at 11:43 pm

    Ty Adam. Hope you are doing alright.

  8. 8.

    jame

    March 31, 2025 at 11:54 pm

    Thanks for the updates

  9. 9.

    Westyny

    April 1, 2025 at 12:03 am

    Thank you, Adam.

  10. 10.

    pieceofpeace

    April 1, 2025 at 12:08 am

    Thanks Adam.

  11. 11.

    Adam L Silverman

    April 1, 2025 at 12:48 am

    @AJ of the Mustard Search and Rescue Team: @jame: @Westyny: You’re all welcome.

  12. 12.

    Adam L Silverman

    April 1, 2025 at 12:49 am

    @pieceofpeace: You’re also welcome.

  13. 13.

    AM in NC

    April 1, 2025 at 6:46 am

    Thank you, Adam.  I don’t often comment on your Ukraine posts, because I don’t have any knowledge to add, but I read them every day to become better informed.  You are creating such an important record.

Comments are closed.

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