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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Imperialist aggressors must be defeated, or the whole world loses.

Innocent people do not delay justice.

Perhaps you mistook them for somebody who gives a damn.

“The defense has a certain level of trust in defendant that the government does not.”

They fucked up the fucking up of the fuckup!

The media handbook says “controversial” is the most negative description that can be used for a Republican.

Make the republican party small enough to drown in a bathtub.

Never entrust democracy to any process that requires Republicans to act in good faith.

The fundamental promise of conservatism all over the world is a return to an idealized past that never existed.

They traffic in fear. it is their only currency. if we are fearful, they are winning.

How any woman could possibly vote for this smug smarmy piece of misogynistic crap is beyond understanding.

I’ve spoken to my cat about this, but it doesn’t seem to do any good.

Giving in to doom is how we fail to fight for ourselves & one another.

Text STOP to opt out of updates on war plans.

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

Pessimism assures that nothing of any importance will change.

Bark louder, little dog.

Republicans: slavery is when you own me. freedom is when I own you.

I’m more christian than these people and i’m an atheist.

If you don’t believe freedom is for everybody, then the thing you love isn’t freedom, it is privilege.

There are a lot more evil idiots than evil geniuses.

Technically true, but collectively nonsense

When I decide to be condescending, you won’t have to dream up a fantasy about it.

It’s a good piece. click on over. but then come back!!

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You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads / Excellent Links

Excellent Links

Late Night Open Thread: Bari Weiss (& David Ellison) Not Having A Great Month

by Anne Laurie|  March 29, 20262:03 am| 41 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M., Excellent Links, Media, Open Threads, Our Failed Media Experiment, Schadenfreude

One would actually suggest with the debt load paramount is carrying, the current trajectory of CBS is very dangerous for it.

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) March 27, 2026 at 10:12 AM

Noah Berlatsky, at his SubStack — “Bari Weiss Is A Losing Loser Who Is Losing”:

Bari Weiss, the fash-friendly new editor-in-chief of CBS News, has in six months turned a historic and respected news org into a punchline from which viewers are running like rats fleeing a ship that is sinking, on fire, and beset with plague. According to Oliver Darcy at Status, the network is “on track for its lowest-rated first quarter of the 21st century in both total viewers and the advertiser-coveted 25-54 demo.” Darcy also points out that ABC and NBC have had viewership increases in both morning and evening—which means that CBS is bucking positive trends, and/or is bleeding viewers to its competitors…

And yet, whenever more news of her disastrous tenure hits the interwebs, many on the left insist that the disasters were all part of the plan. Billionaire asshole Trump cronies David and Larry Ellison wanted to destroy CBS journalism and align the network with Trumpism, the argument goes. They don’t care if it bleeds viewers and dollars as long as its reporting is kneecapped and it toes the party line.

It’s true that the Ellisons wanted to make CBS into a Fox News clone. But part of the allure of Fox News clone status is cloning Fox’s audience numbers and revenue. Oligarchs like the Ellisons and Jeff Bezos sincerely believe that taking their media properties hard right will be a financial bonanza. When it isn’t, they lose—and the rest of us win, not everything, but real ground….

…[B]illionaires like the Ellisons and their sycophantic boot-lickers like Bari Weiss all sincerely, truly believe that they speak for the real, true core of Americanness. Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Bill Ackman, Donald Trump—all these heirs and hedge fund assholes and grotesque corrupt swindlers bloated with avarice and hate—they all think they are the true voice of the common man, and that the branch-campus professors pointing out that racism exists, or the trans middle-schoolers who want to play basketball, or the Palestinian-Americans existing, are the out of touch elite who must be stifled and ridiculed in the name of the volk. The oligarchs see themselves not as disgusting parasites bleeding the public dry, but as bold everydudes whose success demonstrates both their brilliance and their understanding of white male cishet bigoted Joe Average, who has been sitting in front of his television all day every day just waiting for the chance to turn his TV from Fox News to Johnny-come-lately Fox News that’s somewhat more ambivalent about being state TV for Trump and somewhat less ambivalent about being state TV for Netanyahu.

Obviously if you are not paid to stuff your head up a billionaire’s asshole every day, you are probably aware that billionaires are not in fact psychically connected to the volk. Also, it may have occurred to you that the conservative marketplace is incredibly saturated already, and that CBS viewers probably would turn on Fox News if they wanted Fox News…

Weiss believes she is the voice of the people and the people have solidly rejected her and her bullshit. That has to be a foul pill for her to swallow. Less discussed, but perhaps even more humiliating, is her utter failure to turn CBS into a force in the right-wing marketplace.

Weiss’ blogging platform, The Free Press (which CBS acquired) carved out a position as a clearinghouse for supposedly highbrow right-wing screeds, making the intellectual case for DEI, transphobia and hate—a place for Ivy Leaguers and would-be Ivy Leaguers to come together and rigorously apportion footnotes to their genocidal impulses. Weiss clearly hoped that with the oomph of CBS behind her, she could move more forcefully into the right-wing media sphere, influencing the discourse and poaching the audience of quasi-Nazi bloggers, Christofascist podcasters and manosphere YouTubers alike…

Ellison did get some of what he wanted. But he didn’t get the monetary windfall he expected. He almost surely still believes that right-wing news is a goldmine if only he could put the right person in charge. Weiss is clearly not that person—which means that her job is by no means secure. Ellison has to be doing a real gut check, too, about whether Weiss—who has destroyed CBS’ ratings and influence—is the right person to helm his new acquisition of CNN.

So yes, CBS and probably CNN have been badly damaged, oligarchy has been strengthened, journalism and a free press are harmed. But it’s also true that Weiss humiliating failures serve as a helpful tonic for all the mainstream media bozos constantly looking with wistful envy at Fox News and dreaming of a conservative turn that drives up viewer or reader numbers.

The story of CBS and the Washington Post over the last two years is a cautionary tale about right-wing branding. The country does not have some huge untapped well of underserved rabid fascists; Trump’s narrow 2024 victory did not herald a massive cultural shift for all time. Oligarchs and their minions who ignore that truth are going to lose (a lot) of money and (even more) status. And yes, billionaires hate to lose money and status. Not enough to admit they’re wrong, perhaps. But enough to take it out on people like Bari Weiss.

If I understand correctly, David Ellison is doing all this on his Daddy’s dollars. Of course, Oracle can afford to throw away a billion here & there, and Larry has been extremely indulgent of his #failson’s grandious fantasies… but one would suspect that eventually, the old man is gonna decide that it’s time for a little #tough love, yes?

Bari Weiss was given a role outside of her skillset. She’s good at finding issues the enemy coalition is cross-pressured on and relentlessly hammering them from a facially neutral position. But doing that from a Substack is different from doing it at CBS.

— William B. Fuckley (@opinionhaver.bsky.social) March 18, 2026 at 10:06 PM

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The one thing she has done that is worth emulating is relentlessly focusing mostly not too obviously biased reporting on where the cracks in the opposition are. But fundamentally CBS is not the same platform for that as The Free Press.

— William B. Fuckley (@opinionhaver.bsky.social) March 18, 2026 at 10:09 PM

Anyway, give me $150 million and I’ll start a publication that relentlessly reports on right wing policies regarding vaccines and tariffs.

— William B. Fuckley (@opinionhaver.bsky.social) March 18, 2026 at 10:11 PM

=====

Bari Weiss' biggest problem isn't that she's bad at journalism (she wasn't hired to do journalism), it's that she's bad at ratings-grabbing agitprop.

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— Karl Bode (@karlbode.com) March 18, 2026 at 1:43 PM

she'll be ousted by the end of summer and replaced with a more ruthless manfluencer brunchlord with a more savvy ability to viralize race-baiting propaganda

— Karl Bode (@karlbode.com) March 18, 2026 at 1:45 PM

I do think a particular clever and terrible right winger could fuse TikTok and CBS and hybridize broadcast TV with right wing red pill greedfluencer gambling/MMA/ culture in a very deadly way, but these folks aren't just incompetent, they're cocksure and half mad and can't see the field clearly

— Karl Bode (@karlbode.com) March 18, 2026 at 3:22 PM

Earlier:

very good piece which confirms that weiss is both exceptionally arrogant and totally out of her depth. www.newyorker.com/magazine/202…

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— jamelle (@jamellebouie.net) January 19, 2026 at 10:26 AM

Late Night Open Thread: Bari Weiss (& David Ellison) Not Having A Great MonthPost + Comments (41)

Open Thread: Trump, Not-So-Sharpie

by Anne Laurie|  March 27, 20268:57 pm| 54 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Republican Politics, Trumpery

Trump imagines negotiation with Sharpie maker for $5 signature pens
Trump told a lengthy story about my negotiating over the price of Sharpie pens. The company says it has no record of any such conversation.
www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202…

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— Frank Amari (@frankamari.bsky.social) March 27, 2026 at 7:19 PM

President Donald Trump spent five minutes of Thursday’s Cabinet meeting boasting of his thrift with a story about negotiating for $5 personalized Sharpies. The company that makes the permanent markers said the exchange never happened.

Trump was busy touting his plans to make over the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts and criticizing the renovation of the Federal Reserve headquarters when he went off on a tangent about the pen he was holding…

Trump, whose preference for Sharpies is as well known as his tendency to embellish, exaggerate and fabulize, said he asked the marker maker for a solution to make the pens look more official.

“I called the guy, I said, ‘I’d like to use your pen, but I can’t have a great thing with a big S on it saying Sharpie as I’m signing a $1 trillion airplane contract to buy brand new fighter jets,’” Trump said.

“He says, ‘Well, I can make it nicer.’…

“‘And I can even paint the White House on it, sir, if you like, in gold.’ Almost real gold. Not bad. ‘And I can even do your signature, sir.’”

Trump went on: “So the guy said to me, ‘You don’t have to pay me, sir. I’ll give them to you for nothing.’”…

“‘No, sir. You don’t have to. You’re the president of the United States.’ He was shocked. The head of Sharpie. He gets a call. I don’t even know who the hell he is.”…

“And he said, ‘What would you like to pay?’”

“I said, ‘How about five bucks a pen?’”…

Presented with a transcript of Trump’s account, a spokesperson for Sharpie maker Newell Brands said it did not occur.

“We don’t have any information about the conversation described,” the spokesperson said. “We’re proud to be a beloved brand trusted by so many globally.”

The White House did not respond to requests to clarify Trump’s account, including whom he spoke with and when, and how he did obtain black Sharpies with his signature in gold.

 
Can we indict the entire GOP for elder abuse now? Mary Geddry, at her SubStack — “The Sharpie, the Sizzle Reel, and the War”:

What keeps happening now, over and over, is that the White House can still control records, limit disclosure, curate camera angles, and flood the zone with loyalist noise, but it is having a harder and harder time controlling the one thing that matters most: the spectacle of Donald Trump in public for long stretches of time. No one outside his medical team can responsibly diagnose him from clips, transcripts, or cabinet-room wanderings. It is also true that ordinary viewers are not hallucinating when they notice a pattern: the repetition, the drift, the inability to hold a coherent thread, the constant collapse from policy into fixation, grievance, and trivia. The concern is no longer built only from rumor or whispered palace intrigue. It is built from performance.

I give you the Sharpie moment. A president in the middle of a national-security event, with war, NATO, oil chokepoints, and global escalation supposedly on the table, suddenly disappears into a meandering monologue about government pens, expensive pens, bad pens, good pens, Sharpies, how kids were getting thousand-dollar pens, how the pens did not write, how he personally negotiated the superior pen deal, and how all of this somehow reflected his genius as a steward of public money. Trump has always rambled. What felt different here was the texture of the ramble. It was not merely loose; it was compulsive, repetitive, detached from context, and delivered with the same manic insistence as his war talk, as if the fate of the republic and the quality of office supplies were all one uninterrupted stream of presidential consciousness. It is precisely the kind of public degradation that no physician’s letter can fully override once millions of people have seen it with their own eyes.

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The entire cabinet meeting unfolded like an empire in late-stage delusion trying to produce its own highlight reel before the walls close in. Trump’s basic message on Iran was that everything had been crushed, everyone was begging him for peace, and he might continue bombing anyway because, in his telling, peace is something you establish by acting like the villain in an action movie who has confused terror with leverage. He insisted, “They are begging to work out a deal,” then immediately undercut any notion of restraint by adding, “I don’t know if we’re willing to do that,” and later, even more bluntly, “We have other targets we want to hit before we leave.” That is a man trying to sound both indispensable and unhinged at the same time…

None of them sounded like adults managing risk. They sounded like hype men assigned to narrate the emperor’s cut of the footage. Through all of it, Trump kept drifting. Iran became Venezuela, Venezuela became the border, the border became Chicago, which became DC, which became the Kennedy Center. The Kennedy Center became ceilings, marble, fake gold, and a construction-cost rant about the Federal Reserve. The Federal Reserve became pens, which became proof of his genius. The whole cabinet meeting played like the stream of consciousness of a man who cannot distinguish between national-security priorities and whatever object most recently floated across the surface of his attention. The administration wanted it seen as a projection of command, but what it actually showed was drift, self-absorption, and a staggering inability to separate the enormous from the trivial…

The final and perhaps ugliest layer beneath all of this is the one Matt Randolph points to: the likelihood that Saudi Arabia is the largest beneficiary of this entire mess. Randolph’s argument is not that Saudi Arabia necessarily caused the war or scripted the escalation beat by beat. It is that Riyadh is positioned to profit from it more elegantly than almost anyone else. Saudi Arabia spent years enduring lower prices and maintaining pressure on U.S. shale while preserving its own ability to move quickly when the market snapped tight. Now, with Hormuz unstable, tanker traffic disrupted, and fear embedded in the supply chain, Saudi Arabia finds itself sitting on spare capacity and some of the cheapest production on the planet while U.S. shale producers remain cautious, disciplined, and far less eager than the fantasy-energy crowd imagines to surge output just because prices flirt with triple digits. Recent reporting on the Dallas Fed survey suggests exactly that: most firms are not rushing to overhaul their 2026 production plans despite the war-driven price spike. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia has already managed to revive more than half its normal export flow using its Red Sea bypass rather than relying exclusively on Hormuz, giving Riyadh flexibility that others simply do not have.

Layer onto that the reporting that Mohammed bin Salman has been privately urging Trump toward a sustained hard line against Iran, describing the conflict as a historic opportunity to weaken or even reshape a rival regime, and the picture gets darker still. This does not prove that MBS is the puppet master, nor that Trump is a marionette whose every move is scripted in Riyadh. It does suggest a deeply disturbing alignment of incentives. Saudi Arabia gets the geopolitical satisfaction of seeing Iran battered and constrained, and it gets the market satisfaction of tighter supply, firmer prices, and an American shale patch too disciplined, too scarred, or too hedged to flood the market in response. In that sense, Randolph is right: Saudi Arabia may emerge as the prime beneficiary because it positioned itself long before the missiles flew and now stands ready to collect while everyone else absorbs the chaos.

There rest of us must bear witness to a White House struggling to hide the visual evidence of decline as the president drifts from global war to pen reviews without noticing the difference.

Open Thread: Trump, Not-So-SharpiePost + Comments (54)

Open Thread: Our ‘Not Enough Facepalms’ Administration

by Anne Laurie|  March 25, 20267:15 pm| 68 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Republican Venality, Trump Crime Cartel, War

Iran rejects ceasefire as widely predicted.

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— George Pearkes (@peark.es) March 25, 2026 at 8:38 AM

Forget TACO, we are approaching the NACHOOO Zone
Not
Able to
Cease
Hostilities
On
Our
Own
‪

This is what is consistently missing from coverage of Trump’s blurts about the war, and especially market reaction. He controls very little.
The key to ending the war is reopening the Straight, and Iran has total control over when (and what) transit occurs there. The war ends when they say so.

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— Douglas Moser (@douglasmoser.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 12:33 PM

No problem, libs!

We are literally planning an actual war around what is essentially a Call of Duty highlight reel.

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— Starfire’s Deranged Neocon Foreign Policy Podcast (@irhottakes.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 8:02 AM

… The daily montage typically runs for about two minutes, sometimes longer, the officials said. One described each daily video as a series of clips of “stuff blowing up.”

The highlight reel of U.S. Central Command bombing Iranian equipment and military sites isn’t the only briefing Trump gets about the war. He’s also updated through conversations with top military and intelligence advisers, foreign leaders and news reports, the officials said.

But the video briefing is fueling concerns among some of Trump’s allies that he may not be receiving — or absorbing — the complete picture of the war, now in its fourth week, two of the current officials and the former official said.

They said the videos are also driving Trump’s increasing frustration with news coverage of the war. Trump has pointed to the success depicted in the daily videos to privately question why his administration can’t better influence the public narrative, asking aides why the news media doesn’t emphasize what he’s seeing, one of the current U.S. officials and the former U.S. official said. ..

“We can’t tell him every single thing that happens,” a current U.S. official said. The official noted that Trump’s briefings tend to draw better feedback from his aides when they focus on U.S. victories.

Overall, the official said, the information Trump gets about the war tends to emphasize U.S. successes, with comparatively little detail about Iranian actions.

One example came this month when five U.S. Air Force refueling planes were hit in an Iranian strike at Prince Sultan Air Base in Saudi Arabia, according to one of the current U.S. officials. Trump wasn’t briefed about the strikes, and he learned what had happened from media reports, the official said. When Trump inquired, he was told the planes weren’t badly damaged, the official said.

The official said Trump reacted angrily behind the scenes to the news coverage. Publicly he posted on Truth Social calling coverage of the strike misleading and accusing media organizations of wanting the U.S. “to lose the War.” …

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Elsewhere…

I was told this constituted concealing military objectives inside civilian areas. Hostage-taking, essentially. Hope there aren't any elementary schools nearby!

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— Chatham Harrison dba TRUMP DELENDUS EST (@chathamharrison.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 3:14 PM

Ooo, 5000 Marines (including support troops) against a country with a population the size of Germany’s.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 4:23 PM


Pastor Mike Johnson, Speaker for the Enabling Party
:

More from the Speaker to me about 2,000 troops:
"The build up of troops is very different than boots on the ground. We don't have boots on the ground. I don't think that's the intention, but I think Iran should watch that build up, and they need to take note of that."

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— Eric Michael Garcia (@ericmgarcia.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 10:59 AM

We've got to continue waging the war to get something back that we had before we started the war.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 8:44 AM

Contra:

Even the crazy lady gets it.

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— Patrick Chovanec (@prchovanec.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 3:41 PM

Forget the Madman Theory, this maladministration has invented the Idiot Theory!

"I DONT WANNA PLAY ANYMORE THIS ISNT FUN FOR ME NOW!!"

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— Daniel Gilmore (@gilmored85.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 1:57 PM

Besides Trump only being capable of bullshitting ppl, another huge driver in the collapse of his presidency is his inability to understand culpability. His narcissistic ego doesnt allow for it in order to protect itself, so "dont do unpopular things bc ppl will blame you" just doesnt compute to him

— Daniel Gilmore (@gilmored85.bsky.social) March 25, 2026 at 11:54 AM

What a creative way to say Trump has no plan in Iran…

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— Congresswoman Sara Jacobs (@sarajacobs.house.gov) March 25, 2026 at 2:37 PM

Open Thread: Our ‘Not Enough Facepalms’ AdministrationPost + Comments (68)

Late Night Open Thread: “God Is A Comedian”

by Anne Laurie|  March 24, 20262:30 am| 48 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, War

This is excellent.
open.substack.com/pub/no01/p/m…

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— Bill Kristol (@billkristolbulwark.bsky.social) March 22, 2026 at 7:53 PM

The Trickster God is certainly not a *subtle* comedian, and Donald Trump is one of his strongest chaos agents. Clips from this post at the Gold and Geopolitics SubStack are being widely shared, with good reason:

It is a well-established fact that the universe has a sense of humour. It is less well-established, but increasingly obvious, that the humour is of the kind best enjoyed from a great distance, like, let’s say the moon.

Three weeks into the Iran war, reality has passed through the looking glass, out the other side, and is now selling tickets to the gift shop. What follows is not satire. Satire requires exaggeration, and you cannot exaggerate something that is already operating at maximum absurdity. This is simply the news, and nothing but the news. Told straight, in a universe that has clearly stopped taking its medication.

The United States is sending 5,000 Marines into the Persian Gulf to seize Kharg Island, a speck of land 15 miles off the Iranian coast that handles 90% of Iran’s oil exports. This is, on paper, a reasonable military objective in the same way that sticking your hand into a beehive is a reasonable way to acquire honey. It is technically correct. The bees would disagree…

A White House source told Axios they need “about a month to weaken the Iranians more” before attempting this. One month. Of a war Trump described as ‘winding down’ on Friday – three weeks in, which by his count is basically four days… Both statements were made, as far as anyone can tell, by people who occupy the same government and occasionally share a building.

A former Navy SEAL called the plan “insane”. A retired Vice Admiral called it “a massacre-in-making scenario”. A retired Rear Admiral pointed out that even if they seize the island, Iran simply turns off the pipeline at the other end. Frankly, I think they’re being extremely polite. This is a clusterfuck of historic proportions and everyone who’s ever held a rank knows it…

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There exists in diplomacy a concept known as “sanctions”, which works on the same principle as telling a child they can’t have dessert while you’re eating cake in front of them. The United States has been sanctioning Iran for years. It has also been bombing Iran for three weeks. These are, in the normal course of events, complementary activities. One is economic warfare. The other is the regular kind.

This week, the US Treasury lifted all oil sanctions on Iran. For 30 days. 140 million barrels of Iranian crude, sitting on ships at sea, may now be sold freely on the global market. Including to the United States itself.

In yuan…

The logic, insofar as there is any, goes like this: the war has crashed the global oil market so hard that the administration needs the enemy’s oil to keep gasoline prices from eating the midterms. They are unsanctioning the people they’re bombing because the bombing is working too well at the thing they didn’t want it to do. The sanctions were necessary to stop Iran funding the war, but the war made the sanctions too effective, so the sanctions had to be lifted to fund the war effort against the country that no longer needs sanctions because the oil revenues that sanctions were preventing are now required to prevent the economic damage caused by preventing those revenues, which is itself a consequence of the military campaign designed to make the sanctions unnecessary by making Iran the kind of country that doesn’t need sanctioning, which it would be, if the sanctions hadn’t been lifted to pay for making it that…

On the other end of all this, sits Iran’s Foreign Minister Araghchi, who is not answering texts from US envoy Steve Witkoff. And why would he? The last Iranian official who engaged in negotiations was Ali Larijani, head of the Supreme National Security Council. Israel killed him. The supreme leader before that was killed on day one. Defence Secretary Hegseth is openly calling senior IRGC positions “temp jobs”. You are assassinating everyone with the authority to negotiate and then complaining, with what appears to be genuine bewilderment, that nobody will negotiate.

This is the diplomatic equivalent of burning down every restaurant in town and then leaving a bad Yelp review about the lack of dining options…

Much more at the link. If you love our own Tony Jay‘s posts, you’ll enjoy this!

Late Night Open Thread: <em>“God Is A Comedian”</em>Post + Comments (48)

Foreign Sports Affairs Open Thread: “Not Possible”

by Anne Laurie|  March 12, 20264:23 pm| 192 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Sports, Trumpery, War, World Cup

Iran was expected to take part in the World Cup that will be held across North America, but the country's sports and youth minister told state television that his country’s soccer team players are not safe in the U.S., according to a video of the interview posted.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) March 11, 2026 at 1:58 PM



Trump take World Cup:

… Iran was expected to take part in the World Cup that will be held across North America in June, but Iranian Sports and Youth Minister Ahmad Donyamali told state television that his country’s soccer team players are not safe in the U.S., according to a video of the interview posted Tuesday.

“Due to the wicked acts they have done against Iran — they have imposed two wars on us over just eight or nine months and have killed and martyred thousands of our people — definitely it’s not possible for us to take part in the World Cup,” he said.

Iran is scheduled to play in Inglewood, California, against New Zealand on June 15 and Belgium on June 21 before finishing group play against Egypt in Seattle on June 26. The U.S. is hosting the tournament with Canada and Mexico from June 11 to July 19…

 
Mary Geddry, at her Substack — “The World Cup, the Border, and the Performance of Grace”:

There is no role Donald Trump enjoys more than the one where he wrecks the furniture, strolls back into the room with a solemn expression, and expects praise for not smashing the lamp on his second pass. He has built an entire political career on this particular form of self-flattering absurdity. First he creates the ugliness, then he moderates it slightly, then he waits for the standing ovation that is supposedly owed to a man of such tremendous restraint. It is the logic of the mob boss who wants a thank-you card because he only broke one kneecap. It is also, in miniature, exactly what played out in the bizarre little drama over Iran and the 2026 World Cup.

The sequence is what makes it funny, because the sequence is always what makes Trump ridiculous. On March 3, when asked whether Iran should be allowed to play in a World Cup co-hosted by the United States, Mexico, and Canada, Trump offered the sort of response one imagines from a casino owner who has just been informed that diplomacy exists. He said he “really didn’t care.” Not exactly the language of a gracious statesman preparing to welcome the world. Not even the language of a man pretending to care about the grandeur of international sport. It was petulant, bored, and casually imperial, which is to say it was perfectly on brand.

Then came the pivot, because with Trump there is always a pivot from brute force to theatrical benevolence whenever he senses that benevolence might photograph better. A week later, FIFA president Gianni Infantino emerged from a meeting with him carrying the reassuring message that Iran was, “of course,” welcome to come compete in the United States. “Of course” is such a marvelous phrase in this context because it comes wrapped in fake inevitability and counterfeit grace. It makes the whole thing sound civilized, as if nobody had been threatened, excluded, bombed, banned, or turned into a geopolitical prop five minutes earlier. “Of course” is what one says when one wants credit for generosity while frantically hoping nobody notices the velvet rope, the armed guards, and the guest list composed by people who confuse domination with order.

It was a perfect Trumpian tableau. First the shrug, then the soft-focus magnanimity, then the implied request for admiration. Look at the great man, rising above petty conflict for the love of the beautiful game. Look at him setting aside animosity so that football may unite humanity. Look at him behaving, for one brief and miraculous second, like a functioning host of a global event rather than a nightclub owner deciding which faces belong past the cordon. It was the kind of scene that only works if everybody agrees to participate in the fiction. Iran, gloriously, did not.

The next day, Iran’s sports minister said participation in the World Cup was “not possible.” Not “awkward,” not “under discussion,” not something to be evaluated by committee after a productive round of consultations. Simply, “not possible.” The bluntness of the response was what gave it its comic timing. Trump and Infantino had barely finished arranging the lighting for the magnanimity photo op before Iranian officials came in and kicked over the set. It was, in essence, a rejection not just of the invitation but of the story Trump was trying to tell about the invitation. He was prepared to cast himself as the large-souled host, dispensing grace to a nation in crisis. Iran’s answer was that it had no interest in playing grateful guest in his vanity pageant.

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And honestly, who could blame them. The alleged generosity on offer was fraudulent from the start. The United States had not suddenly become some radiant temple of open borders and cosmopolitan fellowship. Under Trump’s travel restrictions, athletes and official team delegations could receive an exception tied to major sporting events, while ordinary nationals from Iran still faced broad restrictions on entering the country. In other words, the arrangement was never “you are welcome.” It was “your team may come provide content, spectacle, and valuable television inventory, but your people can remain a problem.” That is not magnanimity, that is event logistics dressed up as moral elegance…

 
Will Leitch, last week, at NYMag — “The Olympic Hockey Mess Was a Preview of Trump’s World Cup”:

… In three months, the World Cup — the biggest sporting event in the world, bigger than the Olympics, really — will take place across the United States (and parts of Canada and Mexico). And in two years, the Summer Olympics will take place in Los Angeles. There is zero question that Trump will put himself at the dead center of every aspect of both events, not just because that’s what he does but because they are happening in his backyard. That FIFA Peace Prize madness was merely the beginning…

This will be the Trump World Cup.

If we’ve learned anything from the first year-plus of Trump 2.0, it’s that he considers anything involving the United States to be his: something he owns and controls, an extension of himself. Every time he sees a flag, or an American athlete, or, like, a truck, he is going to make sure everyone who sees it thinks of him — and thinks he is in charge of it. The World Cup will be a vivid, overwhelming manifestation of this, with nearly every citizen on the planet, from every country and continent, at full attention. Trump does not care about soccer any more than he cares about hockey — no way could he name one single hockey player, men’s or women’s, other than Wayne Gretzky, and he surely knows even fewer soccer players — but every game played at every venue this summer will assuredly have his stamp on it. (It is widely assumed, thanks to his relationship with FIFA head Gianni Infantino, that Trump will deliver a message before the World Cup, one that may even be played before every game.) That Trump tarnished an all-time USA hockey win is irrelevant to him; all that matters is that he was center stage. He’ll make sure he continues to be.

It’s increasingly likely at least one team won’t show up.
As I’ve written before, this warmongering, global-bully version of the United States will become increasingly isolated on the global sports stage. This is not such a big deal at the Winter Olympics; there are very few Latin American or Middle Eastern countries that really compete much in the snow. But it’s going to be a huge problem at the World Cup. ICE has already promised a heavy presence at the event, to the point that many Latin American fan groups have made it clear they won’t be attending. But this extends to the athletes themselves. At the World Baseball Classic, which began this week, eight people involved with the Cuban team, including its pitching coach, were denied visas by the State Department. That will absolutely happen again this summer with countries like Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, and Paraguay in the mix. There are in fact four countries competing — Iran, Ivory Coast, Haiti, and Senegal — that are part of Trump’s travel ban. Iran, for obvious reasons, seems most at risk of an absence; its first game is scheduled for June 15 against New Zealand at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles. But Iran’s soccer-federation president has already said he “does not know” if the country’s team will compete, and Trump commented that he “really doesn’t care” one way or another. There is more of that to come…

This makes everything so much less fun for everyone.

Again: You cannot separate sports from politics because you cannot separate anything from politics. It’s all connected, whether we want it to be or not. But I will say that when you spend your time watching a sporting event wondering whether the person you’re cheering for is a supporter of a fascist regime, you are not, in fact, having a very good time. And sports is supposed to be a good time! This is supposed to be a diversion! We’re supposed to be enjoying ourselves! But this isn’t fun for the athletes, it’s not fun for those trying to make these games happen (and make money off them), and it’s certainly not fun for the fans. Do you want to tune out the noise of the madness of living in 2026 for a few hours and just enjoy a game? Do you want to escape? You can’t. Trump won’t let you. That was how it played out at the Winter Olympics, and that’s how it will be at the World Cup…

Foreign Sports Affairs Open Thread: <em>“Not Possible”</em>Post + Comments (192)

Excellent Read: “Gullible, Cynical America”

by Anne Laurie|  March 9, 20267:40 pm| 87 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links

Adam Serwer, always worth reading:
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0…

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— Anne Laurie (@annelaurie.bsky.social) March 9, 2026 at 7:28 PM

If nothing we know is true, then anything might be true… Gift link:

Many Americans believe that vaccines are unsafe, but will jab themselves full of performance enhancers. They think seed oils cause chronic disease, but beef tallow is healthy. They’ll say you can’t trust federally insured banks, but you can trust the millionaires who want you to invest in their volatile vaporware crypto tokens. They think food additives are toxic but support an administration removing all restrictions on pumping pollutants into the air and water. They’ll insist that you can’t trust scientists, because they’re part of the conspiracy. The podcaster selling you his special creatine gummies, though? He seems trustworthy.

The coronavirus wasn’t the only epidemic to hit the United States in the past decade. Americans are also facing a bizarre epidemic of gullibility and cynicism—gullicism, if you need a portmanteau—that is drawing people into a world of conspiracism and falsehoods, one where facts are drowned out by a cacophony of extremely loud and wrong voices. Reliable information is both more available and harder to find than ever—and those who spread misinformation have been rewarded with positions of power, platforms they can exploit to further pollute the information environment…

Gullicism creates not just a void but also an opportunity. It creates an ideal business opportunity for snake-oil salesmen to peddle products whose whole appeal is that they’re not scientifically validated. What is ultimately being sold is the feeling that consumers can prove they’re smarter than those snooty experts who think they know everything—and who probably are in on the conspiracy to deprive you of the truth…

Such theories are an example of what Nancy Rosenblum and Russell Muirhead describe in their book A Lot of People Are Saying as “the new conspiracism.” They portray a nation so “disoriented” by nonsense claims that people struggle to determine what is true. The new conspiracism is characterized by the absence of prescriptive solutions—it offers “no notion of what should replace the reviled parties, processes, and agencies of government once covert schemes are revealed.”

But that’s not quite right. What replaces these processes is snake oil: wellness products that cure no one, firearms and freeze-dried food for an inevitable but always delayed apocalypse, volatile digital tokens in exchange for real money. These substitutes provide nothing useful or tangible—only the self-esteem boost that comes from feeling like you understand infectious diseases better than an epidemiologist (or whatever expert told you something you didn’t want to hear). In some cases, the replacement is even worse—between anti-vax lunacy and shots of raw milk in the Oval Office, we appear to have a grand political coalition for returning to the days when people regularly died of diarrhea. You, too, can be a lone, rugged wolf rising above the masses of sheep. (At least until the listeria gets you.)

That’s exactly how the cryptolords and gambling companies and supplement salesmen want you to feel, because if they can sell you that feeling, they can sell you anything at all. That goes for politicians, too…

Excellent Read: <em>“Gullible, Cynical America”</em>Post + Comments (87)

(Qualified) Good News: ICE is re-evaluating the future of Camp East Montana, its largest detention facility

by Anne Laurie|  March 7, 202610:07 am| 54 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Immigration, Shitty Cops, Trump Crime Cartel

DHS says it is re-evaluating the future of the largest immigrant detention center in the country just seven months after it opened at the Fort Bliss army base outside El Paso, Texas.

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— NBC News (@nbcnews.com) March 5, 2026 at 12:38 PM

As with ‘Alligator Alcatraz’, Camp East Montana was a horrific concept badly implemented, and shutting it down would be good news — if (when) it actually happens. Even this grudging announcement means the monsters squatting in the Oval Office are beginning to understand that Stephen Miller’s concentration-camp wet dreams are both hard to implement and liable to cause future legal trouble for its implementers:

… The tented facility known as Camp East Montana has had a troubled history starting with a fatal construction accident and three detainee deaths in less than six weeks, one of which was ruled a homicide. There have also been outbreaks of both tuberculosis and measles.

“ICE is always looking at ways to improve our detention facilities to ensure we are providing the best care to illegal aliens in our custody,” an agency spokesperson said in an email.

She added that the contract for the facility “was inherited” from the Defense Department. “DHS undergoes rigorous audits and inspections of our facilities to ensure they are meeting our high standards. DHS is reviewing this facility and contract. No decisions have been made related to contract extension, termination, or award,” the spokesperson wrote.

The detention center houses almost 3,000 immigrants as of mid-February and the vast majority, 82%, have no criminal histories, according to ICE data…

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More than 100 other people have been isolated in connection with the [measles] outbreak, said Rep. Veronica Escobar, D-Texas, whose El Paso district includes the detention center. She added that Camp East Montana is closed to lawyers and visitors because of the outbreak.

The Fort Bliss facility was built and has been operated by Acquisition Logistics, a small government contractor out of Richmond, Virginia, that won the $1.2 billion ICE contract in July. The firm’s largest previous federal contract was for $16 million…

Its CEO is a 77-year-old man named Kenneth Wagner who appears to run the business out of his private home. Previous attempts to reach Wagner have been unsuccessful.

ICE is in the process of a $38 billion expansion of its detention centers nationwide, according to internal ICE documents. To do this, the agency is buying mega warehouses across the country and plans to use them to boost the number of people who are arrested and detained nationally from 70,000 to 160,000. NBC News was first to report on the warehouse expansion in November.

In January, ICE purchased a warehouse for more than $120 million outside El Paso, not far from Camp East Montana.

Two DHS contractors have expressed skepticism of ICE’s plans to house more than 8,000 detainees per center. They said housing more than 1,500 people in any facility is risky.

Charlotte Weiss from the Texas Civil Rights Project has been visiting the facility almost weekly and has raised concerns about what she says is a lack of food, excessive use of force and inadequate health care. She said the detention center is not scheduled to reopen to visitors until mid-March because of the measles outbreak.

Weiss is hopeful DHS will close the facility for good: “We have been calling for it to be shut down from the very beginning and more so because the government has been on notice on these issues for three months.” …

The Washington Post first broke this story:

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement is taking steps to close Camp East Montana, a massive immigrant detention camp near the Mexican border that opened less than eight months ago, according to an internal ICE document reviewed by The Washington Post.

The document, distributed to agency staff this week, indicated that ICE is drafting a letter to terminate the facility’s contract, but did not give any timeline or reason for the decision. The $1.2 billion contract, awarded to Acquisition Logistics LLC in July of last year, had an estimated date of completion of Sept. 30, 2027…

Once seen as the model for a new breed of makeshift tent encampments the Trump administration planned to rapidly build all over the country in its campaign to detain and deport millions of immigrants, Camp East Montana struggled to provide safe and humane housing for thousands of people, The Post’s reporting has shown. Detainees have complained of physical abuse by guards, inadequate food and substandard medical care. Last September, ICE’s own inspectors found dozens of violations of federal standards.

These problems culminated with the Jan. 3 death of Geraldo Lunas Campos, a Cuban detainee who died following a struggle with detention center staff — an incident the local medical examiner later ruled a homicide. Campos is one of three detainees who died at the facility in the span of two months, including a Guatemalan man who died of health complications last December and a Nicaraguan man who died of an apparent suicide in January.

Camp East Montana’s population has declined to about 1,500 detainees in recent weeks, about half as many people as it held in January, according to a separate internal ICE document obtained by The Post. It is currently closed to visitors and attorneys due to a measles outbreak, according to Rep. Veronica Escobar (D), who represents El Paso and periodically visits the detention center…

“Camp East Montana should have never opened. The $1.24 billion cost for this facility could have been used for healthcare, nutrition programs, and a litany of other things to improve our society and our country,” Escobar said in a statement. “Instead, it promoted the dehumanization of immigrants and lined the pockets of a corrupt, incompetent private prison corporation.”

The El Paso tent encampment was built in the span of a few weeks last year on a formerly empty patch of desert adjacent to the Fort Bliss Army base. When the first detainees arrived Aug. 1, they were held on an active construction site, where dust swirled and excavators hummed as contractors worked to finish building the facility…

At Camp East Montana, detainees live in enormous white tents, each as long as two football fields. Inside, temporary walls divide the cavernous spaces into smaller pods, where up to 72 people eat, shower, sleep in bunk beds and used the bathroom, documents and interviews show. Because the pods are open on top, without ceilings, the conversations, outbursts and cries of hundreds of people create a cacophony day and night.

In September, as the site’s population surged past 1,000 detainees, inspectors with ICE’s detention oversight unit said in an internal report that the migrants were subjected to conditions that violated at least 60 federal standards for immigrant detention, according to The Post’s reporting. The facility lacked basic procedures for keeping guards and detainees safe and for weeks did not provide many of them a way to contact lawyers, learn about their cases or file complaints, the report said.

ICE inspectors also said Camp East Montana failed to follow mandatory procedures for medical care. Some medical charts were never filled out and some intake screenings were never conducted, meaning, the inspectors wrote, that the medical team could not “identify emergent or past chronic medical conditions, mental illness issues such as suicidal/homicidal ideation or intent that could lead to detainee life-safety issue.”

In interviews with the American Civil Liberties Union and other nonprofit groups in November, several immigrants detained at Camp East Montana claimed they were beaten by guards for complaining, demanding medical treatment, refusing to eat or for resisting deportation…

Deaths in ICE detention centers have occurred with increasing frequency in recent months. At least 30 people died in detention last year — the highest in two decades — and at least nine detainees have already died this year, ICE records show.

(Qualified) Good News: <em>ICE is re-evaluating the future of Camp East Montana, its largest detention facility</em>Post + Comments (54)

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